Crop Progress ISSN: 1948-3007 Released November 28, 2016, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, United States Department of Agriculture (USDA). Special Note COMING SOON - NASS's annual December surveys on crops and livestock. During the first two weeks of December, NASS will survey approximately 90,000 United States producers. One of USDA's largest survey efforts, the responses will provide the final information about the 2016 U.S. row crops focusing on harvested acreage, production, and storage. The survey will also be used to help establish county level estimates used by the Farm Service Agency for the Agriculture Risk Coverage (ARC) program and the Risk Management Agency to administer insurance programs. In addition, hog producers will be asked about their current inventory, pig crop, and farrowing intentions for the next six months. With both data collection and data release taking place over a span of only four weeks, the results will be available beginning with the Hogs and Pigs report on December 23, followed by the Annual Crop Production Summary and other reports on January 12. County level row crop estimates will be released later in 2017. Farmers should watch for their survey and be sure to respond. Your information matters! Cotton Harvested - Selected States [These 15 States harvested 98% of the 2015 cotton acreage] ------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Week ending : :-----------------------------------------: State :November 27, :November 20, :November 27, : 2011-2015 : 2015 : 2016 : 2016 : Average ------------------------------------------------------------------------ : percent : Alabama ........: 84 90 94 89 Arizona ........: 74 65 72 69 Arkansas .......: 100 100 100 100 California .....: 100 80 90 98 Georgia ........: 71 87 93 80 Kansas .........: 67 54 69 74 Louisiana ......: 100 100 100 100 Mississippi ....: 98 100 100 99 Missouri .......: 95 100 100 93 North Carolina .: 81 79 84 87 Oklahoma .......: 74 65 72 72 South Carolina .: 62 77 86 81 Tennessee ......: 94 97 100 91 Texas ..........: 71 47 62 76 Virginia .......: 93 94 96 93 : 15 States ......: 77 67 77 84 ------------------------------------------------------------------------ Sorghum Harvested - Selected States [These 11 States harvested 98% of the 2015 sorghum acreage] ------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Week ending : :-----------------------------------------: State :November 27, :November 20, :November 27, : 2011-2015 : 2015 : 2016 : 2016 : Average ------------------------------------------------------------------------ : percent : Arkansas .......: 100 100 100 100 Colorado .......: 98 98 99 95 Illinois .......: 100 92 95 99 Kansas .........: 96 95 97 97 Louisiana ......: 100 100 100 100 Missouri .......: 95 95 100 97 Nebraska .......: 96 98 100 99 New Mexico .....: 89 52 54 77 Oklahoma .......: 96 95 96 93 South Dakota ...: 96 99 100 98 Texas ..........: 96 91 94 94 : 11 States ......: 97 94 96 96 ------------------------------------------------------------------------ Sunflowers Harvested - Selected States [These 4 States harvested 84% of the 2015 sunflower acreage] ------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Week ending : :-----------------------------------------: State :November 27, :November 20, :November 27, : 2011-2015 : 2015 : 2016 : 2016 : Average ------------------------------------------------------------------------ : percent : Colorado .......: 93 92 97 96 Kansas .........: 94 89 95 94 North Dakota ...: 99 92 97 94 South Dakota ...: 99 97 99 95 : 4 States .......: 98 94 98 94 ------------------------------------------------------------------------ Winter Wheat Emerged - Selected States [These 18 States planted 90% of the 2015 winter wheat acreage] ------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Week ending : :-----------------------------------------: State :November 27, :November 20, :November 27, : 2011-2015 : 2015 : 2016 : 2016 : Average ------------------------------------------------------------------------ : percent : Arkansas .......: 84 82 87 90 California .....: 66 71 81 60 Colorado .......: 100 97 99 99 Idaho ..........: 94 93 97 98 Illinois .......: 99 90 96 96 Indiana ........: 99 92 95 96 Kansas .........: 98 94 96 98 Michigan .......: 100 90 92 98 Missouri .......: 94 76 84 86 Montana ........: 98 94 95 91 Nebraska .......: 100 99 100 99 North Carolina .: 54 50 59 59 Ohio ...........: 100 91 96 96 Oklahoma .......: 96 92 96 96 Oregon .........: 78 75 83 88 South Dakota ...: 100 99 100 93 Texas ..........: 78 79 80 81 Washington .....: 86 91 94 95 : 18 States ......: 92 89 92 92 ------------------------------------------------------------------------ Winter Wheat Condition - Selected States: Week Ending November 27, 2016 [National crop conditions for selected States are weighted based on 2015 planted acreage] ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- State : Very poor : Poor : Fair : Good : Excellent ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- : percent : Arkansas .......: 5 10 35 40 10 California .....: - - - 25 75 Colorado .......: 3 12 38 41 6 Idaho ..........: - - 22 55 23 Illinois .......: 3 2 25 56 14 Indiana ........: 2 4 26 53 15 Kansas .........: 3 10 35 45 7 Michigan .......: 2 3 27 52 16 Missouri .......: 3 6 33 51 7 Montana ........: - 2 21 49 28 Nebraska .......: 2 11 34 48 5 North Carolina .: 1 12 29 56 2 Ohio ...........: - 1 12 61 26 Oklahoma .......: 3 9 35 46 7 Oregon .........: 1 3 14 65 17 South Dakota ...: 1 8 40 46 5 Texas ..........: 4 12 43 34 7 Washington .....: - 1 8 74 17 : 18 States ......: 2 8 32 47 11 : Previous week ..: 2 8 32 47 11 Previous year ..: 2 7 36 44 11 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- - Represents zero. Days Suitable for Fieldwork - Selected States [Days suitable for Fieldwork are weighted based on cropland acreage] ----------------------------------------------------------- : Week ending :----------------------------------------- State :November 27, :November 20, :November 27, : 2015 : 2016 : 2016 ----------------------------------------------------------- : Days : Alabama .........: 5.9 7.0 6.8 Arizona .........: 7.0 7.0 7.0 Arkansas ........: 1.6 6.4 4.9 California ......: 6.4 5.7 5.2 Colorado ........: 3.8 6.0 5.8 Connecticut .....: 6.1 6.0 6.0 Delaware ........: 6.5 7.0 7.0 Florida .........: 6.4 6.7 6.8 Georgia .........: 6.2 6.7 6.8 Idaho ...........: 1.3 4.5 3.9 Illinois ........: 1.9 6.3 4.1 Indiana .........: 3.7 6.0 4.8 Iowa ............: 1.6 6.3 4.7 Kansas ..........: 2.8 6.7 6.4 Kentucky ........: 4.0 6.5 5.9 Louisiana .......: 3.9 6.7 5.9 Maine ...........: 6.0 5.0 4.5 Maryland ........: 5.5 6.5 7.0 Massachusetts ...: 6.1 6.0 5.1 Michigan ........: 3.1 5.7 4.1 Minnesota .......: 2.5 4.7 2.4 Mississippi .....: 3.3 5.9 5.7 Missouri ........: 2.0 6.8 5.4 Montana .........: 1.5 5.4 6.4 Nebraska ........: 3.6 5.7 5.2 Nevada ..........: 7.0 6.9 5.0 New Hampshire ...: 6.2 5.5 4.7 New Jersey ......: 6.0 6.0 7.0 New Mexico ......: 5.9 6.4 6.5 New York ........: 5.0 6.0 2.0 North Carolina ..: 5.1 6.3 6.8 North Dakota ....: 5.2 6.1 5.8 Ohio ............: 4.5 6.1 5.4 Oklahoma ........: 3.4 6.2 6.4 Oregon ..........: 3.3 4.8 4.7 Pennsylvania ....: 5.0 6.0 5.5 Rhode Island ....: 6.0 6.0 6.0 South Carolina ..: 5.3 6.8 6.8 South Dakota ....: 4.9 4.8 4.9 Tennessee .......: 4.4 6.6 6.5 Texas ...........: 3.7 5.9 6.1 Utah ............: 4.4 6.4 5.6 Vermont .........: 3.7 5.0 3.2 Virginia ........: 5.7 6.6 7.0 Washington ......: 2.9 4.5 2.9 West Virginia ...: 5.3 6.0 6.0 Wisconsin .......: 3.4 6.4 4.8 Wyoming .........: 1.8 4.9 5.5 ----------------------------------------------------------- Topsoil Moisture Condition - Selected States: Week Ending November 27, 2016 [National topsoil moisture conditions for selected States are weighted based on cropland acreage] ---------------------------------------------------------------- State :Very short : Short : Adequate : Surplus ---------------------------------------------------------------- : percent : Alabama ........: 92 8 - - Arizona ........: 2 28 66 4 Arkansas .......: 19 28 52 1 California .....: 30 35 30 5 Colorado .......: 21 39 39 1 Connecticut ....: 55 30 15 - Delaware .......: 2 31 58 9 Florida ........: 35 24 40 1 Georgia ........: 75 23 2 - Idaho ..........: - 5 84 11 Illinois .......: 1 8 82 9 Indiana ........: 3 18 69 10 Iowa ...........: 2 9 84 5 Kansas .........: 14 31 53 2 Kentucky .......: 35 41 24 - Louisiana ......: 31 43 26 - Maine ..........: 4 30 53 13 Maryland .......: 4 22 63 11 Massachusetts ..: 5 41 54 - Michigan .......: - 2 70 28 Minnesota ......: - 1 75 24 Mississippi ....: 41 35 23 1 Missouri .......: 6 23 70 1 Montana ........: 9 19 62 10 Nebraska .......: 11 30 57 2 Nevada .........: 25 25 50 - New Hampshire ..: 20 46 34 - New Jersey .....: 9 27 58 6 New Mexico .....: 12 55 31 2 New York .......: 8 16 57 19 North Carolina .: 17 26 51 6 North Dakota ...: 3 15 71 11 Ohio ...........: 4 25 66 5 Oklahoma .......: 16 39 44 1 Oregon .........: 3 16 68 13 Pennsylvania ...: 13 25 55 7 Rhode Island ...: - 26 74 - South Carolina .: 15 42 40 3 South Dakota ...: 10 24 63 3 Tennessee ......: 50 31 19 - Texas ..........: 10 31 53 6 Utah ...........: 3 24 67 6 Vermont ........: - 6 71 23 Virginia .......: 29 37 33 1 Washington .....: - - 77 23 West Virginia ..: 17 38 41 4 Wisconsin ......: - 3 81 16 Wyoming ........: 22 28 35 15 : 48 States ......: 11 21 61 7 : Previous week ..: 12 22 60 6 Previous year ..: 4 14 67 15 ---------------------------------------------------------------- - Represents zero. Subsoil Moisture Condition - Selected States: Week Ending November 27, 2016 [National subsoil moisture conditions for selected States are weighted based on cropland acreage] ---------------------------------------------------------------- State :Very short : Short : Adequate : Surplus ---------------------------------------------------------------- : percent : Alabama ........: 89 11 - - Arizona ........: 14 12 72 2 Arkansas .......: 25 39 35 1 California .....: 20 45 30 5 Colorado .......: 18 41 41 - Connecticut ....: 35 55 10 - Delaware .......: 2 13 66 19 Florida ........: 30 23 45 2 Georgia ........: 68 25 7 - Idaho ..........: - 12 82 6 Illinois .......: 1 9 86 4 Indiana ........: 4 17 74 5 Iowa ...........: 2 8 83 7 Kansas .........: 8 27 64 1 Kentucky .......: 34 41 25 - Louisiana ......: 27 43 30 - Maine ..........: 5 39 55 1 Maryland .......: 3 19 68 10 Massachusetts ..: 41 49 10 - Michigan .......: - 3 73 24 Minnesota ......: - 2 78 20 Mississippi ....: 40 39 20 1 Missouri .......: 4 21 72 3 Montana ........: 10 24 57 9 Nebraska .......: 11 31 57 1 Nevada .........: 30 30 40 - New Hampshire ..: 35 48 17 - New Jersey .....: 11 24 51 14 New Mexico .....: 11 36 52 1 New York .......: 9 25 54 12 North Carolina .: 10 25 57 8 North Dakota ...: 4 16 69 11 Ohio ...........: 9 24 64 3 Oklahoma .......: 10 34 55 1 Oregon .........: 5 27 62 6 Pennsylvania ...: 12 35 46 7 Rhode Island ...: 35 45 20 - South Carolina .: 11 38 46 5 South Dakota ...: 10 28 61 1 Tennessee ......: 50 30 20 - Texas ..........: 7 32 57 4 Utah ...........: 10 20 68 2 Vermont ........: - 13 87 - Virginia .......: 18 32 49 1 Washington .....: - 2 90 8 West Virginia ..: 14 36 47 3 Wisconsin ......: - 2 83 15 Wyoming ........: 18 32 40 10 : 48 States ......: 10 22 62 6 : Previous week ..: 10 23 61 6 Previous year ..: 6 19 65 10 ---------------------------------------------------------------- - Represents zero. Crop Progress and Condition Tables Expected Next Week Today's publication is the last weekly Crop Progress report issued for the 2016 season. The first weekly report for 2017 will be released on Monday, April 3, 2017. Statistical Methodology Survey Procedures: Crop progress and condition estimates are based on survey data collected each week from early April through the end of November. The non-probability crop progress and condition surveys include input from approximately 4,000 respondents whose occupations provide them opportunities to make visual observations and frequently bring them in contact with farmers in their counties. Based on standard definitions, these respondents subjectively estimate the progress of crops through various stages of development, as well as the progress of producer activities. They also provide subjective evaluations of crop conditions. Most respondents complete their questionnaires on Friday or early Monday morning and submit them to the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS) Field Offices in their States by mail, telephone, fax, e-mail, or through a secured internet website. A small number of reports are completed on Thursday, Saturday, and Sunday. Regardless of when questionnaires are completed, respondents are asked to report for the entire week ending on Sunday. For reports submitted prior to the Sunday reference date, a degree of uncertainty is introduced by projections for weekend changes in progress and condition. By the end of the 2015 season, over 90 percent of the data were being submitted through the internet website. As a result, the majority of all data are submitted on Monday morning, significantly reducing projection uncertainty. Respondents are sent written reporting instructions at the beginning of each season and are contacted periodically to ensure proper reporting. Terms and definitions of crop stages and condition categories used as reporting guidelines are available on the NASS website at www.nass.usda.gov/Publications/National_Crop_Progress. Estimating Procedures: Reported data are reviewed for reasonableness and consistency by comparing with data reported the previous week and data reported in surrounding counties for the current week. Field Offices summarize the reported data to district and State levels, weighting each county's reported data by NASS county acreage estimates. Summarized indications are compared with previous week estimates, and progress items are compared with earlier stages of development and historical averages to ensure reasonableness. Weather events and respondent comments are also taken into consideration. State estimates are submitted to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB) along with supporting comments, where they are compared with surrounding States and compiled into a National level summary by weighting each State by its acreage estimates. Revision Policy: Progress and condition estimates in the Crop Progress report are released after 4:00 pm ET on the first business day of the week. These estimates are subject to revision the following week. Information Contacts Listed below are the commodity statisticians in the Crops Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service to contact for additional information. E-mail inquiries may be sent to nass@nass.usda.gov Lance Honig, Chief, Crops Branch........................ (202) 720-2127 Anthony Prillaman, Head, Field Crops Section............ (202) 720-2127 Bianca Pruneda - Cotton, Cotton Ginnings, Sorghum.. (202) 720-5944 Tony Dahlman - Oats, Soybeans...................... (202) 690-3234 Chris Hawthorn - Corn, Flaxseed, Proso Millet...... (202) 720-9526 James Johanson - County Estimates, Hay............. (202) 690-8533 Scott Matthews - Crop Weather, Barley.............. (202) 720-7621 Jean Porter - Rye, Wheat........................... (202) 720-8068 Sammy Neal- Peanuts, Rice.......................... (202) 720-7688 Travis Thorson - Sunflower, Other Oilseeds......... (202) 720-7369 Access to NASS Reports For your convenience, you may access NASS reports and products the following ways: All reports are available electronically, at no cost, on the NASS web site: www.nass.usda.gov Both national and state specific reports are available via a free e- mail subscription. To set-up this free subscription, visit www.nass.usda.gov and click on "National" or "State" in upper right corner above "search" box to create an account and select the reports you would like to receive. For more information on NASS surveys and reports, call the NASS Agricultural Statistics Hotline at (800) 727-9540, 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET, or e-mail: nass@nass.usda.gov. The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) prohibits discrimination against its customers, employees, and applicants for employment on the basis of race, color, national origin, age, disability, sex, gender identity, religion, reprisal, and where applicable, political beliefs, marital status, familial or parental status, sexual orientation, or all or part of an individual's income is derived from any public assistance program, or protected genetic information in employment or in any program or activity conducted or funded by the Department. (Not all prohibited bases will apply to all programs and/or employment activities.) If you wish to file a Civil Rights program complaint of discrimination, complete the USDA Program Discrimination Complaint Form (PDF), found online at http://www.ascr.usda.gov/complaint_filing_cust.html, or at any USDA office, or call (866) 632-9992 to request the form. You may also write a letter containing all of the information requested in the form. Send your completed complaint form or letter to us by mail at U.S. Department of Agriculture, Director, Office of Adjudication, 1400 Independence Avenue, S.W., Washington, D.C. 20250-9410, by fax (202) 690-7442 or email at program.intake@usda.gov.