New paper sheds light on 2023’s record sea surface temperatures
2023 was a record-breaking year. According to the Annual 2023 Global Climate Report, 2023 was the warmest year since global atmospheric temperature records began in 1850, at 1.18°C (2.12°F) above the 20th-century average of 13.9°C (57.0°F). Now, a new analysis led by NCEI scientists published in Geophysical Research Letters (GRL) shows that global mean sea surface temperatures also set a record high in 2023. The paper further indicates that these record-breaking temperatures were associated with extremely strong marine heatwaves that the authors dubbed super-marine heatwaves.
Decades of Data
Sea surface temperature (SST) is the temperature of the uppermost layer of seawater, which typically means the top few meters. SST data are collected by satellite observations or by in situ observations from ships, drifting buoys, moored buoys, and more recently, Surface Autonomous Vehicles such as Saildrones. Monitoring changes in SST is essential for understanding and mitigating the impacts of climate change and other environmental stressors.
NCEI’s Daily Optimum Interpolation Sea Surface Temperature (DOISST) is a global daily SST product with a resolution of 0.25° × 0.25° that includes data from September 1981 onwards and blends satellite SSTs with in situ SSTs from ships, buoys, and Argo floats. The SST analysis based on DOISST shows that globally (90°S–90°N) averaged daily SSTs started breaking historical seasonal record highs in March 2023 and continued to do so until early summer 2024. An all-time record high was set on April 4, 2023 (18.83°C), and was continually broken from July 16 until August 21, 2023 (19.00°C). The analysis validates that the daily global records shown by DOISST are consistent across different datasets as well as across analyses over different time periods. The SSTs in 2023 were record high over much of the global oceans.
The new GRL paper shows that the 2023 record-high SST anomaly is attributed to a long-term warming trend associated with increasing greenhouse gases, a shift to the warm phase of a multidecadal Pacific-Atlantic-Arctic (PAA) mode, and a warming associated with the transition from 2020–23 La Niña events to the 2023–24 El Niño event.
“The impact of the first two factors suggests high SSTs into the future, particularly in the Northern Hemisphere summer,” said Boyin Huang, NCEI Oceanographer and lead author of the paper.
Super-Marine Heatwaves
The paper also indicates that these record-breaking SSTs were extremely strong marine heatwaves (MHWs). The MHWs were so powerful that the authors came up with a new term for them: super-marine heatwaves.
MHWs usually describe any time when the ocean temperature is above the 90th percentile for five or more days in a row, with gaps of less than three days. This means that the temperatures are warmer than 90% of the previous observations for a given time of year. In 2023, MHWs were so extreme that the paper’s authors coined the term “super-MHW” to describe when the daily SST in 2023 exceeded the corresponding maximum daily SST from the period of 1982–2022. These super-MHWs occurred across the globe, including in the Arctic region.
Marine heatwaves can have significant impacts on ocean life including fisheries collapse and coral deaths. They can occur all over the world, including in the Arctic zone. The authors of the paper documented super-MHWs occurring in the central tropical Pacific near the dateline (0.1°−0.2°C), the eastern tropical Pacific east of 120°W (0.1°−0.5°C), the North Pacific north of 30°N (0.2°−1.0°C), the northern tropical Atlantic between the equator and 30°N (0.2°−0.5°C), the northwestern North Atlantic south of Greenland (0.5°C), the Arctic coastal zone (0.5°−2.0°), the western Indian Ocean west of 90°E (0.2°−1.0°C), and the Southern Ocean (0.2°−1.0°C). MHWs affect the biology and chemistry of an ecosystem.
Impacts of Record-Breaking Ocean Surface Temperatures
There are many impacts to the Earth’s climate systems associated with the record-breaking ocean surface temperature, one of them being the increased strength and rapid intensification of hurricanes, as warm waters provide fuel to the storms. Corresponding with the record-breaking ocean surface temperature in 2024 was the earliest Category 5 hurricane on record; Hurricane Beryl intensified in a very short time from a tropical storm to a Category 5 hurricane.
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Reference: Huang, B., X. Yin, J. A. Carton, L. Chen, G. Graham, P. Hogan, T. Smith, and H.-M. Zhang, 2024: Record high sea surface temperatures in 2023. Geophysical Research Letters. https://doi.org/10.1029/2024GL108369