{"WFO":{"37":"FGZ","98":"PSR","116":"TWC","118":"VEF"},"DATE":{"37":"1000 PM MST Fri Feb 19 2021","98":"300 PM MST Sat Mar 20 2021","116":"500 PM MST FRI MAR 19 2021","118":"518 AM PDT WED MAR 3 2021"},"DGT":{"37":"493\nAXUS75 KFGZ 200513\nDGTFGZ\n\nDrought Information Statement\nNational Weather Service Flagstaff AZ\n1000 PM MST Fri Feb 19 2021\n\n...Slight Drought Improvement for Portions of Northern Arizona but\nExtreme to Exceptional Drought Persists For Much of the Region...\n\nSynopsis...\n\nOne of the warmest and driest late-spring through mid-winter periods\non record resulted in intense drought conditions across northern\nand central Arizona. However, a series of Pacific storm systems in\nlate January and again in mid February brought beneficial rain and\nsnow to portions of northern Arizona, especially from Flagstaff to\nthe White Mountains, southward into Yavapai and Gila counties. In\nthe latest US Drought Monitor issued February 18th, the drought\ndepiction was improved by one category to D2 (Severe Drought) in\nportions of Yavapai and southern Coconino counties including\nFlagstaff, Sedona, and Prescott. A small portion of northern Apache\nCounty also improved to D2 including the Tsaile area. Exceptional\nDrought (D4 - the highest drought category) continues across\nnorthern Coconino County and most of Navajo and Apache counties. At\nthe beginning of June 2020, the majority of these areas were\nclassified as being drought-free, so this was a very rapid\ndevelopment of drought. The outlooks for the remainder of winter and\nspring are currently tilted toward warmer and drier than normal\nconditions. A La Nina pattern will continue through winter and at\nleast early spring, with a 60% chance of transitioning to neutral\nconditions by the April-June period. The precipitation outlooks are\naccounting for La Nina, which typically results in drier than normal\nconditions in Arizona.\n\nSummary of Impacts...\n\nRangeland and forage conditions were in poor condition in nearly all\nareas prior to the late January storms. However, most vegetation\nexcept in the lowest elevations is in the dormant winter state, and\nany improvement due to the recent precipitation will not be evident\nuntil later in the spring. Hauling of water has been necessary for\nboth wildlife and livestock for many months.\n\nWildfire activity remained elevated through the summer and fall\n2020, with fire restrictions only lifted in mid November. New large\nfires developed in October which is unusual for this area.\n\nClimate Summary...\n\nThe past 11 months have been exceptionally dry across northern Arizona,\nwith temperatures also above normal for much of this period.\n\n          Precipitation Summary for Spring 2020 through mid-Winter 2021\n                    (Apr 1, 2020 - Feb 17, 2021)\n\n               Precip      Normal     Percent     Rank\n                                      of Normal   Driest\n\nFlagstaff       8.93\"       18.85\"      47%        2nd\nWinslow         2.07\"        6.30\"      33%        2nd\nPrescott        6.61\"       15.52\"      43%        1st\nPayson          9.54\"       18.08\"      53%        2nd\nShow Low        7.29\"       15.09\"      48%        2nd\nPage            0.99\"        7.37\"      13%        1st\nSt. Johns       4.13\"       11.04\"      37%        1st\n\n\nPrecipitation\/Temperature Outlook...\n\nThe precipitation outlook for March through May from the NWS Climate\nPrediction Center calls for a strong tilt in the odds toward below\nnormal precipitation and above normal temperatures for northern Arizona.\nThe values below represent approximate probabilities of above, near,\nand below normal temperature and precipitation for northern Arizona\n3 month period from March through May. These values are produced by\nthe NWS Climate Prediction Center and can be accessed from their\nwebsite listed below.\n\n                               Temperature        Precipitation\n                               Probability         Probability\n                             Above\/Near\/Below    Above\/Near\/Below\n                                  Normal              Normal\nMar-Apr-May 2021.............   64 \/ 33 \/ 3        12 \/ 33 \/ 55\n\nHydrologic Summary and Outlook...\n\nWith above normal precipitation for the fall and winter of 2019-\n2020, streamflow and reservoir recharge were beneficial. Streamflow\nwas much below normal during the summer and fall of 2020 with the\nlack of rainfall, though this is not typically a time when larger\nreservoirs experience significant recharge. The most extreme impacts\nhave been to smaller tanks and catchments intended for use by\nlivestock or wildlife. Snowpack over the Mogollon Rim recovered to\nnear normal in late January, but remains below normal for the other\ndrainage basins in northern Arizona. As a result, the latest spring\nrunoff outlook from USDA\/NRCS issued February 15 is for well below\nmedian runoff. Current projections are for 47% of median runoff for the\nVerde River basin, 18% of median for the Little Colorado River\nbasin, and 22% for the Salt basin.\n\nNext Issuance Date...\n\nDrought Information Statements from this office are normally issued\non the third Thursday of each month in which extreme or exceptional\n(D3-D4) drought conditions exist in any part of northern Arizona.\nThe next statement will be issued on or around March 18, 2021.\n&&\n\nRelated Websites:\n\nAdditional information is available at the following locations:\n\nNWS Forecast Office Flagstaff: weather.gov\/Flagstaff\nNational Integrated Drought Information System: drought.gov\nUS Drought Monitor: droughtmonitor.unl.edu\nNWS Climate Prediction Center: www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov\nArizona State Climate Office: azclimate.asu.edu\nArizona Dept of Water Resources: new.azwater.gov\/drought\nWestern Region Climate Center: wrcc.dri.edu\nUS Geological Survey: water.usgs.gov\n\nAcknowledgments...\n\nInformation included in this statement was compiled from a multitude\nof federal, state, and local agencies.\n\nQuestions or comments...\n\nNational Weather Service Flagstaff AZ\nPO Box 16057\nBellemont, AZ 86015\n(928) 556-9161\nw-fgz.webmaster@noaa.gov\n$$","98":"000\nAXUS75 KPSR 202201\nDGTPSR\n\nDrought Information Statement\nNational Weather Service Phoenix AZ\n300 PM MST Sat Mar 20 2021\n\n...Drought Maintains Intensity as Light Rain and Snow Offer Only\nLittle Help...\n\nSynopsis...\n\nAfter a series of winter storms finally brought some minor drought\nrelief to the region in January, a drier weather pattern has settled\nback into the region the past couple months. Lower elevation\nrainfall totals in January were quite beneficial with parts of SW\nArizona actually receiving around one third of their average annual\nrainfall in just a couple days. However most of the region received\nfar lower totals, and overall benefits were rather muted.\nPrecipitation over the past two months has been spotty and not\nsufficient to help drought conditions.\n\nExceptional Drought has maintained its hold on the eastern half of\nPinal County, southern part of Gila County, and a small piece of far\nsoutheast Maricopa County. Extreme Drought covers the remainder of\nwestern Pinal County, much of Maricopa County, and most of La Paz\ncounties, as a well as far northeast Riverside County. Severe\nDrought covers a small part far southwest Maricopa County, northern\nYuma, southern La Paz, and much of central Riverside counties.\nModerate Drought covers much of southern Yuma and Imperial counties.\nOnly a very small part of far southern Yuma County aligns in\nAbnormally Dry territory. Severe, Extreme, and Exceptional Drought\nnow covers about 95% of Arizona as compared to 7% of the state at\nthe beginning of June 2020.\n\nLa Nina has peaked in the tropical Pacific with sea surface\ntemperatures moderating closer to average. Models suggest a gradual\ntransition towards a neutral state by early summer as the general La\nNina circulation pattern only slowly modifies. A prolonged dry\nperiod, typical in the Southwest during La Nina winters, was broken\nduring the middle of January. However, the prevailing dry La Nina\npattern has returned the past couple months. The Southwest now heads\ninto a typically dry spring period where many locations receive only\nlight precipitation in a typical year; and these locations may need\nto wait until the summer monsoon for realistic drought improvement.\n\n\nSummary of Impacts...\n\nRangeland and pasture conditions remain mostly in a poor to very\npoor condition. 89% of the state pasture land rated as poor to very\npoor compared to just 13% at this time last March, and the 5-year\naverage of 24%. January rainfall aided topsoil moisture somewhat,\nhowever recent dry weather has negated this effect. Forage area\nremains depleted and timely rainfall will be needed in April to spur\nspring growth. Reports continue to indicate many stock ponds low or\nempty requiring water hauling. Thus far, ranchers have experienced\nthe worst impacts from this extreme and exceptional drought.\n\nWildfires were a tremendous problem in Arizona last year with over\n959,000 acres burned in the state - almost double the previous 2\nyears combined. Cooler and wetter weather earlier in the winter\ntemporarily relaxed the greater fire danger with better fuel\nmoisture values. However, the underlying dry fuels are beginning to\nreturn as long term drought persists and warmer, drier spring\nweather returns. Thus, it will be inevitable that a heightened\nwildfire threat will resume later this spring with the return of\neven warm temperatures.\n\n\nClimate Summary...\n\nAutumn and early winter precipitation totals were quite dismal\nacross the region, however winter storms in January made up some of\nthe deficit. Many locations are still lagging well behind normal\nsince the beginning of the Water Year (Oct 1st), so more storm\nsystems will be needed before heading into the drier spring season.\nTotals and rankings are given below (please note some stations have\na limited historical record and rankings may not be as significant).\n\n                  Since    Since    Dept     Percent     Rank\n                  Oct 1    Oct 1    from    of Normal   Driest\n                  2020     Normal   Normal\n\nPhoenix AZ        1.50      4.40    -3.10       33       14th\nScottsdale AZ     2.07      6.04    -3.97       34        N\/A\nGlobe AZ          3.98      8.69    -4.71       46        N\/A\nYuma AZ           1.51      1.91    -0.40       79       70th\nBlythe CA         0.88      2.35    -1.47       37       26th\nTucson AZ         1.42      4.65    -3.23       31        7th\nFlagstaff AZ       7.75     10.83    -3.08       72       46th\n\n\nPrecipitation\/Temperature Outlook...\n\nThe approximate probability values for above, below, or near normal\ntemperatures and precipitation for April and the 3-month period\nApril-May-June are given below and valid for Southeast California\nand Southwest and South-central Arizona. These probabilities are\nderived from outlooks issued by the Climate Prediction Center and\nare accessible through their website listed below. The temperature\noutlook corresponds to the average temperature during the period,\nwhile the precipitation outlook comprises the total precipitation\nover the period.\n\nTemperatures have a much better chance of being above normal during\nthe month of April, as well as the 3-month period of April through\nJune. Precipitation totals have about an equal chance of falling\nabove, below, or near average in April, as well as during the April\nthrough June period.\n\n                               Temperature        Precipitation\n                               Probability         Probability\n                             Above\/Near\/Below    Above\/Near\/Below\n                                 Normal              Normal\n\nApril 2021..................   52 \/ 33 \/ 15        33 \/ 34 \/ 33\nApr-May-Jun 2021............   55 \/ 30 \/ 15        33 \/ 34 \/ 33\n\n\nHydrologic Summary and Outlook...\n\nDry weather during the fall and early winter has only been a minor\ndetriment on the Salt and Verde systems with record low inflows\nrecorded. However, excellent winter precipitation the past 2 years\nleaves the system in very good shape. Snowfall so far this winter\nwill be beneficial later in the spring runoff season, although snow\nin most basins is still lagging below normal. The extended period of\nbelow average precipitation and recrod warmth since last summer has\nlessened soil moisture and could negatively affect spring runoff.\n\n                   03\/19\/2021     03\/19\/2020      03\/19\/2019\n                    ---------      ---------       ---------\nRoosevelt             81              91              66\nHorse Mesa            94              98              98\nMormon Flat           94              97              97\nStewart Mtn           92              97              95\nTotal Salt            83              92              72\n\nHorseshoe              4              96              97\nBartlett              47              96              99\n Total Verde          31              96              99\n\n Total System         76              92              75\n\n\nNext Issuance Date...\n\nThe next issuance of this Drought Information Statement will occur\naround April 20th.\n\n&&\n\nRelated Websites:\n\nAdditional information is available at the following locations:\n\nNWS Forecast Office Phoenix: weather.gov\/Phoenix\nNational Integrated Drought Information System: drought.gov\nUS Drought Monitor: droughtmonitor.unl.edu\nClimate Prediction Center: www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov\nArizona State Climate Office: azclimate.asu.edu\nArizona Dept of Water Resources: new.azwater.gov\/drought\nWestern Regional Climate Center: wrcc.dri.edu\nUS Geological Survey: water.usgs.gov\n\nAcknowledgement:\n\nInformation included in this statement was compiled from various\nfederal, state, and local agencies.\n\nQuestions or Comments:\n\nNational Weather Service Phoenix\nE-mail: w-psr.webmaster@noaa.gov","116":"000\nAXUS75 KTWC 200001\nDGTTWC\n\nDrought Information Statement\nNational Weather Service Tucson Arizona\n500 PM MST FRI MAR 19 2021\n\n...EXCEPTIONAL DROUGHT CONDITIONS CONTINUE ACROSS MOST OF SOUTHEAST\nARIZONA...\n\n.SYNOPSIS:\n\nDrought intensity and extent: According to the latest U.S. Drought\nMonitor, exceptional drought (D4) conditions were across all of\nGraham and Greenlee counties, much of eastern and central Pima\nCounty, southeast Pinal, northwest Santa Cruz and northern Cochise\ncounties while extreme drought (D3) conditions were across most of\nthe remainder of southeast Arizona. The exception was moderate (D1)\nto severe (D2) conditions across western Pima county.\n\nPrecipitation: The bulk of any precipitation during February was\nmainly northeast of Tucson. The 12-month rainfall totals for\nportions of southeast Arizona are at or near the record driest\nlevels through the end of February. The exception is across western\nPima County where slightly above normal rainfall has occurred in\nthe past 12 months.\n\nRainfall totals below are for the 12 month period March 1, 2020 to\nFebruary 28, 2021\n\nStation              Total  +\/- Normal  Ranking        Period\nTucson Intl Airport  3.58\"   - 8.01\"    Driest        1895-2021\nNogales Airport      8.70\"   - 8.45\"    Driest        1999-2021\nSierra Vista         6.08\"   - 8.12\"    Driest        1900-2021\nWillcox              6.89\"   - 6.43\"    12th driest   1898-2021\nSafford Airport      3.21\"   - 8.11\"    Driest        1998-2021\nPicacho Peak         4.35\"   - 6.06\"    Driest        1988-2021\nSan Manuel           4.04\"   - 9.99\"    Driest        1954-2021\nAjo                  6.94\"   + 0.10\"    38th driest   1914-2021\n\nTemperature: The average temperatures for February were below normal\nacross Graham county, southern Greenlee county, southwest Cochise\ncounty and eastern Santa Cruz county. Elsewhere it was above normal.\n\nHydrologic conditions: Levels at San Carlos Reservoir fell to near 1\npercent of capacity. Upper Gila River Basin snow conditions are 24\npercent of the seasonal median. Cienega creek is lower than usual,\nespecially downstream of Davidson Canyon confluence, and Davidson\nCanyon is largely dry.\n\n.SUMMARY OF IMPACTS:\n\nAgricultural impacts: Rangeland, pasture and forage areas available\nfor livestock continue to be reduced due to the ongoing dry\nconditions.\n\nHydrologic impacts: Below normal mountain snowpack will result in\nlow runoff this spring. Upper Gila River water supply forecast for\nMarch through May is 10 to 30 percent of 1981-2010 median flows.\n\nFire hazards: Some mid March precipitation and cooler temperatures\nresulted in a tempering of the overall elevated wildfire threat\nacross the area.  However, given the abnormally dry vegetation due\nto the ongoing drought, the area is still susceptible to running\nfires on any windy and dry day.  Unless repetitive rain occurs, a\nreturn to normal or above normal temperatures will result in a\nfairly quick rise in the wildfire threat to above normal levels from\nthe end of March onward.\n\nOther impacts: Low surface soil moisture and reduced vegetation\ncould result in enhanced probabilities of blowing dust this spring.\n\n.DROUGHT MITIGATION ACTIONS:\nNew state law allows farmers, ranchers and other water right holders\nto file a water conservation plan without losing future water rights.\n\n.LOCAL DROUGHT OUTLOOK:\nThe Climate Prediction Center`s (CPC) 8-14 day outlook calls for near\nnormal temperatures and below normal precipitation. The April\noutlook calls for above normal temperatures and equal chances for\nabove normal, normal and below normal precipitation. Drought\nconditions will continue.\n\nThe CPC outlook for April through June also calls for enhanced\nprobabilities for below normal precipitation.\n\n.NEXT ISSUANCE DATE:\n\nThis product will be updated on or around April 20.\n\n&&\n\n.RELATED WEB SITES:\n\nDrought Conditions:\nU.S. Drought Monitor: droughtmonitor.unl.edu\nU.S. Drought Information System: drought.gov\nNOAA Drought Page: cpc.ncep.noaa.gov\/products\/Drought\nNWS Precipitation Analysis Page: water.weather.gov\/precip\nClimate Prediction Center: www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov\nWestern Region Climate Center: wrcc.dri.edu\nArizona Department of Water Resources:\nnew.azwater.gov\/drought\/drought-status\nArizona State Climatologist: azclimate.asu.edu\nNWS Tucson: weather.gov\/tucson\n\nRiver Information:\nNWS: water.weather.gov\/ahps2\/index.php?wfo=twc and cbrfc.noaa.gov\nUSGS: waterdata.usgs.gov\/az\/nwis\/rt\n\n.ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS:\n\nData for this statement was compiled from a number of different\nfederal, state and local agencies. The drought monitor is a multi-\nagency effort involving the NOAA National Weather Service and\nNational Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI), the USDA,\nstate and regional climate center climatologists and the National\nDrought Mitigation Center.\n\n.CONTACT INFORMATION:\n\nIf you have any questions or comments about this Drought Information\nStatement, please contact\n\nNational Weather Service\n540 North Park Avenue, Suite 304\nTucson, Arizona 85719\nPhone: 520-670-6526\nEmail: w-twc.webmaster@noaa.gov\n\n$$\n\nVisit us on Facebook...Twitter...YouTube...and at weather.gov\/tucson","118":"635\nAXUS75 KVEF 031319\nDGTVEF\n\nDROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT\nNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV\n518 AM PDT WED MAR 3 2021\n\n...EXTREME TO EXCEPTIONAL DROUGHT CONDITIONS CONTINUE ACROSS MOST OF\nTHE SOUTHERN GREAT BASIN AND MOJAVE DESERT...\n\n.SYNOPSIS:\n\nAccording to the latest U.S. Drought Monitor from February 25,\nextreme (D3) to exceptional (D4) drought continues to exist across\na large swath of the southern Great Basin and Mojave Desert.\nSmall sliver of Severe (D2) drought is present across the western\nMojave Desert of San Bernardino County in eastern California.\n\n.Precipitation:\n\nA few weather systems in late January and early February provided\nbrief periods of precipitation across the area. Much of the better\nprecipitation fell across the southern Sierra Nevada as snow. The\nprecipitation that did fall has done little to our existing drought\nstatus and only marginally helped conditions across the southern\nSierra Nevada.\n\n.SUMMARY OF IMPACTS:\n\n.Fire Weather:\n\nDry fuels from the lack of Monsoon and Fall precipitation allowed\nthe fire season to persist through the Fall and Winter. The Significant\nFire Weather Outlook calls for the threat of large fires to increase\nacross Arizona in April, then spread westward into southern Nevada\nand eastern California in May and June.\n\n.Agricultural:\n\nThe lack of precipitation contributed to extremely poor grazing for\nlivestock on open rangeland. Water hauls are needed since man-made\ntanks that typically capture runoff from precipitation have gone\ndry.\n\nWildlife: WildCare Eastern Sierra has remained busy with wildlife\nrehabilitation due to prolonged heat and drought resulting in less\nprey species from birds of prey. Also, heavy smoke from wildfires\ncould have thrown off some birds migration with several young\nAmerican White Pelicans, Common Loons and an Eared Grebe off course\nlanding on parking lots, roadsides, and in swimming pools. (Sierra\nWaves Media)\n\n.Hydrology:\n\nWater Supply forecast for April-July 2021 for the Colorado Basin, as\nwell as the Owens River Basin are forecast to be below normal. Any\nthreat of flooding from runoff is low.\n\n.LOCAL DROUGHT OUTLOOK:\n\nFor March 8 to March 12, temperatures look to be below\nnormal while precipitation may be near to slightly above normal.\n\nThe 8 to 14 day outlook, for March 10 to March 16, calls for\nbelow normal temperatures and near normal precipitation.\n\nThe Three-Month outlook for April-June, indicates above normal\ntemperatures and below normal precipitation. This means drought\nconditions will likely persist for the foreseeable future.\n\nNEXT ISSUANCE DATE:\n\nThis product will be updated around Thursday, March 18, or sooner\nif drought conditions change significantly.\n\nRELATED WEB SITES:\n\nAdditional information on current drought conditions may be found at\nthe following sites:\n\nU.S. Drought Monitor: https:\/\/www.droughtmonitor.unl.edu\/\nU.S. Drought Portal: https:\/\/drought.gov\/\nClimate Prediction Center (CPC): https:\/\/www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov\/\nWestern Region Climate Center: https:\/\/wrcc.dri.edu\/\nArizona State Climate Office: https:\/\/azclimate.asu.edu\/\n\nAdditional water and river information:\nNWS: https:\/\/water.weather.gov\/\nColorado Basin River Forecast Center: www.cbrfc.noaa.gov\/\nCalifornia-Nevada River Forecast Center: www.cnrfc.noaa.gov\/\nU.S. Geologic Survey (USGS): https:\/\/water.usgs.gov\/\nU.S Bureau of Reclamation (USBR): https:\/\/www.usbr.gov\/\n\n.ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS:\n\nThe U.S Drought Monitor is a multi-agency effort involving NOAA`s\nNational Weather Service and National Centers for Environmental\nInformation, the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA), state and\nregional climatologists, and the National Drought Mitigation Center.\nInformation for this statement was gathered from NWS and Federal\nAviation Administration (FAA) observation sites, USGS and USBR.\n\n.CONTACT INFORMATION:\n\nNational Weather Service, Las Vegas NV\n7851 Dean Martin Dr.\nLas Vegas, NV 89139\nEmail: w-vef.webmaster@noaa.gov\n\n$$"}}