# Northern Hemisphere 1000 Year Multiproxy Temperature Reconstruction #---------------------------------------------------- # World Data Service for Paleoclimatology, Boulder # and # NOAA Paleoclimatology Program # National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI) #---------------------------------------------------- # Template Version 4.0 # Encoding: UTF-8 # NOTE: Please cite original publication, NOAA Landing Page URL, dataset and publication DOIs (where available), and date accessed when using downloaded data. If there is no publication information, please cite investigator, study title, NOAA Landing Page URL, and date accessed. # # Description/Documentation lines begin with # # Data lines have no # # # NOAA_Landing_Page: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/paleo-search/study/14250 # Landing_Page_Description: NOAA Landing Page of this file's parent study, which includes all study metadata. # # Study_Level_JSON_Metadata: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/metadata/published/paleo/json/noaa-recon-14250.json # Study_Level_JSON_Description: JSON metadata of this data file's parent study, which includes all study metadata. # # Data_Type: Climate Reconstructions # # Dataset_DOI: 10.25921/a7gq-fz02 # # Science_Keywords: Air Temperature Reconstruction #-------------------- # Resource_Links # # Data_Download_Resource: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/paleo/contributions_by_author/shi2013/shi2013nh-noaa.txt # Data_Download_Description: NOAA Template File; Temperature Reconstructions # #-------------------- # Contribution_Date # Date: 2013-04-24 #-------------------- # File_Last_Modified_Date # Date: 2024-08-16 #-------------------- # Title # Study_Name: Northern Hemisphere 1000 Year Multiproxy Temperature Reconstruction #-------------------- # Investigators # Investigators: Shi, F.(https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3963-1822); Yang, B.(https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1063-351X); Mairesse, A.; von Gunten, L.(https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0425-2881); Li, J.; Bräuning, A.(https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3106-4229); Yang, F.; Xiao, X. #-------------------- # Description_Notes_and_Keywords # Description: Northern Hemisphere 1000 year annual temperature reconstructions based on 45 published temperature proxy records, including ice core, varved lake sediments, tree-rings and speleothem records. The average annual land temperature series for the NH over the last millennium was reconstructed by 3 different reconstruction techniques: (1) 10 principal components (PC10+AR2) plus second-order autoregressive model (AR2), (2) composite plus scale (CPS), and (3) regularized errors-in-variables approach (EIV). Figure 2 data are Northern Hemisphere (NH) land temperature anomalies (with respect to AD 1961-1990) over the last 1000 yr reconstructed with PC10+AR2 (red solid line), CPS (black solid line) and EIV (blue dashed line). The 3 reconstruction results were smoothed by the loess method (span: 0.01). All models were fitted to the period AD 1850-1998 and reconstructed for AD 998-1849. Figure 4 data are with 0.05 filtered values for AD 1001-1960. Every series was firstly expressed as anomalies from AD 1850-1960, and was then variance matched using the instrumental data from AD 1850-1960. #-------------------- # Publication # Authors: Feng Shi, Bao Yang, Aurèlien Mairesse, Lucien von Gunten, Jianping Li, Achim Bräuning, Fengmei Yang, Xia Xiao # Journal_Name: Climate Research # Published_Title: Northern Hemisphere temperature reconstruction during the last millennium using multiple annual proxies # Published_Date_or_Year: 2013 # Volume: 56 # Pages: 231-244 # Issue: 3 # Report_Number: # DOI: 10.3354/cr01156 # Full_Citation: # Abstract: Previous studies have either exclusively used annual tree-ring data or have combined tree-ring series with other, lower temporal resolution proxy series. Both approaches can lead to significant uncertainties, as tree-rings may underestimate the amplitude of past temperature variations, and the validity of non-annual records cannot be clearly assessed. In this study, we assembled 45 published Northern Hemisphere (NH) temperature proxy records covering the past millennium, each of which satisfied 3 essential criteria: the series must be of annual resolution, span at least a thousand years, and represent an explicit temperature signal. Suitable climate archives included ice cores, varved lake sediments, tree-rings and speleothems. We reconstructed the average annual land temperature series for the NH over the last millennium by applying 3 different reconstruction techniques: (1) principal components (PC) plus second-order autoregressive model (AR2), (2) composite plus scale (CPS) and (3) regularized errors-in-variables approach (EIV). Our reconstruction is in excellent agreement with 6 climate model simulations (including the first 5 models derived from the fifth phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5) and an earth system model of intermediate complexity (LOVECLIM), showing similar temperatures at multi-decadal timescales; however, all simulations appear to underestimate the temperature during the Medieval Warm Period (MWP). A comparison with other NH reconstructions shows that our results are consistent with earlier studies. These results indicate that well-validated annual proxy series should be used to minimize proxy-based artifacts, and that these proxy series contain sufficient information to reconstruct the low-frequency climate variability over the past millennium. #-------------------- # Funding_Agency # Funding_Agency_Name: Chinese Academy of Sciences West Light Foundation # Grant: #-------------------- # Funding_Agency # Funding_Agency_Name: China Meteorological Administration # Grant: IAM201213, IAM201109 #-------------------- # Funding_Agency # Funding_Agency_Name: National Basic Research Program of China # Grant: 2010CB950104 #-------------------- # Funding_Agency # Funding_Agency_Name: National Natural Science Foundation China # Grant: 41030961, 41205046 #-------------------- # Funding_Agency # Funding_Agency_Name: Chinese Academy of Sciences # Grant: 29082762 #-------------------- # Funding_Agency # Funding_Agency_Name: K.C. Wong Education Foundation # Grant: #-------------------- # Funding_Agency # Funding_Agency_Name: China Postdoctoral Science Foundation # Grant: General and Special Program #-------------------- # Funding_Agency # Funding_Agency_Name: Strategic Priority Research Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences # Grant: XDA05080801 #-------------------- # Site_Information # Site_Name: Northern Hemisphere # Location: Northern Hemisphere # Northernmost_Latitude: 90.0 # Southernmost_Latitude: 0.0 # Easternmost_Longitude: 180.0 # Westernmost_Longitude: -180.0 # Elevation_m: #-------------------- # Data_Collection # Collection_Name: Shi2013NHtemp # First_Year: 1000 # Last_Year: 2009 # Time_Unit: CE # Core_Length_m: # Parameter_Keywords: air temperature # Notes: #-------------------- # Chronology_Information # Chronology: #-------------------- # Variables # PaST_Thesaurus_Download_Resource: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/paleo-search/skos/past-thesaurus.rdf # PaST_Thesaurus_Download_Description: Paleoenvironmental Standard Terms (PaST) Thesaurus terms, definitions, and relationships in SKOS format. # # Data variables follow that are preceded by '##' in columns one and two. # Variables list, one per line, shortname-tab-var components: what, material, error, units, seasonality, data type, detail, method, C or N for Character or Numeric data) # ## age_AD age,,,year Common Era,,climate reconstructions,,,N, ## tempanom-ann surface temperature,multiple proxies,,degree Celsius,annual,climate reconstructions,anomalized;smoothed,principal component analysis,N,PC10+AR2; smoothed loess 0.01; anomalized 1961-1990 A.D. ## tempanom-ann-err+ surface temperature,multiple proxies,range upper bound,degree Celsius,annual,climate reconstructions,anomalized;smoothed,principal component analysis,N,PC10+AR2; smoothed loess 0.01; anomalized 1961-1990 A.D. ## tempanom-ann-err- surface temperature,multiple proxies,range lower bound,degree Celsius,annual,climate 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-0.870 -0.582 -0.392 1845 -0.438 0.053 -0.806 -0.501 -0.291 1846 -0.396 0.075 -0.790 -0.427 -0.187 1847 -0.355 0.076 -0.800 -0.383 -0.165 1848 -0.338 0.071 -0.831 -0.381 -0.282 1849 -0.339 0.070 -0.861 -0.389 -0.427 1850 -0.356 0.066 -0.879 -0.398 -0.537 -0.482 1851 -0.380 0.078 -0.882 -0.396 -0.549 -0.185 1852 -0.385 0.103 -0.874 -0.382 -0.412 -0.224 1853 -0.371 0.118 -0.864 -0.386 -0.263 -0.330 1854 -0.356 0.112 -0.848 -0.435 -0.254 0.028 1855 -0.349 0.103 -0.845 -0.505 -0.331 -0.404 1856 -0.344 0.104 -0.852 -0.540 -0.382 -0.544 1857 -0.347 0.103 -0.845 -0.529 -0.371 -0.386 1858 -0.349 0.106 -0.813 -0.478 -0.295 -0.319 1859 -0.347 0.105 -0.784 -0.418 -0.271 0.025 1860 -0.352 0.096 -0.773 -0.401 -0.318 -0.507 1861 -0.359 0.085 -0.786 -0.433 -0.360 -0.319 1862 -0.360 0.081 -0.813 -0.483 -0.401 -0.686 1863 -0.358 0.074 -0.833 -0.520 -0.373 0.128 1864 -0.360 0.068 -0.853 -0.544 -0.325 -0.706 1865 -0.360 0.078 -0.875 -0.550 -0.334 -0.219 1866 -0.355 0.093 -0.894 -0.536 -0.347 -0.245 1867 -0.350 0.107 -0.892 -0.517 -0.298 -0.483 1868 -0.361 0.101 -0.878 -0.502 -0.282 -0.216 1869 -0.396 0.074 -0.874 -0.496 -0.311 -0.213 1870 -0.430 0.055 -0.867 -0.491 -0.314 -0.326 1871 -0.444 0.053 -0.857 -0.496 -0.313 -0.508 1872 -0.431 0.060 -0.852 -0.498 -0.323 -0.185 1873 -0.399 0.066 -0.853 -0.493 -0.381 -0.365 1874 -0.370 0.076 -0.853 -0.483 -0.476 -0.255 1875 -0.355 0.095 -0.851 -0.452 -0.509 -0.874 1876 -0.338 0.129 -0.829 -0.401 -0.418 -0.446 1877 -0.328 0.157 -0.793 -0.363 -0.274 -0.227 1878 -0.351 0.143 -0.803 -0.398 -0.176 0.146 1879 -0.387 0.096 -0.842 -0.493 -0.191 -0.384 1880 -0.403 0.059 -0.862 -0.579 -0.281 -0.350 1881 -0.399 0.060 -0.855 -0.614 -0.369 -0.406 1882 -0.381 0.089 -0.827 -0.615 -0.434 -0.250 1883 -0.362 0.131 -0.821 -0.601 -0.506 -0.556 1884 -0.365 0.155 -0.859 -0.589 -0.573 -0.650 1885 -0.385 0.142 -0.897 -0.589 -0.603 -0.645 1886 -0.399 0.101 -0.910 -0.590 -0.588 -0.502 1887 -0.410 0.063 -0.906 -0.576 -0.525 -0.472 1888 -0.407 0.052 -0.879 -0.559 -0.459 -0.642 1889 -0.383 0.078 -0.842 -0.548 -0.423 -0.331 1890 -0.347 0.133 -0.811 -0.519 -0.435 -0.330 1891 -0.318 0.170 -0.782 -0.481 -0.479 -0.511 1892 -0.320 0.146 -0.791 -0.459 -0.531 -0.572 1893 -0.345 0.096 -0.837 -0.449 -0.551 -0.684 1894 -0.355 0.087 -0.856 -0.440 -0.506 -0.300 1895 -0.342 0.112 -0.836 -0.402 -0.431 -0.545 1896 -0.317 0.144 -0.797 -0.348 -0.375 -0.353 1897 -0.303 0.170 -0.771 -0.332 -0.337 -0.306 1898 -0.308 0.181 -0.774 -0.339 -0.269 -0.312 1899 -0.325 0.179 -0.797 -0.339 -0.210 -0.241 1900 -0.348 0.172 -0.821 -0.364 -0.210 -0.147 1901 -0.372 0.147 -0.837 -0.414 -0.255 -0.172 1902 -0.382 0.105 -0.845 -0.453 -0.349 -0.449 1903 -0.378 0.080 -0.839 -0.503 -0.419 -0.398 1904 -0.363 0.089 -0.826 -0.552 -0.421 -0.509 1905 -0.347 0.117 -0.821 -0.541 -0.413 -0.400 1906 -0.352 0.137 -0.830 -0.466 -0.427 -0.199 1907 -0.379 0.123 -0.849 -0.393 -0.447 -0.653 1908 -0.395 0.102 -0.856 -0.343 -0.449 -0.459 1909 -0.391 0.115 -0.851 -0.305 -0.434 -0.434 1910 -0.380 0.141 -0.849 -0.311 -0.416 -0.310 1911 -0.364 0.158 -0.848 -0.350 -0.412 -0.372 1912 -0.343 0.182 -0.827 -0.355 -0.385 -0.571 1913 -0.318 0.213 -0.789 -0.319 -0.312 -0.335 1914 -0.291 0.223 -0.762 -0.293 -0.258 -0.133 1915 -0.265 0.234 -0.755 -0.260 -0.284 -0.183 1916 -0.250 0.243 -0.760 -0.231 -0.384 -0.395 1917 -0.227 0.243 -0.738 -0.229 -0.490 -0.691 1918 -0.182 0.274 -0.669 -0.218 -0.493 -0.400 1919 -0.130 0.346 -0.597 -0.170 -0.371 -0.406 1920 -0.095 0.409 -0.552 -0.111 -0.232 -0.275 1921 -0.090 0.430 -0.541 -0.068 -0.168 0.018 1922 -0.094 0.429 -0.548 -0.026 -0.168 -0.244 1923 -0.103 0.408 -0.559 0.006 -0.178 -0.183 1924 -0.116 0.380 -0.570 0.025 -0.172 -0.280 1925 -0.126 0.366 -0.596 0.032 -0.126 -0.067 1926 -0.155 0.338 -0.650 0.010 -0.107 -0.025 1927 -0.208 0.271 -0.714 -0.041 -0.160 -0.180 1928 -0.244 0.211 -0.748 -0.092 -0.214 -0.149 1929 -0.257 0.186 -0.746 -0.126 -0.198 -0.462 1930 -0.257 0.189 -0.718 -0.135 -0.144 -0.020 1931 -0.230 0.224 -0.670 -0.109 -0.102 0.011 1932 -0.194 0.283 -0.630 -0.077 -0.068 -0.036 1933 -0.175 0.311 -0.625 -0.087 -0.081 -0.327 1934 -0.155 0.320 -0.622 -0.105 -0.106 0.092 1935 -0.131 0.363 -0.603 -0.079 -0.068 -0.091 1936 -0.121 0.418 -0.592 -0.012 0.019 -0.060 1937 -0.107 0.471 -0.580 0.094 0.086 0.041 1938 -0.083 0.515 -0.582 0.180 0.124 0.260 1939 -0.055 0.528 -0.600 0.183 0.120 0.155 1940 -0.019 0.509 -0.608 0.129 0.054 -0.032 1941 0.013 0.499 -0.583 0.080 0.003 0.009 1942 0.030 0.505 -0.534 0.060 0.005 -0.067 1943 0.034 0.500 -0.486 0.068 0.015 0.080 1944 0.024 0.487 -0.462 0.062 0.009 0.132 1945 0.006 0.481 -0.470 0.027 0.001 -0.173 1946 -0.015 0.491 -0.500 -0.011 0.008 0.027 1947 -0.031 0.504 -0.528 -0.046 0.016 0.020 1948 -0.032 0.507 -0.531 -0.068 -0.004 0.089 1949 -0.027 0.486 -0.515 -0.072 -0.069 -0.019 1950 -0.025 0.466 -0.488 -0.058 -0.112 -0.295 1951 -0.020 0.477 -0.455 -0.015 -0.086 -0.073 1952 -0.008 0.500 -0.432 0.041 -0.020 -0.042 1953 0.009 0.528 -0.423 0.091 0.005 0.200 1954 0.049 0.565 -0.401 0.152 -0.081 -0.151 1955 0.100 0.584 -0.370 0.194 -0.185 -0.126 1956 0.122 0.581 -0.352 0.194 -0.207 -0.450 1957 0.117 0.579 -0.354 0.192 -0.144 -0.078 1958 0.084 0.551 -0.380 0.170 -0.048 0.093 1959 0.030 0.508 -0.425 0.128 0.025 -0.002 1960 -0.016 0.496 -0.473 0.098 0.055 -0.020 1961 -0.028 0.492 -0.507 0.099 0.056 0.053 1962 -0.022 0.468 -0.537 0.142 0.025 0.062 1963 -0.035 0.421 -0.573 0.194 -0.052 0.088 1964 -0.067 0.367 -0.605 0.200 -0.134 -0.284 1965 -0.101 0.331 -0.608 0.151 -0.183 -0.260 1966 -0.132 0.317 -0.590 0.065 -0.195 -0.113 1967 -0.147 0.323 -0.568 0.004 -0.175 -0.114 1968 -0.149 0.342 -0.561 0.010 -0.157 -0.203 1969 -0.161 0.351 -0.593 0.030 -0.185 -0.246 1970 -0.181 0.344 -0.651 0.027 -0.208 -0.105 1971 -0.184 0.335 -0.689 0.011 -0.183 -0.184 1972 -0.188 0.316 -0.695 -0.045 -0.146 -0.353 1973 -0.198 0.287 -0.694 -0.122 -0.132 0.133 1974 -0.189 0.277 -0.695 -0.150 -0.132 -0.256 1975 -0.155 0.298 -0.686 -0.125 -0.127 -0.003 1976 -0.097 0.353 -0.640 -0.046 -0.122 -0.367 1977 -0.007 0.441 -0.542 0.084 -0.088 0.100 1978 0.086 0.532 -0.412 0.189 -0.006 -0.041 1979 0.151 0.599 -0.295 0.227 0.088 0.055 1980 0.184 0.638 -0.228 0.232 0.148 0.081 1981 0.194 0.653 -0.204 0.246 0.197 0.399 1982 0.185 0.644 -0.207 0.282 0.193 -0.016 1983 0.166 0.625 -0.240 0.309 0.104 0.331 1984 0.150 0.604 -0.289 0.289 0.021 -0.064 1985 0.136 0.574 -0.323 0.225 0.021 -0.113 1986 0.125 0.552 -0.340 0.161 0.084 0.120 1987 0.113 0.550 -0.356 0.116 0.205 0.258 1988 0.110 0.559 -0.369 0.126 0.358 0.382 1989 0.105 0.563 -0.393 0.184 0.439 0.313 1990 0.090 0.575 -0.425 0.231 0.416 0.583 1991 0.072 0.592 -0.427 0.263 0.334 0.412 1992 0.052 0.589 -0.405 0.288 0.289 0.118 1993 0.044 0.570 -0.395 0.287 0.296 0.186 1994 0.072 0.562 -0.370 0.297 0.310 0.433 1995 0.114 0.579 -0.320 0.261 0.371 0.650 1996 0.169 0.614 -0.254 0.183 0.484 0.196 1997 0.241 0.669 -0.170 0.067 0.637 0.560 1998 0.328 0.745 -0.067 -0.090 0.832 0.934 1999 0.725 2000 0.613 2001 0.790 2002 0.863 2003 0.811 2004 0.828 2005 0.889 2006 0.920 2007 1.026 2008 0.772 2009 0.780