Northern Fennoscandia 300 Year Spring Temperature Reconstruction ----------------------------------------------------------------------- World Data Center for Paleoclimatology, Boulder and NOAA Paleoclimatology Program ----------------------------------------------------------------------- NOTE: PLEASE CITE ORIGINAL REFERENCE WHEN USING THIS DATA!!!!! NAME OF DATA SET: Northern Fennoscandia 300 Year Spring Temperature Reconstruction LAST UPDATE: 8/2011 (Original receipt by WDC Paleo) CONTRIBUTORS: Loader, N.J., R. Jalkanen, D. Mccarroll, and A. Moberg IGBP PAGES/WDCA CONTRIBUTION SERIES NUMBER: 2011-111 WDC PALEO CONTRIBUTION SERIES CITATION: Loader, N.J., et al. 2011. Northern Fennoscandia 300 Year Spring Temperature Reconstruction. IGBP PAGES/World Data Center for Paleoclimatology Data Contribution Series # 2011-111. NOAA/NCDC Paleoclimatology Program, Boulder CO, USA. ORIGINAL REFERENCE: Loader, N.J., R. Jalkanen, D. Mccarroll, and A. Moberg. 2011. Spring temperature variability in northern Fennoscandia AD 1693-2011. Journal of Quaternary Science, Vol. 26, Issue 6, pp. 566-570, August 2011. DOI: 10.1002/jqs.1528 ABSTRACT: A reconstruction of spring (April-May) temperature for northern Fennoscandia developed from the Tornionjoki (Tornio river) long cryophenological record of ice break-up dates, back to AD 1693, is presented. The record is strongly climatically sensitive and explains 67% of the variance in the instrumental data over the last 150 years. The record exhibits a stepped decrease in the duration of the river's ice cover by 14 days, equivalent to an increase in April-May mean temperature of approximately 2.5°C over the last three centuries. The relationship between the date of ice break-up, and accumulated daily mean temperatures (>0°C) is investigated. Uncertainty in the observation of ice break-up is also considered in addition to the potential of this time series for regional climate model validation. ADDITIONAL REFERENCES: Kajander J. 1993. Methodological aspects on river cryophenology exemplified by a tricentennial break-up time series from Tornio. Geophysica 29: 73-95. Kajander J. 1995. Cryophenological Records from Tornio. National Board of Water and the Environment: Helsinki. GEOGRAPHIC REGION: Northern Fennoscandia PERIOD OF RECORD: 1693-2011 AD FUNDING SOURCES: Natural Environment Research Council (UK) NE/B501504; VR (Sweden) 90751501 and 70454201; Academy of Finland SA138937; Millennium (EU) 17008. DESCRIPTION: Reconstruction of spring (April-May) mean air temperature for northern Fennoscandia based on the Tornionjoki (Tornio river) cryophenological record of ice break-up dates (Kajander 1993, 1995). Tornionjoki: 065°84'00"N, 024°81'90"E, ~6m a.s.l. DATA: Northern Fennocandian Mean April-May Temperature Reconstruction Column 1: Year AD Column 2: April-May Mean Temperature Reconstruction, °C Column 3: Plus 95% Standard Error Column 4: Minus 95% Standard Error Year April-MayT +95%SE -95%SE 2011 4.2 6.0 2.5 2010 3.4 5.1 1.6 2009 3.4 5.1 1.6 2008 3.5 5.3 1.8 2007 3.7 5.5 2.0 2006 3.9 5.6 2.1 2005 3.0 4.8 1.3 2004 3.2 4.9 1.5 2003 3.0 4.8 1.3 2002 4.6 6.3 2.8 2001 3.4 5.1 1.6 2000 1.6 3.4 -0.1 1999 2.5 4.2 0.8 1998 3.4 5.1 1.6 1997 1.3 3.0 -0.4 1996 0.1 1.8 -1.7 1995 1.8 3.6 0.1 1994 3.5 5.3 1.8 1993 3.0 4.8 1.3 1992 2.5 4.2 0.8 1991 3.9 5.6 2.1 1990 4.2 6.0 2.5 1989 4.1 5.8 2.3 1988 2.5 4.2 0.8 1987 1.8 3.6 0.1 1986 3.5 5.3 1.8 1985 1.3 3.0 -0.4 1984 3.5 5.3 1.8 1983 4.2 6.0 2.5 1982 2.7 4.4 0.9 1981 1.5 3.2 -0.3 1980 3.4 5.1 1.6 1979 2.2 3.9 0.4 1978 1.3 3.0 -0.4 1977 1.5 3.2 -0.3 1976 2.2 3.9 0.4 1975 3.0 4.8 1.3 1974 2.8 4.6 1.1 1973 1.8 3.6 0.1 1972 2.7 4.4 0.9 1971 1.8 3.6 0.1 1970 2.2 3.9 0.4 1969 1.5 3.2 -0.3 1968 0.9 2.7 -0.8 1967 2.0 3.7 0.2 1966 1.3 3.0 -0.4 1965 3.4 5.1 1.6 1964 2.0 3.7 0.2 1963 2.8 4.6 1.1 1962 2.7 4.4 0.9 1961 1.6 3.4 -0.1 1960 3.2 4.9 1.5 1959 3.5 5.3 1.8 1958 0.6 2.3 -1.1 1957 1.8 3.6 0.1 1956 1.5 3.2 -0.3 1955 0.9 2.7 -0.8 1954 2.5 4.2 0.8 1953 3.9 5.6 2.1 1952 2.8 4.6 1.1 1951 2.3 4.1 0.6 1950 4.4 6.1 2.7 1949 3.4 5.1 1.6 1948 3.7 5.5 2.0 1947 3.4 5.1 1.6 1946 3.2 4.9 1.5 1945 3.5 5.3 1.8 1944 1.1 2.9 -0.6 1943 2.8 4.6 1.1 1942 1.1 2.9 -0.6 1941 0.6 2.3 -1.1 1940 2.2 3.9 0.4 1939 1.5 3.2 -0.3 1938 3.0 4.8 1.3 1937 4.6 6.3 2.8 1936 3.0 4.8 1.3 1935 0.6 2.3 -1.1 1934 2.7 4.4 0.9 1933 2.3 4.1 0.6 1932 2.2 3.9 0.4 1931 3.2 4.9 1.5 1930 3.2 4.9 1.5 1929 1.1 2.9 -0.6 1928 2.7 4.4 0.9 1927 0.9 2.7 -0.8 1926 2.0 3.7 0.2 1925 2.5 4.2 0.8 1924 1.5 3.2 -0.3 1923 0.6 2.3 -1.1 1922 2.8 4.6 1.1 1921 4.6 6.3 2.8 1920 2.8 4.6 1.1 1919 2.3 4.1 0.6 1918 1.6 3.4 -0.1 1917 0.3 2.0 -1.5 1916 2.3 4.1 0.6 1915 2.5 4.2 0.8 1914 2.8 4.6 1.1 1913 3.4 5.1 1.6 1912 2.0 3.7 0.2 1911 2.7 4.4 0.9 1910 3.2 4.9 1.5 1909 -0.4 1.3 -2.2 1908 0.9 2.7 -0.8 1907 2.5 4.2 0.8 1906 3.0 4.8 1.3 1905 2.7 4.4 0.9 1904 3.7 5.5 2.0 1903 1.8 3.6 0.1 1902 0.8 2.5 -1.0 1901 2.2 3.9 0.4 1900 -0.3 1.5 -2.0 1899 -0.6 1.1 -2.4 1898 1.8 3.6 0.1 1897 3.5 5.3 1.8 1896 1.8 3.6 0.1 1895 3.0 4.8 1.3 1894 4.1 5.8 2.3 1893 1.5 3.2 -0.3 1892 0.9 2.7 -0.8 1891 1.6 3.4 -0.1 1890 3.5 5.3 1.8 1889 2.5 4.2 0.8 1888 0.9 2.7 -0.8 1887 2.5 4.2 0.8 1886 2.2 3.9 0.4 1885 0.4 2.2 -1.3 1884 -0.3 1.5 -2.0 1883 2.3 4.1 0.6 1882 2.3 4.1 0.6 1881 -0.1 1.6 -1.8 1880 2.2 3.9 0.4 1879 -0.1 1.6 -1.8 1878 0.6 2.3 -1.1 1877 1.6 3.4 -0.1 1876 -0.3 1.5 -2.0 1875 1.6 3.4 -0.1 1874 0.6 2.3 -1.1 1873 0.9 2.7 -0.8 1872 2.3 4.1 0.6 1871 0.4 2.2 -1.3 1870 3.2 4.9 1.5 1869 1.5 3.2 -0.3 1868 2.0 3.7 0.2 1867 -2.9 -1.1 -4.6 1866 -0.3 1.5 -2.0 1865 1.3 3.0 -0.4 1864 1.1 2.9 -0.6 1863 2.0 3.7 0.2 1862 1.8 3.6 0.1 1861 0.1 1.8 -1.7 1860 1.8 3.6 0.1 1859 0.4 2.2 -1.3 1858 2.2 3.9 0.4 1857 1.5 3.2 -0.3 1856 0.3 2.0 -1.5 1855 1.3 3.0 -0.4 1854 1.8 3.6 0.1 1853 1.5 3.2 -0.3 1852 1.3 3.0 -0.4 1851 0.8 2.5 -1.0 1850 1.5 3.2 -0.3 1849 0.6 2.3 -1.1 1848 3.0 4.8 1.3 1847 0.3 2.0 -1.5 1846 0.4 2.2 -1.3 1845 0.4 2.2 -1.3 1844 2.5 4.2 0.8 1843 0.1 1.8 -1.7 1842 2.0 3.7 0.2 1841 2.7 4.4 0.9 1840 2.3 4.1 0.6 1839 1.6 3.4 -0.1 1838 0.8 2.5 -1.0 1837 3.5 5.3 1.8 1836 2.2 3.9 0.4 1835 -0.6 1.1 -2.4 1834 1.8 3.6 0.1 1833 1.8 3.6 0.1 1832 3.2 4.9 1.5 1831 1.3 3.0 -0.4 1830 0.6 2.3 -1.1 1829 2.2 3.9 0.4 1828 2.5 4.2 0.8 1827 2.0 3.7 0.2 1826 2.2 3.9 0.4 1825 1.5 3.2 -0.3 1824 1.8 3.6 0.1 1823 0.1 1.8 -1.7 1822 3.4 5.1 1.6 1821 2.2 3.9 0.4 1820 0.4 2.2 -1.3 1819 0.9 2.7 -0.8 1818 1.5 3.2 -0.3 1817 0.8 2.5 -1.0 1816 -0.8 1.0 -2.5 1815 1.1 2.9 -0.6 1814 -0.8 1.0 -2.5 1813 0.3 2.0 -1.5 1812 -0.3 1.5 -2.0 1811 0.3 2.0 -1.5 1810 -1.8 -0.1 -3.6 1809 1.1 2.9 -0.6 1808 0.3 2.0 -1.5 1807 -1.6 0.1 -3.4 1806 1.6 3.4 -0.1 1805 1.5 3.2 -0.3 1804 3.2 4.9 1.5 1803 3.5 5.3 1.8 1802 0.1 1.8 -1.7 1801 2.5 4.2 0.8 1800 0.3 2.0 -1.5 1799 1.5 3.2 -0.3 1798 2.3 4.1 0.6 1797 0.9 2.7 -0.8 1796 1.3 3.0 -0.4 1795 -0.1 1.6 -1.8 1794 2.0 3.7 0.2 1793 2.7 4.4 0.9 1792 1.5 3.2 -0.3 1791 -0.1 1.6 -1.8 1790 0.6 2.3 -1.1 1789 0.9 2.7 -0.8 1788 0.6 2.3 -1.1 1787 1.1 2.9 -0.6 1786 0.4 2.2 -1.3 1785 0.1 1.8 -1.7 1784 1.1 2.9 -0.6 1783 1.1 2.9 -0.6 1782 1.1 2.9 -0.6 1781 0.9 2.7 -0.8 1780 -0.6 1.1 -2.4 1779 1.6 3.4 -0.1 1778 2.8 4.6 1.1 1777 2.5 4.2 0.8 1776 0.9 2.7 -0.8 1775 -0.1 1.6 -1.8 1774 3.2 4.9 1.5 1773 3.9 5.6 2.1 1772 -0.8 1.0 -2.5 1771 0.6 2.3 -1.1 1770 3.7 5.5 2.0 1769 0.3 2.0 -1.5 1768 0.9 2.7 -0.8 1767 0.9 2.7 -0.8 1766 0.8 2.5 -1.0 1765 -0.3 1.5 -2.0 1764 -0.6 1.1 -2.4 1763 0.3 2.0 -1.5 1762 1.6 3.4 -0.1 1761 2.0 3.7 0.2 1760 0.3 2.0 -1.5 1759 0.6 2.3 -1.1 1758 1.3 3.0 -0.4 1757 3.9 5.6 2.1 1756 -0.8 1.0 -2.5 1755 1.1 2.9 -0.6 1754 2.8 4.6 1.1 1753 1.1 2.9 -0.6 1752 2.8 4.6 1.1 1751 3.2 4.9 1.5 1750 3.7 5.5 2.0 1749 0.9 2.7 -0.8 1748 0.8 2.5 -1.0 1747 0.6 2.3 -1.1 1746 0.6 2.3 -1.1 1745 1.6 3.4 -0.1 1744 2.3 4.1 0.6 1743 0.9 2.7 -0.8 1742 -0.8 1.0 -2.5 1741 -0.3 1.5 -2.0 1740 -1.6 0.1 -3.4 1739 -0.6 1.1 -2.4 1738 -0.4 1.3 -2.2 1737 0.4 2.2 -1.3 1736 2.0 3.7 0.2 1735 1.8 3.6 0.1 1734 0.9 2.7 -0.8 1733 0.1 1.8 -1.7 1732 -0.4 1.3 -2.2 1731 -1.5 0.3 -3.2 1730 1.8 3.6 0.1 1729 -0.3 1.5 -2.0 1728 -1.0 0.8 -2.7 1727 1.3 3.0 -0.4 1726 1.8 3.6 0.1 1725 0.8 2.5 -1.0 1724 -0.4 1.3 -2.2 1723 1.3 3.0 -0.4 1722 -0.4 1.3 -2.2 1721 -0.1 1.6 -1.8 1720 1.5 3.2 -0.3 1719 0.6 2.3 -1.1 1718 -1.0 0.8 -2.7 1717 0.6 2.3 -1.1 1716 1.1 2.9 -0.6 1715 1.1 2.9 -0.6 1714 -0.6 1.1 -2.4 1713 -1.1 0.6 -2.9 1712 1.1 2.9 -0.6 1711 1.6 3.4 -0.1 1710 0.1 1.8 -1.7 1709 1.1 2.9 -0.6 1708 -1.0 0.8 -2.7 1707 1.6 3.4 -0.1 1706 2.2 3.9 0.4 1705 -1.5 0.3 -3.2 1704 0.4 2.2 -1.3 1703 2.8 4.6 1.1 1702 0.6 2.3 -1.1 1701 -1.1 0.6 -2.9 1700 2.7 4.4 0.9 1699 0.3 2.0 -1.5 1698 2.5 4.2 0.8 1697 -0.4 1.3 -2.2 1696 -0.6 1.1 -2.4 1695 -2.2 -0.4 -3.9 1694 1.5 3.2 -0.3 1693 0.6 2.3 -1.1