# Greenland Ice Cores 1,250 Year d18O, Accumulation, and North Atlantic Jet Stream Reconstruction #----------------------------------------------------------------------- # World Data Service for Paleoclimatology, Boulder # and # NOAA Paleoclimatology Program #----------------------------------------------------------------------- # Template Version 3.0 # Encoding: UTF-8 # NOTE: Please cite original publication, online resource and date accessed when using this data. # If there is no publication information, please cite Investigator, title, online resource and date accessed. # # Description/Documentation lines begin with # # Data lines have no # # # Online_Resource: https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/paleo/study/33773 # Description: NOAA Landing Page # Online_Resource: https://www1.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/paleo/icecore/greenland/osman2021/act11d-2021d18o.txt # Description: NOAA location of the template # # Data_Type: Ice Cores # # Dataset_DOI: # # Parameter_Keywords: oxygen isotopes #--------------------------------------- # Contribution_Date # Date: 2021-09-17 #--------------------------------------- # File_Last_Modified_Date # Date: 2021-09-17 #--------------------------------------- # Title # Study_Name: Greenland Ice Cores 1,250 Year d18O, Accumulation, and North Atlantic Jet Stream Reconstruction #--------------------------------------- # Investigators # Investigators: Osman, M.B.; Coats, S.; Das, S.B.; McConnell, J.R.; Chellman, N. #--------------------------------------- # Description_Notes_and_Keywords # Description: Previously unpublished raw (i.e., unsmoothed, unaveraged) d18O of precipitation and annually accumulated snowfall ice core measurements for 14/45 ice core records described in Osman et al. (2021, PNAS). Information on the source and accessibility of the remaining (previously published) ice core records are provided in Table S1 of the "Supplementary Information" of Osman et al. (2021, PNAS). # Provided Keywords: Greenland, North Atlantic, jet stream, water isotope, accumulation, ice core #--------------------------------------- # Publication # Authors: Matthew B. Osman, Sloan Coats, Sarah B. Das, Joseph R. McConnell, and Nathan Chellman # Published_Date_or_Year: 2021-09-21 # Published_Title: North Atlantic jet stream projections in the context of the past 1,250 years # Journal_Name: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America # Volume: 118 # Edition: e2104105118 # Issue: 38 # Pages: # Report_Number: # DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2104105118 # Online_Resource: https://www.pnas.org/content/118/38/e2104105118 # Full_Citation: # Abstract: Reconstruction of the North Atlantic jet stream (NAJ) presents a critical, albeit largely unconstrained, paleoclimatic target. Models suggest northward migration and changing variance of the NAJ under 21st-century warming scenarios, but assessing the significance of such projections is hindered by a lack of long-term observations. Here, we incorporate insights from an ensemble of last-millennium water isotope–enabled climate model simulations and a wide array of mean annual water isotope (δ18O) and annually accumulated snowfall records from Greenland ice cores to reconstruct North Atlantic zonal-mean zonal winds back to the 8th century CE. Using this reconstruction we provide preobservational constraints on both annual mean NAJ position and intensity to show that late 20th- and early 21st-century NAJ variations were likely not unique relative to natural variability. Rather, insights from our 1,250 year reconstruction highlight the overwhelming role of natural variability in thus far masking the response of midlatitude atmospheric dynamics to anthropogenic forcing, consistent with recent large-ensemble transient modeling experiments. This masking is not projected to persist under high greenhouse gas emissions scenarios, however, with model projected annual mean NAJ position emerging as distinct from the range of reconstructed natural variability by as early as 2060 CE. #--------------------------------------- # Publication # Authors: Joseph R. McConnell, Nathan J. Chellman, Andrew I. Wilson, Andreas Stohl, Monica M. Arienzo, Sabine Eckhardt, Diedrich Fritzsche, Sepp Kipfstuhl, Thomas Opel, Philip F. Place, and Jorgen Peder Steffensen # Published_Date_or_Year: 2019-07-23 # Published_Title: Pervasive Arctic lead pollution suggests substantial growth in medieval silver production modulated by plague, climate, and conflict # Journal_Name: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America (PNAS) # Volume: 116 # Edition: 30 # Issue: # Pages: 14910-14915 # Report_Number: # DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1904515116 # Online_Resource: # Full_Citation: # Abstract: Lead pollution in Arctic ice reflects large-scale historical changes in midlatitude industrial activities such as ancient lead/silver production and recent fossil fuel burning. Here we used measurements in a broad array of 13 accurately dated ice cores from Greenland and Severnaya Zemlya to document spatial and temporal changes in Arctic lead pollution from 200 BCE to 2010 CE, with interpretation focused on 500 to 2010 CE. Atmospheric transport modeling indicates that Arctic lead pollution was primarily from European emissions before the 19th-century Industrial Revolution. Temporal variability was surprisingly similar across the large swath of the Arctic represented by the array, with 250- to 300-fold increases in lead pollution observed from the Early Middle Ages to the 1970s industrial peak. Superimposed on these exponential changes were pronounced, multiannual to multidecadal variations, marked by increases coincident with exploitation of new mining regions, improved technologies, and periods of economic prosperity; and decreases coincident with climate disruptions, famines, major wars, and plagues. Results suggest substantial overall growth in lead/silver mining and smelting emissions - and so silver production - from the Early through High Middle Ages, particularly in northern Europe, with lower growth during the Late Middle Ages into the Early Modern Period. Near the end of the second plague pandemic (1348 to ~1700 CE), lead pollution increased sharply through the Industrial Revolution. North American and European pollution abatement policies have reduced Arctic lead pollution by >80% since the 1970s, but recent levels remain ~60-fold higher than at the start of the Middle Ages. #--------------------------------------- # Funding_Agency # Funding_Agency_Name: US National Science Foundation # Grant: OPP-1205196, 909541, 1023672, 1204176, 1406219, 2041281 #--------------------------------------- # Site_Information # Site_Name: ACT11d # Location: North America>Greenland # Northernmost_Latitude: 66.5 # Southernmost_Latitude: 66.5 # Easternmost_Longitude: -46.3 # Westernmost_Longitude: -46.3 # Elevation: 2148 #--------------------------------------- # Data_Collection # Collection_Name: ACT11d-2021d18O # First_Year: 1159 # Last_Year: 2011 # Time_Unit: Year CE # Core_Length: # Notes: #--------------------------------------- # Chronology_Information # Chronology: #--------------------------------------- # Variables # Data variables follow that are preceded by "##" in columns one and two. # Variables list, one per line, shortname-tab-longname components (9 components: what, material, error, units, seasonality, archive, detail, method, C or N for Character or Numeric data) # ## age_CE age,,,year Common Era,,Ice cores,,,N, ## d18O delta 18O,bulk ice,,per mil VSMOW,annual,Ice cores,raw,tunable diode laser absorption spectroscopy,N, aqueous; annual mean (jan-dec) # #------------------------ # Data: # Data lines follow (have no #) # Data line format - tab-delimited text, variable short name as header # Missing_Values: NaN # age_CE d18O 2011.5 -25.686 2010.5 -24.79 2009.5 -26.997 2008.5 -25.249 2007.5 -24.993 2006.5 -23.395 2005.5 -25.288 2004.5 -23.693 2003.5 -24.329 2002.5 -24.634 2001.5 -23.225 2000.5 -24.901 1999.5 -25.803 1998.5 -23.649 1997.5 -24.434 1996.5 -23.433 1995.5 -23.762 1994.5 -25.423 1993.5 -26.61 1992.5 -26.569 1991.5 -26.508 1990.5 -25.323 1989.5 -25.217 1988.5 -25.312 1987.5 -24.789 1986.5 -25.544 1985.5 -24.644 1984.5 -25.684 1983.5 -27.275 1982.5 -26.522 1981.5 -27.015 1980.5 -25.753 1979.5 -27.744 1978.5 -25.61 1977.5 -24.799 1976.5 -23.837 1975.5 -24.793 1974.5 -25.595 1973.5 -25.246 1972.5 -28.508 1971.5 -26.968 1970.5 -26.166 1969.5 -24.65 1968.5 -25.167 1967.5 -24.585 1966.5 -26.119 1965.5 -25.14 1964.5 -25.523 1963.5 -27.392 1962.5 -24.778 1961.5 -25.253 1960.5 -25.496 1959.5 -23.221 1958.5 -25.768 1957.5 -25.73 1956.5 -25.879 1955.5 -23.669 1954.5 -25.395 1953.5 -24.946 1952.5 -25.01 1951.5 -26.221 1950.5 -24.912 1949.5 -24.36 1948.5 -25.835 1947.5 -25.986 1946.5 -26.098 1945.5 -25.503 1944.5 -24.204 1943.5 -25.022 1942.5 -23.678 1941.5 -24.249 1940.5 -25.748 1939.5 -26.803 1938.5 -25.548 1937.5 -25.322 1936.5 -26.003 1935.5 -26.146 1934.5 -25.808 1933.5 -23.596 1932.5 -25.359 1931.5 -24.065 1930.5 -26.064 1929.5 -24.113 1928.5 -25.041 1927.5 -26.746 1926.5 -25.566 1925.5 -24.801 1924.5 -26.006 1923.5 -27.526 1922.5 -26.138 1921.5 -25.918 1920.5 -25.437 1919.5 -27.499 1918.5 -23.943 1917.5 -22.514 1916.5 -24.937 1915.5 -27.227 1914.5 -25.273 1913.5 -25.42 1912.5 -24.958 1911.5 -26.104 1910.5 -24.597 1909.5 -24.229 1908.5 -25.035 1907.5 -24.977 1906.5 -25.487 1905.5 -27.204 1904.5 -25.328 1903.5 -26.385 1902.5 -26.748 1901.5 -26.4 1900.5 -25.768 1899.5 -25.968 1898.5 -26.133 1897.5 -24.373 1896.5 -24.722 1895.5 -24.125 1894.5 -24.618 1893.5 -24.233 1892.5 -23.449 1891.5 -25.812 1890.5 -25.935 1889.5 -24.503 1888.5 -24.662 1887.5 -24.174 1886.5 -24.88 1885.5 -27.519 1884.5 -25.865 1883.5 -25.544 1882.5 -26.182 1881.5 -23.586 1880.5 -23.635 1879.5 -24.268 1878.5 -25.188 1877.5 -26.064 1876.5 -26.88 1875.5 -25.008 1874.5 -26.142 1873.5 -25.816 1872.5 -24.009 1871.5 -25.033 1870.5 -25.625 1869.5 -25.482 1868.5 -26.713 1867.5 -26.801 1866.5 -26.878 1865.5 -25.762 1864.5 -25.076 1863.5 -29.425 1862.5 -28.506 1861.5 -26.472 1860.5 -25.688 1859.5 -25.184 1858.5 -26.527 1857.5 -24.985 1856.5 -22.982 1855.5 -25.33 1854.5 -24.248 1853.5 -26.955 1852.5 -24.217 1851.5 -24.881 1850.5 -23.302 1849.5 -23.282 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