Chronology file name : WA151.CRN Measurement file name : WA151.RWL Date checked : 22MAR22 Checked by : C. Payne Beginning year : 1075 Ending year : 2015 Principal investigators: Andy G. Bunn C.R. Trinies C.S. Robertson Site name : Mount Pilchuck Site location : Washington Species information : CANO Y. CEDAR Latitude : 4807 Longitude : -12181 Elevation : 975M Series intercorrelation: 0.607 Avg mean sensitivity : 0.227 Avg standard deviation : 0.337 Avg autocorrelation : 0.891 Number dated series : 53 Segment length tested : 50 Number problem segments: 23 Pct problem segments : 1.85 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: Mount Pilchuck 15:58 Tue 22 Mar 2022 Page 5 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1075 1100 1125 1150 1175 1200 1225 1250 1275 1300 1325 1350 1375 1400 1425 1450 1475 1500 1525 1550 1124 1149 1174 1199 1224 1249 1274 1299 1324 1349 1374 1399 1424 1449 1474 1499 1524 1549 1574 1599 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 pil019a 1251 2010 .68 .49 .39 .76 .77 .61 .41 .47 .75 .72 .60 .58 .63 2 pil019b 1220 2010 .52 .53 .70 .67 .66 .79 .71 .65 .57 .57 .73 .73 .70 .55 .58 3 pil018a 1566 2010 .52 7 pil016a 1338 1948 .65 .68 .57 .52 .57 .71 .73 .65 .62 .70 8 pil016b 1344 2010 .62 .68 .53 .49 .54 .64 .70 .60 .57 .73 9 pil015a 1510 2010 .36 .41 .57 10 pil015b 1337 2000 .65 .64 .52 .47 .62 .83 .76 .61 .52 .56 11 pil014b 1390 2010 .39 .41 .73 .77 .60 .34 .35 .35B 12 pil014a 1272 2010 .39 .41 .45 .67 .67 .58 .47 .50 .67 .57 .40B .38 .59 13 pil013a 1193 2010 .31B .31B .60 .73 .63 .66 .80 .68 .67 .74 .72 .76 .81 .71 .64 .65 14 pil013b 1162 1793 .51 .50 .61 .60 .55 .63 .77 .77 .74 .73 .57 .55 .70 .70 .56 .51 .45 15 pil012a 1388 1900 .41 .36 .51 .57 .61 .57 .47 .61 16 pil012b 1387 1896 .47 .42 .52 .59 .67 .53 .41 .49 17 pil011b 1300 1798 .49 .51 .61 .66 .71 .44 .45 .52 .42 .44 .63 18 pil009b 1310 2010 .61 .64 .52 .49 .50 .60 .71 .67 .61 .55 .58 19 pil009a 1229 2010 .58 .57 .59 .79 .77 .64 .60 .65 .62 .71 .71 .54 .52 .46 20 pil008b 1350 2010 .56 .44 .48 .34 .50 .61 .44 .39 .51 22 pil007b 1205 2010 .53 .61 .72 .77 .88 .82 .74 .70 .70 .65 .69 .68 .66 .58 .61 23 pil007a 1161 2010 .37 .49 .53 .66 .77 .75 .81 .82 .67 .59 .61 .62 .72 .74 .68 .59 .62 24 pil006b 1209 2010 .69 .50 .47 .68 .77 .79 .76 .71 .67 .67 .78 .80 .68 .43 .58 25 pil006a 1167 2010 .55 .61 .60 .68 .55 .45 .66 .80 .70 .59 .56 .66 .80 .85 .73 .58 .65 26 pil005a 1151 2010 .65 .60 .60 .64 .51 .57 .72 .75 .70 .58 .48 .63 .84 .79 .66 .69 .76 27 pil003a 1523 1990 .41 .38 .53 28 pil003b 1522 2010 .48 .42 .68 29 PIL100A 1455 2015 .63 .63 .37 .41 .64 32 PIL102A 1531 2015 .51 .56 33 PIL102C 1336 2015 .64 .74 .63 .56 .60 .68 .51 .45 .37 .52 34 PIL103A 1277 2014 .48 .63 .81 .82 .51 .46 .78 .84 .68 .52 .51 .54 35 PIL103B 1286 2015 .65 .68 .69 .63 .48 .49 .56 .67 .67 .63 .52 .60 36 PIL104B 1342 2010 .76 .78 .64 .49 .54 .71 .67 .64 .54 .52 37 PIL105B 1335 2015 .67 .64 .54 .37 .37 .64 .70 .65 .55 .34 39 PIL107A 1202 1994 .24B .57 .49 .51 .72 .73 .67 .38 .36B .53 .50 .57 .65 .47 .52 40 PIL107B 1436 2014 .54 .63 .64 .48 .47 .64 41 PIL108A 1220 1659 .37 .49 .60 .62 .73 .75 .56 .44 .58 .69 .75 .72 .58 .48 .54 42 PIL108B 1224 1659 .65 .65 .75 .72 .57 .62 .68 .77 .61 .64 .78 .75 .70 .58 .61 43 PIL110A 1528 1988 .62 .65 44 PIL110B 1551 2006 .58 45 PIL110C 1528 1766 .53 .61 46 PIL111A 1223 2015 .49 .46 .53 .57 .73 .83 .83 .56 .55 .77 .75 .67 .69 .76 .73 47 PIL111B 1237 2015 .50 .58 .48 .60 .80 .78 .50 .50 .69 .81 .69 .53 .53 .74 48 PIL100B 1523 2015 .49 .46 .59 49 PIL102B 1340 2015 .77 .74 .65 .58 .63 .74 .71 .58 .43 .54 50 PIL107C 1223 2007 .46 .45 .44B .41 .44 .60 .63 .49 .48 .65 .77 .68 .64 .70 .77 51 PIL109A 1076 1445 .78 .56 .47 .42 .38 .53 .67 .61 .39 .45 .61 .57 .44 .46 52 PIL109B 1092 2015 .71 .65 .40 .24B .36 .21A .16B .40 .54 .58 .69 .67 .51 .36 .45 .63 .45 .46B .49 .44 53 PIL109C 1075 1402 .78 .46 .25A .37 .46 .37 .31A .60 .53 .42 .56 .53 .53 Av segment correlation .76 .56 .37 .44 .46 .48 .54 .58 .57 .63 .71 .68 .56 .52 .59 .70 .68 .56 .51 .58 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: Mount Pilchuck 15:58 Tue 22 Mar 2022 Page 6 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1575 1600 1625 1650 1675 1700 1725 1750 1775 1800 1825 1850 1875 1900 1925 1950 1975 1624 1649 1674 1699 1724 1749 1774 1799 1824 1849 1874 1899 1924 1949 1974 1999 2024 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 pil019a 1251 2010 .72 .68 .75 .83 .79 .77 .70 .76 .78 .78 .71 .51 .56 .62 .67 .68 .65 2 pil019b 1220 2010 .75 .80 .78 .71 .73 .78 .69 .71 .69 .61 .67 .71 .67 .52 .70 .73 .73 3 pil018a 1566 2010 .52 .43 .44 .54 .75 .71 .48 .48 .55 .64 .59 .66 .64 .45 .69 .75 .71 4 pil018b 1660 2010 .68 .70 .84 .66 .55 .61 .69 .67 .75 .75 .70 .75 .65 .64 5 pil017b 1620 2010 .52 .52 .54 .60 .58 .51 .62 .66 .71 .68 .59 .49 .44 .65 .81 .77 6 pil017a 1780 2010 .49 .57 .63 .60 .50 .35 .39 .43 .46 7 pil016a 1338 1948 .70 .66 .72 .69 .53 .66 .55 .46 .62 .60 .60 .56 .62 .59 8 pil016b 1344 2010 .69 .67 .75 .75 .75 .76 .57 .66 .69 .49 .58 .75 .80 .66 .60 .53 .60 9 pil015a 1510 2010 .52 .61 .73 .60 .51 .54 .55 .69 .72 .62 .65 .74 .73 .72 .66 .57 .53 10 pil015b 1337 2000 .68 .73 .67 .62 .48 .49 .60 .63 .71 .77 .60 .68 .68 .46 .59 .70 .70 11 pil014b 1390 2010 .38 .48 .57 .58 .76 .74 .55 .73 .79 .75 .72 .68 .55 .51 .68 .72 .61 12 pil014a 1272 2010 .72 .50 .50 .64 .71 .69 .63 .59 .67 .79 .71 .64 .56 .55 .77 .76 .69 13 pil013a 1193 2010 .47 .43 .70 .60 .55 .63 .61 .69 .72 .45 .43 .70 .56 .38 .69 .82 .83 14 pil013b 1162 1793 .49 .60 .64 .61 .68 .58 .49 .47 15 pil012a 1388 1900 .60 .53 .62 .57 .54 .47 .32A .58 .78 .59 .45 .43 .43 16 pil012b 1387 1896 .57 .57 .59 .66 .62 .57 .43 .48 .58 .68 .72 .69 17 pil011b 1300 1798 .61 .42 .47 .64 .65 .61 .49 .52 18 pil009b 1310 2010 .61 .62 .70 .64 .60 .59 .52 .59 .71 .68 .67 .69 .61 .34 .41 .40 .46 19 pil009a 1229 2010 .47 .64 .57 .52 .74 .75 .66 .71 .79 .64 .59 .74 .66 .44 .50 .54 .69 20 pil008b 1350 2010 .54 .42 .46 .62 .59 .57 .55 .59 .71 .64 .62 .75 .66 .52 .61 .65 .63 21 pil008a 1630 2010 .53 .63 .69 .74 .73 .66 .71 .71 .63 .60 .56 .58 .63 .54 .37 22 pil007b 1205 2010 .71 .76 .76 .63 .66 .65 .57 .72 .67 .61 .64 .65 .63 .70 .72 .73 .76 23 pil007a 1161 2010 .66 .68 .69 .55 .76 .82 .66 .66 .69 .59 .51 .67 .72 .69 .67 .75 .74 24 pil006b 1209 2010 .61 .50 .58 .63 .72 .68 .57 .53 .51 .54 .56 .62 .65 .54 .46 .49 .47 25 pil006a 1167 2010 .70 .66 .70 .66 .78 .83 .59 .66 .76 .75 .76 .74 .63 .51 .65 .60 .57 26 pil005a 1151 2010 .68 .63 .64 .63 .76 .65 .41 .62 .61 .56 .70 .71 .55 .37 .48 .57 .67 27 pil003a 1523 1990 .65 .66 .67 .59 .72 .59 .39 .43 .53 .68 .71 .81 .78 .63 .62 .52 28 pil003b 1522 2010 .66 .60 .65 .68 .81 .71 .56 .75 .75 .82 .86 .82 .72 .52 .49 .43 .50 29 PIL100A 1455 2015 .61 .55 .55 .59 .55 .53 .62 .65 .62 .72 .70 .51 .48 .44 .49 .53 .60 30 PIL101A 1896 2009 .72 .74 .68 .42 .17B 31 PIL101B 1675 1935 .80 .77 .65 .66 .50 .37B .20B .24B .42 .55 32 PIL102A 1531 2015 .49 .25B .40 .43 .48 .61 .49 .44 .49 .51 .52 .54 .56 .55 .60 .46 .53 33 PIL102C 1336 2015 .73 .49 .38 .49 .78 .78 .60 .69 .68 .60 .50 .43 .44 .45 .61 .71 .74 34 PIL103A 1277 2014 .63 .57 .57 .53 .68 .73 .62 .74 .83 .86 .68 .68 .75 .67 .60 .67 .74 35 PIL103B 1286 2015 .77 .75 .68 .50 .46 .57 .52 .49 .71 .73 .55 .07B-.06B .37 .60 .54 .59 36 PIL104B 1342 2010 .58 .57 .67 .65 .69 .82 .70 .68 .75 .82 .69 .56 .57 .55 .66 .65 .71 37 PIL105B 1335 2015 .43 .59 .55 .41 .43 .42 .52 .48 .64 .70 .56 .69 .69 .54 .54 .50 .48 38 PIL106B 1625 2015 .68 .55 .66 .74 .67 .74 .79 .78 .74 .74 .83 .70 .62 .38 .52 39 PIL107A 1202 1994 .57 .38 .46 .37 .37 .61 .54 .50 .62 .68 .77 .53 .41 .51 .44 .40 40 PIL107B 1436 2014 .69 .36 .35 .54 .62 .59 .59 .75 .72 .73 .77 .71 .63 .65 .73 .69 .70 41 PIL108A 1220 1659 .61 .50 .23B 42 PIL108B 1224 1659 .63 .58 .43 43 PIL110A 1528 1988 .76 .72 .54 .48 .77 .84 .71 .65 .71 .65 .48 .59 .62 .46 .53 .59 44 PIL110B 1551 2006 .68 .76 .62 .52 .78 .82 .76 .77 .80 .55 .55 .73 .60 .43 .52 .47 .52 45 PIL110C 1528 1766 .63 .67 .71 .64 .71 .72 .67 46 PIL111A 1223 2015 .71 .74 .72 .69 .79 .69 .72 .85 .85 .83 .72 .70 .74 .59 .56 .61 .76 47 PIL111B 1237 2015 .81 .81 .76 .59 .69 .75 .72 .77 .80 .79 .55 .59 .66 .47 .49 .53 .58 48 PIL100B 1523 2015 .63 .65 .60 .50 .80 .85 .69 .76 .76 .60 .54 .53 .61 .64 .54 .53 .68 49 PIL102B 1340 2015 .60 .57 .61 .56 .69 .67 .42B .59 .65 .64 .45 .37 .56 .61 .48 .43 .46 50 PIL107C 1223 2007 .71 .65 .69 .61 .72 .76 .60 .56 .70 .65 .59 .67 .62 .67 .84 .77 .69 52 PIL109B 1092 2015 .45 .50 .60 .58 .65 .53 .48 .65 .70 .72 .75 .66 .61 .58 .67 .62 .46 Av segment correlation .62 .59 .60 .59 .67 .68 .58 .63 .69 .66 .62 .62 .60 .54 .60 .59 .61 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: Mount Pilchuck 15:58 Tue 22 Mar 2022 Page 14 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 1 pil019a 1251 2010 760 30 0 .661 .60 3.26 .471 .926 .224 2.69 .361 .005 1 2 pil019b 1220 2010 791 32 0 .672 .54 2.08 .406 .907 .264 2.70 .412 -.025 1 3 pil018a 1566 2010 445 18 0 .582 .99 2.24 .359 .778 .192 2.47 .298 -.032 9 4 pil018b 1660 2010 351 14 0 .675 .94 2.12 .384 .769 .213 2.69 .425 -.067 1 5 pil017b 1620 2010 391 16 0 .606 .88 2.49 .467 .800 .268 2.79 .455 .002 1 6 pil017a 1780 2010 231 9 0 .494 1.27 3.62 .581 .739 .255 2.70 .384 -.010 1 7 pil016a 1338 1948 611 24 0 .616 .59 2.23 .415 .865 .283 2.66 .416 -.005 2 8 pil016b 1344 2010 667 27 0 .640 .65 2.94 .521 .892 .259 2.60 .411 -.023 2 9 pil015a 1510 2010 501 20 0 .590 .56 1.94 .358 .868 .269 2.89 .404 -.001 1 10 pil015b 1337 2000 664 27 0 .631 .54 2.01 .322 .872 .204 2.61 .318 -.006 1 11 pil014b 1390 2010 621 25 1 .593 .49 2.00 .258 .882 .176 2.58 .354 -.017 1 12 pil014a 1272 2010 739 30 1 .600 .46 1.74 .300 .922 .193 2.52 .283 -.035 1 13 pil013a 1193 2010 818 33 2 .620 .53 2.59 .433 .929 .223 2.63 .373 -.016 1 14 pil013b 1162 1793 632 25 0 .591 .64 3.85 .672 .944 .234 2.66 .388 -.002 1 15 pil012a 1388 1900 513 21 1 .522 .41 1.61 .232 .873 .207 2.64 .399 -.032 1 16 pil012b 1387 1896 510 20 0 .556 .44 1.37 .242 .866 .218 2.59 .356 -.010 2 17 pil011b 1300 1798 499 19 0 .539 .48 1.41 .260 .897 .183 2.55 .290 -.015 2 18 pil009b 1310 2010 701 28 0 .587 .42 1.92 .273 .943 .150 2.62 .298 -.021 6 19 pil009a 1229 2010 782 31 0 .625 .49 2.57 .470 .961 .170 2.58 .282 -.029 3 20 pil008b 1350 2010 661 26 0 .552 .44 2.83 .329 .897 .211 2.70 .351 -.048 1 21 pil008a 1630 2010 381 15 0 .613 .35 1.27 .212 .847 .272 2.67 .371 -.034 1 22 pil007b 1205 2010 806 32 0 .682 .47 3.53 .515 .950 .229 2.64 .351 -.027 2 23 pil007a 1161 2010 850 34 0 .666 .48 3.00 .506 .952 .239 2.71 .333 -.024 2 24 pil006b 1209 2010 802 32 0 .606 .52 2.96 .452 .937 .216 2.61 .284 -.022 3 25 pil006a 1167 2010 844 34 0 .667 .45 2.00 .382 .941 .245 2.67 .319 -.037 1 26 pil005a 1151 2010 860 34 0 .624 .45 2.76 .414 .960 .187 2.71 .360 -.032 1 27 pil003a 1523 1990 468 19 0 .597 .55 1.68 .306 .897 .199 2.62 .348 -.035 1 28 pil003b 1522 2010 489 20 0 .650 .70 4.35 .557 .937 .190 2.70 .399 -.028 1 29 PIL100A 1455 2015 561 22 0 .559 .31 1.55 .209 .860 .259 2.68 .344 -.045 1 30 PIL101A 1896 2009 114 5 1 .490 .20 .62 .111 .651 .328 2.71 .481 .007 1 31 PIL101B 1675 1935 261 10 3 .511 .27 .97 .154 .802 .263 2.66 .452 -.002 1 32 PIL102A 1531 2015 485 19 1 .495 .37 2.40 .370 .933 .247 2.68 .382 -.040 1 33 PIL102C 1336 2015 680 27 0 .591 .41 1.49 .234 .876 .228 2.57 .351 -.036 1 34 PIL103A 1277 2014 738 29 0 .663 .34 1.62 .247 .893 .289 2.62 .393 -.027 3 35 PIL103B 1286 2015 730 29 2 .553 .32 2.61 .250 .891 .250 2.67 .391 -.026 1 36 PIL104B 1342 2010 669 27 0 .653 .27 1.20 .170 .851 .268 2.53 .310 -.003 1 37 PIL105B 1335 2015 681 27 0 .543 .66 2.10 .319 .869 .179 2.60 .264 -.024 1 38 PIL106B 1625 2015 391 15 0 .683 .53 1.53 .208 .736 .225 2.68 .416 .017 2 39 PIL107A 1202 1994 793 31 2 .513 .30 1.41 .178 .922 .196 2.56 .356 -.019 2 40 PIL107B 1436 2014 579 23 0 .607 .47 1.70 .259 .890 .194 2.76 .381 .003 2 41 PIL108A 1220 1659 440 18 1 .549 .50 2.78 .561 .963 .206 2.67 .429 -.023 1 42 PIL108B 1224 1659 436 18 0 .632 .49 2.60 .425 .921 .239 2.65 .386 -.058 2 43 PIL110A 1528 1988 461 18 0 .645 .54 1.67 .260 .877 .182 2.61 .335 -.034 3 44 PIL110B 1551 2006 456 18 0 .636 .29 .98 .155 .891 .185 2.56 .276 -.021 1 45 PIL110C 1528 1766 239 9 0 .661 .41 .97 .135 .791 .166 2.49 .325 -.053 1 46 PIL111A 1223 2015 793 32 0 .697 .64 1.98 .325 .850 .207 2.84 .365 -.021 1 47 PIL111B 1237 2015 779 31 0 .660 .63 1.62 .300 .889 .178 2.78 .379 -.039 1 48 PIL100B 1523 2015 493 20 0 .610 .15 .60 .083 .790 .337 2.76 .381 -.027 1 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: Mount Pilchuck 15:58 Tue 22 Mar 2022 Page 15 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 49 PIL102B 1340 2015 676 27 1 .581 .30 3.18 .259 .878 .260 2.67 .372 -.015 1 50 PIL107C 1223 2007 785 32 1 .625 .22 1.15 .140 .832 .312 2.56 .355 -.016 1 51 PIL109A 1076 1445 370 14 0 .570 .44 1.63 .310 .907 .266 2.63 .394 -.047 1 52 PIL109B 1092 2015 924 37 4 .539 .43 1.91 .317 .916 .255 2.57 .297 -.029 4 53 PIL109C 1075 1402 328 13 2 .532 .55 1.52 .325 .877 .255 2.73 .353 -.029 1 --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- Total or mean: 31250 1246 23 .607 .49 4.35 .337 .891 .227 2.89 .355 -.023