Chronology file name : AK033.CRN Measurement file name : AK033.RWL Date checked : 10MAR05 Checked by : H. ADAMS AND J. LUKAS Beginning year : 1296 Ending year : 1979 Principal investigators: Gordon Jacoby Rosanne D'Arrigo Brendan Buckley Site name : Sheenjek River and Flats Site location : Alaska Species information : PCGL WHITE SPRUCE Latitude : +6838 Longitude : -14343 Elevation : 808M Series intercorrelation: 0.625 Avg mean sensitivity : 0.199 Avg standard deviation : 0.120 Avg autocorrelation : 0.821 Number dated series : 34 Segment length tested : 50 Number problem segments: 16 Pct problem segments : 2.89 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: ak033.rwl 13:38 Thu 10 Mar 2005 Page 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1275 1300 1325 1350 1375 1400 1425 1450 1475 1500 1525 1550 1575 1600 1625 1650 1675 1700 1725 1750 1324 1349 1374 1399 1424 1449 1474 1499 1524 1549 1574 1599 1624 1649 1674 1699 1724 1749 1774 1799 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 801011 1561 1979 .48 .53 .57 .53 .56 .70 .61 .70 .81 2 801012 1561 1979 .38 .62 .64 .69 .72 .64 .53 .67 .73 3 801021 1570 1925 .29A .35 .55 .70 .68 .53 .57 .65 .50 4 801022 1570 1910 .49 .56 .46 .60 .75 .69 .69 .67 .64 5 801024 1563 1925 .23B .45 .55 .68 .76 .66 .59 .61 .65 6 801031 1512 1979 .70 .75 .71 .77 .76 .78 .69 .62 .68 .72 .57 7 801032 1512 1979 .61 .64 .70 .70 .70 .76 .78 .73 .69 .79 .79 8 801033 1492 1979 .55 .66 .68 .64 .64 .55 .71 .78 .61 .59 .78 .71 9 801034 1492 1979 .33A .59 .64 .62 .61 .67 .63 .58 .64 .67 .75 .63 10 801041 1559 1979 .53 .55 .59 .60 .52 .53 .71 .65 .56 11 801061 1297 1580 .53 .45 .57 .72 .64 .54 .56 .56 .62 .63 .53 .47 12 801062 1357 1820 .78 .73 .66 .49 .42 .55 .66 .59 .53 .56 .75 .84 .73 .65 .61 .65 .75 13 801064 1296 1610 .53 .45 .58 .81 .74 .62 .59 .52 .48 .60 .61 .59 .66 14 801111 1568 1979 .52 .50 .44 .69 .72 .76 .84 .85 .80 15 801112 1568 1979 .62 .65 .66 .83 .88 .88 .89 .83 .84 16 801113 1546 1979 .70 .71 .86 .86 .85 .82 .73 .75 .86 .86 17 801121 1676 1979 .73 .82 .86 .72 18 801122 1664 1979 .66 .64 .75 .84 .72 19 801123 1664 1969 .62 .61 .64 .77 .58 20 801131 1508 1855 .46B .58 .67 .64 .68 .78 .78 .63 .67 .84 .78 21 801132 1506 1846 .71 .63 .55 .57 .55 .71 .78 .66 .65 .80 .80 22 801141 1566 1890 .66 .64 .52 .55 .58 .66 .75 .86 .79 23 801142 1563 1930 .21B .19A .48 .71 .74 .73 .82 .83 .78 24 801143 1538 1930 .74 .79 .78 .73 .75 .71 .68 .69 .67 .66 25 801211 1550 1979 .65 .73 .58 .52 .49 .42 .52 .68 .57 26 801522 1523 1979 .41 .36 .39B .60 .59 .56 .61 .47 .46 .61 .55 27 801631 1559 1979 .32A .55 .66 .73 .77 .60 .56 .66 .61 28 801632 1610 1979 .68 .66 .74 .66 .59 .71 .71 29 801661 1598 1979 .42 .44 .54 .60 .63 .66 .77 .65 30 801662 1599 1979 .48 .50 .59 .64 .66 .69 .64 .50 31 801663 1525 1979 .29B .50 .49 .57 .56 .60 .71 .72 .54 .45 32 801664 1525 1979 .31A .41 .34 .41 .58 .72 .68 .62 .72 .61 33 801821 1423 1939 .36 .40 .31A .49 .73 .68 .41 .50 .69 .81 .71 .58 .72 .78 .73 34 801822 1423 1938 .44 .49 .23A .41B .77 .73 .41 .45 .71 .76 .70 .63 .61 .66 .67 Av segment correlation .53 .45 .58 .77 .70 .52 .51 .41 .49 .63 .59 .52 .56 .61 .68 .69 .65 .67 .73 .68 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: ak033.rwl 13:38 Thu 10 Mar 2005 Page 6 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1775 1800 1825 1850 1875 1900 1925 1950 1824 1849 1874 1899 1924 1949 1974 1999 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 801011 1561 1979 .70 .48 .39 .60 .67 .60 .52 .46 2 801012 1561 1979 .69 .70 .66 .69 .57 .47 .60 .61 3 801021 1570 1925 .36 .58 .71 .61 .44 .44 4 801022 1570 1910 .56 .54 .47 .54 .53 5 801024 1563 1925 .70 .73 .71 .66 .49 .47 6 801031 1512 1979 .39 .56 .67 .70 .73 .80 .72 .75 7 801032 1512 1979 .67 .74 .74 .63 .68 .76 .75 .79 8 801033 1492 1979 .65 .74 .59 .62 .74 .77 .72 .74 9 801034 1492 1979 .47 .72 .71 .73 .78 .56 .60 .58 10 801041 1559 1979 .66 .64 .50 .49 .52 .62 .66 .65 12 801062 1357 1820 .51 14 801111 1568 1979 .77 .80 .80 .79 .66 .68 .70 .70 15 801112 1568 1979 .80 .73 .68 .78 .81 .71 .74 .76 16 801113 1546 1979 .80 .79 .70 .78 .82 .71 .61 .63 17 801121 1676 1979 .64 .75 .76 .74 .67 .69 .77 .72 18 801122 1664 1979 .64 .64 .74 .72 .61 .71 .60 .58 19 801123 1664 1969 .43 .71 .75 .73 .74 .55 .53 20 801131 1508 1855 .71 .71 .74 21 801132 1506 1846 .67 .53 22 801141 1566 1890 .69 .77 .84 .66 23 801142 1563 1930 .67 .71 .72 .69 .66 .71 24 801143 1538 1930 .62 .67 .75 .76 .74 .80 25 801211 1550 1979 .49 .60 .60 .27B .24B .53 .65 .58 26 801522 1523 1979 .43 .45 .49 .51 .60 .42 .34 .34 27 801631 1559 1979 .48 .55 .56 .62 .68 .68 .48 .48 28 801632 1610 1979 .56 .56 .50 .63 .69 .69 .62 .63 29 801661 1598 1979 .59 .78 .70 .74 .79 .65 .61 .68 30 801662 1599 1979 .53 .66 .59 .71 .75 .54 .53 .48 31 801663 1525 1979 .50 .56 .58 .78 .83 .61 .54 .59 32 801664 1525 1979 .58 .75 .65 .70 .71 .61 .68 .71 33 801821 1423 1939 .61 .62 .70 .56 .47 .30A 34 801822 1423 1938 .51 .60 .63 .57 .49 .41 Av segment correlation .60 .66 .65 .66 .65 .61 .62 .62 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: ak033.rwl 13:38 Thu 10 Mar 2005 Page 9 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 1 801011 1561 1979 419 17 0 .564 .24 .58 .102 .788 .203 2.56 .369 -.033 2 2 801012 1561 1979 419 17 0 .611 .18 .49 .073 .780 .209 2.64 .352 -.037 1 3 801021 1570 1925 356 15 1 .540 .22 .60 .103 .882 .162 2.58 .311 -.006 1 4 801022 1570 1910 341 14 0 .584 .28 .72 .119 .848 .175 2.64 .334 .007 1 5 801024 1563 1925 363 15 1 .574 .32 .59 .086 .552 .189 2.81 .372 .007 1 6 801031 1512 1979 468 19 0 .684 .23 1.25 .136 .885 .209 2.63 .345 -.035 1 7 801032 1512 1979 468 19 0 .709 .24 1.28 .119 .852 .201 2.58 .369 -.028 1 8 801033 1492 1979 488 20 0 .670 .27 1.49 .182 .928 .192 2.55 .312 -.014 2 9 801034 1492 1979 488 20 1 .634 .26 1.21 .136 .887 .188 2.63 .243 -.036 1 10 801041 1559 1979 421 17 0 .577 .20 .73 .106 .897 .188 2.66 .338 -.012 1 11 801061 1297 1580 284 12 0 .572 .36 1.19 .225 .919 .199 2.59 .389 -.023 1 12 801062 1357 1820 464 18 0 .617 .23 .92 .191 .939 .224 2.39 .229 -.010 3 13 801064 1296 1610 315 13 0 .596 .29 1.10 .203 .918 .235 2.46 .287 .002 1 14 801111 1568 1979 412 17 0 .710 .25 .60 .098 .776 .218 2.54 .300 -.015 1 15 801112 1568 1979 412 17 0 .777 .21 .49 .091 .783 .253 2.63 .398 -.020 1 16 801113 1546 1979 434 18 0 .757 .28 .63 .101 .703 .223 2.59 .366 -.001 1 17 801121 1676 1979 304 12 0 .723 .31 .69 .098 .674 .192 2.75 .317 -.010 1 18 801122 1664 1979 316 13 0 .669 .27 .73 .108 .814 .172 2.77 .428 -.023 1 19 801123 1664 1969 306 12 0 .635 .31 .75 .101 .776 .162 2.65 .326 -.006 1 20 801131 1508 1855 348 14 1 .684 .22 .47 .083 .646 .249 2.63 .369 .001 1 21 801132 1506 1846 341 13 0 .648 .28 .72 .131 .726 .268 2.58 .379 -.016 1 22 801141 1566 1890 325 13 0 .682 .22 .51 .093 .807 .190 2.94 .429 -.018 1 23 801142 1563 1930 368 15 2 .638 .22 .67 .096 .769 .214 2.82 .386 -.032 1 24 801143 1538 1930 393 16 0 .713 .29 .76 .108 .805 .182 2.80 .393 -.023 1 25 801211 1550 1979 430 17 2 .505 .19 .57 .085 .810 .212 2.62 .288 -.009 1 26 801522 1523 1979 457 19 1 .494 .15 .70 .078 .854 .211 2.56 .236 -.014 1 27 801631 1559 1979 421 17 1 .573 .28 .80 .133 .908 .166 2.73 .411 -.030 2 28 801632 1610 1979 370 15 0 .627 .28 .67 .088 .716 .183 2.74 .384 -.034 1 29 801661 1598 1979 382 16 0 .648 .41 1.03 .139 .823 .147 2.61 .347 -.017 2 30 801662 1599 1979 381 16 0 .584 .33 .68 .137 .878 .170 2.49 .298 -.025 2 31 801663 1525 1979 455 18 1 .571 .34 .88 .151 .887 .162 2.56 .322 -.022 2 32 801664 1525 1979 455 18 1 .593 .31 .86 .129 .849 .183 2.62 .329 -.010 2 33 801821 1423 1939 517 21 2 .576 .23 .78 .119 .811 .228 2.92 .279 -.016 2 34 801822 1423 1938 516 21 2 .566 .21 .65 .119 .875 .196 2.69 .354 -.002 2 --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- Total or mean: 13637 554 16 .625 .26 1.49 .120 .821 .199 2.94 .337 -.017