Slime Creek, Alaska Range, Alaska, USA - AK055 Additional Site Information Martin Wilmking Purpose of Collection: Ecology, Treeline response Measurement type: Total ring width Location of core material: Tree ring lab, University of Alaska Fairbanks, USA References: Wilmking M., Juday G.P., Barber V.A. and Zald H.S.J. 2004. Recent climate warming forces opposite growth responses of white spruce at treeline in Alaska through temperature thresholds. Global Change Biology 10(10): 1724-1736. Wilmking M., Juday G.P. 2005. Longitudinal variation of radial growth at Alaska's northern treeline - Recent changes and possible scenarios for the 21st century. Global and Planetary Change. (in press, online early) doi:10.1016/j.gloplacha.2004.10.017. COFECHA File_name Date Time_span Series Spline Seg Lag N_Seg Probs Prob% XCorr MnSens C/Var MnMsmt MnStDv MnACorr ak055.rwl 25May06 1788 2002 97 32 50 25 305 100 32.79 .394 .232 48.97 1.387 .641 .751 Run SLIME Title: Slime Creek PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: Slime Creek 10:50 Thu 25 May 2006 Page 5 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1775 1800 1825 1850 1875 1900 1925 1950 1975 1824 1849 1874 1899 1924 1949 1974 1999 2024 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 ARSC50A 1943 2002 .34 .46 .55 2 ARSC50B 1943 2002 .50 .54 .62 3 ARSC23A 1885 2001 .29A .34B .30A .52 .53 4 ARSC23B 1885 2001 .57 .67 .74 .58 .57 5 ARSC9A 1949 2001 .68 .69 .69 6 ARSC9B 1949 2001 .70 .72 .74 7 ARSC21A 1932 2001 .36B .44 .45 8 ARSC21B 1932 2001 .32A .38 .39 9 ASRC30A 1819 2001 .36 .41 .38 .42 .47 .47 .48 .49 10 ASRC30B 1819 1934 .26B .21B .29A .48 .50 11 ASRC4B 1881 1961 .20B .19B .16B 12 ARSC4A 1871 2001 .42 .47 .46 .50 .64 .66 13 ARSC18A 1962 2001 .37 14 ARSC18B 1962 2001 .22B 15 ARSC46B 1969 2001 .37 16 ARSC46A 1969 2001 .05B 17 ARSC17A 1901 2001 .00B .30B .66 .64 18 ARSC42A 1956 2001 .24A 19 ARSC42B 1956 2001 .09B 20 ARSC25A 1788 2001 .00B .08B .31A .41 .39 .51 .42 .33 .33 21 ARSC25B 1788 2001 .53 .62 .54 .41 .47 .55 .31A .47 .47 22 ARSC16A 1825 2001 .01B .31A .52 .61 .64 .69 .66 23 ARSC16B 1844 2001 -.10B-.12B .52 .65 .77 .60 .59 24 ARSC3A 1970 2001 .62 25 ARSC3B 1970 2001 .24B 26 ARSC22A 1878 2001 .37 .58 .61 .77 .78 27 ARSC22B 1878 2001 .27A .38 .53 .80 .77 28 ARSC45A 1952 2001 .41 29 ARSC45B 1952 2001 .57 30 ARSC43A 1947 2001 .58 .55 .55 31 ARSC43B 1947 2001 .40 .40 .38 32 ARSC48A 1960 2001 .41 33 ARSC48B 1960 1983 .05B 34 ARSC7A 1959 2001 .61 35 ARSC7B 1959 2001 .42 36 ARSC41A 1940 2001 .20B .33 .35 37 ARSC41B 1940 2001 .29A .41 .42 38 ARSC39 1940 2001 .14B .31A .31A 39 ARSC39B 1940 2001 .24B .30B .31B 40 ARSC8A 1947 2001 .26A .29A .28A 41 ARSC8B 1947 2001 .06B .05B .04B 42 ARSC26A 1824 2001 .25B .25B .27A .31A .39 .31A .26A .28A 43 ARSC20A 1898 2001 .26B .28B .50 .50 .49 44 ARSC20B 1929 2001 .43 .33 .32A 45 ARSC2A 1943 2001 .58 .68 .70 46 ARSC2B 1943 2001 -.07B .29B .30B 47 ARSC13A 1874 2001 .24B .28B .43B .51 .70 .69 48 ARSC13B 1874 1972 .45 .47 .61 .68 49 ARSC37A 1968 2001 .81 50 ARSC37B 1968 2001 .72 51 ARSC44A 1967 2001 .67 52 ARSC44B 1967 2001 .30A 53 ARSC31A 1944 2001 .33 .41 .41 54 ARSC31B 1944 2001 .10B .27A .26A 55 ARSC12 1869 2001 .32A .45 .48 .55 .64 .63 56 ARSC12B 1869 1900 -.04B 57 ARSC24A 1790 2001 .23A .42 .62 .55 .69 .64 .42 .60 .59 58 ARSC24B 1791 2001 -.04B .00B-.04B-.08B .45 .64 .68 .48 .47 59 ARSC14A 1895 2001 .36 .37 .57 .51 .50 60 ARSC14B 1898 2001 .40 .40 .36 .52 .51 61 ARSC19A 1960 2001 .47 62 ARSC19B 1960 2001 .49 63 ARSC32A 1932 2001 .17B .57 .46 64 ARSC32B 1933 2000 -.10B .06B .07B 65 ARSC33 1924 2001 .45 .42B .66 .65 66 ARSC35A 1952 2001 .21B 67 ARSC35B 1952 2001 .01B 68 ARSC49A 1938 2001 .18B .36 .35 69 ARSC49B 1938 2001 .16B .30A .29A 70 ARSC11A 1948 2001 .35 .51 .50 71 ARSC11B 1950 2001 .45 .46 72 ARSC36A 1941 2001 -.29B-.16B-.15B 73 ARSC36B 1941 2001 -.23B-.13B-.17B 74 ARSC10A 1946 2001 .46 .64 .64 75 ARSC10B 1946 2001 .45 .59 .60 76 ARSC5A 1966 2001 .49 77 ARSC5B 1966 2001 .31B 78 ARSC47A 1942 2001 .43 .57 .59 79 ARSC47B 1942 2001 .37B .45B .46B 80 ARSC40A 1935 2001 .44 .51 .49 81 ARSC40B 1935 2001 .50 .42 .42 82 ARSC15a 1949 2001 .44 .45 .45 83 ARSC15B 1949 2001 .50 .51 .54 84 ARSC38A 1959 2001 .30B 85 ARSC38B 1959 2001 .34 86 ARSC34A 1980 2001 .68 87 ARSC34B 1980 2001 .50 88 ARSC28A 1899 2001 .59 .62 .60 .45 .45 89 ARSC28B 1900 2001 .48 .59 .65 .65 90 ARSC1A 1942 2001 .50 .59 .59 91 ARSC1B 1943 2000 .49 .56 .56 92 ARSC27A 1930 2001 .43 .73 .72 93 ARSC27B 1930 2001 .55 .60 .60 94 ARSC29A 1824 2001 .15B .16B .21A .29A .40 .32A .45 .44 95 ARSC29B 1825 1855 .09B 96 ARSC6A 1955 2001 .12B 97 ARSC6B 1951 2001 .15B .15B Av segment correlation .18 .27 .22 .27 .41 .46 .39 .44 .47 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: Slime Creek 10:50 Thu 25 May 2006 Page 9 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 1 ARSC50A 1943 2002 60 3 0 .530 2.25 4.55 1.254 .915 .210 2.77 .685 -.061 1 2 ARSC50B 1943 2002 60 3 0 .541 2.28 4.66 1.086 .856 .191 2.56 .400 -.015 1 3 ARSC23A 1885 2001 117 5 3 .394 .98 2.66 .566 .796 .252 2.78 .499 -.054 1 4 ARSC23B 1885 2001 117 5 0 .605 1.10 3.92 .676 .865 .208 2.56 .395 -.025 1 5 ARSC9A 1949 2001 53 3 0 .686 2.95 4.55 .740 .406 .216 2.61 .462 -.045 3 6 ARSC9B 1949 2001 53 3 0 .707 2.77 5.74 1.135 .673 .268 2.83 .577 -.023 2 7 ARSC21A 1932 2001 70 3 1 .397 1.78 3.11 .604 .763 .192 2.58 .469 .001 1 8 ARSC21B 1932 2001 70 3 1 .283 1.13 1.96 .432 .792 .202 2.63 .495 .007 1 9 ASRC30A 1819 2001 183 8 0 .408 .89 6.13 .900 .914 .252 3.17 .532 .006 2 10 ASRC30B 1819 1934 116 5 3 .336 1.05 4.72 .880 .948 .218 2.68 .397 -.033 1 11 ASRC4B 1881 1961 81 3 3 .195 1.81 7.85 .963 .477 .282 2.62 .469 -.058 1 12 ARSC4A 1871 2001 131 6 0 .549 1.62 3.75 .692 .773 .223 2.68 .479 .000 1 13 ARSC18A 1962 2001 40 1 0 .368 1.84 2.78 .443 .431 .213 2.51 .563 -.012 2 14 ARSC18B 1962 2001 40 1 1 .224 2.12 4.73 .710 .112 .282 2.88 .491 -.059 1 15 ARSC46B 1969 2001 33 1 0 .370 1.81 3.46 .879 .701 .285 2.67 .583 .010 1 16 ARSC46A 1969 2001 33 1 1 .050 2.57 6.04 1.152 .545 .267 2.69 .586 .063 1 17 ARSC17A 1901 2001 101 4 2 .240 1.18 2.51 .383 .593 .238 2.38 .317 -.035 1 18 ARSC42A 1956 2001 46 1 1 .235 1.96 3.28 .586 .474 .226 2.68 .477 -.050 1 19 ARSC42B 1956 2001 46 1 1 .088 1.66 2.60 .408 .491 .205 2.45 .466 -.018 1 20 ARSC25A 1788 2001 214 9 3 .280 .64 2.98 .604 .921 .220 2.82 .470 -.045 1 21 ARSC25B 1788 2001 214 9 1 .486 .54 3.36 .565 .922 .237 2.71 .480 -.043 2 22 ARSC16A 1825 2001 177 7 2 .453 .71 1.71 .280 .766 .229 2.61 .460 -.006 1 23 ARSC16B 1844 2001 158 7 2 .387 .89 1.87 .344 .695 .228 2.66 .435 -.026 1 24 ARSC3A 1970 2001 32 1 0 .620 1.38 2.28 .457 .642 .224 2.61 .653 -.065 1 25 ARSC3B 1970 2001 32 1 1 .235 1.84 3.93 .812 .791 .216 2.66 .503 -.040 2 26 ARSC22A 1878 2001 124 5 0 .554 1.02 2.28 .444 .794 .204 2.59 .406 -.027 1 27 ARSC22B 1878 2001 124 5 1 .499 1.20 2.80 .607 .839 .227 2.80 .458 -.047 2 28 ARSC45A 1952 2001 50 1 0 .411 1.27 2.38 .420 .576 .265 2.51 .467 -.024 1 29 ARSC45B 1952 2001 50 1 0 .566 1.65 3.75 .597 .664 .228 2.58 .460 -.122 1 30 ARSC43A 1947 2001 55 3 0 .551 1.32 2.55 .462 .668 .229 2.70 .526 -.006 1 31 ARSC43B 1947 2001 55 3 0 .376 1.13 2.22 .388 .696 .222 2.56 .394 .011 1 32 ARSC48A 1960 2001 42 1 0 .409 2.09 3.92 .717 .834 .141 2.47 .428 -.037 1 33 ARSC48B 1960 1983 24 1 1 .049 1.70 3.26 .529 .123 .284 3.00 .717 -.031 1 34 ARSC7A 1959 2001 43 1 0 .610 2.46 4.37 1.382 .935 .244 2.41 .399 -.070 1 35 ARSC7B 1959 2001 43 1 0 .418 2.77 5.81 1.587 .787 .303 3.24 .578 .068 1 36 ARSC41A 1940 2001 62 3 1 .281 1.72 3.70 1.011 .861 .282 2.73 .579 .097 1 37 ARSC41B 1940 2001 62 3 1 .349 1.66 3.75 1.076 .866 .285 2.77 .520 .051 1 38 ARSC39 1940 2001 62 3 3 .281 .91 3.04 .563 .656 .289 3.15 .569 -.015 1 39 ARSC39B 1940 2001 62 3 3 .262 .96 3.13 .730 .867 .284 2.93 .484 -.025 1 40 ARSC8A 1947 2001 55 3 3 .299 1.98 3.31 .633 .706 .212 2.49 .465 -.018 1 41 ARSC8B 1947 2001 55 3 3 .045 1.60 2.90 .548 .695 .213 2.82 .511 .064 2 42 ARSC26A 1824 2001 178 8 7 .285 .94 3.35 .465 .619 .254 2.98 .505 .008 1 43 ARSC20A 1898 2001 104 5 2 .384 1.34 2.60 .514 .642 .268 2.54 .458 .081 1 44 ARSC20B 1929 2001 73 3 1 .319 1.42 3.09 .706 .827 .242 2.87 .580 .023 1 45 ARSC2A 1943 2001 59 3 0 .685 1.58 2.80 .549 .670 .229 2.45 .405 -.040 1 46 ARSC2B 1943 2001 59 3 3 .366 1.81 3.06 .659 .539 .291 2.53 .413 .041 1 47 ARSC13A 1874 2001 128 6 3 .434 1.64 5.80 .935 .814 .225 2.69 .443 -.117 1 48 ARSC13B 1874 1972 99 4 0 .555 1.38 2.99 .447 .496 .240 3.04 .534 -.078 1 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: Slime Creek 10:50 Thu 25 May 2006 Page 10 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 49 ARSC37A 1968 2001 34 1 0 .812 2.95 11.11 1.570 .721 .170 2.57 .509 -.040 1 50 ARSC37B 1968 2001 34 1 0 .724 2.86 8.19 1.240 .766 .186 2.76 .653 -.003 1 51 ARSC44A 1967 2001 35 1 0 .668 2.66 3.93 .753 .645 .192 2.59 .526 -.020 1 52 ARSC44B 1967 2001 35 1 1 .301 2.35 3.82 .682 .753 .174 2.79 .672 -.064 2 53 ARSC31A 1944 2001 58 3 0 .386 2.82 4.82 .858 .760 .177 2.45 .389 .005 1 54 ARSC31B 1944 2001 58 3 3 .196 2.62 4.45 .932 .703 .211 2.66 .608 .002 1 55 ARSC12 1869 2001 133 6 1 .504 1.68 3.17 .627 .798 .211 2.46 .377 .026 1 56 ARSC12B 1869 1900 32 1 1 -.039 1.52 4.97 .889 .808 .293 2.71 .527 .104 3 57 ARSC24A 1790 2001 212 9 1 .478 .53 1.67 .306 .833 .239 2.76 .417 -.040 1 58 ARSC24B 1791 2001 211 9 4 .223 .56 1.81 .340 .854 .232 2.83 .519 -.033 1 59 ARSC14A 1895 2001 107 5 0 .416 1.18 2.72 .539 .875 .182 2.55 .451 -.054 1 60 ARSC14B 1898 2001 104 5 0 .446 1.22 1.94 .322 .659 .175 2.60 .466 .011 1 61 ARSC19A 1960 2001 42 1 0 .472 2.01 3.16 .521 .678 .186 2.56 .591 -.027 1 62 ARSC19B 1960 2001 42 1 0 .492 2.12 3.29 .624 .700 .177 2.47 .590 -.047 2 63 ARSC32A 1932 2001 70 3 1 .402 1.74 4.23 .874 .813 .217 2.69 .477 -.033 1 64 ARSC32B 1933 2000 68 3 3 -.014 2.01 5.00 1.195 .858 .268 2.39 .348 -.055 1 65 ARSC33 1924 2001 78 4 1 .536 1.04 2.00 .402 .683 .254 2.55 .561 .018 2 66 ARSC35A 1952 2001 50 1 1 .214 .66 1.46 .324 .583 .358 2.71 .613 .148 1 67 ARSC35B 1952 2001 50 1 1 .012 .73 2.30 .493 .662 .415 2.71 .559 -.033 2 68 ARSC49A 1938 2001 64 3 1 .385 .64 1.77 .398 .871 .216 2.84 .684 -.103 1 69 ARSC49B 1938 2001 64 3 3 .241 .99 1.60 .297 .563 .224 2.78 .584 -.035 1 70 ARSC11A 1948 2001 54 3 0 .406 2.38 5.17 1.534 .925 .270 2.78 .477 -.083 1 71 ARSC11B 1950 2001 52 2 0 .444 1.85 3.57 .974 .900 .221 2.61 .491 -.071 1 72 ARSC36A 1941 2001 61 3 3 -.208 1.18 3.67 .679 .768 .256 3.10 .639 .078 1 73 ARSC36B 1941 2001 61 3 3 -.153 1.08 3.06 .598 .815 .256 2.67 .519 .023 3 74 ARSC10A 1946 2001 56 3 0 .606 2.74 3.99 .718 .674 .159 2.47 .502 .046 2 75 ARSC10B 1946 2001 56 3 0 .555 2.89 4.61 1.070 .850 .153 2.45 .457 -.004 1 76 ARSC5A 1966 2001 36 1 0 .488 1.24 2.94 .682 .787 .307 2.47 .453 -.084 1 77 ARSC5B 1966 2001 36 1 1 .315 1.60 3.08 .715 .717 .298 2.57 .603 -.077 2 78 ARSC47A 1942 2001 60 3 0 .558 2.19 3.47 .802 .894 .132 2.62 .487 -.037 1 79 ARSC47B 1942 2001 60 3 3 .477 2.48 4.41 1.094 .897 .153 2.81 .501 -.014 2 80 ARSC40A 1935 2001 67 3 0 .442 1.31 2.74 .564 .818 .219 2.50 .361 .036 1 81 ARSC40B 1935 2001 67 3 0 .480 1.30 3.03 .501 .708 .249 2.64 .522 .043 1 82 ARSC15a 1949 2001 53 3 0 .436 1.25 2.23 .498 .855 .171 2.65 .526 -.081 2 83 ARSC15B 1949 2001 53 3 0 .498 1.83 3.11 .807 .899 .160 2.49 .466 -.072 1 84 ARSC38A 1959 2001 43 1 1 .302 1.95 3.32 .539 .651 .192 2.65 .645 -.049 1 85 ARSC38B 1959 2001 43 1 0 .337 1.91 3.03 .522 .696 .175 2.72 .619 .016 1 86 ARSC34A 1980 2001 22 1 0 .682 1.77 3.29 .705 .622 .254 2.55 .595 -.178 1 87 ARSC34B 1980 2001 22 1 0 .501 1.64 2.49 .447 .491 .218 2.48 .592 -.197 2 88 ARSC28A 1899 2001 103 5 0 .521 1.29 3.15 .572 .601 .254 2.68 .471 .018 1 89 ARSC28B 1900 2001 102 4 0 .564 1.31 2.58 .407 .532 .224 2.61 .439 .015 1 90 ARSC1A 1942 2001 60 3 0 .569 2.35 4.30 .770 .705 .212 2.65 .549 .009 1 91 ARSC1B 1943 2000 58 3 0 .559 1.99 4.45 .727 .666 .212 2.63 .529 -.025 1 92 ARSC27A 1930 2001 72 3 0 .576 1.28 4.66 .670 .661 .237 2.74 .426 -.067 1 93 ARSC27B 1930 2001 72 3 0 .557 1.55 2.92 .613 .751 .241 2.51 .488 -.092 2 94 ARSC29A 1824 2001 178 8 5 .288 .53 2.47 .346 .852 .258 2.92 .489 -.046 2 95 ARSC29B 1825 1855 31 1 1 .090 .67 1.79 .318 .089 .349 2.80 .543 .029 4 96 ARSC6A 1955 2001 47 1 1 .118 1.16 3.00 1.032 .957 .238 2.59 .555 -.059 1 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: Slime Creek 10:50 Thu 25 May 2006 Page 11 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 97 ARSC6B 1951 2001 51 2 2 .153 1.17 3.31 .954 .890 .347 2.85 .569 .043 1 --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- Total or mean: 7202 305 100 .394 1.39 11.11 .641 .751 .232 3.24 .490 -.020