Noatak Alder Unburned, Alaska - AK187 Additional Site Information Benjamin Gaglioti, Laia Andreu Hayles Reference: Gaglioti, Benjamin; Berner, Logan T; Jones, Benjamin M; Orndahl, Kathleen M; Williams, A Park; Andreu-Hayles, Laia; D'Arrigo, Rossane; Goetz, Scott J; Mann, Daniel H. 2021 in press. Tussocks enduring or shrubs greening: Alternate responses to changing fire regimes in the Noatak River Valley, Alaska. Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences, in press NOTES: Tundra fire history effects on shrub growth Alnus viridis ssp. fruiticosa, Siberian Alder Funding Sources: Joint Fire Sciences Program, US Department of Interior: 16-1-01-8 COFECHA output: Chronology file name : AK187.CRN Measurement file name : AK187.RWL Date checked : 04FEB21 Checked by : B. Bauer Beginning year : 1936 Ending year : 2017 Principal investigators: Benjamin Gaglioti Laia Andreu Hayles Site name : Noatak Alder Unburned Site location : Alaska Species information : ALSP ALDER Latitude : 6759 Longitude : -16200 Elevation : 117M Series intercorrelation: 0.507 Avg mean sensitivity : 0.417 Avg standard deviation : 0.253 Avg autocorrelation : 0.538 Number dated series : 53 Segment length tested : 50 Number problem segments: 27 Pct problem segments : 31.03 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: Noatak Alder Unburned 18:15 Thu 04 Feb 2021 Page 5 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1925 1950 1975 1974 1999 2024 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 NB-01 1978 2017 .52 2 NB-01B 1978 2017 .74 3 NB-02 1939 2017 .57 .71 .74 4 NB-02B 1940 2017 .24A .18B .31A 5 NB-03 1940 2017 .58 .64 .61 6 NB-03B 1939 2017 .16B .33A .46 7 NB-04res 1941 2012 .17B .37B .37B 8 NB-05 1966 2015 .66 9 NB-05B 1966 2017 .48 .51 10 NB-06 1976 2017 .70 11 NB-06B 1976 2017 .73 12 NB-07 1976 2017 .62 13 NB-07B 1977 2017 .38 14 NB-08 1973 2017 .80 15 NB-08B 1975 2017 .67 16 NB-09 1976 2017 .80 17 NB-09B 1976 2017 .73 18 NB-10 1965 2017 .68 .65 19 NB-10B 1941 2013 .27A .62 .70 20 NB-11B 1936 2017 .19B .56 .56 21 NB-12 1955 2004 .61 22 NB-12B 1955 2015 .44 .34 23 NB-13 1978 2017 .71 24 NB-13B 1978 2017 .73 25 NB-14 1978 2017 .76 26 NB-14_2 1978 2017 .77 27 NB-14B 1975 2015 .28A 28 NB-15 1939 2017 .32A .45 .58 29 NB-15B 1936 2016 .10B .58 .60 30 NB-16 1972 2014 .50 31 NB-16B 1972 2014 .79 32 NB-17 1943 1998 .21A .30A 33 NB-17B 1944 2017 .24A .35 .55 34 NB-18 1966 2015 .32A 35 NB-18B 1967 2015 .26B 36 NB-20 1981 2017 .77 37 NB-20B 1980 2017 .77 38 NB-21 1959 2014 .67 .60 39 NB-21B 1959 2017 .74 .75 40 NB-22 1959 2017 .36B .43 41 NB-22B 1956 2014 .29A .33 42 NB-23 1972 2017 .50 43 NB-23B 1972 2015 .56 44 NB-24 1940 2016 .55 .58 .31B 45 NB-24B 1938 2017 .09B .29A .42 46 NB-25 1985 2015 .60 47 NB-25B 1981 2016 .15B 48 NB-26 1979 2014 .50 49 NB-26B 1979 2016 .77 50 NB-27 1939 2015 .13B .14B .18B 51 NB-27 (2 1978 2017 .82 52 NB-28 1980 2017 .61 53 NB-28B 1981 2017 .49 Av segment correlation .27 .49 .57 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: Noatak Alder Unburned 18:15 Thu 04 Feb 2021 Page 9 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 1 NB-01 1978 2017 40 1 0 .525 .66 1.57 .297 .324 .415 2.60 .430 .103 2 2 NB-01B 1978 2017 40 1 0 .741 .71 1.71 .309 .404 .347 2.70 .501 -.005 2 3 NB-02 1939 2017 79 3 0 .616 .40 1.05 .228 .502 .472 2.67 .618 -.039 1 4 NB-02B 1940 2017 78 3 3 .300 .34 1.05 .201 .514 .457 2.55 .485 -.025 1 5 NB-03 1940 2017 78 3 0 .586 .25 .76 .139 .677 .341 2.62 .482 .020 1 6 NB-03B 1939 2017 79 3 2 .384 .26 .73 .162 .675 .407 2.63 .480 -.013 1 7 NB-04res 1941 2012 72 3 3 .262 .24 .90 .141 .320 .429 3.19 .507 .010 1 8 NB-05 1966 2015 50 1 0 .663 .42 .84 .220 .589 .372 2.78 .595 .023 1 9 NB-05B 1966 2017 52 2 0 .500 .31 .79 .193 .513 .497 2.74 .593 -.055 1 10 NB-06 1976 2017 42 1 0 .695 .61 1.87 .410 .641 .416 2.96 .566 -.045 1 11 NB-06B 1976 2017 42 1 0 .729 .71 1.93 .412 .536 .433 2.83 .572 -.008 1 12 NB-07 1976 2017 42 1 0 .621 .59 1.19 .246 .383 .423 2.63 .690 -.015 2 13 NB-07B 1977 2017 41 1 0 .377 .58 .97 .204 .164 .391 2.70 .623 .066 2 14 NB-08 1973 2017 45 1 0 .799 .61 1.33 .257 .504 .349 2.62 .599 .029 1 15 NB-08B 1975 2017 43 1 0 .668 .63 1.39 .278 .586 .287 2.71 .599 -.029 1 16 NB-09 1976 2017 42 1 0 .801 .51 1.40 .304 .659 .351 2.66 .589 .135 1 17 NB-09B 1976 2017 42 1 0 .726 .51 1.25 .290 .750 .348 2.71 .605 .128 1 18 NB-10 1965 2017 53 2 0 .645 .35 .75 .153 .313 .476 2.75 .625 -.040 1 19 NB-10B 1941 2013 73 3 1 .445 .47 1.48 .312 .511 .497 2.59 .486 -.019 1 20 NB-11B 1936 2017 82 3 1 .381 .28 .91 .171 .387 .411 2.84 .474 -.014 1 21 NB-12 1955 2004 50 1 0 .605 .46 1.69 .372 .724 .451 2.67 .590 .033 1 22 NB-12B 1955 2015 61 2 0 .411 .41 2.05 .369 .701 .509 2.76 .613 -.088 1 23 NB-13 1978 2017 40 1 0 .714 .48 .95 .212 .322 .432 2.51 .458 -.049 1 24 NB-13B 1978 2017 40 1 0 .727 .43 .88 .182 .357 .428 2.53 .570 -.027 1 25 NB-14 1978 2017 40 1 0 .760 .70 1.83 .333 .585 .402 2.60 .515 -.022 2 26 NB-14_2 1978 2017 40 1 0 .774 .70 1.83 .326 .572 .383 2.79 .662 -.015 2 27 NB-14B 1975 2015 41 1 1 .279 .61 1.54 .367 .581 .419 2.50 .566 .086 1 28 NB-15 1939 2017 79 3 1 .391 .50 1.49 .295 .520 .411 2.70 .348 -.065 1 29 NB-15B 1936 2016 81 3 1 .279 .43 1.30 .251 .514 .418 2.69 .361 -.048 1 30 NB-16 1972 2014 43 1 0 .497 .56 1.46 .368 .672 .482 2.72 .603 -.030 1 31 NB-16B 1972 2014 43 1 0 .792 .70 1.65 .403 .541 .492 2.61 .570 .082 1 32 NB-17 1943 1998 56 2 2 .304 .33 .99 .208 .724 .386 2.62 .490 .057 1 33 NB-17B 1944 2017 74 3 1 .406 .25 .80 .172 .592 .453 2.55 .448 -.049 1 34 NB-18 1966 2015 50 1 1 .321 .47 .80 .203 .537 .409 2.46 .458 -.090 2 35 NB-18B 1967 2015 49 1 1 .260 .36 .78 .207 .728 .386 2.77 .645 -.091 1 36 NB-20 1981 2017 37 1 0 .770 .95 2.13 .515 .436 .487 2.56 .521 .091 1 37 NB-20B 1980 2017 38 1 0 .774 .59 1.22 .276 .159 .480 2.64 .594 -.006 1 38 NB-21 1959 2014 56 2 0 .600 .34 .67 .156 .653 .323 2.86 .776 -.068 3 39 NB-21B 1959 2017 59 2 0 .722 .33 .68 .162 .686 .306 2.75 .605 -.045 1 40 NB-22 1959 2017 59 2 1 .415 .50 1.44 .323 .765 .371 2.94 .690 .034 1 41 NB-22B 1956 2014 59 2 1 .265 .30 .96 .224 .683 .480 2.86 .626 -.030 1 42 NB-23 1972 2017 46 1 0 .501 .37 .81 .189 .343 .452 2.61 .573 -.065 2 43 NB-23B 1972 2015 44 1 0 .563 .33 .74 .180 .310 .488 2.64 .554 -.021 1 44 NB-24 1940 2016 77 3 1 .372 .48 1.61 .264 .560 .373 2.68 .473 -.056 2 45 NB-24B 1938 2017 80 3 2 .296 .39 1.55 .231 .505 .381 2.67 .463 -.029 3 46 NB-25 1985 2015 31 1 0 .604 .55 1.35 .365 .651 .367 2.69 .587 -.032 1 47 NB-25B 1981 2016 36 1 1 .146 .48 1.32 .320 .286 .559 2.73 .662 -.087 2 48 NB-26 1979 2014 36 1 0 .503 .42 1.02 .287 .787 .330 2.68 .598 .028 2 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: Noatak Alder Unburned 18:15 Thu 04 Feb 2021 Page 10 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 49 NB-26B 1979 2016 38 1 0 .767 .48 1.13 .319 .739 .430 2.47 .522 -.057 2 50 NB-27 1939 2015 77 3 3 .246 .32 1.04 .207 .661 .373 3.01 .552 -.004 1 51 NB-27 (2 1978 2017 40 1 0 .822 .59 1.15 .287 .526 .375 2.52 .450 .055 1 52 NB-28 1980 2017 38 1 0 .612 .47 1.08 .236 .270 .529 2.63 .567 .088 1 53 NB-28B 1981 2017 37 1 0 .490 .48 .99 .235 .473 .424 2.73 .706 .051 1 --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- Total or mean: 2790 87 27 .507 .45 2.13 .253 .538 .417 3.19 .546 -.010