Chronology file name : AZ060.CRN Measurement file name : AZ060.RWL Date checked : 10MAR05 Checked by : H. ADAMS AND J. LUKAS Beginning year : 1695 Ending year : 1967 Principal investigators: C.W. Stockton Site name : Dragon Creek Site location : Arizona Species information : PSME DOUGLAS FIR Latitude : 3615 Longitude : 11208 Elevation : 2560M Series intercorrelation: 0.603 Avg mean sensitivity : 0.248 Avg standard deviation : 0.549 Avg autocorrelation : 0.774 Number dated series : 60 Segment length tested : 50 Number problem segments: 40 Pct problem segments : 8.40 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: az060.rwl 16:44 Thu 10 Mar 2005 Page 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1600 1625 1650 1675 1700 1725 1750 1775 1800 1825 1850 1875 1900 1925 1649 1674 1699 1724 1749 1774 1799 1824 1849 1874 1899 1924 1949 1974 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 190011 1695 1967 .37 .42 .32A .53 .70 .65 .58 .53 .50 .62 .51 2 190012 1755 1967 .64 .63 .67 .67 .65 .56 .58 .71 3 190021 1709 1967 .74 .65 .50 .65 .60 .47 .62 .75 .77 .77 4 190022 1760 1967 .57 .61 .62 .60 .63 .70 .82 .73 5 190031 1824 1967 .35 .36 .53 .56 .57 .56 6 190032 1815 1967 .14B .29A .50 .60 .68 .59 7 190041 1749 1967 .52 .52 .70 .62 .53 .69 .73 .73 .65 8 190042 1808 1967 .67 .65 .78 .69 .68 .44 9 190051 1830 1967 .64 .69 .77 .62 .54 10 190052 1822 1967 .52 .53 .70 .71 .53 .55 11 190061 1820 1967 .71 .68 .80 .61 .47 .37 12 190062 1846 1967 .80 .75 .75 .44 .36 13 190071 1714 1949 .55 .55 .48 .48 .59 .71 .80 .72 .50 14 190072 1744 1949 .53 .49 .49 .67 .72 .76 .75 .39 15 190081 1698 1967 .47 .51 .59 .53 .41 .52 .64 .30A .07B .29A .53 16 190082 1711 1967 .71 .68 .53 .45 .54 .72 .72 .64 .34 .34 17 190091 1696 1967 .76 .81 .66 .51 .71 .76 .72 .60 .44 .40 .28A 18 190092 1706 1967 .67 .67 .47 .62 .73 .71 .70 .55 .30A .28A 19 190101 1710 1967 .68 .64 .49 .38 .53 .56 .44 .44 .54 .55 20 190102 1699 1967 .51 .51 .72 .47 .46 .61 .67 .75 .52 .40 .46 21 190111 1690 1967 .77 .81 .73 .57 .56 .48 .58 .81 .74 .46 .38 22 190112 1613 1967 .34 .23A .16B .68 .77 .70 .52 .60 .64 .65 .76 .64 .46 .32A 23 190121 1712 1967 .79 .80 .68 .54 .50 .63 .67 .58 .47 .42 24 190122 1740 1967 .56 .56 .51 .58 .78 .50 .16B .11B .31A 25 190131 1671 1967 .67 .82 .84 .75 .58 .46 .51 .65 .71 .49 .15B .04B 26 190132 1654 1967 .40 .80 .85 .78 .55 .35B .41 .61 .74 .53 .23A .14B 27 190141 1808 1967 .47 .68 .66 .59 .46B .41 28 190142 1829 1967 .68 .73 .67 .57 .41 29 190151 1662 1967 .48 .74 .84 .56 .26B .43 .58 .71 .81 .72 .26B .08B 30 190152 1699 1967 .82 .82 .70 .54 .46 .52 .81 .79 .59 .30A .34 31 190161 1742 1967 .72 .67 .79 .74 .76 .88 .81 .74 .80 32 190162 1735 1967 .82 .72 .79 .79 .83 .87 .81 .75 .80 33 190171 1730 1967 .72 .69 .75 .78 .77 .86 .82 .68 .76 34 190172 1786 1967 .80 .79 .78 .85 .78 .61 .71 35 190181 1617 1967 .63 .64 .62 .62 .71 .79 .78 .79 .71 .71 .89 .88 .71 .71 36 190182 1646 1967 .56 .57 .59 .66 .70 .73 .84 .78 .70 .85 .86 .77 .66 37 190191 1700 1967 .78 .76 .61 .57 .65 .73 .78 .76 .62 .54 38 190192 1718 1967 .78 .75 .68 .62 .66 .70 .76 .79 .62 .58 39 190201 1669 1967 .64 .63 .77 .77 .70 .66 .69 .70 .77 .79 .68 .67 40 190202 1681 1967 .68 .78 .80 .60 .52 .68 .72 .79 .81 .65 .62 41 190211 1708 1967 .66 .52 .51 .52 .55 .58 .58 .61 .41 .49 42 190212 1760 1967 .45 .50 .45 .42 .40 .46 .24B .17B 43 190221 1827 1967 .68 .83 .82 .58 .66 44 190222 1829 1967 .67 .76 .81 .55 .63 45 190231 1819 1967 .15B .14B .65 .74 .39B .37 46 190232 1825 1967 .30A .66 .80 .56 .49 47 190241 1808 1967 .48 .60 .66 .58 .43 .48 48 190242 1815 1967 .68 .73 .76 .71 .45 .48 49 190251 1848 1967 .82 .81 .73 .61 .70 50 190252 1860 1967 .73 .68 .57 .77 51 190261 1840 1967 .63 .68 .79 .65 .59 52 190262 1841 1967 .60 .67 .77 .52 .52 53 190271 1860 1967 .56 .40 .21A .27A 54 190272 1860 1967 -.03B-.06B-.07B .08B 55 190281 1857 1967 .74 .82 .28A .26A 56 190282 1851 1967 .80 .84 .36 .24A 57 190291 1864 1967 .62 .61 .48 .59 58 190292 1864 1967 .69 .70 .52 .59 59 190301 1838 1967 .52 .65 .64 .53 .71 60 190302 1836 1967 .67 .72 .70 .51 .66 Av segment correlation .48 .48 .50 .66 .72 .67 .57 .59 .59 .64 .69 .65 .50 .49 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: az060.rwl 16:44 Thu 10 Mar 2005 Page 8 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 1 190011 1695 1967 273 11 1 .507 1.09 2.88 .452 .778 .225 2.48 .342 -.032 1 2 190012 1755 1967 213 8 0 .629 1.36 3.86 .656 .851 .197 2.54 .356 -.044 1 3 190021 1709 1967 259 10 0 .662 1.16 3.98 .616 .794 .259 2.70 .434 -.044 1 4 190022 1760 1967 208 8 0 .634 1.34 3.71 .647 .647 .310 2.80 .449 -.040 1 5 190031 1824 1967 144 6 0 .490 1.89 4.82 .817 .725 .257 2.50 .342 -.043 1 6 190032 1815 1967 153 6 2 .452 1.98 4.13 .735 .736 .234 2.53 .395 -.019 1 7 190041 1749 1967 219 9 0 .601 1.11 2.64 .486 .787 .218 2.54 .395 -.023 1 8 190042 1808 1967 160 6 0 .623 1.72 4.58 1.018 .852 .229 2.63 .410 -.057 1 9 190051 1830 1967 138 5 0 .642 1.62 5.18 .724 .583 .280 2.81 .443 .031 1 10 190052 1822 1967 146 6 0 .570 1.73 4.90 .622 .613 .243 2.50 .286 .028 1 11 190061 1820 1967 148 6 0 .540 1.36 2.66 .487 .853 .156 2.52 .415 -.039 1 12 190062 1846 1967 122 5 0 .578 1.77 3.43 .724 .873 .141 2.63 .400 .026 1 13 190071 1714 1949 236 9 0 .592 1.08 3.30 .607 .857 .236 2.54 .365 -.036 1 14 190072 1744 1949 206 8 0 .594 1.21 2.45 .501 .816 .215 2.68 .411 -.008 1 15 190081 1698 1967 270 11 3 .459 .72 2.51 .528 .921 .229 2.58 .407 -.048 1 16 190082 1711 1967 257 10 0 .573 .79 3.26 .586 .933 .210 2.53 .303 -.021 2 17 190091 1696 1967 272 11 1 .599 .76 2.79 .482 .878 .216 2.61 .391 -.037 1 18 190092 1706 1967 262 10 2 .578 .96 2.53 .572 .845 .210 2.58 .409 -.012 1 19 190101 1710 1967 258 10 0 .534 .95 3.03 .613 .919 .181 2.63 .346 -.046 1 20 190102 1699 1967 269 11 0 .533 .90 2.21 .391 .819 .184 2.55 .385 -.080 1 21 190111 1690 1967 278 11 0 .641 .81 1.55 .258 .730 .177 2.56 .324 -.044 2 22 190112 1613 1967 355 14 3 .558 .76 1.89 .291 .770 .203 2.55 .266 -.050 1 23 190121 1712 1967 256 10 0 .634 .87 2.47 .391 .770 .245 2.69 .417 -.038 2 24 190122 1740 1967 228 9 3 .439 .95 3.39 .437 .784 .214 2.77 .428 -.043 1 25 190131 1671 1967 297 12 2 .588 .71 1.73 .326 .851 .186 2.42 .272 -.056 1 26 190132 1654 1967 314 12 3 .556 .69 1.42 .290 .813 .197 2.61 .277 -.048 2 27 190141 1808 1967 160 6 1 .520 1.50 3.04 .625 .802 .193 2.46 .341 -.024 1 28 190142 1829 1967 139 5 0 .618 1.78 3.77 .736 .808 .185 2.51 .414 -.062 1 29 190151 1662 1967 306 12 3 .565 .77 1.84 .296 .734 .217 2.53 .294 -.049 2 30 190152 1699 1967 269 11 1 .626 .83 2.28 .402 .840 .221 2.39 .250 -.079 1 31 190161 1742 1967 226 9 0 .774 .88 2.54 .454 .636 .307 2.56 .414 -.044 1 32 190162 1735 1967 233 9 0 .807 .88 2.03 .379 .560 .327 2.45 .319 -.024 1 33 190171 1730 1967 238 9 0 .766 .62 2.04 .380 .687 .372 2.55 .403 -.027 1 34 190172 1786 1967 182 7 0 .771 .65 2.33 .394 .711 .367 2.54 .386 -.043 1 35 190181 1617 1967 351 14 0 .718 .62 2.05 .297 .565 .357 2.59 .340 -.049 1 36 190182 1646 1967 322 13 0 .700 .75 2.43 .402 .563 .372 2.69 .384 -.056 1 37 190191 1700 1967 268 10 0 .670 .80 2.55 .597 .789 .423 2.61 .457 -.042 1 38 190192 1718 1967 250 10 0 .696 .77 2.44 .505 .737 .417 2.63 .456 -.049 1 39 190201 1669 1967 299 12 0 .700 .60 2.03 .388 .712 .385 2.44 .285 -.041 1 40 190202 1681 1967 287 11 0 .691 .59 1.95 .342 .692 .365 2.47 .299 -.050 1 41 190211 1708 1967 260 10 0 .550 .91 1.87 .288 .765 .181 2.63 .431 -.049 2 42 190212 1760 1967 208 8 2 .395 1.23 2.59 .442 .760 .196 2.83 .438 -.081 1 43 190221 1827 1967 141 5 0 .711 1.87 5.02 1.076 .832 .300 2.50 .358 -.017 1 44 190222 1829 1967 139 5 0 .707 1.79 4.15 .906 .845 .262 2.44 .394 -.024 1 45 190231 1819 1967 149 6 3 .447 1.42 4.12 .927 .928 .219 2.50 .336 -.090 1 46 190232 1825 1967 143 5 1 .546 1.63 4.21 1.018 .919 .188 2.49 .360 -.020 1 47 190241 1808 1967 160 6 0 .520 1.42 3.09 .531 .774 .203 2.46 .339 -.032 2 48 190242 1815 1967 153 6 0 .623 1.49 3.20 .569 .769 .212 2.65 .441 -.022 2 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: az060.rwl 16:44 Thu 10 Mar 2005 Page 9 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 49 190251 1848 1967 120 5 0 .744 1.97 6.96 .925 .874 .179 2.51 .365 -.040 1 50 190252 1860 1967 108 4 0 .730 1.90 3.38 .696 .843 .168 2.56 .411 -.052 1 51 190261 1840 1967 128 5 0 .645 2.27 5.47 .846 .776 .167 2.53 .340 -.025 1 52 190262 1841 1967 127 5 0 .619 2.23 3.96 .810 .820 .169 2.57 .362 -.052 2 53 190271 1860 1967 108 4 2 .410 1.42 4.03 1.029 .898 .242 2.83 .559 -.003 1 54 190272 1860 1967 108 4 4 .014 1.46 6.17 1.360 .906 .267 3.10 .579 -.089 1 55 190281 1857 1967 111 4 2 .504 2.27 4.79 .872 .671 .266 2.46 .367 .032 1 56 190282 1851 1967 117 4 1 .618 2.73 5.78 1.012 .738 .246 2.45 .391 -.033 1 57 190291 1864 1967 104 4 0 .581 2.24 4.45 .794 .737 .196 2.44 .347 -.032 1 58 190292 1864 1967 104 4 0 .612 2.28 4.57 .881 .768 .202 2.57 .345 -.041 1 59 190301 1838 1967 130 5 0 .622 2.16 4.31 .876 .807 .203 2.55 .425 .087 3 60 190302 1836 1967 132 5 0 .661 2.37 5.01 .813 .730 .196 2.70 .423 .042 1 --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- Total or mean: 12221 476 40 .603 1.15 6.96 .549 .774 .248 3.10 .370 -.037