Flagstaff, Arizona - AZ572 Additional Site Information J.S. Dean W.J. Robinson Reference: David W. Stahle, Edward R. Cook, Dorian J. Burnette, Jose Villanueva, Julian Cerano, Jordan N. Burns, Daniel Griffin, Benjamin I. Cook, Rodolfo Acuna, Max C.A. Torbenson, Paul Sjezner, Ian M. Howard. 2016. The Mexican Drought Atlas: Tree-ring reconstructions of the soil moisture balance during the late pre-Hispanic, colonial, and modern eras. Quaternary Science Reviews, 149, 34-60. doi: 10.1016/j.quascirev.2016.06.018 COFECHA output: Chronology file name : AZ572.CRN Measurement file name : AZ572.RWL Date checked : 02DEC16 Checked by : B. Bauer Beginning year : 570 Ending year : 1987 Principal investigators: J.S. Dean W.J. Robinson Site name : Flagstaff Site location : Arizona Species information : PIPO PONDEROSA PINE Latitude : 3524 Longitude : -11135 Elevation : M Series intercorrelation: 0.777 Avg mean sensitivity : 0.453 Avg standard deviation : 0.600 Avg autocorrelation : 0.720 Number dated series : 65 Segment length tested : 50 Number problem segments: 5 Pct problem segments : 0.81 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: Flagstaff 11:54 Fri 02 Dec 2016 Page 5 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 575 600 625 650 675 700 725 750 775 800 825 850 875 900 925 950 975 1000 1025 1050 624 649 674 699 724 749 774 799 824 849 874 899 924 949 974 999 1024 1049 1074 1099 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 301201 570 798 .53 .61 .64 .88 .92 .89 .82 .81 2 301203 670 927 .85 .87 .84 .81 .86 .87 .73 .73 .83 .82 .80 3 301204 671 771 .85 .87 .77 .79 4 302201 581 669 .53 .74 .76 5 306203 769 897 .83 .82 .80 .75 .75 6 307202 732 943 .74 .83 .87 .89 .81 .81 .87 .84 7 307204 870 1044 .72 .75 .67 .75 .75 .75 .80 8 309202 735 841 .78 .79 .81 .82 9 309203 760 985 .81 .81 .87 .88 .83 .81 .80 .82 .84 10 309205 816 1091 .74 .76 .71 .89 .87 .87 .89 .90 .79 .57 .66 11 309206 847 986 .82 .85 .87 .88 .94 .94 12 309207 860 969 .83 .83 .83 .84 13 309211 950 1104 .89 .88 .73 .49 .62 14 309214 984 1125 .78 .74 .78 .86 15 310203 831 960 .55 .52 .77 .76 .82 16 310205 883 994 .69 .65 .79 .82 17 311202 820 928 .80 .79 .82 .85 .84 18 314201 811 927 .89 .91 .91 .92 .92 19 314202 812 919 .77 .78 .75 .78 20 314203 820 927 .80 .81 .80 .85 .84 21 315201 820 927 .75 .74 .66 .71 .72 22 317201 910 1040 .78 .90 .87 .79 .74 23 317202 857 987 .87 .89 .79 .83 .87 24 317203 867 998 .85 .84 .86 .90 .89 25 318201 937 1100 .71 .79 .72 .56 .45 .42 26 318202 999 1139 .73 .73 .82 .83 27 318204 1017 1123 .35 .64 .81 28 318205 1020 1136 .67 .66 .79 29 318206 1023 1123 .78 .78 .81 30 322201 1012 1185 .72 .77 .73 31 323201 1017 1130 .55 .78 .82 34 304201 997 1166 .62 .65 .62 .73 Av segment correlation .53 .67 .70 .86 .89 .83 .79 .82 .83 .81 .78 .78 .82 .80 .83 .86 .77 .68 .67 .73 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: Flagstaff 11:54 Fri 02 Dec 2016 Page 6 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1075 1100 1125 1150 1175 1200 1225 1250 1275 1300 1325 1350 1375 1400 1425 1450 1475 1500 1525 1550 1124 1149 1174 1199 1224 1249 1274 1299 1324 1349 1374 1399 1424 1449 1474 1499 1524 1549 1574 1599 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 13 309211 950 1104 .60 14 309214 984 1125 .80 .81 25 318201 937 1100 .43 26 318202 999 1139 .57 .55 27 318204 1017 1123 .62 28 318205 1020 1136 .73 .59 29 318206 1023 1123 .58 30 322201 1012 1185 .63 .68 .82 .85 31 323201 1017 1130 .70 .69 32 324201 1109 1274 .63 .76 .78 .72 .75 .63 33 329201 1135 1250 .81 .76 .67 .61 .61 34 304201 997 1166 .67 .64 .73 35 304206 1142 1229 .89 .84 .71 .68 36 304210 1196 1309 .59 .62 .61 .65 .62 37 304213 1250 1308 .61 .62 38 304215 1266 1310 .56 39 323202 1470 1759 .64 .66 .68 .77 .66 40 399201 1309 1750 .99 1.00 .99 .77 .58 .63 .68 .66 .77 .73 .58B 41 399202 1398 1759 .66 .67 .52 .70 .82 .71 .53 .47 42 399203 1399 1790 .52 .54 .62 .78 .76 .78 .81 .77 43 399204 1505 1905 .27B .44 .64 44 399205 1552 1889 .70 47 WCP021 1414 1987 .53 .72 .80 .81 .80 .71 .67 48 WCP022 1420 1987 .79 .78 .86 .81 .76 .68 .66 55 WCP061 1532 1987 .56 .36 56 WCP062 1528 1987 .48 .27A Av segment correlation .63 .66 .80 .81 .67 .66 .62 .61 .62 .99 1.00 .99 .65 .62 .66 .74 .75 .68 .63 .58 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: Flagstaff 11:54 Fri 02 Dec 2016 Page 7 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1575 1600 1625 1650 1675 1700 1725 1750 1775 1800 1825 1850 1875 1900 1925 1950 1624 1649 1674 1699 1724 1749 1774 1799 1824 1849 1874 1899 1924 1949 1974 1999 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 39 323202 1470 1759 .68 .63 .59 .51 .37 .59 .66 40 399201 1309 1750 .71 .77 .75 .63 .21B .44 .50 41 399202 1398 1759 .81 .88 .85 .81 .75 .80 .80 42 399203 1399 1790 .81 .74 .64 .37 .08B .46 .73 .71 43 399204 1505 1905 .71 .63 .58 .56 .36 .54 .67 .61 .70 .72 .62 .56 .50 44 399205 1552 1889 .85 .84 .83 .66 .38 .66 .80 .63 .60 .69 .77 .76 45 WCP011 1621 1987 .90 .92 .93 .91 .90 .91 .92 .95 .95 .93 .87 .82 .73 .77 .89 46 WCP012 1601 1987 .63 .75 .85 .88 .93 .90 .87 .94 .93 .88 .89 .87 .79 .82 .86 47 WCP021 1414 1987 .78 .86 .91 .90 .89 .88 .84 .87 .95 .90 .71 .63 .54 .54 .69 .75 48 WCP022 1420 1987 .79 .85 .87 .82 .81 .82 .83 .87 .89 .87 .84 .79 .69 .71 .84 .87 49 WCP031 1718 1987 .89 .88 .90 .96 .95 .94 .84 .66 .74 .83 .85 50 WCP032 1720 1987 .88 .89 .89 .92 .91 .84 .75 .78 .74 .72 .73 51 WCP041 1611 1987 .88 .91 .87 .85 .89 .89 .91 .96 .94 .89 .87 .79 .77 .86 .89 52 WCP042 1610 1987 .89 .95 .93 .92 .93 .93 .95 .94 .91 .88 .90 .86 .81 .87 .85 53 WCP051 1610 1987 .93 .93 .92 .89 .91 .93 .90 .93 .92 .87 .69 .65 .79 .83 .89 54 WCP052 1609 1987 .91 .92 .93 .92 .95 .92 .83 .86 .91 .90 .87 .87 .82 .89 .85 55 WCP061 1532 1987 .67 .76 .75 .79 .84 .85 .82 .76 .92 .90 .81 .71 .59 .66 .62 .56 56 WCP062 1528 1987 .75 .81 .76 .79 .81 .81 .83 .82 .87 .87 .76 .68 .42 .62 .77 .60 57 WCP071 1621 1987 .82 .81 .82 .81 .82 .84 .83 .84 .79 .77 .82 .79 .73 .83 .85 58 WCP072 1620 1987 .73 .74 .66 .83 .85 .90 .78 .79 .88 .84 .76 .76 .70 .79 .87 59 WCP081 1678 1987 .62 .75 .77 .71 .66 .72 .71 .62 .77 .64 .64 .69 60 WCP082 1680 1987 .58 .69 .86 .83 .77 .74 .69 .58 .70 .68 .69 .67 61 WCP091 1680 1987 .83 .86 .89 .90 .87 .85 .85 .78 .71 .69 .74 .77 62 WCP092 1683 1987 .80 .83 .81 .86 .93 .90 .87 .81 .76 .80 .84 .86 63 WCP101 1612 1982 .73 .70 .70 .60 .78 .86 .85 .87 .80 .68 .61 .41 .52 .48 .44 64 WCP111 1622 1987 .89 .89 .88 .80 .77 .85 .85 .86 .87 .83 .84 .75 .73 .90 .89 65 WCP112 1605 1987 .88 .91 .89 .86 .85 .87 .85 .89 .89 .83 .84 .75 .73 .85 .87 Av segment correlation .76 .81 .81 .77 .70 .79 .83 .83 .86 .86 .81 .76 .70 .71 .78 .79 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: Flagstaff 11:54 Fri 02 Dec 2016 Page 14 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 1 301201 570 798 229 8 0 .762 .49 1.43 .307 .500 .680 2.41 .341 -.032 2 2 301203 670 927 258 11 0 .827 .45 1.09 .211 .535 .429 2.60 .362 .019 1 3 301204 671 771 101 4 0 .821 1.42 3.02 .710 .687 .376 2.53 .440 -.012 2 4 302201 581 669 89 3 0 .645 1.50 2.82 .605 .506 .374 2.42 .409 .021 1 5 306203 769 897 129 5 0 .780 1.09 2.49 .501 .554 .390 2.64 .550 -.045 1 6 307202 732 943 212 8 0 .845 .40 1.20 .247 .501 .658 2.57 .446 -.034 1 7 307204 870 1044 175 7 0 .739 1.13 5.17 1.053 .878 .398 2.85 .375 -.021 1 8 309202 735 841 107 4 0 .792 .98 3.97 .782 .757 .493 2.47 .430 -.011 2 9 309203 760 985 226 9 0 .815 1.01 3.86 .655 .657 .393 2.48 .330 .002 1 10 309205 816 1091 276 11 0 .795 .74 1.90 .312 .436 .403 2.69 .392 -.031 1 11 309206 847 986 140 6 0 .883 1.10 2.69 .485 .462 .382 2.49 .418 -.011 1 12 309207 860 969 110 4 0 .860 .62 2.65 .480 .685 .660 2.72 .595 -.046 1 13 309211 950 1104 155 6 0 .743 .64 1.70 .326 .516 .465 2.63 .399 -.013 2 14 309214 984 1125 142 6 0 .784 .62 1.81 .335 .398 .490 2.55 .417 -.030 2 15 310203 831 960 130 5 0 .726 .90 2.98 .499 .731 .374 2.45 .360 -.014 1 16 310205 883 994 112 4 0 .737 1.63 4.56 .967 .829 .346 2.61 .492 .026 4 17 311202 820 928 109 5 0 .830 .55 1.15 .296 .431 .565 2.58 .462 -.011 1 18 314201 811 927 117 5 0 .907 .82 2.82 .522 .495 .584 2.60 .504 .002 1 19 314202 812 919 108 4 0 .773 .55 1.73 .346 .657 .495 2.63 .444 -.007 1 20 314203 820 927 108 5 0 .754 .82 4.57 .710 .809 .526 2.58 .383 -.025 3 21 315201 820 927 108 5 0 .710 1.96 4.89 .798 .609 .295 2.51 .429 -.023 1 22 317201 910 1040 131 5 0 .789 .37 1.05 .255 .525 .736 2.64 .518 -.054 1 23 317202 857 987 131 5 0 .861 .83 3.42 .631 .775 .545 2.38 .376 -.004 1 24 317203 867 998 132 5 0 .876 1.61 4.51 1.067 .798 .427 2.64 .422 .006 1 25 318201 937 1100 164 7 0 .597 .75 1.61 .312 .726 .255 2.91 .442 -.046 1 26 318202 999 1139 141 6 0 .711 .86 3.40 .603 .892 .256 2.49 .336 -.015 1 27 318204 1017 1123 107 4 0 .637 .81 3.29 .758 .882 .512 2.71 .437 -.061 1 28 318205 1020 1136 117 5 0 .617 .64 1.76 .306 .777 .272 2.55 .410 -.060 1 29 318206 1023 1123 101 4 0 .740 1.10 3.20 .647 .827 .349 2.54 .373 -.033 1 30 322201 1012 1185 174 7 0 .745 .41 .88 .158 .165 .470 2.49 .345 .009 1 31 323201 1017 1130 114 5 0 .718 .90 3.51 .640 .752 .463 2.71 .393 .039 2 32 324201 1109 1274 166 6 0 .679 .35 1.22 .230 .653 .580 2.57 .445 -.019 1 33 329201 1135 1250 116 5 0 .695 .53 1.27 .235 .373 .446 2.57 .604 -.077 1 34 304201 997 1166 170 7 0 .658 .55 1.41 .269 .555 .361 2.42 .339 -.059 1 35 304206 1142 1229 88 4 0 .820 .30 .60 .144 .447 .461 2.50 .453 -.037 1 36 304210 1196 1309 114 5 0 .613 .98 3.83 .842 .915 .310 2.44 .339 -.071 1 37 304213 1250 1308 59 2 0 .625 .65 2.88 .695 .754 .426 2.71 .551 -.032 1 38 304215 1266 1310 45 1 0 .559 .83 1.92 .387 .609 .352 2.74 .598 -.021 1 39 323202 1470 1759 290 12 0 .648 .65 2.00 .387 .580 .472 2.62 .359 .009 1 40 399201 1309 1750 442 18 2 .709 1.13 4.06 .648 .765 .348 2.54 .361 -.023 1 41 399202 1398 1759 362 15 0 .765 .68 2.31 .456 .689 .541 2.56 .415 -.053 2 42 399203 1399 1790 392 16 1 .645 1.05 3.29 .460 .520 .373 2.56 .379 -.010 2 43 399204 1505 1905 401 16 1 .559 .95 3.80 .755 .854 .339 2.58 .362 -.005 1 44 399205 1552 1889 338 13 0 .691 1.03 3.09 .576 .766 .353 2.66 .350 -.010 1 45 WCP011 1621 1987 367 15 0 .891 .89 3.45 .727 .751 .560 2.84 .489 -.034 2 46 WCP012 1601 1987 387 15 0 .836 1.12 4.48 .783 .725 .473 2.66 .356 -.048 1 47 WCP021 1414 1987 574 23 0 .797 .57 4.87 .460 .748 .506 2.62 .337 -.011 1 48 WCP022 1420 1987 568 23 0 .839 .52 2.04 .313 .581 .537 2.68 .412 -.018 1 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: Flagstaff 11:54 Fri 02 Dec 2016 Page 15 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 49 WCP031 1718 1987 270 11 0 .878 1.03 4.15 .834 .791 .439 2.59 .404 -.026 1 50 WCP032 1720 1987 268 11 0 .846 1.14 3.84 .827 .735 .479 2.55 .417 -.006 1 51 WCP041 1611 1987 377 15 0 .893 .98 5.76 .971 .843 .572 2.58 .427 -.021 1 52 WCP042 1610 1987 378 15 0 .900 .95 3.80 .694 .724 .566 2.67 .438 -.039 1 53 WCP051 1610 1987 378 15 0 .860 .83 3.76 .801 .868 .567 2.51 .293 -.013 1 54 WCP052 1609 1987 379 15 0 .883 .88 3.21 .618 .800 .456 2.64 .386 -.058 1 55 WCP061 1532 1987 456 18 0 .756 .75 4.70 .871 .919 .575 2.49 .320 -.029 2 56 WCP062 1528 1987 460 18 1 .762 .58 3.30 .614 .875 .624 2.48 .313 -.008 2 57 WCP071 1621 1987 367 15 0 .809 .95 3.10 .687 .869 .322 2.42 .267 -.018 2 58 WCP072 1620 1987 368 15 0 .804 1.05 3.25 .749 .879 .301 2.43 .280 -.026 1 59 WCP081 1678 1987 310 12 0 .678 1.12 3.25 .564 .817 .254 2.51 .297 -.009 1 60 WCP082 1680 1987 308 12 0 .707 1.10 2.91 .652 .833 .286 2.62 .381 -.028 1 61 WCP091 1680 1987 308 12 0 .818 1.20 3.53 .748 .800 .341 2.54 .352 -.037 1 62 WCP092 1683 1987 305 12 0 .846 1.12 3.74 .707 .794 .347 2.57 .338 -.041 1 63 WCP101 1612 1982 371 15 0 .726 .84 3.67 .871 .919 .458 2.74 .467 -.040 1 64 WCP111 1622 1987 366 15 0 .828 1.01 3.78 .691 .744 .463 2.57 .362 -.049 1 65 WCP112 1605 1987 383 15 0 .849 1.02 4.35 .666 .747 .454 2.65 .419 -.048 1 --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- Total or mean: 15384 615 5 .777 .87 5.76 .600 .720 .453 2.91 .385 -.024