Paddys River, Arizona - AZ581 Additional Site Information Woodhouse Griffin Losleben Routson Stielstra Reference: David W. Stahle, Edward R. Cook, Dorian J. Burnette, Jose Villanueva, Julian Cerano, Jordan N. Burns, Daniel Griffin, Benjamin I. Cook, Rodolfo Acuna, Max C.A. Torbenson, Paul Sjezner, Ian M. Howard. 2016. The Mexican Drought Atlas: Tree-ring reconstructions of the soil moisture balance during the late pre-Hispanic, colonial, and modern eras. Quaternary Science Reviews, 149, 34-60. doi: 10.1016/j.quascirev.2016.06.018 COFECHA output: Chronology file name : AZ581.CRN Measurement file name : AZ581.RWL Date checked : 02DEC16 Checked by : B. Bauer Beginning year : 1605 Ending year : 2008 Principal investigators: Woodhouse Griffin Losleben Routson Stielstra Site name : Paddys River Site location : Arizona Species information : PSME DOUGLAS-FIR Latitude : 3235 Longitude : -11017 Elevation : 2252M Series intercorrelation: 0.735 Avg mean sensitivity : 0.366 Avg standard deviation : 0.717 Avg autocorrelation : 0.696 Number dated series : 78 Segment length tested : 50 Number problem segments: 0 Pct problem segments : 0.00 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: Paddys River 12:00 Fri 02 Dec 2016 Page 5 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1625 1650 1675 1700 1725 1750 1775 1800 1825 1850 1875 1900 1925 1950 1975 1674 1699 1724 1749 1774 1799 1824 1849 1874 1899 1924 1949 1974 1999 2024 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 PRM01A 1920 2008 .87 .87 .90 .90 2 PRM01B 1887 2008 .87 .87 .84 .85 .84 3 PRM01C 1877 2008 .72 .90 .89 .90 .93 4 PRM03A 1704 2008 .69 .67 .66 .83 .84 .75 .66 .78 .83 .70 .56 .68 5 PRM03B 1677 2008 .70 .79 .76 .62 .70 .82 .80 .75 .80 .83 .68 .62 .76 6 PRM04A 1687 2008 .74 .79 .74 .68 .84 .77 .54 .54 .71 .85 .86 .85 .87 7 PRM04B 1696 2008 .55 .57 .39 .57 .85 .88 .72 .72 .85 .88 .87 .81 .86 8 PRM05A 1939 2008 .69 .76 .81 9 PRM06A 1940 2008 .67 .72 .81 10 PRM06B 1940 2008 .79 .82 .87 11 PRM07A 1758 2008 .80 .81 .69 .69 .73 .75 .82 .69 .61 .72 12 PRM07B 1721 2008 .74 .75 .66 .78 .76 .57 .64 .74 .82 .78 .60 .70 13 PRM08A 1936 2008 .76 .83 .86 14 PRM08B 1936 2008 .75 .81 .84 15 PRM09A 1954 2008 .54 .63 16 PRM09B 1954 2008 .65 .72 17 PRM10A 1945 2008 .73 .74 .75 18 PRM10B 1939 2008 .78 .77 .82 19 PRM11A 1926 2008 .71 .70 .71 20 PRM11B 1922 2008 .79 .73 .68 .71 21 PRM12A 1945 2008 .73 .75 .79 22 PRM12B 1935 2008 .70 .75 .82 23 PRM13A 1909 2008 .52 .62 .68 .70 24 PRM13B 1903 2008 .59 .61 .74 .76 25 PRM15A 1972 2008 .62 26 PRM15B 1934 2008 .65 .71 .84 27 PRM16A 1712 1960 .68 .69 .70 .79 .71 .64 .57 .66 .85 .86 28 PRM17A 1908 2008 .82 .89 .78 .83 29 PRM17B 1921 2008 .84 .81 .76 .85 30 PRM18A 1898 2008 .89 .89 .83 .82 .82 31 PRM18B 1875 2008 .78 .92 .85 .84 .83 32 PRM19A 1880 2008 .60 .79 .70 .63 .71 33 PRM19B 1900 2008 .81 .87 .92 .90 34 PRM20A 1890 2008 .87 .85 .85 .83 .84 35 PRM20B 1888 2008 .87 .88 .88 .79 .83 36 PRM21A 1842 2008 .71 .70 .69 .78 .68 .57 .70 37 PRM21B 1850 2008 .81 .58 .70 .77 .72 .74 38 PRM22A 1813 2008 .66 .69 .76 .77 .78 .67 .62 .62 39 PRM22B 1812 2008 .65 .72 .80 .81 .52 .42 .74 .80 40 PDF01A 1835 1992 .78 .74 .82 .87 .87 .80 41 PDF01B 1839 1992 .76 .76 .80 .87 .65 .52 42 PDF02A 1808 1961 .57 .67 .71 .77 .83 .80 43 PDF02B 1824 1992 .75 .74 .78 .81 .88 .88 .80 44 PDF03A 1858 1992 .88 .82 .84 .84 .78 45 PDF03B 1832 1992 .71 .71 .70 .78 .84 .79 46 PDF04A 1891 1987 .84 .85 .79 .74 47 PDF04B 1884 1992 .82 .84 .81 .78 48 PDF05A 1889 1992 .87 .88 .91 .87 49 PDF05B 1862 1992 .76 .79 .92 .95 .94 50 PDF06A 1685 1992 .63 .74 .78 .74 .83 .83 .76 .69 .83 .89 .83 .75 51 PDF06B 1694 1992 .74 .74 .79 .61 .66 .77 .63 .54 .61 .84 .84 .70 52 PDF07A 1716 1992 .68 .72 .72 .81 .87 .87 .80 .68 .79 .87 .85 53 PDF07B 1696 1992 .86 .86 .76 .75 .81 .79 .78 .61 .65 .86 .83 .67 54 PDF08B 1794 1992 .59 .63 .74 .77 .75 .77 .77 .75 55 PDF09A 1717 1992 .75 .81 .81 .84 .77 .62 .59 .60 .76 .84 .62 56 PDF09B 1676 1992 .76 .83 .75 .60 .62 .76 .73 .65 .79 .86 .85 .84 57 PDF10A 1743 1992 .64 .68 .78 .76 .53 .40 .74 .88 .90 .82 58 PDF10B 1759 1992 .76 .84 .83 .66 .63 .85 .90 .89 .88 59 PDF11A 1821 1992 .79 .78 .76 .75 .81 .62 .61 60 PDF11B 1693 1992 .67 .73 .68 .54 .74 .76 .65 .60 .65 .87 .72 .60 61 PDF12A 1859 1992 .63 .70 .80 .86 .81 62 PDF12B 1900 1992 .78 .83 .77 63 PDF13A 1820 1992 .70 .68 .76 .79 .79 .78 .80 64 PDF14A 1724 1992 .80 .79 .68 .72 .80 .56 .45 .52 .73 .75 .58 65 PDF14B 1730 1992 .72 .62 .68 .82 .70 .67 .65 .69 .67 .48 66 PDF15A 1829 1979 .51 .49 .70 .80 .67 .60 67 PDF15B 1645 1992 .85 .83 .65 .63 .65 .47 .52 .73 .54 .44 .71 .85 .65 .45 68 PDF15C 1650 1982 .60 .62 .64 .70 .57 .63 .74 .47 .49 .72 .80 .66 .55 69 PDF16A 1668 1992 .79 .68 .69 .72 .65 .72 .75 .62 .48 .71 .87 .72 .69 70 PDF16B 1704 1992 .67 .69 .56 .67 .80 .53 .52 .81 .87 .83 .82 71 PDF17A 1735 1994 .63 .62 .65 .81 .53 .46 .47 .65 .79 .69 72 PDF17B 1724 1994 .63 .64 .61 .63 .67 .59 .54 .82 .89 .91 .83 73 PDF18A 1643 1994 .83 .83 .70 .69 .73 .73 .74 .64 .46 .41 .69 .84 .67 .61 74 PDF18B 1605 1994 .84 .85 .83 .80 .73 .73 .80 .78 .75 .74 .80 .87 .63 .38 75 PDF19A 1663 1994 .82 .77 .80 .72 .50 .51 .64 .55 .61 .44 .48 .61 .64 76 PDF19B 1646 1960 .62 .63 .76 .81 .73 .58 .60 .64 .56 .56 .60 .70 .62 77 PDF20A 1684 1990 .74 .81 .74 .54 .60 .62 .52 .62 .80 .87 .84 .79 78 PDF20B 1713 1995 .77 .75 .61 .72 .70 .61 .64 .75 .89 .89 .77 Av segment correlation .78 .76 .71 .73 .71 .65 .72 .74 .65 .64 .74 .81 .77 .73 .79 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: Paddys River 12:00 Fri 02 Dec 2016 Page 10 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 1 PRM01A 1920 2008 89 4 0 .867 1.70 5.77 .992 .620 .503 2.73 .503 -.089 1 2 PRM01B 1887 2008 122 5 0 .828 1.99 4.05 .882 .483 .410 2.49 .421 -.032 1 3 PRM01C 1877 2008 132 5 0 .846 1.95 5.05 .983 .578 .445 2.69 .527 -.110 1 4 PRM03A 1704 2008 305 12 0 .715 .77 3.43 .514 .668 .366 2.78 .337 -.028 2 5 PRM03B 1677 2008 332 13 0 .733 .72 2.49 .471 .683 .362 2.77 .373 -.044 1 6 PRM04A 1687 2008 322 13 0 .758 .85 2.48 .425 .628 .342 2.67 .365 -.035 1 7 PRM04B 1696 2008 313 13 0 .747 .94 3.44 .524 .628 .355 2.77 .414 .004 1 8 PRM05A 1939 2008 70 3 0 .762 1.08 3.45 .658 .254 .453 2.76 .547 -.011 1 9 PRM06A 1940 2008 69 3 0 .735 1.73 4.93 1.021 .524 .332 2.93 .521 .086 1 10 PRM06B 1940 2008 69 3 0 .822 1.90 5.40 1.172 .671 .407 2.69 .519 .038 1 11 PRM07A 1758 2008 251 10 0 .746 .88 2.44 .458 .568 .357 2.70 .341 -.044 1 12 PRM07B 1721 2008 288 12 0 .724 .79 2.33 .386 .581 .323 2.80 .331 -.052 1 13 PRM08A 1936 2008 73 3 0 .796 1.47 3.32 .706 .633 .359 2.50 .446 -.081 1 14 PRM08B 1936 2008 73 3 0 .804 1.45 3.20 .574 .547 .344 2.95 .555 -.109 2 15 PRM09A 1954 2008 55 2 0 .549 1.92 3.50 .705 .469 .300 2.50 .461 .135 1 16 PRM09B 1954 2008 55 2 0 .658 1.76 2.91 .630 .549 .261 2.53 .465 -.065 1 17 PRM10A 1945 2008 64 3 0 .758 1.63 3.69 .841 .680 .457 2.56 .436 -.020 1 18 PRM10B 1939 2008 70 3 0 .802 1.62 4.27 .814 .645 .423 2.74 .483 -.061 1 19 PRM11A 1926 2008 83 3 0 .719 1.82 5.32 .776 .483 .359 2.67 .429 -.001 1 20 PRM11B 1922 2008 87 4 0 .735 1.70 4.92 .776 .626 .363 2.69 .402 -.021 1 21 PRM12A 1945 2008 64 3 0 .783 1.71 3.81 .914 .694 .465 2.58 .442 -.028 1 22 PRM12B 1935 2008 74 3 0 .755 1.56 4.22 .791 .665 .414 2.69 .503 -.069 1 23 PRM13A 1909 2008 100 4 0 .622 2.42 5.88 1.415 .745 .396 2.74 .474 -.019 1 24 PRM13B 1903 2008 106 4 0 .683 1.77 6.07 1.240 .815 .387 2.70 .409 -.032 1 25 PRM15A 1972 2008 37 1 0 .619 2.61 4.84 1.217 .542 .496 2.56 .561 -.050 1 26 PRM15B 1934 2008 75 3 0 .753 1.44 3.73 .864 .807 .364 2.62 .576 -.065 1 27 PRM16A 1712 1960 249 10 0 .715 .93 3.40 .648 .789 .392 2.91 .433 -.052 2 28 PRM17A 1908 2008 101 4 0 .826 1.66 3.27 .786 .568 .426 2.59 .549 -.049 1 29 PRM17B 1921 2008 88 4 0 .845 2.02 4.87 1.026 .557 .438 2.60 .593 -.098 1 30 PRM18A 1898 2008 111 5 0 .839 2.15 7.04 1.151 .643 .411 2.56 .392 -.036 1 31 PRM18B 1875 2008 134 5 0 .831 1.59 3.93 .764 .601 .374 2.44 .395 -.063 1 32 PRM19A 1880 2008 129 5 0 .668 2.09 5.92 1.189 .637 .443 2.93 .405 -.026 1 33 PRM19B 1900 2008 109 4 0 .870 1.16 3.43 .727 .648 .510 2.56 .534 -.098 1 34 PRM20A 1890 2008 119 5 0 .848 1.93 6.50 1.216 .660 .474 2.70 .483 -.097 1 35 PRM20B 1888 2008 121 5 0 .847 1.46 3.95 .791 .492 .513 2.57 .519 -.030 1 36 PRM21A 1842 2008 167 7 0 .709 .72 1.94 .406 .730 .418 2.40 .268 -.015 1 37 PRM21B 1850 2008 159 6 0 .717 .72 2.19 .401 .631 .418 2.49 .292 -.024 1 38 PRM22A 1813 2008 196 8 0 .725 .94 4.48 1.010 .887 .453 2.79 .396 -.067 1 39 PRM22B 1812 2008 197 8 0 .674 .95 5.53 1.120 .905 .462 2.67 .367 -.040 1 40 PDF01A 1835 1992 158 6 0 .827 1.23 3.31 .690 .755 .341 2.54 .350 -.043 2 41 PDF01B 1839 1992 154 6 0 .734 1.50 4.13 .951 .693 .432 2.57 .348 -.032 2 42 PDF02A 1808 1961 154 6 0 .761 1.47 4.79 1.149 .894 .329 2.60 .417 -.017 2 43 PDF02B 1824 1992 169 7 0 .812 1.29 5.44 1.144 .909 .377 2.56 .388 -.032 1 44 PDF03A 1858 1992 135 5 0 .817 1.97 4.95 1.104 .706 .374 2.68 .387 -.062 2 45 PDF03B 1832 1992 161 6 0 .751 1.91 6.86 1.496 .830 .439 2.64 .537 -.023 1 46 PDF04A 1891 1987 97 4 0 .793 1.38 5.11 .896 .636 .456 2.59 .467 -.063 2 47 PDF04B 1884 1992 109 4 0 .790 1.95 6.52 1.170 .597 .439 2.92 .529 -.065 2 48 PDF05A 1889 1992 104 4 0 .861 1.64 5.59 1.062 .519 .474 2.51 .382 -.066 1 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: Paddys River 12:00 Fri 02 Dec 2016 Page 11 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 49 PDF05B 1862 1992 131 5 0 .893 1.93 6.29 1.236 .704 .435 2.70 .488 -.067 1 50 PDF06A 1685 1992 308 12 0 .778 .83 3.33 .609 .813 .357 2.75 .377 -.016 3 51 PDF06B 1694 1992 299 12 0 .710 1.05 4.03 .760 .793 .360 2.85 .415 -.019 2 52 PDF07A 1716 1992 277 11 0 .786 .94 4.22 .702 .765 .341 2.62 .400 -.023 2 53 PDF07B 1696 1992 297 12 0 .762 .95 3.64 .652 .796 .344 2.54 .358 -.024 2 54 PDF08B 1794 1992 199 8 0 .737 1.23 5.34 .768 .759 .327 2.70 .455 -.069 2 55 PDF09A 1717 1992 276 11 0 .732 .73 2.35 .427 .558 .406 2.68 .383 -.006 2 56 PDF09B 1676 1992 317 12 0 .769 .84 2.96 .556 .707 .387 2.84 .355 -.014 2 57 PDF10A 1743 1992 250 10 0 .744 .80 3.96 .416 .536 .349 2.73 .396 -.056 2 58 PDF10B 1759 1992 234 9 0 .813 .78 2.46 .443 .674 .357 2.66 .415 -.044 1 59 PDF11A 1821 1992 172 7 0 .694 .82 3.26 .517 .660 .314 2.72 .376 -.058 2 60 PDF11B 1693 1992 300 12 0 .675 .77 2.49 .434 .683 .326 2.71 .420 -.071 2 61 PDF12A 1859 1992 134 5 0 .770 1.89 6.25 1.526 .861 .323 2.54 .398 -.038 1 62 PDF12B 1900 1992 93 3 0 .780 1.43 5.36 .953 .727 .355 2.79 .589 -.143 1 63 PDF13A 1820 1992 173 7 0 .772 .84 4.33 .784 .833 .371 2.60 .395 -.050 1 64 PDF14A 1724 1992 269 11 0 .670 1.00 4.05 .566 .714 .308 2.79 .376 .022 1 65 PDF14B 1730 1992 263 10 0 .655 1.23 3.46 .693 .741 .305 2.66 .420 -.024 1 66 PDF15A 1829 1979 151 6 0 .639 .71 1.19 .202 .320 .260 2.56 .345 -.006 1 67 PDF15B 1645 1992 348 14 0 .636 .94 4.01 .616 .810 .259 2.65 .369 -.002 3 68 PDF15C 1650 1982 333 13 0 .623 1.04 5.53 .779 .809 .307 2.87 .414 -.002 1 69 PDF16A 1668 1992 325 13 0 .730 1.06 3.30 .675 .729 .398 2.78 .378 -.010 7 70 PDF16B 1704 1992 289 11 0 .748 .83 3.17 .489 .642 .405 2.76 .408 -.044 1 71 PDF17A 1735 1994 260 10 0 .648 1.40 3.78 .855 .806 .324 2.72 .466 -.031 2 72 PDF17B 1724 1994 271 11 0 .741 1.12 3.57 .640 .699 .360 2.74 .408 -.048 1 73 PDF18A 1643 1994 352 14 0 .706 1.03 4.38 .794 .813 .333 2.59 .329 -.014 1 74 PDF18B 1605 1994 390 14 0 .733 .89 3.12 .540 .741 .336 2.75 .396 .023 1 75 PDF19A 1663 1994 332 13 0 .606 1.25 4.71 .722 .725 .318 3.03 .424 .003 1 76 PDF19B 1646 1960 315 13 0 .630 1.06 4.58 .725 .783 .312 2.79 .421 -.001 1 77 PDF20A 1684 1990 307 12 0 .732 1.16 3.72 .557 .626 .311 2.74 .362 -.060 3 78 PDF20B 1713 1995 283 11 0 .753 1.26 3.54 .605 .593 .354 2.72 .402 -.027 1 --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- Total or mean: 14447 573 0 .735 1.16 7.04 .717 .696 .366 3.03 .407 -.032