Shanes Castle (Brit042) Additional Site information Baillie, M.G.L., and Pilcher, J.R. Detrending Method: Linear regression of any slope Originally collected for chronology construction. Later samples used for isotope studies. Sample Q8513 used as part of the northern-southern hemisphere inter-calibration. Samples Q8758M, Q8760M and Q8761M were used in Neil Ogle's Phd thesis. McCormac, F. G., Hogg, A. G., Higham, T. F. G., Lynch-Stieglitz, J., Broecker, W. S., Baillie, M. G. L., Palmer, J., Xiong, L., Pilcher, J. R., Brown, D. M. and Hoper, S. T. 1998a. Temporal Variation in the Interhemispheric 14C Offset. Geophysical Research Letters Vol. 25, No. 9. 1321-1324. McCormac, F. G., Hogg, A. G., Higham, T. F. G., Baillie, M. G. L., Palmer, J., Xiong, L., Pilcher, J. R., Brown, D. and Hoper, S. T. 1998b. Variations of radiocarbon in tree rings: Southern hemisphere offset preliminary results. Radiocarbon, 40. 3. 1153-1159. Ogle, N. 1995 The measurement and modelling of delta13C in Irish oaks. Unpublished Phd thesis, Queen's Univeristy of Belfast. COFECHA output: Brit042.RWL COF 15:32 Mon 28 JUN 1999 Page 1 [] [] P R O G R A M C O F E C H A Version 3.00P 23556 ------------------------------------------------------------------------- ---------------------------------------------------------- QUALITY CONTROL AND DATING CHECK OF TREE-RING MEASUREMENTS Title of run: SHANES CASTLE File of DATED series: SHANE.TUC CONTENTS: Part 1: Title page, options selected, summary, absent rings by series Part 2: Histogram of time spans Part 3: Master series with sample depth and absent rings by year Part 4: Bar plot of Master Dating Series Part 5: Correlation by segment of each series with Master Part 6: Potential problems: low correlation, divergent year-to-year changes, absent rings, outliers Part 7: Descriptive statistics RUN CONTROL OPTIONS SELECTED VALUE 1 Cubic smoothing spline 50 avelength cutoff for filtering 32 years 2 Segments examined are 50 years lagged successively by 25 years 3 Autoregressive model applied A Residuals are used in master dating series and testing 4 Series transformed to logarithms Y Each series log-transformed for master dating series and testing 5 Critical correlation, 99 onfidence level .3281 6 Master dating series saved N 7 Ring measurements listed N 8 Parts printed 1234567 9 Absent rings included in master series N Time span of Master dating series is 1649 to 1992 344 years Continuous time span is 1649 to 1992 344 years Portion with two or more series is 1664 to 1992 329 years **************************************** *C* Number of dated series 28 *C* *O* Master series 1649 1992 344 yrs *O* *F* Total rings in all series 5720 *F* *E* Total dated rings checked 5705 *E* *C* Series intercorrelation .490 *C* *H* Average mean sensitivity .243 *H* *A* Segments, possible problems 28 *A* **************************************** ABSENT RINGS listed by SERIES: (See Master Dating Series for absent rings listed by year) No ring measurements of zero value PART 2: TIME PLOT OF TREE-RING SERIES: SHANES CASTLE 15:32 Mon 28 JUN 1999 Page 2 ------------------------------------------------------------------------- ---------------------------------------------------------- 1000 1100 1200 1300 1400 1500 1600 1700 1800 1900 2000 Beg End Ident Seq year year Yrs : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : -------- --- ---- ---- ---- . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===================>. . . Q 525 1 1692 1891 200 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<=================>. . Q 526 2 1762 1947 186 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <==============>. . . Q 527 3 1745 1899 155 . . . . . . . . . . . . . <========================>. . . Q 528 4 1649 1898 250 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <======================> . Q 5129 5 1754 1983 230 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <======================> . Q 5130 6 1750 1983 234 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===================> . Q 5133 7 1780 1983 204 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===================> . Q 5135 8 1787 1983 197 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===============> . Q 5136 9 1798 1954 157 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=================> . . Q 5137 10 1735 1914 180 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<=====================> . Q 5138 11 1766 1983 218 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <======================> . Q 5218 12 1754 1982 229 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===================> . Q 5219 13 1782 1982 201 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<=====================> . Q 5220 14 1763 1983 221 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<=====================> . Q 5221 15 1766 1983 218 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=================> . Q 5222 16 1807 1982 176 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=====================> . Q 5223 17 1744 1961 218 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<================> . Q 5224 18 1812 1982 171 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <==============================> . Q 5225 19 1675 1982 308 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <========================> . Q 5226 20 1737 1982 246 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <==================> . Q 5227 21 1770 1960 191 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <==================> . Q 5228 22 1799 1982 184 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <====================>. Q 8513 23 1781 1991 211 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <====================> . . Q 8514 24 1708 1917 210 . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<================> . . . . Q 8515 25 1664 1834 171 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===================>. Q8758M 26 1791 1992 202 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <==============>. Q8760M 27 1847 1992 146 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <====================>. Q8761M 28 1787 1992 206 : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : 1000 1100 1200 1300 1400 1500 1600 1700 1800 1900 2000 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: SHANES CASTLE 15:32 Mon 28 JUN 1999 Page 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------- ---------------------------------------------------------- Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1650 1675 1700 1725 1750 1775 1800 1825 1850 1875 1900 1925 1950 1699 1724 1749 1774 1799 1824 1849 1874 1899 1924 1949 1974 1999 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 Q 525 1692 1891 .37 .36 .50 .54 .56 .69 .53 .45 2 Q 526 1762 1947 .36 .53 .59 .45 .41 .42 .51 3 Q 527 1745 1899 .52 .49 .54 .63 .53 .49 4 Q 528 1649 1898 .41 .54 .48 .48 .39 .59 .58 .53 .48 5 Q 5129 1754 1983 .41 .54 .59 .62 .68 .60 .28A .41 .43 6 Q 5130 1750 1983 .52 .61 .55 .43 .52 .44 .35B .45 .42 7 Q 5133 1780 1983 .13B .43 .51 .39 .26A .35B .39 .37 8 Q 5135 1787 1983 .65 .55 .51 .59 .44 .21B .32A .31A 9 Q 5136 1798 1954 .67 .66 .55 .40 .40 .22B .18B 10 Q 5137 1735 1914 .41 .33 .46 .52 .40 .41 .57 11 Q 5138 1766 1983 .53 .48 .46 .41 .41 .43 .20B .30A .26A 12 Q 5218 1754 1982 .31A .58 .62 .54 .50 .32A .21B .36 .32A 13 Q 5219 1782 1982 .46 .45 .36 .46 .47 .48 .28B .25B 14 Q 5220 1763 1983 .48 .71 .52 .49 .55 .49 .53 .46 .38 15 Q 5221 1766 1983 .62 .65 .72 .64 .58 .54 .47 .72 .68 16 Q 5222 1807 1982 .60 .56 .59 .57 .56 .63 .67 17 Q 5223 1744 1961 .58 .65 .61 .51 .62 .69 .56 .35 .22B 18 Q 5224 1812 1982 .62 .43 .46 .50 .53 .50 .47 19 Q 5225 1675 1982 .12B .25A .29A .61 .72 .66 .55 .53 .52 .54 .58 .50 20 Q 5226 1737 1982 .29A .42 .65 .52 .47 .59 .71 .61 .49 .51 21 Q 5227 1770 1960 .56 .58 .61 .58 .51 .42 .45 .33 22 Q 5228 1799 1982 .71 .70 .65 .68 .59 .47 .47 .46 23 Q 8513 1781 1991 .74 .62 .46 .42 .50 .57 .52 .27A 24 Q 8514 1708 1917 .43 .42 .38 .51 .47 .41 .32A .33 25 Q 8515 1664 1834 .29B .41 .53 .47 .25A .52 .56 26 Q8758M 1791 1992 .61 .60 .64 .69 .71 .71 .74 .58 27 Q8760M 1847 1992 .56 .58 .55 .64 .61 .41 28 Q8761M 1787 1992 .72 .70 .57 .51 .58 .66 .61 .49 PART 6: POTENTIAL PROBLEMS: SHANES CASTLE 15:32 Mon 28 JUN 1999 Page 6 ------------------------------------------------------------------------- ---------------------------------------------------------- For each series with potential problems the following diagnostics may appear: [A] Correlations with master dating series of flagged 50-year segments of series filtered with 32-year spline, at every point from ten years earlier (-10) to ten years later ( 10) than dated [B] Effect of those data values which most lower or raise correlation with master series [C] Year-to-year changes very different from the mean change in other series [D] Absent rings (zero values) [E] Values which are statistical outliers from mean for the year ========================================================================= ========================================================== Q 525 1692 to 1891 200 years Series 1 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .511) is: Lower 1853 -.020 1862 -.018 1700 -.015 1725 -.012 Higher 1840 .026 1880 .017 1692 .010 1763 .008 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1853 3.6 SD ========================================================================= ========================================================== Q 526 1762 to 1947 186 years Series 2 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .481) is: Lower 1845 -.028 1794 -.020 1927 -.010 1851 -.010 Higher 1817 .018 1840 .014 1829 .011 1880 .009 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1794 3.3 SD ========================================================================= ========================================================== Q 527 1745 to 1899 155 years Series 3 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .533) is: Lower 1860 -.039 1799 -.014 1877 -.011 1783 -.009 Higher 1840 .019 1880 .013 1844 .012 1812 .009 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1860 -4.7 SD ========================================================================= ========================================================== Q 528 1649 to 1898 250 years Series 4 [*] Early part of series cannot be checked from 1649 to 1663 -- not matched by another series [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .480) is: Lower 1664 -.015 1894 -.013 1722 -.011 1668 -.010 Higher 1714 .017 1880 .016 1685 .015 1840 .014 [E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1722 3.0 SD; 1894 3.1 SD ========================================================================= ========================================================== Q 5129 1754 to 1983 230 years Series 5 [A] Segment High -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 --------- ---- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 1900 1949 0 .14 .04 .08 -.07 .19 -.11 -.15 -.28 -.19 .02 .28* .06 .04 -.13 -.16 -.06 .25 -.05 .02 .12 .03 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .506) is: Lower 1761 -.011 1933 -.010 1774 -.009 1810 -.008 Higher 1840 .028 1880 .012 1844 .010 1898 .009 1900 to 1949 segment: Lower 1933 -.052 1909 -.030 1917 -.028 1919 -.026 Higher 1939 .057 1943 .048 1921 .029 1926 .022 ========================================================================= ========================================================== Q 5130 1750 to 1983 234 years Series 6 [A] Segment High -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 --------- ---- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 1900 1949 -5 -.05 -.11 -.08 -.05 .23 .42* .18 .03 .07 -.43 .35|-.03 -.17 .04 -.02 -.05 .05 -.15 -.02 .04 -.18 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .470) is: Lower 1844 -.014 1929 -.007 1863 -.007 1871 -.007 Higher 1821 .015 1794 .009 1817 .009 1812 .008 1900 to 1949 segment: Lower 1929 -.034 1907 -.025 1944 -.025 1948 -.023 Higher 1947 .037 1939 .029 1941 .027 1928 .024 ========================================================================= ========================================================== Q 5133 1780 to 1983 204 years Series 7 [A] Segment High -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 --------- ---- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 1780 1829 1 -.21 .16 .18 -.08 .14 .13 -.08 -.11 -.18 -.13 .13| .30* .15 -.28 -.10 .05 -.25 -.01 .16 .07 -.01 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 1875 1924 0 -.10 .21 -.12 .07 -.24 -.09 -.02 .08 -.15 -.08 .26* .03 -.04 -.21 -.01 -.08 .13 -.09 .02 .14 .08 1900 1949 6 .13 .16 -.13 -.16 -.13 -.13 -.18 .02 -.07 .15 .35|-.01 -.14 -.18 -.15 .07 .47*-.09 .09 .07 -.05 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .309) is: Lower 1799 -.025 1919 -.021 1786 -.012 1897 -.008 Higher 1840 .020 1882 .010 1869 .009 1947 .009 1780 to 1829 segment: Lower 1799 -.076 1786 -.031 1794 -.019 1803 -.018 Higher 1818 .036 1811 .028 1784 .026 1796 .021 1875 to 1924 segment: Lower 1919 -.095 1897 -.036 1895 -.036 1915 -.034 Higher 1882 .053 1921 .044 1898 .037 1904 .023 1900 to 1949 segment: Lower 1919 -.099 1915 -.034 1930 -.024 1933 -.023 Higher 1921 .036 1943 .035 1947 .034 1928 .030 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1797 3.7 SD ========================================================================= ========================================================== Q 5135 1787 to 1983 197 years Series 8 [A] Segment High -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 --------- ---- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 1900 1949 8 .16 .24 .05 .00 .17 .02 .08 .08 -.03 -.11 .21|-.22 -.05 .12 -.27 .15 .03 -.11 .36*-.02 .09 1925 1974 0 -.07 -.14 .01 -.04 .06 .01 -.01 .02 .12 -.04 .32*-.02 .14 .18 -.14 .13 .01 -.19 .16 -.14 -.10 1934 1983 0 -.11 -.20 -.04 -.02 -.03 .07 .04 .21 .13 -.02 .31*-.07 .16 .13 -.23 .13 -.09 -.27 .12 -.16 - [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .478) is: Lower 1943 -.014 1972 -.012 1843 -.011 1818 -.008 Higher 1817 .021 1880 .015 1898 .013 1794 .009 1900 to 1949 segment: Lower 1943 -.055 1905 -.031 1903 -.026 1907 -.025 Higher 1925 .053 1949 .044 1947 .041 1928 .029 1925 to 1974 segment: Lower 1943 -.061 1972 -.052 1966 -.033 1930 -.024 Higher 1956 .046 1947 .041 1925 .033 1949 .033 1934 to 1983 segment: Lower 1943 -.066 1972 -.057 1966 -.030 1941 -.021 Higher 1956 .055 1949 .038 1947 .038 1977 .028 ========================================================================= ========================================================== Q 5136 1798 to 1954 157 years Series 9 [A] Segment High -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 --------- ---- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 1900 1949 2 -.13 .07 .00 -.28 .09 .02 -.08 .10 -.13 -.08 .22| .08 .27* .14 -.37 -.03 .04 -.05 -.07 .00 -.12 1905 1954 2 -.07 .08 -.04 -.33 .06 .12 -.07 .12 -.14 -.15 .18| .01 .25* .11 -.41 -.06 .01 .01 .00 .01 -.12 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .448) is: Lower 1946 -.020 1931 -.019 1880 -.018 1801 -.015 Higher 1840 .034 1817 .009 1824 .009 1829 .008 1900 to 1949 segment: Lower 1931 -.045 1946 -.044 1934 -.040 1915 -.033 Higher 1943 .037 1921 .033 1947 .031 1903 .024 1905 to 1954 segment: Lower 1931 -.047 1946 -.046 1934 -.036 1915 -.031 Higher 1921 .039 1947 .037 1943 .036 1945 .029 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1934 3.2 SD ========================================================================= ========================================================== Q 5137 1735 to 1914 180 years Series 10 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .463) is: Lower 1859 -.016 1758 -.012 1862 -.010 1775 -.010 Higher 1817 .026 1741 .017 1871 .010 1869 .009 ========================================================================= ========================================================== Q 5138 1766 to 1983 218 years Series 11 [A] Segment High -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 --------- ---- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 1900 1949 6 -.13 .09 .04 -.33 -.11 -.02 .16 -.04 -.18 -.21 .20| .30 .12 .16 -.08 .05 .35* .08 .02 -.18 -.20 1925 1974 0 -.14 -.13 .13 -.25 -.04 .17 .08 .06 .04 .03 .30* .23 .03 .08 -.11 .00 -.11 -.04 -.05 -.15 -.16 1934 1983 0 -.16 -.06 .22 -.14 .13 .16 .21 -.01 -.03 -.10 .26* .10 .16 -.09 -.08 -.02 -.26 -.06 -.22 -.23 - [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .393) is: Lower 1859 -.013 1943 -.011 1941 -.009 1902 -.009 Higher 1840 .021 1863 .011 1817 .010 1956 .009 1900 to 1949 segment: Lower 1943 -.056 1902 -.046 1941 -.045 1933 -.035 Higher 1925 .051 1921 .047 1928 .046 1945 .026 1925 to 1974 segment: Lower 1943 -.053 1941 -.045 1972 -.034 1933 -.033 Higher 1956 .054 1925 .032 1928 .031 1945 .023 1934 to 1983 segment: Lower 1943 -.054 1941 -.044 1972 -.035 1975 -.034 Higher 1956 .067 1977 .033 1954 .028 1945 .021 [E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1822 3.2 SD; 1975 3.1 SD ========================================================================= ========================================================== Q 5218 1754 to 1982 229 years Series 12 [A] Segment High -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 --------- ---- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 1754 1803 0 .08 -.08 .08 -.16 .04 .14 -.09 .09 .13 -.05 .31*-.34 -.20 -.02 .04 .10 .03 .18 .18 -.14 -.27 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 1875 1924 0 .04 -.13 .01 .09 -.01 .15 .06 -.19 .04 .10 .32*-.06 -.04 .15 .15 -.03 -.33 .02 .10 -.05 -.15 1900 1949 10 -.08 -.16 -.06 .18 .03 -.05 -.07 -.07 .16 .19 .21|-.07 .23 -.01 .21 .07 -.41 .00 -.13 -.32 .37* - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 1933 1982 0 -.22 -.12 .05 .11 -.10 -.04 -.16 .26 .14 .31 .32* .06 .08 -.03 .11 .10 -.32 -.13 -.31 -.06 .06 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .429) is: Lower 1890 -.015 1921 -.015 1979 -.009 1843 -.008 Higher 1840 .028 1821 .018 1817 .011 1812 .008 1754 to 1803 segment: Lower 1773 -.040 1765 -.037 1794 -.036 1788 -.034 Higher 1796 .046 1775 .042 1784 .042 1792 .042 1875 to 1924 segment: Lower 1890 -.068 1921 -.067 1912 -.031 1898 -.028 Higher 1885 .049 1880 .042 1897 .039 1875 .034 1900 to 1949 segment: Lower 1921 -.067 1912 -.031 1945 -.027 1937 -.026 Higher 1933 .054 1947 .047 1930 .031 1905 .020 1933 to 1982 segment: Lower 1979 -.044 1945 -.033 1937 -.033 1939 -.031 Higher 1956 .046 1947 .044 1933 .044 1960 .038 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1795 3.0 SD ========================================================================= ========================================================== Q 5219 1782 to 1982 201 years Series 13 [A] Segment High -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 --------- ---- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 1925 1974 -3 -.16 .02 -.17 .11 .17 -.11 -.22 .31*-.12 .23 .28| .05 .11 -.03 -.04 .00 .13 -.14 -.12 -.12 -.05 1933 1982 -3 -.11 .02 -.23 .03 .07 -.11 -.29 .37*-.13 .33 .25| .08 .04 .00 -.06 -.03 .15 -.07 -.10 -.07 -.05 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .403) is: Lower 1955 -.023 1954 -.014 1805 -.012 1956 -.010 Higher 1821 .014 1796 .013 1785 .009 1949 .008 1925 to 1974 segment: Lower 1955 -.097 1954 -.058 1956 -.042 1964 -.041 Higher 1949 .047 1941 .040 1960 .036 1947 .032 1933 to 1982 segment: Lower 1955 -.074 1954 -.061 1956 -.044 1964 -.038 Higher 1949 .059 1941 .039 1960 .035 1947 .032 ========================================================================= ========================================================== Q 5220 1763 to 1983 221 years Series 14 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .488) is: Lower 1834 -.020 1831 -.015 1763 -.014 1781 -.014 Higher 1880 .017 1840 .011 1817 .008 1844 .008 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1927 3.5 SD ========================================================================= ========================================================== Q 5221 1766 to 1983 218 years Series 15 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .616) is: Lower 1771 -.012 1869 -.012 1943 -.011 1866 -.011 Higher 1840 .010 1844 .007 1829 .007 1794 .006 ========================================================================= ========================================================== Q 5222 1807 to 1982 176 years Series 16 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .593) is: Lower 1869 -.013 1839 -.012 1945 -.011 1925 -.010 Higher 1821 .012 1947 .008 1859 .007 1897 .007 ========================================================================= ========================================================== Q 5223 1744 to 1961 218 years Series 17 [A] Segment High -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 --------- ---- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 1912 1961 5 -.19 .01 -.10 -.18 .09 .22 .12 -.01 -.13 -.31 .22|-.13 -.13 -.06 -.19 .32* .13 -.04 .10 -.14 .15 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .508) is: Lower 1960 -.029 1937 -.017 1817 -.010 1863 -.010 Higher 1840 .015 1844 .010 1834 .009 1859 .009 1912 to 1961 segment: Lower 1960 -.099 1922 -.027 1933 -.027 1937 -.024 Higher 1928 .040 1939 .036 1936 .033 1950 .025 ========================================================================= ========================================================== Q 5224 1812 to 1982 171 years Series 18 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .530) is: Lower 1868 -.023 1859 -.011 1846 -.010 1886 -.009 Higher 1817 .020 1821 .019 1939 .009 1829 .008 ========================================================================= ========================================================== Q 5225 1675 to 1982 308 years Series 19 [A] Segment High -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 --------- ---- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 1675 1724 -9 -.02 .17*-.04 .05 -.24 .10 -.07 -.02 -.09 -.01 .12| .00 .06 .00 .03 .15 .14 -.