Phumaisay, Bhutan - bt003 Additional Site Information Edward R. Cook, Paul J. Krusic, and Dorji Dukpa Purpose of Collection: Climatology - precipitation analysis Reference: Cook, E.R., K.J. Anchukaitis, B.M. Buckley, R.D. D'Arrigo, G.C. Jacoby, and W.E. Wright. 2010. Asian Monsoon Failure and Megadrought During the Last Millennium. Science, Vol. 328, Issue 5977, pp.486-489, 23 April 2010. DOI: 10.1126/science.1185188 COFECHA output: Chronology file name : BT003.CRN Measurement file name : BT003.RWL Date checked : 01SEP11 Checked by : B. Bauer Beginning year : 1520 Ending year : 2003 Principal investigators: Edward R. Cook, Paul J. Krusic, and Dorji Dukpa Site name : Phumaisay Site location : Bhutan Species information : TSDU EAST HIMALAYAN HEMLOCK Latitude : 2742 Longitude : 09046 Elevation : M Series intercorrelation: 0.521 Avg mean sensitivity : 0.221 Avg standard deviation : 0.539 Avg autocorrelation : 0.880 Number dated series : 22 Segment length tested : 50 Number problem segments: 24 Pct problem segments : 8.96 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: Phumaisay 15:02 Thu 01 Sep 2011 Page 5 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1600 1625 1650 1675 1700 1725 1750 1775 1800 1825 1850 1875 1900 1925 1950 1975 1649 1674 1699 1724 1749 1774 1799 1824 1849 1874 1899 1924 1949 1974 1999 2024 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 PHU14B 1520 2003 .54 .46 .49 .44 .60 .53 .58 .66 .59 .57 .35 .60 .69 .47 .59 .63 2 PHU16B 1728 2003 .39 .33A .42 .45 .34 .33 .60 .52 .28A .44 .50 3 PHU16A 1743 2003 .41 .33 .46 .66 .66 .57 .67 .65 .42 .66 .69 4 PHU08A 1791 2003 .69 .75 .62 .45 .64 .63 .51 .69 .69 5 PHU08B 1779 2003 .52 .60 .45 .34B .67 .67 .53 .76 .77 6 PHU15B 1690 2003 .45 .47 .51 .60 .61 .38 .49 .43 .36B .46 .48 .63 .56 7 PHU02B 1677 2003 .55 .60 .60 .55 .52 .38B .44 .53 .55 .69 .72 .58 .62 8 PHU13B 1704 2003 .44 .48 .55 .61 .50 .59 .54 .62 .69 .70 .70 .72 9 PHU13A 1715 2003 .51 .58 .77 .77 .58 .64 .49 .62 .70 .52 .61 .65 10 PHU02A 1676 2003 .48 .36B .49 .46 .51 .57 .65 .42 .46B .54 .41 .50 .61 11 PHU11A 1697 2003 .44 .46 .36 .58 .58 .50 .51 .53 .73 .63 .38 .65 .67 12 PHU01A 1700 2003 .53 .44 .25B .25A .39 .47 .51 .57 .51 .37 .41 .54 13 PHU01B 1678 2003 .48 .49 .37 .56 .61 .42 .52 .42 .60 .63 .40 .55 .66 14 PHU12A 1685 2003 .69 .60 .34 .34 .46 .37 .30A .41 .55 .47 .26B .52 .61 15 PHU11B 1680 2003 .51 .43 .31A .64 .66 .46 .33 .31B .52 .71 .66 .72 .78 16 PHU14A 1622 2003 .48 .40 .45 .42 .35 .42 .79 .65 .39 .44 .46 .33B .36B .49 .18B .16A 17 PHU07B 1666 1993 .53 .61 .67 .51 .72 .63 .42 .64 .46 .51 .61 .53 .43 18 PHU05B 1679 2003 .54 .72 .57 .66 .71 .56 .44 .33 .19B .24B .61 .73 .73 19 PHU03B 1689 2003 .58 .70 .51 .67 .66 .32A .46 .45 .62 .66 .53 .69 .72 20 PHU10B 1656 2002 .29A .53 .57 .42 .52 .53 .52 .63 .61 .55 .59 .62 .57 .64 21 PHU04B 1667 1895 .29B .47 .36 .29B .69 .68 .56 .59 .46 22 PHU05a 1703 1892 .73 .52 .22B .33 .48 .41 .35 Av segment correlation .51 .43 .41 .51 .53 .45 .54 .57 .49 .51 .44 .55 .58 .49 .58 .63 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: Phumaisay 15:02 Thu 01 Sep 2011 Page 10 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 1 PHU14B 1520 2003 484 16 0 .543 .73 5.19 .557 .869 .206 2.56 .302 -.049 2 2 PHU16B 1728 2003 276 11 2 .445 .95 2.68 .480 .803 .213 2.61 .363 -.010 1 3 PHU16A 1743 2003 261 11 0 .591 .89 2.59 .490 .841 .231 2.66 .367 .016 1 4 PHU08A 1791 2003 213 9 0 .633 .92 2.36 .445 .896 .184 2.56 .312 -.027 1 5 PHU08B 1779 2003 225 9 1 .610 .93 2.89 .482 .874 .209 2.70 .404 .027 1 6 PHU15B 1690 2003 314 13 1 .466 .84 2.69 .593 .891 .225 2.41 .302 -.016 5 7 PHU02B 1677 2003 327 13 1 .554 .99 2.76 .444 .818 .215 2.67 .352 -.002 1 8 PHU13B 1704 2003 300 12 0 .572 .86 2.56 .527 .895 .218 2.50 .283 .005 2 9 PHU13A 1715 2003 289 12 0 .597 .77 2.53 .551 .918 .253 2.76 .345 .019 1 10 PHU02A 1676 2003 328 13 2 .514 .91 2.63 .447 .871 .196 2.45 .272 -.036 4 11 PHU11A 1697 2003 307 13 0 .566 .80 2.56 .521 .923 .217 2.91 .431 .008 2 12 PHU01A 1700 2003 304 12 2 .492 .57 2.88 .319 .808 .264 2.68 .402 -.008 1 13 PHU01B 1678 2003 326 13 0 .533 .77 2.14 .339 .784 .209 2.64 .332 -.007 1 14 PHU12A 1685 2003 319 13 2 .464 .95 2.09 .397 .787 .230 2.59 .314 -.037 2 15 PHU11B 1680 2003 324 13 2 .569 .98 3.26 .658 .919 .217 2.49 .342 .002 1 16 PHU14A 1622 2003 382 16 4 .401 1.00 5.09 .816 .924 .211 2.68 .360 -.002 1 17 PHU07B 1666 1993 328 13 0 .532 .83 3.70 .768 .957 .197 2.75 .369 -.030 2 18 PHU05B 1679 2003 325 13 2 .438 .93 3.54 .725 .937 .223 2.44 .233 -.002 1 19 PHU03B 1689 2003 315 13 1 .558 .84 3.55 .747 .945 .253 2.74 .296 -.028 2 20 PHU10B 1656 2002 347 14 1 .459 .68 2.44 .420 .881 .250 2.66 .334 -.009 2 21 PHU04B 1667 1895 229 9 2 .495 .55 2.14 .374 .914 .201 2.55 .301 -.014 1 22 PHU05a 1703 1892 190 7 1 .523 .91 3.72 .612 .908 .237 2.70 .382 .027 2 --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- Total or mean: 6713 268 24 .521 .84 5.19 .539 .880 .221 2.91 .334 -.010