Chronology file name : CA646.CRN Measurement file name : CA646.RWL Date checked : 29JUL09 Checked by : B. Bauer Beginning year : 1379 Ending year : 2003 Principal investigators: D.W.Stahle R.D.Griffin Site name : Rock Springs Ranch Site location : California Species information : QUDG BLUE OAK Latitude : 3649 Longitude : -12088 Elevation : 1067M Series intercorrelation: 0.861 Avg mean sensitivity : 0.555 Avg standard deviation : 0.465 Avg autocorrelation : 0.370 Number dated series : 89 Segment length tested : 50 Number problem segments: 0 Pct problem segments : 0.00 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: Rock Springs Ranch 17:01 Wed 29 Jul 2009 Page 5 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1375 1400 1425 1450 1475 1500 1525 1550 1575 1600 1625 1650 1675 1700 1725 1750 1775 1800 1825 1850 1424 1449 1474 1499 1524 1549 1574 1599 1624 1649 1674 1699 1724 1749 1774 1799 1824 1849 1874 1899 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 B2701A 1836 2003 .94 .96 2 B2702A 1826 2003 .89 .92 3 B2703A 1870 1984 .93 4 B2705A 1822 1924 .88 .89 .94 5 B2706A 1816 1986 .93 .94 .92 6 B2707A 1813 2003 .81 .87 .89 7 B2708A 1835 1925 .89 .88 8 B2709A 1855 2003 .93 9 B2710A 1817 2002 .83 .88 .91 11 B2713A 1870 1986 .91 13 B2715A 1849 2000 .93 .93 14 B2716A 1829 1990 .92 .94 16 B2718A 1868 1950 .91 17 B2719A 1847 2003 .87 .93 20 B2722A 1676 1986 .91 .89 .85 .86 .90 .90 .89 .94 22 B2724A 1870 2003 .86 24 B2729A 1838 2003 .90 .92 26 B2731A 1870 1991 .82 28 B2733A 1831 2002 .93 .92 29 B2734A 1834 2003 .85 .86 30 B2735A 1790 2003 .84 .81 .87 .92 31 B2736A 1813 1978 .83 .79 .76 32 B2737A 1851 2002 .94 33 B2738A 1836 1998 .88 .91 34 B2739A 1826 1982 .94 .93 35 B2740A 1874 2000 .90 36 B2743A 1629 1920 .91 .92 .92 .90 .90 .93 .87 .86 .90 .91 37 B2743B 1629 1928 .91 .93 .93 .90 .87 .87 .82 .86 .89 .81 38 B2744A 1698 1900 .86 .85 .85 .91 .92 .92 .93 .91 39 B2746A 1690 1890 .87 .88 .88 .90 .89 .84 .86 .86 40 B2747A 1670 1906 .87 .87 .86 .84 .85 .89 .89 .78 .76 41 B2748B 1619 1890 .92 .93 .92 .85 .84 .83 .82 .87 .85 .85 .81 42 B2748C 1619 1884 .94 .94 .91 .88 .86 .85 .90 .92 .93 .88 .81 43 B2750A 1697 1830 .82 .89 .88 .92 .87 .86 45 B2752A 1871 2003 .81 47 B2754A 1855 2003 .77 53 B2758A 1841 2003 .91 .93 56 B2761A 1746 1980 .88 .89 .91 .91 .91 .92 57 B2765A 1511 1696 .83 .77 .83 .86 .81 .88 .85 58 B2765B 1512 1631 .73 .75 .83 .56 .50 61 B2767A 1640 1890 .58 .83 .92 .89 .89 .90 .70 .67 .85 .80 62 B2767B 1671 1883 .71 .73 .93 .91 .91 .85 .80 .80 .76 63 B2768A 1694 1882 .85 .84 .82 .84 .86 .88 .91 .89 64 B2768B 1694 1910 .87 .85 .83 .82 .79 .66 .53 .71 65 B2769A 1657 1816 .86 .85 .89 .94 .92 .87 66 B2769B 1652 1796 .88 .89 .88 .85 .84 67 B2770A 1578 1860 .77 .80 .91 .94 .94 .95 .87 .88 .92 .86 .85 68 B2770B 1578 1860 .80 .88 .92 .91 .92 .92 .86 .87 .86 .85 .84 69 B2771A 1689 1872 .84 .77 .81 .86 .91 .89 .88 70 B2771B 1689 1873 .71 .58 .89 .92 .92 .89 .89 71 B2772A 1525 1650 .84 .88 .86 .55 .52 72 B2772B 1525 1671 .86 .89 .93 .85 .81 73 B2773A 1524 1836 .83 .83 .84 .81 .82 .91 .94 .92 .88 .72 .74 .80 .64 74 B2773B 1524 1839 .77 .77 .73 .83 .84 .88 .90 .88 .83 .85 .88 .88 .86 75 B2773C 1555 1833 .92 .79 .64 .82 .89 .87 .88 .86 .83 .83 .85 76 B2774A 1741 1860 .61 .70 .86 .88 .81 77 B2775A 1566 1700 .78 .77 .70 .90 .95 .95 78 B2775B 1566 1697 .77 .76 .75 .93 .93 79 B2776A 1379 1525 .95 .92 .93 .92 .89 .89 80 B2776B 1379 1515 .92 .93 .95 .94 .93 81 B2776C 1389 1501 .87 .88 .92 .93 .93 82 B2776D 1389 1502 .88 .93 .93 .92 .91 83 B2777A 1618 1870 .91 .91 .88 .85 .80 .70 .77 .87 .85 .89 84 B2777B 1617 1757 .87 .90 .89 .87 .86 .64 85 B2779A 1471 1677 .81 .85 .86 .69 .64 .77 .78 .84 .85 86 B2779B 1471 1682 .70 .75 .79 .76 .76 .76 .81 .87 .87 87 B2780A 1397 1733 .87 .89 .90 .93 .95 .92 .87 .88 .90 .91 .94 .92 .92 .92 88 B2780B 1397 1844 .84 .84 .85 .89 .91 .92 .86 .88 .89 .88 .93 .92 .90 .80 .58 .62 .88 .90 89 B2780C 1397 1733 .83 .87 .90 .91 .94 .91 .81 .85 .89 .86 .89 .90 .88 .89 Av segment correlation .88 .90 .91 .88 .89 .84 .80 .82 .81 .80 .86 .89 .87 .86 .82 .85 .87 .85 .87 .88 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: Rock Springs Ranch 17:01 Wed 29 Jul 2009 Page 6 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1875 1900 1925 1950 1975 1924 1949 1974 1999 2024 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 B2701A 1836 2003 .96 .93 .94 .96 .96 2 B2702A 1826 2003 .89 .85 .91 .93 .91 3 B2703A 1870 1984 .94 .93 .94 .94 4 B2705A 1822 1924 .90 5 B2706A 1816 1986 .90 .87 .86 .87 6 B2707A 1813 2003 .89 .90 .88 .90 .90 7 B2708A 1835 1925 .85 .84 8 B2709A 1855 2003 .95 .95 .97 .98 .97 9 B2710A 1817 2002 .94 .93 .95 .96 .96 10 B2711A 1886 1986 .90 .93 .95 .95 11 B2713A 1870 1986 .93 .87 .87 .92 12 B2714A 1875 2003 .90 .87 .91 .92 .92 13 B2715A 1849 2000 .93 .88 .92 .92 .92 14 B2716A 1829 1990 .91 .87 .90 .90 15 B2717A 1881 2003 .88 .89 .91 .94 .94 16 B2718A 1868 1950 .84 .76 .76 17 B2719A 1847 2003 .92 .92 .96 .93 .92 18 B2720A 1915 2003 .85 .87 .88 .91 19 B2721A 1906 1998 .82 .91 .93 20 B2722A 1676 1986 .93 .85 .85 .83 21 B2723A 1880 2003 .83 .89 .92 .88 .85 22 B2724A 1870 2003 .90 .84 .85 .94 .93 23 B2728A 1889 2000 .86 .84 .90 .90 .90 24 B2729A 1838 2003 .78 .73 .89 .88 .87 25 B2730A 1885 2003 .93 .93 .94 .95 .95 26 B2731A 1870 1991 .83 .78 .87 .91 27 B2732A 1900 2002 .85 .86 .85 .86 28 B2733A 1831 2002 .92 .87 .87 .90 .88 29 B2734A 1834 2003 .85 .83 .88 .90 .88 30 B2735A 1790 2003 .91 .88 .91 .92 .91 31 B2736A 1813 1978 .80 .79 .87 .87 32 B2737A 1851 2002 .91 .87 .88 .88 .85 33 B2738A 1836 1998 .93 .91 .87 .90 34 B2739A 1826 1982 .93 .90 .88 .90 35 B2740A 1874 2000 .90 .84 .83 .89 .89 36 B2743A 1629 1920 .89 37 B2743B 1629 1928 .81 .81 38 B2744A 1698 1900 .92 40 B2747A 1670 1906 .76 44 B2751A 1909 2003 .92 .89 .92 .90 45 B2752A 1871 2003 .84 .78 .73 .84 .90 46 B2753A 1883 1987 .76 .66 .72 .75 47 B2754A 1855 2003 .84 .81 .89 .91 .88 48 B2755A 1889 2003 .89 .85 .75 .81 .83 49 B2755B 1875 2003 .87 .86 .81 .86 .88 50 B2756A 1913 2002 .84 .82 .88 .89 51 B2757A 1915 2003 .91 .93 .94 .94 52 B2757B 1915 2003 .92 .92 .93 .94 53 B2758A 1841 2003 .93 .85 .84 .83 .85 54 B2759A 1894 2003 .76 .73 .91 .96 .96 55 B2759B 1909 2003 .81 .91 .94 .94 56 B2761A 1746 1980 .93 .86 .84 .84 59 B2766A 1916 1996 .86 .85 .88 60 B2766B 1916 2003 .73 .73 .83 .85 64 B2768B 1694 1910 .70 Av segment correlation .88 .85 .87 .90 .90 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: Rock Springs Ranch 17:01 Wed 29 Jul 2009 Page 12 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 1 B2701A 1836 2003 168 7 0 .947 .92 4.57 .754 .303 .681 2.98 .611 .079 1 2 B2702A 1826 2003 178 7 0 .892 .71 2.29 .488 .341 .608 2.87 .505 .011 1 3 B2703A 1870 1984 115 5 0 .941 .63 2.03 .419 .036 .723 2.82 .537 .051 1 4 B2705A 1822 1924 103 4 0 .894 .58 2.21 .407 .370 .673 2.81 .588 -.064 1 5 B2706A 1816 1986 171 7 0 .899 .69 2.45 .490 .254 .651 2.91 .468 -.004 1 6 B2707A 1813 2003 191 8 0 .864 .56 2.42 .385 .437 .596 2.63 .502 -.012 1 7 B2708A 1835 1925 91 4 0 .844 .66 2.24 .445 .429 .596 2.91 .513 -.065 1 8 B2709A 1855 2003 149 6 0 .951 .97 3.55 .731 .145 .708 2.86 .564 .047 1 9 B2710A 1817 2002 186 8 0 .913 .68 2.33 .475 .325 .658 2.84 .543 .030 1 10 B2711A 1886 1986 101 4 0 .918 .90 2.82 .534 .257 .611 2.58 .382 .097 2 11 B2713A 1870 1986 117 5 0 .900 .52 1.55 .321 .305 .629 2.80 .557 .056 1 12 B2714A 1875 2003 129 5 0 .910 .58 2.25 .385 .379 .548 2.73 .508 .109 1 13 B2715A 1849 2000 152 7 0 .916 .71 2.74 .505 .319 .649 2.93 .483 .073 1 14 B2716A 1829 1990 162 6 0 .903 .37 1.57 .260 .479 .606 2.71 .492 .004 1 15 B2717A 1881 2003 123 5 0 .905 .59 1.85 .389 .335 .627 2.94 .514 .071 1 16 B2718A 1868 1950 83 4 0 .843 .40 1.99 .272 .181 .518 3.02 .432 .026 1 17 B2719A 1847 2003 157 7 0 .907 .50 1.62 .269 .213 .529 2.83 .475 .037 1 18 B2720A 1915 2003 89 4 0 .886 .39 1.14 .227 .421 .534 2.81 .613 .034 1 19 B2721A 1906 1998 93 3 0 .880 .38 1.07 .248 .417 .604 2.73 .628 .041 1 20 B2722A 1676 1986 311 12 0 .887 .57 2.16 .336 .238 .604 2.71 .456 .053 4 21 B2723A 1880 2003 124 5 0 .857 .46 1.22 .241 .129 .498 2.92 .554 .098 3 22 B2724A 1870 2003 134 6 0 .875 .58 1.98 .405 .262 .630 2.92 .531 .044 2 23 B2728A 1889 2000 112 5 0 .871 .95 3.48 .544 .314 .465 2.98 .549 .060 1 24 B2729A 1838 2003 166 7 0 .843 .61 2.14 .367 .380 .486 2.99 .600 .026 2 25 B2730A 1885 2003 119 5 0 .937 .67 2.24 .427 .315 .608 2.90 .619 .081 1 26 B2731A 1870 1991 122 5 0 .833 .69 2.30 .402 .282 .457 2.80 .409 .026 1 27 B2732A 1900 2002 103 4 0 .848 .62 2.08 .409 .283 .555 2.86 .504 .023 1 28 B2733A 1831 2002 172 7 0 .893 .76 3.54 .657 .329 .697 3.02 .565 -.030 1 29 B2734A 1834 2003 170 7 0 .849 .55 1.83 .391 .507 .534 2.89 .567 -.035 1 30 B2735A 1790 2003 214 9 0 .881 .52 2.25 .386 .199 .619 2.95 .561 .091 1 31 B2736A 1813 1978 166 7 0 .814 .50 2.78 .501 .295 .700 3.00 .534 .051 1 32 B2737A 1851 2002 152 6 0 .893 .71 3.54 .661 .400 .703 2.92 .522 .038 1 33 B2738A 1836 1998 163 6 0 .892 .62 1.78 .415 .413 .591 2.98 .574 -.011 1 34 B2739A 1826 1982 157 6 0 .914 .71 4.14 .686 .234 .786 3.10 .634 .051 1 35 B2740A 1874 2000 127 6 0 .884 .75 3.09 .633 .316 .678 2.91 .536 -.016 2 36 B2743A 1629 1920 292 11 0 .897 .80 2.55 .461 .233 .586 2.59 .336 .030 1 37 B2743B 1629 1928 300 12 0 .871 .78 2.81 .509 .326 .609 2.58 .355 .028 1 38 B2744A 1698 1900 203 9 0 .900 .90 2.91 .597 .564 .496 2.66 .477 -.023 1 39 B2746A 1690 1890 201 8 0 .866 .59 1.92 .296 .301 .498 2.78 .573 -.021 1 40 B2747A 1670 1906 237 10 0 .841 .73 3.19 .468 .273 .568 2.86 .444 .007 1 41 B2748B 1619 1890 272 11 0 .850 .62 2.28 .404 .220 .601 2.74 .492 .058 4 42 B2748C 1619 1884 266 11 0 .879 .58 1.99 .371 .274 .576 2.92 .484 .006 2 43 B2750A 1697 1830 134 6 0 .852 .94 3.75 .710 .563 .487 2.70 .439 .022 1 44 B2751A 1909 2003 95 4 0 .907 .89 2.41 .532 .351 .530 2.72 .442 .026 1 45 B2752A 1871 2003 133 6 0 .810 .49 1.75 .314 .152 .656 2.78 .500 -.043 3 46 B2753A 1883 1987 105 4 0 .758 .63 1.67 .291 .425 .418 2.54 .375 .016 1 47 B2754A 1855 2003 149 6 0 .822 .53 2.25 .310 .271 .546 2.77 .483 .012 1 48 B2755A 1889 2003 115 5 0 .856 .69 2.11 .423 .574 .487 2.66 .480 .016 1 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: Rock Springs Ranch 17:01 Wed 29 Jul 2009 Page 13 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 49 B2755B 1875 2003 129 5 0 .863 .74 3.36 .533 .564 .533 2.82 .523 .040 1 50 B2756A 1913 2002 90 4 0 .859 .38 1.28 .295 .228 .736 2.77 .519 .094 1 51 B2757A 1915 2003 89 4 0 .924 .49 1.32 .305 .248 .709 2.72 .508 .037 1 52 B2757B 1915 2003 89 4 0 .931 .48 1.26 .317 .284 .687 2.91 .563 .037 1 53 B2758A 1841 2003 163 7 0 .870 .39 1.99 .298 .399 .520 2.81 .495 -.009 1 54 B2759A 1894 2003 110 5 0 .854 .86 1.97 .388 .241 .478 2.65 .453 .021 1 55 B2759B 1909 2003 95 4 0 .874 .96 2.09 .492 .285 .536 2.75 .660 .044 1 56 B2761A 1746 1980 235 10 0 .890 1.15 5.17 .903 .531 .502 2.75 .429 .055 1 57 B2765A 1511 1696 186 7 0 .829 .52 1.52 .247 .168 .487 2.64 .376 .032 1 58 B2765B 1512 1631 120 5 0 .637 .49 1.47 .257 .255 .497 2.87 .544 .034 2 59 B2766A 1916 1996 81 3 0 .876 .72 2.12 .437 .400 .552 2.71 .524 -.026 1 60 B2766B 1916 2003 88 4 0 .789 .60 1.58 .385 .631 .528 2.95 .573 -.010 1 61 B2767A 1640 1890 251 10 0 .786 .65 2.21 .371 .171 .547 2.95 .527 .037 1 62 B2767B 1671 1883 213 9 0 .815 .67 2.58 .385 .286 .503 2.95 .462 .046 1 63 B2768A 1694 1882 189 8 0 .859 1.04 4.68 .819 .673 .473 2.69 .404 .002 1 64 B2768B 1694 1910 217 9 0 .745 1.03 4.77 .879 .679 .466 2.72 .395 .004 4 65 B2769A 1657 1816 160 6 0 .878 1.17 3.56 .689 .506 .434 2.72 .599 .042 1 66 B2769B 1652 1796 145 5 0 .869 1.24 3.15 .678 .451 .447 2.68 .462 .006 1 67 B2770A 1578 1860 283 11 0 .879 .89 2.52 .427 .386 .451 2.59 .381 .023 1 68 B2770B 1578 1860 283 11 0 .874 .96 2.55 .466 .425 .441 2.55 .426 .035 1 69 B2771A 1689 1872 184 7 0 .857 1.17 3.37 .643 .392 .485 2.65 .463 -.002 1 70 B2771B 1689 1873 185 7 0 .835 1.15 3.07 .596 .362 .481 2.55 .399 .002 1 71 B2772A 1525 1650 126 5 0 .737 .89 2.52 .601 .490 .643 2.72 .481 .032 2 72 B2772B 1525 1671 147 5 0 .863 .87 2.44 .616 .572 .624 2.66 .446 .017 2 73 B2773A 1524 1836 313 13 0 .810 .63 2.75 .406 .504 .501 2.73 .342 .024 1 74 B2773B 1524 1839 316 13 0 .845 .65 2.33 .430 .501 .537 2.77 .477 .044 1 75 B2773C 1555 1833 279 11 0 .840 .60 2.68 .387 .489 .541 2.74 .451 .023 1 76 B2774A 1741 1860 120 5 0 .736 .91 2.50 .488 .487 .441 2.73 .448 -.017 1 77 B2775A 1566 1700 135 6 0 .868 1.29 3.69 .883 .436 .667 2.47 .363 .017 1 78 B2775B 1566 1697 132 5 0 .871 1.41 4.97 1.034 .546 .637 2.49 .348 .005 1 79 B2776A 1379 1525 147 6 0 .920 1.36 3.13 .646 .388 .429 2.59 .411 -.010 1 80 B2776B 1379 1515 137 5 0 .925 1.27 3.17 .571 .240 .458 2.61 .387 .026 1 81 B2776C 1389 1501 113 5 0 .897 1.55 3.42 .674 .357 .437 2.56 .498 -.031 1 82 B2776D 1389 1502 114 5 0 .900 1.63 4.46 .746 .275 .451 2.72 .452 -.038 1 83 B2777A 1618 1870 253 10 0 .829 .72 2.16 .341 .275 .473 2.55 .348 .026 1 84 B2777B 1617 1757 141 6 0 .795 1.02 2.50 .471 .358 .438 2.50 .401 .007 1 85 B2779A 1471 1677 207 9 0 .781 .51 1.54 .288 .414 .484 2.58 .393 .011 1 86 B2779B 1471 1682 212 9 0 .771 .46 1.57 .293 .496 .481 2.55 .347 .007 1 87 B2780A 1397 1733 337 14 0 .907 .59 1.64 .314 .362 .558 2.54 .337 .019 1 88 B2780B 1397 1844 448 18 0 .847 .51 1.81 .330 .538 .568 2.54 .302 .013 1 89 B2780C 1397 1733 337 14 0 .876 .57 1.84 .342 .529 .547 2.50 .297 .006 1 --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- Total or mean: 15171 621 0 .861 .74 5.17 .465 .370 .555 3.10 .462 .023