Chronology file name : CA648.CRN Measurement file name : CA648.RWL Date checked : 29JUL09 Checked by : B. Bauer Beginning year : 1582 Ending year : 2004 Principal investigators: D.W.Stahle R.D.Griffin J.R.Edmondson L.N.Stahle Site name : Bear Creek Canyon Site location : California Species information : QUDG BLUE OAK Latitude : 4053 Longitude : -12002 Elevation : 396M Series intercorrelation: 0.613 Avg mean sensitivity : 0.242 Avg standard deviation : 0.373 Avg autocorrelation : 0.669 Number dated series : 72 Segment length tested : 50 Number problem segments: 12 Pct problem segments : 2.76 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: Bear Creek Canyon 17:02 Wed 29 Jul 2009 Page 5 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1600 1625 1650 1675 1700 1725 1750 1775 1800 1825 1850 1875 1900 1925 1950 1975 1649 1674 1699 1724 1749 1774 1799 1824 1849 1874 1899 1924 1949 1974 1999 2024 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 BCC01A 1800 2004 .43 .58 .67 .72 .59 .50 .61 .53 2 BCC02A 1937 2004 .61 .65 .53 3 BCC04A 1875 2004 .42 .21B .37 .60 .45 4 BCC05A 1875 2004 .61 .76 .73 .49 .40 5 BCC06A 1873 1961 .65 .67 .61 .40 6 BCC07A 1890 2004 .59 .60 .49 .63 .50 7 BCC08A 1880 2004 .62 .65 .44 .43B .40 8 BCC09A 1880 2004 .62 .72 .69 .53 .35 9 BCC12A 1863 2004 .57 .65 .67 .64 .64 .60 10 BCC13A 1876 2004 .59 .74 .27B .22A .24B 11 BCC15A 1811 2004 .54 .56 .58 .71 .54 .50 .78 .76 12 BCC16A 1925 2004 .80 .80 .73 13 BCC17A 1854 2004 .26B .49 .66 .52 .43 .39 14 BCC18A 1934 2004 .59 .59 .47 15 BCC19A 1933 2004 .41 .58 .58 16 BCC20A 1909 2004 .82 .81 .78 .71 17 BCC21A 1889 2004 .76 .74 .69 .64 .58 18 BCC22A 1898 2004 .62 .65 .58 .67 .55 19 BCC23A 1967 2004 .69 20 BCC24A 1932 2004 .65 .80 .74 21 BCC25A 1879 1995 .61 .66 .41 .35 22 BCC26A 1882 2004 .81 .76 .41 .45 .42 23 BCC27A 1900 2004 .80 .74 .70 .58 24 BCC28A 1883 2004 .68 .60 .75 .84 .79 25 BCC29A 1893 2004 .65 .74 .64 .64 .61 26 BCC30A 1856 2004 .47 .60 .66 .63 .67 .54 27 BCC31A 1779 1995 .53 .55 .52 .50 .45 .30A .47 .46 28 BCC33A 1931 2004 .60 .60 .57 29 BCC34A 1868 2004 .58 .60 .75 .73 .79 .75 30 BCC35A 1920 1979 .61 .63 .56 31 BCC36A 1902 2004 .62 .60 .41 .36B 32 BCC37A 1970 2004 .55 33 BCC39A 1893 1992 .69 .62 .52 .54 34 BCC42A 1715 1864 .82 .79 .67 .57 .50 .43 35 BCC42B 1721 1858 .74 .80 .82 .73 .53 .39 36 BCC43A 1680 1879 .74 .73 .54 .53 .57 .56 .63 .63 37 BCC44A 1811 1949 .58 .69 .67 .62 .54 38 BCC45A 1776 1920 .45 .31A .41 .53 .58 39 BCC46A 1707 1893 .83 .71 .63 .70 .52 .64 .78 40 BCC47A 1833 2004 .42 .59 .61 .36 .43 .61 .66 41 BCC48A 1711 1825 .74 .65 .62 .70 .67 42 BCC49A 1666 1817 .44 .52 .83 .86 .74 .70 43 BCC50A 1763 1882 .60 .69 .72 .79 .78 44 BCC50B 1815 2004 .79 .80 .72 .70 .68 .74 .77 .66 45 BCC51A 1791 2004 .26A .49 .76 .79 .81 .68 .66 .82 .79 46 BCC52A 1846 2004 .52 .57 .59 .60 .57 .64 .53 47 BCC53A 1847 1930 .60 .73 .82 .83 48 BCC54A 1778 1989 .44 .49 .64 .57 .55 .52 .42 .41 49 BCC55A 1721 2004 .57 .59 .63 .57 .46 .62 .81 .76 .58 .51 .55 .50 50 BCC55B 1721 2004 .60 .59 .70 .58 .44 .60 .67 .65 .48 .56 .63 .53 51 BCC56B 1812 1980 .76 .78 .85 .79 .62 .48 .38 52 BCC57A 1847 2004 .65 .73 .69 .70 .74 .73 .70 53 BCC58A 1728 1940 .64 .71 .78 .70 .68 .72 .56 .58 54 BCC59A 1830 2004 .75 .79 .82 .74 .75 .80 .75 55 BCC60A 1707 1855 .43 .29B .35 .76 .66 .65 56 BCC60B 1713 1851 .49 .54 .58 .49 .35 .32A 57 BCC61A 1671 1878 .51 .50 .82 .82 .85 .83 .69 .69 .69 58 BCC62A 1743 1943 .74 .72 .72 .58 .66 .81 .72 .62 59 BCC62B 1759 1966 .75 .79 .73 .73 .77 .70 .70 .73 60 BCC63A 1620 1700 .40 .43 .37 .36 61 BCC63B 1700 1844 .66 .77 .81 .76 .64 62 BCC64A 1705 1972 .82 .82 .77 .70 .54 .63 .80 .66 .55 .70 63 BCC66A 1685 1874 .80 .80 .59 .55 .75 .85 .84 64 BCC66B 1674 1873 .65 .65 .75 .74 .58 .60 .75 .76 65 BCC67A 1673 1848 .52 .54 .60 .66 .73 .67 .54 66 BCC67B 1673 1865 .53 .55 .60 .70 .79 .70 .49 .57 67 BCC68B 1680 1882 .72 .73 .74 .74 .61 .47 .63 .60 68 BCC70A 1758 1981 .66 .80 .72 .71 .70 .67 .63 .55 .38 69 BCC70B 1761 1923 .65 .70 .74 .80 .72 .63 70 BCC71A 1667 1866 .55 .49 .51 .59 .73 .64 .57 .66 71 BCC71B 1688 1880 .60 .59 .69 .75 .59 .58 .72 .73 72 BCC72A 1582 1898 .41 .42 .39 .43 .51 .65 .75 .70 .51 .48 .51 Av segment correlation .40 .42 .50 .57 .68 .67 .68 .65 .58 .63 .66 .65 .63 .58 .60 .57 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: Bear Creek Canyon 17:02 Wed 29 Jul 2009 Page 11 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 1 BCC01A 1800 2004 205 8 0 .567 .94 2.39 .409 .763 .194 2.92 .447 .017 1 2 BCC02A 1937 2004 68 3 0 .648 .53 1.18 .216 .617 .287 2.69 .544 .044 1 3 BCC04A 1875 2004 130 5 1 .379 .68 2.42 .236 .602 .210 2.56 .389 .013 2 4 BCC05A 1875 2004 130 5 0 .570 .68 1.64 .270 .664 .242 2.66 .499 .014 1 5 BCC06A 1873 1961 89 4 0 .504 .48 1.44 .281 .809 .278 2.78 .610 .104 1 6 BCC07A 1890 2004 115 5 0 .589 .80 1.52 .254 .595 .209 2.67 .505 .086 1 7 BCC08A 1880 2004 125 5 1 .531 .45 1.00 .144 .641 .225 2.57 .474 .016 1 8 BCC09A 1880 2004 125 5 0 .558 .56 1.73 .311 .847 .232 2.70 .526 -.053 1 9 BCC12A 1863 2004 142 6 0 .604 .59 1.59 .257 .657 .228 2.91 .414 .007 1 10 BCC13A 1876 2004 129 5 3 .429 .73 2.03 .474 .805 .273 2.91 .542 .066 2 11 BCC15A 1811 2004 194 8 0 .594 .91 3.37 .600 .829 .239 2.45 .288 .016 1 12 BCC16A 1925 2004 80 3 0 .773 1.02 2.58 .466 .513 .308 3.10 .709 .073 1 13 BCC17A 1854 2004 151 6 1 .414 .81 3.45 .753 .950 .191 2.73 .439 -.005 1 14 BCC18A 1934 2004 71 3 0 .558 .38 .74 .117 .600 .203 2.99 .592 -.006 1 15 BCC19A 1933 2004 72 3 0 .465 .98 1.76 .364 .696 .239 2.64 .485 -.002 1 16 BCC20A 1909 2004 96 4 0 .762 .76 1.78 .270 .647 .194 2.94 .524 .008 1 17 BCC21A 1889 2004 116 5 0 .682 .82 2.46 .452 .780 .244 2.89 .689 .035 1 18 BCC22A 1898 2004 107 5 0 .633 .68 1.90 .328 .662 .293 2.99 .615 .005 1 19 BCC23A 1967 2004 38 1 0 .689 1.39 3.38 .772 .590 .398 2.60 .499 -.034 1 20 BCC24A 1932 2004 73 3 0 .670 .80 1.86 .382 .626 .289 2.85 .478 .042 1 21 BCC25A 1879 1995 117 4 0 .474 .70 1.63 .310 .762 .217 2.69 .505 .039 1 22 BCC26A 1882 2004 123 5 0 .598 .46 1.11 .189 .658 .237 2.90 .546 -.008 1 23 BCC27A 1900 2004 105 4 0 .735 .57 1.58 .252 .499 .305 2.88 .571 .031 1 24 BCC28A 1883 2004 122 5 0 .723 1.29 5.24 .831 .794 .241 2.81 .456 .021 1 25 BCC29A 1893 2004 112 5 0 .620 .94 2.58 .357 .553 .263 2.77 .565 -.005 1 26 BCC30A 1856 2004 149 6 0 .603 .81 2.13 .343 .744 .227 2.59 .385 .004 2 27 BCC31A 1779 1995 217 8 1 .483 .72 2.90 .532 .846 .286 2.88 .508 .020 1 28 BCC33A 1931 2004 74 3 0 .563 .86 1.95 .318 .547 .250 2.78 .563 -.027 2 29 BCC34A 1868 2004 137 6 0 .681 1.15 1.99 .273 .408 .204 2.75 .485 .057 1 30 BCC35A 1920 1979 60 3 0 .604 .46 1.24 .234 .670 .318 2.75 .526 -.125 1 31 BCC36A 1902 2004 103 4 1 .508 1.71 4.02 .805 .603 .292 2.99 .546 -.051 1 32 BCC37A 1970 2004 35 1 0 .547 .91 1.89 .282 .303 .295 2.99 .672 -.070 1 33 BCC39A 1893 1992 100 4 0 .613 .76 2.33 .426 .797 .224 2.95 .576 .040 1 34 BCC42A 1715 1864 150 6 0 .628 .85 2.12 .485 .771 .263 2.82 .516 -.068 1 35 BCC42B 1721 1858 138 6 0 .617 .80 2.89 .587 .805 .256 2.72 .438 -.045 1 36 BCC43A 1680 1879 200 8 0 .608 .83 2.40 .358 .778 .192 2.64 .432 -.025 1 37 BCC44A 1811 1949 139 5 0 .604 1.32 4.96 1.007 .859 .266 2.65 .479 .051 1 38 BCC45A 1776 1920 145 5 1 .464 .97 2.23 .371 .454 .301 2.67 .454 -.015 2 39 BCC46A 1707 1893 187 7 0 .687 .95 2.43 .430 .634 .274 2.86 .577 -.019 1 40 BCC47A 1833 2004 172 7 0 .490 .51 1.11 .135 .521 .194 2.69 .432 .071 1 41 BCC48A 1711 1825 115 5 0 .694 1.15 2.38 .379 .557 .241 2.65 .491 -.048 1 42 BCC49A 1666 1817 152 6 0 .672 1.11 2.68 .501 .628 .303 2.95 .561 .037 1 43 BCC50A 1763 1882 120 5 0 .709 .89 1.72 .259 .396 .255 2.63 .474 .042 1 44 BCC50B 1815 2004 190 8 0 .737 .85 1.96 .284 .563 .231 2.61 .376 .014 1 45 BCC51A 1791 2004 214 9 1 .660 .94 2.81 .329 .409 .246 2.71 .334 .029 1 46 BCC52A 1846 2004 159 7 0 .596 .62 1.55 .204 .330 .268 2.62 .427 .026 2 47 BCC53A 1847 1930 84 4 0 .732 1.48 4.94 1.073 .928 .204 2.79 .538 -.004 1 48 BCC54A 1778 1989 212 8 0 .505 .44 1.01 .142 .642 .205 2.80 .552 -.018 1 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: Bear Creek Canyon 17:02 Wed 29 Jul 2009 Page 12 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 49 BCC55A 1721 2004 284 12 0 .592 .76 1.82 .286 .675 .242 2.81 .367 .012 4 50 BCC55B 1721 2004 284 12 0 .576 .73 1.40 .248 .628 .221 2.87 .388 -.013 4 51 BCC56B 1812 1980 169 7 0 .678 .48 1.14 .206 .698 .221 2.74 .422 .075 1 52 BCC57A 1847 2004 158 7 0 .707 .72 2.75 .463 .739 .262 2.72 .358 -.004 1 53 BCC58A 1728 1940 213 8 0 .645 .69 1.59 .253 .672 .217 2.80 .502 .009 1 54 BCC59A 1830 2004 175 7 0 .765 .90 2.41 .287 .412 .233 2.67 .336 .001 1 55 BCC60A 1707 1855 149 6 1 .503 .81 1.42 .221 .677 .169 2.54 .353 -.004 1 56 BCC60B 1713 1851 139 6 1 .453 .82 1.75 .262 .755 .164 2.66 .391 -.011 5 57 BCC61A 1671 1878 208 9 0 .693 .84 1.91 .343 .628 .269 2.62 .336 -.003 1 58 BCC62A 1743 1943 201 8 0 .669 .78 1.86 .326 .724 .225 2.68 .459 -.053 1 59 BCC62B 1759 1966 208 8 0 .738 .69 1.66 .267 .650 .238 2.68 .430 .006 1 60 BCC63A 1620 1700 81 4 0 .368 1.31 3.50 .558 .679 .257 2.77 .480 -.045 1 61 BCC63B 1700 1844 145 5 0 .702 .62 1.96 .234 .449 .283 2.86 .489 -.015 1 62 BCC64A 1705 1972 268 10 0 .705 .73 1.80 .299 .626 .260 2.67 .426 -.027 1 63 BCC66A 1685 1874 190 7 0 .730 .77 1.93 .362 .656 .300 2.88 .452 .015 1 64 BCC66B 1674 1873 200 8 0 .670 .73 1.85 .361 .675 .289 2.67 .447 -.008 1 65 BCC67A 1673 1848 176 7 0 .632 1.24 5.60 .731 .832 .251 2.86 .482 -.065 1 66 BCC67B 1673 1865 193 8 0 .631 1.19 5.49 .722 .825 .260 2.84 .416 -.012 1 67 BCC68B 1680 1882 203 8 0 .663 .70 1.81 .296 .722 .221 2.64 .396 -.061 1 68 BCC70A 1758 1981 224 9 0 .623 .88 2.49 .462 .793 .240 2.86 .513 .033 1 69 BCC70B 1761 1923 163 6 0 .686 1.05 2.67 .525 .796 .238 2.75 .434 .000 1 70 BCC71A 1667 1866 200 8 0 .598 .81 2.26 .342 .685 .255 2.92 .504 -.035 1 71 BCC71B 1688 1880 193 8 0 .655 .78 2.38 .407 .812 .238 2.67 .404 .003 1 72 BCC72A 1582 1898 317 11 0 .508 .61 1.22 .159 .564 .194 2.60 .399 -.026 1 --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- Total or mean: 10828 435 12 .613 .81 5.60 .373 .669 .242 3.10 .460 .002