Chronology file name : CA649.CRN Measurement file name : CA649.RWL Date checked : 29JUL09 Checked by : B. Bauer Beginning year : 1546 Ending year : 2004 Principal investigators: D.W.Stahle R.D.Griffin M.D.Therrell Site name : Bear Valley Buttes Site location : California Species information : QUDG BLUE OAK Latitude : 3921 Longitude : -12244 Elevation : 468M Series intercorrelation: 0.775 Avg mean sensitivity : 0.402 Avg standard deviation : 0.431 Avg autocorrelation : 0.512 Number dated series : 62 Segment length tested : 50 Number problem segments: 0 Pct problem segments : 0.00 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: Bear Valley Buttes 17:03 Wed 29 Jul 2009 Page 5 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1550 1575 1600 1625 1650 1675 1700 1725 1750 1775 1800 1825 1850 1875 1900 1925 1950 1975 1599 1624 1649 1674 1699 1724 1749 1774 1799 1824 1849 1874 1899 1924 1949 1974 1999 2024 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 BVB01A 1908 2004 .89 .90 .83 .81 2 BVB02A 1926 2004 .87 .77 .72 3 BVB05A 1821 2004 .86 .86 .89 .88 .87 .82 .72 .61 4 BVB06A 1867 1950 .61 .70 .52 .51 5 BVB07A 1839 2004 .85 .86 .90 .90 .82 .78 .77 6 BVB08A 1791 2004 .89 .87 .91 .90 .91 .89 .84 .72 .72 7 BVB09A 1902 1960 .69 .71 8 BVB10A 1912 2004 .73 .77 .76 .74 9 BVB11A 1904 2004 .83 .78 .81 .87 10 BVB12A 1700 1910 .81 .85 .84 .82 .90 .92 .86 .77 11 BVB12B 1684 1988 .71 .80 .84 .87 .85 .87 .89 .87 .81 .78 .80 .80 12 BVB13A 1903 2004 .85 .84 .76 .78 13 BVB14A 1918 2004 .80 .80 .85 .82 14 BVB15A 1901 2004 .83 .81 .82 .85 15 BVB16A 1846 2004 .77 .71 .62 .67 .64 .70 .73 16 BVB16B 1760 2004 .57 .62 .83 .86 .77 .69 .74 .72 .70 .64 17 BVB17A 1904 2004 .80 .78 .77 .79 18 BVB18A 1886 2004 .88 .92 .87 .86 .83 19 BVB19A 1909 2004 .81 .68 .62 .59 20 BVB20A 1925 2004 .93 .90 .90 21 BVB21A 1927 1998 .38 .75 22 BVB22A 1919 2004 .85 .84 .77 .75 23 BVB23A 1910 1990 .82 .85 .74 24 BVB24A 1865 2004 .82 .81 .71 .74 .76 .68 25 BVB25A 1880 2004 .78 .77 .68 .60 .63 26 BVB26A 1907 2004 .43 .37 .68 .68 27 BVB27A 1875 2004 .83 .87 .89 .84 .84 28 BVB28A 1894 1990 .87 .83 .84 .76 29 BVB29A 1690 1840 .73 .64 .70 .83 .78 .78 30 BVB30A 1891 2004 .78 .80 .82 .78 .82 31 BVB31A 1927 2004 .83 .81 .81 32 BVB32A 1888 1998 .86 .86 .77 .73 33 BVB33A 1870 2004 .89 .91 .82 .56 .69 .72 34 BVB34A 1925 2004 .60 .72 .75 35 BVB35A 1888 2004 .83 .83 .76 .63 .64 36 BVB36A 1907 2004 .89 .87 .83 .82 37 BVB37A 1872 2004 .82 .84 .91 .92 .86 .83 38 BVB38A 1922 1999 .91 .90 .81 39 BVB39A 1893 2004 .79 .86 .78 .73 .72 40 BVB40A 1950 2004 .73 .71 41 BVB41A 1850 1950 .89 .87 .89 .88 42 BVB42A 1788 2004 .85 .84 .85 .78 .76 .73 .75 .72 .69 43 BVB43A 1745 2004 .77 .80 .72 .73 .77 .75 .70 .73 .79 .47 .37 44 BVB44A 1867 2001 .72 .78 .79 .76 .80 .81 45 BVB61A 1772 1902 .85 .87 .88 .91 .89 .89 46 BVB62A 1683 1855 .79 .80 .56 .36 .44 .47 .55 47 BVB63A 1636 1765 .71 .77 .50 .74 .69 48 BVB64A 1658 1784 .69 .58 .74 .74 .75 49 BVB64B 1690 1786 .73 .76 .74 .76 50 BVB65A 1746 1884 .65 .66 .73 .80 .85 .78 51 BVB66A 1722 1802 .79 .77 .79 .79 52 BVB67A 1866 1937 .65 .66 .66 53 BVB68A 1772 1910 .45 .49 .69 .88 .69 .67 54 BVB68B 1772 1914 .68 .71 .80 .86 .77 .71 55 BVB69A 1770 1920 .53 .56 .80 .89 .80 .76 56 BVB70A 1742 1890 .75 .79 .87 .89 .86 .86 57 BVB70B 1750 1901 .90 .90 .92 .87 .77 .77 58 BVB70C 1765 1891 .91 .90 .87 .85 .76 59 BVB71A 1697 1825 .87 .88 .84 .72 .56 .60 60 BVB71B 1698 1825 .80 .81 .84 .76 .55 .58 61 BVB72A 1558 1635 .65 .65 .67 62 BVB72B 1546 1642 .65 .65 .62 Av segment correlation .65 .65 .65 .71 .73 .71 .78 .75 .73 .73 .79 .84 .80 .79 .80 .77 .75 .74 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: Bear Valley Buttes 17:03 Wed 29 Jul 2009 Page 11 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 1 BVB01A 1908 2004 97 4 0 .886 .85 1.99 .441 .533 .443 2.67 .451 -.061 3 2 BVB02A 1926 2004 79 3 0 .850 1.01 2.80 .539 .550 .393 2.57 .406 -.062 2 3 BVB05A 1821 2004 184 8 0 .839 .57 2.47 .348 .613 .444 2.73 .451 -.008 1 4 BVB06A 1867 1950 84 4 0 .609 .46 2.19 .443 .790 .400 2.67 .464 -.015 1 5 BVB07A 1839 2004 166 7 0 .850 .73 2.25 .477 .607 .458 2.77 .414 .013 3 6 BVB08A 1791 2004 214 9 0 .866 .65 2.00 .396 .594 .409 2.62 .356 -.026 1 7 BVB09A 1902 1960 59 2 0 .659 .58 1.63 .364 .514 .530 2.59 .500 -.016 3 8 BVB10A 1912 2004 93 4 0 .773 .77 2.20 .395 .410 .432 2.83 .496 -.064 3 9 BVB11A 1904 2004 101 4 0 .858 .71 1.72 .337 .393 .426 2.83 .437 -.022 1 10 BVB12A 1700 1910 211 8 0 .822 .62 3.14 .309 .178 .406 2.94 .494 .010 1 11 BVB12B 1684 1988 305 12 0 .815 .80 2.95 .456 .513 .422 2.70 .378 .008 1 12 BVB13A 1903 2004 102 4 0 .796 .45 1.20 .226 .515 .372 2.64 .386 .009 1 13 BVB14A 1918 2004 87 4 0 .823 .58 1.18 .284 .508 .458 2.69 .473 -.033 1 14 BVB15A 1901 2004 104 4 0 .850 .61 1.57 .272 .305 .426 2.81 .386 .005 1 15 BVB16A 1846 2004 159 7 0 .685 .53 1.32 .231 .313 .407 2.74 .486 .030 1 16 BVB16B 1760 2004 245 10 0 .707 .40 1.29 .204 .445 .408 2.66 .410 .009 1 17 BVB17A 1904 2004 101 4 0 .789 .74 2.13 .450 .597 .488 2.53 .465 -.035 1 18 BVB18A 1886 2004 119 5 0 .867 .52 1.41 .295 .561 .498 2.38 .330 -.027 1 19 BVB19A 1909 2004 96 4 0 .804 .52 1.39 .298 .427 .534 2.68 .446 -.010 1 20 BVB20A 1925 2004 80 3 0 .913 1.16 3.42 .684 .357 .536 2.88 .515 .033 1 21 BVB21A 1927 1998 72 2 0 .554 .81 2.18 .462 .636 .376 2.57 .462 -.031 1 22 BVB22A 1919 2004 86 4 0 .852 .67 1.31 .303 .376 .479 2.63 .501 -.054 1 23 BVB23A 1910 1990 81 3 0 .786 .61 1.96 .365 .256 .560 2.57 .577 .030 3 24 BVB24A 1865 2004 140 6 0 .752 .54 1.46 .261 .507 .391 2.73 .522 .016 1 25 BVB25A 1880 2004 125 5 0 .752 .52 1.39 .331 .764 .339 2.43 .315 -.078 1 26 BVB26A 1907 2004 98 4 0 .611 .81 2.48 .522 .574 .413 2.64 .377 .001 1 27 BVB27A 1875 2004 130 5 0 .837 .80 1.92 .375 .458 .429 2.46 .280 -.024 1 28 BVB28A 1894 1990 97 4 0 .843 .63 1.65 .333 .508 .511 2.47 .380 .006 1 29 BVB29A 1690 1840 151 6 0 .741 .73 2.14 .362 .329 .470 2.62 .477 -.024 1 30 BVB30A 1891 2004 114 5 0 .806 .67 1.81 .375 .548 .465 2.67 .463 -.053 1 31 BVB31A 1927 2004 78 3 0 .848 .61 1.17 .263 .446 .377 2.53 .365 .004 3 32 BVB32A 1888 1998 111 4 0 .820 .69 2.31 .431 .767 .343 2.52 .420 -.045 1 33 BVB33A 1870 2004 135 6 0 .786 .53 1.83 .354 .718 .324 2.78 .422 -.001 1 34 BVB34A 1925 2004 80 3 0 .728 1.13 2.84 .518 .517 .296 2.62 .377 .061 1 35 BVB35A 1888 2004 117 5 0 .759 .55 1.46 .362 .605 .386 2.59 .384 -.066 1 36 BVB36A 1907 2004 98 4 0 .854 .88 2.45 .438 .443 .412 3.04 .689 -.025 1 37 BVB37A 1872 2004 133 6 0 .858 .56 2.06 .310 .338 .455 2.82 .626 -.020 1 38 BVB38A 1922 1999 78 3 0 .907 .72 1.47 .351 .388 .518 2.54 .503 -.063 1 39 BVB39A 1893 2004 112 5 0 .748 .71 2.10 .418 .528 .421 2.57 .374 -.058 2 40 BVB40A 1950 2004 55 2 0 .802 .61 1.28 .313 .613 .395 2.59 .444 .033 1 41 BVB41A 1850 1950 101 4 0 .873 .59 2.06 .390 .574 .435 2.75 .507 -.049 1 42 BVB42A 1788 2004 217 9 0 .769 .62 1.87 .266 .471 .330 2.56 .357 -.036 3 43 BVB43A 1745 2004 260 11 0 .668 .41 .92 .164 .625 .273 2.64 .383 -.009 3 44 BVB44A 1867 2001 135 6 0 .792 .86 2.30 .483 .555 .424 2.62 .427 -.044 2 45 BVB61A 1772 1902 131 6 0 .884 1.17 3.13 .614 .351 .503 2.51 .377 -.018 1 46 BVB62A 1683 1855 173 7 0 .553 1.10 3.78 .594 .699 .317 2.92 .505 -.037 1 47 BVB63A 1636 1765 130 5 0 .692 .87 3.02 .577 .785 .307 2.74 .492 -.086 1 48 BVB64A 1658 1784 127 5 0 .709 1.12 2.57 .392 .577 .259 2.54 .338 .010 1 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: Bear Valley Buttes 17:03 Wed 29 Jul 2009 Page 12 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 49 BVB64B 1690 1786 97 4 0 .714 1.24 4.37 .611 .625 .293 2.37 .305 .024 1 50 BVB65A 1746 1884 139 6 0 .757 .98 2.55 .503 .656 .336 2.81 .430 .004 1 51 BVB66A 1722 1802 81 4 0 .772 1.37 3.93 .731 .789 .297 2.54 .450 -.081 1 52 BVB67A 1866 1937 72 3 0 .657 1.67 3.38 .689 .477 .350 2.76 .509 .019 1 53 BVB68A 1772 1910 139 6 0 .645 .97 2.70 .438 .596 .317 2.73 .558 .001 1 54 BVB68B 1772 1914 143 6 0 .765 1.11 2.49 .496 .511 .375 2.49 .339 -.049 1 55 BVB69A 1770 1920 151 6 0 .760 1.30 3.39 .637 .373 .381 2.80 .456 -.015 1 56 BVB70A 1742 1890 149 6 0 .845 1.27 5.23 .933 .539 .556 2.71 .421 -.065 1 57 BVB70B 1750 1901 152 6 0 .859 1.23 4.48 .901 .534 .555 2.88 .501 -.013 1 58 BVB70C 1765 1891 127 5 0 .865 1.33 5.31 1.011 .556 .574 2.70 .469 -.051 1 59 BVB71A 1697 1825 129 6 0 .755 1.72 4.09 .622 .436 .299 2.63 .446 -.066 1 60 BVB71B 1698 1825 128 6 0 .740 1.57 3.93 .498 .335 .286 2.72 .417 -.065 1 61 BVB72A 1558 1635 78 3 0 .655 1.64 3.08 .376 .434 .177 2.91 .523 -.028 1 62 BVB72B 1546 1642 97 3 0 .610 1.44 2.31 .319 .236 .205 2.75 .505 .022 1 --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- Total or mean: 7733 318 0 .775 .83 5.31 .431 .512 .402 3.04 .436 -.020