Emerald Lake - Crowsnest Pass 2, Alberta, Canada - CANA574 Additional Site Information David Sauchyn, Jonathan Barichivich, Cesar Perez-Valdivia COFECHA output: Chronology file name : CANA574.CRN Measurement file name : CANA574.RWL Date checked : 20MAY19 Checked by : B. Bauer Beginning year : 1458 Ending year : 2004 Principal investigators: David Sauchyn Jonathan Barichivich Cesar Perez-Valdivia Site name : Emerald Lake - Crowsnest Pass 2 Site location : Canada Species information : PIFL LIMBER PINE Latitude : 4936 Longitude : -11436 Elevation : 1385M Series intercorrelation: 0.648 Avg mean sensitivity : 0.309 Avg standard deviation : 0.321 Avg autocorrelation : 0.773 Number dated series : 31 Segment length tested : 50 Number problem segments: 11 Pct problem segments : 3.27 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: Emerad lake - Crowsnest PAss 2 16:39 Mon 20 May 2019 Page 5 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1450 1475 1500 1525 1550 1575 1600 1625 1650 1675 1700 1725 1750 1775 1800 1825 1850 1875 1900 1925 1499 1524 1549 1574 1599 1624 1649 1674 1699 1724 1749 1774 1799 1824 1849 1874 1899 1924 1949 1974 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 ELK001A 1770 2004 .77 .74 .75 .83 .71 .51 .56 .57 2 ELK001B 1776 2000 .70 .68 .80 .89 .80 .55 .53 3 ELK001C 1714 1763 .69 4 ELK002A 1563 2004 .38B .40 .67 .65 .60 .64 .79 .68 .54 .76 .88 .90 .90 .71 .56 .70 5 ELK002B 1572 1948 .36B .42 .74 .73 .69 .71 .74 .80 .77 .83 .81 .78 .74 .46 .66 6 ELK003A 1683 1812 .67 .68 .81 .75 .74 7 ELK003B 1815 2004 .87 .89 .85 .72 .73 .77 8 ELK003C 1696 2004 .71 .76 .86 .84 .90 .91 .87 .87 .69 .47 .48 9 ELK006B 1778 1969 .51 .49 .50 .59 .42 .62 .67 10 ELK007A 1458 2004 .85 .84 .82 .81 .63 .51 .43 .51 .67 .75 .77 .71 .65 .30A .48 .68 .62 .69 .62 .54 11 ELK007B 1460 2004 .80 .79 .77 .79 .69 .60 .71 .74 .73 .75 .78 .81 .79 .53 .55 .72 .80 .79 .65 .58 12 ELK008A 1663 2004 .66 .71 .71 .55 .56 .46 .40 .37 .46 .51 .50 .58 13 ELK008B 1668 2004 .59 .61 .46B .40 .50 .42 .40 .62 .61 .55 .55 .51 14 ELK009A 1726 2004 .82 .70 .70 .69 .61 .68 .70 .75 .78 15 ELK009B 1670 2004 .63 .63 .78 .78 .70 .73 .69 .53 .58 .69 .83 .83 16 ELK010A 1750 2004 .56 .64 .77 .82 .82 .78 .71 .57 17 ELK010B 1766 2004 .79 .85 .83 .82 .76 .67 .75 .62 18 ELK011A 1687 2004 .53 .53 .59 .62 .71 .77 .64 .69 .70 .75 .81 19 ELK012A 1590 1814 .48 .55 .50 .69 .79 .71 .72 .74 .69 20 ELK012B 1822 2004 .86 .86 .85 .72 .63 .59 21 ELK012C 1629 1787 .75 .83 .77 .74 .71 .66 22 ELK012D 1846 2004 .61 .64 .76 .57 .58 23 ELK014A 1807 2004 .73 .78 .71 .57 .74 .68 24 ELK014B 1787 2004 .67 .66 .79 .65 .52 .71 .66 25 ELK016A 1780 2004 .41 .47 .59 .63 .53 .61 .45 26 ELK016B 1807 2004 .54 .80 .78 .59 .73 .61 27 ELK018A 1837 2004 .64 .67 .62 .79 .80 28 ELK018B 1810 2004 .75 .80 .54 .39 .80 .81 29 ELK019A 1731 2004 .52 .49 .37 .42 .66 .69 .49 .50 .62 30 ELK020A 1608 2004 .60 .67 .65 .54 .65 .65 .65 .76 .72 .66 .66 .59 .53 .36 31 ELK020B 1486 1841 .64 .59 .59 .46 .32A .38 .63 .64 .41 .40 .50 .68 .78 .81 Av segment correlation .82 .76 .73 .73 .50 .45 .58 .65 .67 .66 .68 .68 .67 .64 .68 .71 .71 .62 .65 .63 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: Emerad lake - Crowsnest PAss 2 16:39 Mon 20 May 2019 Page 6 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1950 1975 1999 2024 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 ELK001A 1770 2004 .44 .47 2 ELK001B 1776 2000 .29A .30A 4 ELK002A 1563 2004 .73 .64 7 ELK003B 1815 2004 .76 .76 8 ELK003C 1696 2004 .62 .65 10 ELK007A 1458 2004 .26A .33A 11 ELK007B 1460 2004 .49 .62 12 ELK008A 1663 2004 .61 .64 13 ELK008B 1668 2004 .38 .42 14 ELK009A 1726 2004 .64 .64 15 ELK009B 1670 2004 .69 .67 16 ELK010A 1750 2004 .46 .48 17 ELK010B 1766 2004 .30B .32B 18 ELK011A 1687 2004 .68 .68 20 ELK012B 1822 2004 .50 .64 22 ELK012D 1846 2004 .61 .64 23 ELK014A 1807 2004 .60 .66 24 ELK014B 1787 2004 .64 .68 25 ELK016A 1780 2004 .36 .41 26 ELK016B 1807 2004 .50 .53 27 ELK018A 1837 2004 .77 .78 28 ELK018B 1810 2004 .69 .68 29 ELK019A 1731 2004 .67 .38 30 ELK020A 1608 2004 .35 .38 Av segment correlation .54 .56 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: Emerad lake - Crowsnest PAss 2 16:39 Mon 20 May 2019 Page 10 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 1 ELK001A 1770 2004 235 10 0 .645 .52 1.81 .304 .696 .334 2.58 .331 .020 3 2 ELK001B 1776 2000 225 9 2 .634 .39 1.29 .235 .777 .311 2.68 .357 -.023 3 3 ELK001C 1714 1763 50 1 0 .694 .31 .76 .132 .606 .332 2.55 .533 .063 1 4 ELK002A 1563 2004 442 18 1 .680 .49 3.13 .431 .843 .329 2.58 .329 -.019 2 5 ELK002B 1572 1948 377 15 1 .702 .30 1.02 .148 .694 .329 2.55 .339 .001 2 6 ELK003A 1683 1812 130 5 0 .708 .61 1.52 .328 .702 .344 2.50 .348 -.029 2 7 ELK003B 1815 2004 190 8 0 .796 .36 1.22 .182 .552 .391 2.64 .370 -.048 4 8 ELK003C 1696 2004 309 13 0 .732 .44 1.91 .341 .835 .368 2.48 .409 -.037 2 9 ELK006B 1778 1969 192 7 0 .531 .95 2.48 .486 .798 .269 2.43 .277 -.011 1 10 ELK007A 1458 2004 547 22 3 .619 .28 1.27 .206 .804 .335 2.62 .307 -.018 3 11 ELK007B 1460 2004 545 22 0 .709 .24 1.22 .141 .741 .299 2.61 .333 -.020 2 12 ELK008A 1663 2004 342 14 0 .539 .69 2.99 .512 .932 .220 2.57 .351 -.010 1 13 ELK008B 1668 2004 337 14 1 .507 .62 2.59 .517 .931 .242 2.45 .295 -.032 1 14 ELK009A 1726 2004 279 11 0 .702 .63 1.91 .350 .778 .307 2.42 .249 -.010 1 15 ELK009B 1670 2004 335 14 0 .700 .51 1.74 .334 .860 .277 2.47 .317 -.006 1 16 ELK010A 1750 2004 255 10 0 .645 .90 2.35 .391 .699 .258 2.52 .354 -.002 2 17 ELK010B 1766 2004 239 10 2 .695 .59 1.34 .273 .672 .288 2.51 .346 -.015 2 18 ELK011A 1687 2004 318 13 0 .666 .43 1.43 .277 .797 .353 2.57 .369 -.013 1 19 ELK012A 1590 1814 225 9 0 .645 .54 2.16 .419 .801 .382 2.48 .361 .000 2 20 ELK012B 1822 2004 183 8 0 .718 .27 1.28 .189 .639 .441 2.87 .471 -.100 1 21 ELK012C 1629 1787 159 6 0 .723 .53 1.76 .385 .755 .380 2.58 .395 -.006 1 22 ELK012D 1846 2004 159 7 0 .609 .15 .39 .080 .548 .437 2.58 .475 -.062 2 23 ELK014A 1807 2004 198 8 0 .705 .60 2.07 .389 .788 .309 2.68 .499 -.077 1 24 ELK014B 1787 2004 218 9 0 .669 .80 2.21 .448 .767 .299 2.59 .396 -.028 2 25 ELK016A 1780 2004 225 9 0 .501 .83 3.44 .594 .895 .267 2.77 .399 -.029 1 26 ELK016B 1807 2004 198 8 0 .637 .58 1.55 .254 .606 .297 2.77 .484 -.040 2 27 ELK018A 1837 2004 168 7 0 .726 1.01 2.57 .526 .708 .339 2.65 .422 -.043 2 28 ELK018B 1810 2004 195 8 0 .699 1.32 2.85 .614 .705 .298 2.71 .408 -.002 2 29 ELK019A 1731 2004 274 11 0 .517 .53 1.16 .217 .742 .226 2.53 .298 -.024 1 30 ELK020A 1608 2004 397 16 0 .600 .49 1.69 .278 .837 .259 2.35 .251 -.029 1 31 ELK020B 1486 1841 356 14 1 .578 .37 1.17 .196 .813 .267 2.46 .232 -.021 2 --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- Total or mean: 8302 336 11 .648 .53 3.44 .321 .773 .309 2.87 .347 -.021