Kengbulake, China - chin010 Additional Site Information Paul Krusic, Jinbao Li, Jianfeng Peng, Keyan Fang, and Edward Cook Purpose of Collection: Climatology - precipitation analysis Reference: Cook, E.R., K.J. Anchukaitis, B.M. Buckley, R.D. D'Arrigo, G.C. Jacoby, and W.E. Wright. 2010. Asian Monsoon Failure and Megadrought During the Last Millennium. Science, Vol. 328, Issue 5977, pp.486-489, 23 April 2010. DOI: 10.1126/science.1185188 COFECHA output: Chronology file name : CHIN010.CRN Measurement file name : CHIN010.RWL Date checked : 27OCT11 Checked by : B. Bauer Beginning year : 1686 Ending year : 2004 Principal investigators: Paul Krusic Jinbao Li Jianfeng Peng Keyan Fang Edward Cook Site name : Kengbulake Site location : China Species information : PCSH SHRENK'S SPRUCE Latitude : 4248 Longitude : 8143 Elevation : 2593M Series intercorrelation: 0.616 Avg mean sensitivity : 0.157 Avg standard deviation : 0.513 Avg autocorrelation : 0.867 Number dated series : 41 Segment length tested : 50 Number problem segments: 8 Pct problem segments : 2.23 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: Kengbulake 15:31 Thu 27 Oct 2011 Page 5 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1700 1725 1750 1775 1800 1825 1850 1875 1900 1925 1950 1975 1749 1774 1799 1824 1849 1874 1899 1924 1949 1974 1999 2024 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 KEN01A 1790 2004 .57 .68 .58 .67 .75 .53 .39 .30A .18B 2 KEN01B 1780 2004 .60 .58 .59 .69 .77 .69 .43 .43 .47 3 KEN02A 1729 2004 .62 .79 .78 .66 .66 .63 .71 .70 .59 .65 .58 4 KEN02B 1780 2004 .66 .59 .53 .58 .69 .74 .73 .57 .53 5 KEN03A 1686 2004 .45 .60 .64 .53 .59 .63 .68 .69 .57 .66 .65 .54 6 KEN04A 1734 2004 .73 .75 .70 .67 .64 .66 .49 .41 .63 .59 .44 7 KEN04B 1786 2004 .54 .71 .55 .48 .57 .53 .62 .35 .30A 8 KEN05A 1758 2004 .13B .22B .59 .59 .46 .68 .78 .54 .41 .40 9 KEN05B 1817 2004 .50 .51 .63 .62 .56 .50 .52 .43 10 KEN06A 1827 2004 .64 .63 .70 .63 .64 .69 .55 11 KEN06B 1843 2004 .76 .76 .76 .53 .45 .56 .51 12 KEN07A 1784 2004 .67 .73 .74 .66 .72 .80 .78 .72 .66 13 KEN07B 1803 2004 .62 .62 .68 .78 .70 .60 .62 .52 14 KEN08A 1787 2004 .83 .87 .83 .61 .32A .33A .67 .60 .57 15 KEN08B 1758 2004 .64 .55 .65 .83 .70 .71 .77 .74 .67 .57 16 KEN09A 1715 2004 .65 .75 .69 .69 .65 .69 .82 .74 .65 .73 .64 .61 17 KEN09B 1727 2004 .74 .69 .76 .76 .75 .84 .79 .68 .73 .77 .77 18 KEN10A 1727 2004 .73 .75 .66 .71 .68 .63 .68 .70 .67 .62 .70 19 KEN10B 1719 2004 .61 .70 .66 .57 .67 .72 .77 .76 .66 .61 .59 .56 20 KEN11A 1761 2004 .68 .58 .43 .54 .48 .51 .61 .67 .63 .60 21 KEN11B 1730 2004 .54 .75 .64 .51 .61 .66 .52 .48 .61 .46 .45 22 KEN12A 1754 2004 .75 .52 .42 .66 .71 .66 .47 .50 .49 .39 23 KEN12B 1850 2004 .62 .63 .45 .54 .60 .54 24 KEN13A 1806 2004 .48 .68 .74 .60 .54 .55 .60 .50 25 KEN13B 1767 2004 .62 .52 .58 .73 .61 .66 .81 .81 .72 .63 26 KEN14A 1844 2004 .37 .40 .61 .68 .68 .65 .62 27 KEN14B 1864 2004 .51 .46 .70 .81 .65 .61 28 KEN15A 1773 2004 .78 .77 .75 .66 .72 .72 .65 .67 .64 .55 29 KEN15B 1748 2004 .65 .66 .73 .70 .71 .81 .84 .80 .78 .54 .54 30 KEN16A 1788 2004 .55 .75 .72 .78 .86 .82 .71 .67 .65 31 KEN16B 1830 2004 .74 .79 .81 .80 .64 .40 .42 32 KEN17A 1780 2004 .62 .76 .69 .72 .67 .60 .58 .38 .41 33 KEN17B 1758 2004 .32A .51 .71 .75 .70 .61 .62 .71 .49 .46 34 KEN18A 1809 2004 .72 .75 .84 .80 .64 .65 .60 .60 35 KEN18B 1856 2004 .68 .77 .73 .63 .56 .51 36 KEN18C 1820 2004 .76 .76 .81 .84 .75 .64 .52 .53 37 KEN19A 1881 2004 .53 .71 .68 .61 .55 38 KEN19B 1880 2004 .55 .43 .37 .60 .59 39 KEN20A 1846 2004 .68 .61 .59 .67 .65 .61 .58 40 KEN21A 1873 2004 .63 .62 .73 .56 .39 .33 41 KEN21B 1874 2004 .47 .50 .62 .64 .71 .67 Av segment correlation .57 .67 .64 .62 .65 .66 .66 .67 .64 .63 .57 .53 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: Kengbulake 15:31 Thu 27 Oct 2011 Page 9 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 1 KEN01A 1790 2004 215 9 2 .493 .99 2.20 .365 .888 .140 2.60 .328 -.018 1 2 KEN01B 1780 2004 225 9 0 .607 1.32 3.46 .711 .919 .157 2.79 .436 -.034 1 3 KEN02A 1729 2004 276 11 0 .651 1.23 2.55 .408 .798 .166 2.49 .343 -.013 1 4 KEN02B 1780 2004 225 9 0 .627 1.52 2.67 .379 .717 .145 2.79 .455 -.011 1 5 KEN03A 1686 2004 319 12 0 .588 .94 2.12 .439 .861 .195 2.55 .373 -.035 1 6 KEN04A 1734 2004 271 11 0 .586 1.08 2.37 .488 .910 .159 2.58 .348 -.015 1 7 KEN04B 1786 2004 219 9 1 .483 1.02 2.58 .567 .952 .148 2.52 .288 -.009 2 8 KEN05A 1758 2004 247 10 2 .464 1.38 2.86 .706 .916 .143 2.63 .389 -.021 1 9 KEN05B 1817 2004 188 8 0 .541 1.26 4.26 1.037 .949 .175 2.67 .367 -.048 1 10 KEN06A 1827 2004 178 7 0 .624 1.41 2.58 .402 .767 .146 2.80 .481 .024 1 11 KEN06B 1843 2004 162 7 0 .619 .75 1.72 .313 .883 .155 2.68 .375 -.069 1 12 KEN07A 1784 2004 221 9 0 .707 1.22 2.01 .295 .776 .134 2.58 .425 -.006 2 13 KEN07B 1803 2004 202 8 0 .652 .95 2.35 .454 .948 .127 2.51 .309 -.050 1 14 KEN08A 1787 2004 218 9 2 .588 1.55 2.98 .558 .852 .162 2.65 .358 -.018 1 15 KEN08B 1758 2004 247 10 0 .670 1.32 3.21 .405 .730 .162 2.57 .317 -.010 1 16 KEN09A 1715 2004 290 12 0 .687 .87 2.22 .458 .918 .140 2.57 .340 -.049 1 17 KEN09B 1727 2004 278 11 0 .754 1.20 2.33 .385 .820 .147 2.61 .335 -.042 1 18 KEN10A 1727 2004 278 11 0 .683 1.15 2.56 .619 .928 .149 2.67 .449 .005 1 19 KEN10B 1719 2004 286 12 0 .650 1.18 2.97 .584 .893 .162 2.54 .344 -.053 1 20 KEN11A 1761 2004 244 10 0 .580 .75 2.14 .490 .945 .198 2.52 .333 -.037 1 21 KEN11B 1730 2004 275 11 0 .519 .88 2.43 .575 .961 .166 2.48 .318 -.034 1 22 KEN12A 1754 2004 251 10 0 .554 .76 1.50 .224 .782 .155 2.40 .248 -.045 1 23 KEN12B 1850 2004 155 6 0 .542 .78 1.55 .324 .876 .157 2.47 .328 -.086 1 24 KEN13A 1806 2004 199 8 0 .560 .93 2.57 .498 .830 .207 2.56 .336 -.051 1 25 KEN13B 1767 2004 238 10 0 .664 1.10 2.71 .511 .852 .179 2.55 .373 .000 1 26 KEN14A 1844 2004 161 7 0 .569 1.30 3.30 .570 .899 .157 2.71 .462 .019 1 27 KEN14B 1864 2004 141 6 0 .588 1.68 4.95 .568 .780 .150 2.56 .348 -.036 2 28 KEN15A 1773 2004 232 10 0 .694 1.28 4.07 .644 .893 .171 2.54 .363 .042 2 29 KEN15B 1748 2004 257 11 0 .684 1.13 3.73 .737 .938 .190 2.59 .349 -.027 1 30 KEN16A 1788 2004 217 9 0 .725 1.48 2.74 .461 .858 .124 2.56 .313 -.021 1 31 KEN16B 1830 2004 175 7 0 .698 1.42 2.76 .407 .829 .127 2.42 .285 -.035 1 32 KEN17A 1780 2004 225 9 0 .604 1.07 2.82 .529 .908 .162 2.71 .450 -.004 1 33 KEN17B 1758 2004 247 10 1 .565 1.26 3.30 .531 .901 .143 2.74 .384 -.026 1 34 KEN18A 1809 2004 196 8 0 .702 .97 2.04 .439 .900 .153 2.56 .388 -.026 1 35 KEN18B 1856 2004 149 6 0 .655 1.00 1.99 .446 .917 .146 2.43 .317 -.015 3 36 KEN18C 1820 2004 185 8 0 .712 .79 1.26 .200 .739 .144 2.48 .315 -.051 1 37 KEN19A 1881 2004 124 5 0 .567 2.71 5.10 .791 .822 .143 2.54 .398 -.063 1 38 KEN19B 1880 2004 125 5 0 .491 2.23 5.41 .950 .895 .135 2.63 .384 .011 2 39 KEN20A 1846 2004 159 7 0 .646 1.63 2.62 .465 .794 .153 2.57 .336 .009 1 40 KEN21A 1873 2004 132 6 0 .546 2.18 4.33 .764 .815 .152 2.56 .461 -.021 1 41 KEN21B 1874 2004 131 6 0 .576 1.80 5.42 .692 .843 .153 2.45 .324 .027 1 --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- Total or mean: 8763 359 8 .616 1.20 5.42 .513 .867 .157 2.80 .361 -.023