Tian Chi, China - chin014 Additional Site Information Paul Krusic, Jinbao Li, Jianfeng Peng, Keyan Fang, and Edward Cook Purpose of Collection: Climatology - precipitation analysis Reference: Cook, E.R., K.J. Anchukaitis, B.M. Buckley, R.D. D'Arrigo, G.C. Jacoby, and W.E. Wright. 2010. Asian Monsoon Failure and Megadrought During the Last Millennium. Science, Vol. 328, Issue 5977, pp.486-489, 23 April 2010. DOI: 10.1126/science.1185188 COFECHA output: Chronology file name : CHIN014.CRN Measurement file name : CHIN014.RWL Date checked : 27OCT11 Checked by : B. Bauer Beginning year : 1694 Ending year : 2004 Principal investigators: Paul Krusic Jinbao Li Jianfeng Peng Keyan Fang Edward Cook Site name : Tian Chi Site location : China Species information : PCSH SHRENK'S SPRUCE Latitude : 4353 Longitude : 8807 Elevation : 1913M Series intercorrelation: 0.826 Avg mean sensitivity : 0.284 Avg standard deviation : 0.446 Avg autocorrelation : 0.758 Number dated series : 49 Segment length tested : 50 Number problem segments: 0 Pct problem segments : 0.00 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: Tian Chi 15:34 Thu 27 Oct 2011 Page 5 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1675 1700 1725 1750 1775 1800 1825 1850 1875 1900 1925 1950 1975 1724 1749 1774 1799 1824 1849 1874 1899 1924 1949 1974 1999 2024 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 TIA01A 1850 2004 .88 .89 .84 .83 .80 .80 2 TIA01B 1830 2004 .88 .88 .92 .90 .86 .78 .78 3 TIA02A 1870 2004 .86 .87 .84 .83 .90 .91 4 TIA02B 1842 2004 .70 .81 .92 .86 .81 .83 .85 5 TIA03A 1810 2004 .78 .75 .78 .90 .86 .87 .89 .87 6 TIA03B 1787 2004 .63 .88 .88 .91 .90 .84 .88 .91 .90 7 TIA05A 1803 2004 .83 .88 .89 .90 .87 .83 .80 .80 8 TIA05B 1867 2004 .87 .90 .88 .91 .89 .88 9 TIA06A 1859 2004 .93 .92 .89 .88 .87 .87 10 TIA07A 1870 2004 .87 .91 .92 .91 .94 .94 11 TIA07B 1901 2004 .90 .94 .95 .95 12 TIA08A 1779 2004 .83 .78 .77 .75 .72 .76 .83 .84 .82 13 TIA08B 1780 2004 .73 .79 .66 .55 .65 .80 .81 .81 .80 14 TIA09A 1783 2004 .69 .60 .39 .50 .66 .70 .76 .87 .83 15 TIA09B 1716 1940 .87 .84 .86 .75 .59 .51 .60 .71 .57 16 TIA10A 1887 2004 .84 .86 .86 .90 .89 17 TIA10B 1826 2004 .81 .91 .93 .88 .90 .94 .95 18 TIA11A 1798 2004 .73 .78 .79 .89 .92 .90 .86 .84 .84 19 TIA11B 1832 2004 .80 .89 .87 .69 .66 .87 .87 20 TIA12A 1732 2004 .92 .95 .94 .91 .86 .89 .90 .91 .74 .56 .58 21 TIA12B 1698 2004 .76 .76 .91 .95 .94 .93 .78 .81 .86 .85 .85 .71 .70 22 TIA13A 1743 2004 .92 .95 .92 .89 .87 .83 .80 .81 .82 .76 .77 23 TIA13B 1759 2004 .91 .93 .93 .95 .87 .83 .88 .75 .84 .82 24 TIA14A 1791 2004 .82 .83 .70 .70 .80 .87 .83 .81 .82 25 TIA14B 1769 2004 .91 .92 .84 .74 .73 .67 .69 .78 .74 .66 26 TIA15A 1822 2004 .47 .54 .77 .86 .89 .90 .91 .89 27 TIA15B 1829 2004 .63 .75 .86 .88 .84 .86 .87 28 TIA16A 1851 2004 .39 .56 .65 .60 .73 .72 29 TIA17A 1722 2004 .79 .81 .93 .95 .95 .93 .90 .91 .91 .85 .86 .87 30 TIA17B 1733 2004 .87 .94 .95 .92 .86 .86 .82 .82 .76 .76 .74 31 TIA18A 1872 2004 .88 .88 .85 .67 .68 .67 32 TIA18B 1821 2004 .75 .74 .79 .94 .92 .78 .62 .61 33 TIA19A 1747 2004 .72 .70 .81 .91 .87 .86 .86 .84 .81 .74 .73 34 TIA19B 1767 2004 .87 .87 .82 .86 .90 .94 .90 .89 .92 .92 35 TIA20A 1875 2004 .73 .64 .78 .92 .88 36 TIA20B 1878 2004 .75 .74 .79 .89 .89 37 TIA21A 1729 2004 .48 .82 .93 .87 .82 .89 .90 .88 .85 .59 .58 38 TIA21B 1809 2004 .88 .90 .92 .93 .91 .85 .74 .74 39 TIA22A 1703 2004 .81 .87 .84 .82 .80 .76 .82 .92 .91 .89 .92 .92 40 TIA22B 1694 2004 .81 .81 .83 .88 .87 .76 .83 .86 .82 .83 .90 .89 .89 41 TIA23A 1769 2004 .92 .93 .93 .91 .89 .92 .92 .90 .92 .89 42 TIA23B 1757 2004 .92 .90 .88 .88 .89 .90 .87 .89 .92 .91 43 TIA24A 1883 2004 .85 .83 .87 .93 .93 44 TIA25A 1752 2004 .86 .94 .91 .85 .85 .87 .87 .87 .88 .88 45 TIA25B 1804 2004 .89 .81 .81 .80 .82 .86 .83 .83 46 TIA26A 1844 2004 .87 .87 .92 .91 .91 .90 .90 47 TIA27A 1820 2004 .87 .87 .94 .96 .92 .91 .92 .92 48 TIA27B 1901 2004 .84 .87 .88 .87 49 TIA37A 1760 2004 .79 .80 .84 .73 .70 .85 .85 .90 .90 .88 Av segment correlation .79 .81 .82 .88 .85 .83 .79 .82 .85 .84 .84 .84 .83 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: Tian Chi 15:34 Thu 27 Oct 2011 Page 9 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 1 TIA01A 1850 2004 155 6 0 .859 .75 1.98 .404 .626 .432 2.48 .362 -.052 2 2 TIA01B 1830 2004 175 7 0 .877 .80 2.88 .514 .693 .434 2.70 .420 -.062 2 3 TIA02A 1870 2004 135 6 0 .870 1.64 3.88 .752 .699 .286 2.49 .366 -.043 1 4 TIA02B 1842 2004 163 7 0 .805 1.45 3.32 .556 .621 .293 2.53 .389 -.037 1 5 TIA03A 1810 2004 195 8 0 .841 1.14 3.15 .587 .663 .363 2.47 .450 -.046 1 6 TIA03B 1787 2004 218 9 0 .830 .98 2.55 .394 .608 .306 2.70 .449 -.041 2 7 TIA05A 1803 2004 202 8 0 .836 1.01 4.46 .757 .854 .323 2.54 .398 -.034 1 8 TIA05B 1867 2004 138 6 0 .875 .74 1.77 .396 .713 .392 2.39 .424 -.029 1 9 TIA06A 1859 2004 146 6 0 .906 .70 1.47 .303 .627 .336 2.47 .347 -.015 1 10 TIA07A 1870 2004 135 6 0 .910 .93 1.84 .342 .527 .291 2.45 .376 -.030 1 11 TIA07B 1901 2004 104 4 0 .931 1.32 2.16 .397 .416 .273 2.38 .396 -.015 1 12 TIA08A 1779 2004 226 9 0 .780 .58 1.73 .308 .810 .257 2.56 .369 -.058 2 13 TIA08B 1780 2004 225 9 0 .727 .67 1.61 .327 .813 .261 2.55 .458 .033 2 14 TIA09A 1783 2004 222 9 0 .688 .54 1.27 .321 .922 .196 2.56 .329 -.048 2 15 TIA09B 1716 1940 225 9 0 .694 .70 2.21 .473 .925 .179 2.52 .383 -.015 1 16 TIA10A 1887 2004 118 5 0 .875 1.02 1.94 .389 .757 .229 2.31 .290 .005 1 17 TIA10B 1826 2004 179 7 0 .899 1.14 2.19 .401 .671 .245 2.50 .408 -.004 1 18 TIA11A 1798 2004 207 9 0 .841 .80 2.85 .554 .834 .341 2.99 .430 -.014 1 19 TIA11B 1832 2004 173 7 0 .807 .99 3.55 .624 .846 .303 2.51 .320 -.022 1 20 TIA12A 1732 2004 273 11 0 .817 .68 2.09 .403 .771 .271 2.53 .369 .010 1 21 TIA12B 1698 2004 307 13 0 .816 .82 2.61 .529 .816 .286 2.64 .403 .028 1 22 TIA13A 1743 2004 262 11 0 .826 .56 2.09 .412 .741 .439 2.69 .440 -.071 1 23 TIA13B 1759 2004 246 10 0 .867 .82 2.51 .449 .721 .330 2.42 .325 -.040 1 24 TIA14A 1791 2004 214 9 0 .798 .57 1.15 .263 .847 .237 2.55 .381 -.018 1 25 TIA14B 1769 2004 236 10 0 .733 .63 1.87 .317 .778 .270 2.53 .289 -.036 1 26 TIA15A 1822 2004 183 8 0 .792 .90 1.80 .324 .742 .222 2.53 .402 -.019 1 27 TIA15B 1829 2004 176 7 0 .802 .99 2.17 .419 .774 .219 2.46 .317 -.052 1 28 TIA16A 1851 2004 154 6 0 .580 1.35 3.10 .626 .816 .227 2.52 .348 -.072 1 29 TIA17A 1722 2004 283 12 0 .890 .93 4.39 .827 .907 .281 2.46 .331 -.020 1 30 TIA17B 1733 2004 272 11 0 .833 .84 3.62 .690 .902 .272 2.47 .343 -.013 1 31 TIA18A 1872 2004 133 6 0 .771 .60 1.82 .363 .784 .411 2.62 .448 -.098 1 32 TIA18B 1821 2004 184 8 0 .776 .40 1.22 .211 .710 .378 2.58 .371 -.040 1 33 TIA19A 1747 2004 258 11 0 .801 .80 2.05 .381 .823 .247 2.47 .362 -.048 1 34 TIA19B 1767 2004 238 10 0 .888 .87 2.13 .408 .812 .236 2.37 .283 -.046 2 35 TIA20A 1875 2004 130 5 0 .794 1.24 3.57 .669 .830 .261 2.46 .390 -.048 2 36 TIA20B 1878 2004 127 5 0 .820 1.27 2.76 .497 .683 .258 2.51 .483 -.051 2 37 TIA21A 1729 2004 276 11 0 .745 .70 2.49 .353 .870 .223 2.59 .378 -.035 3 38 TIA21B 1809 2004 196 8 0 .842 .86 2.04 .315 .731 .225 2.51 .464 -.047 1 39 TIA22A 1703 2004 302 12 0 .855 .76 3.65 .569 .875 .319 2.58 .390 -.007 1 40 TIA22B 1694 2004 311 13 0 .838 .73 3.37 .659 .908 .336 2.61 .403 -.042 3 41 TIA23A 1769 2004 236 10 0 .908 .69 1.34 .286 .653 .311 2.44 .387 -.050 1 42 TIA23B 1757 2004 248 10 0 .890 .74 1.47 .244 .522 .277 2.48 .396 -.037 1 43 TIA24A 1883 2004 122 5 0 .886 1.21 2.66 .553 .607 .336 2.42 .367 -.036 1 44 TIA25A 1752 2004 253 10 0 .871 .90 2.11 .305 .681 .215 2.37 .296 -.011 1 45 TIA25B 1804 2004 201 8 0 .823 .97 2.43 .488 .874 .208 2.51 .298 -.029 3 46 TIA26A 1844 2004 161 7 0 .895 1.18 2.24 .304 .538 .201 2.36 .334 -.017 1 47 TIA27A 1820 2004 185 8 0 .910 .97 2.46 .413 .560 .328 2.36 .298 -.027 1 48 TIA27B 1901 2004 104 4 0 .853 .87 1.33 .217 .486 .201 2.54 .402 .078 1 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: Tian Chi 15:34 Thu 27 Oct 2011 Page 10 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 49 TIA37A 1760 2004 245 10 0 .818 .77 2.76 .350 .833 .208 2.39 .367 -.005 1 --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- Total or mean: 9857 406 0 .826 .85 4.46 .446 .758 .284 2.99 .375 -.029