Daocheng, Sichuan, China - chin018 Additional Site Information Jinbao Li, Keyan Fang, Yang Tao, Edward Cook Purpose of Collection: Climatology - precipitation analysis Reference: Cook, E.R., K.J. Anchukaitis, B.M. Buckley, R.D. D'Arrigo, G.C. Jacoby, and W.E. Wright. 2010. Asian Monsoon Failure and Megadrought During the Last Millennium. Science, Vol. 328, Issue 5977, pp.486-489, 23 April 2010. DOI: 10.1126/science.1185188 COFECHA output: Chronology file name : CHIN018.CRN Measurement file name : CHIN018.RWL Date checked : 28OCT11 Checked by : B. Bauer Beginning year : 1540 Ending year : 2006 Principal investigators: Jinbao Li Keyan Fang Yang Tao Edward Cook Site name : Daocheng Site location : China Species information : ABFO CHINESE FIR Latitude : 2917 Longitude : 10005 Elevation : 4150M Series intercorrelation: 0.505 Avg mean sensitivity : 0.182 Avg standard deviation : 0.373 Avg autocorrelation : 0.853 Number dated series : 61 Segment length tested : 50 Number problem segments: 45 Pct problem segments : 10.49 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: Daocheng 09:42 Fri 28 Oct 2011 Page 5 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1525 1550 1575 1600 1625 1650 1675 1700 1725 1750 1775 1800 1825 1850 1875 1900 1925 1950 1975 1574 1599 1624 1649 1674 1699 1724 1749 1774 1799 1824 1849 1874 1899 1924 1949 1974 1999 2024 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 DAO01A 1915 2006 .39 .41 .46 .61 2 DAO01B 1867 2006 .57 .51 .51 .47 .57 .63 3 DAO01C 1875 2006 .54 .41 .49 .48 .28A 4 DAO02A 1920 2006 .31A .30A .29B .36 5 DAO02B 1857 2006 .69 .59 .52 .57 .54 .50 6 DAO03A 1827 2006 .51 .61 .41 .37 .11B .03B .06B 7 DAO03B 1867 2006 .60 .49 .31A .28A .36 .38 8 DAO03C 1826 2006 .38 .43 .44 .35 .26A .37 .37 9 DAO04A 1843 2006 .45 .57 .69 .52 .42 .46 .51 10 DAO04B 1854 2006 .57 .59 .45 .42 .46 .46 11 DAO05A 1912 2006 .61 .54 .43 .44 12 DAO07A 1877 2006 .51 .28A .46 .53 .57 13 DAO07B 1872 2006 .54 .54 .42 .52 .60 .65 14 DAO08A 1858 2006 .40 .47 .56 .71 .67 .62 15 DAO08B 1864 2006 .52 .54 .61 .73 .59 .48 16 DAO09A 1850 2006 .23A .34 .55 .50 .25B .30B 17 DAO09B 1856 2006 .14B .38 .31A .45 .46 .48 18 DAO10A 1779 1896 .44 .39 .39 .64 19 DAO10B 1779 1925 .32B .25B .36 .53 .32A .35 20 DAO11A 1857 2006 .65 .67 .61 .43 .37 .44 21 DAO11B 1912 2006 .61 .42 .50 .53 22 DAO12A 1836 2006 .55 .59 .57 .51 .68 .68 .60 23 DAO12B 1824 2006 .61 .58 .71 .67 .48 .65 .70 .64 24 DAO13A 1874 2006 .71 .73 .71 .45 .36 .36 25 DAO13B 1894 2006 .53 .44 .42 .50 .49 26 DAO14A 1802 2006 .45 .44 .44 .46 .58 .60 .60 .51 27 DAO14B 1835 2006 .39 .37 .44 .32A .56 .66 .58 28 DAO15A 1915 2006 .48 .52 .57 .54 29 DAO15B 1920 2006 .49 .35 .54 .54 30 DAO16A 1540 2006 .59 .56 .47 .37 .41 .58 .61 .53 .53 .64 .77 .69 .67 .65 .51 .34 .56 .74 .66 31 DAO16B 1544 2006 .64 .63 .52 .49 .63 .71 .62 .50 .51 .57 .69 .65 .64 .64 .44 .30A .55 .72 .64 32 DAO16C 1584 2006 .27B .32A .62 .55 .55 .48 .39 .56 .57 .59 .71 .65 .55 .42 .60 .67 .58 33 DAO17A 1828 2006 .45 .44 .34 .42 .44 .32A .31A 34 DAO17B 1817 2006 .18B .28A .42 .45 .55 .50 .56 .52 35 DAO18A 1862 1997 .67 .48 .30A .46 .55 36 DAO18B 1853 2006 .56 .60 .55 .64 .57 .52 37 DAO19A 1846 2006 .50 .46 .19B .28A .46 .58 .57 38 DAO19B 1841 2006 .53 .49 .27A .34 .44 .57 .65 39 DAO20A 1815 2006 .59 .73 .75 .68 .44 .49 .59 .45 40 DAO20B 1825 2006 .72 .79 .74 .52 .49 .63 .47 41 DAO21A 1884 2006 .31B .55 .52 .40 .41 42 DAO21B 1889 2006 .47 .58 .59 .32A .29A 43 DAO22A 1600 2006 .14B .34 .62 .64 .61 .57 .55 .66 .51 .51 .59 .57 .56 .49 .62 .69 44 DAO22B 1615 1920 .44 .57 .59 .53 .48 .54 .64 .69 .61 .47 .55 .57 45 DAO23A 1891 2006 .41 .45 .56 .67 .61 46 DAO23B 1830 2006 .46 .38 .21B .38 .62 .55 .54 47 DAO24A 1835 2006 .10B .29A .41 .65 .48 .33 .39 48 DAO24B 1879 2006 .63 .53 .30B .18B .31A 49 DAO25A 1858 2006 .62 .54 .61 .74 .74 .68 50 DAO25B 1870 2006 .49 .52 .55 .58 .71 .60 51 DAO26A 1654 2006 .50 .48 .44 .59 .71 .67 .55 .63 .58 .34 .47 .45 .32A .30A 52 DAO27A 1829 2006 .54 .49 .37 .47 .58 .60 .53 53 DAO28A 1859 2006 .60 .54 .51 .51 .46 .35 54 DAO28B 1820 2006 .43 .58 .57 .46 .46 .40 .41 .47 55 DAO29A 1886 2006 .65 .62 .64 .56 .44 56 DAO29B 1834 2006 .57 .54 .24B .33 .68 .72 .58 57 DAO30A 1852 2006 .67 .68 .50 .55 .56 .50 58 DAO31A 1840 2006 .48 .57 .43 .29B .54 .65 .61 59 DAO31B 1854 2006 .57 .47 .42 .53 .63 .58 60 DAO37A 1859 2006 .61 .51 .47 .64 .58 .44 61 DAO37B 1840 2006 .64 .71 .54 .47 .67 .80 .76 Av segment correlation .61 .60 .42 .35 .52 .59 .57 .51 .52 .61 .60 .50 .51 .55 .49 .46 .51 .52 .50 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: Daocheng 09:42 Fri 28 Oct 2011 Page 11 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 1 DAO01A 1915 2006 92 4 0 .499 .54 1.25 .238 .773 .217 2.59 .420 -.058 1 2 DAO01B 1867 2006 140 6 0 .540 .31 .75 .113 .752 .203 2.68 .485 .022 1 3 DAO01C 1875 2006 132 5 1 .442 .29 .73 .115 .769 .213 2.47 .354 -.023 1 4 DAO02A 1920 2006 87 4 3 .366 .39 .77 .165 .853 .202 2.51 .442 -.015 1 5 DAO02B 1857 2006 150 6 0 .595 .46 .88 .133 .701 .177 2.65 .464 .047 1 6 DAO03A 1827 2006 180 7 3 .357 .31 1.28 .179 .902 .177 2.75 .497 -.061 1 7 DAO03B 1867 2006 140 6 2 .466 .35 .59 .108 .794 .171 2.70 .392 -.021 1 8 DAO03C 1826 2006 181 7 1 .379 .37 .75 .122 .858 .148 2.58 .374 .010 1 9 DAO04A 1843 2006 164 7 0 .505 1.21 2.03 .285 .536 .173 2.58 .426 -.042 2 10 DAO04B 1854 2006 153 6 0 .489 1.18 2.16 .328 .689 .180 2.69 .425 .025 1 11 DAO05A 1912 2006 95 4 0 .530 .52 1.59 .240 .754 .198 2.60 .408 -.103 1 12 DAO07A 1877 2006 130 5 1 .518 .87 1.81 .276 .818 .136 2.71 .408 -.029 1 13 DAO07B 1872 2006 135 6 0 .553 .85 1.54 .226 .752 .137 2.65 .434 .057 1 14 DAO08A 1858 2006 149 6 0 .527 .82 1.67 .268 .826 .144 2.64 .331 -.033 1 15 DAO08B 1864 2006 143 6 0 .545 .96 2.31 .517 .929 .135 2.56 .354 -.028 1 16 DAO09A 1850 2006 157 6 3 .337 .82 2.29 .329 .886 .129 2.67 .396 .027 1 17 DAO09B 1856 2006 151 6 2 .294 .98 2.74 .527 .944 .133 2.65 .418 .024 1 18 DAO10A 1779 1896 118 4 0 .476 1.32 3.05 .635 .868 .193 2.47 .398 -.007 1 19 DAO10B 1779 1925 147 6 3 .336 .87 2.46 .602 .903 .208 2.49 .388 -.004 1 20 DAO11A 1857 2006 150 6 0 .558 .38 .76 .112 .618 .200 2.76 .461 .006 1 21 DAO11B 1912 2006 95 4 0 .585 .79 1.40 .251 .802 .159 2.47 .359 .005 1 22 DAO12A 1836 2006 171 7 0 .586 .61 2.13 .352 .800 .251 2.58 .391 -.060 1 23 DAO12B 1824 2006 183 8 0 .636 .56 1.72 .332 .889 .218 2.72 .439 -.014 1 24 DAO13A 1874 2006 133 6 0 .537 .54 .99 .138 .724 .134 2.68 .424 .044 2 25 DAO13B 1894 2006 113 5 0 .503 .78 1.11 .155 .731 .116 2.48 .373 .053 2 26 DAO14A 1802 2006 205 8 0 .485 .79 2.00 .381 .781 .244 2.46 .337 -.006 1 27 DAO14B 1835 2006 172 7 1 .459 .88 3.18 .392 .748 .210 2.68 .392 -.033 1 28 DAO15A 1915 2006 92 4 0 .488 1.07 1.85 .305 .564 .207 2.66 .430 -.021 2 29 DAO15B 1920 2006 87 4 0 .526 .84 1.29 .200 .393 .213 2.58 .516 .027 1 30 DAO16A 1540 2006 467 19 0 .559 .37 1.50 .324 .956 .201 2.62 .303 -.032 1 31 DAO16B 1544 2006 463 19 1 .564 .36 1.51 .322 .959 .210 2.67 .321 -.021 1 32 DAO16C 1584 2006 423 17 2 .516 .40 1.36 .268 .907 .240 2.76 .339 -.043 1 33 DAO17A 1828 2006 179 7 2 .394 .66 1.22 .191 .778 .143 2.78 .452 .033 1 34 DAO17B 1817 2006 190 8 2 .435 .62 1.39 .190 .756 .163 3.07 .434 .001 1 35 DAO18A 1862 1997 136 5 1 .503 1.32 2.62 .612 .858 .198 2.45 .368 -.042 2 36 DAO18B 1853 2006 154 6 0 .544 1.24 2.80 .606 .897 .174 2.52 .447 -.025 2 37 DAO19A 1846 2006 161 7 2 .467 1.12 2.34 .477 .872 .168 2.67 .338 -.093 1 38 DAO19B 1841 2006 166 7 1 .481 .86 2.38 .421 .909 .161 2.49 .328 -.072 1 39 DAO20A 1815 2006 192 8 0 .594 .78 2.11 .473 .896 .210 2.53 .301 -.008 1 40 DAO20B 1825 2006 182 7 0 .633 .88 2.32 .507 .859 .243 2.44 .330 -.018 1 41 DAO21A 1884 2006 123 5 1 .345 .67 1.41 .284 .878 .166 2.44 .314 -.012 1 42 DAO21B 1889 2006 118 5 2 .392 .61 1.13 .190 .866 .137 2.60 .397 .021 2 43 DAO22A 1600 2006 407 16 1 .508 .41 1.56 .307 .958 .179 2.57 .379 -.033 1 44 DAO22B 1615 1920 306 12 0 .560 .38 1.22 .275 .959 .206 2.38 .236 -.051 2 45 DAO23A 1891 2006 116 5 0 .509 .95 1.83 .419 .880 .177 2.46 .355 -.004 1 46 DAO23B 1830 2006 177 7 1 .448 .75 3.65 .577 .948 .171 2.50 .362 -.037 1 47 DAO24A 1835 2006 172 7 2 .376 1.16 2.32 .417 .795 .160 2.62 .330 -.039 1 48 DAO24B 1879 2006 128 5 3 .412 1.77 4.38 .863 .847 .176 2.82 .588 .058 1 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: Daocheng 09:42 Fri 28 Oct 2011 Page 12 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 49 DAO25A 1858 2006 149 6 0 .644 1.04 2.21 .437 .892 .154 2.50 .306 -.076 1 50 DAO25B 1870 2006 137 6 0 .549 .77 1.75 .363 .870 .179 2.50 .329 -.028 1 51 DAO26A 1654 2006 353 14 2 .482 .62 1.79 .335 .901 .173 2.51 .362 -.030 1 52 DAO27A 1829 2006 178 7 0 .513 1.09 3.58 .861 .921 .174 2.67 .519 .019 1 53 DAO28A 1859 2006 148 6 0 .517 .72 1.63 .409 .906 .202 2.62 .520 -.033 1 54 DAO28B 1820 2006 187 8 0 .484 .64 1.33 .226 .726 .209 2.65 .454 .029 1 55 DAO29A 1886 2006 121 5 0 .585 .97 1.74 .346 .845 .159 2.57 .390 -.020 1 56 DAO29B 1834 2006 173 7 1 .518 1.08 3.12 .706 .949 .154 2.52 .432 -.036 1 57 DAO30A 1852 2006 155 6 0 .577 1.37 2.98 .675 .852 .195 2.41 .335 -.026 1 58 DAO31A 1840 2006 167 7 1 .496 .87 2.69 .622 .959 .152 2.62 .334 -.028 1 59 DAO31B 1854 2006 153 6 0 .520 1.05 2.49 .434 .917 .132 2.32 .270 -.040 1 60 DAO37A 1859 2006 148 6 0 .561 1.61 3.72 .804 .919 .149 2.60 .421 -.022 1 61 DAO37B 1840 2006 167 7 0 .661 1.85 4.58 .932 .939 .144 2.61 .478 -.045 1 --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- Total or mean: 10541 429 45 .505 .76 4.58 .373 .853 .182 3.07 .383 -.019