Shangri La, Yunnan, China - chin026 Additional Site Information William Wright, Jinbao Li, Keyan Fang, Yang Tao, Edward Cook Purpose of Collection: Climatology - precipitation analysis Reference: Cook, E.R., K.J. Anchukaitis, B.M. Buckley, R.D. D'Arrigo, G.C. Jacoby, and W.E. Wright. 2010. Asian Monsoon Failure and Megadrought During the Last Millennium. Science, Vol. 328, Issue 5977, pp.486-489, 23 April 2010. DOI: 10.1126/science.1185188 COFECHA output: Chronology file name : CHIN026.CRN Measurement file name : CHIN026.RWL Date checked : 28OCT11 Checked by : B. Bauer Beginning year : 1516 Ending year : 2007 Principal investigators: William Wright Jinbao Li Keyan Fang Yang Tao Edward Cook Site name : Shangri La Site location : China Species information : ABFO CHINESE FIR Latitude : 2737 Longitude : 9948 Elevation : 3500M Series intercorrelation: 0.556 Avg mean sensitivity : 0.180 Avg standard deviation : 0.442 Avg autocorrelation : 0.867 Number dated series : 67 Segment length tested : 50 Number problem segments: 26 Pct problem segments : 2.99 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: Shangri La 10:49 Fri 28 Oct 2011 Page 5 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1500 1525 1550 1575 1600 1625 1650 1675 1700 1725 1750 1775 1800 1825 1850 1875 1900 1925 1950 1975 1549 1574 1599 1624 1649 1674 1699 1724 1749 1774 1799 1824 1849 1874 1899 1924 1949 1974 1999 2024 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 SMA02A 1712 2007 .51 .52 .62 .71 .69 .69 .68 .67 .62 .41 .34 .45 2 SMA02B 1700 2007 .62 .49 .46 .60 .62 .56 .65 .59 .34 .51 .53 .57 3 SMA04A 1787 2007 .56 .58 .73 .72 .47 .49 .62 .45 .51 4 SMA06A 1848 2006 .53 .58 .68 .62 .60 .44 .33A 5 SMA06B 1853 2007 .79 .75 .51 .50 .55 .48 6 SMA07A 1611 2007 .57 .49 .49 .37 .46 .70 .61 .55 .57 .62 .60 .61 .68 .66 .67 .60 7 SMA07B 1640 2007 .44 .53 .46 .45 .40 .49 .63 .56 .49 .48 .40 .41 .57 .41 .35 8 SMA08B 1853 2007 .60 .45 .58 .66 .65 .60 9 SMA09A 1519 1981 .21B .30A .57 .64 .65 .59 .57 .62 .69 .55 .47 .39 .36 .72 .66 .42 .49 .44 .44 10 SMA10A 1594 2007 .39 .42 .44 .46 .59 .31B .27B .35 .19B .39 .58 .34 .24A .49 .59 .42 .42 11 SMA10B 1516 2007 .30A .34 .33A .27A .57 .52 .46 .65 .63 .50 .62 .55 .32A .67 .77 .60 .47 .52 .38 .31B 12 SMA11A 1593 2007 .49 .49 .53 .42 .28A .32A .38 .35 .38 .51 .53 .64 .65 .49 .50 .43 .44 13 SMA11B 1660 2007 .61 .68 .54 .44 .38 .47 .58 .40 .18B .34 .64 .68 .49 .49 14 SMA13A 1829 2007 .57 .67 .62 .32A .55 .55 .60 15 SMA13B 1752 2007 .69 .65 .46 .44 .52 .55 .39 .40 .44 .54 16 SMA14A 1686 2007 .76 .67 .52 .63 .61 .56 .74 .73 .52 .42 .59 .51 .59 17 SMA15A 1634 2007 .53 .39 .47 .59 .56 .61 .48 .47 .58 .57 .56 .65 .72 .52 .60 18 SMA15B 1736 2007 .57 .46 .43 .60 .62 .52 .49 .70 .72 .57 .58 19 SMA16A 1571 2007 .58 .52 .61 .60 .48 .55 .54 .48 .72 .71 .51 .62 .61 .53 .66 .77 .63 .57 20 SMA16B 1596 2007 .52 .63 .54 .42 .46 .60 .68 .54 .60 .66 .54 .50 .61 .63 .71 .75 .75 21 SMA17A 1610 2004 .55 .54 .65 .66 .60 .68 .71 .72 .70 .60 .62 .61 .47 .48 .42 .39 22 SMA17B 1708 2003 .52 .61 .66 .71 .63 .65 .61 .48 .39 .51 .55 .54 23 SMA18A 1593 2007 .48 .48 .46 .58 .53 .38 .47 .55 .67 .73 .56 .44 .56 .73 .76 .70 .70 24 SMA18B 1751 2007 .56 .64 .51 .57 .51 .44 .54 .71 .70 .63 25 SMA19A 1621 2007 .55 .56 .56 .59 .51 .57 .69 .63 .65 .55 .59 .75 .59 .55 .50 .56 26 SMA19B 1582 2003 .61 .62 .62 .69 .80 .72 .46 .48 .74 .76 .73 .67 .66 .62 .57 .47 .46 27 SMA20A 1631 2007 .64 .46 .53 .48 .53 .69 .65 .59 .71 .73 .60 .53 .60 .53 .54 28 SMA20B 1562 2007 .41 .56 .61 .48 .56 .68 .60 .39 .46 .65 .73 .64 .61 .74 .68 .69 .57 .57 29 SMA24A 1590 2007 .45 .56 .55 .57 .58 .51 .53 .68 .68 .53 .56 .71 .69 .72 .82 .73 .72 30 SMA24B 1625 2007 .62 .49 .47 .47 .61 .68 .62 .43 .48 .76 .55 .43 .63 .59 .58 31 SMA25A 1823 2007 .71 .70 .77 .56 .54 .63 .53 .55 32 SMA25B 1823 2007 .82 .82 .83 .57 .54 .60 .50 .58 33 SMA26A 1663 2007 .54 .56 .55 .44 .49 .59 .57 .53 .54 .36 .44 .69 .57 .51 34 SMA26B 1623 2007 .51 .52 .52 .48 .50 .58 .56 .69 .64 .38 .43 .39 .39 .52 .45 .47 35 SMA26C 1749 2007 .59 .60 .62 .74 .62 .61 .57 .48 .51 .44 .47 36 SMA27A 1626 2007 .66 .65 .66 .54 .57 .70 .63 .53 .75 .89 .79 .58 .67 .58 .64 37 SMA27B 1582 2007 .32A .33 .51 .59 .55 .55 .64 .61 .63 .70 .67 .72 .57 .45 .57 .39 .48 38 SMA28A 1721 1965 .61 .64 .65 .62 .58 .38 .43 .50 .47 .63 39 SMA28B 1740 1999 .57 .61 .57 .58 .48 .56 .55 .58 .72 .40 40 SMA29A 1663 2007 .54 .56 .56 .59 .43 .34 .46 .69 .62 .41 .47 .63 .58 .58 41 SMA29B 1780 2007 .43 .45 .56 .54 .53 .59 .57 .39 .47 42 SMA29C 1694 2007 .29A .38 .48 .39 .42 .61 .61 .56 .54 .56 .69 .54 .51 43 SMA30A 1868 2007 .54 .47 .50 .57 .64 .64 44 SMA30B 1667 2007 .41 .46 .70 .59 .50 .46 .49 .69 .68 .49 .55 .48 .42 .51 45 SMA31A 1659 2007 .54 .55 .63 .70 .70 .56 .41 .49 .63 .68 .52 .51 .38 .28A 46 SMA31B 1625 2007 .45 .49 .41 .45 .65 .65 .61 .52 .58 .66 .43 .32B .43 .32A .38 47 SMA50A 1840 2007 .67 .47 .50 .68 .63 .60 .70 48 SMA50B 1875 2007 .60 .65 .60 .50 .58 49 SMA61A 1890 2007 .61 .45 .38 .40 .41 50 SMA62A 1854 2007 .44 .70 .59 .43 .27B .33 51 SMA62B 1862 2007 .43 .63 .51 .45 .39 .42 52 SMA78A 1597 2007 .19B .34 .51 .60 .58 .45 .43 .65 .63 .58 .60 .60 .50 .35 .64 .68 .64 53 SMA81A 1641 2007 .52 .53 .60 .66 .70 .68 .69 .61 .63 .62 .54 .56 .60 .55 .64 54 SMA81B 1596 2007 .63 .59 .49 .57 .56 .59 .74 .70 .61 .60 .65 .63 .56 .50 .65 .65 .63 55 SMA82A 1531 1966 .52 .58 .51 .62 .68 .63 .60 .58 .61 .60 .72 .74 .77 .70 .58 .71 .78 56 SMA82B 1565 2007 .59 .54 .65 .71 .73 .70 .60 .65 .73 .68 .50 .67 .61 .39 .53 .73 .53 .44 57 SMA83A 1819 2007 .80 .75 .58 .46 .56 .59 .54 .57 58 SMA83B 1533 2007 .45 .56 .54 .65 .57 .56 .78 .65 .62 .55 .45 .61 .51 .37 .43 .46 .62 .66 .67 59 SMA84A 1541 2007 .50 .60 .64 .59 .57 .69 .71 .56 .58 .71 .68 .68 .76 .67 .52 .66 .86 .82 .78 60 SMA84B 1564 2007 .54 .51 .62 .60 .62 .65 .66 .68 .64 .67 .70 .72 .48 .43 .62 .68 .71 .72 61 SMA84C 1780 2007 .59 .60 .81 .72 .36B .43 .79 .77 .73 62 SMA85A 1660 2007 .46 .53 .54 .51 .62 .56 .47 .46 .50 .59 .43 .37 .28B .39 63 SMA85B 1645 2007 .36 .36 .40 .56 .67 .78 .67 .37 .45 .44B .44 .47 .54 .36 .45 64 SMA86B 1650 2007 .49 .60 .50 .51 .67 .62 .44 .55 .61 .56 .48 .65 .61 .61 65 SMA87A 1712 2007 .58 .64 .69 .67 .67 .57 .64 .72 .49 .49 .57 .64 66 SMA87B 1630 2007 .63 .72 .74 .56 .50 .57 .51 .45 .39 .48 .52 .53 .68 .60 .64 67 SMA88A 1831 1986 .53 .76 .72 .49 .43 .48 Av segment correlation .26 .42 .53 .49 .56 .55 .54 .57 .55 .56 .59 .59 .58 .60 .60 .55 .53 .60 .52 .54 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: Shangri La 10:49 Fri 28 Oct 2011 Page 11 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 1 SMA02A 1712 2007 296 12 0 .594 .90 2.71 .445 .908 .153 2.64 .365 -.010 1 2 SMA02B 1700 2007 308 12 0 .548 .90 3.06 .654 .950 .165 2.51 .293 -.007 1 3 SMA04A 1787 2007 221 9 0 .588 .73 3.76 .511 .819 .234 2.64 .361 -.015 1 4 SMA06A 1848 2006 159 7 1 .506 .60 2.14 .365 .762 .230 2.84 .447 -.012 1 5 SMA06B 1853 2007 155 6 0 .638 .78 4.89 .627 .826 .242 2.68 .326 -.107 1 6 SMA07A 1611 2007 397 16 0 .570 .71 3.13 .295 .768 .175 2.89 .340 -.009 1 7 SMA07B 1640 2007 368 15 0 .454 .76 2.56 .378 .843 .179 2.63 .300 -.009 1 8 SMA08B 1853 2007 155 6 0 .589 1.62 4.02 .807 .858 .212 2.78 .399 .005 1 9 SMA09A 1519 1981 463 19 2 .500 .58 2.91 .483 .938 .186 2.55 .300 -.014 1 10 SMA10A 1594 2007 414 17 4 .399 .67 4.03 .587 .922 .254 2.64 .316 -.023 1 11 SMA10B 1516 2007 492 20 5 .489 .56 2.61 .448 .949 .175 2.71 .336 -.040 1 12 SMA11A 1593 2007 415 17 2 .438 .59 2.61 .394 .905 .186 2.53 .286 -.029 1 13 SMA11B 1660 2007 348 14 1 .494 .48 2.25 .312 .896 .264 2.39 .215 -.013 2 14 SMA13A 1829 2007 179 7 1 .566 .42 1.12 .174 .686 .281 2.60 .393 -.045 1 15 SMA13B 1752 2007 256 10 0 .524 .57 1.40 .193 .630 .235 2.59 .375 -.017 1 16 SMA14A 1686 2007 322 13 0 .609 .64 3.63 .399 .838 .167 2.70 .378 -.011 1 17 SMA15A 1634 2007 374 15 0 .558 .75 2.50 .215 .725 .140 2.66 .411 -.041 2 18 SMA15B 1736 2007 272 11 0 .565 .98 2.74 .306 .841 .125 2.71 .374 -.049 1 19 SMA16A 1571 2007 437 18 0 .591 .59 1.61 .280 .831 .201 2.69 .375 -.021 2 20 SMA16B 1596 2007 412 17 0 .587 .60 1.30 .212 .721 .194 2.75 .338 .009 1 21 SMA17A 1610 2004 395 16 0 .581 .64 2.60 .456 .941 .214 2.54 .315 -.049 1 22 SMA17B 1708 2003 296 12 0 .540 .49 2.01 .326 .940 .204 2.60 .302 -.020 1 23 SMA18A 1593 2007 415 17 0 .572 .67 2.31 .332 .888 .179 2.74 .409 -.010 1 24 SMA18B 1751 2007 257 10 0 .554 .97 2.67 .455 .830 .206 2.67 .350 -.026 2 25 SMA19A 1621 2007 387 16 0 .589 1.07 2.25 .334 .824 .141 2.69 .363 .005 1 26 SMA19B 1582 2003 422 17 0 .622 .96 3.70 .630 .944 .157 2.66 .300 -.014 2 27 SMA20A 1631 2007 377 15 0 .598 1.13 3.05 .419 .852 .149 2.66 .304 -.040 2 28 SMA20B 1562 2007 446 18 0 .576 .92 4.28 .780 .972 .162 2.73 .393 -.010 2 29 SMA24A 1590 2007 418 17 0 .608 .78 1.44 .250 .819 .163 2.64 .354 -.021 1 30 SMA24B 1625 2007 383 15 0 .548 .72 1.42 .261 .864 .148 2.75 .419 -.005 1 31 SMA25A 1823 2007 185 8 0 .622 .82 1.60 .303 .874 .144 2.66 .401 -.055 1 32 SMA25B 1823 2007 185 8 0 .673 .82 1.60 .302 .867 .154 2.68 .391 -.055 1 33 SMA26A 1663 2007 345 14 0 .521 1.10 2.21 .362 .852 .134 2.72 .462 -.011 1 34 SMA26B 1623 2007 385 16 0 .496 .89 2.26 .386 .904 .136 2.76 .439 -.005 1 35 SMA26C 1749 2007 259 11 0 .569 .68 1.24 .199 .781 .151 2.47 .353 -.001 1 36 SMA27A 1626 2007 382 15 0 .661 .78 2.71 .403 .863 .177 2.56 .352 -.046 1 37 SMA27B 1582 2007 426 17 1 .545 .68 3.03 .582 .964 .212 2.62 .375 -.010 2 38 SMA28A 1721 1965 245 10 0 .537 1.14 2.33 .396 .869 .144 2.72 .360 -.013 1 39 SMA28B 1740 1999 260 10 0 .531 .89 1.79 .297 .851 .150 2.71 .424 -.044 1 40 SMA29A 1663 2007 345 14 0 .516 1.01 2.14 .378 .865 .147 2.56 .429 .024 1 41 SMA29B 1780 2007 228 9 0 .507 .96 1.95 .374 .838 .164 2.67 .402 -.025 1 42 SMA29C 1694 2007 314 13 1 .494 1.01 2.23 .379 .870 .142 2.74 .404 -.021 1 43 SMA30A 1868 2007 140 6 0 .557 .72 1.74 .239 .782 .177 2.60 .492 -.015 1 44 SMA30B 1667 2007 341 14 0 .540 .79 1.70 .283 .837 .159 2.67 .329 .023 2 45 SMA31A 1659 2007 349 14 1 .525 1.06 3.05 .498 .896 .169 2.61 .358 .038 1 46 SMA31B 1625 2007 383 15 2 .496 .90 4.64 .649 .925 .181 2.58 .347 .032 1 47 SMA50A 1840 2007 168 7 0 .612 1.50 7.56 .987 .903 .148 2.61 .453 .002 1 48 SMA50B 1875 2007 133 5 0 .591 1.55 3.03 .331 .586 .147 2.57 .420 -.015 1 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: Shangri La 10:49 Fri 28 Oct 2011 Page 12 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 49 SMA61A 1890 2007 118 5 0 .500 2.49 3.98 .841 .839 .152 2.51 .409 .066 1 50 SMA62A 1854 2007 154 6 1 .449 1.47 2.79 .504 .660 .219 2.65 .440 .018 1 51 SMA62B 1862 2007 146 6 0 .449 1.79 3.74 .586 .687 .190 2.57 .425 .001 2 52 SMA78A 1597 2007 411 17 1 .515 .64 2.78 .433 .931 .189 2.52 .318 -.036 1 53 SMA81A 1641 2007 367 15 0 .602 .75 2.19 .353 .910 .145 2.63 .389 .009 1 54 SMA81B 1596 2007 412 17 0 .603 .91 2.61 .520 .943 .143 2.65 .368 -.016 1 55 SMA82A 1531 1966 436 17 0 .637 .87 2.83 .582 .953 .176 2.69 .364 .002 1 56 SMA82B 1565 2007 443 18 0 .602 .94 3.73 .705 .922 .204 2.79 .350 -.015 7 57 SMA83A 1819 2007 189 8 0 .608 .47 1.37 .183 .730 .205 2.76 .474 .001 2 58 SMA83B 1533 2007 475 19 0 .549 .84 4.85 1.015 .978 .184 2.64 .409 -.035 8 59 SMA84A 1541 2007 467 19 0 .650 .67 3.13 .592 .961 .185 2.74 .349 -.021 1 60 SMA84B 1564 2007 444 18 0 .619 .67 3.62 .635 .954 .206 2.69 .330 -.026 1 61 SMA84C 1780 2007 228 9 1 .636 .32 .99 .128 .738 .239 2.61 .331 -.050 1 62 SMA85A 1660 2007 348 14 1 .492 .64 3.02 .362 .861 .195 2.56 .324 -.044 1 63 SMA85B 1645 2007 363 15 1 .502 .74 3.31 .452 .866 .207 2.67 .350 -.041 1 64 SMA86B 1650 2007 358 14 0 .522 .65 3.27 .520 .924 .209 2.45 .235 -.016 1 65 SMA87A 1712 2007 296 12 0 .615 1.02 3.02 .353 .775 .180 2.64 .345 -.016 1 66 SMA87B 1630 2007 378 15 0 .563 1.02 2.05 .336 .775 .168 2.60 .341 -.022 1 67 SMA88A 1831 1986 156 6 0 .545 1.40 3.28 .513 .679 .201 2.91 .448 -.025 2 --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- Total or mean: 21501 870 26 .556 .82 7.56 .442 .867 .180 2.91 .359 -.017