Chronology file name : CO572.CRN Measurement file name : CO572.RWL Date checked : 11JUL06 Checked by : B. Bauer Beginning year : 894 Ending year : 1998 Principal investigators: Connie A. Woodhouse and Peter M. Brown Site name : Lily Lake Site location : Colorado Species information : PSME DOUGLAS-FIR Latitude : +4019 Longitude : -10533 Elevation : 2800M Series intercorrelation: 0.727 Avg mean sensitivity : 0.269 Avg standard deviation : 0.146 Avg autocorrelation : 0.715 Number dated series : 49 Segment length tested : 50 Number problem segments: 4 Pct problem segments : 0.46 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: Lily Lake 14:37 Tue 11 Jul 2006 Page 5 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 875 900 925 950 975 1000 1025 1050 1075 1100 1125 1150 1175 1200 1225 1250 1275 1300 1325 1350 924 949 974 999 1024 1049 1074 1099 1124 1149 1174 1199 1224 1249 1274 1299 1324 1349 1374 1399 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 lil053 1144 1290 .82 .80 .64 .63 .68 .62 2 lil261 1230 1661 .49 .58 .51 .44 .48 .61 6 lil532 1350 1998 .73 9 lil052 1144 1348 .82 .83 .78 .75 .81 .81 .67 .54 15 lil011 1199 1950 .80 .80 .32A .35 .80 .76 .79 .88 20 lil071 1317 1948 .67 .72 .85 22 lil092 1289 1410 .55 .62 .75 .87 26 lil522 1367 1950 .59 27 lil452 894 1198 .65 .65 .65 .72 .65 .55 .56 .55 .55 .44 .49 .64 28 lil451 896 1245 .65 .65 .65 .72 .65 .56 .47 .44 .60 .53 .45 .53 .42 .39 32 lil471 1250 1758 .43 .44 .49 .59 .70 33 lil282 1034 1849 .57 .53 .73 .86 .84 .83 .79 .77 .84 .81 .82 .73 .74 .83 34 lil283 1034 1538 .61 .63 .78 .80 .80 .77 .77 .81 .84 .90 .86 .73 .76 .84 35 lil281 1100 1201 .73 .76 .78 .76 36 lil281a 1299 1821 .71 .72 .72 .81 38 lil013 1125 1934 .75 .64 .67 .78 .40 .46 .76 .76 .70 .83 40 lil481 1308 1727 .59 .69 .76 41 lil571 1350 1998 .71 44 lil072 1320 1879 .54 .60 .73 47 lil061 1225 1933 .56 .63 .59 .66 .71 .73 48 lil411 1234 1715 .46 .54 .67 .70 .73 .71 Av segment correlation .65 .65 .65 .72 .65 .55 .55 .54 .67 .67 .72 .73 .70 .70 .60 .61 .67 .64 .69 .76 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: Lily Lake 14:37 Tue 11 Jul 2006 Page 6 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1375 1400 1425 1450 1475 1500 1525 1550 1575 1600 1625 1650 1675 1700 1725 1750 1775 1800 1825 1850 1424 1449 1474 1499 1524 1549 1574 1599 1624 1649 1674 1699 1724 1749 1774 1799 1824 1849 1874 1899 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 2 lil261 1230 1661 .61 .49 .54 .63 .41 .53 .69 .50 .64 .65 .85 3 lil542 1413 1998 .76 .74 .60 .76 .86 .77 .69 .82 .84 .93 .87 .60 .60 .51 .52 .64 .80 .81 .63 4 lil372 1419 1863 .50 .62 .60 .83 .89 .82 .76 .84 .82 .89 .85 .62 .75 .77 .65 .72 .84 .88 5 lil392 1535 1850 .72 .58 .58 .46 .78 .77 .33A .36 .50 .48 .63 .71 .72 6 lil532 1350 1998 .77 .84 .76 .63 .69 .77 .79 .80 .86 .83 .88 .92 .83 .84 .76 .79 .88 .87 .82 .82 7 lil371 1481 1869 .81 .86 .81 .71 .85 .87 .93 .92 .84 .86 .80 .80 .78 .82 .79 8 lil552 1414 1998 .64 .71 .50 .56 .73 .72 .67 .79 .83 .90 .85 .67 .60 .58 .57 .62 .74 .70 .72 10 lil541 1427 1998 .71 .66 .78 .77 .67 .62 .77 .83 .79 .68 .55 .58 .49 .42 .66 .71 .73 .79 11 lil081 1394 1623 .82 .81 .83 .70 .75 .84 .75 .70 .72 12 lil081a 1713 1948 .73 .73 .67 .82 .83 .83 .83 13 lil041 1500 1854 .60 .72 .71 .77 .71 .83 .86 .74 .74 .75 .73 .73 .77 .77 14 lil502 1529 1998 .61 .53 .61 .72 .72 .72 .74 .54 .40 .65 .73 .79 .74 .56 15 lil011 1199 1950 .85 .86 .79 .74 .81 .84 .82 .81 .84 .84 .79 .65 .73 .85 .76 .79 .83 .78 .77 .83 16 lil301 1710 1998 .70 .58 .61 .72 .81 .77 .67 17 lil531 1418 1998 .75 .68 .71 .82 .81 .74 .78 .88 .80 .86 .86 .77 .73 .65 .76 .82 .85 .81 .71 18 lil302 1692 1998 .67 .73 .68 .66 .77 .81 .73 .70 19 lil551 1435 1998 .73 .71 .76 .83 .81 .89 .81 .74 .94 .94 .76 .72 .70 .71 .78 .76 .73 .73 20 lil071 1317 1948 .83 .77 .61 .56 .63 .73 .76 .79 .81 .80 .82 .83 .73 .68 .63 .68 .80 .84 .66 .64 21 lil091 1380 1998 .78 .77 .65 .73 .85 .80 .74 .80 .89 .75 .64 .79 .85 .79 .76 .81 .86 .89 .75 .74 22 lil092 1289 1410 .83 23 lil092a 1470 1998 .79 .78 .81 .76 .80 .80 .73 .74 .79 .86 .84 .69 .75 .89 .91 .86 .82 24 lil461 1480 1670 .83 .85 .79 .74 .73 .67 .77 25 lil521 1379 1764 .84 .88 .84 .81 .84 .87 .83 .71 .79 .85 .89 .82 .64 .66 .50 26 lil522 1367 1950 .69 .87 .81 .72 .72 .74 .79 .73 .79 .83 .84 .84 .78 .69 .51 .53 .67 .75 .72 .47 29 lil451a 1400 1666 .48 .50 .55 .49 .66 .67 .51 .67 .66 .47 30 lil561 1457 1998 .72 .76 .78 .77 .79 .85 .76 .84 .87 .67 .69 .62 .59 .86 .87 .83 .86 31 lil562 1486 1962 .49 .77 .80 .67 .82 .81 .75 .73 .67 .77 .87 .83 .87 .89 .81 .70 32 lil471 1250 1758 .56 .52 .62 .58 .63 .72 .68 .56 .47 .54 .87 .85 .58 .68 .74 33 lil282 1034 1849 .84 .91 .91 .82 .82 .86 .82 .81 .80 .70 .85 .89 .70 .56 .49 .71 .81 .78 34 lil283 1034 1538 .78 .82 .78 .72 .82 .84 36 lil281a 1299 1821 .84 .87 .85 .78 .81 .88 .88 .81 .82 .80 .82 .84 .76 .61 .57 .78 .83 37 lil401 1574 1850 .70 .70 .67 .74 .79 .63 .55 .35 .40B .70 .69 .69 38 lil013 1125 1934 .87 .84 .74 .72 .82 .86 .87 .81 .78 .75 .79 .75 .71 .78 .62 .71 .83 .78 .78 .82 39 lil362 1400 1913 .61 .63 .62 .73 .85 .85 .86 .85 .81 .76 .61 .64 .73 .60 .55 .74 .84 .80 .66 40 lil481 1308 1727 .73 .83 .70 .60 .69 .76 .84 .88 .88 .87 .77 .63 .69 .78 41 lil571 1350 1998 .84 .59 .45 .69 .80 .72 .59 .78 .92 .83 .64 .71 .83 .73 .65 .76 .86 .88 .87 .86 42 lil201 1379 1998 .68 .73 .57 .59 .67 .77 .74 .75 .86 .80 .73 .73 .67 .66 .53 .56 .75 .78 .81 .80 43 lil572 1389 1900 .67 .63 .63 .51 .55 .70 .72 .72 .79 .68 .80 .77 .60 .63 .42 .49 .69 .76 .64 .58 44 lil072 1320 1879 .77 .88 .81 .73 .83 .87 .77 .75 .83 .80 .85 .86 .68 .69 .60 .56 .72 .76 .71 .71 45 lil051 1376 1477 .71 .80 .78 .70 46 lil051a 1486 1766 .78 .83 .75 .52 .64 .70 .90 .92 .79 .87 .71 47 lil061 1225 1933 .74 .71 .61 .55 .64 .76 .65 .60 .81 .80 .84 .86 .80 .82 .66 .67 .79 .79 .82 .87 48 lil411 1234 1715 .74 .81 .81 .63 .66 .87 .82 .66 .77 .79 .68 .62 .64 49 lil021 1540 1998 .70 .67 .84 .85 .91 .88 .69 .75 .71 .77 .72 .68 .82 .82 Av segment correlation .76 .74 .70 .67 .72 .79 .76 .71 .78 .76 .80 .80 .70 .70 .63 .65 .77 .80 .77 .73 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: Lily Lake 14:37 Tue 11 Jul 2006 Page 7 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1875 1900 1925 1950 1924 1949 1974 1999 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 3 lil542 1413 1998 .58 .74 .64 .53 6 lil532 1350 1998 .87 .86 .85 .85 8 lil552 1414 1998 .75 .72 .70 .71 10 lil541 1427 1998 .68 .55 .61 .61 12 lil081a 1713 1948 .70 .59 14 lil502 1529 1998 .42 .51 .40 .42 15 lil011 1199 1950 .83 .69 .69 16 lil301 1710 1998 .66 .75 .68 .51 17 lil531 1418 1998 .59 .64 .62 .59 18 lil302 1692 1998 .75 .78 .81 .79 19 lil551 1435 1998 .65 .72 .74 .66 20 lil071 1317 1948 .76 .73 21 lil091 1380 1998 .73 .73 .81 .73 23 lil092a 1470 1998 .76 .76 .88 .78 26 lil522 1367 1950 .39 .45 .45 30 lil561 1457 1998 .80 .75 .50 .45 31 lil562 1486 1962 .69 .78 .79 38 lil013 1125 1934 .74 .77 39 lil362 1400 1913 .65 41 lil571 1350 1998 .75 .69 .78 .74 42 lil201 1379 1998 .72 .71 .49 .32A 43 lil572 1389 1900 .57 47 lil061 1225 1933 .83 .85 49 lil021 1540 1998 .65 .62 .55 .45 Av segment correlation .69 .70 .66 .61 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: Lily Lake 14:37 Tue 11 Jul 2006 Page 11 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 1 lil053 1144 1290 147 6 0 .736 .18 .48 .075 .529 .329 2.50 .363 -.035 2 2 lil261 1230 1661 432 17 0 .585 .38 1.13 .185 .892 .160 2.59 .294 -.011 1 3 lil542 1413 1998 586 23 0 .725 .36 1.42 .126 .594 .210 2.56 .271 -.028 1 4 lil372 1419 1863 445 18 0 .777 .42 1.05 .161 .615 .256 2.61 .272 -.025 1 5 lil392 1535 1850 316 13 1 .615 .44 1.40 .177 .781 .196 2.64 .242 -.025 2 6 lil532 1350 1998 649 25 0 .815 .36 .78 .133 .771 .203 2.56 .331 .002 1 7 lil371 1481 1869 389 15 0 .827 .34 .88 .152 .744 .236 2.45 .255 -.033 4 8 lil552 1414 1998 585 23 0 .693 .29 1.54 .176 .750 .234 2.75 .346 -.009 1 9 lil052 1144 1348 205 8 0 .727 .23 .62 .112 .533 .332 2.61 .323 -.019 1 10 lil541 1427 1998 572 22 0 .701 .36 1.05 .151 .656 .223 2.75 .258 -.019 1 11 lil081 1394 1623 230 9 0 .760 .30 .74 .136 .802 .207 2.67 .418 -.023 1 12 lil081a 1713 1948 236 9 0 .751 .24 .60 .075 .677 .195 2.65 .393 -.032 2 13 lil041 1500 1854 355 14 0 .738 .48 2.27 .330 .778 .301 2.57 .352 -.022 2 14 lil502 1529 1998 470 18 0 .610 .48 1.36 .251 .803 .202 2.56 .278 -.020 1 15 lil011 1199 1950 752 31 1 .763 .29 1.00 .142 .500 .405 2.66 .334 -.017 1 16 lil301 1710 1998 289 11 0 .688 .25 .52 .085 .580 .243 2.62 .398 -.026 1 17 lil531 1418 1998 581 23 0 .752 .37 .97 .132 .732 .204 2.63 .320 -.003 1 18 lil302 1692 1998 307 12 0 .730 .24 .60 .091 .719 .231 2.61 .305 -.022 1 19 lil551 1435 1998 564 22 0 .777 .28 1.06 .113 .702 .207 2.50 .267 -.005 1 20 lil071 1317 1948 632 25 0 .725 .28 .85 .142 .747 .281 2.60 .338 -.012 2 21 lil091 1380 1998 619 24 0 .795 .20 1.00 .142 .821 .368 2.54 .316 -.024 1 22 lil092 1289 1410 122 5 0 .703 .42 1.56 .255 .811 .272 2.56 .368 -.052 1 23 lil092a 1470 1998 529 21 0 .815 .21 .75 .109 .714 .335 2.51 .317 -.013 2 24 lil461 1480 1670 191 7 0 .803 .22 .57 .123 .848 .269 2.54 .364 -.038 1 25 lil521 1379 1764 386 15 0 .784 .32 .68 .125 .704 .227 2.56 .351 -.010 1 26 lil522 1367 1950 584 24 0 .672 .24 .74 .112 .774 .244 2.65 .303 -.024 1 27 lil452 894 1198 305 12 0 .593 .21 .64 .104 .800 .256 2.71 .345 -.032 1 28 lil451 896 1245 350 14 0 .548 .22 .65 .121 .832 .252 2.81 .345 -.022 2 29 lil451a 1400 1666 267 10 0 .530 .13 .33 .052 .643 .289 2.48 .309 -.024 3 30 lil561 1457 1998 542 21 0 .757 .22 .59 .068 .560 .225 2.55 .276 -.034 1 31 lil562 1486 1962 477 19 0 .775 .26 1.01 .151 .725 .309 2.70 .307 -.011 2 32 lil471 1250 1758 509 20 0 .627 .22 1.30 .114 .651 .262 2.63 .247 -.017 1 33 lil282 1034 1849 816 32 0 .775 .22 .65 .090 .634 .253 2.59 .280 -.011 1 34 lil283 1034 1538 505 20 0 .776 .31 .72 .106 .506 .264 2.60 .289 -.022 1 35 lil281 1100 1201 102 4 0 .758 .36 .72 .106 .478 .249 2.49 .470 -.058 1 36 lil281a 1299 1821 523 21 0 .798 .22 .57 .073 .525 .248 2.64 .346 -.013 1 37 lil401 1574 1850 277 12 1 .641 .45 1.26 .170 .761 .200 2.70 .369 .020 1 38 lil013 1125 1934 810 32 0 .734 .27 1.06 .165 .600 .444 2.67 .352 -.005 2 39 lil362 1400 1913 514 20 0 .730 .25 .90 .148 .768 .306 2.69 .351 -.022 1 40 lil481 1308 1727 420 17 0 .771 .28 1.33 .171 .774 .300 2.54 .308 -.016 1 41 lil571 1350 1998 649 25 0 .765 .22 .91 .157 .829 .346 2.50 .310 -.024 1 42 lil201 1379 1998 620 24 1 .684 .23 .83 .127 .813 .262 2.69 .342 -.022 2 43 lil572 1389 1900 512 21 0 .655 .27 .63 .106 .800 .177 2.55 .298 -.029 1 44 lil072 1320 1879 560 23 0 .738 .27 2.36 .264 .917 .235 2.55 .328 -.007 4 45 lil051 1376 1477 102 4 0 .712 .24 .65 .112 .591 .326 2.74 .582 .011 1 46 lil051a 1486 1766 281 11 0 .773 .23 .55 .108 .695 .312 2.58 .286 -.024 1 47 lil061 1225 1933 709 28 0 .731 .37 1.84 .246 .804 .299 2.63 .314 -.017 1 48 lil411 1234 1715 482 19 0 .677 .36 2.08 .347 .884 .310 2.56 .309 .004 1 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: Lily Lake 14:37 Tue 11 Jul 2006 Page 12 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 49 lil021 1540 1998 459 18 0 .730 .23 .79 .098 .679 .289 2.53 .287 -.021 2 --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- Total or mean: 21964 867 4 .727 .29 2.36 .146 .715 .269 2.81 .316 -.017