Plug Hat Butte Colorado, USA - CO616 Additional information Connie A. Woodhouse Jeff Lukas Margot Kaye Purpose of Collection: Climatology Detrend method: Negative exponential or linear regression of any slope, or 2/3-length spline. Detrending was done interactively, and if a negative exponential or lenear regression fit poorly, a 2/3-length spline was used. Cores are stored at: Institute of Arctic and Alpine Research, University of Colorado Reference: Woodhouse, Connie A.; Gray, Stephen T.; Meko, David M. 2006. Updated streamflow reconstructions for the Upper Colorado River Basin. Water Resources Research 42(5), W05415. COFECHA output: Chronology file name : CO616.CRN Measurement file name : CO616.RWL Date checked : 21JUN06 Checked by : B. Bauer Beginning year : 1270 Ending year : 2000 Principal investigators: Connie A. Woodhouse Jeff Lukas Margot Kaye Site name : Plug Hat Butte Site location : Colorado Species information : PIED PINYON Latitude : 4047 Longitude : -10858 Elevation : 2133m Series intercorrelation: 0.848 Avg mean sensitivity : 0.474 Avg standard deviation : 0.203 Avg autocorrelation : 0.443 Number dated series : 49 Segment length tested : 50 Number problem segments: 0 Pct problem segments : 0.00 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: Plug Hat Butte 14:40 Wed 21 Jun 2006 Page 5 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1250 1275 1300 1325 1350 1375 1400 1425 1450 1475 1500 1525 1550 1575 1600 1625 1650 1675 1700 1725 1299 1324 1349 1374 1399 1424 1449 1474 1499 1524 1549 1574 1599 1624 1649 1674 1699 1724 1749 1774 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 plu011 1706 2000 .81 .89 2 plu012 1715 2000 .78 .84 3 plu021 1697 2000 .83 .77 .72 4 plu022 1740 2000 .75 5 plu031 1683 2000 .73 .86 .85 6 plu032 1720 2000 .86 .81 7 plu081 1729 2000 .63 8 plu111 1484 2000 .83 .79 .76 .76 .84 .83 .74 .71 .77 .85 .82 9 plu121 1702 2000 .70 .79 10 plu122 1688 2000 .83 .85 .85 11 plu141 1585 2000 .84 .85 .87 .89 .86 .88 .84 12 plu181 1547 2000 .81 .81 .91 .91 .83 .81 .90 .92 .90 13 plu211 1686 2000 .66 .71 .76 14 plu212 1693 2000 .66 .67 .70 15 plu221 1685 2000 .81 .89 .90 16 plu222 1702 2000 .82 .87 18 plu242 1689 2000 .62 .67 .72 19 plu251 1656 2000 .70 .69 .73 .69 20 plu252 1658 2000 .81 .79 .77 .74 21 plu271 1689 2000 .74 .82 .81 22 plu272 1721 2000 .89 .90 23 plu071 1703 2000 .65 .66 24 plu072 1698 2000 .46 .44 .61 25 plu112 1432 1894 .59 .58 .78 .79 .72 .67 .81 .90 .86 .83 .83 .85 .81 26 plu142 1593 2000 .86 .88 .84 .81 .74 .77 .83 27 plu262 1508 2000 .86 .86 .89 .93 .94 .89 .87 .85 .87 .83 28 plu041 1598 2000 .86 .86 .87 .85 .90 .86 .84 29 plu143 1596 1909 .81 .81 .86 .84 .78 .85 .91 30 plu042 1575 2000 .85 .79 .77 .85 .85 .83 .84 31 plu051 1384 2000 .79 .81 .86 .90 .82 .80 .82 .84 .89 .92 .88 .81 .86 .89 .90 32 plu052 1341 2000 .59 .59 .64 .78 .83 .78 .72 .85 .83 .84 .89 .88 .86 .81 .83 .86 .90 33 plu061 1546 1860 .84 .83 .84 .84 .71 .70 .72 .75 .88 34 plu171 1385 2000 .68 .76 .90 .87 .81 .79 .78 .80 .87 .90 .79 .78 .90 .92 .89 35 plu172 1391 2000 .85 .85 .91 .93 .92 .83 .81 .83 .90 .91 .82 .85 .91 .92 .94 36 plu261 1428 2000 .86 .89 .92 .87 .81 .82 .87 .90 .86 .88 .93 .92 .89 37 plu281 1590 2000 .77 .81 .85 .83 .71 .72 .80 39 plu132 1527 2000 .77 .77 .92 .91 .80 .79 .91 .93 .89 40 plu161 1322 2000 .76 .80 .82 .89 .93 .91 .90 .89 .86 .81 .79 .86 .84 .81 .87 .89 .91 .91 41 plu162 1315 2000 .85 .87 .84 .86 .86 .85 .84 .86 .90 .86 .88 .90 .92 .95 .94 .88 .82 .80 43 plu131 1351 1989 .42 .58 .87 .89 .91 .91 .73 .57 .67 .86 .83 .71 .74 .85 .91 .76 44 plu151 1650 2000 .85 .84 .87 .92 45 plu152 1593 2000 .79 .83 .86 .88 .87 .87 .82 46 plu182 1547 1971 .75 .75 .89 .91 .85 .83 .88 .92 .91 47 plu231 1270 1809 .76 .75 .85 .70 .52 .69 .82 .83 .88 .88 .83 .81 .86 .90 .91 .86 .84 .84 .86 .86 48 plu232 1590 1967 .87 .87 .85 .87 .91 .89 .91 49 plu233 1270 1570 .73 .71 .81 .82 .72 .76 .83 .86 .88 .86 .84 .70 Av segment correlation .75 .73 .82 .76 .65 .75 .83 .85 .85 .85 .83 .78 .80 .86 .87 .83 .83 .81 .82 .82 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: Plug Hat Butte 14:40 Wed 21 Jun 2006 Page 6 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1750 1775 1800 1825 1850 1875 1900 1925 1950 1975 1799 1824 1849 1874 1899 1924 1949 1974 1999 2024 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 plu011 1706 2000 .91 .92 .91 .86 .80 .78 .76 .81 .91 .90 2 plu012 1715 2000 .87 .90 .89 .85 .80 .75 .83 .90 .90 .90 3 plu021 1697 2000 .85 .94 .89 .87 .93 .87 .88 .90 .76 .76 4 plu022 1740 2000 .86 .91 .85 .83 .90 .88 .88 .89 .85 .85 5 plu031 1683 2000 .87 .90 .91 .89 .83 .71 .72 .88 .85 .84 6 plu032 1720 2000 .82 .88 .81 .71 .72 .65 .72 .88 .88 .89 7 plu081 1729 2000 .70 .78 .74 .76 .74 .77 .72 .73 .88 .88 8 plu111 1484 2000 .86 .86 .76 .74 .76 .77 .86 .84 .81 .82 9 plu121 1702 2000 .83 .86 .84 .85 .86 .81 .82 .89 .87 .87 10 plu122 1688 2000 .82 .88 .87 .85 .85 .79 .81 .89 .84 .83 11 plu141 1585 2000 .85 .90 .92 .92 .85 .83 .88 .90 .86 .87 12 plu181 1547 2000 .91 .94 .94 .93 .92 .91 .88 .81 .91 .91 13 plu211 1686 2000 .86 .87 .89 .79 .72 .84 .81 .84 .73 .74 14 plu212 1693 2000 .90 .81 .71 .83 .84 .76 .70 .77 .70 .71 15 plu221 1685 2000 .92 .89 .85 .83 .76 .77 .83 .84 .90 .90 16 plu222 1702 2000 .89 .90 .90 .87 .86 .69 .73 .84 .90 .90 17 plu241 1840 2000 .76 .75 .66 .80 .85 .79 .79 18 plu242 1689 2000 .77 .86 .91 .92 .88 .79 .81 .87 .83 .84 19 plu251 1656 2000 .81 .87 .83 .85 .83 .83 .77 .80 .85 .86 20 plu252 1658 2000 .78 .87 .91 .89 .85 .83 .86 .89 .76 .77 21 plu271 1689 2000 .80 .86 .86 .82 .84 .82 .83 .87 .87 .87 22 plu272 1721 2000 .89 .89 .90 .91 .88 .88 .93 .95 .94 .95 23 plu071 1703 2000 .83 .83 .86 .82 .84 .89 .88 .89 .84 .84 24 plu072 1698 2000 .79 .86 .87 .82 .82 .84 .88 .81 .73 .73 25 plu112 1432 1894 .82 .87 .87 .85 .77 26 plu142 1593 2000 .82 .91 .88 .84 .85 .83 .68 .63 .87 .89 27 plu262 1508 2000 .77 .87 .90 .93 .92 .86 .88 .94 .96 .96 28 plu041 1598 2000 .87 .92 .91 .87 .86 .87 .84 .79 .85 .85 29 plu143 1596 1909 .88 .88 .88 .89 .86 .87 30 plu042 1575 2000 .83 .83 .77 .74 .68 .73 .80 .78 .84 .84 31 plu051 1384 2000 .88 .88 .90 .90 .86 .82 .83 .80 .81 .81 32 plu052 1341 2000 .90 .92 .93 .93 .91 .82 .84 .79 .70 .72 33 plu061 1546 1860 .91 .93 .89 .74 34 plu171 1385 2000 .90 .93 .90 .89 .92 .91 .91 .94 .93 .93 35 plu172 1391 2000 .91 .92 .93 .91 .89 .87 .89 .90 .88 .89 36 plu261 1428 2000 .88 .92 .91 .90 .90 .89 .91 .92 .92 .92 37 plu281 1590 2000 .77 .79 .83 .82 .76 .63 .66 .81 .71 .72 38 plu062 1849 2000 .80 .79 .71 .83 .93 .85 .85 39 plu132 1527 2000 .87 .91 .93 .91 .90 .86 .87 .89 .87 .87 40 plu161 1322 2000 .89 .93 .94 .93 .88 .82 .88 .92 .77 .77 41 plu162 1315 2000 .84 .90 .93 .92 .91 .88 .90 .91 .90 .91 42 plu082 1797 2000 .74 .75 .70 .71 .77 .78 .79 .84 .84 43 plu131 1351 1989 .63 .78 .88 .90 .89 .89 .91 .92 .90 44 plu151 1650 2000 .90 .91 .93 .91 .88 .84 .82 .81 .81 .82 45 plu152 1593 2000 .76 .87 .92 .88 .85 .85 .88 .89 .83 .83 46 plu182 1547 1971 .94 .93 .89 .91 .90 .87 .89 .91 47 plu231 1270 1809 .81 .82 48 plu232 1590 1967 .91 .89 .88 .88 .90 .90 .90 .88 Av segment correlation .85 .88 .87 .85 .84 .81 .83 .86 .84 .85 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: Plug Hat Butte 14:40 Wed 21 Jun 2006 Page 11 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 1 plu011 1706 2000 295 12 0 .860 .70 1.79 .282 .406 .369 2.66 .400 .000 1 2 plu012 1715 2000 286 12 0 .851 .69 1.78 .282 .389 .384 2.67 .425 .008 1 3 plu021 1697 2000 304 13 0 .846 .60 1.82 .297 .650 .344 2.58 .349 .012 1 4 plu022 1740 2000 261 11 0 .850 .60 1.40 .241 .458 .331 2.58 .406 -.012 1 5 plu031 1683 2000 318 13 0 .825 .75 1.66 .266 .441 .324 2.71 .431 -.021 2 6 plu032 1720 2000 281 12 0 .810 .82 1.88 .333 .458 .349 2.50 .316 -.019 2 7 plu081 1729 2000 272 11 0 .757 .55 1.37 .244 .173 .495 2.58 .409 -.001 1 8 plu111 1484 2000 517 21 0 .791 .47 1.10 .181 .429 .338 2.62 .321 .010 1 9 plu121 1702 2000 299 12 0 .826 .67 2.00 .314 .590 .367 2.52 .325 -.014 2 10 plu122 1688 2000 313 13 0 .829 .82 1.85 .323 .524 .331 2.60 .404 .004 1 11 plu141 1585 2000 416 17 0 .890 .33 .76 .150 .448 .459 2.53 .351 -.030 1 12 plu181 1547 2000 454 19 0 .889 .36 .82 .164 .460 .449 2.55 .355 -.012 1 13 plu211 1686 2000 315 13 0 .786 .64 1.61 .269 .463 .371 2.58 .402 -.018 1 14 plu212 1693 2000 308 13 0 .756 .61 2.58 .292 .519 .376 2.74 .375 -.025 2 15 plu221 1685 2000 316 13 0 .858 .56 1.47 .211 .381 .352 2.50 .289 -.008 1 16 plu222 1702 2000 299 12 0 .851 .55 1.50 .239 .480 .364 2.62 .407 -.028 1 17 plu241 1840 2000 161 7 0 .828 .56 1.82 .304 .701 .365 2.49 .387 -.063 1 18 plu242 1689 2000 312 13 0 .839 .52 1.25 .207 .582 .335 2.43 .332 -.047 1 19 plu251 1656 2000 345 14 0 .808 .61 2.00 .315 .489 .432 2.63 .336 -.036 1 20 plu252 1658 2000 343 14 0 .848 .67 2.33 .367 .622 .422 2.66 .361 -.010 2 21 plu271 1689 2000 312 13 0 .823 .55 2.18 .345 .563 .512 2.62 .396 .022 1 22 plu272 1721 2000 280 12 0 .913 .45 1.17 .229 .219 .555 2.63 .424 -.014 1 23 plu071 1703 2000 298 12 0 .826 .44 1.54 .225 .538 .434 2.58 .373 -.004 2 24 plu072 1698 2000 303 13 0 .800 .33 .93 .145 .512 .389 2.50 .351 -.010 4 25 plu112 1432 1894 463 18 0 .789 .45 1.09 .177 .486 .323 2.56 .344 -.002 1 26 plu142 1593 2000 408 17 0 .844 .24 .68 .110 .370 .470 2.44 .325 -.023 1 27 plu262 1508 2000 493 20 0 .892 .31 .83 .143 .382 .461 2.53 .322 -.023 1 28 plu041 1598 2000 403 17 0 .890 .34 .95 .162 .261 .544 2.61 .365 -.012 1 29 plu143 1596 1909 314 13 0 .860 .34 .88 .159 .448 .447 2.54 .350 -.042 1 30 plu042 1575 2000 426 17 0 .847 .23 .67 .125 .270 .632 2.57 .351 -.014 1 31 plu051 1384 2000 617 25 0 .858 .35 .90 .171 .394 .461 2.61 .357 -.007 1 32 plu052 1341 2000 660 27 0 .833 .28 .90 .144 .379 .537 2.55 .318 -.001 1 33 plu061 1546 1860 315 13 0 .815 .49 1.32 .248 .619 .391 2.53 .407 -.024 1 34 plu171 1385 2000 616 25 0 .878 .36 1.35 .213 .487 .566 2.62 .367 -.001 1 35 plu172 1391 2000 610 25 0 .892 .29 .75 .141 .224 .551 2.64 .386 .018 1 36 plu261 1428 2000 573 23 0 .896 .39 1.04 .178 .363 .441 2.59 .280 -.009 1 37 plu281 1590 2000 411 17 0 .790 .34 1.02 .187 .412 .567 2.70 .444 -.004 1 38 plu062 1849 2000 152 7 0 .857 .55 1.05 .221 .597 .362 2.42 .361 -.016 1 39 plu132 1527 2000 474 19 0 .887 .51 1.19 .232 .214 .539 2.54 .315 -.003 1 40 plu161 1322 2000 679 28 0 .886 .27 1.44 .164 .477 .584 2.55 .342 -.012 1 41 plu162 1315 2000 686 28 0 .899 .26 1.22 .156 .481 .590 2.53 .346 -.020 1 42 plu082 1797 2000 204 9 0 .797 .38 1.00 .194 .543 .508 2.46 .367 -.016 1 43 plu131 1351 1989 639 25 0 .824 .31 .99 .167 .362 .581 2.50 .333 -.005 3 44 plu151 1650 2000 351 14 0 .886 .21 .54 .111 .247 .650 2.58 .394 -.023 1 45 plu152 1593 2000 408 17 0 .866 .26 .95 .135 .284 .573 2.64 .315 -.026 1 46 plu182 1547 1971 425 17 0 .884 .27 .84 .146 .619 .463 2.62 .433 .003 2 47 plu231 1270 1809 540 22 0 .817 .32 1.39 .232 .706 .606 2.62 .316 -.011 1 48 plu232 1590 1967 378 15 0 .907 .32 .96 .184 .512 .530 2.51 .376 -.006 1 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: Plug Hat Butte 14:40 Wed 21 Jun 2006 Page 12 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 49 plu233 1270 1570 301 12 0 .778 .25 1.21 .188 .695 .597 2.56 .305 -.015 1 --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- Total or mean: 19154 785 0 .848 .42 2.58 .203 .443 .474 2.74 .357 -.011