Wild Rose, Colorado, USA - CO631 Additional information Connie A. Woodhouse Jeff Lukas Mark Losleben Purpose of Collection: Climatology Detrend method: Negative exponential or linear regression of any slope, or 2/3-length spline. Detrending was done interactively, and if a negative exponential or lenear regression fit poorly, a 2/3-length spline was used. Cores are stored at: Institute of Arctic and Alpine Research, University of Colorado Reference: Woodhouse, Connie A.; Gray, Stephen T.; Meko, David M. 2006. Updated streamflow reconstructions for the Upper Colorado River Basin. Water Resources Research 42(5), W05415. COFECHA output: Chronology file name : CO631.CRN Measurement file name : CO631.RWL Date checked : 21JUN06 Checked by : B. Bauer Beginning year : 1146 Ending year : 2002 Principal investigators: Connie A. Woodhouse Jeff Lukas Mark Losleben Site name : Wild Rose Site location : Colorado Species information : PIED PINYON Latitude : 3901 Longitude : -10814 Elevation : 2636m Series intercorrelation: 0.864 Avg mean sensitivity : 0.534 Avg standard deviation : 0.198 Avg autocorrelation : 0.547 Number dated series : 50 Segment length tested : 50 Number problem segments: 0 Pct problem segments : 0.00 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: Wild Rose 14:53 Wed 21 Jun 2006 Page 5 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1150 1175 1200 1225 1250 1275 1300 1325 1350 1375 1400 1425 1450 1475 1500 1525 1550 1575 1600 1625 1199 1224 1249 1274 1299 1324 1349 1374 1399 1424 1449 1474 1499 1524 1549 1574 1599 1624 1649 1674 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 5 wil042 1522 2000 .80 .80 .72 .61 .75 .86 6 wil041 1556 2000 .80 .75 .87 .87 7 wil212 1570 2000 .77 .79 .82 .88 8 wil022 1429 1749 .87 .92 .92 .93 .89 .89 .87 .77 .80 9 wil021 1432 1749 .81 .89 .91 .93 .84 .86 .91 .85 .84 11 wil151 1230 2000 .87 .88 .89 .90 .89 .90 .91 .89 .90 .90 .91 .95 .96 .95 .93 .93 .93 12 wil152 1234 2000 .90 .91 .89 .91 .91 .90 .82 .86 .90 .88 .89 .92 .91 .92 .90 .86 .91 13 wil131 1334 2000 .87 .86 .80 .69 .72 .83 .88 .89 .93 .94 .93 .91 .91 14 wil132 1349 2000 .80 .80 .85 .80 .83 .88 .91 .91 .88 .88 .86 .80 .92 15 wil011 1240 2000 .86 .90 .85 .84 .82 .86 .80 .81 .90 .92 .92 .93 .94 .89 .84 .84 .81 16 wil012 1249 2000 .84 .83 .84 .85 .82 .83 .78 .84 .88 .91 .93 .92 .87 .71 .83 .81 .78 17 wil182 1323 2000 .82 .82 .88 .87 .89 .94 .90 .90 .95 .86 .80 .90 .83 .86 18 wil181 1540 2000 .88 .89 .91 .86 .89 19 wil161 1260 2000 .71 .74 .80 .82 .85 .86 .77 .80 .93 .93 .93 .91 .90 .93 .89 .89 20 wil162 1541 2000 .88 .90 .94 .87 .82 23 wil082 1513 2000 .74 .73 .68 .66 .72 .87 24 wil191 1233 2000 .85 .88 .77 .83 .92 .93 .90 .87 .90 .91 .92 .93 .86 .82 .84 .91 .89 25 wil192 1232 2000 .74 .81 .87 .90 .90 .87 .87 .86 .82 .87 .90 .93 .90 .88 .79 .81 .89 26 wil031 1476 2000 .80 .68 .53 .77 .85 .78 .80 27 wil032 1489 2000 .79 .75 .78 .78 .81 .85 .92 28 wil211 1609 2000 .77 .76 35 wil612 1326 2002 .71 .69 .65 .65 .71 .83 .91 .90 .90 .91 .86 .89 .94 36 wil621 1146 2002 .80 .78 .73 .77 .83 .90 .94 .93 .86 .78 .82 .89 .83 .91 .91 .92 .91 .85 .89 .91 37 wil622 1154 2002 .80 .78 .71 .81 .89 .89 .90 .87 .75 .75 .86 .89 .85 .91 .89 .88 .91 .91 .88 .88 42 wil711 1620 2002 .80 .83 43 wil721 1528 2002 .88 .88 .82 .80 .89 44 wil722 1622 2002 .80 .81 45 wil731 1498 2002 .85 .85 .83 .83 .71 .68 .82 48 wil821 1480 2002 .94 .95 .94 .90 .91 .91 .89 49 wil832 1310 2002 .90 .91 .91 .92 .88 .89 .89 .89 .88 .84 .87 .92 .90 .93 50 wil732 1560 2002 .89 .83 .79 .85 Av segment correlation .80 .78 .72 .83 .85 .85 .87 .86 .85 .83 .82 .85 .88 .89 .89 .86 .85 .85 .83 .87 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: Wild Rose 14:53 Wed 21 Jun 2006 Page 6 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1650 1675 1700 1725 1750 1775 1800 1825 1850 1875 1900 1925 1950 1975 1699 1724 1749 1774 1799 1824 1849 1874 1899 1924 1949 1974 1999 2024 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 wil221 1716 2000 .73 .80 .74 .77 .79 .79 .76 .80 .68 .73 .85 .84 2 wil222 1716 2000 .84 .85 .78 .81 .88 .86 .86 .86 .75 .79 .88 .88 3 wil081 1652 2000 .86 .82 .84 .88 .85 .84 .89 .92 .89 .87 .81 .83 .90 .89 4 wil321 1698 2000 .96 .95 .91 .90 .90 .93 .92 .89 .81 .79 .92 .89 .90 5 wil042 1522 2000 .89 .91 .91 .87 .88 .94 .93 .93 .86 .79 .57 .66 .85 .86 6 wil041 1556 2000 .89 .93 .93 .92 .88 .89 .94 .95 .91 .83 .69 .76 .85 .86 7 wil212 1570 2000 .90 .93 .92 .88 .86 .89 .91 .77 .73 .77 .76 .86 .89 .89 8 wil022 1429 1749 .83 .86 .84 9 wil021 1432 1749 .87 .90 .84 10 wil232 1682 2000 .69 .74 .89 .84 .84 .90 .92 .81 .74 .74 .81 .88 .87 11 wil151 1230 2000 .96 .95 .94 .96 .86 .85 .94 .93 .93 .89 .87 .89 .90 .90 12 wil152 1234 2000 .94 .95 .95 .93 .92 .94 .96 .93 .93 .92 .82 .85 .88 .86 13 wil131 1334 2000 .92 .91 .94 .96 .94 .92 .93 .94 .90 .76 .68 .80 .82 .83 14 wil132 1349 2000 .92 .91 .93 .96 .94 .90 .92 .94 .93 .88 .82 .84 .90 .91 15 wil011 1240 2000 .90 .90 .91 .90 .84 .87 .93 .94 .92 .89 .86 .89 .92 .92 16 wil012 1249 2000 .92 .86 .86 .88 .83 .87 .92 .94 .92 .89 .83 .85 .90 .90 17 wil182 1323 2000 .92 .90 .91 .89 .89 .89 .88 .94 .92 .85 .71 .72 .86 .87 18 wil181 1540 2000 .92 .93 .91 .90 .89 .88 .87 .93 .92 .86 .79 .86 .88 .87 19 wil161 1260 2000 .93 .93 .93 .94 .94 .92 .92 .92 .92 .91 .82 .79 .85 .84 20 wil162 1541 2000 .88 .90 .92 .88 .88 .93 .88 .85 .89 .83 .77 .88 .87 .88 21 wil143 1690 2000 .78 .84 .88 .88 .88 .92 .94 .91 .79 .74 .88 .94 .92 22 wil142 1698 2000 .84 .85 .86 .85 .87 .95 .92 .85 .74 .70 .82 .90 .88 23 wil082 1513 2000 .89 .86 .86 .85 .68 .68 .85 .91 .91 .84 .73 .75 .78 .78 24 wil191 1233 2000 .89 .90 .91 .91 .90 .90 .87 .88 .92 .90 .77 .84 .94 .93 25 wil192 1232 2000 .90 .91 .90 .88 .88 .85 .87 .91 .92 .89 .82 .83 .91 .91 26 wil031 1476 2000 .81 .83 .86 .83 .81 .81 .84 .81 .79 .81 .80 .83 .81 .80 27 wil032 1489 2000 .92 .90 .92 .87 .89 .91 .87 .83 .83 .83 .85 .86 .81 .81 28 wil211 1609 2000 .80 .87 .89 .82 .81 .89 .91 .90 .84 .70 .64 .80 .82 .80 29 wil231 1699 2000 .81 .81 .86 .83 .86 .93 .93 .91 .79 .78 .93 .90 .88 30 wil071 1664 2000 .87 .88 .93 .94 .91 .85 .92 .90 .88 .88 .87 .91 .92 .91 31 wil072 1716 2000 .86 .87 .87 .89 .91 .90 .92 .88 .85 .88 .91 .90 32 wil111 1716 2000 .90 .92 .86 .83 .84 .81 .92 .88 .84 .84 .85 .87 33 wil112 1697 2000 .75 .81 .87 .87 .87 .90 .89 .89 .84 .80 .84 .87 .87 34 wil611 1670 2002 .89 .88 .89 .91 .87 .88 .93 .94 .93 .93 .87 .72 .76 .81 35 wil612 1326 2002 .94 .94 .95 .95 .93 .93 .94 .91 .91 .86 .77 .84 .90 .85 36 wil621 1146 2002 .92 .91 .90 .86 .81 .87 .93 .94 .94 .85 .78 .87 .89 .88 37 wil622 1154 2002 .92 .93 .92 .88 .86 .88 .90 .90 .89 .88 .80 .81 .86 .85 38 wil631 1798 2002 .84 .83 .86 .86 .74 .66 .74 .74 .79 39 wil632 1785 2002 .82 .86 .84 .83 .75 .69 .75 .77 .77 40 wil641 1740 2002 .76 .81 .83 .90 .91 .88 .76 .70 .81 .82 .84 41 wil642 1760 2002 .64 .61 .77 .92 .89 .67 .58 .85 .85 .86 42 wil711 1620 2002 .77 .76 .82 .91 .89 .89 .92 .91 .86 .73 .67 .80 .86 .87 43 wil721 1528 2002 .89 .90 .94 .92 .87 .87 .89 .89 .88 .86 .80 .85 .95 .94 44 wil722 1622 2002 .88 .92 .90 .89 .91 .87 .85 .80 .68 .70 .73 .82 .84 .83 45 wil731 1498 2002 .87 .93 .78 .75 .82 .84 .89 .85 .83 .90 .88 .87 .90 .88 46 wil751 1669 2002 .93 .93 .95 .97 .87 .86 .95 .88 .88 .86 .78 .84 .90 .90 47 wil811 1680 2002 .93 .95 .94 .86 .84 .91 .94 .91 .86 .75 .77 .86 .84 48 wil821 1480 2002 .91 .93 .89 .90 .88 .87 .93 .92 .91 .86 .81 .90 .89 .87 49 wil832 1310 2002 .95 .94 .97 .96 .93 .93 .92 .93 .91 .84 .78 .74 .61 .60 50 wil732 1560 2002 .84 .86 .91 .89 .83 .84 .84 .82 .86 .85 .83 .84 .85 .83 Av segment correlation .89 .89 .89 .89 .86 .86 .90 .90 .88 .83 .77 .82 .86 .86 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: Wild Rose 14:53 Wed 21 Jun 2006 Page 12 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 1 wil221 1716 2000 285 12 0 .770 .62 1.58 .255 .548 .338 2.77 .486 -.051 1 2 wil222 1716 2000 285 12 0 .838 .65 1.98 .262 .462 .351 2.91 .548 -.052 1 3 wil081 1652 2000 349 14 0 .855 .37 .96 .176 .496 .416 2.56 .367 -.020 3 4 wil321 1698 2000 303 13 0 .892 .40 .90 .177 .390 .471 2.68 .430 .002 2 5 wil042 1522 2000 479 20 0 .816 .39 .93 .166 .465 .407 2.48 .292 -.004 1 6 wil041 1556 2000 445 18 0 .862 .43 1.07 .182 .431 .415 2.59 .386 -.014 2 7 wil212 1570 2000 431 18 0 .852 .43 1.14 .213 .652 .422 2.62 .420 .000 1 8 wil022 1429 1749 321 12 0 .866 .47 1.65 .250 .594 .442 2.54 .355 .012 1 9 wil021 1432 1749 318 12 0 .872 .45 1.54 .258 .691 .441 2.49 .436 -.020 2 10 wil232 1682 2000 319 13 0 .823 .54 1.59 .288 .580 .444 2.74 .464 -.048 3 11 wil151 1230 2000 771 31 0 .912 .30 .92 .163 .468 .549 2.57 .370 .002 1 12 wil152 1234 2000 767 31 0 .912 .31 1.05 .185 .537 .581 2.52 .319 -.004 1 13 wil131 1334 2000 667 27 0 .863 .34 1.19 .206 .620 .540 2.59 .367 .005 1 14 wil132 1349 2000 652 27 0 .875 .43 1.58 .266 .614 .580 2.54 .385 .004 5 15 wil011 1240 2000 761 31 0 .881 .28 .90 .154 .566 .524 2.53 .375 -.019 1 16 wil012 1249 2000 752 31 0 .871 .29 1.15 .173 .634 .560 2.51 .321 -.035 1 17 wil182 1323 2000 678 28 0 .884 .31 1.25 .187 .592 .588 2.51 .295 .004 3 18 wil181 1540 2000 461 19 0 .891 .40 1.10 .204 .525 .487 2.58 .425 -.009 1 19 wil161 1260 2000 741 30 0 .876 .28 .93 .156 .541 .562 2.48 .290 -.003 1 20 wil162 1541 2000 460 19 0 .870 .27 .94 .137 .452 .522 2.66 .439 .011 7 21 wil143 1690 2000 311 13 0 .879 .37 1.14 .205 .355 .580 2.79 .461 -.003 1 22 wil142 1698 2000 303 13 0 .842 .47 1.40 .235 .419 .477 2.71 .406 .013 1 23 wil082 1513 2000 488 20 0 .782 .46 1.62 .271 .739 .375 2.58 .365 -.021 5 24 wil191 1233 2000 768 31 0 .887 .19 .67 .118 .300 .730 2.73 .457 -.029 1 25 wil192 1232 2000 769 31 0 .877 .20 .74 .133 .489 .688 2.60 .337 -.010 1 26 wil031 1476 2000 525 21 0 .804 .28 .99 .198 .653 .654 2.63 .394 .003 5 27 wil032 1489 2000 512 21 0 .847 .35 1.68 .272 .729 .572 2.63 .464 -.033 3 28 wil211 1609 2000 392 16 0 .829 .35 1.27 .253 .779 .517 2.64 .377 -.018 1 29 wil231 1699 2000 302 13 0 .855 .51 1.43 .273 .471 .483 2.69 .497 -.018 3 30 wil071 1664 2000 337 14 0 .899 .28 .69 .166 .251 .768 2.62 .443 -.035 3 31 wil072 1716 2000 285 12 0 .896 .25 .69 .142 .248 .730 2.61 .395 -.012 7 32 wil111 1716 2000 285 12 0 .875 .32 .94 .208 .429 .747 2.66 .469 -.031 3 33 wil112 1697 2000 304 13 0 .888 .27 1.14 .197 .488 .818 2.70 .482 -.040 1 34 wil611 1670 2002 333 14 0 .886 .34 .85 .165 .385 .487 2.66 .424 -.005 1 35 wil612 1326 2002 677 27 0 .876 .41 1.66 .286 .718 .513 2.63 .373 -.012 1 36 wil621 1146 2002 857 34 0 .862 .30 1.99 .177 .604 .525 2.57 .317 -.011 5 37 wil622 1154 2002 849 34 0 .865 .28 1.22 .176 .681 .531 2.52 .366 -.010 9 38 wil631 1798 2002 205 9 0 .800 .60 1.51 .233 .634 .279 2.64 .413 -.025 1 39 wil632 1785 2002 218 9 0 .795 .60 1.48 .239 .617 .284 2.69 .398 -.031 2 40 wil641 1740 2002 263 11 0 .817 .69 1.48 .277 .591 .316 2.57 .393 -.044 2 41 wil642 1760 2002 243 10 0 .762 .84 2.42 .410 .736 .292 2.51 .362 -.018 1 42 wil711 1620 2002 383 16 0 .840 .49 1.29 .256 .522 .476 2.79 .436 .027 1 43 wil721 1528 2002 475 19 0 .883 .26 .93 .140 .470 .489 2.61 .354 -.019 5 44 wil722 1622 2002 381 16 0 .839 .33 1.03 .190 .648 .449 2.55 .332 -.015 2 45 wil731 1498 2002 505 21 0 .848 .29 1.00 .197 .675 .573 2.64 .435 .021 3 46 wil751 1669 2002 334 14 0 .895 .34 1.14 .220 .637 .577 2.65 .416 -.005 1 47 wil811 1680 2002 323 13 0 .872 .31 .83 .161 .426 .546 2.78 .496 -.019 2 48 wil821 1480 2002 523 21 0 .907 .29 .79 .160 .446 .620 2.62 .388 -.010 1 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: Wild Rose 14:53 Wed 21 Jun 2006 Page 13 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 49 wil832 1310 2002 693 28 0 .878 .32 1.26 .178 .501 .570 2.57 .364 -.014 3 50 wil732 1560 2002 443 18 0 .867 .30 .77 .153 .473 .536 2.68 .401 -.011 1 --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- Total or mean: 23531 962 0 .864 .35 2.42 .198 .547 .534 2.91 .387 -.012