Almont Triangle Update, Colorado - CO658 Additional Site Information Connie A. Woodhouse Mark Losleben Jeff Lukas Notes: Update to ITRDB CO589 COFECHA output: Chronology file name : CO658.CRN Measurement file name : CO658.RWL Date checked : 06JUN19 Checked by : B. Bauer Beginning year : 1319 Ending year : 2013 Principal investigators: Connie A. Woodhouse Mark Losleben Jeff Lukas Site name : Almont Triangle Update Site location : Colorado Species information : PSME DOUGLAS-FIR Latitude : 3844 Longitude : -10648 Elevation : 2926m Series intercorrelation: 0.862 Avg mean sensitivity : 0.447 Avg standard deviation : 0.340 Avg autocorrelation : 0.630 Number dated series : 65 Segment length tested : 50 Number problem segments: 0 Pct problem segments : 0.00 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: Almont Triangle update 16:28 Thu 06 Jun 2019 Page 5 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1325 1350 1375 1400 1425 1450 1475 1500 1525 1550 1575 1600 1625 1650 1675 1700 1725 1750 1775 1800 1374 1399 1424 1449 1474 1499 1524 1549 1574 1599 1624 1649 1674 1699 1724 1749 1774 1799 1824 1849 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 2 ay2041 1713 1999 .92 .92 .93 .89 .89 3 at2042 1678 1999 .82 .86 .93 .95 .93 .92 4 at2051 1616 1999 .87 .88 .89 .88 .90 .95 .95 .91 .85 5 at2052 1621 1999 .85 .85 .86 .84 .84 .94 .97 .94 .90 6 at2061 1417 1999 .77 .75 .81 .86 .85 .86 .87 .89 .88 .90 .94 .93 .92 .90 .95 .93 .89 7 at2062 1422 1999 .75 .75 .72 .87 .90 .91 .90 .91 .92 .93 .94 .91 .91 .90 .94 .94 .92 8 at2071 1678 1999 .85 .85 .94 .94 .89 .87 9 at2072 1664 1999 .87 .89 .88 .94 .92 .86 .84 10 at2081 1646 1999 .92 .93 .90 .93 .96 .95 .93 .92 11 at2082 1640 1999 .83 .89 .90 .93 .96 .96 .96 .95 12 at2111 1627 1999 .83 .94 .94 .91 .86 .86 .84 .81 13 at2112 1636 1999 .84 .91 .90 .88 .78 .77 .86 .83 14 at2122 1428 1999 .71 .77 .90 .92 .90 .89 .92 .91 .91 .96 .89 .88 .84 .84 .89 .88 15 at2131 1415 1999 .78 .77 .82 .91 .91 .88 .85 .86 .90 .91 .93 .92 .89 .87 .90 .90 .88 16 at2132 1437 1999 .74 .74 .86 .85 .85 .91 .84 .84 .91 .92 .91 .89 .90 .85 .83 .89 17 at2141 1602 1999 .86 .92 .93 .90 .90 .91 .92 .92 .91 18 at2142 1611 1999 .85 .90 .87 .82 .87 .92 .93 .92 .95 19 at2151 1595 1999 .74 .76 .90 .91 .88 .90 .94 .95 .91 .88 20 at2152 1622 1999 .88 .90 .92 .88 .88 .92 .94 .91 .89 21 at2161 1388 1993 .76 .76 .72 .81 .89 .88 .87 .88 .89 .80 .80 .85 .67 .63 .84 .90 .91 .86 22 at2162 1403 1993 .78 .71 .73 .79 .86 .85 .84 .77 .71 .82 .87 .78 .76 .87 .91 .89 .84 23 at2171 1392 1999 .73 .67 .70 .89 .92 .87 .83 .87 .90 .88 .86 .87 .87 .88 .94 .95 .89 .86 24 at2181 1712 1999 .93 .93 .96 .95 .94 25 at2182 1753 1999 .93 .93 .93 26 at2211 1558 1999 .84 .81 .82 .87 .91 .89 .84 .80 .85 .91 .92 27 at2212 1615 1999 .84 .87 .92 .90 .81 .75 .80 .86 .89 28 at2221 1351 1999 .70 .89 .91 .86 .89 .95 .92 .88 .91 .90 .88 .91 .92 .93 .95 .89 .87 .92 .94 29 at2222 1378 1999 .87 .91 .85 .86 .92 .91 .88 .88 .90 .89 .88 .90 .90 .91 .96 .95 .91 .93 30 at2232 1752 1999 .93 .95 .93 31 at2231 1745 1999 .90 .90 .91 .91 32 at2241 1452 1999 .79 .86 .94 .93 .88 .86 .83 .86 .88 .88 .88 .81 .79 .86 .88 33 at2242 1434 1679 .87 .85 .90 .93 .89 .91 .92 .89 .89 .90 34 at2251 1712 1999 .79 .82 .86 .92 .92 35 at2252 1726 1999 .84 .83 .83 .85 36 at2261 1566 1999 .85 .86 .84 .85 .89 .89 .88 .86 .88 .92 .90 37 at2262 1535 1999 .86 .89 .82 .73 .79 .88 .79 .80 .89 .91 .89 .87 38 atr011 1505 1999 .82 .83 .84 .87 .68 .69 .88 .81 .77 .80 .83 .75 .73 39 atr012 1386 1999 .64 .79 .75 .67 .82 .85 .86 .81 .83 .73 .66 .80 .74 .76 .73 .72 .81 .81 40 atr111 1333 1999 .80 .80 .81 .80 .77 .77 .91 .90 .85 .79 .66 .67 .82 .86 .81 .80 .81 .79 .79 .80 41 atr121 1504 1864 .79 .75 .74 .79 .77 .77 .85 .83 .83 .72 .78 .83 .76 42 atr122 1428 1853 .65 .61 .75 .75 .84 .85 .85 .78 .78 .86 .83 .77 .81 .87 .88 .80 43 at2172 1460 1999 .92 .91 .87 .88 .90 .88 .85 .91 .93 .84 .86 .90 .91 .89 .87 44 at2121 1590 1999 .83 .86 .89 .93 .87 .84 .86 .91 .92 .91 45 atr112 1319 1760 .85 .83 .82 .82 .78 .78 .85 .83 .84 .82 .55 .58 .82 .81 .69 .71 .72 62 ATR48A 1816 2013 .73 63 ATR48B 1811 2013 .73 Av segment correlation .82 .78 .79 .80 .76 .79 .87 .87 .86 .86 .83 .82 .86 .89 .86 .85 .87 .89 .89 .87 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: Almont Triangle update 16:28 Thu 06 Jun 2019 Page 6 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1825 1850 1875 1900 1925 1950 1975 1874 1899 1924 1949 1974 1999 2024 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 at2022 1910 1999 .79 .80 .85 2 ay2041 1713 1999 .88 .89 .88 .90 .92 .91 3 at2042 1678 1999 .93 .89 .86 .91 .93 .90 4 at2051 1616 1999 .89 .92 .91 .93 .96 .95 5 at2052 1621 1999 .89 .90 .86 .79 .83 .91 6 at2061 1417 1999 .87 .87 .84 .82 .88 .92 7 at2062 1422 1999 .92 .85 .86 .90 .92 .96 8 at2071 1678 1999 .91 .92 .90 .93 .94 .87 9 at2072 1664 1999 .81 .75 .75 .88 .92 .93 10 at2081 1646 1999 .91 .93 .90 .91 .94 .90 11 at2082 1640 1999 .94 .92 .88 .90 .94 .97 12 at2111 1627 1999 .85 .86 .75 .84 .87 .86 13 at2112 1636 1999 .80 .85 .79 .82 .85 .85 14 at2122 1428 1999 .86 .87 .89 .63 .72 .82 15 at2131 1415 1999 .90 .92 .87 .92 .94 .92 16 at2132 1437 1999 .89 .81 .84 .88 .90 .89 17 at2141 1602 1999 .86 .84 .82 .83 .92 .93 18 at2142 1611 1999 .92 .90 .89 .91 .93 .95 19 at2151 1595 1999 .91 .90 .81 .70 .75 .84 20 at2152 1622 1999 .92 .90 .85 .78 .81 .90 21 at2161 1388 1993 .80 .82 .76 .84 .88 .88 22 at2162 1403 1993 .77 .80 .68 .71 .81 .83 23 at2171 1392 1999 .79 .81 .83 .80 .83 .83 24 at2181 1712 1999 .92 .88 .81 .84 .91 .93 25 at2182 1753 1999 .95 .92 .80 .87 .92 .91 26 at2211 1558 1999 .88 .87 .87 .86 .92 .96 27 at2212 1615 1999 .84 .85 .82 .79 .83 .85 28 at2221 1351 1999 .91 .93 .92 .91 .92 .93 29 at2222 1378 1999 .91 .91 .89 .90 .93 .92 30 at2232 1752 1999 .86 .87 .88 .88 .88 .90 31 at2231 1745 1999 .91 .94 .92 .89 .91 .93 32 at2241 1452 1999 .85 .91 .77 .67 .75 .80 34 at2251 1712 1999 .87 .89 .86 .91 .95 .91 35 at2252 1726 1999 .86 .82 .79 .89 .93 .94 36 at2261 1566 1999 .89 .90 .91 .93 .95 .96 37 at2262 1535 1999 .87 .87 .84 .88 .93 .92 38 atr011 1505 1999 .82 .77 .73 .84 .84 .78 39 atr012 1386 1999 .78 .77 .72 .79 .85 .78 40 atr111 1333 1999 .78 .77 .42 .50 .78 .83 41 atr121 1504 1864 .79 42 atr122 1428 1853 .80 43 at2172 1460 1999 .89 .89 .89 .86 .84 .89 44 at2121 1590 1999 .85 .89 .92 .90 .90 .85 46 ATR40A 1884 2013 .70 .75 .84 .88 .88 47 ATR40B 1894 2013 .74 .77 .86 .85 .85 48 ATR41A 1871 2013 .73 .68 .80 .89 .93 .93 49 ATR41B 1873 2013 .74 .76 .81 .88 .94 .93 50 ATR42A 1879 2013 .50 .79 .85 .88 .88 51 ATR42B 1907 2013 .73 .79 .86 .87 52 ATR43A 1876 2013 .73 .80 .81 .79 .74 53 ATR43B 1885 2013 .84 .83 .87 .89 .89 54 ATR44A 1831 2013 .77 .70 .75 .84 .87 .91 .92 55 ATR44B 1833 2013 .72 .66 .76 .88 .93 .93 .93 56 ATR45A 1887 2013 .63 .67 .75 .88 .88 57 ATR45B 1892 2013 .61 .63 .76 .93 .92 58 ATR46A 1873 2013 .65 .66 .80 .83 .78 .76 59 ATR46B 1867 2013 .59 .62 .82 .87 .85 .86 60 ATR47A 1854 2013 .50 .73 .77 .81 .89 .88 61 ATR47B 1847 2013 .63 .66 .65 .84 .86 .87 .87 62 ATR48A 1816 2013 .76 .78 .80 .82 .89 .95 .96 63 ATR48B 1811 2013 .77 .79 .77 .83 .92 .93 .93 64 ATR49A 1864 2013 .73 .83 .90 .91 .92 .91 65 ATR49B 1865 2013 .68 .75 .87 .89 .94 .94 Av segment correlation .85 .83 .79 .83 .87 .89 .89 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: Almont Triangle update 16:28 Thu 06 Jun 2019 Page 12 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 1 at2022 1910 1999 90 3 0 .822 .66 1.72 .302 .520 .401 2.45 .368 -.032 1 2 ay2041 1713 1999 287 11 0 .908 .63 2.56 .425 .691 .424 2.43 .285 -.042 1 3 at2042 1678 1999 322 12 0 .900 .79 3.38 .519 .735 .406 2.56 .323 -.051 3 4 at2051 1616 1999 384 15 0 .911 .60 2.68 .411 .691 .429 2.71 .372 -.053 1 5 at2052 1621 1999 379 15 0 .885 .68 2.66 .428 .678 .418 2.63 .337 -.045 1 6 at2061 1417 1999 583 23 0 .889 .46 2.15 .351 .789 .402 2.48 .248 -.022 1 7 at2062 1422 1999 578 23 0 .906 .49 2.05 .351 .775 .388 2.45 .271 -.031 1 8 at2071 1678 1999 322 12 0 .905 .77 2.06 .356 .427 .419 2.62 .370 -.018 1 9 at2072 1664 1999 336 13 0 .872 .83 3.19 .451 .569 .398 2.60 .289 -.038 1 10 at2081 1646 1999 354 14 0 .931 .79 3.85 .585 .730 .430 2.50 .305 -.042 1 11 at2082 1640 1999 360 14 0 .929 .71 3.02 .463 .679 .418 2.62 .380 -.038 1 12 at2111 1627 1999 373 14 0 .895 .16 .61 .089 .285 .616 2.52 .330 -.031 1 13 at2112 1636 1999 364 14 0 .870 .20 1.81 .167 .494 .638 2.55 .316 -.044 3 14 at2122 1428 1999 572 22 0 .880 .40 2.07 .320 .760 .504 2.55 .296 -.020 1 15 at2131 1415 1999 585 23 0 .891 .39 1.90 .291 .714 .498 2.63 .359 -.020 3 16 at2132 1437 1999 563 22 0 .882 .31 1.80 .238 .694 .535 2.62 .331 -.024 5 17 at2141 1602 1999 398 15 0 .890 .32 1.08 .169 .473 .438 2.53 .342 -.061 1 18 at2142 1611 1999 389 15 0 .903 .37 1.12 .167 .322 .455 2.51 .348 -.037 1 19 at2151 1595 1999 405 16 0 .859 .51 2.21 .338 .622 .425 2.69 .339 -.047 3 20 at2152 1622 1999 378 15 0 .883 .44 1.35 .212 .442 .420 2.71 .331 -.034 1 21 at2161 1388 1993 606 24 0 .839 .26 1.04 .132 .443 .466 2.75 .374 -.044 1 22 at2162 1403 1993 591 23 0 .823 .26 1.35 .151 .574 .449 2.58 .294 -.028 1 23 at2171 1392 1999 608 24 0 .865 .26 1.97 .227 .697 .501 2.69 .368 -.021 5 24 at2181 1712 1999 288 11 0 .922 .52 2.03 .329 .691 .432 2.46 .343 -.038 1 25 at2182 1753 1999 247 9 0 .902 .48 1.41 .257 .535 .457 2.56 .357 -.035 1 26 at2211 1558 1999 442 17 0 .867 .41 2.01 .279 .454 .569 2.59 .279 -.013 1 27 at2212 1615 1999 385 15 0 .840 .44 1.49 .274 .411 .585 2.70 .346 -.016 1 28 at2221 1351 1999 649 25 0 .904 .46 2.65 .391 .736 .483 2.52 .330 -.033 1 29 at2222 1378 1999 622 24 0 .908 .46 2.22 .380 .735 .483 2.61 .323 -.040 1 30 at2232 1752 1999 248 9 0 .902 .63 2.26 .370 .419 .520 2.73 .500 -.054 1 31 at2231 1745 1999 255 10 0 .911 .75 1.78 .365 .356 .501 2.58 .417 -.040 1 32 at2241 1452 1999 548 21 0 .872 .31 1.72 .279 .689 .624 2.68 .316 -.019 1 33 at2242 1434 1679 246 10 0 .895 .52 1.63 .331 .580 .523 2.82 .433 -.005 1 34 at2251 1712 1999 288 11 0 .873 .70 2.46 .412 .785 .323 2.52 .425 -.043 2 35 at2252 1726 1999 274 10 0 .856 .70 2.07 .481 .831 .345 2.47 .368 -.023 1 36 at2261 1566 1999 434 17 0 .892 .64 2.14 .383 .694 .410 2.53 .328 -.043 1 37 at2262 1535 1999 465 18 0 .853 .65 2.25 .357 .664 .375 2.54 .348 -.044 1 38 atr011 1505 1999 495 19 0 .796 .41 1.17 .218 .791 .290 2.56 .329 -.050 1 39 atr012 1386 1999 614 24 0 .765 .51 1.82 .226 .670 .278 2.54 .266 -.013 1 40 atr111 1333 1999 667 26 0 .796 .27 2.22 .223 .728 .493 2.64 .317 -.022 1 41 atr121 1504 1864 361 14 0 .792 .27 .99 .143 .606 .440 2.54 .316 -.056 1 42 atr122 1428 1853 426 17 0 .799 .30 1.11 .153 .664 .372 2.68 .354 -.035 1 43 at2172 1460 1999 540 21 0 .884 .32 1.46 .212 .691 .444 2.76 .363 -.032 1 44 at2121 1590 1999 410 16 0 .898 .32 1.49 .183 .441 .494 2.52 .314 -.025 1 45 atr112 1319 1760 442 17 0 .802 .31 2.06 .267 .777 .473 2.67 .332 -.015 1 46 ATR40A 1884 2013 130 5 0 .825 1.59 4.94 1.069 .733 .480 2.55 .546 -.037 1 47 ATR40B 1894 2013 120 5 0 .808 1.27 3.53 .729 .588 .507 2.50 .449 -.041 1 48 ATR41A 1871 2013 143 6 0 .850 1.79 4.36 .899 .613 .442 2.49 .403 -.043 1 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: Almont Triangle update 16:28 Thu 06 Jun 2019 Page 13 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 49 ATR41B 1873 2013 141 6 0 .862 1.62 3.48 .739 .533 .458 2.44 .420 -.035 1 50 ATR42A 1879 2013 135 5 0 .792 1.04 2.42 .499 .553 .413 2.47 .457 .002 1 51 ATR42B 1907 2013 107 4 0 .813 1.22 2.89 .625 .595 .403 2.67 .547 -.009 2 52 ATR43A 1876 2013 138 5 0 .769 1.74 4.73 .781 .623 .344 2.53 .433 -.046 2 53 ATR43B 1885 2013 129 5 0 .858 1.48 3.40 .702 .616 .365 2.46 .395 -.019 1 54 ATR44A 1831 2013 183 7 0 .823 1.28 3.78 .726 .716 .420 2.46 .351 -.050 1 55 ATR44B 1833 2013 181 7 0 .854 1.20 2.62 .593 .644 .388 2.64 .389 -.013 1 56 ATR45A 1887 2013 127 5 0 .766 1.91 5.41 .948 .555 .420 2.48 .366 -.024 1 57 ATR45B 1892 2013 122 5 0 .801 1.77 4.20 .751 .517 .370 2.50 .346 -.013 1 58 ATR46A 1873 2013 141 6 0 .761 1.49 3.18 .668 .667 .338 2.61 .446 .029 1 59 ATR46B 1867 2013 147 6 0 .781 1.32 2.59 .534 .655 .312 2.52 .449 -.037 2 60 ATR47A 1854 2013 160 6 0 .753 1.00 2.92 .483 .496 .421 2.66 .441 -.044 1 61 ATR47B 1847 2013 167 7 0 .807 1.01 3.52 .575 .592 .428 2.66 .449 -.017 2 62 ATR48A 1816 2013 198 8 0 .830 .85 2.04 .368 .617 .359 2.52 .374 -.004 1 63 ATR48B 1811 2013 203 8 0 .835 .90 2.03 .397 .629 .372 2.65 .411 -.011 1 64 ATR49A 1864 2013 150 6 0 .861 1.30 3.15 .656 .722 .335 2.51 .380 -.014 1 65 ATR49B 1865 2013 149 6 0 .851 1.27 2.63 .459 .487 .336 2.54 .365 -.032 1 --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- Total or mean: 22144 861 0 .862 .57 5.41 .340 .630 .447 2.82 .344 -.031