Gould Reservoir Update, Colorado - CO664 Additional Site Information Connie A. Woodhouse Jeff Lukas Gary Bolton COFECHA output: Chronology file name : CO664.CRN Measurement file name : CO664.RWL Date checked : 07JUN19 Checked by : B. Bauer Beginning year : 1383 Ending year : 2013 Principal investigators: Connie A. Woodhouse Jeff Lukas Gary Bolton Site name : Gould Reservoir Update Site location : Colorado Species information : PIED PINYON Latitude : 3836 Longitude : -10735 Elevation : 2271m Series intercorrelation: 0.845 Avg mean sensitivity : 0.393 Avg standard deviation : 0.237 Avg autocorrelation : 0.595 Number dated series : 72 Segment length tested : 50 Number problem segments: 1 Pct problem segments : 0.10 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: Gould Reservoir Update 12:13 Fri 07 Jun 2019 Page 5 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1375 1400 1425 1450 1475 1500 1525 1550 1575 1600 1625 1650 1675 1700 1725 1750 1775 1800 1825 1850 1424 1449 1474 1499 1524 1549 1574 1599 1624 1649 1674 1699 1724 1749 1774 1799 1824 1849 1874 1899 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 gou011 1541 2000 .70 .76 .87 .83 .84 .85 .81 .89 .91 .88 .87 .80 .81 .77 2 gou012 1501 2000 .54 .69 .77 .83 .81 .85 .85 .80 .85 .86 .82 .86 .78 .78 .81 3 gou021 1464 2000 .70 .77 .76 .76 .84 .84 .78 .87 .93 .91 .91 .93 .91 .91 .92 .91 .91 4 gou022 1434 2000 .80 .74 .73 .67 .70 .82 .83 .80 .88 .93 .92 .93 .92 .91 .90 .89 .93 .94 5 gou032 1423 2000 .55 .54 .72 .78 .73 .68 .73 .80 .79 .79 .81 .83 .86 .89 .91 .91 .92 .89 .77 6 gou042 1479 2000 .80 .72 .70 .75 .72 .64 .70 .89 .86 .85 .91 .86 .84 .76 .71 .74 7 gou041 1488 2000 .71 .75 .67 .72 .69 .66 .80 .83 .82 .87 .83 .81 .79 .76 .74 .81 8 gou051 1388 2000 .89 .90 .80 .81 .86 .86 .85 .87 .92 .88 .87 .89 .93 .93 .89 .90 .90 .89 .85 .83 9 gou053 1444 1958 .71 .74 .78 .80 .86 .91 .89 .88 .92 .90 .85 .88 .93 .93 .87 .85 .80 .80 10 gou062 1650 2000 .88 .88 .90 .94 .91 .83 .85 .85 .83 11 gou122 1383 2000 .87 .89 .90 .86 .87 .88 .89 .91 .91 .88 .88 .88 .86 .82 .71 .80 .87 .91 .89 .84 12 gou121 1511 2000 .78 .81 .83 .85 .88 .92 .92 .89 .89 .86 .84 .89 .84 .78 .88 13 gou131 1508 2000 .69 .82 .87 .81 .80 .88 .88 .93 .93 .88 .87 .89 .86 .79 .75 14 gou132 1488 2000 .68 .67 .75 .86 .87 .86 .88 .84 .86 .89 .86 .83 .86 .84 .86 .89 15 gou151 1506 2000 .73 .80 .82 .86 .85 .93 .90 .88 .92 .90 .91 .94 .91 .92 .92 16 gou152 1553 2000 .87 .87 .86 .89 .88 .87 .85 .86 .91 .92 .90 .90 .85 17 gou161 1630 2000 .75 .92 .88 .84 .89 .89 .77 .79 .91 .94 18 gou171 1400 2000 .91 .82 .76 .72 .73 .87 .91 .90 .87 .90 .90 .89 .91 .93 .92 .91 .92 .89 .88 19 gou172 1390 2000 .83 .89 .91 .91 .88 .79 .79 .88 .92 .87 .84 .75 .87 .93 .91 .91 .92 .91 .90 .82 20 gou112 1471 2000 .63 .65 .64 .74 .78 .84 .91 .93 .92 .90 .94 .95 .93 .92 .91 .93 .93 21 gou181 1700 2000 .85 .87 .84 .83 .88 .93 .93 22 gou182 1670 2000 .85 .84 .85 .89 .87 .88 .91 .91 .88 23 gou191 1684 2000 .82 .87 .89 .90 .89 .86 .88 .89 24 gou192 1677 2000 .91 .93 .93 .91 .90 .87 .91 .89 25 gou271 1605 2000 .80 .85 .87 .87 .95 .94 .87 .88 .90 .90 .89 26 gou272 1627 2000 .80 .84 .87 .92 .95 .92 .92 .95 .94 .88 27 gou231 1577 2000 .79 .81 .84 .87 .91 .94 .92 .85 .84 .87 .78 .82 28 gou232 1744 2000 .88 .89 .86 .91 .90 .82 29 gou241 1684 2000 .91 .89 .92 .91 .90 .92 .90 .84 30 gou242 1794 2000 .92 .93 .89 .82 31 gou251 1681 2000 .91 .89 .88 .89 .93 .93 .90 .92 32 gou252 1673 2000 .93 .93 .92 .92 .92 .92 .92 .94 .94 33 gou312 1543 2000 .64 .68 .86 .86 .93 .91 .86 .88 .90 .88 .85 .89 .91 .82 34 gou311 1603 2000 .85 .89 .90 .93 .94 .94 .90 .87 .91 .93 .87 35 gou301 1630 2000 .86 .91 .93 .94 .92 .91 .92 .92 .94 .94 36 gou302 1622 2000 .85 .88 .92 .91 .92 .89 .86 .93 .95 .93 .90 37 gou601 1668 2002 .90 .93 .92 .92 .89 .90 .93 .93 .93 38 gou611 1390 1740 .86 .86 .89 .81 .78 .83 .88 .90 .91 .87 .85 .81 .84 .84 39 gou611 1780 2002 .83 .85 .88 .89 40 gou631 1550 2002 .84 .87 .69 .72 .82 .90 .89 .86 .90 .91 .91 .92 .87 41 gou641 1570 2002 .88 .92 .92 .93 .88 .90 .90 .88 .93 .96 .94 .92 .94 42 gou711 1540 2002 .84 .83 .89 .91 .91 .92 .90 .89 .84 .85 .90 .87 .89 .93 43 gou721 1767 2002 .85 .82 .79 .85 .88 44 gou722 1699 2002 .93 .94 .89 .83 .83 .84 .81 .80 45 gou731 1602 2002 .79 .85 .88 .88 .89 .89 .87 .80 .77 .80 .86 46 gou732 1638 2002 .95 .95 .93 .90 .88 .88 .90 .90 .90 .91 47 gou751 1453 2002 .87 .83 .82 .84 .83 .86 .86 .86 .88 .90 .91 .92 .91 .91 .95 .95 .89 48 gou752 1670 2002 .84 .87 .89 .91 .91 .90 .92 .93 .89 49 gou801 1483 2002 .64 .71 .83 .90 .87 .84 .89 .92 .93 .91 .91 .86 .83 .87 .91 .91 50 gou811 1678 2002 .91 .93 .91 .87 .86 .92 .93 .89 51 gou812 1678 2002 .92 .89 .89 .91 .81 .67 .76 .75 52 gou821 1705 2002 .87 .83 .85 .91 .91 .89 .86 53 gou822 1743 2002 .88 .89 .93 .93 .90 .82 54 gou842 1682 2002 .82 .87 .88 .84 .87 .91 .87 .75 55 GOU901A 1684 2013 .86 .88 .86 .81 .85 .90 .93 .94 56 GOU901B 1789 2013 .83 .84 .90 .91 57 GOU902A 1758 2013 .92 .91 .85 .82 .85 58 GOU902B 1739 2013 .86 .90 .93 .92 .88 .87 59 GOU903A 1693 2013 .89 .88 .88 .90 .90 .92 .90 .83 60 GOU903B 1674 2013 .78 .78 .92 .92 .89 .91 .89 .89 .87 66 GOU909A 1589 2013 .89 .90 .91 .91 .92 .91 .92 .93 .91 .90 .88 .88 Av segment correlation .86 .83 .80 .78 .77 .74 .78 .83 .86 .83 .86 .88 .88 .90 .89 .88 .88 .88 .88 .87 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: Gould Reservoir Update 12:13 Fri 07 Jun 2019 Page 6 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1875 1900 1925 1950 1975 1924 1949 1974 1999 2024 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 gou011 1541 2000 .72 .74 .81 .85 .85 2 gou012 1501 2000 .77 .77 .84 .91 .91 3 gou021 1464 2000 .86 .63 .60 .83 .82 4 gou022 1434 2000 .85 .64 .67 .85 .85 5 gou032 1423 2000 .70 .70 .74 .80 .81 6 gou042 1479 2000 .73 .65 .67 .81 .81 7 gou041 1488 2000 .86 .78 .77 .82 .83 8 gou051 1388 2000 .84 .80 .73 .72 .73 9 gou053 1444 1958 .85 .78 .80 10 gou062 1650 2000 .80 .67 .74 .79 .79 11 gou122 1383 2000 .72 .70 .79 .88 .88 12 gou121 1511 2000 .82 .74 .83 .90 .90 13 gou131 1508 2000 .78 .72 .59 .63 .64 14 gou132 1488 2000 .84 .79 .83 .89 .89 15 gou151 1506 2000 .91 .79 .81 .86 .87 16 gou152 1553 2000 .78 .81 .81 .80 .81 17 gou161 1630 2000 .86 .70 .77 .89 .90 18 gou171 1400 2000 .86 .77 .64 .70 .71 19 gou172 1390 2000 .77 .76 .67 .66 .66 20 gou112 1471 2000 .84 .75 .77 .84 .84 21 gou181 1700 2000 .84 .61 .70 .86 .86 22 gou182 1670 2000 .75 .63 .74 .76 .77 23 gou191 1684 2000 .80 .67 .76 .89 .89 24 gou192 1677 2000 .82 .80 .85 .91 .91 25 gou271 1605 2000 .85 .83 .90 .91 .91 26 gou272 1627 2000 .65 .59 .70 .84 .84 27 gou231 1577 2000 .83 .79 .82 .92 .92 28 gou232 1744 2000 .79 .77 .85 .92 .92 29 gou241 1684 2000 .71 .75 .85 .89 .89 30 gou242 1794 2000 .80 .83 .88 .87 .87 31 gou251 1681 2000 .91 .80 .85 .89 .89 32 gou252 1673 2000 .88 .75 .81 .81 .82 33 gou312 1543 2000 .77 .67 .70 .87 .87 34 gou311 1603 2000 .83 .71 .70 .83 .83 35 gou301 1630 2000 .80 .62 .83 .95 .96 36 gou302 1622 2000 .80 .67 .77 .89 .89 37 gou601 1668 2002 .86 .68 .72 .79 .80 39 gou611 1780 2002 .80 .78 .86 .91 .89 40 gou631 1550 2002 .75 .71 .82 .89 .90 41 gou641 1570 2002 .94 .85 .85 .93 .92 42 gou711 1540 2002 .83 .64 .78 .88 .88 43 gou721 1767 2002 .80 .76 .83 .87 .87 44 gou722 1699 2002 .83 .84 .84 .89 .88 45 gou731 1602 2002 .85 .79 .83 .80 .78 46 gou732 1638 2002 .84 .76 .86 .89 .89 47 gou751 1453 2002 .84 .56 .57 .83 .86 48 gou752 1670 2002 .78 .73 .84 .87 .87 49 gou801 1483 2002 .72 .60 .81 .91 .93 50 gou811 1678 2002 .84 .65 .50 .51 .58 51 gou812 1678 2002 .68 .57 .56 .74 .74 52 gou821 1705 2002 .82 .79 .74 .78 .76 53 gou822 1743 2002 .71 .76 .82 .85 .83 54 gou842 1682 2002 .72 .57 .59 .83 .83 55 GOU901A 1684 2013 .90 .83 .84 .82 .83 56 GOU901B 1789 2013 .86 .77 .80 .82 .86 57 GOU902A 1758 2013 .84 .79 .87 .90 .83 58 GOU902B 1739 2013 .75 .77 .89 .89 .85 59 GOU903A 1693 2013 .84 .84 .79 .83 .78 60 GOU903B 1674 2013 .84 .77 .74 .85 .75 61 GOU906A 1888 2013 .34 .34 .65 .80 .78 62 GOU906B 1880 2013 .58 .67 .83 .83 .77 63 GOU907A 1926 2013 .71 .88 .83 64 GOU907B 1899 2013 .64 .64 .68 .85 .86 65 GOU908A 1953 2013 .49 .71 66 GOU909A 1589 2013 .79 .68 .77 .86 .82 67 GOU910A 1929 2013 .57 .61 .62 68 GOU910B 1930 2013 .55 .60 .66 69 GOU911A 1928 2013 .52 .64 .78 70 GOU911B 1925 2013 .70 .69 .64 71 GOU912A 1944 2013 .41 .46 .69 72 GOU912B 1928 2013 .31B .40 .70 Av segment correlation .79 .72 .74 .81 .82 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: Gould Reservoir Update 12:13 Fri 07 Jun 2019 Page 12 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 1 gou011 1541 2000 460 19 0 .810 .51 1.52 .263 .689 .361 2.52 .325 -.027 1 2 gou012 1501 2000 500 20 0 .802 .35 1.22 .200 .687 .420 2.53 .346 -.002 1 3 gou021 1464 2000 537 22 0 .841 .45 .98 .157 .544 .285 2.52 .326 -.015 1 4 gou022 1434 2000 567 23 0 .848 .36 1.08 .139 .519 .315 2.51 .338 -.016 3 5 gou032 1423 2000 578 24 0 .811 .36 1.25 .190 .687 .381 2.46 .242 -.020 1 6 gou042 1479 2000 522 21 0 .787 .51 1.31 .229 .684 .325 2.62 .365 -.027 1 7 gou041 1488 2000 513 21 0 .785 .43 1.91 .272 .793 .415 2.65 .407 .020 1 8 gou051 1388 2000 613 25 0 .873 .51 1.19 .224 .482 .425 2.52 .336 -.007 3 9 gou053 1444 1958 515 21 0 .865 .57 1.21 .224 .377 .412 2.40 .292 -.015 3 10 gou062 1650 2000 351 14 0 .842 .50 2.24 .408 .819 .404 2.67 .435 -.026 1 11 gou122 1383 2000 618 25 0 .868 .38 1.97 .296 .767 .514 2.52 .322 -.018 4 12 gou121 1511 2000 490 20 0 .867 .33 .97 .191 .559 .587 2.52 .312 -.022 5 13 gou131 1508 2000 493 20 0 .842 .40 1.02 .182 .648 .346 2.48 .306 -.027 3 14 gou132 1488 2000 513 21 0 .846 .57 1.40 .215 .630 .278 2.50 .331 -.008 3 15 gou151 1506 2000 495 20 0 .881 .41 1.54 .223 .611 .453 2.56 .272 -.024 3 16 gou152 1553 2000 448 18 0 .867 .40 .96 .189 .555 .428 2.65 .328 -.011 1 17 gou161 1630 2000 371 15 0 .847 .55 1.32 .247 .538 .395 2.57 .408 -.026 1 18 gou171 1400 2000 601 24 0 .869 .48 1.56 .291 .697 .466 2.55 .331 -.011 3 19 gou172 1390 2000 611 25 0 .854 .46 1.99 .289 .708 .492 2.61 .329 -.017 3 20 gou112 1471 2000 530 22 0 .853 .52 2.10 .237 .689 .334 2.40 .265 -.005 1 21 gou181 1700 2000 301 12 0 .830 .61 1.65 .323 .744 .333 2.64 .372 -.006 1 22 gou182 1670 2000 331 14 0 .833 .59 1.85 .335 .780 .335 2.55 .363 -.034 3 23 gou191 1684 2000 317 13 0 .858 .32 .70 .122 .389 .370 2.45 .315 -.015 1 24 gou192 1677 2000 324 13 0 .887 .53 1.19 .201 .504 .311 2.54 .399 -.028 1 25 gou271 1605 2000 396 16 0 .875 .54 1.28 .240 .660 .335 2.56 .363 .002 1 26 gou272 1627 2000 374 15 0 .858 .49 1.01 .192 .504 .351 2.48 .324 -.004 1 27 gou231 1577 2000 424 17 0 .851 .50 1.67 .322 .794 .421 2.54 .311 -.014 1 28 gou232 1744 2000 257 11 0 .890 .47 1.57 .303 .727 .432 2.76 .433 -.015 1 29 gou241 1684 2000 317 13 0 .891 .46 1.44 .227 .589 .419 2.49 .337 -.011 1 30 gou242 1794 2000 207 9 0 .875 .49 1.33 .246 .580 .416 2.47 .333 -.016 1 31 gou251 1681 2000 320 13 0 .887 .58 1.69 .272 .553 .386 2.61 .443 -.022 1 32 gou252 1673 2000 328 14 0 .876 .53 1.27 .256 .567 .393 2.50 .320 -.001 1 33 gou312 1543 2000 458 19 0 .863 .34 1.18 .150 .230 .489 2.64 .332 -.009 1 34 gou311 1603 2000 398 16 0 .874 .57 1.70 .248 .503 .352 2.49 .329 -.011 1 35 gou301 1630 2000 371 15 0 .892 .58 1.61 .268 .604 .368 2.51 .368 -.014 1 36 gou302 1622 2000 379 16 0 .884 .58 2.02 .325 .699 .379 2.52 .333 -.015 1 37 gou601 1668 2002 335 14 0 .866 .63 1.93 .347 .772 .351 2.61 .395 -.017 1 38 gou611 1390 1740 351 14 0 .878 .46 2.13 .350 .746 .500 2.62 .406 .001 4 39 gou611 1780 2002 223 9 0 .867 .41 .87 .186 .482 .453 2.44 .324 .005 3 40 gou631 1550 2002 453 18 0 .842 .60 1.89 .287 .789 .266 2.59 .348 -.009 1 41 gou641 1570 2002 433 18 0 .918 .37 1.01 .170 .395 .478 2.59 .377 -.019 1 42 gou711 1540 2002 463 19 0 .862 .45 .92 .190 .491 .407 2.41 .292 -.004 3 43 gou721 1767 2002 236 10 0 .823 .47 1.13 .203 .513 .384 2.55 .361 -.010 1 44 gou722 1699 2002 304 13 0 .857 .37 1.00 .188 .621 .444 2.53 .404 -.032 1 45 gou731 1602 2002 401 16 0 .850 .33 .90 .153 .462 .447 2.58 .381 -.017 1 46 gou732 1638 2002 365 15 0 .890 .59 1.14 .218 .486 .327 2.58 .376 -.031 1 47 gou751 1453 2002 550 22 0 .859 .44 1.53 .263 .567 .553 2.61 .392 -.003 1 48 gou752 1670 2002 333 14 0 .886 .46 1.16 .236 .550 .499 2.48 .282 .005 1 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: Gould Reservoir Update 12:13 Fri 07 Jun 2019 Page 13 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 49 gou801 1483 2002 520 21 0 .851 .51 1.47 .189 .640 .265 2.53 .344 -.006 1 50 gou811 1678 2002 325 13 0 .817 .45 .92 .169 .405 .367 2.63 .380 -.023 1 51 gou812 1678 2002 325 13 0 .790 .38 1.03 .186 .648 .386 2.63 .398 -.025 3 52 gou821 1705 2002 298 12 0 .826 .52 1.40 .260 .495 .449 2.59 .329 -.009 1 53 gou822 1743 2002 260 11 0 .846 .58 1.34 .254 .532 .364 2.45 .345 .004 1 54 gou842 1682 2002 321 13 0 .833 .34 .74 .149 .318 .475 2.55 .343 -.029 2 55 GOU901A 1684 2013 330 13 0 .865 .57 1.12 .202 .542 .295 2.51 .337 .001 1 56 GOU901B 1789 2013 225 9 0 .848 .58 1.15 .208 .530 .304 2.50 .388 -.026 1 57 GOU902A 1758 2013 256 10 0 .851 .44 1.06 .210 .520 .418 2.43 .293 -.006 3 58 GOU902B 1739 2013 275 11 0 .878 .46 1.29 .250 .591 .440 2.44 .307 -.002 1 59 GOU903A 1693 2013 321 13 0 .861 .46 1.25 .201 .566 .357 2.51 .402 .016 1 60 GOU903B 1674 2013 340 14 0 .830 .47 1.21 .213 .595 .369 2.51 .310 -.002 3 61 GOU906A 1888 2013 126 5 0 .675 .82 1.83 .444 .820 .337 2.51 .461 -.025 1 62 GOU906B 1880 2013 134 5 0 .717 .88 2.02 .329 .715 .262 2.57 .463 -.026 1 63 GOU907A 1926 2013 88 3 0 .791 .67 1.45 .308 .614 .394 2.66 .490 .071 1 64 GOU907B 1899 2013 115 5 0 .739 .94 2.11 .389 .638 .375 2.46 .367 .009 1 65 GOU908A 1953 2013 61 2 0 .541 .99 1.95 .434 .703 .354 2.40 .389 -.029 1 66 GOU909A 1589 2013 425 17 0 .865 .49 1.02 .191 .443 .405 2.39 .276 -.001 1 67 GOU910A 1929 2013 85 3 0 .569 .87 2.00 .310 .744 .213 2.69 .494 -.075 3 68 GOU910B 1930 2013 84 3 0 .600 1.12 1.99 .331 .624 .232 2.67 .569 .001 4 69 GOU911A 1928 2013 86 3 0 .618 1.47 4.11 .619 .796 .213 2.40 .390 -.059 1 70 GOU911B 1925 2013 89 3 0 .673 1.44 2.55 .426 .609 .211 2.61 .514 -.063 4 71 GOU912A 1944 2013 70 3 0 .554 1.08 1.77 .277 .333 .261 2.59 .500 -.002 3 72 GOU912B 1928 2013 86 3 1 .440 1.04 1.55 .268 .397 .261 2.54 .401 .114 1 --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- Total or mean: 25520 1036 1 .845 .49 4.11 .237 .595 .393 2.76 .346 -.012