North Park Update 2, Colorado - CO671 Additional Site Information Connie Woodhouse Mark Losleben COFECHA output: Chronology file name : CO671.CRN Measurement file name : CO671.RWL Date checked : 26JUL19 Checked by : B. Bauer Beginning year : 635 Ending year : 2005 Principal investigators: Connie A. Woodhouse Mark Losleben Site name : North Park Update 2 Site location : Colorado Species information : PSME DOUGLAS-FIR Latitude : 4057 Longitude : -10620 Elevation : 2450M Series intercorrelation: 0.785 Avg mean sensitivity : 0.404 Avg standard deviation : 0.369 Avg autocorrelation : 0.601 Number dated series : 82 Segment length tested : 50 Number problem segments: 0 Pct problem segments : 0.00 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: Northj Park Update 2 15:09 Fri 26 Jul 2019 Page 5 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 625 650 675 700 725 750 775 800 825 850 875 900 925 950 975 1000 1025 1050 1075 1100 674 699 724 749 774 799 824 849 874 899 924 949 974 999 1024 1049 1074 1099 1124 1149 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 npx301 635 990 .86 .84 .85 .88 .91 .89 .92 .88 .83 .89 .90 .89 .92 .92 2 npx302 635 1037 .86 .84 .85 .88 .91 .89 .90 .89 .86 .90 .88 .87 .91 .86 .83 .68 46 npx341 801 977 .91 .86 .89 .88 .89 .95 .96 47 npx342 803 991 .87 .84 .91 .86 .85 .92 .88 48 npx351 818 978 .82 .81 .83 .86 .85 .90 .89 49 npx352 818 971 .78 .76 .81 .85 .86 .91 50 npx511 831 961 .89 .89 .82 .78 .81 51 npx512 831 946 .87 .82 .73 .73 52 npx311 894 1009 .80 .78 .81 .87 .88 58 npx372 1057 1182 .63 .80 .89 59 npx373 1058 1162 .64 .83 .86 79 n2x101 969 1085 .81 .82 .73 .60 .46 80 n2x102 974 1070 .79 .80 .72 .61 Av segment correlation .86 .84 .85 .88 .91 .89 .91 .86 .84 .87 .84 .83 .89 .87 .83 .71 .61 .58 .81 .87 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: Northj Park Update 2 15:09 Fri 26 Jul 2019 Page 6 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1125 1150 1175 1200 1225 1250 1275 1300 1325 1350 1375 1400 1425 1450 1475 1500 1525 1550 1575 1600 1174 1199 1224 1249 1274 1299 1324 1349 1374 1399 1424 1449 1474 1499 1524 1549 1574 1599 1624 1649 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 6 npu041 1553 2001 .66 .82 .79 7 npu042 1516 2001 .83 .78 .74 .85 .86 10 npu081 1544 2001 .73 .73 .80 .80 25 npu201 1486 2001 .64 .72 .71 .71 .83 .88 26 npu202 1489 2001 .74 .79 .72 .59 .84 .90 28 npu071 1623 2001 .87 35 npu421 1524 2005 .76 .75 .72 .79 .83 36 npu401 1483 2005 .72 .75 .71 .63 .82 .89 53 npx321 1144 1275 .73 .81 .79 .70 .74 .74 54 npx322 1144 1346 .70 .77 .81 .81 .84 .77 .79 .83 55 npx501 1165 1275 .88 .92 .82 .86 .87 56 npx501 1310 1457 .75 .65 .75 .80 .78 .80 57 npx502 1165 1457 .88 .89 .86 .81 .75 .71 .76 .73 .76 .81 .81 .83 58 npx372 1057 1182 .79 .71 59 npx373 1058 1162 .77 60 n2x051 1370 1591 .73 .79 .80 .82 .83 .80 .78 .74 .62 61 n2x052 1370 1523 .71 .79 .79 .77 .81 .83 62 n2x171 1327 1560 .59 .82 .89 .89 .88 .90 .89 .87 .83 63 n2x172 1327 1533 .56 .76 .82 .83 .88 .91 .87 .85 64 n2x131 1373 1620 .50 .56 .60 .85 .83 .85 .89 .70 .53 .54 65 n2x132 1373 1604 .45 .51 .57 .74 .75 .85 .85 .68 .56 .67 66 n2x141 1352 1598 .67 .79 .84 .81 .84 .86 .86 .77 .67 67 n2x142 1352 1553 .70 .83 .90 .91 .92 .91 .86 .88 68 n2x181 1471 1588 .51 .49 .63 .66 .64 69 n2x031 1490 1621 .64 .72 .61 .60 .68 70 n2x021 1244 1387 .88 .83 .78 .79 .71 .70 71 n2x022 1244 1366 .82 .82 .78 .81 .71 72 n2x091 1315 1598 .71 .50 .43 .62 .59 .76 .73 .68 .68 .53 .42 73 n2x092 1291 1560 .65 .59 .46 .46 .57 .62 .70 .71 .74 .77 .67 74 n2x041 1356 1593 .46 .58 .71 .88 .77 .74 .84 .84 .74 75 n2x061 1381 1516 .73 .80 .89 .90 .86 76 n2x071 1406 1700 .82 .81 .83 .86 .85 .85 .81 .78 .69 77 n2x072 1492 1711 .86 .87 .84 .78 .78 .72 78 n2x011 1422 1588 .84 .83 .86 .84 .80 .79 .77 81 n2x151 1410 1585 .60 .81 .83 .76 .67 .53 .54 82 n2x161 1403 1563 .72 .78 .69 .75 .75 .68 Av segment correlation .75 .81 .85 .80 .83 .80 .74 .75 .61 .64 .72 .75 .82 .80 .78 .79 .73 .66 .77 .82 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: Northj Park Update 2 15:09 Fri 26 Jul 2019 Page 7 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1625 1650 1675 1700 1725 1750 1775 1800 1825 1850 1875 1900 1925 1950 1975 1674 1699 1724 1749 1774 1799 1824 1849 1874 1899 1924 1949 1974 1999 2024 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 3 npu121 1703 2001 .53 .64 .68 .61 .75 .90 .82 .71 .70 .74 .84 .84 4 npu011 1691 2001 .82 .83 .81 .79 .80 .82 .84 .74 .76 .70 .71 .84 .84 5 npu012 1672 2001 .64 .68 .80 .79 .80 .81 .79 .80 .79 .83 .69 .67 .85 .84 6 npu041 1553 2001 .78 .82 .86 .85 .82 .79 .83 .87 .84 .77 .79 .80 .84 .82 .80 7 npu042 1516 2001 .87 .86 .84 .82 .84 .81 .81 .87 .91 .84 .85 .89 .88 .86 .84 8 npu062 1712 2001 .73 .75 .82 .91 .88 .84 .81 .72 .79 .87 .87 .84 9 npu063 1727 2001 .60 .75 .84 .86 .86 .85 .83 .89 .90 .87 .86 10 npu081 1544 2001 .81 .84 .83 .82 .74 .83 .92 .88 .88 .91 .86 .86 .88 .71 .69 11 npu102 1690 2000 .84 .85 .82 .89 .93 .93 .93 .92 .83 .86 .92 .91 .90 12 npu111 1701 2000 .72 .67 .72 .76 .73 .80 .79 .74 .75 .76 .61 .60 13 npu112 1674 2001 .69 .70 .76 .77 .73 .79 .80 .82 .74 .57 .69 .79 .69 .67 14 npu131 1675 2001 .73 .77 .73 .78 .73 .67 .92 .85 .65 .78 .87 .81 .80 15 npu132 1751 2001 .62 .86 .85 .86 .82 .72 .78 .77 .76 .75 16 npu171 1735 2001 .84 .90 .89 .89 .94 .94 .92 .89 .90 .84 .82 17 npu172 1754 2001 .80 .85 .86 .93 .93 .91 .88 .89 .85 .84 18 npu191 1750 2001 .86 .86 .86 .93 .92 .85 .81 .82 .85 .85 19 npu192 1710 2001 .86 .85 .76 .75 .86 .91 .87 .81 .81 .85 .86 .86 20 npu122 1717 2001 .64 .71 .61 .57 .76 .90 .83 .70 .75 .80 .84 .83 21 npu141 1693 2001 .83 .85 .82 .87 .86 .87 .90 .86 .83 .85 .89 .90 .89 22 npu142 1668 2001 .79 .78 .78 .81 .88 .89 .90 .94 .93 .86 .86 .92 .94 .94 23 npu161 1697 2000 .84 .85 .81 .76 .71 .74 .91 .74 .60 .69 .68 .72 .71 24 npu162 1703 2001 .83 .79 .76 .71 .72 .90 .84 .70 .72 .75 .80 .79 25 npu201 1486 2001 .83 .70 .79 .80 .71 .85 .90 .90 .94 .89 .74 .68 .79 .79 .76 26 npu202 1489 2001 .90 .89 .87 .69 .64 .88 .89 .91 .94 .89 .75 .69 .75 .73 .71 27 npu072 1648 2001 .89 .89 .89 .87 .77 .83 .93 .93 .94 .91 .86 .86 .91 .88 .87 28 npu071 1623 2001 .87 .91 .89 .84 .70 .78 .91 .92 .95 .94 .86 .82 .87 .82 .82 29 npu432 1745 2005 .71 .74 .80 .83 .90 .80 .72 .84 .86 .83 .89 30 npu481 1742 2005 .81 .81 .81 .83 .93 .89 .82 .82 .85 .86 .84 31 npu471 1730 2005 .85 .85 .88 .92 .95 .94 .89 .87 .89 .90 .86 32 npu451 1698 2005 .55 .55 .63 .66 .58 .63 .82 .78 .75 .80 .82 .75 .81 33 npu441 1674 2005 .58 .59 .69 .78 .70 .77 .82 .80 .75 .80 .63 .65 .82 .80 34 npu442 1665 1831 .59 .60 .73 .76 .76 .82 .82 35 npu421 1524 2005 .88 .86 .82 .87 .90 .82 .83 .90 .91 .85 .83 .84 .82 .80 .87 36 npu401 1483 2005 .88 .90 .90 .73 .67 .82 .79 .83 .91 .88 .76 .67 .67 .64 .71 37 np2032 1794 2005 .55 .70 .91 .83 .58 .62 .78 .82 .82 38 np2041 1770 2005 .50 .62 .89 .92 .86 .71 .75 .79 .79 .84 39 np2042 1783 2005 .85 .90 .93 .84 .68 .70 .78 .82 .87 40 npp011 1764 2005 .82 .87 .86 .92 .89 .69 .70 .77 .73 .65 41 npp012 1684 2005 .51 .65 .63 .80 .79 .81 .89 .88 .73 .71 .81 .70 .66 42 npp051 1712 1960 .62 .59 .69 .85 .81 .72 .59 .44 .43 .58 43 npp052 1714 2005 .58 .52 .57 .76 .71 .75 .63 .47 .65 .79 .66 .43 44 npp021 1703 2005 .79 .65 .64 .76 .81 .82 .68 .56 .75 .86 .79 .81 45 npp022 1690 2005 .69 .74 .67 .75 .85 .79 .71 .69 .65 .69 .69 .60 .55 76 n2x071 1406 1700 .72 .85 .84 77 n2x072 1492 1711 .74 .85 .86 Av segment correlation .83 .79 .77 .76 .74 .77 .80 .83 .88 .83 .75 .76 .81 .80 .79 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: Northj Park Update 2 15:09 Fri 26 Jul 2019 Page 16 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 1 npx301 635 990 356 14 0 .872 .43 1.34 .254 .551 .449 2.64 .419 -.004 1 2 npx302 635 1037 403 16 0 .860 .39 1.12 .205 .444 .484 2.72 .463 .026 1 3 npu121 1703 2001 299 12 0 .723 .95 2.85 .553 .704 .350 2.72 .416 -.012 2 4 npu011 1691 2001 311 13 0 .784 .67 2.28 .287 .602 .292 2.71 .457 -.028 1 5 npu012 1672 2001 330 14 0 .755 .72 3.23 .507 .874 .289 2.54 .349 -.046 1 6 npu041 1553 2001 449 18 0 .792 .58 2.31 .398 .709 .445 2.58 .328 -.001 2 7 npu042 1516 2001 486 20 0 .846 .47 1.63 .287 .601 .480 2.62 .325 -.006 2 8 npu062 1712 2001 290 12 0 .817 .90 2.43 .394 .624 .293 2.61 .425 .009 1 9 npu063 1727 2001 275 11 0 .821 .93 2.61 .411 .613 .294 2.75 .387 .023 1 10 npu081 1544 2001 458 19 0 .821 .65 1.73 .274 .456 .360 2.65 .396 .020 1 11 npu102 1690 2000 311 13 0 .889 .68 2.35 .370 .483 .447 2.67 .400 -.021 1 12 npu111 1701 2000 300 12 0 .721 .46 1.07 .191 .604 .310 2.81 .332 -.021 1 13 npu112 1674 2001 328 14 0 .734 .45 2.05 .306 .821 .350 2.74 .357 -.016 1 14 npu131 1675 2001 327 13 0 .775 .32 1.12 .142 .449 .362 2.68 .340 .010 1 15 npu132 1751 2001 251 10 0 .760 .29 .63 .107 .197 .407 2.53 .355 .015 1 16 npu171 1735 2001 267 11 0 .880 .61 1.84 .344 .624 .436 2.59 .380 -.003 1 17 npu172 1754 2001 248 10 0 .861 .69 2.01 .390 .604 .418 2.71 .371 .001 1 18 npu191 1750 2001 252 10 0 .864 .61 2.00 .357 .695 .343 2.75 .464 -.031 1 19 npu192 1710 2001 292 12 0 .831 .61 2.13 .338 .655 .347 2.76 .472 -.029 1 20 npu122 1717 2001 285 12 0 .735 1.19 4.01 .676 .694 .374 2.67 .454 .007 2 21 npu141 1693 2001 309 13 0 .855 .66 2.29 .359 .317 .536 2.60 .361 -.020 2 22 npu142 1668 2001 334 14 0 .871 .75 2.75 .502 .503 .542 2.81 .448 -.008 1 23 npu161 1697 2000 304 13 0 .744 .63 2.20 .467 .779 .397 2.69 .397 -.009 1 24 npu162 1703 2001 299 12 0 .774 1.01 2.91 .609 .699 .420 2.69 .411 .001 2 25 npu201 1486 2001 516 21 0 .790 .58 1.96 .352 .729 .394 2.69 .409 -.001 2 26 npu202 1489 2001 513 21 0 .809 .62 2.34 .376 .688 .409 2.77 .455 -.027 2 27 npu072 1648 2001 354 15 0 .876 .67 1.88 .334 .416 .439 2.88 .489 -.009 1 28 npu071 1623 2001 379 16 0 .858 .72 1.93 .350 .454 .447 2.80 .486 -.009 1 29 npu432 1745 2005 261 11 0 .815 1.00 5.39 .792 .616 .547 2.67 .400 -.020 1 30 npu481 1742 2005 264 11 0 .833 .61 2.07 .293 .498 .376 2.75 .415 -.004 1 31 npu471 1730 2005 276 11 0 .898 .59 2.09 .358 .652 .429 2.50 .363 .004 1 32 npu451 1698 2005 308 13 0 .706 .73 2.34 .438 .676 .451 2.61 .387 .017 1 33 npu441 1674 2005 332 14 0 .720 .71 2.81 .434 .822 .290 2.74 .356 -.011 1 34 npu442 1665 1831 167 7 0 .701 1.11 2.93 .549 .769 .273 2.62 .371 .006 1 35 npu421 1524 2005 482 20 0 .847 .49 1.69 .268 .499 .462 2.64 .409 -.009 2 36 npu401 1483 2005 523 21 0 .784 .62 2.49 .375 .629 .413 2.66 .316 -.027 2 37 np2032 1794 2005 212 9 0 .740 .95 3.01 .568 .645 .416 2.75 .474 .023 1 38 np2041 1770 2005 236 10 0 .760 1.03 4.53 .809 .813 .387 2.68 .487 -.002 1 39 np2042 1783 2005 223 9 0 .834 .92 4.36 .854 .868 .387 2.64 .411 -.017 1 40 npp011 1764 2005 242 10 0 .789 .34 1.29 .181 .623 .358 2.64 .399 .005 1 41 npp012 1684 2005 322 13 0 .743 .68 1.58 .303 .501 .363 2.56 .323 .004 1 42 npp051 1712 1960 249 10 0 .666 .76 2.51 .451 .663 .368 2.69 .465 -.013 1 43 npp052 1714 2005 292 12 0 .632 .60 3.50 .467 .800 .344 2.66 .351 .015 2 44 npp021 1703 2005 303 12 0 .753 .46 2.38 .336 .755 .376 2.89 .422 .000 1 45 npp022 1690 2005 316 13 0 .709 .70 2.41 .466 .692 .360 2.66 .375 -.011 1 46 npx341 801 977 177 7 0 .900 .74 1.58 .336 .443 .423 2.64 .468 .018 1 47 npx342 803 991 189 7 0 .872 .76 1.74 .347 .457 .395 2.55 .477 -.007 1 48 npx351 818 978 161 7 0 .853 .94 2.84 .518 .624 .406 2.53 .370 -.016 1 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: Northj Park Update 2 15:09 Fri 26 Jul 2019 Page 17 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 49 npx352 818 971 154 6 0 .849 .87 2.01 .362 .318 .404 2.64 .446 -.010 1 50 npx511 831 961 131 5 0 .837 .70 2.32 .409 .701 .386 2.52 .375 -.018 1 51 npx512 831 946 116 4 0 .783 .87 2.39 .409 .612 .341 2.66 .441 -.032 1 52 npx311 894 1009 116 5 0 .822 .81 2.32 .464 .507 .481 2.53 .417 -.008 2 53 npx321 1144 1275 132 6 0 .751 .48 1.34 .240 .306 .472 2.73 .500 -.044 1 54 npx322 1144 1346 203 8 0 .763 .31 .86 .183 .508 .484 2.70 .383 -.029 1 55 npx501 1165 1275 111 5 0 .873 .34 1.14 .269 .695 .605 2.75 .521 -.042 1 56 npx501 1310 1457 148 6 0 .754 .29 .98 .172 .359 .573 2.57 .435 .010 1 57 npx502 1165 1457 293 12 0 .806 .35 1.44 .267 .629 .606 2.58 .365 -.006 1 58 npx372 1057 1182 126 5 0 .765 .62 1.43 .260 .522 .343 2.64 .430 -.047 1 59 npx373 1058 1162 105 4 0 .750 .58 1.28 .257 .585 .366 2.64 .488 -.011 2 60 n2x051 1370 1591 222 9 0 .744 .77 1.88 .358 .646 .336 2.62 .401 -.015 1 61 n2x052 1370 1523 154 6 0 .774 1.02 2.41 .491 .660 .358 2.70 .452 -.067 1 62 n2x171 1327 1560 234 9 0 .820 .96 2.70 .494 .419 .465 2.78 .504 -.032 1 63 n2x172 1327 1533 207 8 0 .802 .82 2.07 .370 .210 .459 2.85 .546 .002 1 64 n2x131 1373 1620 248 10 0 .685 .54 2.31 .312 .556 .420 2.74 .439 .006 1 65 n2x132 1373 1604 232 10 0 .685 .38 2.29 .270 .661 .414 2.61 .329 .013 2 66 n2x141 1352 1598 247 9 0 .769 .41 2.49 .387 .847 .429 2.58 .389 .015 1 67 n2x142 1352 1553 202 8 0 .845 .45 1.47 .310 .794 .403 2.61 .474 .024 1 68 n2x181 1471 1588 118 5 0 .556 1.18 2.61 .509 .580 .346 2.56 .462 .004 2 69 n2x031 1490 1621 132 5 0 .651 .70 2.30 .449 .665 .391 2.58 .423 -.095 1 70 n2x021 1244 1387 144 6 0 .792 1.05 3.28 .554 .615 .332 2.70 .391 -.031 1 71 n2x022 1244 1366 123 5 0 .806 1.14 3.65 .529 .555 .356 2.62 .385 -.037 1 72 n2x091 1315 1598 284 11 0 .619 .27 .91 .134 .569 .341 2.84 .429 -.021 1 73 n2x092 1291 1560 270 11 0 .611 .23 .81 .115 .537 .367 2.63 .387 -.040 1 74 n2x041 1356 1593 238 9 0 .725 .54 1.83 .339 .652 .384 2.68 .441 .005 1 75 n2x061 1381 1516 136 5 0 .830 .65 2.19 .442 .687 .502 2.70 .467 -.024 1 76 n2x071 1406 1700 295 12 0 .801 .58 2.21 .335 .670 .381 2.56 .401 .005 2 77 n2x072 1492 1711 220 9 0 .802 .53 1.15 .222 .412 .417 2.56 .458 -.007 3 78 n2x011 1422 1588 167 7 0 .823 .53 1.73 .291 .527 .452 2.66 .449 -.022 1 79 n2x101 969 1085 117 5 0 .618 .85 2.03 .369 .538 .332 2.84 .472 -.020 1 80 n2x102 974 1070 97 4 0 .693 .81 1.78 .341 .477 .340 2.75 .599 -.008 1 81 n2x151 1410 1585 176 7 0 .676 .42 1.35 .272 .648 .477 2.61 .455 -.035 4 82 n2x161 1403 1563 161 6 0 .706 .81 1.49 .247 .358 .267 2.74 .469 -.024 1 --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- Total or mean: 21120 860 0 .785 .65 5.39 .369 .601 .404 2.89 .411 -.009