Piceance Update, Colorado - CO673 Additional Site Information Connie Woodhouse Mark Losleben Kurt Chowanski COFECHA output: Chronology file name : CO673.CRN Measurement file name : CO673.RWL Date checked : 26JUL19 Checked by : B. Bauer Beginning year : 947 Ending year : 2004 Principal investigators: Connie A. Woodhouse Mark Losleben Kurt Chowanski Site name : Piceance Update Site location : Colorado Species information : PIED PINYON Latitude : 4003 Longitude : -10818 Elevation : 1900M Series intercorrelation: 0.730 Avg mean sensitivity : 0.244 Avg standard deviation : 0.232 Avg autocorrelation : 0.745 Number dated series : 66 Segment length tested : 50 Number problem segments: 3 Pct problem segments : 0.36 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: Piceance Update 15:11 Fri 26 Jul 2019 Page 5 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 950 975 1000 1025 1050 1075 1100 1125 1150 1175 1200 1225 1250 1275 1300 1325 1350 1375 1400 1425 999 1024 1049 1074 1099 1124 1149 1174 1199 1224 1249 1274 1299 1324 1349 1374 1399 1424 1449 1474 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 pix011 1317 1591 .69 .69 .77 .79 .76 .87 2 pix012 1300 1574 .69 .76 .82 .80 .82 .86 3 pic202 1126 2001 .33 .38 .46 .55 .70 .62 .63 .73 .81 .83 .71 .53 .74 5 pic191 1206 2001 .60 .76 .75 .77 .78 .76 .82 .81 .75 .82 6 pic171 1231 2001 .72 .71 .79 .86 .74 .70 .83 .85 .86 7 pic172 1304 1870 .86 .80 .84 .84 .85 .84 8 pic192 1206 1870 .67 .78 .79 .79 .78 .71 .76 .80 .83 .76 9 pic092 1422 2000 .51 .43 38 pix181 956 1185 .72 .72 .66 .78 .79 .55 .64 .54 .50 39 pix182 947 1198 .72 .76 .67 .65 .61 .52 .52 .80 .81 40 pix081 1011 1130 .65 .75 .70 .48 .41 41 pix082 1011 1077 .77 .61 .61 42 pix131 1112 1257 .58 .66 .71 .67 .45 .44 43 pix132 1154 1255 .77 .56 .52 .65 44 pix191 1044 1232 .84 .87 .55 .35B .68 .77 .68 .64 45 pix192 1045 1183 .78 .78 .67 .55 .66 .76 46 pix193 1148 1238 .72 .71 .54 .59 47 pix161 1077 1221 .55 .42 .76 .83 .82 48 pix162 1071 1172 .45 .48 .62 .60 49 pix101 1357 1587 .50 .54 .62 .72 50 pix102 1385 1650 .42 .45 .79 51 pix091 1441 1621 .80 52 pix021 1385 1644 .74 .68 .77 53 pix022 1385 1640 .72 .68 .73 54 pix041 1447 1598 .71 Av segment correlation .72 .74 .69 .74 .69 .54 .51 .64 .69 .62 .57 .67 .72 .74 .77 .75 .76 .73 .69 .76 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: Piceance Update 15:11 Fri 26 Jul 2019 Page 6 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1450 1475 1500 1525 1550 1575 1600 1625 1650 1675 1700 1725 1750 1775 1800 1825 1850 1875 1900 1925 1499 1524 1549 1574 1599 1624 1649 1674 1699 1724 1749 1774 1799 1824 1849 1874 1899 1924 1949 1974 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 pix011 1317 1591 .89 .84 .77 .71 .69 2 pix012 1300 1574 .76 .72 .72 .70 3 pic202 1126 2001 .91 .73 .69 .81 .80 .74 .68 .64 .68 .74 .71 .52 .57 .60 .62 .71 .54 .46 .67 .71 4 pic201 1561 2001 .53 .53 .53 .70 .75 .80 .61 .45 .50 .45 .49 .60 .68 .56 .61 .74 5 pic191 1206 2001 .83 .79 .79 .81 .85 .84 .84 .85 .79 .81 .86 .85 .88 .90 .88 .83 .74 .79 .81 .83 6 pic171 1231 2001 .90 .86 .84 .87 .91 .91 .50 .46 .70 .80 .84 .83 .89 .88 .56 .61 .77 .71 .77 .87 7 pic172 1304 1870 .82 .90 .93 .89 .89 .92 .76 .69 .79 .81 .82 .87 .79 .76 .77 .74 8 pic192 1206 1870 .77 .86 .86 .89 .85 .82 .85 .84 .85 .87 .89 .88 .89 .91 .92 .89 9 pic092 1422 2000 .55 .82 .81 .78 .83 .69 .68 .57 .52 .75 .74 .73 .72 .72 .83 .84 .86 .78 .73 .79 10 pic091 1570 2001 .53 .54 .47 .52 .55 .57 .64 .73 .58 .54 .67 .70 .69 .54 .55 .79 11 pic051 1654 2001 .80 .79 .70 .71 .79 .77 .79 .77 .76 .66 .57 .71 12 pic052 1663 2001 .74 .81 .77 .73 .78 .76 .76 .81 .84 .73 .65 .71 13 pic081 1664 2001 .74 .76 .70 .75 .85 .83 .76 .72 .70 .76 .76 .80 14 pic082 1694 2001 .69 .68 .60 .84 .87 .74 .78 .84 .85 .87 .89 15 pic031 1648 2001 .50 .50 .63 .78 .80 .82 .80 .82 .76 .68 .73 .73 .72 16 pic011 1750 2001 .81 .75 .75 .79 .75 .81 .77 .79 17 pic012 1713 2001 .72 .75 .79 .80 .75 .72 .73 .78 .73 .77 18 pic041 1720 2001 .63 .59 .46 .51 .66 .70 .74 .69 .65 .58 19 pic181 1500 2001 .87 .82 .81 .79 .70 .68 .80 .83 .71 .70 .74 .64 .55 .61 .77 .75 .73 .72 20 pic021 1717 2001 .72 .70 .59 .61 .71 .70 .80 .71 .59 .67 21 pic022 1710 2001 .59 .64 .52 .65 .82 .68 .60 .65 .73 .71 22 pic061 1684 2001 .47 .61 .69 .67 .72 .78 .81 .81 .68 .47 .66 23 pic062 1683 2001 .48 .53 .64 .67 .74 .84 .84 .85 .75 .54 .53 24 pic071 1726 2001 .67 .83 .90 .83 .73 .68 .66 .66 .48 25 pic072 1710 2001 .47 .53 .84 .88 .83 .75 .78 .80 .77 .77 26 pic382 1780 1998 .86 .79 .69 .81 .87 .78 .82 27 pic382 1747 1998 .73 .84 .90 .85 .84 .83 .81 .83 .88 28 pic101 1679 2001 .78 .80 .82 .80 .76 .76 .82 .75 .60 .55 .76 29 pic102 1679 1989 .72 .64 .66 .81 .83 .84 .75 .75 .51 .46 .76 30 pic121 1720 2001 .83 .82 .69 .71 .83 .83 .83 .82 .82 .78 31 pic122 1734 2001 .81 .82 .75 .74 .83 .84 .81 .74 .80 32 pic131 1667 1992 .89 .89 .93 .91 .86 .85 .89 .85 .85 .80 .81 .82 33 pic132 1678 2000 .85 .89 .88 .82 .60 .56 .83 .87 .88 .76 .73 34 pic141 1740 2001 .77 .84 .85 .85 .81 .79 .78 .74 .77 35 pic142 1770 2001 .69 .76 .85 .78 .76 .68 .45 .56 36 pic161 1620 1870 .75 .76 .81 .77 .76 .86 .91 .90 .79 .76 37 pic162 1676 2001 .79 .84 .87 .82 .82 .86 .81 .84 .86 .87 .88 49 pix101 1357 1587 .74 .78 .77 .73 .79 50 pix102 1385 1650 .79 .74 .75 .63 .65 .73 .69 .69 51 pix091 1441 1621 .80 .75 .73 .71 .76 .68 52 pix021 1385 1644 .83 .76 .75 .77 .63 .48 .66 53 pix022 1385 1640 .74 .77 .74 .65 .57 .55 .75 54 pix041 1447 1598 .71 .81 .70 .63 .81 55 pic841 1576 1990 .68 .69 .70 .74 .81 .58 .52 .78 .79 .71 .63 .64 .76 .74 .74 56 pic842 1586 2004 .58 .60 .64 .73 .70 .63 .73 .86 .87 .87 .83 .76 .71 .74 .70 57 pic851 1622 1920 .67 .69 .80 .79 .70 .69 .86 .85 .83 .82 .86 .85 58 pic832 1627 2004 .69 .75 .79 .78 .76 .86 .87 .83 .80 .74 .80 .78 .73 59 pic871 1635 2004 .62 .71 .63 .66 .72 .84 .87 .79 .82 .80 .81 .76 .79 60 pic852 1644 2004 .71 .68 .74 .69 .62 .82 .82 .77 .80 .60 .70 .74 .36 61 pic811 1676 2004 .62 .63 .64 .50 .53 .70 .74 .68 .53 .58 .79 62 pic812 1670 2004 .49 .58 .61 .60 .64 .67 .65 .65 .51 .42 .55 .67 63 pic831 1682 2004 .62 .63 .74 .87 .79 .67 .81 .85 .77 .75 .78 64 pic861 1703 2004 .40 .61 .72 .74 .78 .81 .80 .74 .69 .79 65 pic801 1768 2004 .81 .84 .79 .62 .62 .65 .75 .80 66 pic802 1717 2004 .55 .47 .57 .69 .66 .66 .75 .62 .60 .59 Av segment correlation .79 .79 .78 .76 .74 .70 .68 .66 .72 .73 .70 .71 .76 .76 .76 .76 .75 .72 .69 .73 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: Piceance Update 15:11 Fri 26 Jul 2019 Page 7 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1950 1975 1999 2024 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 3 pic202 1126 2001 .52 .49 4 pic201 1561 2001 .70 .69 5 pic191 1206 2001 .88 .87 6 pic171 1231 2001 .88 .87 9 pic092 1422 2000 .76 .75 10 pic091 1570 2001 .84 .85 11 pic051 1654 2001 .74 .73 12 pic052 1663 2001 .84 .83 13 pic081 1664 2001 .86 .85 14 pic082 1694 2001 .88 .89 15 pic031 1648 2001 .87 .87 16 pic011 1750 2001 .82 .82 17 pic012 1713 2001 .84 .83 18 pic041 1720 2001 .63 .59 19 pic181 1500 2001 .76 .77 20 pic021 1717 2001 .72 .67 21 pic022 1710 2001 .81 .80 22 pic061 1684 2001 .62 .64 23 pic062 1683 2001 .61 .61 24 pic071 1726 2001 .55 .56 25 pic072 1710 2001 .77 .78 26 pic382 1780 1998 .84 27 pic382 1747 1998 .89 28 pic101 1679 2001 .77 .76 29 pic102 1679 1989 .80 30 pic121 1720 2001 .77 .76 31 pic122 1734 2001 .81 .82 32 pic131 1667 1992 .85 33 pic132 1678 2000 .81 .80 34 pic141 1740 2001 .80 .80 35 pic142 1770 2001 .66 .64 37 pic162 1676 2001 .89 .87 55 pic841 1576 1990 .84 56 pic842 1586 2004 .74 .77 58 pic832 1627 2004 .80 .79 59 pic871 1635 2004 .85 .84 60 pic852 1644 2004 .29A .25B 61 pic811 1676 2004 .76 .76 62 pic812 1670 2004 .67 .66 63 pic831 1682 2004 .78 .77 64 pic861 1703 2004 .81 .80 65 pic801 1768 2004 .79 .78 66 pic802 1717 2004 .63 .66 Av segment correlation .76 .75 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: Piceance Update 15:11 Fri 26 Jul 2019 Page 14 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 1 pix011 1317 1591 275 11 0 .761 .49 1.29 .193 .799 .206 2.61 .325 .004 1 2 pix012 1300 1574 275 10 0 .753 .34 .75 .130 .714 .238 2.68 .351 -.027 1 3 pic202 1126 2001 876 35 0 .648 .35 .95 .183 .876 .231 2.57 .358 -.026 1 4 pic201 1561 2001 441 18 0 .602 .54 1.23 .189 .675 .234 2.55 .334 -.012 1 5 pic191 1206 2001 796 32 0 .808 .35 .93 .150 .629 .320 2.69 .322 -.016 3 6 pic171 1231 2001 771 31 0 .790 .35 .89 .152 .539 .365 2.55 .316 -.014 1 7 pic172 1304 1870 567 22 0 .793 .37 .91 .155 .547 .355 2.53 .275 -.008 1 8 pic192 1206 1870 665 26 0 .819 .35 1.00 .151 .601 .321 2.52 .281 .000 1 9 pic092 1422 2000 579 24 0 .715 .41 1.03 .170 .736 .241 2.52 .347 -.004 3 10 pic091 1570 2001 432 18 0 .629 .47 1.92 .162 .642 .207 2.67 .327 -.011 3 11 pic051 1654 2001 348 14 0 .723 .58 1.78 .278 .812 .224 2.42 .256 -.049 1 12 pic052 1663 2001 339 14 0 .755 .57 1.28 .257 .799 .260 2.54 .283 .000 1 13 pic081 1664 2001 338 14 0 .786 .50 1.29 .202 .754 .228 2.53 .279 -.003 1 14 pic082 1694 2001 308 13 0 .813 .52 1.40 .185 .749 .206 2.54 .320 -.023 1 15 pic031 1648 2001 354 15 0 .747 .59 2.44 .333 .870 .238 2.50 .316 -.019 1 16 pic011 1750 2001 252 10 0 .779 .70 1.74 .366 .851 .220 2.58 .357 .033 1 17 pic012 1713 2001 289 12 0 .790 .58 1.66 .364 .845 .294 2.64 .429 -.011 1 18 pic041 1720 2001 282 12 0 .628 .52 2.19 .342 .909 .259 2.54 .303 -.018 1 19 pic181 1500 2001 502 20 0 .733 .43 1.13 .207 .857 .213 2.69 .332 -.003 1 20 pic021 1717 2001 285 12 0 .672 .63 1.57 .272 .879 .158 2.65 .352 .035 1 21 pic022 1710 2001 292 12 0 .684 .67 1.85 .342 .890 .182 2.65 .426 .010 1 22 pic061 1684 2001 318 13 0 .644 .68 1.29 .228 .768 .184 2.60 .375 .040 1 23 pic062 1683 2001 319 13 0 .660 .72 1.31 .177 .597 .169 2.49 .292 .021 1 24 pic071 1726 2001 276 11 0 .708 .49 1.21 .228 .886 .172 2.35 .274 -.025 1 25 pic072 1710 2001 292 12 0 .753 .57 1.90 .383 .943 .196 2.46 .287 -.016 1 26 pic382 1780 1998 219 8 0 .817 .77 1.80 .343 .842 .218 2.55 .407 -.056 1 27 pic382 1747 1998 252 10 0 .829 .71 1.88 .358 .844 .258 2.57 .334 -.051 1 28 pic101 1679 2001 323 13 0 .734 .66 1.88 .293 .705 .269 2.62 .377 -.006 1 29 pic102 1679 1989 311 12 0 .733 .60 1.79 .327 .843 .268 2.44 .360 -.040 1 30 pic121 1720 2001 282 12 0 .784 .80 1.92 .329 .764 .217 2.66 .370 .012 1 31 pic122 1734 2001 268 11 0 .796 .79 1.93 .338 .828 .205 2.56 .366 -.016 1 32 pic131 1667 1992 326 13 0 .855 .44 .98 .145 .588 .258 2.58 .410 -.008 1 33 pic132 1678 2000 323 13 0 .782 .34 .71 .127 .577 .304 2.56 .367 -.014 2 34 pic141 1740 2001 262 11 0 .810 .88 2.16 .383 .831 .193 2.47 .322 .001 1 35 pic142 1770 2001 232 10 0 .678 .78 1.75 .326 .830 .175 2.50 .285 .001 1 36 pic161 1620 1870 251 10 0 .804 .53 1.65 .303 .864 .238 2.60 .348 .001 1 37 pic162 1676 2001 326 13 0 .846 .45 .92 .172 .678 .253 2.38 .227 -.007 1 38 pix181 956 1185 230 9 0 .639 .41 .93 .186 .751 .265 2.49 .312 .011 1 39 pix182 947 1198 252 9 0 .655 .28 .68 .110 .649 .254 2.55 .348 -.014 1 40 pix081 1011 1130 120 5 0 .640 .71 1.50 .239 .731 .201 2.58 .444 .010 1 41 pix082 1011 1077 67 3 0 .619 .64 1.47 .277 .590 .295 2.75 .503 .074 1 42 pix131 1112 1257 146 6 0 .587 .70 1.39 .309 .847 .207 2.55 .454 -.028 1 43 pix132 1154 1255 102 4 0 .682 .39 .87 .174 .746 .269 2.66 .450 -.007 1 44 pix191 1044 1232 189 8 1 .697 .86 1.54 .250 .673 .213 2.59 .315 .006 1 45 pix192 1045 1183 139 6 0 .716 1.05 2.48 .539 .899 .211 2.41 .356 -.023 1 46 pix193 1148 1238 91 4 0 .708 .54 .96 .179 .336 .345 2.40 .339 -.045 1 47 pix161 1077 1221 145 5 0 .686 .30 .55 .093 .530 .235 2.54 .309 .002 1 48 pix162 1071 1172 102 4 0 .527 .33 .77 .131 .745 .239 2.83 .548 .045 1 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: Piceance Update 15:11 Fri 26 Jul 2019 Page 15 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 49 pix101 1357 1587 231 9 0 .683 .85 1.79 .331 .789 .204 2.40 .279 -.024 1 50 pix102 1385 1650 266 11 0 .652 .68 1.67 .341 .841 .223 2.63 .332 -.020 1 51 pix091 1441 1621 181 7 0 .740 .85 2.11 .336 .607 .271 2.65 .444 -.007 3 52 pix021 1385 1644 260 10 0 .707 .41 .96 .146 .722 .212 2.60 .406 .005 1 53 pix022 1385 1640 256 10 0 .686 .38 .84 .134 .701 .219 2.66 .375 -.004 1 54 pix041 1447 1598 152 6 0 .737 .89 1.65 .240 .481 .224 2.62 .448 -.002 2 55 pic841 1576 1990 415 16 0 .726 .42 1.16 .231 .895 .208 2.43 .255 -.004 1 56 pic842 1586 2004 419 17 0 .756 .48 1.59 .271 .878 .230 2.55 .306 -.025 1 57 pic851 1622 1920 299 12 0 .795 .54 2.78 .487 .871 .297 2.59 .369 -.037 2 58 pic832 1627 2004 378 15 0 .783 .45 1.29 .193 .749 .251 2.46 .277 -.028 1 59 pic871 1635 2004 370 15 0 .779 .55 1.09 .179 .693 .201 2.48 .306 -.009 1 60 pic852 1644 2004 361 15 2 .698 .41 2.88 .411 .862 .363 2.46 .251 -.027 2 61 pic811 1676 2004 329 13 0 .630 .43 .81 .118 .504 .207 2.61 .362 -.027 1 62 pic812 1670 2004 335 14 0 .569 .41 .93 .157 .790 .193 2.33 .213 -.040 1 63 pic831 1682 2004 323 13 0 .746 .54 1.42 .211 .706 .245 2.54 .351 -.042 1 64 pic861 1703 2004 302 12 0 .705 .73 1.38 .225 .786 .164 2.52 .306 -.001 1 65 pic801 1768 2004 237 10 0 .745 .54 1.71 .240 .783 .230 2.67 .389 -.056 1 66 pic802 1717 2004 288 12 0 .627 .40 1.02 .155 .733 .243 2.56 .347 -.025 1 --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- Total or mean: 20831 840 3 .730 .52 2.88 .232 .745 .244 2.83 .331 -.012