Turkey Creek Update, Colorado - CO675 Additional Site Information Connie Woodhouse Mark Losleben Kurt Chowanski Jeff Lukas COFECHA output: Chronology file name : CO675.CRN Measurement file name : CO675.RWL Date checked : 26JUL19 Checked by : B. Bauer Beginning year : 1634 Ending year : 2003 Principal investigators: Connie Woodhouse Mark Losleben Kurt Chowanski Jeff Lukas Site name : Turkey Creek Update Site location : Colorado Species information : PIPO PONDEROSA PINE Latitude : 3836 Longitude : -10451 Elevation : 1950M Series intercorrelation: 0.850 Avg mean sensitivity : 0.625 Avg standard deviation : 0.517 Avg autocorrelation : 0.626 Number dated series : 46 Segment length tested : 50 Number problem segments: 0 Pct problem segments : 0.00 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: Turkey creek Update 15:12 Fri 26 Jul 2019 Page 5 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1625 1650 1675 1700 1725 1750 1775 1800 1825 1850 1875 1900 1925 1950 1975 1674 1699 1724 1749 1774 1799 1824 1849 1874 1899 1924 1949 1974 1999 2024 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 tcu011 1890 2003 .74 .80 .87 .94 .94 2 tcu012 1900 2003 .91 .88 .89 .88 3 tcu021 1860 2003 .89 .89 .87 .86 .89 .90 4 tcu022 1862 2003 .86 .86 .85 .83 .91 .91 5 tcu031 1841 1973 .86 .84 .80 .84 .87 6 tcu032 1839 1953 .83 .85 .83 .87 .88 7 tcu041 1856 2003 .80 .83 .86 .89 .93 .91 8 tcu042 1860 2003 .91 .92 .89 .77 .81 .81 9 tcu111 1832 2002 .88 .87 .86 .81 .78 .87 .87 10 tcu112 1830 2003 .89 .91 .90 .85 .83 .80 .81 11 tcu131 1718 2003 .64 .70 .82 .83 .85 .88 .82 .75 .76 .75 .73 .77 12 tcu211 1810 2003 .75 .76 .83 .86 .86 .80 .74 .75 13 tcu212 1827 2002 .80 .80 .83 .84 .82 .76 .76 14 tcu231 1850 2003 .90 .86 .78 .87 .90 .89 15 tcu232 1797 2003 .82 .85 .90 .83 .78 .84 .86 .87 .86 16 tcu221 1855 2003 .90 .91 .88 .92 .92 .92 17 tcu222 1855 2003 .78 .88 .87 .89 .88 .88 18 tcu122 1640 2002 .83 .86 .81 .73 .70 .79 .86 .87 .88 .92 .91 .81 .85 .88 .88 19 tcu121 1634 2003 .87 .88 .83 .75 .67 .80 .88 .90 .90 .91 .90 .90 .87 .85 .85 20 TCP011 1736 1987 .63 .75 .85 .87 .88 .87 .84 .81 .79 .82 21 TCP012 1715 1930 .70 .75 .73 .86 .89 .87 .83 .78 .74 22 TCP021 1809 1945 .76 .78 .93 .94 .86 23 TCP022 1804 1987 .90 .89 .80 .71 .73 .88 .91 24 TCP031 1793 1890 .91 .92 .91 .90 25 TCP032 1793 1900 .92 .93 .92 .81 .81 26 TCP041 1787 1987 .78 .84 .86 .74 .75 .91 .79 .80 27 TCP042 1787 1987 .87 .89 .89 .80 .74 .82 .86 .87 28 TCP051 1801 1987 .85 .85 .84 .82 .82 .85 .85 29 TCP052 1801 1987 .86 .87 .85 .85 .86 .85 .86 30 TCP061 1790 1987 .71 .83 .79 .90 .86 .69 .76 .90 31 TCP062 1783 1987 .78 .89 .83 .82 .81 .86 .88 .89 32 TCP071 1720 1987 .74 .56 .50 .81 .92 .86 .80 .84 .90 .89 .88 33 TCP072 1720 1987 .69 .67 .67 .80 .94 .92 .84 .83 .87 .89 .88 34 TCP081 1816 1987 .74 .70 .83 .89 .93 .91 .90 35 TCP082 1816 1987 .70 .70 .81 .84 .89 .89 .94 36 TCP091 1764 1960 .67 .73 .91 .90 .81 .77 .77 .62 37 TCP092 1765 1987 .80 .87 .93 .95 .87 .85 .85 .69 .71 38 TCP101 1678 1960 .68 .77 .90 .92 .91 .94 .91 .80 .76 .76 .75 39 TCP102 1678 1971 .70 .77 .88 .86 .86 .92 .91 .88 .87 .88 .87 40 TCP111 1713 1930 .84 .86 .87 .90 .92 .87 .84 .80 .82 41 TCP112 1713 1930 .76 .71 .75 .86 .88 .88 .81 .81 .83 42 TCP121 1641 1987 .90 .88 .86 .78 .67 .80 .90 .89 .88 .87 .85 .68 .70 .90 43 TCP131 1708 1987 .75 .77 .86 .88 .90 .86 .86 .82 .72 .70 .79 44 TCP132 1740 1987 .76 .81 .87 .91 .86 .78 .75 .74 .73 .73 45 TCP141 1794 1988 .87 .91 .95 .81 .76 .84 .86 .77 46 TCP142 1794 1987 .90 .93 .93 .93 .90 .87 .83 .81 Av segment correlation .87 .87 .78 .74 .73 .78 .85 .87 .87 .85 .83 .83 .83 .85 .86 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: Turkey creek Update 15:12 Fri 26 Jul 2019 Page 9 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 1 tcu011 1890 2003 114 5 0 .857 .70 2.64 .443 .488 .600 2.72 .410 -.010 1 2 tcu012 1900 2003 104 4 0 .877 .93 3.27 .662 .641 .606 2.65 .475 -.009 2 3 tcu021 1860 2003 144 6 0 .876 1.03 3.65 .659 .464 .588 2.59 .397 -.026 1 4 tcu022 1862 2003 142 6 0 .857 1.17 3.15 .680 .517 .562 2.53 .385 -.057 1 5 tcu031 1841 1973 133 5 0 .845 .54 4.19 .491 .433 .720 2.69 .428 -.032 1 6 tcu032 1839 1953 115 5 0 .890 .66 3.43 .507 .561 .655 2.48 .394 -.042 1 7 tcu041 1856 2003 148 6 0 .834 .87 2.82 .662 .834 .466 2.70 .455 -.051 1 8 tcu042 1860 2003 144 6 0 .852 .81 2.30 .476 .734 .405 2.53 .397 .007 1 9 tcu111 1832 2002 171 7 0 .855 .45 2.13 .305 .349 .671 2.65 .410 -.030 2 10 tcu112 1830 2003 174 7 0 .851 .41 1.90 .250 .319 .654 2.61 .377 -.023 1 11 tcu131 1718 2003 286 12 0 .827 .34 1.51 .222 .527 .592 2.59 .369 -.024 1 12 tcu211 1810 2003 194 8 0 .807 .70 3.82 .686 .797 .652 2.61 .451 .004 2 13 tcu212 1827 2002 176 7 0 .801 .70 3.10 .611 .743 .652 2.63 .465 .020 1 14 tcu231 1850 2003 154 6 0 .869 .55 1.81 .370 .328 .701 2.50 .449 -.025 1 15 tcu232 1797 2003 207 9 0 .860 .65 2.50 .513 .619 .704 2.58 .345 -.022 1 16 tcu221 1855 2003 149 6 0 .892 .59 1.91 .366 .482 .594 2.59 .331 .005 1 17 tcu222 1855 2003 149 6 0 .863 .59 1.63 .337 .402 .588 2.71 .429 -.006 1 18 tcu122 1640 2002 363 15 0 .852 .35 1.15 .214 .508 .615 2.55 .375 -.014 1 19 tcu121 1634 2003 370 15 0 .867 .36 1.00 .211 .458 .648 2.42 .270 -.004 1 20 TCP011 1736 1987 252 10 0 .772 .43 2.64 .330 .615 .540 2.44 .305 -.048 1 21 TCP012 1715 1930 216 9 0 .816 .42 1.49 .287 .571 .567 2.68 .451 .006 1 22 TCP021 1809 1945 137 5 0 .845 .95 5.70 .792 .764 .463 2.67 .412 -.024 1 23 TCP022 1804 1987 184 7 0 .836 1.04 3.88 .755 .682 .521 2.48 .339 .005 1 24 TCP031 1793 1890 98 4 0 .864 1.13 4.86 1.091 .786 .703 2.64 .521 -.003 1 25 TCP032 1793 1900 108 5 0 .866 1.18 4.85 1.079 .765 .708 2.60 .486 -.042 1 26 TCP041 1787 1987 201 8 0 .846 .66 3.43 .591 .736 .710 2.59 .522 -.038 1 27 TCP042 1787 1987 201 8 0 .876 .82 4.91 .855 .771 .698 2.64 .471 -.037 1 28 TCP051 1801 1987 187 7 0 .886 .75 3.84 .783 .843 .674 2.50 .329 .007 1 29 TCP052 1801 1987 187 7 0 .878 .41 2.52 .437 .768 .856 2.54 .375 -.020 1 30 TCP061 1790 1987 198 8 0 .840 .77 5.18 .845 .725 .855 2.61 .381 -.003 1 31 TCP062 1783 1987 205 8 0 .869 .81 4.16 .792 .669 .856 2.62 .382 -.026 1 32 TCP071 1720 1987 268 11 0 .827 .75 3.21 .654 .653 .673 2.58 .376 .006 1 33 TCP072 1720 1987 268 11 0 .860 .60 2.49 .491 .603 .686 2.66 .465 -.039 1 34 TCP081 1816 1987 172 7 0 .871 1.27 4.57 .860 .722 .475 2.73 .359 -.028 1 35 TCP082 1816 1987 172 7 0 .863 1.00 5.89 .953 .831 .507 2.60 .373 -.061 1 36 TCP091 1764 1960 197 8 0 .794 .73 3.18 .680 .892 .495 2.44 .355 -.044 1 37 TCP092 1765 1987 223 9 0 .865 .65 2.89 .580 .817 .548 2.43 .279 -.017 1 38 TCP101 1678 1960 283 11 0 .844 .66 2.14 .386 .556 .536 2.48 .324 -.001 1 39 TCP102 1678 1971 294 11 0 .868 .51 2.13 .360 .597 .636 2.48 .337 -.030 1 40 TCP111 1713 1930 218 9 0 .881 .47 1.90 .325 .687 .555 2.51 .354 -.025 1 41 TCP112 1713 1930 218 9 0 .849 .56 2.27 .408 .705 .535 2.45 .354 -.018 1 42 TCP121 1641 1987 347 14 0 .845 .37 1.43 .218 .488 .584 2.53 .294 -.007 1 43 TCP131 1708 1987 280 11 0 .832 .50 1.94 .360 .575 .636 2.57 .375 -.051 1 44 TCP132 1740 1987 248 10 0 .830 .59 2.55 .440 .687 .604 2.49 .327 -.020 1 45 TCP141 1794 1988 195 8 0 .844 .92 4.09 .979 .749 .743 2.69 .476 .010 1 46 TCP142 1794 1987 194 8 0 .889 .75 3.11 .659 .653 .686 2.44 .353 -.024 1 --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- Total or mean: 9188 371 0 .850 .65 5.89 .517 .626 .625 2.73 .380 -.019