[] Dendrochronology Program Library Run ALAK3 Program COF 12:54 Tue 13 Jan 2004 Page 1 [] [] P R O G R A M C O F E C H A Version 6.06P 25216 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ QUALITY CONTROL AND DATING CHECK OF TREE-RING MEASUREMENTS File of DATED series: alakcof.tu_ CONTENTS: Part 1: Title page, options selected, summary, absent rings by series Part 2: Histogram of time spans Part 3: Master series with sample depth and absent rings by year Part 4: Bar plot of Master Dating Series Part 5: Correlation by segment of each series with Master Part 6: Potential problems: low correlation, divergent year-to-year changes, absent rings, outliers Part 7: Descriptive statistics RUN CONTROL OPTIONS SELECTED VALUE 1 Cubic smoothing spline 50% wavelength cutoff for filtering 32 years 2 Segments examined are 50 years lagged successively by 25 years 3 Autoregressive model applied A Residuals are used in master dating series and testing 4 Series transformed to logarithms Y Each series log-transformed for master dating series and testing 5 CORRELATION is Pearson (parametric, quantitative) Critical correlation, 99% confidence level .3281 6 Master dating series saved C 7 Ring measurements listed N 8 Parts printed 1234567 9 Absent rings are omitted from master series and segment correlations (Y) Time span of Master dating series is 1144 to 1705 562 years Continuous time span is 1144 to 1705 562 years Portion with two or more series is 1144 to 1622 479 years **************************************** *C* Number of dated series 21 *C* *O* Master series 1144 1705 562 yrs *O* *F* Total rings in all series 3424 *F* *E* Total dated rings checked 3341 *E* *C* Series intercorrelation .538 *C* *H* Average mean sensitivity .190 *H* *A* Segments, possible problems 9 *A* *** Mean length of series 163.0 *** **************************************** ABSENT RINGS listed by SERIES: (See Master Dating Series for absent rings listed by year) No ring measurements of zero value PART 2: TIME PLOT OF TREE-RING SERIES: 12:54 Tue 13 Jan 2004 Page 2 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1050 1100 1150 1200 1250 1300 1350 1400 1450 1500 1550 1600 1650 1700 1750 1800 1850 1900 1950 2000 2050 Ident Seq Time-span Yrs : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : -------- --- ---- ---- ---- . . <=========>. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . OLC1401A 1 1144 1245 102 . . <==================> . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . OLC1401B 2 1144 1337 194 . . . <===============> . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . OLC1405A 3 1172 1335 164 . . . <==============> . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . OLC1405B 4 1173 1321 149 . . . . . . . . <============> . . . . . . . . . . OLC1409A 5 1449 1571 123 . . . . . . . . <===========> . . . . . . . . . . OLC1409B 6 1449 1567 119 . . . . . . . . . <===================> . . . . . . . OLC1410A 7 1507 1705 199 . . . . <===================> . . . . . . . . . . . . . OLC1411A 8 1233 1434 202 . . . . <=========> . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . OLC1411B 9 1233 1339 107 . . . . . . <================> . . . . . . . . . . . OLC1412A 10 1355 1528 174 . . . . <======================> . . . . . . . . . . . . OLC1413A 11 1240 1474 235 . . . . <=====================> . . . . . . . . . . . . OLC1413B 12 1240 1461 222 . . . <============> . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . OLC1414B 13 1183 1310 128 . . . <============> . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . OLC1417A 14 1192 1329 138 . . . <==========> . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . OLC1417B 15 1194 1302 109 . . . . . <==========> . . . . . . . . . . . . . . OLC1421A 16 1277 1387 111 . . . . . . <===========================> . . . . . . . . . OLC1423A 17 1345 1622 278 . . . . . . <==========================> . . . . . . . . . OLC1423B 18 1343 1616 274 . . . . . . . . <==============> . . . . . . . . . . OLC1424A 19 1433 1588 156 . . . . . <===========> . . . . . . . . . . . . . OLC1426A 20 1283 1401 119 . . . . . <===========> . . . . . . . . . . . . . OLC1426B 21 1283 1403 121 : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : 1050 1100 1150 1200 1250 1300 1350 1400 1450 1500 1550 1600 1650 1700 1750 1800 1850 1900 1950 2000 2050 PART 3: Master Dating Series: 12:54 Tue 13 Jan 2004 Page 3 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ 1150 -.439 2 1200 -.201 7 1250 .565 10 1300 .793 13 1350 -1.038 8 1151 -2.763 2 1201 .197 7 1251 .988 10 1301 .725 13 1351 -.710 8 1152 .468 2 1202 .124 7 1252 .101 10 1302 -.502 13 1352 1.657 8 1153 -.163 2 1203 .482 7 1253 .254 10 1303 1.842 12 1353 .382 8 1154 -.784 2 1204 .841 7 1254 -.324 10 1304 .304 12 1354 1.043 8 1155 1.890 2 1205 .632 7 1255 .175 10 1305 -1.124 12 1355 .676 9 1156 -.805 2 1206 .701 7 1256 .466 10 1306 .722 12 1356 .719 9 1157 -.940 2 1207 .005 7 1257 .236 10 1307 .046 12 1357 -.467 9 1158 -.276 2 1208 -.936 7 1258 .048 10 1308 .302 12 1358 .112 9 1159 -2.198 2 1209 -1.516 7 1259 .999 10 1309 -.531 12 1359 -.222 9 1160 -.470 2 1210 -1.315 7 1260 .154 10 1310 -1.446 12 1360 -2.152 9 1161 1.078 2 1211 -2.268 7 1261 -2.096 10 1311 -.493 11 1361 -.521 9 1162 .337 2 1212 -.398 7 1262 -1.335 10 1312 .725 11 1362 .254 9 1163 -.292 2 1213 -.756 7 1263 -2.461 10 1313 1.509 11 1363 1.601 9 1164 .497 2 1214 1.201 7 1264 -2.368 10 1314 -.365 11 1364 .258 9 1165 2.200 2 1215 1.758 7 1265 -.828 10 1315 -.906 11 1365 .146 9 1166 -.185 2 1216 .985 7 1266 1.098 10 1316 -1.273 11 1366 .570 9 1167 .643 2 1217 -.079 7 1267 1.371 10 1317 -.095 11 1367 .281 9 1168 -.359 2 1218 -.407 7 1268 .865 10 1318 .442 11 1368 .713 9 1169 -.369 2 1219 .229 7 1269 1.846 10 1319 1.096 11 1369 -1.092 9 1170 1.989 2 1220 .858 7 1270 -.427 10 1320 -.928 11 1370 -.745 9 1171 -.113 2 1221 1.577 7 1271 .585 10 1321 -.779 11 1371 -.209 9 1172 .267 3 1222 .832 7 1272 .386 10 1322 -.058 10 1372 -1.646 9 1173 .728 4 1223 1.376 7 1273 -.053 10 1323 1.561 10 1373 -.695 9 1174 -.187 4 1224 .252 7 1274 -.729 10 1324 .135 10 1374 .684 9 1175 .920 4 1225 -.466 7 1275 .203 10 1325 .959 10 1375 .293 9 1176 1.031 4 1226 -.987 7 1276 .984 10 1326 .251 10 1376 1.114 9 1177 1.257 4 1227 -.492 7 1277 -.191 11 1327 .570 10 1377 -.573 9 1178 -.196 4 1228 .061 7 1278 .590 11 1328 -2.852 10 1378 .445 9 1179 -.752 4 1229 -.525 7 1279 -.685 11 1329 .607 10 1379 -2.219 9 1180 -.553 4 1230 -.971 7 1280 -.761 11 1330 1.026 9 1380 -.806 9 1181 -.528 4 1231 -.854 7 1281 .898 11 1331 .562 9 1381 .440 9 1182 .002 4 1232 -.814 7 1282 .028 11 1332 -.711 9 1382 .890 9 1183 -1.774 5 1233 -1.765 9 1283 .731 13 1333 -1.358 9 1383 .204 9 1184 -1.769 5 1234 -1.207 9 1284 1.862 13 1334 .794 9 1384 1.883 9 1185 -1.452 5 1235 -.230 9 1285 -.433 13 1335 .842 9 1385 1.320 9 1186 -.756 5 1236 -1.919 9 1286 -1.353 13 1336 .180 8 1386 1.338 9 1187 .194 5 1237 -.299 9 1287 .635 13 1337 1.034 8 1387 .753 9 1188 -1.232 5 1238 .743 9 1288 -1.826 13 1338 -1.365 7 1388 .326 8 1189 -.437 5 1239 .835 9 1289 -.049 13 1339 .072 7 1389 .673 8 1190 .026 5 1240 .497 11 1290 -1.150 13 1340 -.723 6 1390 .758 8 1191 -.105 5 1241 -.010 11 1291 -.018 13 1341 1.398 6 1391 -1.406 8 1192 1.281 6 1242 .475 11 1292 -1.152 13 1342 .698 6 1392 -2.123 8 1193 1.449 6 1243 1.366 11 1293 .280 13 1343 .022 7 1393 -.161 8 1144 .314 2 1194 .144 7 1244 .975 11 1294 -.814 13 1344 .276 7 1394 -.686 8 1145 .777 2 1195 .099 7 1245 .711 11 1295 .163 13 1345 .541 8 1395 -1.035 8 1146 .255 2 1196 .541 7 1246 -1.073 10 1296 .906 13 1346 -.358 8 1396 -1.007 8 1147 -1.814 2 1197 .588 7 1247 .977 10 1297 .085 13 1347 -.607 8 1397 -.552 8 1148 .339 2 1198 -.557 7 1248 .373 10 1298 -.089 13 1348 -1.171 8 1398 .111 8 1149 2.606 2 1199 .473 7 1249 .089 10 1299 .579 13 1349 -.740 8 1399 .300 8 PART 3: Master Dating Series: 12:54 Tue 13 Jan 2004 Page 4 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ 1400 .075 8 1450 -.901 8 1500 -.776 6 1550 -.507 6 1600 .246 3 1650 .975 1 1401 -.665 8 1451 1.271 8 1501 -.790 6 1551 .310 6 1601 -.836 3 1651 3.450 1 1402 .173 7 1452 -.053 8 1502 -.582 6 1552 .652 6 1602 .493 3 1652 1.646 1 1403 -.637 7 1453 .183 8 1503 -.519 6 1553 -.865 6 1603 -.426 3 1653 1.293 1 1404 -.435 6 1454 .398 8 1504 -.553 6 1554 -1.612 6 1604 .643 3 1654 -.250 1 1405 .609 6 1455 -.813 8 1505 -.619 6 1555 -.155 6 1605 .034 3 1655 -.253 1 1406 .802 6 1456 -.852 8 1506 -1.460 6 1556 .230 6 1606 .200 3 1656 .248 1 1407 -.151 6 1457 -.442 8 1507 .155 7 1557 -1.061 6 1607 .746 3 1657 -1.255 1 1408 -1.308 6 1458 -.173 8 1508 .901 7 1558 .792 6 1608 -.300 3 1658 .308 1 1409 -.563 6 1459 .774 8 1509 -.494 7 1559 .653 6 1609 .089 3 1659 .565 1 1410 .747 6 1460 -.149 8 1510 .228 7 1560 1.121 6 1610 -1.841 3 1660 -.723 1 1411 -.098 6 1461 -1.013 8 1511 -.214 7 1561 1.103 6 1611 .292 3 1661 -.226 1 1412 .580 6 1462 -.153 7 1512 1.387 7 1562 -.243 6 1612 .747 3 1662 .732 1 1413 1.704 6 1463 -.709 7 1513 2.025 7 1563 -1.894 6 1613 -.557 3 1663 .735 1 1414 .847 6 1464 -.088 7 1514 .645 7 1564 -.687 6 1614 -.421 3 1664 1.583 1 1415 .818 6 1465 .130 7 1515 -.475 7 1565 -.780 6 1615 -.099 3 1665 .540 1 1416 -.074 6 1466 -.890 7 1516 -.505 7 1566 .519 6 1616 1.016 3 1666 -1.787 1 1417 .525 6 1467 .474 7 1517 .413 7 1567 1.156 6 1617 1.955 2 1667 -.870 1 1418 .481 6 1468 1.379 7 1518 -.638 7 1568 .245 5 1618 1.021 2 1668 .999 1 1419 .173 6 1469 1.223 7 1519 -.510 7 1569 -.592 5 1619 -.278 2 1669 -2.332 1 1420 -.617 6 1470 .695 7 1520 -.949 7 1570 .375 5 1620 .014 2 1670 -1.732 1 1421 .456 6 1471 .869 7 1521 .703 7 1571 .342 5 1621 -.954 2 1671 -1.557 1 1422 -.656 6 1472 .556 7 1522 .908 7 1572 -.453 4 1622 -1.753 2 1672 -2.113 1 1423 .020 6 1473 .697 7 1523 .265 7 1573 -.509 4 1623 -.969 1 1673 -.577 1 1424 -1.342 6 1474 1.528 7 1524 -.463 7 1574 -.126 4 1624 -3.362 1 1674 .683 1 1425 -1.781 6 1475 -.307 6 1525 .631 7 1575 -1.327 4 1625 .964 1 1675 .968 1 1426 -.256 6 1476 -.849 6 1526 .410 7 1576 -1.269 4 1626 1.066 1 1676 -.500 1 1427 -.625 6 1477 -.712 6 1527 -.233 7 1577 .487 4 1627 2.151 1 1677 1.360 1 1428 -.752 6 1478 -1.948 6 1528 .294 7 1578 1.502 4 1628 1.172 1 1678 1.210 1 1429 -1.499 6 1479 -2.724 6 1529 .208 6 1579 .855 4 1629 .416 1 1679 -2.273 1 1430 -.607 6 1480 -1.304 6 1530 -.243 6 1580 1.197 4 1630 -.212 1 1680 -.291 1 1431 .011 6 1481 -.068 6 1531 -.471 6 1581 1.292 4 1631 .896 1 1681 -.490 1 1432 -1.060 6 1482 .665 6 1532 -1.045 6 1582 -.700 4 1632 .227 1 1682 -1.798 1 1433 .560 7 1483 -.157 6 1533 -2.631 6 1583 .203 4 1633 -.537 1 1683 .697 1 1434 1.911 7 1484 .153 6 1534 -1.404 6 1584 .132 4 1634 -.630 1 1684 .639 1 1435 .363 6 1485 -.437 6 1535 .356 6 1585 -.051 4 1635 -2.230 1 1685 .963 1 1436 .959 6 1486 .516 6 1536 .554 6 1586 -1.831 4 1636 .205 1 1686 2.331 1 1437 .530 6 1487 .844 6 1537 1.011 6 1587 -1.488 4 1637 .016 1 1687 2.044 1 1438 .412 6 1488 1.269 6 1538 -.761 6 1588 -.485 4 1638 2.726 1 1688 .767 1 1439 .657 6 1489 .037 6 1539 .068 6 1589 .595 3 1639 1.629 1 1689 .509 1 1440 -.290 6 1490 -.336 6 1540 -.281 6 1590 -.235 3 1640 .713 1 1690 -1.134 1 1441 -.243 6 1491 .582 6 1541 1.151 6 1591 -1.069 3 1641 .316 1 1691 -.972 1 1442 .218 6 1492 1.483 6 1542 1.158 6 1592 .258 3 1642 -.847 1 1692 -.263 1 1443 -.007 6 1493 .459 6 1543 .598 6 1593 -1.142 3 1643 -1.350 1 1693 -.115 1 1444 -1.414 6 1494 -.809 6 1544 -1.128 6 1594 .812 3 1644 -1.362 1 1694 2.217 1 1445 .173 6 1495 .711 6 1545 -.410 6 1595 1.208 3 1645 -.803 1 1695 .169 1 1446 .532 6 1496 -.811 6 1546 .821 6 1596 1.100 3 1646 -1.536 1 1696 -.045 1 1447 .735 6 1497 .973 6 1547 1.835 6 1597 .228 3 1647 -.376 1 1697 .412 1 1448 -.646 6 1498 1.482 6 1548 1.141 6 1598 .805 3 1648 -.142 1 1698 -2.695 1 1449 -.298 8 1499 .000 6 1549 -1.254 6 1599 -.124 3 1649 -.744 1 1699 -1.165 1 PART 3: Master Dating Series: 12:54 Tue 13 Jan 2004 Page 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ 1700 -3.203 1 1701 -.210 1 1702 .971 1 1703 .169 1 1704 .331 1 1705 2.503 1 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ PART 4: Master Bar Plot: 12:54 Tue 13 Jan 2004 Page 6 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value 1150---b 1200----a 1250-------B 1300--------C 1350-d 1400-----@ 1450-d 1151k 1201------A 1251---------D 1301--------C 1351--c 1401--c 1451---------E 1152-------B 1202-----@ 1252-----@ 1302---b 1352----------G 1402-----A 1452----@ 1153----a 1203-------B 1253------A 1303----------G 1353------B 1403--c 1453------A 1154--c 1204--------C 1254----a 1304------A 1354---------D 1404---b 1454------B 1155----------H 1205--------C 1255-----A 1305-d 1355--------C 1405-------B 1455--c 1156--c 1206--------C 1256-------B 1306--------C 1356--------C 1406--------C 1456--c 1157-d 1207-----@ 1257------A 1307-----@ 1357---b 1407----a 1457---b 1158----a 1208-d 1258-----@ 1308------A 1358-----@ 1408-e 1458----a 1159i 1209f 1259---------D 1309---b 1359----a 1409---b 1459--------C 1160---b 1210-e 1260-----A 1310f 1360i 1410--------C 1460----a 1161---------D 1211i 1261h 1311---b 1361---b 1411----@ 1461-d 1162------A 1212---b 1262-e 1312--------C 1362------A 1412-------B 1462----a 1163----a 1213--c 1263j 1313----------F 1363----------F 1413----------G 1463--c 1164-------B 1214---------E 1264i 1314---a 1364------A 1414--------C 1464----@ 1165----------I 1215----------G 1265--c 1315-d 1365-----A 1415--------C 1465-----A 1166----a 1216---------D 1266---------D 1316-e 1366-------B 1416----@ 1466-d 1167--------C 1217----@ 1267----------E 1317----@ 1367------A 1417-------B 1467-------B 1168---a 1218---b 1268---------C 1318-------B 1368--------C 1418-------B 1468----------F 1169---a 1219------A 1269----------G 1319---------D 1369-d 1419-----A 1469---------E 1170----------H 1220---------C 1270---b 1320-d 1370--c 1420--b 1470--------C 1171----@ 1221----------F 1271-------B 1321--c 1371----a 1421-------B 1471---------C 1172------A 1222--------C 1272------B 1322----@ 1372g 1422--c 1472-------B 1173--------C 1223----------F 1273----@ 1323----------F 1373--c 1423-----@ 1473--------C 1174----a 1224------A 1274--c 1324-----A 1374--------C 1424-e 1474----------F 1175---------D 1225---b 1275------A 1325---------D 1375------A 1425g 1475----a 1176---------D 1226-d 1276---------D 1326------A 1376---------D 1426----a 1476--c 1177---------E 1227---b 1277----a 1327-------B 1377---b 1427--b 1477--c 1178----a 1228-----@ 1278-------B 1328k 1378-------B 1428--c 1478h 1179--c 1229---b 1279--c 1329-------B 1379i 1429f 1479k 1180---b 1230-d 1280--c 1330---------D 1380--c 1430--b 1480-e 1181---b 1231--c 1281---------D 1331-------B 1381-------B 1431-----@ 1481----@ 1182-----@ 1232--c 1282-----@ 1332--c 1382---------D 1432-d 1482--------C 1183g 1233g 1283--------C 1333-e 1383------A 1433-------B 1483----a 1184g 1234-e 1284----------G 1334--------C 1384----------H 1434----------H 1484-----A 1185f 1235----a 1285---b 1335--------C 1385----------E 1435------A 1485---b 1186--c 1236h 1286-e 1336-----A 1386----------E 1436---------D 1486-------B 1187------A 1237----a 1287--------C 1337---------D 1387--------C 1437-------B 1487--------C 1188-e 1238--------C 1288g 1338-e 1388------A 1438-------B 1488---------E 1189---b 1239--------C 1289----@ 1339-----@ 1389--------C 1439--------C 1489-----@ 1190-----@ 1240-------B 1290-e 1340--c 1390--------C 1440----a 1490---a 1191----@ 1241-----@ 1291-----@ 1341----------F 1391-f 1441----a 1491-------B 1192---------E 1242-------B 1292-e 1342--------C 1392h 1442------A 1492----------F 1193----------F 1243----------E 1293------A 1343-----@ 1393----a 1443-----@ 1493-------B 1144------A 1194-----A 1244---------D 1294--c 1344------A 1394--c 1444-f 1494--c 1145--------C 1195-----@ 1245--------C 1295-----A 1345-------B 1395-d 1445-----A 1495--------C 1146------A 1196-------B 1246-d 1296---------D 1346---a 1396-d 1446-------B 1496--c 1147g 1197-------B 1247---------D 1297-----@ 1347--b 1397---b 1447--------C 1497---------D 1148------A 1198---b 1248------A 1298----@ 1348-e 1398-----@ 1448--c 1498----------F 1149----------J 1199-------B 1249-----@ 1299-------B 1349--c 1399------A 1449----a 1499-----@ PART 4: Master Bar Plot: 12:54 Tue 13 Jan 2004 Page 7 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value 1500--c 1550---b 1600------A 1650---------D 1700m 1501--c 1551------A 1601--c 1651----------N 1701----a 1502---b 1552--------C 1602-------B 1652----------G 1702---------D 1503---b 1553--c 1603---b 1653----------E 1703-----A 1504---b 1554f 1604--------C 1654----a 1704------A 1505--b 1555----a 1605-----@ 1655----a 1705----------J 1506f 1556------A 1606------A 1656------A 1507-----A 1557-d 1607--------C 1657-e 1508---------D 1558--------C 1608----a 1658------A 1509---b 1559--------C 1609-----@ 1659-------B 1510------A 1560---------D 1610g 1660--c 1511----a 1561---------D 1611------A 1661----a 1512----------F 1562----a 1612--------C 1662--------C 1513----------H 1563h 1613---b 1663--------C 1514--------C 1564--c 1614---b 1664----------F 1515---b 1565--c 1615----@ 1665-------B 1516---b 1566-------B 1616---------D 1666g 1517-------B 1567---------E 1617----------H 1667--c 1518--c 1568------A 1618---------D 1668---------D 1519---b 1569--b 1619----a 1669i 1520-d 1570------A 1620-----@ 1670g 1521--------C 1571------A 1621-d 1671f 1522---------D 1572---b 1622g 1672h 1523------A 1573---b 1623-d 1673---b 1524---b 1574----a 1624m 1674--------C 1525--------C 1575-e 1625---------D 1675---------D 1526-------B 1576-e 1626---------D 1676---b 1527----a 1577-------B 1627----------I 1677----------E 1528------A 1578----------F 1628---------E 1678---------E 1529------A 1579--------C 1629-------B 1679i 1530----a 1580---------E 1630----a 1680----a 1531---b 1581----------E 1631---------D 1681---b 1532-d 1582--c 1632------A 1682g 1533k 1583------A 1633---b 1683--------C 1534-f 1584-----A 1634--c 1684--------C 1535------A 1585----@ 1635i 1685---------D 1536-------B 1586g 1636------A 1686----------I 1537---------D 1587f 1637-----@ 1687----------H 1538--c 1588---b 1638----------K 1688--------C 1539-----@ 1589-------B 1639----------G 1689-------B 1540----a 1590----a 1640--------C 1690-e 1541---------E 1591-d 1641------A 1691-d 1542---------E 1592------A 1642--c 1692----a 1543-------B 1593-e 1643-e 1693----@ 1544-e 1594--------C 1644-e 1694----------I 1545---b 1595---------E 1645--c 1695-----A 1546--------C 1596---------D 1646f 1696-----@ 1547----------G 1597------A 1647---b 1697-------B 1548---------E 1598--------C 1648----a 1698k 1549-e 1599----@ 1649--c 1699-e PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: 12:54 Tue 13 Jan 2004 Page 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1125 1150 1175 1200 1225 1250 1275 1300 1325 1350 1375 1400 1425 1450 1475 1500 1525 1550 1575 1174 1199 1224 1249 1274 1299 1324 1349 1374 1399 1424 1449 1474 1499 1524 1549 1574 1599 1624 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 OLC1401A 1144 1245 .66 .62 .54 .54 2 OLC1401B 1144 1337 .65 .55 .58 .77 .69 .59 .50 .63 3 OLC1405A 1172 1335 .44 .46 .56 .58 .69 .79 .81 4 OLC1405B 1173 1321 .53 .54 .70 .66 .56 .51 5 OLC1409A 1449 1571 .56 .56 .57 .38 .29A 6 OLC1409B 1449 1567 .45 .46 .33 .44 .45 7 OLC1410A 1507 1705 .43 .42 .27B .05B 8 OLC1411A 1233 1434 .62 .72 .68 .70 .66 .62 .45 .36B 9 OLC1411B 1233 1339 .53 .74 .78 .74 10 OLC1412A 1355 1528 .66 .69 .34 .30A .50 .54 .52 11 OLC1413A 1240 1474 .64 .66 .61 .72 .71 .61 .65 .54 .32A 12 OLC1413B 1240 1461 .46 .67 .64 .47 .38 .49 .49 .43 .44 13 OLC1414B 1183 1310 .14B .38B .55 .54 .45 14 OLC1417A 1192 1329 .47 .62 .70 .56 .53 .49 15 OLC1417B 1194 1302 .44 .52 .65 .73 .74 16 OLC1421A 1277 1387 .56 .72 .80 .56 17 OLC1423A 1345 1622 .76 .76 .66 .48 .49 .43 .41 .54 .63 .54 .47 18 OLC1423B 1343 1616 .74 .74 .49 .28B .40 .59 .64 .68 .68 .60 .62 19 OLC1424A 1433 1588 .38 .39 .44 .51 .50 .41 20 OLC1426A 1283 1401 .72 .71 .66 .65 .65 21 OLC1426B 1283 1403 .63 .54 .50 .51 .49 Av segment correlation .65 .53 .45 .58 .61 .65 .63 .65 .65 .62 .57 .41 .42 .49 .49 .50 .50 .46 .38 PART 6: POTENTIAL PROBLEMS: 12:54 Tue 13 Jan 2004 Page 8 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ For each series with potential problems the following diagnostics may appear: [A] Correlations with master dating series of flagged 50-year segments of series filtered with 32-year spline, at every point from ten years earlier (-10) to ten years later (+10) than dated [B] Effect of those data values which most lower or raise correlation with master series Symbol following year indicates value in series is greater (>) or lesser (<) than master series value [C] Year-to-year changes very different from the mean change in other series [D] Absent rings (zero values) [E] Values which are statistical outliers from mean for the year =================================================================================================================================== OLC1401A 1144 to 1245 102 years Series 1 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .605) is: Lower 1164> -.014 1197< -.012 1169> -.012 1233< -.010 1181> -.007 1179< -.007 Higher 1159 .014 1165 .010 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1164 +3.8 SD =================================================================================================================================== OLC1401B 1144 to 1337 194 years Series 2 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .631) is: Lower 1198< -.017 1164< -.009 1254< -.008 1151> -.008 1288> -.007 1270> -.007 Higher 1328 .033 1261 .010 =================================================================================================================================== OLC1405A 1172 to 1335 164 years Series 3 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .635) is: Lower 1205< -.016 1255< -.012 1180< -.011 1194> -.008 1173< -.008 1184> -.006 Higher 1288 .019 1261 .013 =================================================================================================================================== OLC1405B 1173 to 1321 149 years Series 4 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .567) is: Lower 1306< -.027 1175< -.024 1245< -.012 1179> -.012 1299< -.010 1285> -.009 Higher 1261 .029 1288 .017 [E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1179 +3.1 SD; 1298 +3.2 SD =================================================================================================================================== OLC1409A 1449 to 1571 123 years Series 5 [A] Segment High -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 +0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8 +9 +10 --------- ---- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 1522 1571 0 .17 -.02 -.17 -.18 .06 .05 .10 -.11 -.19 -.07 .29* .15 .18 -.02 -.21 -.05 -.11 .12 -.02 .20 -.12 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .440) is: Lower 1531< -.040 1557> -.025 1450> -.018 1549> -.016 1561< -.015 1496> -.014 Higher 1479 .019 1478 .017 1522 to 1571 segment: Lower 1531< -.079 1557> -.048 1561< -.030 1549> -.023 1534> -.022 1536< -.020 Higher 1563 .049 1544 .034 [E] Outliers 4 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1450 +3.4 SD; 1534 +3.1 SD; 1539 +3.3 SD; 1557 +3.3 SD =================================================================================================================================== OLC1409B 1449 to 1567 119 years Series 6 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .419) is: Lower 1553> -.022 1494> -.017 1566< -.017 1516< -.016 1490< -.014 1521< -.012 Higher 1549 .028 1533 .022 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1450 +3.1 SD =================================================================================================================================== OLC1410A 1507 to 1705 199 years Series 7 [*] Later part of series cannot be checked from 1623 to 1705 -- not matched by another series [A] Segment High -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 +0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8 +9 +10 --------- ---- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 1550 1599 9 -.01 -.04 -.15 -.06 -.06 .02 -.12 .08 .00 -.11 .27|-.07 -.30 -.01 .18 .03 .06 .00 .15 .30*-.01 1573 1622 5 .08 .09 -.14 .12 .00 -.27 -.15 .03 -.08 -.13 .05| .00 .04 .03 .11 .18*-.24 .06 -.02 .02 .17 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .218) is: Lower 1610> -.041 1600< -.029 1578< -.020 1531> -.015 1520> -.013 1606< -.012 Higher 1533 .024 1544 .017 1550 to 1599 segment: Lower 1578< -.057 1599> -.030 1588< -.025 1584< -.022 1572> -.017 1582< -.014 Higher 1553 .029 1557 .023 1573 to 1622 segment: Lower 1610> -.052 1600< -.046 1578< -.030 1599> -.020 1606< -.019 1615> -.017 Higher 1617 .031 1582 .028 [C] Year-to-year changes diverging by over 4.0 std deviations: 1609 1610 4.2 SD [E] Outliers 7 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1520 +3.8 SD; 1531 +3.3 SD; 1573 +3.2 SD; 1574 +3.5 SD; 1599 +3.0 SD; 1610 +3.4 SD; 1615 +3.7 SD =================================================================================================================================== OLC1411A 1233 to 1434 202 years Series 8 [A] Segment High -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 +0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8 +9 +10 --------- ---- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 1385 1434 8 -.33 -.01 -.07 -.25 -.24 .03 .09 .06 .05 .10 .36| .15 .16 .02 .25 .33 -.25 .09 .37*-.27 -.33 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .593) is: Lower 1357> -.010 1235< -.010 1414< -.009 1432> -.009 1407> -.007 1374< -.007 Higher 1328 .042 1263 .010 1385 to 1434 segment: Lower 1414< -.039 1432> -.036 1407> -.030 1422> -.018 1417< -.014 1401> -.014 Higher 1392 .032 1425 .032 [E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1234 +3.7 SD; 1402 +3.0 SD =================================================================================================================================== OLC1411B 1233 to 1339 107 years Series 9 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .664) is: Lower 1246< -.030 1236> -.019 1279> -.009 1328> -.009 1238< -.008 1245< -.008 Higher 1288 .014 1263 .011 =================================================================================================================================== OLC1412A 1355 to 1528 174 years Series 10 [A] Segment High -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 +0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8 +9 +10 --------- ---- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 1425 1474 0 -.05 -.04 -.12 -.14 .11 .09 -.17 .08 .05 -.07 .30* .03 .14 .21 -.11 .06 .16 -.07 .05 -.22 -.15 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .514) is: Lower 1444> -.023 1523< -.020 1455< -.013 1458< -.013 1403> -.008 1359< -.008 Higher 1379 .046 1372 .011 1425 to 1474 segment: Lower 1444> -.069 1458< -.035 1455< -.021 1472< -.018 1460> -.015 1428> -.014 Higher 1429 .044 1451 .036 [E] Outliers 3 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1403 +3.0 SD; 1444 +3.1 SD; 1455 -5.5 SD =================================================================================================================================== OLC1413A 1240 to 1474 235 years Series 11 [A] Segment High -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 +0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8 +9 +10 --------- ---- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 1425 1474 0 -.16 -.09 .03 -.26 .15 .03 -.03 .09 -.03 .18 .32*-.26 -.01 -.11 .06 -.08 -.06 -.01 -.16 -.05 .10 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .587) is: Lower 1366< -.012 1469< -.011 1242< -.011 1340> -.008 1452> -.007 1466< -.007 Higher 1328 .041 1360 .010 1425 to 1474 segment: Lower 1469< -.053 1452> -.037 1455> -.023 1473< -.020 1433< -.015 1437> -.015 Higher 1434 .047 1451 .046 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1316 +3.1 SD =================================================================================================================================== OLC1413B 1240 to 1461 222 years Series 12 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .461) is: Lower 1242< -.045 1349< -.011 1348> -.009 1328> -.009 1448> -.008 1379> -.008 Higher 1261 .014 1288 .011 [E] Outliers 4 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1242 -6.0 SD; 1315 +3.0 SD; 1348 +3.1 SD; 1361 +3.1 SD =================================================================================================================================== OLC1414B 1183 to 1310 128 years Series 13 [A] Segment High -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 +0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8 +9 +10 --------- ---- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 1183 1232 -1 -.12 -.17 -.06 -.16 -.04 -.05 -.01 .23 .27 .32* .14|-.19 -.16 -.23 .05 -.17 .06 -.06 -.03 -.06 -.16 1200 1249 -3 .07 .10 .04 .12 .01 .14 .18 .42* .15 .12 .38|-.26 -.21 -.23 -.14 -.05 .02 -.15 .04 -.15 -.09 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .394) is: Lower 1183> -.030 1307< -.025 1196< -.014 1226> -.014 1293< -.013 1295< -.013 Higher 1236 .035 1211 .017 1183 to 1232 segment: Lower 1183> -.064 1196< -.041 1226> -.036 1220< -.027 1201< -.019 1231> -.018 Higher 1211 .087 1192 .037 1200 to 1249 segment: Lower 1226> -.043 1220< -.026 1231> -.022 1246> -.019 1209> -.018 1201< -.017 Higher 1236 .142 1211 .054 [E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1183 +3.6 SD; 1226 +3.3 SD =================================================================================================================================== OLC1417A 1192 to 1329 138 years Series 14 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .526) is: Lower 1297< -.031 1286> -.024 1192< -.023 1198> -.014 1292> -.011 1194< -.010 Higher 1288 .033 1261 .017 [E] Outliers 3 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1198 +3.3 SD; 1286 +3.4 SD; 1297 -5.6 SD =================================================================================================================================== OLC1417B 1194 to 1302 109 years Series 15 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .617) is: Lower 1198> -.019 1289< -.019 1194< -.016 1237< -.016 1246> -.012 1286> -.011 Higher 1261 .037 1288 .024 =================================================================================================================================== OLC1421A 1277 to 1387 111 years Series 16 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .632) is: Lower 1376< -.038 1324< -.016 1310> -.013 1382< -.007 1294> -.007 1312< -.007 Higher 1328 .057 1288 .013 =================================================================================================================================== OLC1423A 1345 to 1622 278 years Series 17 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .537) is: Lower 1452< -.020 1603> -.015 1579> -.007 1544> -.006 1461> -.006 1608> -.006 Higher 1379 .024 1610 .016 [E] Outliers 6 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1443 +3.1 SD; 1452 -5.2 SD; 1496 -4.7 SD; 1502 +3.2 SD; 1503 +3.6 SD; 1603 +3.4 SD =================================================================================================================================== OLC1423B 1343 to 1616 274 years Series 18 [A] Segment High -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 +0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8 +9 +10 --------- ---- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 1400 1449 -7 .08 -.15 .21 .37* .03 .25 .22 .24 .00 -.16 .28|-.14 -.13 -.05 -.05 -.25 -.04 -.13 .01 .06 -.13 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .577) is: Lower 1424> -.019 1503< -.010 1421< -.007 1444> -.006 1461> -.006 1486< -.006 Higher 1533 .011 1610 .010 1400 to 1449 segment: Lower 1424> -.099 1421< -.030 1444> -.024 1420> -.023 1440> -.022 1446< -.018 Higher 1429 .044 1413 .041 [E] Outliers 5 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1424 +4.5 SD; 1440 +3.0 SD; 1441 +3.2 SD; 1521 +3.2 SD; 1607 +4.2 SD =================================================================================================================================== OLC1424A 1433 to 1588 156 years Series 19 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .408) is: Lower 1496> -.026 1579< -.024 1444< -.015 1576> -.014 1582> -.014 1515> -.009 Higher 1549 .022 1586 .015 [E] Outliers 4 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1444 -6.0 SD; 1457 +3.3 SD; 1496 +3.1 SD; 1576 +3.3 SD =================================================================================================================================== OLC1426A 1283 to 1401 119 years Series 20 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .675) is: Lower 1367< -.011 1351> -.011 1332> -.009 1375< -.008 1316< -.008 1369> -.007 Higher 1328 .048 1379 .020 =================================================================================================================================== OLC1426B 1283 to 1403 121 years Series 21 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .530) is: Lower 1357< -.040 1397< -.019 1344< -.013 1332> -.011 1387< -.009 1345< -.008 Higher 1379 .046 1328 .021 =================================================================================================================================== PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: 12:54 Tue 13 Jan 2004 Page 9 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 1 OLC1401A 1144 1245 102 4 0 .605 .83 1.41 .235 .805 .152 2.52 .450 -.001 2 2 OLC1401B 1144 1337 194 8 0 .631 .88 1.69 .220 .696 .156 2.64 .435 .007 1 3 OLC1405A 1172 1335 164 7 0 .635 .74 1.42 .205 .653 .186 2.76 .402 -.041 1 4 OLC1405B 1173 1321 149 6 0 .567 .83 1.72 .258 .749 .178 2.62 .473 -.025 1 5 OLC1409A 1449 1571 123 5 1 .440 .81 2.59 .363 .843 .193 2.71 .497 .034 1 6 OLC1409B 1449 1567 119 5 0 .419 .92 1.93 .257 .670 .186 2.62 .523 .029 1 7 OLC1410A 1507 1705 199 4 2 .218 .55 1.71 .300 .840 .231 2.81 .423 -.049 2 8 OLC1411A 1233 1434 202 8 1 .593 .65 2.82 .562 .927 .206 2.46 .371 .018 1 9 OLC1411B 1233 1339 107 4 0 .664 1.02 2.64 .611 .918 .199 2.74 .444 .065 1 10 OLC1412A 1355 1528 174 7 1 .514 .67 1.54 .329 .808 .247 2.60 .414 -.024 2 11 OLC1413A 1240 1474 235 9 1 .587 .50 1.25 .199 .747 .216 2.51 .336 -.024 1 12 OLC1413B 1240 1461 222 9 0 .461 .52 1.23 .196 .729 .216 2.57 .422 -.022 1 13 OLC1414B 1183 1310 128 5 2 .394 .94 2.94 .598 .919 .176 2.65 .426 -.083 1 14 OLC1417A 1192 1329 138 6 0 .526 1.03 2.10 .453 .880 .183 2.56 .401 -.061 2 15 OLC1417B 1194 1302 109 5 0 .617 1.03 1.95 .326 .767 .169 2.61 .463 .049 1 16 OLC1421A 1277 1387 111 4 0 .632 .93 2.19 .494 .901 .178 2.71 .493 -.048 1 17 OLC1423A 1345 1622 278 11 0 .537 .63 1.68 .306 .868 .190 2.61 .394 -.049 1 18 OLC1423B 1343 1616 274 11 1 .577 .69 2.11 .335 .875 .173 2.80 .443 -.061 2 19 OLC1424A 1433 1588 156 6 0 .408 .87 4.71 .647 .942 .200 2.58 .370 -.036 2 20 OLC1426A 1283 1401 119 5 0 .675 1.41 3.63 .732 .904 .148 2.73 .484 -.055 1 21 OLC1426B 1283 1403 121 5 0 .530 1.32 3.49 .733 .930 .141 2.50 .433 -.014 1 --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- Total or mean: 3424 134 9 .538 .79 4.71 .375 .824 .190 2.81 .425 -.023 - = [ COFECHA ALAK3COF ] = -