[] Dendrochronology Program Library Run ISOK2 Program COF 11:15 Mon 29 Dec 2003 Page 1 [] [] P R O G R A M C O F E C H A Version 6.06P 25201 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ QUALITY CONTROL AND DATING CHECK OF TREE-RING MEASUREMENTS File of DATED series: isok.tu_ CONTENTS: Part 1: Title page, options selected, summary, absent rings by series Part 2: Histogram of time spans Part 3: Master series with sample depth and absent rings by year Part 4: Bar plot of Master Dating Series Part 5: Correlation by segment of each series with Master Part 6: Potential problems: low correlation, divergent year-to-year changes, absent rings, outliers Part 7: Descriptive statistics RUN CONTROL OPTIONS SELECTED VALUE 1 Cubic smoothing spline 50% wavelength cutoff for filtering 32 years 2 Segments examined are 50 years lagged successively by 25 years 3 Autoregressive model applied A Residuals are used in master dating series and testing 4 Series transformed to logarithms Y Each series log-transformed for master dating series and testing 5 CORRELATION is Pearson (parametric, quantitative) Critical correlation, 99% confidence level .3281 6 Master dating series saved C 7 Ring measurements listed N 8 Parts printed 1234567 9 Absent rings are omitted from master series and segment correlations (Y) Time span of Master dating series is 844 to 1693 850 years Continuous time span is 844 to 1693 850 years Portion with two or more series is 844 to 1674 831 years **************************************** *C* Number of dated series 36 *C* *O* Master series 844 1693 850 yrs *O* *F* Total rings in all series 6464 *F* *E* Total dated rings checked 6445 *E* *C* Series intercorrelation .548 *C* *H* Average mean sensitivity .179 *H* *A* Segments, possible problems 17 *A* *** Mean length of series 179.6 *** **************************************** ABSENT RINGS listed by SERIES: (See Master Dating Series for absent rings listed by year) No ring measurements of zero value PART 2: TIME PLOT OF TREE-RING SERIES: 11:15 Mon 29 Dec 2003 Page 2 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1050 1100 1150 1200 1250 1300 1350 1400 1450 1500 1550 1600 1650 1700 1750 1800 1850 1900 1950 2000 2050 Ident Seq Time-span Yrs : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : -------- --- ---- ---- ---- . . <==========================> . . . . . . . . . . . . . OLC1151A 1 1132 1401 270 . . <========================> . . . . . . . . . . . . . . OLC1151B 2 1132 1383 252 <===============> . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . OLC1152A 3 1052 1213 162 . . . . . . . . .<===========> . . . . . . . . . . OLC1153A 4 1460 1589 130 . . . . . . . . .<===========> . . . . . . . . . . OLC1153B 5 1460 1589 130 . . . . . . . <===============================>. . . . . . . . OLC1154A 6 1374 1693 320 . . . . . . .<==============================> . . . . . . . . OLC1154B 7 1369 1674 306 . . . . . . . . . <============> . . . . . . . . . OLC1155A 8 1504 1631 128 . . . . . . . . . <============> . . . . . . . . . OLC1155B 9 1504 1632 129 ==> . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . OLC1156A 10 844 1059 216 ==> . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . OLC1156B 11 844 1057 214 . . . . . . <====================>. . . . . . . . . . . OLC1158A 12 1336 1541 206 . . . . . . <====================>. . . . . . . . . . . OLC1158B 13 1336 1543 208 ===> . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . OLC1161A 14 918 1061 144 > . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . OLC1161B 15 918 1024 107 . . . <================> . . . . . . . . . . . . . . OLC1163A 16 1197 1368 172 . . . <=================> . . . . . . . . . . . . . . OLC1163B 17 1197 1376 180 .<====================> . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . OLC1164A 18 1064 1279 216 <=====================> . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . OLC1164B 19 1058 1275 218 . . . . . . . <==================>. . . . . . . . . . OLC1167A 20 1406 1598 193 . . . . . . . <================> . . . . . . . . . . OLC1167B 21 1406 1575 170 . . . . . . . . <==============> . . . . . . . . . . OLC1168A 22 1432 1585 154 . . . . . . . . <=============> . . . . . . . . . . OLC1168B 23 1432 1572 141 . . . . . . . <======================> . . . . . . . . . OLC1169A 24 1409 1634 226 . . . . . . . <=================> . . . . . . . . . . OLC1169B 25 1409 1584 176 . . . <===============> . . . . . . . . . . . . . . OLC1170A 26 1191 1355 165 . . . <===============> . . . . . . . . . . . . . . OLC1170B 27 1190 1359 170 . . . . <============> . . . . . . . . . . . . . . OLC1171A 28 1229 1352 124 . . . . <============> . . . . . . . . . . . . . . OLC1171B 29 1229 1357 129 . . . . . . . .<==============> . . . . . . . . . . OLC1172A 30 1412 1563 152 . . . . . . . .<=============> . . . . . . . . . . OLC1172B 31 1412 1554 143 . . . .<===========> . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . OLC1173B 32 1213 1339 127 . . . . . . . .<===============> . . . . . . . . . . OLC1175A 33 1413 1578 166 . . . . . . . .<===============> . . . . . . . . . . OLC1175B 34 1413 1576 164 . . . . . . . . <===================> . . . . . . . . . OLC1176A 35 1421 1622 202 . . . . . . . . <==============> . . . . . . . . . . OLC1176B 36 1421 1574 154 : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : 1050 1100 1150 1200 1250 1300 1350 1400 1450 1500 1550 1600 1650 1700 1750 1800 1850 1900 1950 2000 2050 PART 3: Master Dating Series: 11:15 Mon 29 Dec 2003 Page 3 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ 850 1.758 2 900 -.240 2 950 .354 4 1000 -.910 4 1050 -.380 3 851 .209 2 901 -1.004 2 951 -.866 4 1001 .159 4 1051 -1.860 3 852 -3.993 2 902 -.385 2 952 -.955 4 1002 1.618 4 1052 -.824 4 853 -2.346 2 903 -.649 2 953 -.213 4 1003 -1.060 4 1053 -.794 4 854 .208 2 904 -.645 2 954 .406 4 1004 -1.803 4 1054 -.676 4 855 .440 2 905 -2.200 2 955 .177 4 1005 -1.517 4 1055 -.315 4 856 .719 2 906 -1.198 2 956 .936 4 1006 -1.693 4 1056 -.273 4 857 1.765 2 907 -.531 2 957 1.753 4 1007 .485 4 1057 -.366 4 858 .180 2 908 -1.611 2 958 .004 4 1008 .044 4 1058 .168 4 859 .923 2 909 -1.191 2 959 .522 4 1009 -.915 4 1059 .343 4 860 1.431 2 910 1.506 2 960 1.731 4 1010 .089 4 1060 .434 3 861 1.959 2 911 -.812 2 961 1.184 4 1011 -.533 4 1061 1.344 3 862 .214 2 912 .069 2 962 .757 4 1012 .886 4 1062 -.227 2 863 -.311 2 913 1.061 2 963 -1.108 4 1013 .559 4 1063 1.086 2 864 -1.255 2 914 1.142 2 964 -1.009 4 1014 .888 4 1064 -1.559 3 865 -1.370 2 915 2.768 2 965 -.048 4 1015 .296 4 1065 -1.153 3 866 -.100 2 916 .103 2 966 -.761 4 1016 1.007 4 1066 -.249 3 867 .191 2 917 -.163 2 967 -1.839 4 1017 1.196 4 1067 .162 3 868 -1.118 2 918 .601 4 968 -.006 4 1018 -.018 4 1068 1.653 3 869 .797 2 919 .541 4 969 .331 4 1019 -.823 4 1069 -.243 3 870 1.872 2 920 -1.169 4 970 .765 4 1020 .026 4 1070 .033 3 871 .858 2 921 .637 4 971 -.219 4 1021 .305 4 1071 .832 3 872 -.653 2 922 -.168 4 972 1.197 4 1022 .906 4 1072 1.968 3 873 .721 2 923 .840 4 973 .075 4 1023 -1.767 4 1073 .469 3 874 -1.286 2 924 1.531 4 974 .381 4 1024 .156 4 1074 -.724 3 875 .860 2 925 .877 4 975 -1.112 4 1025 -.437 3 1075 .240 3 876 1.400 2 926 -1.126 4 976 -1.551 4 1026 .689 3 1076 .333 3 877 -1.435 2 927 -.427 4 977 -1.392 4 1027 1.804 3 1077 -2.331 3 878 -1.888 2 928 -.462 4 978 1.347 4 1028 .876 3 1078 .046 3 879 -1.868 2 929 .543 4 979 1.686 4 1029 -1.281 3 1079 -1.285 3 880 -.856 2 930 -.118 4 980 .878 4 1030 -.477 3 1080 -.535 3 881 -1.079 2 931 .464 4 981 .026 4 1031 .135 3 1081 1.362 3 882 -.377 2 932 .359 4 982 .161 4 1032 -1.254 3 1082 .258 3 883 -1.222 2 933 -.956 4 983 -1.077 4 1033 -.590 3 1083 .803 3 884 .314 2 934 -1.607 4 984 -1.620 4 1034 -.768 3 1084 -.069 3 885 2.046 2 935 -1.145 4 985 -1.358 4 1035 -1.802 3 1085 -1.510 3 886 1.844 2 936 1.105 4 986 -.839 4 1036 -1.008 3 1086 -.233 3 887 .802 2 937 1.242 4 987 -1.192 4 1037 -1.107 3 1087 .517 3 888 -.313 2 938 .125 4 988 .308 4 1038 -1.953 3 1088 -.463 3 889 1.019 2 939 -.976 4 989 1.370 4 1039 -1.070 3 1089 .381 3 890 -.480 2 940 -.738 4 990 1.718 4 1040 -.212 3 1090 1.755 3 891 -1.172 2 941 -.390 4 991 1.342 4 1041 .239 3 1091 1.081 3 892 1.334 2 942 -.317 4 992 .392 4 1042 1.100 3 1092 -1.396 3 893 .041 2 943 -1.814 4 993 1.081 4 1043 1.086 3 1093 .414 3 844 .088 2 894 -.551 2 944 -.992 4 994 -.044 4 1044 .555 3 1094 1.912 3 845 1.571 2 895 -.307 2 945 -.192 4 995 -.339 4 1045 2.015 3 1095 1.417 3 846 -.024 2 896 .978 2 946 .196 4 996 -.272 4 1046 1.826 3 1096 -.552 3 847 .702 2 897 1.718 2 947 .396 4 997 .335 4 1047 2.091 3 1097 -.921 3 848 -1.564 2 898 2.086 2 948 .495 4 998 .323 4 1048 .772 3 1098 -1.788 3 849 -.541 2 899 1.855 2 949 1.475 4 999 .116 4 1049 .187 3 1099 -1.544 3 PART 3: Master Dating Series: 11:15 Mon 29 Dec 2003 Page 4 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ 1100 -.970 3 1150 -.123 5 1200 -.715 9 1250 -.637 11 1300 .002 9 1350 -1.881 10 1101 -1.109 3 1151 -.709 5 1201 -.287 9 1251 -.643 11 1301 .990 9 1351 -1.369 10 1102 -.251 3 1152 -.408 5 1202 -.526 9 1252 -.054 11 1302 .021 9 1352 .100 10 1103 .113 3 1153 -.460 5 1203 -.670 9 1253 -.555 11 1303 1.488 9 1353 -.940 9 1104 1.023 3 1154 -1.376 5 1204 1.404 9 1254 -.900 11 1304 .321 9 1354 .468 9 1105 2.124 3 1155 1.532 5 1205 .928 9 1255 .395 11 1305 -1.881 9 1355 .323 9 1106 1.509 3 1156 -.352 5 1206 .825 9 1256 1.301 11 1306 .529 9 1356 1.173 8 1107 -.267 3 1157 -.230 5 1207 .532 9 1257 .643 11 1307 .124 9 1357 .955 8 1108 -1.006 3 1158 1.902 5 1208 .269 9 1258 -.406 11 1308 .200 9 1358 1.734 7 1109 -.270 3 1159 .413 5 1209 .045 9 1259 1.113 11 1309 -.197 9 1359 1.094 7 1110 -.011 3 1160 .573 5 1210 .000 9 1260 -.458 11 1310 -.992 9 1360 .189 6 1111 1.620 3 1161 .177 5 1211 -1.934 9 1261 -1.304 11 1311 -.400 9 1361 .073 6 1112 1.519 3 1162 .573 5 1212 .084 9 1262 -.158 11 1312 .846 9 1362 .388 6 1113 1.653 3 1163 1.706 5 1213 -.350 10 1263 -1.173 11 1313 1.356 9 1363 .069 6 1114 -.580 3 1164 .854 5 1214 .891 9 1264 -1.122 11 1314 .082 9 1364 -.651 6 1115 -.672 3 1165 1.285 5 1215 1.845 9 1265 -.356 11 1315 -1.599 9 1365 -.616 6 1116 -1.015 3 1166 -.151 5 1216 .900 9 1266 1.865 11 1316 -2.409 9 1366 -.196 6 1117 -1.524 3 1167 -1.310 5 1217 -.610 9 1267 1.963 11 1317 .423 9 1367 -.094 6 1118 -2.558 3 1168 -1.976 5 1218 -.997 9 1268 1.257 11 1318 .151 9 1368 -.154 6 1119 -1.370 3 1169 -.910 5 1219 -.403 9 1269 1.492 11 1319 1.089 9 1369 -2.316 6 1120 .125 3 1170 .601 5 1220 .296 9 1270 -.460 11 1320 .279 9 1370 -.694 6 1121 .102 3 1171 -.354 5 1221 1.292 9 1271 -.032 11 1321 -.053 9 1371 -.225 6 1122 -.026 3 1172 .158 5 1222 .217 9 1272 -.690 11 1322 -.258 9 1372 -1.384 6 1123 -.509 3 1173 -.216 5 1223 .145 9 1273 -.500 11 1323 1.125 9 1373 -.630 6 1124 .178 3 1174 -.346 5 1224 -.686 9 1274 -.878 11 1324 .143 9 1374 .257 7 1125 2.211 3 1175 -1.135 5 1225 -.727 9 1275 -.740 11 1325 .422 9 1375 .119 7 1126 2.492 3 1176 -.707 5 1226 -1.130 9 1276 .977 10 1326 -.944 9 1376 1.013 7 1127 .492 3 1177 .998 5 1227 .362 9 1277 -.863 10 1327 -.446 9 1377 .044 6 1128 -1.171 3 1178 -.319 5 1228 1.004 9 1278 -.085 10 1328 -2.752 9 1378 .897 6 1129 -.518 3 1179 -2.449 5 1229 -.040 11 1279 -1.095 10 1329 .691 9 1379 -.003 6 1130 -.581 3 1180 -.436 5 1230 -.128 11 1280 -.537 9 1330 .465 9 1380 -.120 6 1131 .221 3 1181 -.428 5 1231 -.211 11 1281 1.109 9 1331 .741 9 1381 .789 6 1132 .868 5 1182 .796 5 1232 -.708 11 1282 .251 9 1332 -.310 9 1382 1.445 6 1133 .229 5 1183 .588 5 1233 -.085 11 1283 .759 9 1333 -1.314 9 1383 1.334 6 1134 -.277 5 1184 -.286 5 1234 .070 11 1284 2.256 9 1334 .833 9 1384 .594 5 1135 -.944 5 1185 -.733 5 1235 .481 11 1285 -.440 9 1335 1.449 9 1385 -.161 5 1136 -.346 5 1186 1.039 5 1236 -1.426 11 1286 -1.387 9 1336 .113 11 1386 .031 5 1137 .267 5 1187 1.698 5 1237 -.342 11 1287 .331 9 1337 1.485 11 1387 -.292 5 1138 .425 5 1188 1.243 5 1238 .152 11 1288 -1.245 9 1338 -.347 11 1388 -1.249 5 1139 -.970 5 1189 .261 5 1239 1.393 11 1289 -.214 9 1339 .792 11 1389 -.543 5 1140 -.205 5 1190 -.185 6 1240 1.054 11 1290 -1.356 9 1340 -.606 10 1390 .623 5 1141 1.043 5 1191 -1.812 7 1241 .537 11 1291 .372 9 1341 .854 10 1391 -.686 5 1142 .526 5 1192 .425 7 1242 .481 11 1292 -.485 9 1342 -.670 10 1392 -1.185 5 1143 .858 5 1193 1.335 7 1243 .692 11 1293 -.073 9 1343 .113 10 1393 -.166 5 1144 -.280 5 1194 .800 7 1244 -.347 11 1294 -1.174 9 1344 .781 10 1394 -.552 5 1145 -1.174 5 1195 -.496 7 1245 .102 11 1295 -.808 9 1345 .573 10 1395 -.319 5 1146 .261 5 1196 -.321 7 1246 -.974 11 1296 1.727 9 1346 .495 10 1396 -1.188 5 1147 .475 5 1197 -.526 9 1247 .722 11 1297 .333 9 1347 .102 10 1397 .371 5 1148 -.427 5 1198 -2.026 9 1248 .157 11 1298 .369 9 1348 -2.021 10 1398 .961 5 1149 1.377 5 1199 .123 9 1249 -1.107 11 1299 .848 9 1349 -.840 10 1399 .280 5 PART 3: Master Dating Series: 11:15 Mon 29 Dec 2003 Page 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ 1400 .809 5 1450 -2.041 16 1500 -.554 18 1550 -.716 18 1600 1.091 6 1650 -1.789 2 1401 -.533 5 1451 1.015 16 1501 -.291 18 1551 .429 18 1601 -.319 6 1651 .233 2 1402 .197 4 1452 1.420 16 1502 -.030 18 1552 1.016 18 1602 .448 6 1652 -1.341 2 1403 .562 4 1453 1.368 16 1503 -.167 18 1553 -.090 18 1603 -1.249 6 1653 .361 2 1404 -.083 4 1454 1.022 16 1504 -.525 20 1554 -1.719 18 1604 .621 6 1654 -1.564 2 1405 .978 4 1455 .268 16 1505 -.537 20 1555 .078 17 1605 -.747 6 1655 1.128 2 1406 1.153 6 1456 .531 16 1506 -.467 20 1556 .156 17 1606 -1.225 6 1656 1.661 2 1407 -.277 6 1457 .370 16 1507 1.180 20 1557 -1.012 17 1607 -.817 6 1657 1.310 2 1408 -1.945 6 1458 .677 16 1508 1.976 20 1558 .081 17 1608 -1.813 6 1658 .128 2 1409 -1.907 8 1459 1.038 16 1509 .009 20 1559 1.052 17 1609 -.481 6 1659 -.394 2 1410 -.282 8 1460 .213 18 1510 .401 20 1560 1.033 17 1610 .316 6 1660 .144 2 1411 .438 8 1461 -.019 18 1511 .543 20 1561 1.300 17 1611 .821 6 1661 1.488 2 1412 .860 10 1462 .499 18 1512 1.032 20 1562 -.763 17 1612 .801 6 1662 .163 2 1413 1.460 12 1463 -.813 18 1513 .895 20 1563 -.668 17 1613 .123 6 1663 .658 2 1414 .432 12 1464 -.336 18 1514 -.882 20 1564 -.222 16 1614 .623 6 1664 .964 2 1415 1.182 12 1465 -.889 18 1515 -.668 20 1565 -1.574 16 1615 .721 6 1665 -1.624 2 1416 -.079 12 1466 -.332 18 1516 -.230 20 1566 -.275 16 1616 .397 6 1666 -.506 2 1417 -.312 12 1467 -1.012 18 1517 .118 20 1567 .673 16 1617 .874 6 1667 -1.704 2 1418 -.397 12 1468 .494 18 1518 -1.187 20 1568 .486 16 1618 .676 6 1668 -.883 2 1419 -1.038 12 1469 1.252 18 1519 -1.880 20 1569 -.592 16 1619 -.263 6 1669 -.373 2 1420 -.009 12 1470 .371 18 1520 -1.111 20 1570 .540 16 1620 -.116 6 1670 -2.047 2 1421 1.355 14 1471 .303 18 1521 .609 20 1571 .230 16 1621 -.348 6 1671 1.301 2 1422 -1.278 14 1472 -.037 18 1522 1.612 20 1572 -.214 16 1622 -1.371 6 1672 .706 2 1423 -.973 14 1473 .223 18 1523 .281 20 1573 -.287 15 1623 -1.203 5 1673 1.748 2 1424 -.777 14 1474 .242 18 1524 .018 20 1574 .130 15 1624 -1.935 5 1674 .818 2 1425 -.627 14 1475 -.452 18 1525 -.159 20 1575 -.197 14 1625 -.070 5 1675 -.573 1 1426 -.031 14 1476 -.470 18 1526 .192 20 1576 -.170 13 1626 1.680 5 1676 -.474 1 1427 -1.224 14 1477 -1.492 18 1527 -1.062 20 1577 1.386 12 1627 1.288 5 1677 -1.025 1 1428 -.435 14 1478 -1.429 18 1528 -.082 20 1578 .848 12 1628 1.041 5 1678 .047 1 1429 .370 14 1479 -1.141 18 1529 -.176 20 1579 .121 11 1629 .209 5 1679 -.026 1 1430 .654 14 1480 -.590 18 1530 -.773 20 1580 .019 11 1630 1.096 5 1680 -2.767 1 1431 .875 14 1481 -.202 18 1531 -1.033 20 1581 .600 11 1631 .669 5 1681 1.488 1 1432 .221 16 1482 1.400 18 1532 -1.210 20 1582 -.822 11 1632 -.161 4 1682 .797 1 1433 1.277 16 1483 -.183 18 1533 -1.913 20 1583 .214 11 1633 -2.519 3 1683 2.207 1 1434 2.056 16 1484 -.107 18 1534 .079 20 1584 .374 11 1634 .059 3 1684 2.380 1 1435 .701 16 1485 .092 18 1535 1.369 20 1585 -.332 10 1635 -1.209 2 1685 -.784 1 1436 1.260 16 1486 1.175 18 1536 1.576 20 1586 -.849 9 1636 -2.088 2 1686 .169 1 1437 .490 16 1487 .715 18 1537 1.523 20 1587 .098 9 1637 .567 2 1687 .462 1 1438 -.729 16 1488 .254 18 1538 .243 20 1588 .969 9 1638 1.230 2 1688 .408 1 1439 .099 16 1489 -1.367 18 1539 .661 20 1589 -.157 9 1639 -2.318 2 1689 -.960 1 1440 -.337 16 1490 -.770 18 1540 -.403 20 1590 -1.791 7 1640 -.017 2 1690 -3.988 1 1441 -.327 16 1491 -.102 18 1541 .559 20 1591 -1.053 7 1641 .832 2 1691 -.977 1 1442 .160 16 1492 .579 18 1542 .825 19 1592 -.373 7 1642 .905 2 1692 .412 1 1443 -.615 16 1493 .274 18 1543 .601 19 1593 -.359 7 1643 -.349 2 1693 .938 1 1444 -1.524 16 1494 -.450 18 1544 -.581 18 1594 .005 7 1644 -.794 2 1445 -.709 16 1495 .869 18 1545 -.846 18 1595 .650 7 1645 -1.127 2 1446 -.949 16 1496 .208 18 1546 .191 18 1596 .203 7 1646 -.190 2 1447 -.923 16 1497 .952 18 1547 .356 18 1597 .179 7 1647 -.292 2 1448 -1.293 16 1498 1.398 18 1548 .118 18 1598 1.241 7 1648 1.558 2 1449 -1.189 16 1499 -.803 18 1549 -1.389 18 1599 1.906 6 1649 2.527 2 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ PART 4: Master Bar Plot: 11:15 Mon 29 Dec 2003 Page 6 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value 850----------G 900----a 950-------A 1000--d 1050---b 1100-d 1150----@ 851------A 901-d 951--c 1001------A 1051g 1101-d 1151--c 852p 902---b 952-d 1002----------F 1052--c 1102----a 1152---b 853i 903--c 953----a 1003-d 1053--c 1103-----@ 1153---b 854------A 904--c 954-------B 1004g 1054--c 1104---------D 1154-f 855-------B 905i 955------A 1005f 1055----a 1105----------H 1155----------F 856--------C 906-e 956--------D 1006g 1056----a 1106----------F 1156---a 857----------G 907---b 957----------G 1007-------B 1057---a 1107----a 1157----a 858------A 908f 958-----@ 1008-----@ 1058------A 1108-d 1158----------H 859--------D 909-e 959-------B 1009--d 1059-------A 1109----a 1159-------B 860----------F 910----------F 960----------G 1010-----@ 1060-------B 1110-----@ 1160-------B 861----------H 911--c 961---------E 1011---b 1061---------E 1111----------F 1161------A 862------A 912-----@ 962--------C 1012--------D 1062----a 1112----------F 1162-------B 863----a 913---------D 963-d 1013-------B 1063---------D 1113----------G 1163----------G 864-e 914---------E 964-d 1014--------D 1064f 1114---b 1164--------C 865-e 915----------K 965-----@ 1015------A 1065-e 1115--c 1165---------E 866----@ 916-----@ 966--c 1016---------D 1066----a 1116-d 1166----a 867------A 917----a 967g 1017---------E 1067------A 1117f 1167-e 868-d 918-------B 968-----@ 1018-----@ 1068----------G 1118j 1168h 869--------C 919-------B 969------A 1019--c 1069----a 1119-e 1169--d 870----------G 920-e 970--------C 1020-----@ 1070-----@ 1120-----A 1170-------B 871--------C 921--------C 971----a 1021------A 1071--------C 1121-----@ 1171---a 872--c 922----a 972---------E 1022--------D 1072----------H 1122-----@ 1172------A 873--------C 923--------C 973-----@ 1023g 1073-------B 1123---b 1173----a 874-e 924----------F 974-------B 1024------A 1074--c 1124------A 1174---a 875--------C 925--------D 975-d 1025---b 1075------A 1125----------I 1175-e 876---------F 926-e 976f 1026--------C 1076------A 1126----------J 1176--c 877-f 927---b 977-f 1027----------G 1077i 1127-------B 1177---------D 878h 928---b 978---------E 1028--------D 1078-----@ 1128-e 1178----a 879g 929-------B 979----------G 1029-e 1079-e 1129---b 1179j 880--c 930----@ 980--------D 1030---b 1080---b 1130---b 1180---b 881-d 931-------B 981-----@ 1031------A 1081---------E 1131------A 1181---b 882---b 932-------A 982------A 1032-e 1082------A 1132--------C 1182--------C 883-e 933-d 983-d 1033--b 1083--------C 1133------A 1183-------B 884------A 934f 984f 1034--c 1084-----@ 1134----a 1184----a 885----------H 935-e 985-e 1035g 1085f 1135-d 1185--c 886----------G 936---------D 986--c 1036-d 1086----a 1136---a 1186---------D 887--------C 937---------E 987-e 1037-d 1087-------B 1137------A 1187----------G 888----a 938-----A 988------A 1038h 1088---b 1138-------B 1188---------E 889---------D 939-d 989---------E 1039-d 1089-------B 1139-d 1189------A 890---b 940--c 990----------G 1040----a 1090----------G 1140----a 1190----a 891-e 941---b 991---------E 1041------A 1091---------D 1141---------D 1191g 892---------E 942----a 992-------B 1042---------D 1092-f 1142-------B 1192-------B 893-----@ 943g 993---------D 1043---------D 1093-------B 1143--------C 1193---------E 844-----@ 894---b 944-d 994-----@ 1044-------B 1094----------H 1144----a 1194--------C 845----------F 895----a 945----a 995---a 1045----------H 1095----------F 1145-e 1195---b 846-----@ 896---------D 946------A 996----a 1046----------G 1096---b 1146------A 1196----a 847--------C 897----------G 947-------B 997------A 1047----------H 1097--d 1147-------B 1197---b 848f 898----------H 948-------B 998------A 1048--------C 1098g 1148---b 1198h 849---b 899----------G 949----------F 999-----@ 1049------A 1099f 1149---------F 1199-----@ PART 4: Master Bar Plot: 11:15 Mon 29 Dec 2003 Page 7 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value 1200--c 1250--c 1300-----@ 1350h 1400--------C 1450h 1500---b 1550--c 1201----a 1251--c 1301---------D 1351-e 1401---b 1451---------D 1501----a 1551-------B 1202---b 1252-----@ 1302-----@ 1352-----@ 1402------A 1452----------F 1502-----@ 1552---------D 1203--c 1253---b 1303----------F 1353-d 1403-------B 1453---------E 1503----a 1553----@ 1204----------F 1254--d 1304------A 1354-------B 1404-----@ 1454---------D 1504---b 1554g 1205--------D 1255-------B 1305h 1355------A 1405---------D 1455------A 1505---b 1555-----@ 1206--------C 1256---------E 1306-------B 1356---------E 1406---------E 1456-------B 1506---b 1556------A 1207-------B 1257--------C 1307-----@ 1357---------D 1407----a 1457-------A 1507---------E 1557-d 1208------A 1258---b 1308------A 1358----------G 1408h 1458--------C 1508----------H 1558-----@ 1209-----@ 1259---------D 1309----a 1359---------D 1409h 1459---------D 1509-----@ 1559---------D 1210-----@ 1260---b 1310-d 1360------A 1410----a 1460------A 1510-------B 1560---------D 1211h 1261-e 1311---b 1361-----@ 1411-------B 1461-----@ 1511-------B 1561---------E 1212-----@ 1262----a 1312--------C 1362-------B 1412--------C 1462-------B 1512---------D 1562--c 1213---a 1263-e 1313---------E 1363-----@ 1413----------F 1463--c 1513--------D 1563--c 1214--------D 1264-d 1314-----@ 1364--c 1414-------B 1464---a 1514--d 1564----a 1215----------G 1265---a 1315f 1365--b 1415---------E 1465--d 1515--c 1565f 1216--------D 1266----------G 1316j 1366----a 1416-----@ 1466---a 1516----a 1566----a 1217--b 1267----------H 1317-------B 1367----@ 1417----a 1467-d 1517-----@ 1567--------C 1218-d 1268---------E 1318------A 1368----a 1418---b 1468-------B 1518-e 1568-------B 1219---b 1269----------F 1319---------D 1369i 1419-d 1469---------E 1519h 1569--b 1220------A 1270---b 1320------A 1370--c 1420-----@ 1470-------A 1520-d 1570-------B 1221---------E 1271-----@ 1321-----@ 1371----a 1421---------E 1471------A 1521-------B 1571------A 1222------A 1272--c 1322----a 1372-f 1422-e 1472-----@ 1522----------F 1572----a 1223------A 1273---b 1323---------D 1373--c 1423-d 1473------A 1523------A 1573----a 1224--c 1274--d 1324------A 1374------A 1424--c 1474------A 1524-----@ 1574------A 1225--c 1275--c 1325-------B 1375-----@ 1425--c 1475---b 1525----a 1575----a 1226-e 1276---------D 1326-d 1376---------D 1426-----@ 1476---b 1526------A 1576----a 1227-------A 1277--c 1327---b 1377-----@ 1427-e 1477f 1527-d 1577---------F 1228---------D 1278-----@ 1328k 1378--------D 1428---b 1478-f 1528-----@ 1578--------C 1229-----@ 1279-d 1329--------C 1379-----@ 1429-------A 1479-e 1529----a 1579-----@ 1230----a 1280---b 1330-------B 1380----@ 1430--------C 1480--b 1530--c 1580-----@ 1231----a 1281---------D 1331--------C 1381--------C 1431--------C 1481----a 1531-d 1581-------B 1232--c 1282------A 1332----a 1382----------F 1432------A 1482---------F 1532-e 1582--c 1233-----@ 1283--------C 1333-e 1383---------E 1433---------E 1483----a 1533h 1583------A 1234-----@ 1284----------I 1334--------C 1384-------B 1434----------H 1484----@ 1534-----@ 1584-------A 1235-------B 1285---b 1335----------F 1385----a 1435--------C 1485-----@ 1535---------E 1585---a 1236-f 1286-f 1336-----@ 1386-----@ 1436---------E 1486---------E 1536----------F 1586--c 1237---a 1287------A 1337----------F 1387----a 1437-------B 1487--------C 1537----------F 1587-----@ 1238------A 1288-e 1338---a 1388-e 1438--c 1488------A 1538------A 1588---------D 1239---------F 1289----a 1339--------C 1389---b 1439-----@ 1489-e 1539--------C 1589----a 1240---------D 1290-e 1340--b 1390-------B 1440---a 1490--c 1540---b 1590g 1241-------B 1291-------A 1341--------C 1391--c 1441---a 1491----@ 1541-------B 1591-d 1242-------B 1292---b 1342--c 1392-e 1442------A 1492-------B 1542--------C 1592---a 1243--------C 1293-----@ 1343-----@ 1393----a 1443--b 1493------A 1543-------B 1593---a 1244---a 1294-e 1344--------C 1394---b 1444f 1494---b 1544---b 1594-----@ 1245-----@ 1295--c 1345-------B 1395----a 1445--c 1495--------C 1545--c 1595--------C 1246-d 1296----------G 1346-------B 1396-e 1446-d 1496------A 1546------A 1596------A 1247--------C 1297------A 1347-----@ 1397-------A 1447--d 1497--------D 1547-------A 1597------A 1248------A 1298-------A 1348h 1398---------D 1448-e 1498---------F 1548-----@ 1598---------E 1249-d 1299--------C 1349--c 1399------A 1449-e 1499--c 1549-f 1599----------H PART 4: Master Bar Plot: 11:15 Mon 29 Dec 2003 Page 8 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value 1600---------D 1650g 1601----a 1651------A 1602-------B 1652-e 1603-e 1653-------A 1604-------B 1654f 1605--c 1655---------E 1606-e 1656----------G 1607--c 1657---------E 1608g 1658-----A 1609---b 1659---b 1610------A 1660------A 1611--------C 1661----------F 1612--------C 1662------A 1613-----@ 1663--------C 1614-------B 1664---------D 1615--------C 1665f 1616-------B 1666---b 1617--------C 1667g 1618--------C 1668--d 1619----a 1669---a 1620----@ 1670h 1621---a 1671---------E 1622-e 1672--------C 1623-e 1673----------G 1624h 1674--------C 1625-----@ 1675---b 1626----------G 1676---b 1627---------E 1677-d 1628---------D 1678-----@ 1629------A 1679-----@ 1630---------D 1680k 1631--------C 1681----------F 1632----a 1682--------C 1633j 1683----------I 1634-----@ 1684----------J 1635-e 1685--c 1636h 1686------A 1637-------B 1687-------B 1638---------E 1688-------B 1639i 1689-d 1640-----@ 1690p 1641--------C 1691-d 1642--------D 1692-------B 1643---a 1693--------D 1644--c 1645-e 1646----a 1647----a 1648----------F 1649----------J PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: 11:15 Mon 29 Dec 2003 Page 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 825 850 875 900 925 950 975 1000 1025 1050 1075 1100 1125 1150 1175 1200 1225 1250 1275 1300 874 899 924 949 974 999 1024 1049 1074 1099 1124 1149 1174 1199 1224 1249 1274 1299 1324 1349 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 OLC1151A 1132 1401 .52 .53 .59 .65 .65 .59 .47 .48 2 OLC1151B 1132 1383 .50 .49 .48 .50 .55 .54 .53 .68 3 OLC1152A 1052 1213 .38 .59 .47 .47 .64 .62 10 OLC1156A 844 1059 .82 .82 .60 .47 .49B .61 .58 .55 .56 11 OLC1156B 844 1057 .82 .82 .68 .62 .58 .50 .38 .48 .68 14 OLC1161A 918 1061 .45 .43 .49 .50 .46 .32A 15 OLC1161B 918 1024 .45 .44 .45B .68 16 OLC1163A 1197 1368 .76 .56 .60 .66 .65 .72 17 OLC1163B 1197 1376 .68 .57 .58 .62 .63 .70 18 OLC1164A 1064 1279 .63 .68 .54 .44 .68 .59 .46 .46 .50 19 OLC1164B 1058 1275 .61 .66 .63 .52 .55 .64 .58 .50 .50 26 OLC1170A 1191 1355 .30A .38 .60 .72 .65 .70 27 OLC1170B 1190 1359 .33 .42 .61 .72 .66 .76 28 OLC1171A 1229 1352 .52 .70 .70 .74 29 OLC1171B 1229 1357 .22B .30A .56 .69 32 OLC1173B 1213 1339 .35 .60 .70 .64 .51 Av segment correlation .82 .82 .64 .50 .48 .51 .53 .50 .52 .54 .64 .55 .49 .58 .56 .50 .54 .60 .61 .66 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: 11:15 Mon 29 Dec 2003 Page 6 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1325 1350 1375 1400 1425 1450 1475 1500 1525 1550 1575 1600 1625 1374 1399 1424 1449 1474 1499 1524 1549 1574 1599 1624 1649 1674 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 OLC1151A 1132 1401 .54 .40 .37 2 OLC1151B 1132 1383 .60 .65 4 OLC1153A 1460 1589 .46 .64 .75 .72 .63 5 OLC1153B 1460 1589 .49 .56 .63 .67 .63 6 OLC1154A 1374 1693 .32A .31A .40 .45 .64 .70 .73 .60 .43 .48 .56 .65 7 OLC1154B 1369 1674 .33A .47 .70 .75 .68 .45 .54 .62 .40 .39 .66 .72 8 OLC1155A 1504 1631 .49 .44 .45 .28A .30A 9 OLC1155B 1504 1632 .51 .52 .42 .33 .33A 12 OLC1158A 1336 1541 .59 .68 .61 .69 .61 .59 .61 .66 13 OLC1158B 1336 1543 .58 .72 .64 .67 .68 .67 .63 .67 16 OLC1163A 1197 1368 .60 17 OLC1163B 1197 1376 .54 .52 20 OLC1167A 1406 1598 .75 .65 .53 .59 .70 .63 .38 21 OLC1167B 1406 1575 .74 .52 .49 .44 .46 .40 .40 22 OLC1168A 1432 1585 .44 .34 .41 .45 .34B .24B 23 OLC1168B 1432 1572 .46 .55 .62 .50 .25B 24 OLC1169A 1409 1634 .50 .38 .46 .41 .31A .46 .54 .35 .36 25 OLC1169B 1409 1584 .70 .61 .73 .72 .44 .45 .45 26 OLC1170A 1191 1355 .72 27 OLC1170B 1190 1359 .79 28 OLC1171A 1229 1352 .71 29 OLC1171B 1229 1357 .68 30 OLC1172A 1412 1563 .70 .60 .56 .64 .68 .60 31 OLC1172B 1412 1554 .69 .58 .51 .55 .66 .63 33 OLC1175A 1413 1578 .57 .59 .40 .38B .54 .57 .63 34 OLC1175B 1413 1576 .55 .57 .52 .51 .60 .58 .57 35 OLC1176A 1421 1622 .69 .66 .54 .60 .74 .69 .61 .57 36 OLC1176B 1421 1574 .60 .49 .45 .48 .62 .74 Av segment correlation .64 .52 .48 .64 .56 .53 .55 .58 .55 .48 .40 .44 .68 PART 6: POTENTIAL PROBLEMS: 11:15 Mon 29 Dec 2003 Page 9 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ For each series with potential problems the following diagnostics may appear: [A] Correlations with master dating series of flagged 50-year segments of series filtered with 32-year spline, at every point from ten years earlier (-10) to ten years later (+10) than dated [B] Effect of those data values which most lower or raise correlation with master series Symbol following year indicates value in series is greater (>) or lesser (<) than master series value [C] Year-to-year changes very different from the mean change in other series [D] Absent rings (zero values) [E] Values which are statistical outliers from mean for the year =================================================================================================================================== OLC1151A 1132 to 1401 270 years Series 1 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .523) is: Lower 1305> -.015 1295< -.010 1328> -.009 1176< -.008 1368< -.007 1357< -.007 Higher 1348 .013 1369 .011 [E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1305 +3.8 SD; 1370 +3.1 SD =================================================================================================================================== OLC1151B 1132 to 1383 252 years Series 2 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .537) is: Lower 1374< -.011 1288> -.010 1356< -.008 1287< -.007 1198> -.007 1165< -.007 Higher 1348 .012 1369 .008 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1191 -6.3 SD =================================================================================================================================== OLC1152A 1052 to 1213 162 years Series 3 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .494) is: Lower 1069> -.020 1055< -.016 1082< -.013 1075< -.011 1200> -.009 1066< -.008 Higher 1179 .029 1077 .028 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1140 +3.2 SD =================================================================================================================================== OLC1153A 1460 to 1589 130 years Series 4 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .593) is: Lower 1489> -.015 1463> -.014 1467< -.014 1589> -.011 1469< -.011 1518> -.010 Higher 1549 .016 1565 .015 =================================================================================================================================== OLC1153B 1460 to 1589 130 years Series 5 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .553) is: Lower 1489> -.026 1497< -.019 1463> -.016 1522< -.011 1467< -.009 1583< -.008 Higher 1499 .020 1549 .013 =================================================================================================================================== OLC1154A 1374 to 1693 320 years Series 6 [*] Later part of series cannot be checked from 1675 to 1693 -- not matched by another series [A] Segment High -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 +0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8 +9 +10 --------- ---- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 1374 1423 0 .03 -.08 .19 .07 -.15 .01 -.02 -.11 -.13 .00 .32*-.11 -.02 .03 -.17 .03 -.10 .04 .24 -.19 -.06 1375 1424 0 .04 -.06 .17 .06 -.15 .07 -.01 -.09 -.12 -.01 .31*-.12 -.04 .02 -.19 .05 -.09 .03 .22 -.20 -.05 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .535) is: Lower 1562> -.009 1391> -.008 1456< -.007 1605< -.006 1384< -.006 1643> -.005 Higher 1499 .005 1489 .005 1374 to 1423 segment: Lower 1391> -.057 1384< -.034 1407> -.027 1406< -.025 1411< -.022 1392> -.019 Higher 1408 .080 1409 .033 1375 to 1424 segment: Lower 1391> -.056 1384< -.035 1407> -.027 1406< -.025 1411< -.022 1392> -.019 Higher 1408 .081 1409 .034 [E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1391 +3.0 SD; 1562 +3.2 SD =================================================================================================================================== OLC1154B 1369 to 1674 306 years Series 7 [A] Segment High -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 +0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8 +9 +10 --------- ---- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 1369 1418 0 -.11 -.27 .13 -.01 -.18 -.13 -.24 -.01 -.13 .02 .33* .05 .18 .04 -.14 -.02 -.02 .10 .21 -.01 .00 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .567) is: Lower 1576< -.017 1391> -.009 1670> -.008 1562> -.007 1619< -.007 1516< -.006 Higher 1650 .019 1639 .011 1369 to 1418 segment: Lower 1391> -.048 1390< -.037 1411< -.023 1414> -.021 1384< -.017 1386< -.015 Higher 1408 .072 1409 .029 [E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1576 -4.6 SD; 1653 +3.2 SD =================================================================================================================================== OLC1155A 1504 to 1631 128 years Series 8 [A] Segment High -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 +0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8 +9 +10 --------- ---- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 1575 1624 0 -.10 -.25 .02 -.07 -.21 .20 .20 -.07 -.02 .20 .28* .12 .05 .21 -.17 -.29 -.08 -.05 -.28 -.25 -.13 1582 1631 0 -.06 -.23 .03 -.16 -.18 .19 .16 -.05 -.06 .19 .30* .21 -.01 .15 -.17 -.19 -.13 -.12 -.22 -.22 -.18 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .396) is: Lower 1603> -.021 1587< -.020 1527> -.017 1615< -.016 1572> -.014 1621< -.013 Higher 1554 .018 1565 .013 1575 to 1624 segment: Lower 1603> -.047 1587< -.038 1615< -.032 1621< -.023 1624> -.023 1575> -.016 Higher 1590 .060 1599 .031 1582 to 1631 segment: Lower 1603> -.048 1587< -.034 1615< -.028 1624> -.024 1621< -.020 1614> -.014 Higher 1590 .060 1626 .030 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1614 +3.8 SD =================================================================================================================================== OLC1155B 1504 to 1632 129 years Series 9 [A] Segment High -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 +0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8 +9 +10 --------- ---- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 1583 1632 0 -.23 -.20 -.05 -.23 -.03 -.03 .05 -.01 -.20 .27 .33*-.08 .15 -.14 .12 -.03 .00 .03 -.21 -.09 -.04 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .436) is: Lower 1587< -.027 1605> -.016 1524< -.015 1572> -.013 1514> -.012 1601< -.009 Higher 1518 .019 1565 .019 1583 to 1632 segment: Lower 1587< -.054 1605> -.037 1627< -.017 1619> -.016 1593> -.012 1614< -.010 Higher 1622 .042 1626 .037 =================================================================================================================================== OLC1156A 844 to 1059 216 years Series 10 [A] Segment High -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 +0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8 +9 +10 --------- ---- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 925 974 8 .16 -.03 -.02 -.06 -.01 .05 .11 -.20 -.19 -.05 .49|-.17 -.13 -.17 .06 -.17 -.04 .10 .52* .05 -.08 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .621) is: Lower 920< -.014 1029< -.010 934> -.008 933> -.008 1005< -.008 1058> -.007 Higher 852 .056 1023 .011 925 to 974 segment: Lower 933> -.053 934> -.053 951> -.039 956< -.019 945< -.016 965< -.012 Higher 943 .042 963 .031 [E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 933 +3.1 SD; 934 +4.6 SD =================================================================================================================================== OLC1156B 844 to 1057 214 years Series 11 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .624) is: Lower 1003> -.039 900> -.009 922> -.006 872< -.006 951> -.006 908> -.006 Higher 852 .056 1023 .011 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1003 +3.2 SD =================================================================================================================================== OLC1158A 1336 to 1541 206 years Series 12 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .613) is: Lower 1348> -.020 1468< -.014 1500< -.011 1423< -.006 1489> -.006 1403< -.006 Higher 1422 .013 1499 .013 =================================================================================================================================== OLC1158B 1336 to 1543 208 years Series 13 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .620) is: Lower 1509> -.012 1408> -.012 1489> -.010 1543< -.008 1348> -.008 1340> -.007 Higher 1369 .016 1422 .012 =================================================================================================================================== OLC1161A 918 to 1061 144 years Series 14 [A] Segment High -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 +0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8 +9 +10 --------- ---- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 1012 1061 0 .09 .04 -.12 -.14 -.01 -.01 .03 .14 .05 -.08 .32* .08 .11 -.13 .02 -.24 .08 -.21 -.20 -.20 -.06 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .442) is: Lower 1059> -.016 1012< -.011 1005> -.010 944> -.009 920> -.008 958> -.008 Higher 1003 .028 943 .011 1012 to 1061 segment: Lower 1059> -.062 1012< -.032 1015< -.018 1034< -.015 1054< -.015 1025> -.014 Higher 1023 .044 1027 .029 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1025 +3.4 SD =================================================================================================================================== OLC1161B 918 to 1024 107 years Series 15 [A] Segment High -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 +0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8 +9 +10 --------- ---- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 950 999 -8 .12 .20 .46* .17 .08 -.13 .03 -.26 -.29 -.15 .45| .16 .16 .03 .20 .01 -.26 -.34 -.17 -.39 -.02 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .574) is: Lower 920> -.022 997> -.016 976> -.011 970< -.010 1004> -.010 1019> -.009 Higher 1003 .065 1023 .035 950 to 999 segment: Lower 997> -.040 976> -.026 970< -.025 990< -.022 953< -.022 961< -.018 Higher 978 .041 975 .034 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 997 +4.2 SD =================================================================================================================================== OLC1163A 1197 to 1368 172 years Series 16 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .650) is: Lower 1286< -.018 1249> -.017 1339< -.013 1285> -.012 1247< -.010 1368> -.010 Higher 1328 .027 1198 .011 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1368 +3.1 SD =================================================================================================================================== OLC1163B 1197 to 1376 180 years Series 17 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .590) is: Lower 1369> -.032 1252< -.009 1249> -.008 1290> -.008 1285> -.007 1323< -.007 Higher 1328 .031 1198 .012 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1369 +3.2 SD =================================================================================================================================== OLC1164A 1064 to 1279 216 years Series 18 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .547) is: Lower 1133< -.021 1077> -.015 1213< -.011 1082> -.010 1069< -.009 1255< -.008 Higher 1191 .010 1179 .009 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1230 +3.0 SD =================================================================================================================================== OLC1164B 1058 to 1275 218 years Series 19 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .569) is: Lower 1190> -.012 1058< -.012 1184< -.010 1096> -.009 1230> -.009 1059< -.008 Higher 1077 .020 1179 .017 [E] Outliers 3 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1190 +3.9 SD; 1230 +4.1 SD; 1231 +3.1 SD =================================================================================================================================== OLC1167A 1406 to 1598 193 years Series 20 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .544) is: Lower 1579< -.022 1595< -.013 1590> -.012 1491< -.010 1581< -.010 1572> -.010 Higher 1514 .009 1434 .008 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1579 -5.4 SD =================================================================================================================================== OLC1167B 1406 to 1575 170 years Series 21 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .477) is: Lower 1553< -.028 1509> -.017 1548< -.014 1497< -.012 1572< -.011 1554> -.009 Higher 1422 .021 1489 .015 [E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1489 -6.0 SD; 1566 +3.1 SD =================================================================================================================================== OLC1168A 1432 to 1585 154 years Series 22 [A] Segment High -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 +0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8 +9 +10 --------- ---- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 1525 1574 -4 -.07 .11 .06 .05 -.02 -.16 .44* .03 -.27 .08 .34|-.30 -.13 -.11 -.22 .03 .11 .21 -.04 -.01 -.19 1536 1585 -4 -.08 .17 .04 .13 -.15 -.13 .47* .07 -.36 .07 .24|-.28 -.14 -.09 -.04 .02 .16 .12 -.03 -.02 -.10 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .380) is: Lower 1495< -.040 1562> -.016 1566< -.015 1554> -.011 1537< -.011 1558< -.011 Higher 1533 .021 1499 .015 1525 to 1574 segment: Lower 1562> -.047 1566< -.035 1554> -.033 1537< -.027 1558< -.027 1541< -.019 Higher 1533 .065 1557 .028 1536 to 1585 segment: Lower 1562> -.046 1566< -.035 1554> -.031 1537< -.028 1558< -.028 1541< -.020 Higher 1577 .042 1557 .042 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1491 +3.2 SD =================================================================================================================================== OLC1168B 1432 to 1572 141 years Series 23 [A] Segment High -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 +0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8 +9 +10 --------- ---- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 1523 1572 -4 -.14 .27 -.10 -.08 -.08 -.02 .32*-.04 -.31 .05 .25|-.05 -.01 -.21 -.03 -.07 .19 .12 -.05 .21 -.03 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .427) is: Lower 1566< -.042 1558< -.012 1483> -.011 1562> -.011 1438> -.011 1554> -.010 Higher 1519 .016 1533 .013 1523 to 1572 segment: Lower 1566< -.087 1558< -.025 1562> -.023 1554> -.021 1565> -.016 1549> -.016 Higher 1533 .040 1570 .022 =================================================================================================================================== OLC1169A 1409 to 1634 226 years Series 24 [A] Segment High -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 +0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8 +9 +10 --------- ---- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 1500 1549 0 .13 .20 -.01 -.32 -.03 .03 -.05 -.21 -.20 .18 .31* .04 -.11 -.02 .13 .13 -.13 -.16 -.06 -.02 .08 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .406) is: Lower 1622> -.014 1515< -.012 1495< -.011 1448> -.011 1415< -.009 1470> -.009 Higher 1565 .013 1562 .010 1500 to 1549 segment: Lower 1515< -.060 1548> -.032 1514> -.026 1535< -.023 1513< -.022 1542< -.018 Higher 1519 .050 1536 .032 [E] Outliers 3 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1448 +3.4 SD; 1548 +3.8 SD; 1622 +3.1 SD =================================================================================================================================== OLC1169B 1409 to 1584 176 years Series 25 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .600) is: Lower 1549> -.019 1539< -.017 1496< -.015 1467> -.013 1541< -.012 1578< -.012 Higher 1499 .018 1554 .012 =================================================================================================================================== OLC1170A 1191 to 1355 165 years Series 26 [A] Segment High -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 +0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8 +9 +10 --------- ---- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 1191 1240 0 -.05 -.11 -.17 .15 .09 .12 -.01 -.08 -.22 -.07 .30* .23 .30 -.03 -.17 .10 -.22 -.08 -.02 -.15 -.08 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .581) is: Lower 1191> -.035 1305< -.015 1221< -.013 1294> -.008 1213> -.007 1288> -.007 Higher 1328 .018 1284 .010 1191 to 1240 segment: Lower 1191> -.118 1221< -.047 1213> -.025 1203> -.020 1239< -.020 1233< -.019 Higher 1198 .044 1215 .042 [E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1191 +4.1 SD; 1245 +3.3 SD =================================================================================================================================== OLC1170B 1190 to 1359 170 years Series 27 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .616) is: Lower 1191> -.031 1193< -.013 1221< -.011 1226> -.009 1203> -.009 1241< -.008 Higher 1328 .021 1348 .013 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1191 +3.3 SD =================================================================================================================================== OLC1171A 1229 to 1352 124 years Series 28 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .633) is: Lower 1244< -.046 1351> -.012 1341< -.012 1262< -.010 1314> -.009 1283< -.008 Higher 1328 .021 1348 .020 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1351 +3.0 SD =================================================================================================================================== OLC1171B 1229 to 1357 129 years Series 29 [A] Segment High -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 +0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8 +9 +10 --------- ---- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 1229 1278 -2 -.12 .06 -.02 .13 -.32 -.02 -.05 -.26 .24* .12 .22| .05 -.10 .10 -.18 .15 -.26 .09 .09 -.15 .12 1250 1299 0 -.19 .05 -.12 .11 -.25 -.12 .16 -.10 .23 .01 .30*-.09 .01 .08 -.34 .01 -.24 .02 .00 -.22 .09 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .473) is: Lower 1285> -.030 1245< -.027 1265< -.024 1251< -.011 1236> -.010 1332> -.009 Higher 1328 .054 1305 .019 1229 to 1278 segment: Lower 1245< -.053 1265< -.040 1236> -.025 1270> -.015 1262< -.015 1249> -.012 Higher 1266 .052 1259 .029 1250 to 1299 segment: Lower 1285> -.069 1265< -.048 1251< -.018 1262< -.015 1270> -.013 1295> -.012 Higher 1266 .041 1284 .034 =================================================================================================================================== OLC1172A 1412 to 1563 152 years Series 30 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .609) is: Lower 1499> -.014 1494> -.010 1563> -.009 1467> -.008 1552< -.007 1528< -.006 Higher 1422 .019 1562 .009 =================================================================================================================================== OLC1172B 1412 to 1554 143 years Series 31 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .588) is: Lower 1499> -.021 1467> -.011 1470< -.009 1518> -.006 1447> -.006 1446> -.006 Higher 1422 .013 1450 .013 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1554 -5.2 SD =================================================================================================================================== OLC1173B 1213 to 1339 127 years Series 32 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .538) is: Lower 1332< -.026 1326> -.014 1240< -.014 1221< -.011 1228< -.010 1336< -.008 Higher 1285 .015 1305 .014 =================================================================================================================================== OLC1175A 1413 to 1578 166 years Series 33 [A] Segment High -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 +0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8 +9 +10 --------- ---- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 1475 1524 -5 .21 -.10 -.32 -.05 -.03 .51*-.15 .10 -.17 .21 .38|-.18 -.25 -.18 .07 .17 .05 -.13 .19 .10 .11 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .513) is: Lower 1489> -.031 1413< -.022 1495< -.013 1416> -.009 1525> -.009 1497< -.009 Higher 1422 .032 1533 .012 1475 to 1524 segment: Lower 1489> -.090 1495< -.034 1497< -.024 1521< -.020 1500> -.009 1492< -.008 Higher 1519 .038 1499 .035 [E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1489 +3.4 SD; 1525 +3.8 SD =================================================================================================================================== OLC1175B 1413 to 1576 164 years Series 34 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .523) is: Lower 1413< -.023 1510< -.013 1554> -.008 1519> -.008 1486< -.008 1465< -.007 Higher 1422 .021 1482 .010 =================================================================================================================================== OLC1176A 1421 to 1622 202 years Series 35 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .622) is: Lower 1478> -.012 1584< -.011 1450> -.008 1477> -.008 1562> -.007 1422> -.007 Higher 1499 .010 1590 .010 [E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1478 +4.0 SD; 1479 +3.4 SD =================================================================================================================================== OLC1176B 1421 to 1574 154 years Series 36 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .591) is: Lower 1477> -.017 1450> -.015 1478> -.014 1454< -.011 1442< -.010 1519> -.008 Higher 1422 .011 1565 .011 [E] Outliers 3 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1477 +3.5 SD; 1478 +4.2 SD; 1479 +3.1 SD =================================================================================================================================== PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: 11:15 Mon 29 Dec 2003 Page 10 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 1 OLC1151A 1132 1401 270 11 0 .523 .65 1.98 .346 .883 .177 2.67 .368 -.004 4 2 OLC1151B 1132 1383 252 10 0 .537 .65 2.75 .450 .930 .175 2.59 .335 .032 1 3 OLC1152A 1052 1213 162 6 0 .494 1.17 2.24 .376 .783 .172 2.68 .470 .009 1 4 OLC1153A 1460 1589 130 5 0 .593 1.23 2.32 .421 .817 .166 2.49 .459 -.084 3 5 OLC1153B 1460 1589 130 5 0 .553 1.23 2.27 .419 .775 .183 2.48 .415 -.082 3 6 OLC1154A 1374 1693 320 12 2 .535 .88 2.55 .350 .836 .162 2.69 .425 -.051 1 7 OLC1154B 1369 1674 306 12 1 .567 .81 2.30 .302 .781 .169 2.50 .379 -.030 1 8 OLC1155A 1504 1631 128 5 2 .396 .94 3.49 .595 .947 .142 2.77 .333 .051 1 9 OLC1155B 1504 1632 129 5 1 .436 1.18 3.56 .708 .947 .149 2.77 .544 .083 1 10 OLC1156A 844 1059 216 9 1 .621 .71 1.73 .257 .819 .177 2.61 .379 -.006 1 11 OLC1156B 844 1057 214 9 0 .624 .66 1.67 .263 .882 .153 2.60 .378 .015 1 12 OLC1158A 1336 1541 206 8 0 .613 .63 1.79 .310 .851 .202 2.76 .465 .040 1 13 OLC1158B 1336 1543 208 8 0 .620 .57 1.65 .299 .880 .205 2.68 .406 -.006 1 14 OLC1161A 918 1061 144 6 1 .442 1.22 2.50 .497 .912 .150 2.47 .287 .006 2 15 OLC1161B 918 1024 107 4 1 .574 1.25 2.68 .503 .891 .157 2.75 .436 -.033 1 16 OLC1163A 1197 1368 172 7 0 .650 .98 1.86 .326 .711 .212 2.70 .409 -.058 1 17 OLC1163B 1197 1376 180 8 0 .590 .78 1.72 .286 .720 .225 2.50 .346 -.064 1 18 OLC1164A 1064 1279 216 9 0 .547 .82 2.20 .324 .830 .173 2.71 .477 -.085 2 19 OLC1164B 1058 1275 218 9 0 .569 .84 2.15 .307 .791 .180 2.84 .543 -.037 2 20 OLC1167A 1406 1598 193 7 0 .544 .66 2.84 .500 .920 .225 2.71 .377 -.011 1 21 OLC1167B 1406 1575 170 7 0 .477 .66 3.09 .550 .933 .226 2.58 .372 -.064 2 22 OLC1168A 1432 1585 154 6 2 .380 .73 3.82 .620 .953 .171 2.71 .490 .025 1 23 OLC1168B 1432 1572 141 5 1 .427 .71 4.08 .714 .968 .160 2.69 .498 -.034 2 24 OLC1169A 1409 1634 226 9 1 .406 .80 3.25 .502 .906 .175 2.57 .339 -.039 1 25 OLC1169B 1409 1584 176 7 0 .600 .81 3.18 .654 .949 .163 2.62 .474 -.055 1 26 OLC1170A 1191 1355 165 7 1 .581 .85 2.11 .450 .928 .177 2.46 .307 .007 1 27 OLC1170B 1190 1359 170 7 0 .616 .78 2.50 .575 .948 .163 2.84 .488 .000 1 28 OLC1171A 1229 1352 124 5 0 .633 .75 1.95 .394 .890 .194 2.66 .430 .002 1 29 OLC1171B 1229 1357 129 5 2 .473 .82 1.62 .303 .722 .214 2.61 .490 .014 1 30 OLC1172A 1412 1563 152 6 0 .609 .68 1.72 .324 .806 .208 2.57 .431 -.048 1 31 OLC1172B 1412 1554 143 6 0 .588 .69 1.70 .370 .843 .203 2.53 .369 .004 1 32 OLC1173B 1213 1339 127 5 0 .538 .91 2.82 .510 .891 .207 2.63 .498 -.040 2 33 OLC1175A 1413 1578 166 7 1 .513 .94 3.01 .709 .967 .157 2.67 .387 -.004 4 34 OLC1175B 1413 1576 164 7 0 .523 1.00 3.02 .697 .963 .161 2.76 .427 -.066 2 35 OLC1176A 1421 1622 202 8 0 .622 .89 3.63 .634 .945 .170 2.67 .388 -.008 3 36 OLC1176B 1421 1574 154 6 0 .591 .91 4.09 .791 .959 .165 2.68 .454 .007 1 --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- Total or mean: 6464 258 17 .548 .83 4.09 .446 .871 .179 2.84 .414 -.018 - = [ COFECHA ISOK2COF ] = -