[] Dendrochronology Program Library Run KYRON Program COF 12:02 Wed 03 Feb 2004 Page 1 [] [] P R O G R A M C O F E C H A Version 6.06P 25238 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ QUALITY CONTROL AND DATING CHECK OF TREE-RING MEASUREMENTS File of DATED series: kyron.tu_ CONTENTS: Part 1: Title page, options selected, summary, absent rings by series Part 2: Histogram of time spans Part 3: Master series with sample depth and absent rings by year Part 4: Bar plot of Master Dating Series Part 5: Correlation by segment of each series with Master Part 6: Potential problems: low correlation, divergent year-to-year changes, absent rings, outliers Part 7: Descriptive statistics RUN CONTROL OPTIONS SELECTED VALUE 1 Cubic smoothing spline 50% wavelength cutoff for filtering 32 years 2 Segments examined are 50 years lagged successively by 25 years 3 Autoregressive model applied A Residuals are used in master dating series and testing 4 Series transformed to logarithms Y Each series log-transformed for master dating series and testing 5 CORRELATION is Pearson (parametric, quantitative) Critical correlation, 99% confidence level .3281 6 Master dating series saved C 7 Ring measurements listed N 8 Parts printed 1234567 9 Absent rings are omitted from master series and segment correlations (Y) Time span of Master dating series is 1864 to 1993 130 years Continuous time span is 1864 to 1993 130 years Portion with two or more series is 1864 to 1993 130 years **************************************** *C* Number of dated series 55 *C* *O* Master series 1864 1993 130 yrs *O* *F* Total rings in all series 6731 *F* *E* Total dated rings checked 6731 *E* *C* Series intercorrelation .585 *C* *H* Average mean sensitivity .204 *H* *A* Segments, possible problems 7 *A* *** Mean length of series 122.4 *** **************************************** ABSENT RINGS listed by SERIES: (See Master Dating Series for absent rings listed by year) No ring measurements of zero value PART 2: TIME PLOT OF TREE-RING SERIES: 12:02 Wed 03 Feb 2004 Page 2 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1050 1100 1150 1200 1250 1300 1350 1400 1450 1500 1550 1600 1650 1700 1750 1800 1850 1900 1950 2000 2050 Ident Seq Time-span Yrs : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : -------- --- ---- ---- ---- . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<============>. . OMA0321A 1 1866 1993 128 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<============>. . OMA0321B 2 1865 1990 126 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===========>. . OMA0322A 3 1879 1993 115 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===========>. . OMA0322B 4 1876 1993 118 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===========>. . OMA0324A 5 1872 1993 122 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===========>. . OMA0324B 6 1878 1993 116 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===========>. . OMA0325A 7 1871 1993 123 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===========>. . OMA0325B 8 1876 1993 118 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===========>. . OMA0326A 9 1875 1993 119 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===========>. . OMA0326B 10 1878 1993 116 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<============>. . OMA0327A 11 1867 1993 127 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<============>. . OMA0327B 12 1866 1993 128 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===========>. . OMA0328A 13 1871 1993 123 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===========>. . OMA0328B 14 1873 1993 121 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<============>. . OMA0329B 15 1868 1993 126 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===========>. . OMA0330A 16 1872 1993 122 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<============>. . OMA0330B 17 1865 1993 129 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <==========>. . OMA0331A 18 1882 1993 112 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===========>. . OMA0331B 19 1878 1993 116 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<============>. . OMA0332A 20 1865 1993 129 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<============>. . OMA0332B 21 1866 1993 128 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <==========> . . OMA0333A 22 1871 1989 119 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===========>. . OMA0333B 23 1874 1992 119 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===========>. . OMA0334A 24 1877 1993 117 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <==========>. . OMA0334B 25 1883 1993 111 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===========>. . OMA0335A 26 1878 1993 116 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===========>. . OMA0335B 27 1879 1993 115 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<============>. . OMA0336A 28 1868 1993 126 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===========>. . OMA0336B 29 1873 1993 121 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<============>. . OMA0337A 30 1869 1993 125 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<============>. . OMA0337B 31 1864 1993 130 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===========>. . OMA0338A 32 1870 1993 124 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===========>. . OMA0338B 33 1873 1993 121 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<============>. . OMA0339A 34 1866 1992 127 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===========>. . OMA0339B 35 1877 1992 116 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<============>. . OMA0340A 36 1866 1993 128 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <==========>. . OMA0340B 37 1883 1993 111 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<============>. . OMA0341A 38 1868 1993 126 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<============>. . OMA0341B 39 1865 1993 129 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===========>. . OMA0342A 40 1873 1993 121 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<============>. . OMA0342B 41 1868 1993 126 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<============>. . OMA0343A 42 1866 1993 128 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<============>. . OMA0343B 43 1865 1993 129 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===========>. . OMA0344A 44 1871 1993 123 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===========>. . OMA0344B 45 1878 1993 116 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<============>. . OMA0345A 46 1868 1993 126 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<============>. . OMA0345B 47 1867 1993 127 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<============>. . OMA0346A 48 1867 1993 127 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<============>. . OMA0346B 49 1864 1993 130 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===========>. . OMA0347A 50 1876 1993 118 : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : 1050 1100 1150 1200 1250 1300 1350 1400 1450 1500 1550 1600 1650 1700 1750 1800 1850 1900 1950 2000 2050 PART 2: TIME PLOT OF TREE-RING SERIES: 12:02 Wed 03 Feb 2004 Page 3 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1050 1100 1150 1200 1250 1300 1350 1400 1450 1500 1550 1600 1650 1700 1750 1800 1850 1900 1950 2000 2050 Ident Seq Time-span Yrs : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : -------- --- ---- ---- ---- . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===========>. . OMA0348A 51 1872 1993 122 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<============>. . OMA0348B 52 1867 1993 127 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<============>. . OMA0349A 53 1869 1993 125 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===========>. . OMA0349B 54 1872 1993 122 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===========>. . OMA0350B 55 1873 1993 121 : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : 1050 1100 1150 1200 1250 1300 1350 1400 1450 1500 1550 1600 1650 1700 1750 1800 1850 1900 1950 2000 2050 PART 3: Master Dating Series: 12:02 Wed 03 Feb 2004 Page 4 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ 1900 -.595 55 1950 1.540 55 1901 -.575 55 1951 .050 55 1902 -1.323 55 1952 .072 55 1903 1.219 55 1953 1.318 55 1904 .456 55 1954 1.537 55 1905 .507 55 1955 .314 55 1906 -1.301 55 1956 -1.553 55 1907 .363 55 1957 1.687 55 1908 .708 55 1958 .822 55 1909 -1.909 55 1959 .945 55 1910 -.767 55 1960 -.440 55 1911 -1.373 55 1961 -.291 55 1912 -.714 55 1962 -.994 55 1913 -.423 55 1963 -1.655 55 1864 .080 2 1914 .795 55 1964 -1.527 55 1865 1.415 7 1915 .686 55 1965 -1.266 55 1866 .599 13 1916 -.483 55 1966 -1.115 55 1867 -.440 17 1917 -1.546 55 1967 .821 55 1868 -.059 22 1918 -1.493 55 1968 -.348 55 1869 .046 24 1919 -.435 55 1969 -1.980 55 1870 1.063 25 1920 1.187 55 1970 -.520 55 1871 -.350 29 1921 1.916 55 1971 -.699 55 1872 -.905 33 1922 1.532 55 1972 -.410 55 1873 .663 38 1923 .836 55 1973 .070 55 1874 1.024 39 1924 1.526 55 1974 .464 55 1875 -1.468 40 1925 1.210 55 1975 .775 55 1876 -.342 43 1926 -1.513 55 1976 .591 55 1877 .002 45 1927 .408 55 1977 1.128 55 1878 -.674 50 1928 -.880 55 1978 .462 55 1879 -.844 52 1929 -.241 55 1979 .693 55 1880 -.122 52 1930 -.001 55 1980 .532 55 1881 -.169 52 1931 -.522 55 1981 .122 55 1882 2.284 53 1932 1.366 55 1982 1.162 55 1883 .696 55 1933 .771 55 1983 1.352 55 1884 .536 55 1934 1.715 55 1984 -.312 55 1885 -.115 55 1935 .054 55 1985 -.995 55 1886 .195 55 1936 -1.172 55 1986 .194 55 1887 -.718 55 1937 -.115 55 1987 -.903 55 1888 .152 55 1938 .258 55 1988 .299 55 1889 -3.359 55 1939 -.637 55 1989 -.468 55 1890 1.864 55 1940 -2.713 55 1990 .311 54 1891 .900 55 1941 -1.446 55 1991 .061 53 1892 .198 55 1942 -2.366 55 1992 .156 53 1893 .258 55 1943 .278 55 1993 -.938 50 1894 .528 55 1944 .041 55 1895 -.246 55 1945 .167 55 1896 .212 55 1946 -.101 55 1897 .428 55 1947 .003 55 1898 1.150 55 1948 .344 55 1899 .071 55 1949 .682 55 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ PART 4: Master Bar Plot: 12:02 Wed 03 Feb 2004 Page 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value 1900--b 1950----------F 1901--b 1951-----@ 1902-e 1952-----@ 1903---------E 1953---------E 1904-------B 1954----------F 1905-------B 1955------A 1906-e 1956f 1907------A 1957----------G 1908--------C 1958--------C 1909h 1959---------D 1910--c 1960---b 1911e 1961---a 1912--c 1962-d 1913---b 1963g 1864-----@ 1914--------C 1964f 1865----------F 1915--------C 1965-e 1866-------B 1916---b 1966-d 1867---b 1917f 1967--------C 1868----@ 1918f 1968---a 1869-----@ 1919---b 1969h 1870---------D 1920---------E 1970---b 1871---a 1921----------H 1971--c 1872-d 1922----------F 1972---b 1873--------C 1923--------C 1973-----@ 1874---------D 1924----------F 1974-------B 1875f 1925---------E 1975--------C 1876---a 1926f 1976-------B 1877-----@ 1927-------B 1977---------E 1878--c 1928--d 1978-------B 1879--c 1929----a 1979--------C 1880----@ 1930-----@ 1980-------B 1881----a 1931---b 1981-----@ 1882----------I 1932----------E 1982---------E 1883--------C 1933--------C 1983----------E 1884-------B 1934----------G 1984---a 1885----@ 1935-----@ 1985-d 1886------A 1936-e 1986------A 1887--c 1937----@ 1987-d 1888-----A 1938------A 1988------A 1889m 1939--c 1989---b 1890----------G 1940k 1990------A 1891--------D 1941f 1991-----@ 1892------A 1942i 1992-----A 1893------A 1943------A 1993-d 1894-------B 1944-----@ 1895----a 1945------A 1896------A 1946----@ 1897-------B 1947-----@ 1898---------E 1948------A 1899-----@ 1949--------C PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: 12:02 Wed 03 Feb 2004 Page 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1850 1875 1900 1925 1950 1899 1924 1949 1974 1999 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 OMA0321A 1866 1993 .75 .75 .63 .60 .58 2 OMA0321B 1865 1990 .71 .67 .63 .72 .74 3 OMA0322A 1879 1993 .66 .62 .59 .66 4 OMA0322B 1876 1993 .75 .71 .70 .61 5 OMA0324A 1872 1993 .58 .61 .76 .57 .43 6 OMA0324B 1878 1993 .64 .61 .58 .56 7 OMA0325A 1871 1993 .69 .76 .68 .54 .55 8 OMA0325B 1876 1993 .59 .57 .52 .51 9 OMA0326A 1875 1993 .58 .54 .54 .47 10 OMA0326B 1878 1993 .70 .62 .53 .33A 11 OMA0327A 1867 1993 .46 .55 .62 .66 .42 12 OMA0327B 1866 1993 .54 .62 .72 .65 .47 13 OMA0328A 1871 1993 .37 .43 .60 .68 .51 14 OMA0328B 1873 1993 .74 .72 .69 .70 .42 15 OMA0329B 1868 1993 .44 .48 .62 .41 .29A 16 OMA0330A 1872 1993 .61 .60 .61 .65 .47 17 OMA0330B 1865 1993 .72 .73 .63 .62 .56 18 OMA0331A 1882 1993 .82 .71 .64 .60 19 OMA0331B 1878 1993 .47 .48 .65 .58 20 OMA0332A 1865 1993 .57 .58 .70 .79 .64 21 OMA0332B 1866 1993 .54 .58 .57 .58 .53 22 OMA0333A 1871 1989 .70 .72 .74 .66 .47 23 OMA0333B 1874 1992 .65 .64 .67 .54 .33A 24 OMA0334A 1877 1993 .55 .44 .66 .39 25 OMA0334B 1883 1993 .70 .54 .69 .65 26 OMA0335A 1878 1993 .53 .43 .41 .25B 27 OMA0335B 1879 1993 .74 .57 .49 .25B 28 OMA0336A 1868 1993 .51 .58 .53 .63 .54 29 OMA0336B 1873 1993 .55 .56 .56 .68 .58 30 OMA0337A 1869 1993 .78 .78 .69 .55 .37 31 OMA0337B 1864 1993 .74 .82 .65 .64 .62 32 OMA0338A 1870 1993 .81 .61 .47 .61 .62 33 OMA0338B 1873 1993 .59 .59 .52 .71 .53 34 OMA0339A 1866 1992 .45 .53 .67 .51 .07B 35 OMA0339B 1877 1992 .73 .72 .57 .32B 36 OMA0340A 1866 1993 .52 .59 .69 .50 .44 37 OMA0340B 1883 1993 .49 .58 .64 .58 38 OMA0341A 1868 1993 .69 .73 .67 .56 .52 39 OMA0341B 1865 1993 .53 .62 .62 .76 .77 40 OMA0342A 1873 1993 .63 .64 .64 .70 .65 41 OMA0342B 1868 1993 .70 .75 .73 .68 .63 42 OMA0343A 1866 1993 .58 .60 .58 .62 .58 43 OMA0343B 1865 1993 .42 .41 .44 .66 .37 44 OMA0344A 1871 1993 .55 .59 .61 .76 .69 45 OMA0344B 1878 1993 .73 .64 .64 .61 46 OMA0345A 1868 1993 .64 .63 .80 .77 .66 47 OMA0345B 1867 1993 .53 .56 .64 .65 .51 48 OMA0346A 1867 1993 .63 .72 .64 .49 .44 49 OMA0346B 1864 1993 .43 .50 .52 .72 .63 50 OMA0347A 1876 1993 .52 .62 .72 .58 51 OMA0348A 1872 1993 .55 .52 .70 .66 .49 52 OMA0348B 1867 1993 .51 .60 .64 .66 .60 53 OMA0349A 1869 1993 .47 .47 .53 .57 .45 54 OMA0349B 1872 1993 .57 .55 .49 .54 .49 55 OMA0350B 1873 1993 .71 .71 .66 .71 .69 Av segment correlation .59 .62 .62 .62 .51 PART 6: POTENTIAL PROBLEMS: 12:02 Wed 03 Feb 2004 Page 6 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ For each series with potential problems the following diagnostics may appear: [A] Correlations with master dating series of flagged 50-year segments of series filtered with 32-year spline, at every point from ten years earlier (-10) to ten years later (+10) than dated [B] Effect of those data values which most lower or raise correlation with master series Symbol following year indicates value in series is greater (>) or lesser (<) than master series value [C] Year-to-year changes very different from the mean change in other series [D] Absent rings (zero values) [E] Values which are statistical outliers from mean for the year =================================================================================================================================== OMA0321A 1866 to 1993 128 years Series 1 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .645) is: Lower 1991< -.019 1922< -.017 1939> -.015 1937< -.011 1941> -.009 1980< -.009 Higher 1889 .052 1909 .021 =================================================================================================================================== OMA0321B 1865 to 1990 126 years Series 2 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .676) is: Lower 1925< -.025 1924< -.018 1976< -.013 1940> -.011 1893< -.009 1902> -.009 Higher 1909 .018 1889 .016 =================================================================================================================================== OMA0322A 1879 to 1993 115 years Series 3 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .627) is: Lower 1940> -.021 1891< -.020 1939< -.014 1906> -.012 1961< -.011 1993> -.008 Higher 1909 .027 1882 .010 =================================================================================================================================== OMA0322B 1876 to 1993 118 years Series 4 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .704) is: Lower 1940> -.015 1985> -.011 1899> -.009 1957< -.009 1911> -.007 1886< -.007 Higher 1889 .039 1909 .013 =================================================================================================================================== OMA0324A 1872 to 1993 122 years Series 5 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .550) is: Lower 1878< -.027 1971< -.019 1898< -.018 1988< -.014 1965> -.010 1873< -.009 Higher 1875 .019 1942 .015 =================================================================================================================================== OMA0324B 1878 to 1993 116 years Series 6 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .581) is: Lower 1993> -.014 1969> -.013 1975< -.013 1943< -.012 1968< -.011 1882< -.009 Higher 1909 .018 1942 .016 =================================================================================================================================== OMA0325A 1871 to 1993 123 years Series 7 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .641) is: Lower 1875> -.015 1871> -.012 1902> -.011 1873< -.011 1895> -.009 1876< -.009 Higher 1889 .075 1882 .013 =================================================================================================================================== OMA0325B 1876 to 1993 118 years Series 8 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .516) is: Lower 1889> -.037 1935< -.024 1977< -.022 1894< -.020 1942> -.018 1976< -.012 Higher 1909 .035 1890 .020 =================================================================================================================================== OMA0326A 1875 to 1993 119 years Series 9 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .506) is: Lower 1987< -.045 1936> -.012 1900> -.011 1934< -.010 1984> -.009 1891< -.008 Higher 1890 .021 1940 .018 =================================================================================================================================== OMA0326B 1878 to 1993 116 years Series 10 [A] Segment High -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 +0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8 +9 +10 --------- ---- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 1944 1993 0 -.09 -.13 -.22 .00 .10 .28 -.01 .20 -.01 .19 .33* - - - - - - - - - - [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .499) is: Lower 1990< -.119 1936> -.016 1984> -.013 1951> -.012 1895> -.010 1947< -.008 Higher 1889 .053 1909 .027 1944 to 1993 segment: Lower 1990< -.232 1984> -.034 1951> -.027 1954< -.016 1971> -.012 1947< -.011 Higher 1969 .071 1956 .047 [C] Year-to-year changes diverging by over 4.0 std deviations: 1989 1990 -4.5 SD [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1990 -5.1 SD =================================================================================================================================== OMA0327A 1867 to 1993 127 years Series 11 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .546) is: Lower 1969> -.023 1909> -.014 1867> -.014 1900< -.013 1883< -.012 1905< -.009 Higher 1889 .043 1940 .037 =================================================================================================================================== OMA0327B 1866 to 1993 128 years Series 12 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .574) is: Lower 1872< -.025 1875> -.018 1936> -.015 1955< -.011 1896< -.010 1989> -.009 Higher 1940 .025 1890 .019 =================================================================================================================================== OMA0328A 1871 to 1993 123 years Series 13 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .485) is: Lower 1876< -.049 1978< -.013 1872> -.012 1962> -.011 1918> -.009 1911> -.009 Higher 1940 .022 1906 .019 =================================================================================================================================== OMA0328B 1873 to 1993 121 years Series 14 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .653) is: Lower 1993> -.016 1918> -.016 1987> -.013 1979< -.008 1899> -.007 1953< -.007 Higher 1889 .073 1940 .027 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1889 -4.9 SD =================================================================================================================================== OMA0329B 1868 to 1993 126 years Series 15 [A] Segment High -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 +0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8 +9 +10 --------- ---- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 1944 1993 0 .09 -.27 -.30 -.05 .15 -.13 .07 -.05 .19 -.11 .29* - - - - - - - - - - [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .451) is: Lower 1954< -.036 1946< -.014 1911> -.013 1890< -.011 1884< -.011 1868< -.008 Higher 1909 .043 1940 .034 1944 to 1993 segment: Lower 1954< -.090 1956> -.024 1971> -.018 1946< -.017 1993> -.016 1958< -.012 Higher 1967 .033 1962 .027 [C] Year-to-year changes diverging by over 4.0 std deviations: 1889 1890 -4.3 SD =================================================================================================================================== OMA0330A 1872 to 1993 122 years Series 16 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .571) is: Lower 1987> -.018 1909> -.016 1937< -.015 1991< -.014 1971> -.010 1910< -.010 Higher 1926 .019 1890 .013 =================================================================================================================================== OMA0330B 1865 to 1993 129 years Series 17 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .640) is: Lower 1898< -.017 1983< -.012 1991< -.012 1934< -.011 1940> -.008 1914< -.007 Higher 1889 .023 1969 .013 =================================================================================================================================== OMA0331A 1882 to 1993 112 years Series 18 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .742) is: Lower 1948< -.018 1942> -.016 1902> -.009 1960> -.009 1953< -.007 1923< -.007 Higher 1889 .054 1909 .017 =================================================================================================================================== OMA0331B 1878 to 1993 116 years Series 19 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .557) is: Lower 1904< -.047 1917> -.020 1988< -.013 1948< -.011 1965< -.010 1932< -.010 Higher 1940 .040 1889 .034 =================================================================================================================================== OMA0332A 1865 to 1993 129 years Series 20 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .665) is: Lower 1906> -.026 1875> -.012 1914< -.009 1912< -.008 1877< -.006 1991< -.006 Higher 1940 .022 1909 .022 =================================================================================================================================== OMA0332B 1866 to 1993 128 years Series 21 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .532) is: Lower 1938< -.052 1889> -.026 1992< -.023 1906> -.021 1993> -.008 1897< -.007 Higher 1909 .019 1942 .018 =================================================================================================================================== OMA0333A 1871 to 1989 119 years Series 22 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .576) is: Lower 1975< -.061 1969> -.016 1987> -.010 1901< -.010 1925< -.009 1983< -.008 Higher 1940 .027 1909 .022 =================================================================================================================================== OMA0333B 1874 to 1992 119 years Series 23 [A] Segment High -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 +0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8 +9 +10 --------- ---- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 1943 1992 0 .09 -.06 .19 -.04 .01 .13 .09 -.01 -.04 -.01 .33* .26 - - - - - - - - - [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .529) is: Lower 1889> -.039 1927< -.025 1939> -.022 1968< -.020 1987> -.018 1950< -.016 Higher 1909 .028 1940 .027 1943 to 1992 segment: Lower 1987> -.056 1950< -.044 1988< -.031 1969> -.020 1991> -.019 1983< -.014 Higher 1956 .051 1957 .035 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1939 +3.2 SD =================================================================================================================================== OMA0334A 1877 to 1993 117 years Series 24 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .541) is: Lower 1906> -.028 1987> -.015 1908< -.014 1917> -.013 1904< -.013 1909> -.012 Higher 1889 .106 1957 .019 =================================================================================================================================== OMA0334B 1883 to 1993 111 years Series 25 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .661) is: Lower 1914< -.020 1907< -.017 1909> -.014 1933< -.012 1904< -.011 1941< -.010 Higher 1889 .069 1926 .017 =================================================================================================================================== OMA0335A 1878 to 1993 116 years Series 26 [A] Segment High -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 +0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8 +9 +10 --------- ---- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 1944 1993 -7 .19 .03 .05 .33*-.12 -.12 .08 -.07 -.11 -.03 .25| - - - - - - - - - - [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .418) is: Lower 1979< -.035 1895< -.031 1991< -.014 1949< -.011 1937< -.011 1939> -.011 Higher 1889 .065 1940 .021 1944 to 1993 segment: Lower 1979< -.078 1956> -.028 1983< -.025 1949< -.025 1993> -.025 1964> -.018 Higher 1963 .059 1957 .057 =================================================================================================================================== OMA0335B 1879 to 1993 115 years Series 27 [A] Segment High -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 +0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8 +9 +10 --------- ---- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 1944 1993 -7 .16 .07 .23 .25*-.20 -.26 .05 .06 -.03 -.06 .25| - - - - - - - - - - [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .580) is: Lower 1979< -.026 1960> -.017 1993> -.012 1949< -.012 1937< -.010 1936> -.009 Higher 1889 .084 1940 .033 1944 to 1993 segment: Lower 1979< -.064 1960> -.044 1993> -.032 1949< -.031 1989> -.016 1962> -.015 Higher 1956 .039 1953 .037 =================================================================================================================================== OMA0336A 1868 to 1993 126 years Series 28 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .560) is: Lower 1869< -.032 1906> -.018 1902> -.013 1934< -.012 1918> -.011 1956> -.009 Higher 1889 .067 1940 .029 =================================================================================================================================== OMA0336B 1873 to 1993 121 years Series 29 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .596) is: Lower 1900< -.018 1875> -.016 1880< -.015 1881< -.013 1918> -.012 1878> -.012 Higher 1889 .074 1969 .016 =================================================================================================================================== OMA0337A 1869 to 1993 125 years Series 30 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .648) is: Lower 1969> -.017 1909> -.016 1879> -.014 1987> -.013 1971< -.012 1992< -.009 Higher 1889 .067 1890 .012 =================================================================================================================================== OMA0337B 1864 to 1993 130 years Series 31 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .693) is: Lower 1869< -.013 1926> -.011 1949< -.010 1942> -.007 1867> -.007 1868< -.007 Higher 1889 .057 1940 .017 =================================================================================================================================== OMA0338A 1870 to 1993 124 years Series 32 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .627) is: Lower 1921< -.087 1933< -.014 1953< -.010 1926> -.008 1954< -.008 1942> -.008 Higher 1889 .059 1940 .030 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1921 -5.1 SD =================================================================================================================================== OMA0338B 1873 to 1993 121 years Series 33 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .608) is: Lower 1921< -.070 1986< -.019 1919< -.010 1988< -.010 1893< -.009 1993> -.009 Higher 1889 .063 1940 .032 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1921 -4.5 SD =================================================================================================================================== OMA0339A 1866 to 1992 127 years Series 34 [A] Segment High -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 +0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8 +9 +10 --------- ---- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 1943 1992 1 -.14 -.03 .03 .01 -.03 -.07 .10 .21 .08 -.22 .07| .30* - - - - - - - - - [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .443) is: Lower 1969> -.028 1888< -.019 1906> -.016 1983< -.015 1956> -.013 1867> -.011 Higher 1926 .034 1875 .030 1943 to 1992 segment: Lower 1969> -.081 1983< -.041 1956> -.032 1989> -.027 1987> -.026 1985> -.022 Higher 1957 .053 1950 .052 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1969 +3.3 SD =================================================================================================================================== OMA0339B 1877 to 1992 116 years Series 35 [A] Segment High -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 +0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8 +9 +10 --------- ---- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 1943 1992 1 -.17 .03 -.12 -.23 -.17 -.25 -.17 -.08 -.15 -.19 .32| .34* - - - - - - - - - [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .571) is: Lower 1969> -.030 1989> -.019 1909> -.018 1940> -.017 1984< -.014 1980< -.013 Higher 1889 .036 1942 .020 1943 to 1992 segment: Lower 1969> -.081 1989> -.046 1977< -.026 1980< -.024 1983< -.012 1987> -.012 Higher 1957 .040 1967 .033 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1989 +3.2 SD =================================================================================================================================== OMA0340A 1866 to 1993 128 years Series 36 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .499) is: Lower 1981< -.019 1987< -.016 1943< -.014 1875> -.010 1963> -.009 1968> -.009 Higher 1909 .023 1926 .015 =================================================================================================================================== OMA0340B 1883 to 1993 111 years Series 37 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .546) is: Lower 1889> -.037 1905< -.027 1898< -.011 1951> -.010 1900> -.010 1903< -.009 Higher 1909 .040 1890 .023 =================================================================================================================================== OMA0341A 1868 to 1993 126 years Series 38 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .641) is: Lower 1970< -.018 1872< -.014 1931< -.011 1916> -.008 1962> -.008 1918> -.008 Higher 1889 .035 1940 .021 =================================================================================================================================== OMA0341B 1865 to 1993 129 years Series 39 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .641) is: Lower 1867> -.020 1865< -.015 1889> -.011 1942> -.009 1918> -.009 1866< -.008 Higher 1890 .016 1969 .012 =================================================================================================================================== OMA0342A 1873 to 1993 121 years Series 40 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .640) is: Lower 1875> -.024 1987> -.014 1991< -.013 1944< -.013 1887> -.008 1942> -.007 Higher 1890 .013 1969 .010 =================================================================================================================================== OMA0342B 1868 to 1993 126 years Series 41 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .692) is: Lower 1988< -.014 1901< -.013 1960< -.010 1975< -.009 1902> -.008 1930< -.006 Higher 1889 .018 1909 .015 =================================================================================================================================== OMA0343A 1866 to 1993 128 years Series 42 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .578) is: Lower 1873< -.020 1903< -.017 1917> -.015 1906> -.012 1875> -.012 1936> -.010 Higher 1889 .050 1926 .021 =================================================================================================================================== OMA0343B 1865 to 1993 129 years Series 43 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .428) is: Lower 1982< -.052 1909> -.039 1969> -.020 1898< -.019 1867< -.016 1921< -.010 Higher 1889 .036 1906 .016 [C] Year-to-year changes diverging by over 4.0 std deviations: 1982 1983 4.4 SD [E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1909 +3.2 SD; 1982 -5.2 SD =================================================================================================================================== OMA0344A 1871 to 1993 123 years Series 44 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .628) is: Lower 1902< -.026 1911> -.014 1890< -.012 1872> -.010 1993> -.008 1963> -.007 Higher 1889 .035 1926 .017 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1875 -5.0 SD =================================================================================================================================== OMA0344B 1878 to 1993 116 years Series 45 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .688) is: Lower 1906> -.023 1905< -.016 1992< -.014 1959< -.014 1934< -.009 1963> -.007 Higher 1889 .063 1909 .012 =================================================================================================================================== OMA0345A 1868 to 1993 126 years Series 46 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .698) is: Lower 1883< -.027 1889> -.024 1986< -.008 1939> -.008 1878> -.007 1972< -.007 Higher 1940 .021 1909 .014 =================================================================================================================================== OMA0345B 1867 to 1993 127 years Series 47 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .564) is: Lower 1889> -.019 1917> -.014 1867> -.013 1948< -.011 1969> -.011 1922< -.010 Higher 1909 .024 1926 .022 =================================================================================================================================== OMA0346A 1867 to 1993 127 years Series 48 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .577) is: Lower 1990< -.022 1873< -.015 1926> -.012 1888< -.010 1901> -.008 1937< -.008 Higher 1889 .077 1969 .014 =================================================================================================================================== OMA0346B 1864 to 1993 130 years Series 49 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .569) is: Lower 1904< -.047 1906> -.024 1902> -.009 1894< -.008 1992> -.007 1869> -.006 Higher 1889 .036 1940 .012 =================================================================================================================================== OMA0347A 1876 to 1993 118 years Series 50 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .573) is: Lower 1889> -.025 1905< -.022 1984> -.014 1911< -.011 1887< -.009 1877< -.009 Higher 1890 .019 1940 .015 =================================================================================================================================== OMA0348A 1872 to 1993 122 years Series 51 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .572) is: Lower 1889> -.059 1896< -.026 1989> -.013 1923< -.011 1891< -.009 1952< -.006 Higher 1926 .023 1875 .020 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1889 +3.3 SD =================================================================================================================================== OMA0348B 1867 to 1993 127 years Series 52 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .577) is: Lower 1889> -.022 1867> -.016 1909> -.014 1897< -.013 1940> -.012 1901< -.009 Higher 1875 .018 1890 .017 =================================================================================================================================== OMA0349A 1869 to 1993 125 years Series 53 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .493) is: Lower 1897< -.027 1978< -.024 1909> -.016 1984> -.010 1887> -.010 1979< -.008 Higher 1875 .022 1906 .018 =================================================================================================================================== OMA0349B 1872 to 1993 122 years Series 54 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .484) is: Lower 1983< -.018 1978< -.011 1948< -.010 1993> -.010 1918> -.008 1925< -.008 Higher 1906 .019 1875 .016 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1963 -5.8 SD =================================================================================================================================== OMA0350B 1873 to 1993 121 years Series 55 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .704) is: Lower 1909> -.022 1991< -.009 1901< -.008 1900> -.006 1940> -.006 1887> -.006 Higher 1875 .013 1889 .012 =================================================================================================================================== PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: 12:02 Wed 03 Feb 2004 Page 7 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 1 OMA0321A 1866 1993 128 5 0 .645 1.16 2.92 .469 .658 .250 2.72 .476 -.090 1 2 OMA0321B 1865 1990 126 5 0 .676 1.10 2.99 .448 .695 .216 2.58 .393 -.052 1 3 OMA0322A 1879 1993 115 4 0 .627 1.39 2.96 .542 .837 .169 2.65 .538 -.009 2 4 OMA0322B 1876 1993 118 4 0 .704 1.16 2.61 .537 .920 .146 2.62 .385 -.047 1 5 OMA0324A 1872 1993 122 5 0 .550 1.01 2.92 .482 .835 .196 2.67 .448 -.093 1 6 OMA0324B 1878 1993 116 4 0 .581 1.17 3.32 .525 .831 .185 2.66 .463 .029 1 7 OMA0325A 1871 1993 123 5 0 .641 1.01 3.30 .658 .925 .217 2.61 .339 -.065 2 8 OMA0325B 1876 1993 118 4 0 .516 1.06 3.11 .655 .903 .224 2.78 .455 .038 1 9 OMA0326A 1875 1993 119 4 0 .506 1.49 3.12 .679 .861 .190 2.61 .330 -.001 1 10 OMA0326B 1878 1993 116 4 1 .499 1.44 3.02 .746 .902 .196 2.56 .345 -.046 2 11 OMA0327A 1867 1993 127 5 0 .546 .88 3.75 .710 .939 .217 2.79 .478 -.041 1 12 OMA0327B 1866 1993 128 5 0 .574 .85 4.19 .707 .938 .211 2.90 .437 -.004 1 13 OMA0328A 1871 1993 123 5 0 .485 1.37 4.12 .760 .832 .230 2.53 .446 -.001 1 14 OMA0328B 1873 1993 121 5 0 .653 1.25 2.79 .610 .802 .237 2.46 .342 .023 1 15 OMA0329B 1868 1993 126 5 1 .451 1.58 2.80 .486 .793 .163 2.68 .487 -.039 1 16 OMA0330A 1872 1993 122 5 0 .571 1.19 2.50 .602 .897 .198 2.55 .397 .036 1 17 OMA0330B 1865 1993 129 5 0 .640 1.06 2.31 .539 .871 .197 2.52 .396 -.059 1 18 OMA0331A 1882 1993 112 4 0 .742 1.09 3.24 .616 .918 .187 2.62 .367 .007 1 19 OMA0331B 1878 1993 116 4 0 .557 1.59 3.50 .778 .879 .197 2.58 .460 .006 1 20 OMA0332A 1865 1993 129 5 0 .665 1.32 3.31 .520 .824 .179 2.61 .434 -.066 1 21 OMA0332B 1866 1993 128 5 0 .532 1.35 3.08 .506 .752 .179 2.78 .477 -.073 1 22 OMA0333A 1871 1989 119 5 0 .576 1.06 2.92 .664 .904 .214 2.72 .462 -.004 1 23 OMA0333B 1874 1992 119 5 1 .529 1.21 3.49 .742 .829 .260 2.90 .482 .020 1 24 OMA0334A 1877 1993 117 4 0 .541 1.04 2.28 .555 .924 .168 2.80 .341 -.016 1 25 OMA0334B 1883 1993 111 4 0 .661 1.13 2.64 .626 .912 .182 2.66 .410 -.051 1 26 OMA0335A 1878 1993 116 4 1 .418 1.37 2.99 .529 .794 .206 2.52 .426 -.021 1 27 OMA0335B 1879 1993 115 4 1 .580 1.38 2.91 .591 .823 .200 2.54 .405 -.003 2 28 OMA0336A 1868 1993 126 5 0 .560 1.55 4.59 .948 .922 .191 2.60 .468 -.049 1 29 OMA0336B 1873 1993 121 5 0 .596 1.19 3.82 .784 .864 .244 2.57 .414 -.060 1 30 OMA0337A 1869 1993 125 5 0 .648 1.12 2.20 .360 .617 .200 2.62 .382 -.021 1 31 OMA0337B 1864 1993 130 5 0 .693 1.20 2.71 .471 .778 .205 2.63 .378 -.062 1 32 OMA0338A 1870 1993 124 5 0 .627 1.23 3.69 .622 .868 .208 2.65 .460 -.051 1 33 OMA0338B 1873 1993 121 5 0 .608 1.22 3.30 .510 .827 .199 2.60 .461 -.054 1 34 OMA0339A 1866 1992 127 5 1 .443 1.36 3.06 .743 .912 .193 2.59 .493 .038 1 35 OMA0339B 1877 1992 116 4 1 .571 1.26 2.94 .602 .872 .171 2.75 .491 .016 1 36 OMA0340A 1866 1993 128 5 0 .499 1.15 2.61 .502 .842 .205 2.50 .399 -.077 1 37 OMA0340B 1883 1993 111 4 0 .546 1.06 2.69 .424 .731 .225 2.83 .415 -.030 1 38 OMA0341A 1868 1993 126 5 0 .641 1.12 3.20 .876 .922 .240 2.77 .541 .012 1 39 OMA0341B 1865 1993 129 5 0 .641 1.23 3.95 .882 .901 .240 2.83 .398 -.003 1 40 OMA0342A 1873 1993 121 5 0 .640 1.21 3.59 .634 .880 .200 2.91 .593 -.024 2 41 OMA0342B 1868 1993 126 5 0 .692 1.10 2.78 .566 .882 .204 2.44 .393 -.021 1 42 OMA0343A 1866 1993 128 5 0 .578 1.01 3.23 .797 .941 .223 2.57 .364 .011 1 43 OMA0343B 1865 1993 129 5 0 .428 1.14 3.40 .883 .939 .214 2.73 .429 .002 1 44 OMA0344A 1871 1993 123 5 0 .628 1.45 2.39 .444 .752 .171 2.40 .344 -.052 1 45 OMA0344B 1878 1993 116 4 0 .688 1.29 2.39 .444 .819 .161 2.56 .389 -.078 1 46 OMA0345A 1868 1993 126 5 0 .698 1.16 3.65 .636 .899 .200 2.57 .415 .012 1 47 OMA0345B 1867 1993 127 5 0 .564 1.22 4.19 .728 .902 .210 2.65 .468 .019 1 48 OMA0346A 1867 1993 127 5 0 .577 1.07 3.29 .790 .944 .225 2.66 .396 -.011 1 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: 12:02 Wed 03 Feb 2004 Page 8 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 49 OMA0346B 1864 1993 130 5 0 .569 1.03 4.43 .860 .935 .214 2.83 .441 -.054 1 50 OMA0347A 1876 1993 118 4 0 .573 1.18 2.69 .517 .836 .193 2.85 .463 -.010 1 51 OMA0348A 1872 1993 122 5 0 .572 1.42 3.20 .582 .774 .224 2.91 .485 -.080 1 52 OMA0348B 1867 1993 127 5 0 .577 1.68 3.23 .501 .623 .211 2.86 .482 .015 1 53 OMA0349A 1869 1993 125 5 0 .493 1.13 4.19 .769 .922 .240 2.64 .493 -.007 1 54 OMA0349B 1872 1993 122 5 0 .484 1.19 3.94 .759 .905 .221 2.75 .423 .082 1 55 OMA0350B 1873 1993 121 5 0 .704 1.64 4.34 .605 .771 .183 2.70 .406 .009 1 --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- Total or mean: 6731 259 7 .585 1.22 4.59 .629 .850 .204 2.91 .431 -.021 - = [ COFECHA KYRONCOF ] = -