[] Dendrochronology Program Library Run PASK1 Program COF 09:53 Mon 12 Jan 2004 Page 1 [] [] P R O G R A M C O F E C H A Version 6.06P 25215 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ QUALITY CONTROL AND DATING CHECK OF TREE-RING MEASUREMENTS File of DATED series: pask.tu_ CONTENTS: Part 1: Title page, options selected, summary, absent rings by series Part 2: Histogram of time spans Part 3: Master series with sample depth and absent rings by year Part 4: Bar plot of Master Dating Series Part 5: Correlation by segment of each series with Master Part 6: Potential problems: low correlation, divergent year-to-year changes, absent rings, outliers Part 7: Descriptive statistics RUN CONTROL OPTIONS SELECTED VALUE 1 Cubic smoothing spline 50% wavelength cutoff for filtering 32 years 2 Segments examined are 50 years lagged successively by 25 years 3 Autoregressive model applied A Residuals are used in master dating series and testing 4 Series transformed to logarithms Y Each series log-transformed for master dating series and testing 5 CORRELATION is Pearson (parametric, quantitative) Critical correlation, 99% confidence level .3281 6 Master dating series saved C 7 Ring measurements listed N 8 Parts printed 1234567 9 Absent rings are omitted from master series and segment correlations (Y) Time span of Master dating series is 1851 to 2002 152 years Continuous time span is 1851 to 2002 152 years Portion with two or more series is 1851 to 2002 152 years **************************************** *C* Number of dated series 33 *C* *O* Master series 1851 2002 152 yrs *O* *F* Total rings in all series 4123 *F* *E* Total dated rings checked 4123 *E* *C* Series intercorrelation .550 *C* *H* Average mean sensitivity .215 *H* *A* Segments, possible problems 4 *A* *** Mean length of series 124.9 *** **************************************** ABSENT RINGS listed by SERIES: (See Master Dating Series for absent rings listed by year) No ring measurements of zero value PART 2: TIME PLOT OF TREE-RING SERIES: 09:53 Mon 12 Jan 2004 Page 2 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1050 1100 1150 1200 1250 1300 1350 1400 1450 1500 1550 1600 1650 1700 1750 1800 1850 1900 1950 2000 2050 Ident Seq Time-span Yrs : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : -------- --- ---- ---- ---- . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<=============> . OLC2761A 1 1864 2002 139 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <==============> . OLC2761B 2 1858 2002 145 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <==============> . OLC2763A 3 1854 2002 149 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <============> . OLC2763B 4 1878 2002 125 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<========> . OLC2764B 5 1911 2002 92 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <==========> . OLC2769B 6 1895 2002 108 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<=============> . OLC2770A 7 1868 2002 135 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<=============> . OLC2770B 8 1866 2002 137 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<=============> . OLC2771A 9 1861 2002 142 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <============> . OLC2771B 10 1874 2002 129 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <==============> . OLC2772A 11 1853 2002 150 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<=============> . OLC2772B 12 1866 2002 137 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<=============> . OLC2773A 13 1866 2002 137 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <============> . OLC2773B 14 1874 2002 129 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <============> . OLC2774A 15 1876 2002 127 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <============> . OLC2774B 16 1875 2002 128 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <==========> . OLC2775A 17 1899 2002 104 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<========> . OLC2775B 18 1914 2002 89 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <==========> . OLC2776A 19 1898 2002 105 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<========> . OLC2776B 20 1910 2002 93 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=========> . OLC2777A 21 1903 2002 100 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=========> . OLC2777B 22 1904 2002 99 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <==========> . OLC2778A 23 1890 2002 113 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===========> . OLC2778B 24 1885 2002 118 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=========> . OLC2779A 25 1906 2002 97 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<=============> . OLC2780A 26 1861 2002 142 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <==============> . OLC2780B 27 1858 2002 145 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <==============> . OLC2781A 28 1851 2002 152 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <==============> . OLC2781B 29 1851 2002 152 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <==============> . OLC2782A 30 1851 2002 152 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <==============> . OLC2782B 31 1851 2002 152 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=========> . OLC2783A 32 1903 2002 100 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=========> . OLC2783B 33 1902 2002 101 : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : 1050 1100 1150 1200 1250 1300 1350 1400 1450 1500 1550 1600 1650 1700 1750 1800 1850 1900 1950 2000 2050 PART 3: Master Dating Series: 09:53 Mon 12 Jan 2004 Page 3 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ 1900 1.033 25 1950 .324 33 2000 1.634 33 1851 .718 4 1901 1.051 25 1951 -.151 33 2001 1.384 33 1852 -1.161 4 1902 .037 26 1952 .629 33 2002 .106 33 1853 -.824 5 1903 1.578 28 1953 1.419 33 1854 .344 6 1904 .130 29 1954 1.291 33 1855 -.419 6 1905 .440 29 1955 .512 33 1856 -.227 6 1906 .111 30 1956 -2.265 33 1857 .568 6 1907 .064 30 1957 1.224 33 1858 .255 8 1908 .063 30 1958 .671 33 1859 .617 8 1909 -.582 30 1959 .052 33 1860 .858 8 1910 -1.291 31 1960 -2.030 33 1861 .992 10 1911 -1.325 32 1961 -1.212 33 1862 .223 10 1912 -.730 32 1962 -.467 33 1863 .507 10 1913 -.493 32 1963 -.228 33 1864 -.053 11 1914 .155 33 1964 .020 33 1865 -.555 11 1915 1.269 33 1965 -.357 33 1866 -.704 14 1916 .730 33 1966 .301 33 1867 -3.770 14 1917 -.609 33 1967 1.607 33 1868 -.148 15 1918 -.623 33 1968 -.003 33 1869 -.787 15 1919 -.635 33 1969 -.942 33 1870 1.339 15 1920 .102 33 1970 .812 33 1871 .992 15 1921 .861 33 1971 .212 33 1872 1.348 15 1922 1.333 33 1972 .271 33 1873 .805 15 1923 1.331 33 1973 .472 33 1874 .638 17 1924 2.301 33 1974 .914 33 1875 -.802 18 1925 .070 33 1975 1.106 33 1876 -1.307 19 1926 -.899 33 1976 .658 33 1877 .242 19 1927 .157 33 1977 -.287 33 1878 -.595 20 1928 -.634 33 1978 -.224 33 1879 -.577 20 1929 -.777 33 1979 .947 33 1880 1.262 20 1930 -1.717 33 1980 -1.161 33 1881 -.601 20 1931 -1.909 33 1981 -1.134 33 1882 1.402 20 1932 -.359 33 1982 -2.333 33 1883 -.323 20 1933 -.150 33 1983 -.438 33 1884 -.438 20 1934 .807 33 1984 -.403 33 1885 .616 21 1935 .405 33 1985 -1.551 33 1886 .750 21 1936 .960 33 1986 .591 33 1887 .823 21 1937 1.140 33 1987 -.028 33 1888 .557 21 1938 1.717 33 1988 1.650 33 1889 .479 21 1939 .309 33 1989 .761 33 1890 1.455 22 1940 -1.541 33 1990 1.029 33 1891 .049 22 1941 -.118 33 1991 .181 33 1892 -2.324 22 1942 -2.094 33 1992 .677 33 1893 -2.029 22 1943 -.948 33 1993 -1.327 33 1894 -.760 22 1944 -1.031 33 1994 .005 33 1895 -1.703 23 1945 .292 33 1995 -.179 33 1896 -.732 23 1946 .865 33 1996 -.417 33 1897 -.469 23 1947 .647 33 1997 -1.383 33 1898 .232 24 1948 -.253 33 1998 -1.110 33 1899 .825 25 1949 -.700 33 1999 .048 33 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ PART 4: Master Bar Plot: 09:53 Mon 12 Jan 2004 Page 4 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value 1900---------D 1950------A 2000----------G 1851--------C 1901---------D 1951----a 2001----------F 1852-e 1902-----@ 1952-------C 2002-----@ 1853--c 1903----------F 1953----------F 1854------A 1904-----A 1954----------E 1855---b 1905------B 1955-------B 1856----a 1906-----@ 1956i 1857-------B 1907-----@ 1957---------E 1858------A 1908-----@ 1958-------C 1859-------B 1909--b 1959-----@ 1860--------C 1910-e 1960h 1861---------D 1911-e 1961-e 1862------A 1912--c 1962---b 1863-------B 1913---b 1963----a 1864----@ 1914-----A 1964-----@ 1865--b 1915----------E 1965---a 1866--c 1916--------C 1966------A 1867o 1917--b 1967----------F 1868----a 1918--b 1968-----@ 1869--c 1919--c 1969-d 1870----------E 1920-----@ 1970--------C 1871---------D 1921--------C 1971------A 1872----------E 1922----------E 1972------A 1873--------C 1923----------E 1973-------B 1874-------C 1924----------I 1974--------D 1875--c 1925-----@ 1975---------D 1876-e 1926-d 1976-------C 1877------A 1927-----A 1977----a 1878--b 1928--c 1978----a 1879--b 1929--c 1979---------D 1880----------E 1930g 1980-e 1881--b 1931h 1981-e 1882----------F 1932---a 1982i 1883---a 1933----a 1983---b 1884---b 1934--------C 1984---b 1885-------B 1935------B 1985f 1886--------C 1936---------D 1986-------B 1887--------C 1937---------E 1987-----@ 1888-------B 1938----------G 1988----------G 1889-------B 1939------A 1989--------C 1890----------F 1940f 1990---------D 1891-----@ 1941----@ 1991------A 1892i 1942h 1992-------C 1893h 1943-d 1993-e 1894--c 1944-d 1994-----@ 1895g 1945------A 1995----a 1896--c 1946--------C 1996---b 1897---b 1947-------C 1997-f 1898------A 1948----a 1998-d 1899--------C 1949--c 1999-----@ PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: 09:53 Mon 12 Jan 2004 Page 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1850 1875 1900 1925 1950 1975 1899 1924 1949 1974 1999 2024 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 OLC2761A 1864 2002 .40 .49 .47 .70 .69 .73 2 OLC2761B 1858 2002 .09B .42 .52 .61 .38 .36 3 OLC2763A 1854 2002 .46 .51 .38 .67 .80 .80 4 OLC2763B 1878 2002 .49 .54 .57 .67 .68 5 OLC2764B 1911 2002 .40 .42 .55 .45 6 OLC2769B 1895 2002 .41 .41 .45 .55 .56 7 OLC2770A 1868 2002 .57 .70 .62 .59 .59 .60 8 OLC2770B 1866 2002 .64 .63 .64 .57 .53 .52 9 OLC2771A 1861 2002 .66 .62 .63 .61 .59 .60 10 OLC2771B 1874 2002 .64 .64 .59 .68 .49 .49 11 OLC2772A 1853 2002 .37 .48 .38 .55 .67 .66 12 OLC2772B 1866 2002 .70 .66 .69 .64 .43 .45 13 OLC2773A 1866 2002 .64 .67 .71 .66 .52 .48 14 OLC2773B 1874 2002 .42 .43 .41 .53 .50 .54 15 OLC2774A 1876 2002 .48 .55 .54 .58 .59 16 OLC2774B 1875 2002 .38 .60 .59 .54 .55 17 OLC2775A 1899 2002 .58 .57 .50 .52 .54 18 OLC2775B 1914 2002 .61 .55 .59 .60 19 OLC2776A 1898 2002 .62 .58 .51 .45B .48 20 OLC2776B 1910 2002 .70 .52 .40 .40 21 OLC2777A 1903 2002 .59 .64 .56 .58 22 OLC2777B 1904 2002 .64 .70 .73 .73 23 OLC2778A 1890 2002 .34B .49 .48 .43 .43 24 OLC2778B 1885 2002 .43 .65 .71 .68 .70 25 OLC2779A 1906 2002 .57 .74 .65 .64 26 OLC2780A 1861 2002 .50 .37B .58 .59 .48 .50 27 OLC2780B 1858 2002 .56 .48 .71 .68 .59 .60 28 OLC2781A 1851 2002 .67 .79 .76 .57 .37 .36 29 OLC2781B 1851 2002 .78 .77 .62 .56 .63 .62 30 OLC2782A 1851 2002 .33 .46 .57 .63 .67 .67 31 OLC2782B 1851 2002 .63 .58 .66 .65 .53 .55 32 OLC2783A 1903 2002 .58 .55 .51 .57 33 OLC2783B 1902 2002 .56 .58 .70 .69 Av segment correlation .53 .54 .57 .59 .56 .57 PART 6: POTENTIAL PROBLEMS: 09:53 Mon 12 Jan 2004 Page 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ For each series with potential problems the following diagnostics may appear: [A] Correlations with master dating series of flagged 50-year segments of series filtered with 32-year spline, at every point from ten years earlier (-10) to ten years later (+10) than dated [B] Effect of those data values which most lower or raise correlation with master series Symbol following year indicates value in series is greater (>) or lesser (<) than master series value [C] Year-to-year changes very different from the mean change in other series [D] Absent rings (zero values) [E] Values which are statistical outliers from mean for the year =================================================================================================================================== OLC2761A 1864 to 2002 139 years Series 1 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .564) is: Lower 1912< -.058 1867> -.038 1925> -.015 1993> -.010 1909> -.009 1931> -.008 Higher 1956 .029 1942 .018 [C] Year-to-year changes diverging by over 4.0 std deviations: 1866 1867 4.0 SD =================================================================================================================================== OLC2761B 1858 to 2002 145 years Series 2 [A] Segment High -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 +0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8 +9 +10 --------- ---- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 1858 1907 9 - - - -.16 -.01 .21 -.12 .16 -.11 -.07 .09|-.10 .07 .01 .18 -.17 .01 -.10 -.19 .28*-.34 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .288) is: Lower 1872< -.056 1892> -.021 1858< -.020 1867> -.019 1995< -.019 1863< -.019 Higher 1895 .020 1985 .013 1858 to 1907 segment: Lower 1872< -.114 1892> -.041 1858< -.037 1863< -.035 1867> -.027 1862> -.009 Higher 1895 .073 1882 .039 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1867 +3.1 SD =================================================================================================================================== OLC2763A 1854 to 2002 149 years Series 3 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .569) is: Lower 1867> -.036 1942> -.025 1921< -.012 1895> -.011 1900< -.009 1881> -.008 Higher 1956 .032 1892 .025 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1942 +3.0 SD =================================================================================================================================== OLC2763B 1878 to 2002 125 years Series 4 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .553) is: Lower 1878< -.059 1935< -.018 1942> -.011 1963> -.007 1881> -.007 1960> -.007 Higher 1956 .040 1982 .011 [C] Year-to-year changes diverging by over 4.0 std deviations: 1878 1879 4.1 SD [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1878 -4.8 SD =================================================================================================================================== OLC2764B 1911 to 2002 92 years Series 5 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .392) is: Lower 2001< -.059 1942> -.031 1940> -.030 1993> -.027 1922< -.016 1957< -.013 Higher 1960 .051 1980 .033 =================================================================================================================================== OLC2769B 1895 to 2002 108 years Series 6 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .470) is: Lower 1942> -.021 1911> -.016 1995> -.015 1964< -.014 1910> -.012 1933< -.009 Higher 1982 .018 1988 .014 =================================================================================================================================== OLC2770A 1868 to 2002 135 years Series 7 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .563) is: Lower 1868< -.045 1946< -.013 1876> -.010 1869> -.010 1951> -.009 2000< -.008 Higher 1892 .040 1960 .021 =================================================================================================================================== OLC2770B 1866 to 2002 137 years Series 8 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .599) is: Lower 1956> -.014 1993> -.010 1876> -.010 1954< -.009 1881< -.009 1920< -.008 Higher 1892 .031 1960 .015 =================================================================================================================================== OLC2771A 1861 to 2002 142 years Series 9 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .625) is: Lower 1898< -.042 1976< -.009 1989< -.008 1940> -.008 1864> -.007 1920< -.007 Higher 1892 .028 1867 .027 =================================================================================================================================== OLC2771B 1874 to 2002 129 years Series 10 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .577) is: Lower 1983< -.028 1907< -.023 1990< -.023 1980> -.017 1898< -.010 1972< -.008 Higher 1892 .033 1982 .013 =================================================================================================================================== OLC2772A 1853 to 2002 150 years Series 11 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .487) is: Lower 1900< -.039 1867> -.016 1857< -.015 1895> -.012 1924< -.009 1925> -.009 Higher 1892 .036 1940 .016 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1892 -5.7 SD =================================================================================================================================== OLC2772B 1866 to 2002 137 years Series 12 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .625) is: Lower 1980> -.033 1966< -.029 1997> -.014 1992< -.014 1895> -.008 1963< -.008 Higher 1892 .025 1956 .021 =================================================================================================================================== OLC2773A 1866 to 2002 137 years Series 13 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .594) is: Lower 2001< -.019 1982> -.019 1893< -.011 1870< -.010 1936< -.010 1881> -.009 Higher 1892 .019 1960 .015 =================================================================================================================================== OLC2773B 1874 to 2002 129 years Series 14 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .485) is: Lower 1902< -.038 1956> -.021 1901< -.016 1936< -.015 1980> -.014 1983< -.010 Higher 1993 .013 1960 .011 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1902 -4.7 SD =================================================================================================================================== OLC2774A 1876 to 2002 127 years Series 15 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .536) is: Lower 1892> -.027 1930> -.021 1968< -.018 1876> -.017 1880< -.014 1946< -.011 Higher 1942 .025 1956 .019 =================================================================================================================================== OLC2774B 1875 to 2002 128 years Series 16 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .487) is: Lower 1882< -.035 1989< -.027 1930> -.020 1889< -.012 1876> -.010 1875> -.010 Higher 1956 .040 1940 .019 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1882 -4.7 SD =================================================================================================================================== OLC2775A 1899 to 2002 104 years Series 17 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .543) is: Lower 1960> -.018 1939< -.018 1903< -.017 1975< -.012 1949> -.009 1961> -.008 Higher 1942 .027 1980 .016 =================================================================================================================================== OLC2775B 1914 to 2002 89 years Series 18 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .608) is: Lower 1977< -.042 1960> -.015 1961> -.013 1949> -.010 1968> -.010 1944> -.008 Higher 1956 .039 1980 .018 =================================================================================================================================== OLC2776A 1898 to 2002 105 years Series 19 [A] Segment High -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 +0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8 +9 +10 --------- ---- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 1950 1999 -4 -.06 .05 -.08 -.17 -.18 -.13 .45*-.23 .16 -.11 .45|-.05 -.01 -.14 - - - - - - - [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .498) is: Lower 1980> -.029 1993> -.026 1905< -.013 1942> -.010 1925> -.009 1959> -.008 Higher 1960 .023 1940 .018 1950 to 1999 segment: Lower 1980> -.051 1993> -.046 1959> -.011 1961> -.011 1968> -.010 1984< -.009 Higher 1960 .080 1997 .029 =================================================================================================================================== OLC2776B 1910 to 2002 93 years Series 20 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .484) is: Lower 1962< -.028 1993> -.021 1980> -.016 1971< -.014 1988< -.014 1970< -.013 Higher 1960 .029 1940 .020 =================================================================================================================================== OLC2777A 1903 to 2002 100 years Series 21 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .581) is: Lower 1961< -.020 1918> -.014 1977> -.014 1973< -.009 2001< -.009 1928> -.009 Higher 1940 .019 1956 .018 =================================================================================================================================== OLC2777B 1904 to 2002 99 years Series 22 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .686) is: Lower 1969< -.035 1942> -.016 1982> -.011 1928> -.007 1905< -.006 1981> -.005 Higher 1956 .026 1980 .018 =================================================================================================================================== OLC2778A 1890 to 2002 113 years Series 23 [A] Segment High -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 +0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8 +9 +10 --------- ---- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 1890 1939 2 -.13 -.04 -.07 .01 -.10 -.38 -.16 -.08 -.12 -.21 .34| .19 .36* .22 .13 .10 -.02 -.19 -.20 -.01 -.27 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .414) is: Lower 1892> -.030 1972< -.025 1960> -.020 1908< -.015 1990< -.012 1950< -.011 Higher 1956 .041 1942 .033 1890 to 1939 segment: Lower 1892> -.072 1908< -.040 1930> -.024 1890< -.024 1897> -.019 1915< -.013 Higher 1895 .066 1925 .047 =================================================================================================================================== OLC2778B 1885 to 2002 118 years Series 24 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .621) is: Lower 1892> -.024 1888< -.015 1931> -.015 1993> -.010 1961> -.010 1897> -.010 Higher 1956 .033 1942 .024 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1897 +3.2 SD =================================================================================================================================== OLC2779A 1906 to 2002 97 years Series 25 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .607) is: Lower 1925> -.015 1982> -.013 1992< -.013 1991> -.011 1988< -.011 1915< -.010 Higher 1956 .049 1942 .029 =================================================================================================================================== OLC2780A 1861 to 2002 142 years Series 26 [A] Segment High -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 +0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8 +9 +10 --------- ---- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 1875 1924 8 -.09 .04 .01 -.23 .05 .07 -.03 .18 .14 .00 .37|-.26 -.20 -.04 -.03 -.04 -.17 -.04 .38* .25 .01 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .514) is: Lower 1892> -.027 1922< -.019 1884< -.016 1997> -.013 1974< -.012 1973< -.010 Higher 1867 .018 1980 .013 1875 to 1924 segment: Lower 1892> -.076 1922< -.054 1884< -.036 1917> -.023 1904> -.021 1887< -.015 Higher 1924 .047 1903 .038 =================================================================================================================================== OLC2780B 1858 to 2002 145 years Series 27 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .593) is: Lower 1892> -.036 1993> -.013 1885< -.011 1875> -.009 1881> -.009 1940> -.007 Higher 1867 .040 1980 .012 [E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1867 -5.6 SD; 1892 +3.0 SD =================================================================================================================================== OLC2781A 1851 to 2002 152 years Series 28 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .591) is: Lower 1956> -.022 1963< -.011 1988< -.011 1852> -.011 1859< -.009 1872< -.009 Higher 1867 .046 1942 .017 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1867 -4.6 SD =================================================================================================================================== OLC2781B 1851 to 2002 152 years Series 29 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .674) is: Lower 1993< -.025 1925> -.016 1940> -.015 1956> -.014 1881> -.008 1969> -.007 Higher 1867 .032 1942 .012 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1993 -5.9 SD =================================================================================================================================== OLC2782A 1851 to 2002 152 years Series 30 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .495) is: Lower 1876< -.027 1851< -.027 1864< -.025 1863> -.015 1940> -.011 1875> -.011 Higher 1867 .019 1956 .016 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1863 +3.9 SD =================================================================================================================================== OLC2782B 1851 to 2002 152 years Series 31 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .605) is: Lower 1992< -.011 1940> -.010 1999< -.009 1883> -.008 1970< -.008 1875> -.007 Higher 1867 .028 1892 .019 =================================================================================================================================== OLC2783A 1903 to 2002 100 years Series 32 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .572) is: Lower 1951< -.023 1980> -.018 1968< -.014 1974< -.011 1925> -.011 1949< -.011 Higher 1942 .025 1956 .022 =================================================================================================================================== OLC2783B 1902 to 2002 101 years Series 33 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .627) is: Lower 1946< -.016 2001< -.015 1925> -.014 1962> -.012 1952< -.010 1995< -.009 Higher 1956 .035 1942 .015 [E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1962 +3.3 SD; 1963 +3.4 SD =================================================================================================================================== PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: 09:53 Mon 12 Jan 2004 Page 6 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 1 OLC2761A 1864 2002 139 6 0 .564 1.03 1.93 .376 .784 .194 2.61 .384 .035 2 2 OLC2761B 1858 2002 145 6 1 .288 .88 1.66 .283 .734 .185 2.58 .437 -.066 1 3 OLC2763A 1854 2002 149 6 0 .569 .97 2.65 .633 .923 .232 2.63 .442 -.034 1 4 OLC2763B 1878 2002 125 5 0 .553 1.33 3.97 .837 .906 .218 2.50 .361 -.026 1 5 OLC2764B 1911 2002 92 4 0 .392 1.46 3.46 .743 .880 .226 2.65 .531 .128 1 6 OLC2769B 1895 2002 108 5 0 .470 1.08 2.56 .553 .689 .325 2.60 .396 .004 1 7 OLC2770A 1868 2002 135 6 0 .563 1.12 2.87 .621 .888 .203 2.55 .438 -.043 1 8 OLC2770B 1866 2002 137 6 0 .599 1.17 2.59 .554 .832 .206 2.75 .444 -.007 1 9 OLC2771A 1861 2002 142 6 0 .625 .76 1.59 .339 .765 .243 2.91 .447 .034 1 10 OLC2771B 1874 2002 129 6 0 .577 1.11 2.04 .384 .708 .226 2.80 .570 .097 1 11 OLC2772A 1853 2002 150 6 0 .487 1.06 2.28 .359 .778 .177 2.41 .298 .060 1 12 OLC2772B 1866 2002 137 6 0 .625 1.10 2.34 .341 .650 .210 2.62 .559 .020 1 13 OLC2773A 1866 2002 137 6 0 .594 .96 3.18 .654 .882 .232 2.62 .446 -.012 1 14 OLC2773B 1874 2002 129 6 0 .485 1.09 2.53 .509 .847 .202 2.65 .417 .030 1 15 OLC2774A 1876 2002 127 5 0 .536 1.37 4.93 .838 .782 .219 2.67 .435 .000 1 16 OLC2774B 1875 2002 128 5 0 .487 1.40 3.09 .597 .838 .194 2.74 .456 .016 1 17 OLC2775A 1899 2002 104 5 0 .543 1.33 2.95 .616 .723 .260 2.58 .365 -.021 3 18 OLC2775B 1914 2002 89 4 0 .608 1.30 2.80 .561 .702 .273 2.67 .469 .023 1 19 OLC2776A 1898 2002 105 5 1 .498 1.39 2.23 .358 .631 .182 2.35 .315 -.047 1 20 OLC2776B 1910 2002 93 4 0 .484 1.62 3.47 .449 .645 .184 2.64 .414 .024 1 21 OLC2777A 1903 2002 100 4 0 .581 1.49 2.58 .491 .749 .189 2.61 .495 -.010 1 22 OLC2777B 1904 2002 99 4 0 .686 1.14 2.77 .429 .663 .231 2.62 .452 -.073 1 23 OLC2778A 1890 2002 113 5 1 .414 1.33 2.84 .526 .788 .192 2.79 .559 -.034 1 24 OLC2778B 1885 2002 118 5 0 .621 1.42 2.50 .491 .793 .170 2.63 .511 -.059 2 25 OLC2779A 1906 2002 97 4 0 .607 1.51 5.31 .909 .778 .238 2.50 .447 -.054 2 26 OLC2780A 1861 2002 142 6 1 .514 .93 2.33 .292 .626 .201 2.59 .386 .062 1 27 OLC2780B 1858 2002 145 6 0 .593 1.04 2.80 .417 .787 .197 2.49 .287 .002 1 28 OLC2781A 1851 2002 152 6 0 .591 .60 2.62 .408 .881 .248 2.58 .316 .011 2 29 OLC2781B 1851 2002 152 6 0 .674 .74 2.46 .473 .858 .275 2.44 .335 -.031 1 30 OLC2782A 1851 2002 152 6 0 .495 .88 5.58 .743 .827 .197 2.92 .365 -.030 1 31 OLC2782B 1851 2002 152 6 0 .605 .76 2.44 .471 .933 .187 2.66 .441 .034 1 32 OLC2783A 1903 2002 100 4 0 .572 1.30 3.62 .749 .882 .216 2.82 .495 -.084 1 33 OLC2783B 1902 2002 101 4 0 .627 1.63 4.06 .834 .919 .182 2.83 .617 -.070 1 --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- Total or mean: 4123 174 4 .550 1.13 5.58 .530 .795 .215 2.92 .429 -.002 - = [ COFECHA PASK1COF ] = -