[] Dendrochronology Program Library Run VUOT2 Program COF 10:21 Mon 29 Dec 2003 Page 1 [] [] P R O G R A M C O F E C H A Version 6.06P 25201 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ QUALITY CONTROL AND DATING CHECK OF TREE-RING MEASUREMENTS File of DATED series: vuot1.tu_ CONTENTS: Part 1: Title page, options selected, summary, absent rings by series Part 2: Histogram of time spans Part 3: Master series with sample depth and absent rings by year Part 4: Bar plot of Master Dating Series Part 5: Correlation by segment of each series with Master Part 6: Potential problems: low correlation, divergent year-to-year changes, absent rings, outliers Part 7: Descriptive statistics RUN CONTROL OPTIONS SELECTED VALUE 1 Cubic smoothing spline 50% wavelength cutoff for filtering 32 years 2 Segments examined are 50 years lagged successively by 25 years 3 Autoregressive model applied A Residuals are used in master dating series and testing 4 Series transformed to logarithms Y Each series log-transformed for master dating series and testing 5 CORRELATION is Pearson (parametric, quantitative) Critical correlation, 99% confidence level .3281 6 Master dating series saved C 7 Ring measurements listed N 8 Parts printed 1234567 9 Absent rings are omitted from master series and segment correlations (Y) Time span of Master dating series is 1740 to 2001 262 years Continuous time span is 1740 to 2001 262 years Portion with two or more series is 1767 to 2001 235 years **************************************** *C* Number of dated series 28 *C* *O* Master series 1740 2001 262 yrs *O* *F* Total rings in all series 6187 *F* *E* Total dated rings checked 6160 *E* *C* Series intercorrelation .678 *C* *H* Average mean sensitivity .223 *H* *A* Segments, possible problems 0 *A* *** Mean length of series 221.0 *** **************************************** ABSENT RINGS listed by SERIES: (See Master Dating Series for absent rings listed by year) No ring measurements of zero value PART 2: TIME PLOT OF TREE-RING SERIES: 10:21 Mon 29 Dec 2003 Page 2 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1050 1100 1150 1200 1250 1300 1350 1400 1450 1500 1550 1600 1650 1700 1750 1800 1850 1900 1950 2000 2050 Ident Seq Time-span Yrs : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : -------- --- ---- ---- ---- . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=====================> . NGB0021B 1 1782 2001 220 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <======================> . NGB0021A 2 1778 2001 224 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=====================> . NGB0019B 3 1785 2001 217 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=====================> . NGB0019A 4 1786 2001 216 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=====================> . NGB0018B 5 1783 2001 219 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <======================> . NGB0018A 6 1771 2001 231 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=====================> . NGB0017B 7 1781 2001 221 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <======================> . NGB0017A 8 1777 2001 225 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=====================> . NGB0015B 9 1780 2001 222 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <======================> . NGB0014B 10 1774 2001 228 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=====================> . NGB0014A 11 1782 2001 220 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <====================> . NGB0013B 12 1793 2001 209 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <======================> . NGB0013A 13 1777 2001 225 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=========================> . NGB0012A 14 1740 2001 262 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<=======================> . NGB0009B 15 1767 2001 235 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <======================> . NGB0009A 16 1774 2001 228 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=====================> . NGB0008B 17 1781 2001 221 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <======================> . NGB0008A 18 1777 2001 225 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=====================> . NGB0007B 19 1781 2001 221 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <======================> . NGB0007A 20 1772 2001 230 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=====================> . NGB0006B 21 1781 2001 221 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <======================> . NGB0006A 22 1779 2001 223 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===================> . NGB0005B 23 1804 2001 198 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=====================> . NGB0005A 24 1781 2001 221 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=================> . NGB0004B 25 1821 2001 181 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <======================> . NGB0004A 26 1774 2001 228 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<==================> . NGB0002B 27 1810 2001 192 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <======================> . NGB0002A 28 1778 2001 224 : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : 1050 1100 1150 1200 1250 1300 1350 1400 1450 1500 1550 1600 1650 1700 1750 1800 1850 1900 1950 2000 2050 PART 3: Master Dating Series: 10:21 Mon 29 Dec 2003 Page 3 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ 1750 2.183 1 1800 -.184 25 1850 .412 28 1900 .125 28 1950 .054 28 1751 1.795 1 1801 .005 25 1851 1.032 28 1901 1.512 28 1951 -1.072 28 1752 1.201 1 1802 .037 25 1852 1.215 28 1902 -.070 28 1952 -.050 28 1753 -2.645 1 1803 .059 25 1853 .048 28 1903 -2.038 28 1953 1.463 28 1754 -1.209 1 1804 1.384 26 1854 1.534 28 1904 -1.211 28 1954 1.076 28 1755 -2.159 1 1805 1.358 26 1855 1.334 28 1905 -.457 28 1955 .129 28 1756 -1.363 1 1806 -1.237 26 1856 .509 28 1906 -1.038 28 1956 .686 28 1757 -.613 1 1807 1.374 26 1857 .283 28 1907 -1.969 28 1957 1.575 28 1758 .220 1 1808 1.005 26 1858 1.309 28 1908 .043 28 1958 .490 28 1759 -.703 1 1809 1.256 26 1859 .252 28 1909 .171 28 1959 .859 28 1760 .472 1 1810 .392 27 1860 .440 28 1910 -.743 28 1960 1.797 28 1761 -.091 1 1811 -.148 27 1861 .361 28 1911 -.701 28 1961 -.275 28 1762 1.667 1 1812 -1.116 27 1862 -.673 28 1912 .199 28 1962 .181 28 1763 1.176 1 1813 -3.268 27 1863 -.691 28 1913 .237 28 1963 -1.321 28 1764 .659 1 1814 -.446 27 1864 .173 28 1914 .672 28 1964 -.037 28 1765 1.010 1 1815 -.878 27 1865 .575 28 1915 -.393 28 1965 -2.225 28 1766 2.056 1 1816 -.473 27 1866 -.793 28 1916 -.043 28 1966 -.862 28 1767 .163 2 1817 .575 27 1867 -.181 28 1917 -1.142 28 1967 -.351 28 1768 1.029 2 1818 1.200 27 1868 -.049 28 1918 -.539 28 1968 .238 28 1769 -2.050 2 1819 .214 27 1869 -.123 28 1919 -.088 28 1969 -1.202 28 1770 -.221 2 1820 .320 27 1870 -.302 28 1920 .369 28 1970 -.021 28 1771 -1.166 3 1821 -.264 28 1871 -.847 28 1921 1.295 28 1971 -.463 28 1772 -.508 4 1822 .067 28 1872 -.754 28 1922 1.848 28 1972 -.116 28 1773 -.949 4 1823 1.218 28 1873 .405 28 1923 1.400 28 1973 1.084 28 1774 -1.044 7 1824 .544 28 1874 -1.153 28 1924 .379 28 1974 -.976 28 1775 .567 7 1825 -.185 28 1875 -1.280 28 1925 .983 28 1975 -.139 28 1776 .331 7 1826 1.388 28 1876 1.764 28 1926 -.604 28 1976 1.000 28 1777 .720 10 1827 .696 28 1877 .228 28 1927 .037 28 1977 .519 28 1778 -.788 12 1828 .452 28 1878 -.609 28 1928 -.552 28 1978 .122 28 1779 .229 13 1829 1.831 28 1879 -1.473 28 1929 -1.418 28 1979 1.372 28 1780 1.448 14 1830 .773 28 1880 -2.426 28 1930 1.056 28 1980 -.498 28 1781 .693 19 1831 1.007 28 1881 -.689 28 1931 -.336 28 1981 -1.326 28 1782 .404 21 1832 -.257 28 1882 -.617 28 1932 -.877 28 1982 .282 28 1783 .044 22 1833 -.433 28 1883 .257 28 1933 -1.125 28 1983 .717 28 1784 -.545 22 1834 -.592 28 1884 .217 28 1934 .849 28 1984 .256 28 1785 .666 23 1835 -1.066 28 1885 .785 28 1935 .909 28 1985 1.156 28 1786 -.332 24 1836 -.532 28 1886 1.487 28 1936 -.289 28 1986 .351 28 1787 .986 24 1837 -4.370 28 1887 .383 28 1937 1.496 28 1987 -1.023 28 1788 1.201 24 1838 -1.514 28 1888 -1.049 28 1938 .092 28 1988 -.169 28 1789 1.263 24 1839 -1.173 28 1889 .938 28 1939 .301 28 1989 .540 28 1740 .982 1 1790 -2.151 24 1840 .006 28 1890 .939 28 1940 -.370 28 1990 .570 28 1741 -3.191 1 1791 -1.666 24 1841 -.786 28 1891 .696 28 1941 1.149 28 1991 .673 28 1742 .015 1 1792 -1.383 24 1842 -1.086 28 1892 -.254 28 1942 .520 28 1992 -.638 28 1743 -1.133 1 1793 -.878 25 1843 -.604 28 1893 -.331 28 1943 -.607 28 1993 -.633 28 1744 .375 1 1794 -.101 25 1844 -.154 28 1894 -.605 28 1944 -.810 28 1994 .066 28 1745 -.090 1 1795 -.748 25 1845 .643 28 1895 .489 28 1945 -1.744 28 1995 -.424 28 1746 .161 1 1796 -.578 25 1846 .096 28 1896 .465 28 1946 -1.946 28 1996 -.175 28 1747 .304 1 1797 -.448 25 1847 .113 28 1897 .851 28 1947 -.284 28 1997 -.071 28 1748 1.065 1 1798 .195 25 1848 -.787 28 1898 1.866 28 1948 .019 28 1998 -.081 28 1749 .055 1 1799 1.043 25 1849 .569 28 1899 .921 28 1949 -.224 28 1999 -.010 28 PART 3: Master Dating Series: 10:21 Mon 29 Dec 2003 Page 4 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ 2000 .832 28 2001 .105 28 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ PART 4: Master Bar Plot: 10:21 Mon 29 Dec 2003 Page 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value 1750----------I 1800----a 1850-------B 1900-----@ 1950-----@ 2000--------C 1751----------G 1801-----@ 1851---------D 1901----------F 1951-d 2001-----@ 1752---------E 1802-----@ 1852---------E 1902----@ 1952----@ 1753k 1803-----@ 1853-----@ 1903h 1953----------F 1754-e 1804----------F 1854----------F 1904-e 1954---------D 1755i 1805----------E 1855----------E 1905---b 1955-----A 1756-e 1806-e 1856-------B 1906-d 1956--------C 1757--b 1807----------E 1857------A 1907h 1957----------F 1758------A 1808---------D 1858----------E 1908-----@ 1958-------B 1759--c 1809---------E 1859------A 1909------A 1959--------C 1760-------B 1810-------B 1860-------B 1910--c 1960----------G 1761----@ 1811----a 1861-------A 1911--c 1961---a 1762----------G 1812-d 1862--c 1912------A 1962------A 1763---------E 1813m 1863--c 1913------A 1963-e 1764--------C 1814---b 1864------A 1914--------C 1964----@ 1765---------D 1815-d 1865-------B 1915---b 1965i 1766----------H 1816---b 1866--c 1916----@ 1966-c 1767------A 1817-------B 1867----a 1917-e 1967---a 1768---------D 1818---------E 1868----@ 1918--b 1968------A 1769h 1819------A 1869----@ 1919----@ 1969-e 1770----a 1820------A 1870---a 1920-------A 1970-----@ 1771-e 1821----a 1871-c 1921---------E 1971---b 1772---b 1822-----@ 1872--c 1922----------G 1972----@ 1773-d 1823---------E 1873-------B 1923----------F 1973---------D 1774-d 1824-------B 1874-e 1924-------B 1974-d 1775-------B 1825----a 1875-e 1925---------D 1975----a 1776------A 1826----------F 1876----------G 1926--b 1976---------D 1777--------C 1827--------C 1877------A 1927-----@ 1977-------B 1778--c 1828-------B 1878--b 1928--b 1978-----@ 1779------A 1829----------G 1879f 1929f 1979----------E 1780----------F 1830--------C 1880j 1930---------D 1980---b 1781--------C 1831---------D 1881--c 1931---a 1981-e 1782-------B 1832----a 1882--b 1932-d 1982------A 1783-----@ 1833---b 1883------A 1933-e 1983--------C 1784--b 1834--b 1884------A 1934--------C 1984------A 1785--------C 1835-d 1885--------C 1935---------D 1985---------E 1786---a 1836--b 1886----------F 1936---a 1986------A 1787---------D 1837q 1887-------B 1937----------F 1987-d 1788---------E 1838f 1888-d 1938-----@ 1988----a 1789---------E 1839-e 1889---------D 1939------A 1989-------B 1740---------D 1790i 1840-----@ 1890---------D 1940---a 1990-------B 1741m 1791g 1841--c 1891--------C 1941---------E 1991--------C 1742-----@ 1792-f 1842-d 1892----a 1942-------B 1992--c 1743-e 1793-d 1843--b 1893---a 1943--b 1993--c 1744-------A 1794----@ 1844----a 1894--b 1944--c 1994-----@ 1745----@ 1795--c 1845--------C 1895-------B 1945g 1995---b 1746------A 1796--b 1846-----@ 1896-------B 1946h 1996----a 1747------A 1797---b 1847-----@ 1897--------C 1947---a 1997----@ 1748---------D 1798------A 1848--c 1898----------G 1948-----@ 1998----@ 1749-----@ 1799---------D 1849-------B 1899---------D 1949----a 1999-----@ PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: 10:21 Mon 29 Dec 2003 Page 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1750 1775 1800 1825 1850 1875 1900 1925 1950 1975 1799 1824 1849 1874 1899 1924 1949 1974 1999 2024 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 NGB0021B 1782 2001 .84 .87 .87 .71 .72 .68 .78 .72 .70 2 NGB0021A 1778 2001 .87 .80 .70 .76 .73 .66 .74 .75 .74 3 NGB0019B 1785 2001 .73 .75 .72 .67 .78 .76 .70 .71 .71 4 NGB0019A 1786 2001 .73 .78 .70 .63 .70 .69 .70 .58 .55 5 NGB0018B 1783 2001 .72 .72 .67 .55 .68 .68 .67 .53 .47 6 NGB0018A 1771 2001 .65 .65 .70 .68 .72 .72 .53 .58 .46 .39 7 NGB0017B 1781 2001 .75 .75 .64 .49 .59 .73 .71 .64 .63 8 NGB0017A 1777 2001 .79 .78 .72 .63 .63 .63 .71 .62 .61 9 NGB0015B 1780 2001 .83 .86 .74 .45 .66 .83 .84 .56 .54 10 NGB0014B 1774 2001 .79 .78 .67 .52 .46 .68 .59 .67 .68 .68 11 NGB0014A 1782 2001 .88 .85 .75 .66 .66 .63 .80 .73 .72 12 NGB0013B 1793 2001 .82 .80 .57 .50 .70 .72 .71 .62 .65 13 NGB0013A 1777 2001 .69 .86 .79 .59 .62 .65 .62 .44 .46 14 NGB0012A 1740 2001 .50 .68 .82 .76 .63 .73 .71 .68 .48 .52 15 NGB0009B 1767 2001 .61 .74 .83 .72 .59 .65 .64 .74 .56 .50 16 NGB0009A 1774 2001 .82 .82 .92 .76 .59 .71 .67 .75 .64 .54 17 NGB0008B 1781 2001 .55 .62 .54 .43 .62 .59 .58 .65 .64 18 NGB0008A 1777 2001 .70 .70 .62 .57 .74 .76 .74 .68 .69 19 NGB0007B 1781 2001 .81 .83 .70 .68 .74 .70 .71 .72 .75 20 NGB0007A 1772 2001 .74 .81 .80 .74 .71 .71 .77 .70 .46 .47 21 NGB0006B 1781 2001 .83 .77 .65 .64 .75 .76 .71 .56 .58 22 NGB0006A 1779 2001 .82 .79 .65 .51 .60 .70 .77 .72 .62 23 NGB0005B 1804 2001 .87 .78 .76 .85 .69 .68 .64 .62 24 NGB0005A 1781 2001 .87 .88 .83 .75 .75 .64 .66 .66 .70 25 NGB0004B 1821 2001 .80 .81 .78 .80 .76 .80 .54 .55 26 NGB0004A 1774 2001 .77 .84 .76 .65 .68 .76 .80 .79 .58 .58 27 NGB0002B 1810 2001 .89 .81 .63 .73 .70 .59 .44 .46 28 NGB0002A 1778 2001 .40 .87 .84 .73 .78 .81 .80 .66 .64 Av segment correlation .70 .76 .80 .71 .62 .71 .70 .71 .61 .60 PART 6: POTENTIAL PROBLEMS: 10:21 Mon 29 Dec 2003 Page 6 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ For each series with potential problems the following diagnostics may appear: [A] Correlations with master dating series of flagged 50-year segments of series filtered with 32-year spline, at every point from ten years earlier (-10) to ten years later (+10) than dated [B] Effect of those data values which most lower or raise correlation with master series Symbol following year indicates value in series is greater (>) or lesser (<) than master series value [C] Year-to-year changes very different from the mean change in other series [D] Absent rings (zero values) [E] Values which are statistical outliers from mean for the year =================================================================================================================================== NGB0021B 1782 to 2001 220 years Series 1 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .761) is: Lower 1989< -.008 1929> -.007 2001< -.007 1993> -.006 1865< -.006 1813> -.006 Higher 1837 .032 1790 .012 =================================================================================================================================== NGB0021A 1778 to 2001 224 years Series 2 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .755) is: Lower 1929> -.011 1903> -.008 1837> -.006 1990< -.005 1954< -.004 1878> -.004 Higher 1790 .020 1813 .007 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1929 +3.1 SD =================================================================================================================================== NGB0019B 1785 to 2001 217 years Series 3 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .721) is: Lower 1818< -.013 1946> -.008 1974< -.008 1993> -.005 1969> -.005 1941< -.005 Higher 1837 .014 1903 .008 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1946 +3.1 SD =================================================================================================================================== NGB0019A 1786 to 2001 216 years Series 4 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .655) is: Lower 1975< -.022 1997< -.014 1878< -.012 1795< -.010 1999< -.010 1874> -.006 Higher 1790 .013 1806 .009 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1975 -5.3 SD =================================================================================================================================== NGB0018B 1783 to 2001 219 years Series 5 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .603) is: Lower 1993< -.040 1897< -.018 1871> -.009 1934< -.009 2000< -.008 1870< -.006 Higher 1837 .017 1965 .013 [C] Year-to-year changes diverging by over 4.0 std deviations: 1992 1993 -4.6 SD [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1993 -8.4 SD =================================================================================================================================== NGB0018A 1771 to 2001 231 years Series 6 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .547) is: Lower 1993< -.036 1934< -.019 2000< -.013 1989< -.007 1897< -.007 1980> -.007 Higher 1880 .011 1876 .008 [C] Year-to-year changes diverging by over 4.0 std deviations: 1992 1993 -4.4 SD [E] Outliers 3 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1934 -4.6 SD; 1945 -5.9 SD; 1993 -6.5 SD =================================================================================================================================== NGB0017B 1781 to 2001 221 years Series 7 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .645) is: Lower 1875< -.031 1874> -.009 1993< -.008 1857< -.007 1878> -.006 1803< -.005 Higher 1790 .019 1965 .008 =================================================================================================================================== NGB0017A 1777 to 2001 225 years Series 8 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .663) is: Lower 1998< -.014 1875< -.009 1779< -.008 1951< -.007 1844< -.006 1853> -.005 Higher 1790 .014 1837 .013 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1998 -4.5 SD =================================================================================================================================== NGB0015B 1780 to 2001 222 years Series 9 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .701) is: Lower 1991< -.038 1887< -.010 1858< -.010 2001> -.009 1875> -.008 1994< -.007 Higher 1837 .044 1790 .020 [E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1875 +3.2 SD; 1991 -4.7 SD =================================================================================================================================== NGB0014B 1774 to 2001 228 years Series 10 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .615) is: Lower 1871< -.047 1937< -.019 1848< -.013 1996< -.011 1979< -.009 1883< -.006 Higher 1837 .022 1876 .007 [C] Year-to-year changes diverging by over 4.0 std deviations: 1870 1871 -4.9 SD [E] Outliers 3 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1848 -4.6 SD; 1871 -8.2 SD; 1996 -6.2 SD =================================================================================================================================== NGB0014A 1782 to 2001 220 years Series 11 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .734) is: Lower 1998< -.016 1937< -.008 1902< -.006 1910> -.006 1870> -.006 1896< -.005 Higher 1837 .031 1813 .012 =================================================================================================================================== NGB0013B 1793 to 2001 209 years Series 12 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .653) is: Lower 1861< -.043 1988< -.009 1926> -.008 1993> -.008 1939< -.007 1848> -.007 Higher 1837 .026 1965 .014 [E] Outliers 3 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1798 +3.1 SD; 1861 -5.6 SD; 1993 +3.1 SD =================================================================================================================================== NGB0013A 1777 to 2001 225 years Series 13 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .641) is: Lower 1982< -.016 1977< -.011 1981> -.009 1789< -.007 1778> -.006 1875> -.005 Higher 1837 .042 1790 .026 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1967 +3.6 SD =================================================================================================================================== NGB0012A 1740 to 2001 262 years Series 14 [*] Early part of series cannot be checked from 1740 to 1766 -- not matched by another series [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .623) is: Lower 1769> -.011 1773> -.011 1770> -.009 1781< -.007 1774> -.007 1951> -.007 Higher 1837 .052 1813 .014 [E] Outliers 3 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1770 +3.8 SD; 1966 +3.1 SD; 1993 +3.0 SD =================================================================================================================================== NGB0009B 1767 to 2001 235 years Series 15 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .641) is: Lower 1851< -.013 1770< -.010 1774> -.007 1908< -.007 1828< -.006 1773> -.006 Higher 1837 .054 1813 .014 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1997 +3.1 SD =================================================================================================================================== NGB0009A 1774 to 2001 228 years Series 16 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .711) is: Lower 2000< -.015 1864< -.008 1993< -.006 1990< -.006 1980> -.006 1853< -.005 Higher 1837 .038 1813 .013 =================================================================================================================================== NGB0008B 1781 to 2001 221 years Series 17 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .577) is: Lower 1859< -.027 1816< -.010 1895< -.008 1845< -.007 1941< -.006 1813> -.005 Higher 1837 .034 1965 .010 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1859 -4.7 SD =================================================================================================================================== NGB0008A 1777 to 2001 225 years Series 18 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .692) is: Lower 1823< -.015 1862> -.007 1936< -.007 1852< -.006 1995< -.005 1923< -.005 Higher 1837 .022 1813 .017 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1862 +3.2 SD =================================================================================================================================== NGB0007B 1781 to 2001 221 years Series 19 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .736) is: Lower 1791< -.013 1869< -.009 1848> -.006 1985< -.006 1875> -.006 1942< -.005 Higher 1813 .015 1790 .012 =================================================================================================================================== NGB0007A 1772 to 2001 230 years Series 20 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .673) is: Lower 1773< -.012 1890< -.011 1992< -.011 1973< -.009 1990< -.008 1980> -.007 Higher 1790 .011 1813 .009 =================================================================================================================================== NGB0006B 1781 to 2001 221 years Series 21 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .706) is: Lower 1993< -.010 1866> -.009 1929> -.007 1837> -.007 1991< -.005 1969> -.004 Higher 1790 .021 1813 .012 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1993 -4.6 SD =================================================================================================================================== NGB0006A 1779 to 2001 223 years Series 22 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .681) is: Lower 1885< -.015 2001> -.013 2000< -.011 1886< -.007 1862> -.006 1940< -.006 Higher 1790 .026 1813 .012 [E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1907 -4.6 SD; 2001 +3.1 SD =================================================================================================================================== NGB0005B 1804 to 2001 198 years Series 23 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .740) is: Lower 1999< -.008 1874> -.007 2001> -.006 1985< -.006 1953< -.005 1997< -.004 Higher 1837 .038 1813 .013 =================================================================================================================================== NGB0005A 1781 to 2001 221 years Series 24 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .762) is: Lower 1929> -.008 1951> -.007 1969> -.006 1996< -.006 1928> -.004 1816< -.004 Higher 1790 .019 1837 .015 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1929 +3.1 SD =================================================================================================================================== NGB0004B 1821 to 2001 181 years Series 25 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .729) is: Lower 1986< -.031 1981> -.016 1851< -.007 1848> -.006 1994< -.004 1918> -.004 Higher 1837 .053 1903 .009 [E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1981 +3.1 SD; 1986 -5.4 SD =================================================================================================================================== NGB0004A 1774 to 2001 228 years Series 26 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .693) is: Lower 1774< -.016 1993> -.013 2001< -.012 1981> -.008 1851< -.006 1984< -.006 Higher 1813 .018 1790 .017 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1993 +4.5 SD =================================================================================================================================== NGB0002B 1810 to 2001 192 years Series 27 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .693) is: Lower 1974> -.023 1993> -.013 1952< -.010 1945> -.007 1895< -.007 1874> -.006 Higher 1837 .063 1813 .019 [E] Outliers 3 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1837 -5.1 SD; 1974 +3.7 SD; 1993 +3.7 SD =================================================================================================================================== NGB0002A 1778 to 2001 224 years Series 28 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .662) is: Lower 1778< -.038 1790> -.016 1794< -.014 1791> -.010 1896< -.006 1987> -.006 Higher 1837 .051 1813 .007 [E] Outliers 4 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1778 -7.5 SD; 1791 +3.9 SD; 1792 +3.4 SD; 1793 +3.2 SD =================================================================================================================================== [*] All segments correlate highest as dated with correlation with master series over .3281 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: 10:21 Mon 29 Dec 2003 Page 7 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 1 NGB0021B 1782 2001 220 9 0 .761 .53 1.51 .246 .845 .204 2.66 .379 .032 1 2 NGB0021A 1778 2001 224 9 0 .755 .54 1.97 .307 .886 .240 2.58 .398 .047 1 3 NGB0019B 1785 2001 217 9 0 .721 .55 1.76 .252 .768 .232 2.63 .399 -.005 1 4 NGB0019A 1786 2001 216 9 0 .655 .57 1.74 .259 .824 .202 2.73 .477 .007 1 5 NGB0018B 1783 2001 219 9 0 .603 .45 1.53 .328 .921 .276 2.54 .341 -.018 1 6 NGB0018A 1771 2001 231 10 0 .547 .51 1.84 .397 .936 .269 2.54 .334 -.025 1 7 NGB0017B 1781 2001 221 9 0 .645 .53 1.59 .260 .853 .220 2.55 .340 -.027 1 8 NGB0017A 1777 2001 225 9 0 .663 .52 1.49 .284 .865 .246 2.63 .457 -.024 1 9 NGB0015B 1780 2001 222 9 0 .701 .57 1.79 .305 .833 .265 2.56 .349 -.036 1 10 NGB0014B 1774 2001 228 10 0 .615 .45 1.83 .268 .864 .250 2.49 .303 .017 1 11 NGB0014A 1782 2001 220 9 0 .734 .48 1.64 .251 .797 .243 2.72 .414 .004 1 12 NGB0013B 1793 2001 209 9 0 .653 .59 1.30 .211 .746 .201 2.55 .427 -.005 1 13 NGB0013A 1777 2001 225 9 0 .641 .64 2.01 .256 .814 .192 2.57 .411 .000 1 14 NGB0012A 1740 2001 262 10 0 .623 .59 3.11 .531 .909 .240 2.43 .325 -.036 1 15 NGB0009B 1767 2001 235 10 0 .641 .63 2.36 .412 .898 .223 2.55 .301 -.014 1 16 NGB0009A 1774 2001 228 10 0 .711 .62 2.41 .369 .874 .226 2.65 .376 -.014 1 17 NGB0008B 1781 2001 221 9 0 .577 .65 1.76 .330 .854 .216 2.79 .419 .007 1 18 NGB0008A 1777 2001 225 9 0 .692 .69 2.27 .406 .863 .206 2.68 .432 -.032 1 19 NGB0007B 1781 2001 221 9 0 .736 .62 1.56 .256 .782 .210 2.70 .458 .011 1 20 NGB0007A 1772 2001 230 10 0 .673 .59 1.80 .306 .848 .207 2.71 .440 .015 2 21 NGB0006B 1781 2001 221 9 0 .706 .53 1.37 .268 .845 .197 2.53 .302 -.016 1 22 NGB0006A 1779 2001 223 9 0 .681 .62 1.73 .316 .857 .194 2.57 .325 .008 1 23 NGB0005B 1804 2001 198 8 0 .740 .57 1.66 .281 .857 .198 2.73 .391 -.042 1 24 NGB0005A 1781 2001 221 9 0 .762 .71 2.01 .355 .865 .178 2.53 .354 -.004 1 25 NGB0004B 1821 2001 181 8 0 .729 .51 1.10 .179 .739 .209 2.66 .346 .030 1 26 NGB0004A 1774 2001 228 10 0 .693 .69 1.80 .308 .774 .216 2.77 .449 -.009 1 27 NGB0002B 1810 2001 192 8 0 .693 .71 1.82 .304 .802 .229 2.47 .291 -.024 1 28 NGB0002A 1778 2001 224 9 0 .662 .68 1.81 .303 .772 .238 2.50 .337 -.001 1 --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- Total or mean: 6187 256 0 .678 .58 3.11 .308 .841 .223 2.79 .378 -.006 - = [ COFECHA VUOT2COF ] = -