[] Dendrochronology Program Library Run OUL1 Program COF 09:18 Mon 05 Jan 2004 Page 1 [] [] P R O G R A M C O F E C H A Version 6.06P 25208 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ QUALITY CONTROL AND DATING CHECK OF TREE-RING MEASUREMENTS File of DATED series: oul.tu_ CONTENTS: Part 1: Title page, options selected, summary, absent rings by series Part 2: Histogram of time spans Part 3: Master series with sample depth and absent rings by year Part 4: Bar plot of Master Dating Series Part 5: Correlation by segment of each series with Master Part 6: Potential problems: low correlation, divergent year-to-year changes, absent rings, outliers Part 7: Descriptive statistics RUN CONTROL OPTIONS SELECTED VALUE 1 Cubic smoothing spline 50% wavelength cutoff for filtering 32 years 2 Segments examined are 50 years lagged successively by 25 years 3 Autoregressive model applied A Residuals are used in master dating series and testing 4 Series transformed to logarithms Y Each series log-transformed for master dating series and testing 5 CORRELATION is Pearson (parametric, quantitative) Critical correlation, 99% confidence level .3281 6 Master dating series saved C 7 Ring measurements listed N 8 Parts printed 1234567 9 Absent rings are omitted from master series and segment correlations (Y) Time span of Master dating series is 1758 to 2001 244 years Continuous time span is 1758 to 2001 244 years Portion with two or more series is 1779 to 2001 223 years **************************************** *C* Number of dated series 33 *C* *O* Master series 1758 2001 244 yrs *O* *F* Total rings in all series 6179 *F* *E* Total dated rings checked 6158 *E* *C* Series intercorrelation .585 *C* *H* Average mean sensitivity .201 *H* *A* Segments, possible problems 6 *A* *** Mean length of series 187.2 *** **************************************** ABSENT RINGS listed by SERIES: (See Master Dating Series for absent rings listed by year) No ring measurements of zero value PART 2: TIME PLOT OF TREE-RING SERIES: 09:18 Mon 05 Jan 2004 Page 2 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1050 1100 1150 1200 1250 1300 1350 1400 1450 1500 1550 1600 1650 1700 1750 1800 1850 1900 1950 2000 2050 Ident Seq Time-span Yrs : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : -------- --- ---- ---- ---- . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <====================> . OHC0001A 1 1793 2001 209 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<==================> . OHC0001B 2 1812 2001 190 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=================> . OHC0002A 3 1821 2001 181 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<==================> . OHC0002B 4 1814 2001 188 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <======================> . OHC0003A 5 1779 2001 223 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=====================> . OHC0003B 6 1789 2001 213 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=================> . OHC0004B 7 1821 2001 181 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<=============> . OHC0005A 8 1861 2001 141 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===================> . OHC0005B 9 1802 2001 200 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <================> . OHC0006A 10 1835 2001 167 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <==============> . OHC0006B 11 1851 2001 151 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=================> . OHC0007A 12 1823 2001 179 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <============> . OHC0008B 13 1876 2001 126 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<==================> . OHC0009A 14 1811 2001 191 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <====================> . OHC0009B 15 1799 2001 203 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<=============> . OHC0011A 16 1861 2001 141 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <====================> . OHC0011B 17 1796 2001 206 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=================> . OHC0012A 18 1826 2001 176 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=====================> . OHC0012B 19 1787 2001 215 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <====================> . OHC0013A 20 1795 2001 207 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <====================> . OHC0013B 21 1793 2001 209 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===================> . OHC0015A 22 1804 2001 198 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <====================> . OHC0015B 23 1792 2001 210 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=====================> . OHC0016A 24 1788 2001 214 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===================> . OHC0016B 25 1807 2001 195 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <==============> . OHC0017A 26 1855 2001 147 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<==================> . OHC0017B 27 1818 2001 184 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <========================> . OHC0018A 28 1758 2001 244 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <====================> . OHC0018B 29 1796 2001 206 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<==================> . OHC0019A 30 1818 2001 184 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<=============> . OHC0019B 31 1861 2001 141 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <====================> . OHC0020A 32 1796 2001 206 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===============> . OHC0020B 33 1849 2001 153 : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : 1050 1100 1150 1200 1250 1300 1350 1400 1450 1500 1550 1600 1650 1700 1750 1800 1850 1900 1950 2000 2050 PART 3: Master Dating Series: 09:18 Mon 05 Jan 2004 Page 3 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ 1800 -.891 13 1850 1.118 27 1900 .042 33 1950 -1.113 33 2000 1.342 33 1801 -.428 13 1851 .928 28 1901 1.233 33 1951 -.986 33 2001 1.177 33 1802 -1.689 14 1852 .718 28 1902 -.488 33 1952 -.104 33 1803 -.595 14 1853 .574 28 1903 -1.572 33 1953 .784 33 1804 -.017 15 1854 1.123 28 1904 -.893 33 1954 1.208 33 1805 -.119 15 1855 .791 29 1905 -.825 33 1955 .760 33 1806 -2.827 15 1856 -.379 29 1906 -.490 33 1956 .889 33 1807 .173 16 1857 -1.189 29 1907 .203 33 1957 1.796 33 1758 1.061 1 1808 .419 16 1858 .302 29 1908 .055 33 1958 .246 33 1759 1.560 1 1809 .782 16 1859 -1.638 29 1909 -1.342 33 1959 .925 33 1760 1.393 1 1810 -.397 16 1860 .636 29 1910 -1.233 33 1960 1.638 33 1761 -.173 1 1811 -.443 17 1861 1.129 32 1911 -.799 33 1961 -.650 33 1762 -1.214 1 1812 -.850 18 1862 -.502 32 1912 .034 33 1962 -1.216 33 1763 -1.854 1 1813 -2.055 18 1863 .659 32 1913 -.285 33 1963 -1.551 33 1764 -.915 1 1814 -.688 19 1864 1.593 32 1914 -.185 33 1964 -.149 33 1765 -.435 1 1815 .589 19 1865 .886 32 1915 .705 33 1965 -1.368 33 1766 -.910 1 1816 .373 19 1866 .291 32 1916 -.402 33 1966 -1.197 33 1767 -.869 1 1817 .500 19 1867 -.807 32 1917 -.883 33 1967 .786 33 1768 -1.740 1 1818 1.287 21 1868 .839 32 1918 -.882 33 1968 .578 33 1769 -2.928 1 1819 .887 21 1869 .240 32 1919 -1.285 33 1969 -1.029 33 1770 -1.776 1 1820 -1.008 21 1870 .544 32 1920 .677 33 1970 .348 33 1771 .006 1 1821 -.556 23 1871 -.397 32 1921 1.784 33 1971 -1.608 33 1772 1.733 1 1822 .163 23 1872 -.783 32 1922 1.809 33 1972 -.392 33 1773 .595 1 1823 .876 24 1873 -.452 32 1923 1.329 33 1973 -.143 33 1774 .012 1 1824 .631 24 1874 -.465 32 1924 1.155 33 1974 -.257 33 1775 1.939 1 1825 1.013 24 1875 1.090 32 1925 .945 33 1975 -.476 33 1776 .960 1 1826 2.246 25 1876 .376 33 1926 -1.028 33 1976 .948 33 1777 1.094 1 1827 1.367 25 1877 .196 33 1927 -.390 33 1977 .158 33 1778 1.528 1 1828 .292 25 1878 -1.498 33 1928 -.616 33 1978 -.036 33 1779 .371 2 1829 1.086 25 1879 -1.442 33 1929 -1.354 33 1979 1.997 33 1780 -.253 2 1830 -.512 25 1880 -1.575 33 1930 .594 33 1980 1.290 33 1781 1.034 2 1831 -.181 25 1881 -1.448 33 1931 -.076 33 1981 .291 33 1782 2.047 2 1832 -.189 25 1882 -.309 33 1932 .430 33 1982 -.660 33 1783 1.263 2 1833 .285 25 1883 -.550 33 1933 -.295 33 1983 1.100 33 1784 -.550 2 1834 .038 25 1884 -1.336 33 1934 1.515 33 1984 .895 33 1785 .432 2 1835 -1.262 26 1885 .056 33 1935 .318 33 1985 1.469 33 1786 .375 2 1836 -1.061 26 1886 .923 33 1936 -.309 33 1986 .894 33 1787 .546 3 1837 -2.628 26 1887 1.471 33 1937 1.466 33 1987 -.380 33 1788 -.783 4 1838 -.539 26 1888 -.031 33 1938 -.189 33 1988 -.184 33 1789 1.074 5 1839 -1.180 26 1889 .795 33 1939 .121 33 1989 -.780 33 1790 -1.333 5 1840 -1.015 26 1890 1.561 33 1940 -.463 33 1990 -.610 33 1791 .541 5 1841 -.790 26 1891 .467 33 1941 .685 33 1991 -.255 33 1792 .595 6 1842 -.136 26 1892 -.416 33 1942 -.352 33 1992 -.736 33 1793 .570 8 1843 -.760 26 1893 -.468 33 1943 .121 33 1993 -.750 33 1794 .106 8 1844 -2.058 26 1894 .333 33 1944 -.794 33 1994 -.806 33 1795 -.431 9 1845 -.577 26 1895 -.227 33 1945 -.656 33 1995 -1.734 33 1796 .782 12 1846 .288 26 1896 .497 33 1946 -3.083 33 1996 -.698 33 1797 .699 12 1847 -.384 26 1897 .545 33 1947 .158 33 1997 -.564 33 1798 1.085 12 1848 .537 26 1898 1.816 33 1948 .004 33 1998 -.009 33 1799 .386 13 1849 1.355 27 1899 .712 33 1949 -.481 33 1999 .916 33 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ PART 4: Master Bar Plot: 09:18 Mon 05 Jan 2004 Page 4 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value 1800--d 1850---------D 1900-----@ 1950-d 2000---------E 1801---b 1851--------D 1901---------E 1951-d 2001---------E 1802g 1852-------C 1902---b 1952-----@ 1803---b 1853-------B 1903f 1953--------C 1804-----@ 1854---------D 1904--d 1954---------E 1805-----@ 1855--------C 1905--c 1955--------C 1806k 1856----b 1906---b 1956--------D 1807------A 1857-e 1907------A 1957----------G 1758---------D 1808------B 1858------A 1908-----@ 1958------A 1759----------F 1809--------C 1859g 1909-e 1959--------D 1760----------F 1810---b 1860-------C 1910-e 1960----------G 1761----a 1811---b 1861---------E 1911--c 1961--c 1762-e 1812--c 1862---b 1912-----@ 1962-e 1763g 1813h 1863-------C 1913----a 1963f 1764--d 1814--c 1864----------F 1914----a 1964----a 1765---b 1815-------B 1865--------D 1915-------C 1965e 1766--d 1816------A 1866------A 1916---b 1966-e 1767--c 1817-------B 1867--c 1917--d 1967--------C 1768g 1818---------E 1868--------C 1918--d 1968-------B 1769l 1819--------D 1869------A 1919-e 1969-d 1770g 1820-d 1870-------B 1920-------C 1970------A 1771-----@ 1821---b 1871---b 1921----------G 1971f 1772----------G 1822------A 1872--c 1922----------G 1972---b 1773-------B 1823--------D 1873---b 1923---------E 1973----a 1774-----@ 1824-------C 1874---b 1924---------E 1974----a 1775----------H 1825---------D 1875---------D 1925--------D 1975---b 1776--------D 1826----------I 1876------B 1926-d 1976--------D 1777---------D 1827----------E 1877------A 1927---b 1977------A 1778----------F 1828------A 1878f 1928---b 1978-----@ 1779------A 1829---------D 1879f 1929e 1979----------H 1780----a 1830---b 1880f 1930-------B 1980---------E 1781---------D 1831----a 1881f 1931-----@ 1981------A 1782----------H 1832----a 1882----a 1932------B 1982--c 1783---------E 1833------A 1883---b 1933----a 1983---------D 1784---b 1834-----@ 1884-e 1934----------F 1984--------D 1785------B 1835-e 1885-----@ 1935------A 1985----------F 1786------B 1836-d 1886--------D 1936----a 1986--------D 1787-------B 1837k 1887----------F 1937----------F 1987----b 1788--c 1838---b 1888-----@ 1938----a 1988----a 1789---------D 1839-e 1889--------C 1939-----@ 1989--c 1790-e 1840-d 1890----------F 1940---b 1990---b 1791-------B 1841--c 1891-------B 1941-------C 1991----a 1792-------B 1842-----a 1892---b 1942----a 1992--c 1793-------B 1843--c 1893---b 1943-----@ 1993--c 1794-----@ 1844h 1894------A 1944--c 1994--c 1795---b 1845---b 1895----a 1945--c 1995g 1796--------C 1846------A 1896-------B 1946l 1996--c 1797-------C 1847---b 1897-------B 1947------A 1997---b 1798---------D 1848-------B 1898----------G 1948-----@ 1998-----@ 1799------B 1849---------E 1899-------C 1949---b 1999--------D PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: 09:18 Mon 05 Jan 2004 Page 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1775 1800 1825 1850 1875 1900 1925 1950 1975 1824 1849 1874 1899 1924 1949 1974 1999 2024 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 OHC0001A 1793 2001 .64 .67 .69 .64 .53 .68 .53 .43 .43 2 OHC0001B 1812 2001 .61 .58 .43 .50 .69 .72 .76 .75 3 OHC0002A 1821 2001 .52 .48 .31A .50 .58 .68 .57 .58 4 OHC0002B 1814 2001 .71 .80 .81 .62 .59 .71 .73 .73 5 OHC0003A 1779 2001 .55 .72 .67 .56 .71 .71 .61 .58 .58 6 OHC0003B 1789 2001 .53 .69 .78 .73 .65 .62 .69 .67 .67 7 OHC0004B 1821 2001 .19B .22B .49 .51 .59 .50 .46 .46 8 OHC0005A 1861 2001 .53 .54 .74 .73 .66 .67 9 OHC0005B 1802 2001 .74 .77 .63 .45 .45 .56 .63 .65 10 OHC0006A 1835 2001 .54 .68 .71 .75 .78 .61 .60 11 OHC0006B 1851 2001 .67 .73 .70 .73 .54 .54 12 OHC0007A 1823 2001 .61 .63 .62 .67 .71 .72 .44 .44 13 OHC0008B 1876 2001 .68 .56 .59 .53 .53 14 OHC0009A 1811 2001 .70 .75 .63 .59 .54 .59 .60 .59 15 OHC0009B 1799 2001 .70 .74 .60 .61 .67 .60 .64 .69 .72 16 OHC0011A 1861 2001 .40 .55 .62 .72 .75 .76 17 OHC0011B 1796 2001 .60 .62 .66 .65 .76 .68 .72 .64 .64 18 OHC0012A 1826 2001 .58 .65 .61 .58 .56 .52 .55 19 OHC0012B 1787 2001 .55 .58 .42 .43 .57 .51 .56 .39 .40 20 OHC0013A 1795 2001 .62 .63 .63 .56 .62 .74 .78 .70 .71 21 OHC0013B 1793 2001 .58 .60 .61 .65 .66 .64 .63 .64 .65 22 OHC0015A 1804 2001 .12B .50 .71 .48 .68 .85 .72 .73 23 OHC0015B 1792 2001 .57 .60 .49 .52 .52 .38 .36 .35 .33A 24 OHC0016A 1788 2001 .42 .77 .61 .44 .56 .54 .66 .79 .82 25 OHC0016B 1807 2001 .69 .63 .56 .54 .43 .56 .66 .63 26 OHC0017A 1855 2001 .59 .56 .45 .45 .52 .53 27 OHC0017B 1818 2001 .60 .56 .49 .57 .58 .58 .48 .51 28 OHC0018A 1758 2001 .52 .60 .64 .59 .56 .53 .60 .62 .60 29 OHC0018B 1796 2001 .54 .57 .64 .58 .55 .54B .60 .50 .51 30 OHC0019A 1818 2001 .70 .71 .68 .70 .65 .71 .54 .55 31 OHC0019B 1861 2001 .58 .62 .65 .71 .64 .61 32 OHC0020A 1796 2001 .81 .81 .70 .68 .56 .45 .55 .54 .55 33 OHC0020B 1849 2001 .48 .46 .50 .56 .67 .62 .63 Av segment correlation .59 .62 .61 .58 .59 .60 .64 .59 .60 PART 6: POTENTIAL PROBLEMS: 09:18 Mon 05 Jan 2004 Page 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ For each series with potential problems the following diagnostics may appear: [A] Correlations with master dating series of flagged 50-year segments of series filtered with 32-year spline, at every point from ten years earlier (-10) to ten years later (+10) than dated [B] Effect of those data values which most lower or raise correlation with master series Symbol following year indicates value in series is greater (>) or lesser (<) than master series value [C] Year-to-year changes very different from the mean change in other series [D] Absent rings (zero values) [E] Values which are statistical outliers from mean for the year =================================================================================================================================== OHC0001A 1793 to 2001 209 years Series 1 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .587) is: Lower 1968< -.046 1954< -.021 1813> -.009 1897< -.007 1909> -.006 1809< -.006 Higher 1946 .021 1971 .011 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1968 -5.1 SD =================================================================================================================================== OHC0001B 1812 to 2001 190 years Series 2 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .622) is: Lower 1895< -.009 1868< -.009 1889< -.009 1843> -.007 1859> -.007 1862> -.007 Higher 1946 .023 1844 .009 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1946 -7.6 SD =================================================================================================================================== OHC0002A 1821 to 2001 181 years Series 3 [A] Segment High -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 +0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8 +9 +10 --------- ---- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 1850 1899 0 .17 .23 -.01 .01 .28 -.07 .02 -.10 -.20 -.01 .31*-.25 -.12 .05 .09 -.05 -.19 -.08 -.24 -.06 .10 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .524) is: Lower 1868< -.046 1888< -.013 1909> -.011 1938> -.010 1982< -.009 1890< -.009 Higher 1837 .013 1826 .012 1850 to 1899 segment: Lower 1868< -.129 1890< -.024 1872> -.016 1881> -.013 1880> -.011 1871> -.011 Higher 1884 .048 1864 .029 [C] Year-to-year changes diverging by over 4.0 std deviations: 1867 1868 -4.0 SD [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1868 -5.1 SD =================================================================================================================================== OHC0002B 1814 to 2001 188 years Series 4 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .683) is: Lower 1909> -.019 1817< -.012 1946> -.010 1915< -.010 1942< -.008 1814< -.008 Higher 1859 .010 1961 .008 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1909 +3.2 SD =================================================================================================================================== OHC0003A 1779 to 2001 223 years Series 5 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .605) is: Lower 1784< -.009 1799< -.009 1961> -.008 1790> -.008 1926> -.008 1821> -.006 Higher 1806 .023 1946 .011 =================================================================================================================================== OHC0003B 1789 to 2001 213 years Series 6 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .628) is: Lower 1790> -.020 1793< -.015 1993< -.013 1905< -.008 1938> -.005 1800> -.004 Higher 1859 .010 1837 .009 =================================================================================================================================== OHC0004B 1821 to 2001 181 years Series 7 [A] Segment High -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 +0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8 +9 +10 --------- ---- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 1821 1870 -4 .06 .18 .08 .25 -.06 -.01 .33*-.01 .07 .31 .19| .03 .03 .15 -.29 .00 .04 -.27 -.19 -.09 -.13 1825 1874 -4 .03 .21 -.13 .15 -.05 .01 .44* .02 .08 .15 .22| .06 .05 .12 -.30 .10 .10 -.13 -.06 -.11 -.09 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .427) is: Lower 1830> -.022 1961> -.021 1962> -.015 1837> -.015 1862> -.013 1909> -.011 Higher 1971 .021 1946 .015 1821 to 1870 segment: Lower 1830> -.080 1862> -.045 1837> -.043 1846< -.031 1851< -.017 1828> -.015 Higher 1857 .029 1859 .027 1825 to 1874 segment: Lower 1830> -.080 1837> -.046 1862> -.045 1846< -.033 1851< -.017 1838< -.015 Higher 1849 .025 1861 .025 [E] Outliers 3 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1830 +3.4 SD; 1837 +3.1 SD; 1962 +4.5 SD =================================================================================================================================== OHC0005A 1861 to 2001 141 years Series 8 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .656) is: Lower 1876< -.014 1886< -.011 1971> -.009 1961> -.008 1879> -.008 1902> -.007 Higher 1946 .039 1934 .008 =================================================================================================================================== OHC0005B 1802 to 2001 200 years Series 9 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .608) is: Lower 1886< -.021 1941< -.012 1806> -.010 1926> -.008 1948< -.008 1902> -.008 Higher 1813 .008 1946 .007 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1886 -4.8 SD =================================================================================================================================== OHC0006A 1835 to 2001 167 years Series 10 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .638) is: Lower 1989> -.012 1861< -.011 1835> -.011 1844> -.010 1857> -.009 2001< -.008 Higher 1946 .023 1859 .011 =================================================================================================================================== OHC0006B 1851 to 2001 151 years Series 11 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .616) is: Lower 1990< -.059 1989> -.012 1938> -.011 1926> -.011 1857> -.010 1961> -.008 Higher 1859 .016 1971 .016 =================================================================================================================================== OHC0007A 1823 to 2001 179 years Series 12 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .605) is: Lower 1862< -.028 1998< -.023 1983< -.010 1902> -.010 1823< -.008 1961> -.008 Higher 1946 .029 1859 .009 =================================================================================================================================== OHC0008B 1876 to 2001 126 years Series 13 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .589) is: Lower 1946> -.020 1993> -.011 1942< -.011 1977> -.010 1986< -.010 1969> -.009 Higher 1979 .013 1878 .011 =================================================================================================================================== OHC0009A 1811 to 2001 191 years Series 14 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .608) is: Lower 1946> -.015 1998< -.013 1943< -.012 1973< -.008 1887< -.006 1942> -.006 Higher 1820 .010 1961 .008 =================================================================================================================================== OHC0009B 1799 to 2001 203 years Series 15 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .650) is: Lower 1874< -.013 1799> -.009 1938> -.008 1929> -.007 1802> -.007 1934< -.006 Higher 1806 .025 1813 .007 =================================================================================================================================== OHC0011A 1861 to 2001 141 years Series 16 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .619) is: Lower 1873< -.033 1909> -.014 1862> -.013 1884> -.010 1905> -.009 1948> -.008 Higher 1961 .015 1926 .013 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1948 +3.0 SD =================================================================================================================================== OHC0011B 1796 to 2001 206 years Series 17 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .643) is: Lower 1994< -.016 1939< -.015 1806> -.011 1813> -.008 1864< -.007 1803< -.006 Higher 1946 .015 1961 .008 =================================================================================================================================== OHC0012A 1826 to 2001 176 years Series 18 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .582) is: Lower 1863< -.016 1849< -.016 1903> -.011 1907< -.011 1917> -.009 1982> -.008 Higher 1946 .037 1859 .012 =================================================================================================================================== OHC0012B 1787 to 2001 215 years Series 19 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .484) is: Lower 1855< -.037 1991< -.025 1806> -.016 1831< -.009 1990> -.009 1970< -.008 Higher 1790 .014 1813 .011 [E] Outliers 4 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1855 -5.0 SD; 1906 +3.2 SD; 1909 -5.1 SD; 1990 +3.4 SD =================================================================================================================================== OHC0013A 1795 to 2001 207 years Series 20 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .655) is: Lower 1876< -.017 1804< -.007 1862> -.007 1806> -.007 1867> -.006 1936< -.006 Higher 1946 .024 1878 .008 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1911 +3.0 SD =================================================================================================================================== OHC0013B 1793 to 2001 209 years Series 21 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .620) is: Lower 1938< -.018 1942> -.010 1837> -.008 1868< -.008 1884> -.006 1855< -.005 Higher 1946 .022 1961 .009 =================================================================================================================================== OHC0015A 1804 to 2001 198 years Series 22 [A] Segment High -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 +0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8 +9 +10 --------- ---- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 1804 1853 -1 -.14 .08 .26 .05 -.19 .08 .09 -.04 -.06 .73* .12|-.03 .00 -.04 -.12 -.21 .18 .02 -.08 .02 -.26 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .548) is: Lower 1807< -.022 1837> -.018 1906< -.015 1896< -.012 1909> -.011 1806> -.010 Higher 1946 .032 1859 .008 1804 to 1853 segment: Lower 1807< -.067 1837> -.043 1810> -.027 1830> -.024 1804< -.015 1814< -.013 Higher 1844 .053 1818 .038 [C] Year-to-year changes diverging by over 4.0 std deviations: 1806 1807 -4.7 SD [E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1837 +3.4 SD; 1906 -4.9 SD =================================================================================================================================== OHC0015B 1792 to 2001 210 years Series 23 [A] Segment High -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 +0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8 +9 +10 --------- ---- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 1952 2001 0 -.13 -.07 -.24 -.03 -.10 -.11 -.28 .01 -.05 .12 .33* - - - - - - - - - - [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .462) is: Lower 1864< -.023 1925< -.010 1909> -.009 1964< -.008 1971> -.008 1903> -.006 Higher 1946 .019 1837 .018 1952 to 2001 segment: Lower 1964< -.037 1971> -.026 1983< -.025 1993> -.023 1957< -.018 1969> -.017 Higher 1979 .055 1961 .040 =================================================================================================================================== OHC0016A 1788 to 2001 214 years Series 24 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .551) is: Lower 1791< -.054 1850< -.023 1931< -.014 1790> -.012 1794< -.008 1792> -.007 Higher 1837 .014 1971 .012 [C] Year-to-year changes diverging by over 4.0 std deviations: 1790 1791 -5.6 SD 1791 1792 4.6 SD [E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1791 -4.9 SD; 1793 +3.2 SD =================================================================================================================================== OHC0016B 1807 to 2001 195 years Series 25 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .589) is: Lower 1946> -.011 1898< -.009 1854< -.008 1905> -.008 1944> -.007 1840> -.007 Higher 1837 .012 1820 .011 [E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1837 -5.3 SD; 1906 +3.5 SD =================================================================================================================================== OHC0017A 1855 to 2001 147 years Series 26 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .515) is: Lower 1935< -.056 1957< -.020 1878> -.014 1938> -.009 1966> -.008 1885< -.008 Higher 1971 .016 1946 .011 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1935 -5.9 SD =================================================================================================================================== OHC0017B 1818 to 2001 184 years Series 27 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .533) is: Lower 1985< -.031 1949< -.016 1868< -.015 1989> -.012 1950> -.009 1926> -.008 Higher 1971 .016 1946 .012 [C] Year-to-year changes diverging by over 4.0 std deviations: 1949 1950 4.2 SD [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1949 -4.9 SD =================================================================================================================================== OHC0018A 1758 to 2001 244 years Series 28 [*] Early part of series cannot be checked from 1758 to 1778 -- not matched by another series [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .533) is: Lower 1784> -.015 1798< -.012 1820> -.012 2000< -.011 1989> -.006 1950> -.005 Higher 1806 .032 1859 .013 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1790 -4.7 SD =================================================================================================================================== OHC0018B 1796 to 2001 206 years Series 29 [A] Segment High -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 +0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8 +9 +10 --------- ---- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 1900 1949 7 .24 -.01 -.09 -.07 -.08 -.35 -.17 .01 .18 -.06 .54| .07 -.11 .02 -.02 -.02 .10 .59*-.22 .01 .01 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .543) is: Lower 1813> -.016 1878> -.011 1946> -.010 1812< -.010 1995> -.009 1937< -.009 Higher 1806 .035 1837 .016 1900 to 1949 segment: Lower 1937< -.044 1939< -.043 1946> -.039 1949> -.019 1916> -.014 1911< -.012 Higher 1926 .033 1934 .031 [C] Year-to-year changes diverging by over 4.0 std deviations: 1812 1813 4.5 SD =================================================================================================================================== OHC0019A 1818 to 2001 184 years Series 30 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .652) is: Lower 1999< -.024 1929> -.013 1857< -.013 1935< -.009 1986< -.009 1909> -.007 Higher 1946 .021 1926 .008 =================================================================================================================================== OHC0019B 1861 to 2001 141 years Series 31 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .596) is: Lower 1882< -.024 1992< -.015 2001< -.014 1867> -.013 1946> -.012 1993> -.009 Higher 1971 .012 1926 .009 =================================================================================================================================== OHC0020A 1796 to 2001 206 years Series 32 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .615) is: Lower 1959< -.019 1901< -.018 1937< -.014 1938> -.012 1910> -.009 1859> -.008 Higher 1806 .022 1946 .018 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1911 +3.1 SD =================================================================================================================================== OHC0020B 1849 to 2001 153 years Series 33 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .552) is: Lower 1909< -.031 1859> -.020 1969> -.008 1966> -.008 1858< -.007 1884> -.007 Higher 1971 .016 1946 .015 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1909 -4.8 SD =================================================================================================================================== PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: 09:18 Mon 05 Jan 2004 Page 6 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 1 OHC0001A 1793 2001 209 9 0 .587 .84 3.42 .560 .912 .226 2.65 .406 -.048 1 2 OHC0001B 1812 2001 190 8 0 .622 .75 2.03 .449 .903 .237 2.53 .272 -.017 1 3 OHC0002A 1821 2001 181 8 1 .524 .96 2.29 .429 .839 .187 2.74 .410 -.028 1 4 OHC0002B 1814 2001 188 8 0 .683 .97 2.65 .467 .859 .188 2.70 .432 -.036 1 5 OHC0003A 1779 2001 223 9 0 .605 .71 2.54 .447 .911 .230 2.48 .307 -.012 1 6 OHC0003B 1789 2001 213 9 0 .628 .65 2.22 .450 .902 .252 2.66 .404 -.009 1 7 OHC0004B 1821 2001 181 8 2 .427 .65 2.08 .435 .894 .212 2.66 .436 -.041 1 8 OHC0005A 1861 2001 141 6 0 .656 .96 2.00 .371 .797 .205 2.50 .325 -.055 1 9 OHC0005B 1802 2001 200 8 0 .608 .91 1.91 .376 .812 .201 2.49 .339 -.041 1 10 OHC0006A 1835 2001 167 7 0 .638 .99 2.13 .387 .870 .167 2.67 .405 -.003 1 11 OHC0006B 1851 2001 151 6 0 .616 1.02 2.15 .400 .861 .170 2.59 .366 -.050 1 12 OHC0007A 1823 2001 179 8 0 .605 .99 1.96 .320 .740 .181 2.53 .331 -.043 2 13 OHC0008B 1876 2001 126 5 0 .589 .73 1.97 .349 .892 .166 2.63 .423 -.059 1 14 OHC0009A 1811 2001 191 8 0 .608 .61 1.35 .259 .864 .182 2.57 .411 .049 2 15 OHC0009B 1799 2001 203 9 0 .650 .79 1.83 .363 .873 .197 2.63 .438 -.080 1 16 OHC0011A 1861 2001 141 6 0 .619 1.13 2.45 .437 .849 .164 2.71 .506 .000 1 17 OHC0011B 1796 2001 206 9 0 .643 .67 1.66 .302 .795 .225 2.79 .484 .021 1 18 OHC0012A 1826 2001 176 7 0 .582 .71 1.83 .352 .818 .200 2.83 .429 -.090 1 19 OHC0012B 1787 2001 215 9 0 .484 .64 1.88 .326 .826 .214 2.63 .381 .002 1 20 OHC0013A 1795 2001 207 9 0 .655 .75 1.85 .329 .878 .164 2.69 .435 -.095 1 21 OHC0013B 1793 2001 209 9 0 .620 .81 1.88 .414 .911 .188 2.67 .366 -.021 2 22 OHC0015A 1804 2001 198 8 1 .548 .68 1.87 .324 .775 .238 2.79 .471 .001 1 23 OHC0015B 1792 2001 210 9 1 .462 .85 2.21 .457 .867 .216 2.75 .476 -.048 2 24 OHC0016A 1788 2001 214 9 0 .551 .77 2.78 .421 .825 .211 2.85 .466 -.068 2 25 OHC0016B 1807 2001 195 8 0 .589 .71 2.85 .427 .838 .204 2.63 .380 -.053 1 26 OHC0017A 1855 2001 147 6 0 .515 1.00 2.32 .474 .905 .160 2.48 .341 -.074 1 27 OHC0017B 1818 2001 184 8 0 .533 .81 1.97 .410 .902 .165 2.61 .359 -.041 1 28 OHC0018A 1758 2001 244 9 0 .533 .48 1.40 .253 .841 .237 2.63 .380 -.057 1 29 OHC0018B 1796 2001 206 9 1 .543 .66 1.84 .362 .868 .211 2.55 .381 -.005 1 30 OHC0019A 1818 2001 184 8 0 .652 .77 1.79 .356 .865 .192 2.65 .445 -.002 1 31 OHC0019B 1861 2001 141 6 0 .596 .85 2.15 .374 .872 .185 2.72 .506 -.017 1 32 OHC0020A 1796 2001 206 9 0 .615 1.15 3.84 .654 .907 .182 2.59 .363 -.014 1 33 OHC0020B 1849 2001 153 7 0 .552 1.06 3.18 .506 .853 .185 2.41 .282 .020 1 --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- Total or mean: 6179 261 6 .585 .81 3.84 .401 .859 .201 2.85 .399 -.031 - = [ COFECHA OUL1 COF ] = -