[] Dendrochronology Program Library Run KJOK4 Program COF 09:55 Wed 31 Dec 2003 Page 1 [] [] P R O G R A M C O F E C H A Version 6.06P 25203 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ QUALITY CONTROL AND DATING CHECK OF TREE-RING MEASUREMENTS File of DATED series: kjok4.tu_ CONTENTS: Part 1: Title page, options selected, summary, absent rings by series Part 2: Histogram of time spans Part 3: Master series with sample depth and absent rings by year Part 4: Bar plot of Master Dating Series Part 5: Correlation by segment of each series with Master Part 6: Potential problems: low correlation, divergent year-to-year changes, absent rings, outliers Part 7: Descriptive statistics RUN CONTROL OPTIONS SELECTED VALUE 1 Cubic smoothing spline 50% wavelength cutoff for filtering 32 years 2 Segments examined are 50 years lagged successively by 25 years 3 Autoregressive model applied A Residuals are used in master dating series and testing 4 Series transformed to logarithms Y Each series log-transformed for master dating series and testing 5 CORRELATION is Pearson (parametric, quantitative) Critical correlation, 99% confidence level .3281 6 Master dating series saved C 7 Ring measurements listed N 8 Parts printed 1234567 9 Absent rings are omitted from master series and segment correlations (Y) Time span of Master dating series is 1821 to 2001 181 years Continuous time span is 1821 to 2001 181 years Portion with two or more series is 1821 to 2001 181 years **************************************** *C* Number of dated series 38 *C* *O* Master series 1821 2001 181 yrs *O* *F* Total rings in all series 6246 *F* *E* Total dated rings checked 6246 *E* *C* Series intercorrelation .598 *C* *H* Average mean sensitivity .189 *H* *A* Segments, possible problems 4 *A* *** Mean length of series 164.4 *** **************************************** ABSENT RINGS listed by SERIES: (See Master Dating Series for absent rings listed by year) No ring measurements of zero value PART 2: TIME PLOT OF TREE-RING SERIES: 09:55 Wed 31 Dec 2003 Page 2 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1050 1100 1150 1200 1250 1300 1350 1400 1450 1500 1550 1600 1650 1700 1750 1800 1850 1900 1950 2000 2050 Ident Seq Time-span Yrs : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : -------- --- ---- ---- ---- . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=================> . OKC0332A 1 1826 2001 176 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=================> . OKC0332B 2 1829 2001 173 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=================> . OKC0333A 3 1829 2001 173 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <================> . OKC0333B 4 1830 2001 172 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <================> . OKC0334A 5 1832 2001 170 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <================> . OKC0334B 6 1838 2001 164 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=================> . OKC0335A 7 1821 2001 181 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=================> . OKC0335B 8 1824 2001 178 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=================> . OKC0336A 9 1829 2001 173 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <================> . OKC0336B 10 1834 2001 168 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <================> . OKC0337A 11 1835 2001 167 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=================> . OKC0337B 12 1829 2001 173 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===============> . OKC0338A 13 1840 2001 162 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <================> . OKC0338B 14 1833 2001 169 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <================> . OKC0339A 15 1834 2001 168 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <==============> . OKC0339B 16 1852 2001 150 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===============> . OKC0340A 17 1843 2001 159 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===============> . OKC0340B 18 1847 2001 155 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <==============> . OKC0341A 19 1854 2001 148 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===============> . OKC0341B 20 1845 2001 157 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <================> . OKC0342A 21 1838 2001 164 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <================> . OKC0342B 22 1838 2001 164 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===============> . OKC0343A 23 1849 2001 153 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===============> . OKC0343B 24 1840 2001 162 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <================> . OKC0344A 25 1839 2001 163 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===============> . OKC0344B 26 1844 2001 158 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <================> . OKC0345A 27 1835 2001 167 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <================> . OKC0345B 28 1835 2001 167 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <================> . OKC0346A 29 1834 2001 168 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <================> . OKC0346B 30 1834 2001 168 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=================> . OKC0347A 31 1828 2001 174 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=================> . OKC0347B 32 1821 2001 181 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===============> . OKC0348A 33 1847 2001 155 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===============> . OKC0348B 34 1846 2001 156 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <================> . OKC0349A 35 1835 2001 167 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <================> . OKC0349B 36 1838 2001 164 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<=============> . OKC0350A 37 1866 2001 136 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <==============> . OKC0350B 38 1859 2001 143 : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : 1050 1100 1150 1200 1250 1300 1350 1400 1450 1500 1550 1600 1650 1700 1750 1800 1850 1900 1950 2000 2050 PART 3: Master Dating Series: 09:55 Wed 31 Dec 2003 Page 3 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ 1850 .227 34 1900 .486 38 1950 -.106 38 2000 1.206 38 1851 .944 34 1901 1.555 38 1951 -1.152 38 2001 -1.103 38 1852 -.986 35 1902 -1.001 38 1952 -.404 38 1853 -1.042 35 1903 -.717 38 1953 1.180 38 1854 .983 36 1904 -.207 38 1954 2.245 38 1855 -.092 36 1905 -.340 38 1955 -.002 38 1856 .810 36 1906 .199 38 1956 -1.306 38 1857 .252 36 1907 -.832 38 1957 1.221 38 1858 .581 36 1908 .757 38 1958 -.329 38 1859 -1.332 37 1909 -.382 38 1959 .470 38 1860 .758 37 1910 -1.045 38 1960 -.391 38 1861 .308 37 1911 -.384 38 1961 -.442 38 1862 -1.891 37 1912 .311 38 1962 .591 38 1863 .112 37 1913 -.916 38 1963 -.709 38 1864 .790 37 1914 -.435 38 1964 -.664 38 1865 1.320 37 1915 3.074 38 1965 -1.571 38 1866 .482 38 1916 1.139 38 1966 .003 38 1867 -2.077 38 1917 .389 38 1967 .550 38 1868 -.293 38 1918 -.832 38 1968 -.471 38 1869 -.676 38 1919 -.627 38 1969 -1.527 38 1870 .864 38 1920 -.562 38 1970 -1.601 38 1821 .803 2 1871 -.532 38 1921 .526 38 1971 -1.125 38 1822 -.778 2 1872 -.161 38 1922 1.677 38 1972 .409 38 1823 2.839 2 1873 .168 38 1923 1.294 38 1973 1.002 38 1824 .975 3 1874 .219 38 1924 1.079 38 1974 1.329 38 1825 .387 3 1875 1.087 38 1925 -.621 38 1975 1.304 38 1826 -.761 4 1876 -.047 38 1926 -2.100 38 1976 -.109 38 1827 -1.034 4 1877 .659 38 1927 .324 38 1977 -.833 38 1828 .041 5 1878 -.225 38 1928 -.999 38 1978 -.121 38 1829 -1.176 9 1879 -.456 38 1929 .117 38 1979 1.497 38 1830 -.117 10 1880 -.939 38 1930 .303 38 1980 -.441 38 1831 1.020 10 1881 -1.538 38 1931 -2.175 38 1981 .089 38 1832 -.185 11 1882 2.148 38 1932 1.295 38 1982 .227 38 1833 -.291 12 1883 .534 38 1933 .005 38 1983 .061 38 1834 .241 16 1884 .594 38 1934 1.196 38 1984 -1.588 38 1835 -1.462 20 1885 1.165 38 1935 -.903 38 1985 -1.074 38 1836 -.635 20 1886 -.299 38 1936 -.975 38 1986 .573 38 1837 -.563 20 1887 -1.712 38 1937 -1.318 38 1987 .185 38 1838 .668 24 1888 -1.218 38 1938 -.960 38 1988 1.929 38 1839 1.485 25 1889 -1.463 38 1939 -.398 38 1989 .480 38 1840 1.075 27 1890 -.242 38 1940 -.618 38 1990 1.502 38 1841 -.112 27 1891 -.239 38 1941 -.169 38 1991 1.083 38 1842 .682 27 1892 .400 38 1942 -.765 38 1992 -.857 38 1843 -.893 28 1893 .816 38 1943 -.989 38 1993 -2.394 38 1844 -.043 29 1894 .072 38 1944 -.844 38 1994 -.257 38 1845 -1.290 30 1895 .176 38 1945 .507 38 1995 -1.155 38 1846 -.221 31 1896 1.456 38 1946 .545 38 1996 -.850 38 1847 -.602 33 1897 .323 38 1947 2.120 38 1997 .938 38 1848 .702 33 1898 .801 38 1948 2.168 38 1998 -.080 38 1849 1.040 34 1899 -.969 38 1949 .243 38 1999 .982 38 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ PART 4: Master Bar Plot: 09:55 Wed 31 Dec 2003 Page 4 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value 1850------A 1900-------B 1950-----@ 2000---------E 1851--------D 1901----------F 1951-e 2001-d 1852-d 1902-d 1952---b 1853-d 1903--c 1953---------E 1854---------D 1904----a 1954----------I 1855-----@ 1905----a 1955-----@ 1856--------C 1906------A 1956-e 1857------A 1907--c 1957---------E 1858-------B 1908--------C 1958----a 1859e 1909----b 1959-------B 1860--------C 1910-d 1960----b 1861------A 1911----b 1961---b 1862h 1912------A 1962-------B 1863------@ 1913--d 1963--c 1864--------C 1914---b 1964---c 1865---------E 1915----------L 1965f 1866-------B 1916---------E 1966-----@ 1867h 1917-------B 1967-------B 1868----a 1918--c 1968---b 1869---c 1919---c 1969f 1870--------C 1920---b 1970f 1821--------C 1871---b 1921-------B 1971-e 1822--c 1872----a 1922----------G 1972-------B 1823----------K 1873------A 1923---------E 1973---------D 1824---------D 1874------A 1924---------D 1974---------E 1825-------B 1875---------D 1925---b 1975---------E 1826--c 1876-----@ 1926h 1976-----@ 1827-d 1877--------C 1927------A 1977--c 1828-----@ 1878----a 1928-d 1978-----@ 1829-e 1879---b 1929------@ 1979----------F 1830-----@ 1880-d 1930------A 1980---b 1831---------D 1881f 1931i 1981-----@ 1832----a 1882----------I 1932---------E 1982------A 1833----a 1883-------B 1933-----@ 1983-----@ 1834------A 1884-------B 1934---------E 1984f 1835f 1885---------E 1935--d 1985-d 1836---c 1886----a 1936-d 1986-------B 1837---b 1887g 1937e 1987------A 1838--------C 1888-e 1938-d 1988----------H 1839----------F 1889f 1939---b 1989-------B 1840---------D 1890----a 1940---b 1990----------F 1841-----@ 1891----a 1941----a 1991---------D 1842--------C 1892-------B 1942--c 1992--c 1843--d 1893--------C 1943-d 1993j 1844-----@ 1894-----@ 1944--c 1994----a 1845-e 1895------A 1945-------B 1995-e 1846----a 1896----------F 1946-------B 1996--c 1847---b 1897------A 1947----------H 1997--------D 1848--------C 1898--------C 1948----------I 1998-----@ 1849---------D 1899-d 1949------A 1999---------D PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: 09:55 Wed 31 Dec 2003 Page 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1800 1825 1850 1875 1900 1925 1950 1975 1849 1874 1899 1924 1949 1974 1999 2024 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 OKC0332A 1826 2001 .44 .43 .40 .56 .66 .59 .53 2 OKC0332B 1829 2001 .45 .37 .48 .64 .60 .51 .48 3 OKC0333A 1829 2001 .40 .66 .65 .63 .70 .70 .68 4 OKC0333B 1830 2001 .51 .49 .51 .71 .69 .66 .64 5 OKC0334A 1832 2001 .67 .64 .61 .60 .63 .49 .48 6 OKC0334B 1838 2001 .66 .50 .34 .62 .64 .64 .65 7 OKC0335A 1821 2001 .63 .69 .62 .60 .65 .66 .72 .70 8 OKC0335B 1824 2001 .50 .52 .65 .59 .63 .65 .65 .53 9 OKC0336A 1829 2001 .36 .26A .36 .65 .68 .65 .55 10 OKC0336B 1834 2001 .47 .41 .41 .63 .78 .67 .69 11 OKC0337A 1835 2001 .62 .64 .63 .69 .67 .70 .71 12 OKC0337B 1829 2001 .61 .64 .57 .61 .70 .67 .69 13 OKC0338A 1840 2001 .49 .47 .52 .58 .42 .50 .53 14 OKC0338B 1833 2001 .68 .71 .79 .76 .61 .53 .54 15 OKC0339A 1834 2001 .60 .58 .69 .74 .69 .67 .69 16 OKC0339B 1852 2001 .67 .66 .65 .56 .51 .54 17 OKC0340A 1843 2001 .62 .56 .56 .61 .70 .73 .75 18 OKC0340B 1847 2001 .66 .61 .59 .61 .52 .54 .57 19 OKC0341A 1854 2001 .54 .49 .61 .67 .54 .58 20 OKC0341B 1845 2001 .71 .71 .74 .66 .64 .61 .63 21 OKC0342A 1838 2001 .47 .61 .73 .74 .72 .71 .73 22 OKC0342B 1838 2001 .53 .71 .74 .71 .77 .80 .80 23 OKC0343A 1849 2001 .62 .63 .51 .59 .68 .69 .72 24 OKC0343B 1840 2001 .47 .56 .62 .68 .62 .49 .50 25 OKC0344A 1839 2001 .61 .66 .63 .68 .58 .67 .68 26 OKC0344B 1844 2001 .39 .51 .66 .74 .65 .68 .71 27 OKC0345A 1835 2001 .43 .65 .72 .70 .67 .51 .51 28 OKC0345B 1835 2001 .60 .59 .56 .54 .53 .58 .59 29 OKC0346A 1834 2001 .64 .61 .68 .67 .65 .68 .70 30 OKC0346B 1834 2001 .57 .70 .76 .71 .67 .68 .68 31 OKC0347A 1828 2001 .58 .55 .50 .63 .58 .60 .60 32 OKC0347B 1821 2001 .53 .53 .68 .64 .65 .67 .63 .65 33 OKC0348A 1847 2001 .48 .49 .62 .73 .75 .65 .66 34 OKC0348B 1846 2001 .30B .32B .53 .59 .62 .75 .76 35 OKC0349A 1835 2001 .28B .46 .58 .66 .71 .65 .67 36 OKC0349B 1838 2001 .55 .61 .47 .57 .65 .72 .74 37 OKC0350A 1866 2001 .51 .45 .55 .52 .54 .59 38 OKC0350B 1859 2001 .48 .46 .61 .66 .62 .63 Av segment correlation .55 .54 .57 .58 .65 .65 .63 .63 PART 6: POTENTIAL PROBLEMS: 09:55 Wed 31 Dec 2003 Page 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ For each series with potential problems the following diagnostics may appear: [A] Correlations with master dating series of flagged 50-year segments of series filtered with 32-year spline, at every point from ten years earlier (-10) to ten years later (+10) than dated [B] Effect of those data values which most lower or raise correlation with master series Symbol following year indicates value in series is greater (>) or lesser (<) than master series value [C] Year-to-year changes very different from the mean change in other series [D] Absent rings (zero values) [E] Values which are statistical outliers from mean for the year =================================================================================================================================== OKC0332A 1826 to 2001 176 years Series 1 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .496) is: Lower 1906< -.028 1891< -.022 1860< -.011 2001> -.011 1869> -.011 1907> -.009 Higher 1931 .017 1862 .015 =================================================================================================================================== OKC0332B 1829 to 2001 173 years Series 2 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .508) is: Lower 1871< -.021 1982< -.014 1875< -.010 1956> -.009 1860< -.009 1867> -.008 Higher 1915 .015 1882 .012 =================================================================================================================================== OKC0333A 1829 to 2001 173 years Series 3 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .569) is: Lower 1833< -.044 1835> -.020 1934< -.016 1882< -.011 1829> -.011 1975< -.009 Higher 1931 .015 1867 .015 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1835 +3.2 SD =================================================================================================================================== OKC0333B 1830 to 2001 172 years Series 4 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .599) is: Lower 1876< -.020 1887> -.012 1852> -.011 1869> -.010 1908< -.010 1967< -.009 Higher 1931 .023 1862 .017 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1869 +3.1 SD =================================================================================================================================== OKC0334A 1832 to 2001 170 years Series 5 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .585) is: Lower 1926> -.020 1865< -.010 1889> -.010 1993> -.010 1960< -.009 1871< -.008 Higher 1931 .010 1882 .009 =================================================================================================================================== OKC0334B 1838 to 2001 164 years Series 6 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .582) is: Lower 1897< -.042 1954< -.013 1926> -.009 1841> -.008 1902> -.008 1883> -.007 Higher 1931 .017 1867 .012 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1897 -4.6 SD =================================================================================================================================== OKC0335A 1821 to 2001 181 years Series 7 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .630) is: Lower 1822> -.022 1824< -.008 1871> -.007 1899> -.005 1980> -.004 1862> -.004 Higher 1984 .008 1915 .008 =================================================================================================================================== OKC0335B 1824 to 2001 178 years Series 8 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .545) is: Lower 2000< -.024 1845< -.021 1902> -.011 2001> -.009 1871> -.008 1828< -.007 Higher 1867 .018 1993 .016 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1845 -5.1 SD =================================================================================================================================== OKC0336A 1829 to 2001 173 years Series 9 [A] Segment High -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 +0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8 +9 +10 --------- ---- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 1850 1899 0 -.03 .12 .05 .10 .09 -.14 .03 .02 .07 .06 .26*-.25 -.18 -.11 -.01 -.04 -.27 -.10 .14 .08 .07 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .500) is: Lower 2001> -.019 1875< -.017 1890< -.015 1870< -.012 1862> -.012 1888> -.012 Higher 1931 .030 1915 .014 1850 to 1899 segment: Lower 1875< -.054 1870< -.039 1890< -.038 1888> -.033 1862> -.027 1895< -.024 Higher 1882 .056 1899 .031 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1966 +3.6 SD =================================================================================================================================== OKC0336B 1834 to 2001 168 years Series 10 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .592) is: Lower 1867> -.024 1902> -.016 1873< -.012 1868> -.010 1984> -.009 1862> -.008 Higher 1993 .013 1926 .013 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1868 +5.0 SD =================================================================================================================================== OKC0337A 1835 to 2001 167 years Series 11 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .657) is: Lower 1931> -.018 1843< -.015 1887> -.009 1845> -.009 1913> -.008 1973< -.008 Higher 1862 .015 1867 .012 =================================================================================================================================== OKC0337B 1829 to 2001 173 years Series 12 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .635) is: Lower 1903< -.036 1861< -.028 1973< -.013 1841> -.011 1913> -.007 1984> -.006 Higher 1862 .013 1915 .013 =================================================================================================================================== OKC0338A 1840 to 2001 162 years Series 13 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .530) is: Lower 1883< -.042 1926> -.023 1934< -.018 1970> -.014 1935> -.013 1969> -.013 Higher 1915 .016 1931 .014 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1970 +3.4 SD =================================================================================================================================== OKC0338B 1833 to 2001 169 years Series 14 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .664) is: Lower 1975< -.014 1844< -.011 1970> -.010 1935> -.010 1969> -.010 1868< -.009 Higher 1931 .010 1882 .010 =================================================================================================================================== OKC0339A 1834 to 2001 168 years Series 15 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .673) is: Lower 1850< -.016 1867> -.016 1965> -.011 1872< -.007 1869> -.005 1963> -.005 Higher 1915 .013 1862 .013 =================================================================================================================================== OKC0339B 1852 to 2001 150 years Series 16 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .608) is: Lower 1873< -.021 1957< -.015 1910> -.009 1930< -.009 1976< -.009 1881> -.008 Higher 1984 .010 1859 .009 =================================================================================================================================== OKC0340A 1843 to 2001 159 years Series 17 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .638) is: Lower 1852< -.013 1862> -.012 1900< -.011 1895< -.010 1926> -.008 1889> -.007 Higher 1867 .017 1993 .008 =================================================================================================================================== OKC0340B 1847 to 2001 155 years Series 18 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .590) is: Lower 1898< -.016 1859> -.014 1881< -.011 1938> -.010 1966< -.009 1907> -.008 Higher 1867 .022 1915 .013 =================================================================================================================================== OKC0341A 1854 to 2001 148 years Series 19 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .608) is: Lower 1900< -.028 1993> -.014 1859> -.013 1897< -.011 1956> -.010 1966< -.009 Higher 1862 .018 1867 .018 =================================================================================================================================== OKC0341B 1845 to 2001 157 years Series 20 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .665) is: Lower 1939< -.011 1925> -.009 1997< -.008 1980> -.007 1993> -.007 1948< -.005 Higher 1867 .012 1915 .010 =================================================================================================================================== OKC0342A 1838 to 2001 164 years Series 21 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .653) is: Lower 1845> -.024 1862> -.014 1839< -.010 1858< -.007 1971< -.007 1980> -.006 Higher 1931 .016 1926 .013 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1845 +3.5 SD =================================================================================================================================== OKC0342B 1838 to 2001 164 years Series 22 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .683) is: Lower 1840< -.030 1845> -.012 1900< -.011 1887> -.009 1842< -.009 1865< -.007 Higher 1915 .011 1882 .008 =================================================================================================================================== OKC0343A 1849 to 2001 153 years Series 23 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .631) is: Lower 1936> -.012 1937< -.010 1909< -.009 1905> -.009 1908< -.007 1892< -.007 Higher 1926 .009 2001 .008 =================================================================================================================================== OKC0343B 1840 to 2001 162 years Series 24 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .544) is: Lower 1899> -.014 1974< -.014 1962< -.010 1903> -.010 1841< -.009 1984> -.009 Higher 1926 .019 1915 .014 =================================================================================================================================== OKC0344A 1839 to 2001 163 years Series 25 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .643) is: Lower 1931> -.013 1974< -.012 1841< -.010 1937> -.010 1880> -.008 1923< -.008 Higher 1867 .018 1915 .011 =================================================================================================================================== OKC0344B 1844 to 2001 158 years Series 26 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .597) is: Lower 1845> -.023 1850< -.022 1844< -.013 1862> -.013 1977< -.011 1951> -.010 Higher 1867 .012 1993 .012 =================================================================================================================================== OKC0345A 1835 to 2001 167 years Series 27 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .559) is: Lower 1841< -.034 1993> -.019 1995< -.013 1931> -.010 1869< -.010 1845> -.009 Higher 1926 .013 1915 .013 =================================================================================================================================== OKC0345B 1835 to 2001 167 years Series 28 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .571) is: Lower 1923< -.020 1853< -.017 1898< -.013 1957< -.011 1963> -.010 1910> -.008 Higher 1915 .011 1867 .010 =================================================================================================================================== OKC0346A 1834 to 2001 168 years Series 29 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .662) is: Lower 1857< -.018 1926< -.012 1980> -.008 1899> -.007 1975< -.006 1931> -.006 Higher 1915 .014 1862 .013 =================================================================================================================================== OKC0346B 1834 to 2001 168 years Series 30 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .663) is: Lower 1836< -.019 1980> -.016 1857< -.014 1835> -.010 1975< -.007 1938< -.007 Higher 1915 .013 1993 .012 =================================================================================================================================== OKC0347A 1828 to 2001 174 years Series 31 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .572) is: Lower 1892< -.012 1926> -.011 1888< -.010 1921< -.010 1968< -.010 1829> -.009 Higher 1931 .013 1915 .012 =================================================================================================================================== OKC0347B 1821 to 2001 181 years Series 32 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .625) is: Lower 1822< -.014 1854< -.011 1833> -.008 1826> -.008 1984> -.007 1967< -.006 Higher 1931 .015 1993 .013 =================================================================================================================================== OKC0348A 1847 to 2001 155 years Series 33 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .623) is: Lower 1852< -.037 1882< -.018 1914< -.008 1859> -.008 1980> -.007 1985> -.006 Higher 1867 .013 1915 .011 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1852 -5.1 SD =================================================================================================================================== OKC0348B 1846 to 2001 156 years Series 34 [A] Segment High -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 +0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8 +9 +10 --------- ---- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 1846 1895 10 .08 .18 -.19 .13 -.05 .02 .07 -.23 -.19 -.03 .30|-.12 .07 .05 -.17 .12 -.11 .17 -.06 -.14 .34* 1850 1899 10 .04 .14 -.13 .15 .00 .02 .12 -.30 -.18 -.11 .32|-.15 .08 .15 -.16 .09 -.16 .13 -.01 -.19 .47* [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .553) is: Lower 1910< -.014 1859> -.014 1937> -.011 1856< -.010 1895< -.009 1889> -.008 Higher 1926 .020 1915 .017 1846 to 1895 segment: Lower 1859> -.036 1856< -.033 1895< -.025 1877< -.024 1889> -.024 1853> -.023 Higher 1881 .043 1882 .040 1850 to 1899 segment: Lower 1859> -.035 1856< -.035 1895< -.029 1877< -.026 1889> -.023 1853> -.023 Higher 1881 .041 1882 .038 =================================================================================================================================== OKC0349A 1835 to 2001 167 years Series 35 [A] Segment High -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 +0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8 +9 +10 --------- ---- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 1835 1884 -10 .31* .01 -.19 -.22 -.12 .28 .00 .18 .00 -.04 .28|-.18 -.18 -.21 .10 -.03 .06 .13 -.02 .17 -.47 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .544) is: Lower 1872< -.035 1852> -.014 1835> -.010 1843> -.010 1916< -.010 1838< -.007 Higher 1931 .014 1867 .012 1835 to 1884 segment: Lower 1872< -.080 1852> -.037 1843> -.027 1835> -.026 1838< -.021 1840< -.014 Higher 1867 .071 1862 .049 =================================================================================================================================== OKC0349B 1838 to 2001 164 years Series 36 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .602) is: Lower 1885< -.012 1902> -.011 1935> -.009 1839< -.009 1926> -.008 1881> -.007 Higher 1993 .012 1915 .011 =================================================================================================================================== OKC0350A 1866 to 2001 136 years Series 37 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .541) is: Lower 1993> -.026 1974< -.020 1893< -.018 1934< -.012 1911< -.011 1885< -.011 Higher 1867 .028 1915 .014 =================================================================================================================================== OKC0350B 1859 to 2001 143 years Series 38 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .569) is: Lower 1891< -.052 1928> -.013 1875< -.011 1924< -.010 1926> -.008 1997< -.008 Higher 1862 .018 1915 .018 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1891 -4.6 SD =================================================================================================================================== PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: 09:55 Wed 31 Dec 2003 Page 6 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 1 OKC0332A 1826 2001 176 7 0 .496 .83 4.11 .908 .965 .201 2.82 .473 -.001 4 2 OKC0332B 1829 2001 173 7 0 .508 .80 3.37 .800 .970 .202 2.70 .388 -.017 1 3 OKC0333A 1829 2001 173 7 0 .569 .92 3.50 .862 .962 .184 2.70 .399 .007 1 4 OKC0333B 1830 2001 172 7 0 .599 .87 3.41 .805 .967 .173 2.80 .497 -.059 2 5 OKC0334A 1832 2001 170 7 0 .585 1.00 3.20 .705 .936 .192 2.76 .544 -.013 4 6 OKC0334B 1838 2001 164 7 0 .582 .74 2.92 .495 .915 .204 2.63 .412 -.042 1 7 OKC0335A 1821 2001 181 8 0 .630 .87 3.42 .754 .962 .219 2.61 .401 .027 1 8 OKC0335B 1824 2001 178 8 0 .545 .87 3.12 .674 .954 .210 2.53 .324 -.033 1 9 OKC0336A 1829 2001 173 7 1 .500 .79 2.96 .536 .915 .214 2.85 .461 -.005 6 10 OKC0336B 1834 2001 168 7 0 .592 .83 3.04 .493 .884 .213 3.06 .437 -.006 1 11 OKC0337A 1835 2001 167 7 0 .657 .78 2.84 .606 .933 .229 2.70 .441 .007 1 12 OKC0337B 1829 2001 173 7 0 .635 .91 3.20 .728 .956 .204 2.78 .409 .022 1 13 OKC0338A 1840 2001 162 7 0 .530 .73 3.03 .672 .962 .200 2.68 .397 -.036 2 14 OKC0338B 1833 2001 169 7 0 .664 .80 2.71 .607 .944 .196 2.65 .340 -.004 1 15 OKC0339A 1834 2001 168 7 0 .673 1.06 4.13 .834 .966 .163 2.99 .471 -.032 1 16 OKC0339B 1852 2001 150 6 0 .608 .81 2.47 .465 .874 .206 2.69 .526 -.055 4 17 OKC0340A 1843 2001 159 7 0 .638 .99 3.23 .699 .940 .206 2.63 .410 -.018 1 18 OKC0340B 1847 2001 155 7 0 .590 .81 2.17 .412 .881 .177 2.64 .413 -.009 1 19 OKC0341A 1854 2001 148 6 0 .608 1.09 3.05 .526 .909 .165 2.70 .449 -.012 1 20 OKC0341B 1845 2001 157 7 0 .665 1.12 2.41 .540 .918 .147 2.61 .379 .044 1 21 OKC0342A 1838 2001 164 7 0 .653 .96 2.52 .505 .887 .184 2.76 .509 .026 1 22 OKC0342B 1838 2001 164 7 0 .683 .96 3.12 .628 .906 .211 2.68 .358 .045 1 23 OKC0343A 1849 2001 153 7 0 .631 1.15 3.52 .581 .890 .186 2.66 .467 -.006 1 24 OKC0343B 1840 2001 162 7 0 .544 1.21 3.05 .544 .894 .163 2.79 .472 -.012 1 25 OKC0344A 1839 2001 163 7 0 .643 1.10 2.01 .292 .680 .158 2.79 .471 .042 1 26 OKC0344B 1844 2001 158 7 0 .597 1.03 1.79 .294 .775 .154 2.70 .519 -.021 1 27 OKC0345A 1835 2001 167 7 0 .559 .95 2.34 .441 .836 .198 2.63 .404 -.006 1 28 OKC0345B 1835 2001 167 7 0 .571 1.23 2.73 .475 .814 .174 2.65 .454 .037 1 29 OKC0346A 1834 2001 168 7 0 .662 1.12 2.27 .411 .852 .164 2.68 .312 -.003 1 30 OKC0346B 1834 2001 168 7 0 .663 .82 1.88 .424 .895 .180 2.99 .494 -.005 1 31 OKC0347A 1828 2001 174 7 0 .572 .89 3.51 .922 .974 .200 2.79 .479 .009 1 32 OKC0347B 1821 2001 181 8 0 .625 .83 3.89 .818 .960 .190 2.55 .352 -.027 1 33 OKC0348A 1847 2001 155 7 0 .623 1.09 2.82 .580 .923 .179 2.49 .326 .012 1 34 OKC0348B 1846 2001 156 7 2 .553 1.19 2.52 .553 .888 .180 2.80 .442 -.011 1 35 OKC0349A 1835 2001 167 7 1 .544 .98 2.55 .475 .887 .170 2.71 .441 .019 1 36 OKC0349B 1838 2001 164 7 0 .602 .90 3.12 .616 .925 .181 2.51 .300 -.048 2 37 OKC0350A 1866 2001 136 6 0 .541 .60 1.25 .251 .830 .189 2.78 .526 -.007 1 38 OKC0350B 1859 2001 143 6 0 .569 .55 1.66 .290 .859 .225 2.71 .390 .005 1 --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- Total or mean: 6246 265 4 .598 .93 4.13 .592 .907 .189 3.06 .428 -.005 - = [ COFECHA KJOK4COF ] = -