[] Dendrochronology Program Library Run KOSU2 Program COF 12:31 Wed 07 Jan 2004 Page 1 [] [] P R O G R A M C O F E C H A Version 6.06P 25210 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ QUALITY CONTROL AND DATING CHECK OF TREE-RING MEASUREMENTS File of DATED series: kosu1.tu_ CONTENTS: Part 1: Title page, options selected, summary, absent rings by series Part 2: Histogram of time spans Part 3: Master series with sample depth and absent rings by year Part 4: Bar plot of Master Dating Series Part 5: Correlation by segment of each series with Master Part 6: Potential problems: low correlation, divergent year-to-year changes, absent rings, outliers Part 7: Descriptive statistics RUN CONTROL OPTIONS SELECTED VALUE 1 Cubic smoothing spline 50% wavelength cutoff for filtering 32 years 2 Segments examined are 50 years lagged successively by 25 years 3 Autoregressive model applied A Residuals are used in master dating series and testing 4 Series transformed to logarithms Y Each series log-transformed for master dating series and testing 5 CORRELATION is Pearson (parametric, quantitative) Critical correlation, 99% confidence level .3281 6 Master dating series saved C 7 Ring measurements listed N 8 Parts printed 1234567 9 Absent rings are omitted from master series and segment correlations (Y) Time span of Master dating series is 1551 to 1832 282 years Continuous time span is 1551 to 1832 282 years Portion with two or more series is 1559 to 1831 273 years **************************************** *C* Number of dated series 14 *C* *O* Master series 1551 1832 282 yrs *O* *F* Total rings in all series 2684 *F* *E* Total dated rings checked 2675 *E* *C* Series intercorrelation .501 *C* *H* Average mean sensitivity .165 *H* *A* Segments, possible problems 10 *A* *** Mean length of series 191.7 *** **************************************** ABSENT RINGS listed by SERIES: (See Master Dating Series for absent rings listed by year) No ring measurements of zero value PART 2: TIME PLOT OF TREE-RING SERIES: 12:31 Wed 07 Jan 2004 Page 2 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1050 1100 1150 1200 1250 1300 1350 1400 1450 1500 1550 1600 1650 1700 1750 1800 1850 1900 1950 2000 2050 Ident Seq Time-span Yrs : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : -------- --- ---- ---- ---- . . . . . . . . . . . . . <============> . . . . . OKC0101A 1 1698 1829 132 . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===========> . . . . . OKC0101B 2 1709 1829 121 . . . . . . . . . . .<=========================> . . . . . OKC0104A 3 1565 1823 259 . . . . . . . . . . <===========> . . . . . . . . OKC0104B 4 1559 1678 120 . . . . . . . . . . . . <================> . . . . . OKC0105A 5 1656 1826 171 . . . . . . . . . . . . <===============> . . . . . OKC0105B 6 1650 1813 164 . . . . . . . . . . . <=====================> . . . . . OKC0107A 7 1608 1826 219 . . . . . . . . . . . <=======================> . . . . . OKC0108A 8 1580 1823 244 . . . . . . . . . . .<=======================> . . . . . OKC0108B 9 1563 1802 240 . . . . . . . . . . <=======================>. . . . . . OKC0109B 10 1551 1795 245 . . . . . . . . . . . . <===================> . . . . . OKC0111A 11 1631 1831 201 . . . . . . . . . . . . . <==============> . . . . . OKC0111B 12 1672 1829 158 . . . . . . . . . . . . <===============>. . . . . . OKC0114A 13 1639 1794 156 . . . . . . . . . . . <=========================> . . . . . OKC0116A 14 1579 1832 254 : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : 1050 1100 1150 1200 1250 1300 1350 1400 1450 1500 1550 1600 1650 1700 1750 1800 1850 1900 1950 2000 2050 PART 3: Master Dating Series: 12:31 Wed 07 Jan 2004 Page 3 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ 1600 1.081 6 1650 -.196 10 1700 -.139 12 1750 -1.193 13 1800 .192 11 1551 1.782 1 1601 -1.430 6 1651 1.126 10 1701 .829 12 1751 -.784 13 1801 .290 11 1552 -.215 1 1602 .873 6 1652 .067 10 1702 .987 12 1752 .209 13 1802 .453 11 1553 1.818 1 1603 1.909 6 1653 1.241 10 1703 .668 12 1753 1.306 13 1803 -1.026 10 1554 -.017 1 1604 1.493 6 1654 .591 10 1704 1.504 12 1754 1.866 13 1804 -.158 10 1555 -1.377 1 1605 -1.104 6 1655 .737 10 1705 1.050 12 1755 1.161 13 1805 1.531 10 1556 -.827 1 1606 .019 6 1656 .063 11 1706 1.634 12 1756 .699 13 1806 -2.359 10 1557 -.999 1 1607 -1.662 6 1657 .186 11 1707 1.248 12 1757 1.607 13 1807 -.508 10 1558 1.757 1 1608 -1.525 7 1658 1.261 11 1708 .223 12 1758 .557 13 1808 -.058 10 1559 1.184 2 1609 -.544 7 1659 -.771 11 1709 -2.225 13 1759 -.577 13 1809 .335 10 1560 -.335 2 1610 .232 7 1660 -.768 11 1710 -1.143 13 1760 .107 13 1810 -1.010 10 1561 1.901 2 1611 .274 7 1661 -.904 11 1711 -.520 13 1761 -1.227 13 1811 -1.101 10 1562 -.381 2 1612 .760 7 1662 -1.298 11 1712 -.389 13 1762 1.296 13 1812 .285 10 1563 -2.550 3 1613 -.808 7 1663 -.173 11 1713 -.815 13 1763 .860 13 1813 -.407 10 1564 -1.380 3 1614 -.254 7 1664 .019 11 1714 -.074 13 1764 .286 13 1814 .154 9 1565 -.148 4 1615 -1.583 7 1665 1.098 11 1715 .309 13 1765 -.024 13 1815 .001 9 1566 1.363 4 1616 1.198 7 1666 -.489 11 1716 .619 13 1766 -.354 13 1816 -1.554 9 1567 .877 4 1617 2.060 7 1667 -1.505 11 1717 -.719 13 1767 -.565 13 1817 .614 9 1568 -.423 4 1618 .278 7 1668 .675 11 1718 -.827 13 1768 -.596 13 1818 .313 9 1569 .672 4 1619 -.180 7 1669 .191 11 1719 -1.208 13 1769 -1.076 13 1819 1.597 9 1570 -.601 4 1620 -.708 7 1670 .591 11 1720 .593 13 1770 -1.940 13 1820 -.104 9 1571 .615 4 1621 .639 7 1671 .701 11 1721 -.942 13 1771 -2.795 13 1821 .177 9 1572 -.285 4 1622 -1.193 7 1672 -1.285 12 1722 .279 13 1772 -1.006 13 1822 .172 9 1573 -.160 4 1623 .671 7 1673 .914 12 1723 1.444 13 1773 .207 13 1823 .534 9 1574 .448 4 1624 -.543 7 1674 1.038 12 1724 -.078 13 1774 1.207 13 1824 .283 7 1575 -1.061 4 1625 .335 7 1675 -.077 12 1725 .466 13 1775 .338 13 1825 .386 7 1576 1.363 4 1626 1.186 7 1676 -.346 12 1726 -.352 13 1776 .010 13 1826 .176 7 1577 1.587 4 1627 .291 7 1677 -.935 12 1727 .132 13 1777 .553 13 1827 -.271 5 1578 1.922 4 1628 -.444 7 1678 -.803 12 1728 .159 13 1778 .915 13 1828 -.110 5 1579 -.847 5 1629 .738 7 1679 -1.134 11 1729 -.085 13 1779 .103 13 1829 -.691 5 1580 -.907 6 1630 .447 7 1680 -.959 11 1730 .710 13 1780 .954 13 1830 .682 2 1581 1.373 6 1631 1.206 8 1681 .949 11 1731 -.435 13 1781 -1.232 13 1831 -.429 2 1582 -1.586 6 1632 .352 8 1682 -.795 11 1732 -.974 13 1782 -.293 13 1832 -2.188 1 1583 .215 6 1633 .785 8 1683 .267 11 1733 .558 13 1783 -.164 13 1584 -.500 6 1634 .960 8 1684 1.002 11 1734 1.213 13 1784 .330 13 1585 1.201 6 1635 -1.312 8 1685 .853 11 1735 .018 13 1785 -.679 13 1586 -1.108 6 1636 -1.565 8 1686 1.447 11 1736 .568 13 1786 -1.059 13 1587 -.996 6 1637 -1.353 8 1687 -.101 11 1737 -.605 13 1787 .059 13 1588 .118 6 1638 -.289 8 1688 .241 11 1738 .900 13 1788 .517 13 1589 -.690 6 1639 -.587 9 1689 -.357 11 1739 1.232 13 1789 .570 13 1590 -1.908 6 1640 -.840 9 1690 -.356 11 1740 -.600 13 1790 -1.212 13 1591 -1.573 6 1641 -.559 9 1691 1.314 11 1741 -2.086 13 1791 -1.263 13 1592 .759 6 1642 -.673 9 1692 .710 11 1742 -.484 13 1792 .494 13 1593 -.002 6 1643 -1.063 9 1693 -.496 11 1743 .267 13 1793 1.863 13 1594 1.900 6 1644 -.747 9 1694 .940 11 1744 1.146 13 1794 1.433 13 1595 .687 6 1645 -.001 9 1695 -.078 11 1745 .586 13 1795 -.097 12 1596 -.974 6 1646 -1.020 9 1696 -3.643 11 1746 -.598 13 1796 .013 11 1597 -1.156 6 1647 .039 9 1697 -.852 11 1747 -.858 13 1797 .552 11 1598 1.415 6 1648 2.622 9 1698 -.581 12 1748 -.749 13 1798 -.097 11 1599 .786 6 1649 .819 9 1699 -1.364 12 1749 -1.771 13 1799 1.324 11 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ PART 4: Master Bar Plot: 12:31 Wed 07 Jan 2004 Page 4 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value 1600---------D 1650----a 1700----a 1750-e 1800------A 1551----------G 1601f 1651---------E 1701--------C 1751--c 1801------A 1552----a 1602--------C 1652-----@ 1702--------D 1752------A 1802-------B 1553----------G 1603----------H 1653---------E 1703-------C 1753---------E 1803-d 1554-----@ 1604----------F 1654-------B 1704----------F 1754----------G 1804----a 1555f 1605-d 1655--------C 1705---------D 1755---------E 1805----------F 1556--c 1606-----@ 1656-----@ 1706----------G 1756--------C 1806i 1557-d 1607g 1657------A 1707---------E 1757----------F 1807---b 1558----------G 1608f 1658---------E 1708------A 1758-------B 1808-----@ 1559---------E 1609---b 1659--c 1709i 1759---b 1809------A 1560----a 1610------A 1660--c 1710-e 1760-----@ 1810-d 1561----------H 1611------A 1661--d 1711---b 1761-e 1811-d 1562---b 1612--------C 1662-e 1712---b 1762---------E 1812------A 1563j 1613--c 1663----a 1713--c 1763--------C 1813---b 1564f 1614----a 1664-----@ 1714-----@ 1764------A 1814------A 1565----a 1615f 1665---------D 1715------A 1765-----@ 1815-----@ 1566---------E 1616---------E 1666---b 1716-------B 1766---a 1816f 1567--------D 1617----------H 1667f 1717--c 1767---b 1817-------B 1568---b 1618------A 1668--------C 1718--c 1768---b 1818------A 1569--------C 1619----a 1669------A 1719-e 1769-d 1819----------F 1570---b 1620--c 1670-------B 1720-------B 1770h 1820----@ 1571-------B 1621-------C 1671--------C 1721--d 1771k 1821------A 1572----a 1622-e 1672-e 1722------A 1772-d 1822------A 1573----a 1623--------C 1673--------D 1723----------F 1773------A 1823-------B 1574-------B 1624---b 1674---------D 1724-----@ 1774---------E 1824------A 1575-d 1625------A 1675-----@ 1725-------B 1775------A 1825------B 1576---------E 1626---------E 1676---a 1726---a 1776-----@ 1826------A 1577----------F 1627------A 1677--d 1727-----A 1777-------B 1827----a 1578----------H 1628---b 1678--c 1728------A 1778--------D 1828----@ 1579--c 1629--------C 1679-e 1729----@ 1779-----@ 1829--c 1580--d 1630-------B 1680-d 1730--------C 1780--------D 1830--------C 1581---------E 1631---------E 1681--------D 1731---b 1781-e 1831---b 1582f 1632------A 1682--c 1732-d 1782----a 1832i 1583------A 1633--------C 1683------A 1733-------B 1783----a 1584---b 1634--------D 1684---------D 1734---------E 1784------A 1585---------E 1635-e 1685--------C 1735-----@ 1785--c 1586-d 1636f 1686----------F 1736-------B 1786-d 1587-d 1637e 1687----@ 1737---b 1787-----@ 1588-----@ 1638----a 1688------A 1738--------D 1788-------B 1589--c 1639---b 1689---a 1739---------E 1789-------B 1590h 1640--c 1690---a 1740---b 1790-e 1591f 1641---b 1691---------E 1741h 1791-e 1592--------C 1642--c 1692--------C 1742---b 1792-------B 1593-----@ 1643-d 1693---b 1743------A 1793----------G 1594----------H 1644--c 1694--------D 1744---------E 1794----------F 1595--------C 1645-----@ 1695-----@ 1745-------B 1795----@ 1596-d 1646-d 1696o 1746---b 1796-----@ 1597-e 1647-----@ 1697--c 1747--c 1797-------B 1598----------F 1648----------J 1698---b 1748--c 1798----@ 1599--------C 1649--------C 1699e 1749g 1799---------E PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: 12:31 Wed 07 Jan 2004 Page 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1550 1575 1600 1625 1650 1675 1700 1725 1750 1775 1800 1599 1624 1649 1674 1699 1724 1749 1774 1799 1824 1849 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 OKC0101A 1698 1829 .42 .46 .55 .46 .47 .46 2 OKC0101B 1709 1829 .23B .50 .47 .45 .49 3 OKC0104A 1565 1823 .60 .63 .72 .57 .54 .64 .58 .34 .34B .34 4 OKC0104B 1559 1678 .53 .55 .53 .57 .55 5 OKC0105A 1656 1826 .59 .49 .26B .52 .55 .46 .46 6 OKC0105B 1650 1813 .47 .65 .59 .65 .61 .60 7 OKC0107A 1608 1826 .32B .43 .54 .58 .62 .61 .49 .32B .31A 8 OKC0108A 1580 1823 .61 .70 .55 .44 .59 .66 .64 .45 .60 9 OKC0108B 1563 1802 .61 .63 .66 .53 .68 .76 .62 .57 .61 .54 10 OKC0109B 1551 1795 .47 .48 .37 .36 .58 .60 .35 .24B .22B 11 OKC0111A 1631 1831 .44 .67 .69 .60 .56 .67 .71 .62 12 OKC0111B 1672 1829 .46 .48 .48 .52 .67 .59 .57 13 OKC0114A 1639 1794 .40 .43B .52 .55 .55 .41 14 OKC0116A 1579 1832 .40 .29A .40 .56 .66 .64 .55 .47 .57 .47 Av segment correlation .55 .55 .51 .47 .54 .59 .51 .52 .49 .51 .48 PART 6: POTENTIAL PROBLEMS: 12:31 Wed 07 Jan 2004 Page 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ For each series with potential problems the following diagnostics may appear: [A] Correlations with master dating series of flagged 50-year segments of series filtered with 32-year spline, at every point from ten years earlier (-10) to ten years later (+10) than dated [B] Effect of those data values which most lower or raise correlation with master series Symbol following year indicates value in series is greater (>) or lesser (<) than master series value [C] Year-to-year changes very different from the mean change in other series [D] Absent rings (zero values) [E] Values which are statistical outliers from mean for the year =================================================================================================================================== OKC0101A 1698 to 1829 132 years Series 1 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .452) is: Lower 1781> -.029 1776< -.010 1721> -.010 1709> -.009 1740> -.009 1804> -.008 Higher 1806 .031 1741 .017 [E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1781 +3.0 SD; 1804 +3.2 SD =================================================================================================================================== OKC0101B 1709 to 1829 121 years Series 2 [A] Segment High -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 +0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8 +9 +10 --------- ---- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 1709 1758 6 .12 .26 -.09 -.06 -.15 .07 .17 .04 -.19 .12 .23| .21 -.22 -.18 -.04 .15 .26*-.07 -.08 .07 .08 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .382) is: Lower 1709> -.054 1820> -.023 1755< -.023 1781> -.012 1736< -.012 1775< -.011 Higher 1806 .031 1741 .023 1709 to 1758 segment: Lower 1709> -.137 1755< -.055 1736< -.029 1720< -.026 1732> -.025 1711> -.018 Higher 1741 .088 1757 .049 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1709 +3.8 SD =================================================================================================================================== OKC0104A 1565 to 1823 259 years Series 3 [A] Segment High -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 +0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8 +9 +10 --------- ---- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 1750 1799 -10 .35* .18 -.17 -.18 .07 .01 -.05 -.43 -.13 -.07 .34| .04 .09 .08 .00 .27 .19 -.10 -.08 -.03 .13 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .498) is: Lower 1765< -.026 1823< -.017 1591> -.014 1779< -.010 1786> -.008 1661< -.007 Higher 1696 .011 1709 .011 1750 to 1799 segment: Lower 1765< -.082 1786> -.039 1779< -.024 1769> -.023 1785> -.019 1771> -.018 Higher 1781 .086 1762 .033 [E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1591 +3.5 SD; 1786 +3.0 SD =================================================================================================================================== OKC0104B 1559 to 1678 120 years Series 4 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .524) is: Lower 1597< -.022 1563> -.018 1613> -.015 1646< -.011 1659> -.009 1633< -.009 Higher 1648 .015 1672 .013 =================================================================================================================================== OKC0105A 1656 to 1826 171 years Series 5 [A] Segment High -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 +0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8 +9 +10 --------- ---- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 1700 1749 1 -.21 .05 -.01 -.04 .08 .14 -.15 .15 -.06 -.09 .26| .28*-.12 -.14 -.03 .02 -.13 -.13 .00 -.02 -.13 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .468) is: Lower 1709> -.015 1724< -.014 1723< -.012 1820> -.012 1677> -.012 1671< -.010 Higher 1696 .078 1806 .047 1700 to 1749 segment: Lower 1723< -.047 1709> -.039 1724< -.034 1737> -.023 1719> -.022 1743< -.021 Higher 1706 .033 1738 .026 [E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1677 +3.1 SD; 1724 -5.2 SD =================================================================================================================================== OKC0105B 1650 to 1813 164 years Series 6 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .542) is: Lower 1723< -.023 1653< -.021 1671< -.019 1667> -.014 1677> -.009 1672> -.008 Higher 1696 .070 1781 .012 =================================================================================================================================== OKC0107A 1608 to 1826 219 years Series 7 [A] Segment High -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 +0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8 +9 +10 --------- ---- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 1608 1657 2 .00 -.06 -.08 -.03 .18 -.19 -.10 -.09 -.12 -.17 .32|-.02 .37*-.10 -.05 .26 .05 .28 .01 .03 -.07 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 1775 1824 -10 .34* .10 -.01 -.32 .25 .19 .08 -.09 -.04 -.15 .32|-.04 -.11 -.06 .23 -.15 .13 -.23 .11 - - 1777 1826 0 .28 .11 .01 -.27 .25 .19 .02 -.10 -.03 -.10 .31*-.07 -.09 -.04 .23 -.10 .00 - - - - [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .443) is: Lower 1812< -.041 1613< -.014 1646> -.011 1682> -.009 1786> -.008 1685< -.007 Higher 1696 .022 1709 .014 1608 to 1657 segment: Lower 1646> -.051 1617< -.029 1615> -.023 1609> -.022 1627> -.019 1613< -.017 Higher 1635 .042 1622 .034 1775 to 1824 segment: Lower 1812< -.181 1786> -.030 1810> -.015 1782< -.014 1803> -.013 1777< -.009 Higher 1806 .086 1793 .036 1777 to 1826 segment: Lower 1812< -.185 1786> -.028 1826> -.025 1782< -.015 1810> -.013 1777< -.011 Higher 1806 .096 1793 .035 [C] Year-to-year changes diverging by over 4.0 std deviations: 1811 1812 -4.1 SD [E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1609 +3.1 SD; 1812 -6.1 SD =================================================================================================================================== OKC0108A 1580 to 1823 244 years Series 8 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .591) is: Lower 1661> -.011 1665< -.009 1785< -.008 1660> -.007 1786> -.006 1731> -.006 Higher 1806 .035 1709 .007 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1661 +3.7 SD =================================================================================================================================== OKC0108B 1563 to 1802 240 years Series 9 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .601) is: Lower 1575> -.021 1802< -.014 1665< -.010 1622> -.008 1679< -.008 1670< -.006 Higher 1696 .028 1771 .010 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1575 +3.3 SD =================================================================================================================================== OKC0109B 1551 to 1795 245 years Series 10 [*] Early part of series cannot be checked from 1551 to 1558 -- not matched by another series [A] Segment High -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 +0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8 +9 +10 --------- ---- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 1725 1774 -10 .25*-.17 .05 -.07 -.17 -.17 -.22 -.10 .01 .10 .24|-.05 .18 -.11 -.09 -.15 .14 .07 .19 .07 .04 1746 1795 2 .08 -.18 -.15 -.02 -.22 -.21 -.17 -.10 .08 .15 .22|-.09 .28*-.12 -.02 .02 -.05 -.02 .07 -.10 .11 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .390) is: Lower 1759< -.035 1575> -.011 1788< -.008 1613> -.007 1795> -.007 1568> -.007 Higher 1696 .034 1563 .014 1725 to 1774 segment: Lower 1759< -.104 1746> -.029 1734< -.021 1753< -.017 1749> -.017 1743< -.016 Higher 1771 .043 1741 .039 1746 to 1795 segment: Lower 1759< -.083 1788< -.029 1795> -.027 1746> -.024 1792< -.020 1753< -.017 Higher 1771 .043 1790 .039 [E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1723 +3.2 SD; 1759 -5.0 SD =================================================================================================================================== OKC0111A 1631 to 1831 201 years Series 11 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .584) is: Lower 1634< -.021 1826< -.021 1727< -.016 1804< -.014 1636> -.011 1724> -.008 Higher 1806 .045 1696 .019 =================================================================================================================================== OKC0111B 1672 to 1829 158 years Series 12 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .517) is: Lower 1738< -.020 1672> -.015 1711< -.013 1804< -.013 1719> -.011 1703< -.008 Higher 1709 .028 1771 .016 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1788 +3.0 SD =================================================================================================================================== OKC0114A 1639 to 1794 156 years Series 13 [A] Segment High -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 +0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8 +9 +10 --------- ---- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 1650 1699 3 .32 -.33 -.06 .00 -.01 .18 -.21 .01 -.25 -.17 .43|-.10 -.10 .44*-.01 .04 .12 .02 -.10 -.16 .21 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .459) is: Lower 1718> -.016 1791> -.014 1725< -.014 1790> -.013 1674< -.012 1679> -.009 Higher 1709 .025 1771 .024 1650 to 1699 segment: Lower 1674< -.031 1679> -.024 1698> -.018 1660< -.015 1652> -.013 1682> -.013 Higher 1672 .029 1681 .019 [E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1718 +3.4 SD; 1791 +3.7 SD =================================================================================================================================== OKC0116A 1579 to 1832 254 years Series 14 [*] Later part of series cannot be checked from 1832 to 1832 -- not matched by another series [A] Segment High -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 +0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8 +9 +10 --------- ---- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 1600 1649 0 .03 -.16 .13 .04 .18 .13 -.01 .04 -.24 -.22 .29*-.14 -.04 -.19 .01 -.10 .10 -.11 .13 .05 .08 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .497) is: Lower 1753< -.011 1723< -.011 1608> -.010 1822< -.010 1595< -.010 1810> -.010 Higher 1806 .033 1696 .023 1600 to 1649 segment: Lower 1608> -.043 1605> -.032 1607> -.027 1636> -.024 1616< -.018 1615> -.018 Higher 1648 .073 1635 .052 [E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1608 +3.5 SD; 1829 +3.4 SD =================================================================================================================================== PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: 12:31 Wed 07 Jan 2004 Page 6 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 1 OKC0101A 1698 1829 132 6 0 .452 1.54 4.06 .707 .907 .169 2.63 .403 -.050 2 2 OKC0101B 1709 1829 121 5 1 .382 1.46 3.32 .607 .873 .183 2.70 .421 -.003 1 3 OKC0104A 1565 1823 259 10 1 .498 .62 3.75 .500 .955 .140 2.62 .422 -.027 1 4 OKC0104B 1559 1678 120 5 0 .524 1.05 3.58 .765 .970 .126 2.74 .523 -.077 1 5 OKC0105A 1656 1826 171 7 1 .468 .63 1.32 .193 .712 .189 2.57 .345 -.005 2 6 OKC0105B 1650 1813 164 6 0 .542 .56 .99 .147 .697 .156 2.60 .343 -.033 2 7 OKC0107A 1608 1826 219 9 3 .443 .79 1.63 .219 .788 .149 2.56 .384 .002 3 8 OKC0108A 1580 1823 244 9 0 .591 .52 2.16 .361 .943 .155 2.53 .361 -.033 1 9 OKC0108B 1563 1802 240 10 0 .601 .71 3.36 .620 .971 .141 2.76 .508 -.018 1 10 OKC0109B 1551 1795 245 9 2 .390 .49 1.74 .371 .954 .184 2.84 .304 -.003 1 11 OKC0111A 1631 1831 201 8 0 .584 .64 2.05 .364 .905 .187 2.55 .394 -.067 1 12 OKC0111B 1672 1829 158 7 0 .517 .52 .95 .169 .777 .182 2.85 .444 -.069 1 13 OKC0114A 1639 1794 156 6 1 .459 .56 1.51 .227 .853 .167 2.76 .482 .017 1 14 OKC0116A 1579 1832 254 10 1 .497 .56 1.75 .355 .912 .191 2.83 .448 .007 1 --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- Total or mean: 2684 107 10 .501 .71 4.06 .390 .881 .165 2.85 .409 -.023 - = [ COFECHA KOSU2COF ] = -