[] Dendrochronology Program Library Run SISS Program COF 12:56 Tue 20 Sep 2005 Page 1 [] [] P R O G R A M C O F E C H A Version 6.02P 25832 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- QUALITY CONTROL AND DATING CHECK OF TREE-RING MEASUREMENTS Title of run: Sisso File of DATED series: finl051.rwl CONTENTS: Part 1: Title page, options selected, summary, absent rings by series Part 2: Histogram of time spans Part 3: Master series with sample depth and absent rings by year Part 4: Bar plot of Master Dating Series Part 5: Correlation by segment of each series with Master Part 6: Potential problems: low correlation, divergent year-to-year changes, absent rings, outliers Part 7: Descriptive statistics RUN CONTROL OPTIONS SELECTED VALUE 1 Cubic smoothing spline 50% wavelength cutoff for filtering 32 years 2 Segments examined are 50 years lagged successively by 25 years 3 Autoregressive model applied A Residuals are used in master dating series and testing 4 Series transformed to logarithms Y Each series log-transformed for master dating series and testing 5 CORRELATION is Pearson (parametric, quantitative) Critical correlation, 99% confidence level .3281 6 Master dating series saved N 7 Ring measurements listed N 8 Parts printed 1234567 9 Absent rings are omitted from master series and segment correlations (Y) Text in file: OLB 1 Ilomantsi Sissola 2005 Update PISY Text in file: OLB 2 Finland Scots pine -999M 6246 03058 __ 1559 1873 Text in file: OLB 3 Jouko Meriläinen, Markus Lindholm, Mauri Timonen, Taneli Kolström Time span of Master dating series is 1559 to 1873 315 years Continuous time span is 1559 to 1873 315 years Portion with two or more series is 1572 to 1820 249 years **************************************** *C* Number of dated series 35 *C* *O* Master series 1559 1873 315 yrs *O* *F* Total rings in all series 6450 *F* *E* Total dated rings checked 6384 *E* *C* Series intercorrelation .495 *C* *H* Average mean sensitivity .180 *H* *A* Segments, possible problems 30 *A* *** Mean length of series 184.3 *** **************************************** ABSENT RINGS listed by SERIES: (See Master Dating Series for absent rings listed by year) No ring measurements of zero value PART 2: TIME PLOT OF TREE-RING SERIES: Sisso 12:56 Tue 20 Sep 2005 Page 2 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Beg End 1000 1100 1200 1300 1400 1500 1600 1700 1800 1900 2000 Ident Seq year year Yrs : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : -------- --- ---- ---- ---- . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<====================> . . . OLB0066A 1 1667 1873 207 . . . . . . . . . . . . . <==================> . . . . OLB0085A 2 1626 1814 189 . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<==============> . . . . OLB0084A 3 1667 1814 148 . . . . . . . . . . . . <======================> . . . . OLB0081A 4 1589 1814 226 . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=================> . . . . OLB0062A 5 1638 1814 177 . . . . . . . . . . . . <=======================> . . . . OLB0049A 6 1572 1814 243 . . . . . . . . . . . . . <==================> . . . . OLB0048A 7 1627 1814 188 . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=================> . . . . OLB0047A 8 1637 1814 178 . . . . . . . . . . . . . <================> . . . . OLB0046A 9 1640 1814 175 . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<==============> . . . . OLB0045A 10 1660 1814 155 . . . . . . . . . . . . <=====================> . . . . OLB0044A 11 1593 1814 222 . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=================> . . . . OLB0043A 12 1633 1814 182 . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=================> . . . . OLB0042A 13 1634 1814 181 . . . . . . . . . . . <=========================> . . . . OLB0041A 14 1559 1814 256 . . . . . . . . . . . . .<===================> . . . . OLB0040A 15 1616 1814 199 . . . . . . . . . . . . <====================> . . . . OLB0065A 16 1603 1812 210 . . . . . . . . . . . . . <================>. . . . . OLB0063A 17 1620 1793 174 . . . . . . . . . . . . <==================> . . . . . OLB0083A 18 1579 1767 189 . . . . . . . . . . . . <====================> . . . . OLB0006B 19 1607 1819 213 . . . . . . . . . . . . <====================> . . . . OLB0005A 20 1609 1819 211 . . . . . . . . . . . . <====================> . . . . OLB0003B 21 1609 1818 210 . . . . . . . . . . . . <====================> . . . . OLB0002A 22 1609 1813 205 . . . . . . . . . . . . .<====================> . . . . OLB0005B 23 1619 1820 202 . . . . . . . . . . . . . <==================> . . . . OLB0004B 24 1621 1818 198 . . . . . . . . . . . . .<===================> . . . . OLB0010B 25 1617 1811 195 . . . . . . . . . . . . .<==================> . . . . OLB0003A 26 1610 1803 194 . . . . . . . . . . . . . <================> . . . . OLB0002B 27 1648 1819 172 . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===============> . . . . OLB0007A 28 1650 1819 170 . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===============> . . . . OLB0009A 29 1646 1803 158 . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<==============> . . . . OLB0011A 30 1664 1819 156 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=============> . . . . OLB0004A 31 1676 1818 143 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=============> . . . . OLB0001B 32 1674 1816 143 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=============> . . . . OLB0011B 33 1679 1819 141 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <============> . . . . OLB0001A 34 1683 1819 137 . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=========> . . . . . OLB0009B 35 1653 1755 103 PART 3: Master Dating Series: Sisso 12:56 Tue 20 Sep 2005 Page 3 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ 1600 -.211 5 1650 .342 26 1601 -1.103 5 1651 1.117 26 1602 .547 5 1652 -.007 26 1603 1.017 6 1653 1.188 27 1604 .392 6 1654 .410 27 1605 -.699 6 1655 1.049 27 1606 -.455 6 1656 .015 27 1607 -.288 7 1657 .067 27 1608 .387 7 1658 .213 27 1559 1.078 1 1609 -.114 10 1659 -.561 27 1560 .103 1 1610 .020 11 1660 .123 28 1561 .069 1 1611 .030 11 1661 .102 28 1562 -.051 1 1612 .656 11 1662 -.016 28 1563 -2.063 1 1613 -.554 11 1663 .144 28 1564 -3.685 1 1614 .397 11 1664 .251 29 1565 .905 1 1615 -1.149 11 1665 -.395 29 1566 1.207 1 1616 .842 12 1666 .177 29 1567 2.665 1 1617 .667 13 1667 .397 31 1568 1.397 1 1618 -.002 13 1668 .563 31 1569 -2.123 1 1619 -.163 14 1669 -1.493 31 1570 -.321 1 1620 -.405 15 1670 -1.703 31 1571 .485 1 1621 .782 16 1671 .114 31 1572 .196 2 1622 -2.086 16 1672 -1.221 31 1573 .178 2 1623 -.211 16 1673 .761 31 1574 .621 2 1624 -.613 16 1674 .704 32 1575 -1.078 2 1625 -.213 16 1675 -.231 32 1576 .921 2 1626 .738 17 1676 .031 33 1577 1.143 2 1627 .221 18 1677 .039 33 1578 .942 2 1628 .085 18 1678 -.013 33 1579 .485 3 1629 .725 18 1679 -.616 34 1580 -.412 3 1630 -.654 18 1680 -.407 34 1581 1.773 3 1631 .809 18 1681 1.738 34 1582 -.631 3 1632 -.254 18 1682 .441 34 1583 -.841 3 1633 .440 19 1683 .309 35 1584 .461 3 1634 1.410 20 1684 .734 35 1585 1.126 3 1635 -.290 20 1685 -.829 35 1586 -.179 3 1636 .212 20 1686 1.047 35 1587 -1.119 3 1637 -.067 21 1687 .246 35 1588 -1.942 3 1638 .222 22 1688 .082 35 1589 -1.277 4 1639 -.775 22 1689 -.460 35 1590 -.773 4 1640 -.241 23 1690 -.615 35 1591 -.591 4 1641 -.374 23 1691 .816 35 1592 .533 4 1642 -.360 23 1692 .508 35 1593 -.061 5 1643 -.178 23 1693 -.462 35 1594 .835 5 1644 -.585 23 1694 .119 35 1595 1.322 5 1645 -1.551 23 1695 -.660 35 1596 .392 5 1646 -1.751 24 1696 -2.866 35 1597 -.737 5 1647 -.547 24 1697 -.984 35 1598 .478 5 1648 1.349 25 1698 -.392 35 1599 .241 5 1649 .879 25 1699 -.884 35 PART 3: Master Dating Series: Sisso 12:56 Tue 20 Sep 2005 Page 4 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ 1700 .623 35 1750 -1.207 35 1800 .210 32 1850 -2.934 1 1701 .930 35 1751 -1.358 35 1801 -.319 32 1851 -.053 1 1702 1.335 35 1752 .495 35 1802 1.086 32 1852 .124 1 1703 -.003 35 1753 .693 35 1803 -.515 32 1853 -1.904 1 1704 .441 35 1754 1.184 35 1804 -.548 30 1854 .349 1 1705 1.032 35 1755 1.221 35 1805 .640 30 1855 .407 1 1706 1.618 35 1756 .758 34 1806 -2.451 30 1856 1.535 1 1707 1.028 35 1757 1.793 34 1807 -1.806 30 1857 -.857 1 1708 .071 35 1758 1.545 34 1808 -.388 30 1858 -.467 1 1709 -1.267 35 1759 -.008 34 1809 1.170 30 1859 -3.366 1 1710 -.765 35 1760 .014 34 1810 .474 30 1860 -1.512 1 1711 -.338 35 1761 -.229 34 1811 .181 30 1861 3.397 1 1712 -.409 35 1762 -.336 34 1812 1.260 29 1862 2.197 1 1713 -.997 35 1763 -.688 34 1813 .094 28 1863 .882 1 1714 -.291 35 1764 -.950 34 1814 .404 27 1864 .036 1 1715 -.352 35 1765 -.449 34 1815 -.148 13 1865 -.688 1 1716 -.125 35 1766 -.489 34 1816 -.369 13 1866 .652 1 1717 .034 35 1767 -.731 34 1817 -.074 12 1867 -.864 1 1718 .397 35 1768 -.179 33 1818 .253 12 1868 1.379 1 1719 -.445 35 1769 -.070 33 1819 .242 9 1869 -2.420 1 1720 .563 35 1770 -1.208 33 1820 -.888 2 1870 -.202 1 1721 -.993 35 1771 -1.666 33 1821 -.058 1 1871 .809 1 1722 -1.269 35 1772 -1.234 33 1822 -.071 1 1872 .866 1 1723 -.181 35 1773 -1.104 33 1823 -1.405 1 1873 .945 1 1724 -.338 35 1774 -.292 33 1824 .294 1 1725 .868 35 1775 .504 33 1825 -1.303 1 1726 .516 35 1776 -.475 33 1826 2.631 1 1727 1.181 35 1777 .077 33 1827 -.987 1 1728 .308 35 1778 .800 33 1828 -3.666 1 1729 .768 35 1779 .501 33 1829 -.003 1 1730 .391 35 1780 1.029 33 1830 -.402 1 1731 -.009 35 1781 .520 33 1831 1.377 1 1732 .224 35 1782 .755 33 1832 1.071 1 1733 .309 35 1783 1.481 33 1833 1.336 1 1734 -.304 35 1784 .373 33 1834 2.107 1 1735 -.623 35 1785 -.451 33 1835 -.160 1 1736 -.027 35 1786 -.907 33 1836 -.031 1 1737 -.034 35 1787 -.583 33 1837 -1.257 1 1738 1.336 35 1788 .914 33 1838 1.145 1 1739 1.171 35 1789 .808 33 1839 -1.923 1 1740 -.560 35 1790 -1.032 33 1840 2.248 1 1741 -1.917 35 1791 -.987 33 1841 2.465 1 1742 -.497 35 1792 -.078 33 1842 1.744 1 1743 .353 35 1793 1.122 33 1843 -1.464 1 1744 .505 35 1794 .353 32 1844 -.088 1 1745 -.546 35 1795 -.624 32 1845 -.142 1 1746 -.246 35 1796 -.253 32 1846 .504 1 1747 -.628 35 1797 .048 32 1847 -1.662 1 1748 .145 35 1798 .001 32 1848 .002 1 1749 -.533 35 1799 1.123 32 1849 .272 1 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- PART 4: Master Bar Plot: Sisso 12:56 Tue 20 Sep 2005 Page 5 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value 1559---------D 1560-----@ 1561-----@ 1562-----@ 1563h 1564o 1565---------D 1566---------E 1567----------K 1568----------F 1569h 1570---a 1571-------B 1572------A 1573------A 1574--------B 1575-d 1576---------D 1577---------E 1578---------D 1579-------B 1580---b 1581----------G 1582--c 1583-c 1584-------B 1585---------E 1586----a 1587-d 1588h 1589-e 1590--c 1591--b 1592-------B 1593-----@ 1594--------C 1595----------E 1596-------B 1597--c 1598-------B 1599------A PART 4: Master Bar Plot: Sisso 12:56 Tue 20 Sep 2005 Page 6 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value 1600----a 1650-------A 1700--------B 1750-e 1800------A 1850l 1601-d 1651---------D 1701---------D 1751-e 1801---a 1851-----@ 1602-------B 1652-----@ 1702----------E 1752-------B 1802---------D 1852------@ 1603---------D 1653---------E 1703-----@ 1753--------C 1803--b 1853h 1604-------B 1654-------B 1704-------B 1754---------E 1804--b 1854-------A 1605--c 1655---------D 1705---------D 1755---------E 1805--------C 1855-------B 1606---b 1656-----@ 1706----------F 1756--------C 1806j 1856----------F 1607---a 1657-----@ 1707---------D 1757----------G 1807g 1857-c 1608-------B 1658------A 1708-----@ 1758----------F 1808---b 1858---b 1609----@ 1659--b 1709-e 1759-----@ 1809---------E 1859m 1610-----@ 1660------@ 1710--c 1760-----@ 1810-------B 1860f 1611-----@ 1661-----@ 1711---a 1761----a 1811------A 1861----------N 1612--------C 1662-----@ 1712---b 1762---a 1812---------E 1862----------I 1613--b 1663------A 1713-d 1763--c 1813-----@ 1863--------D 1614-------B 1664------A 1714---a 1764-d 1814-------B 1864-----@ 1615-e 1665---b 1715---a 1765---b 1815----a 1865--c 1616--------C 1666------A 1716----@ 1766--b 1816---a 1866--------C 1617--------C 1667-------B 1717-----@ 1767--c 1817----@ 1867-c 1618-----@ 1668-------B 1718-------B 1768----a 1818------A 1868----------F 1619----a 1669f 1719---b 1769----@ 1819------A 1869j 1620---b 1670g 1720-------B 1770-e 1820-d 1870----a 1621--------C 1671------@ 1721-d 1771g 1821-----@ 1871--------C 1622h 1672-e 1722-e 1772-e 1822----@ 1872--------C 1623----a 1673--------C 1723----a 1773-d 1823f 1873---------D 1624--b 1674--------C 1724---a 1774---a 1824------A 1625----a 1675----a 1725--------C 1775-------B 1825-e 1626--------C 1676-----@ 1726-------B 1776---b 1826----------K 1627------A 1677-----@ 1727---------E 1777-----@ 1827-d 1628-----@ 1678-----@ 1728------A 1778--------C 1828o 1629--------C 1679--b 1729--------C 1779-------B 1829-----@ 1630--c 1680---b 1730-------B 1780---------D 1830---b 1631--------C 1681----------G 1731-----@ 1781-------B 1831----------F 1632----a 1682-------B 1732------A 1782--------C 1832---------D 1633-------B 1683------A 1733------A 1783----------F 1833----------E 1634----------F 1684--------C 1734---a 1784-------A 1834----------H 1635---a 1685-c 1735--b 1785---b 1835----a 1636------A 1686---------D 1736-----@ 1786-d 1836-----@ 1637----@ 1687------A 1737-----@ 1787--b 1837-e 1638------A 1688-----@ 1738----------E 1788---------D 1838---------E 1639--c 1689---b 1739---------E 1789--------C 1839h 1640----a 1690--b 1740--b 1790-d 1840----------I 1641---a 1691--------C 1741h 1791-d 1841----------J 1642---a 1692-------B 1742--b 1792----@ 1842----------G 1643----a 1693---b 1743-------A 1793---------D 1843f 1644--b 1694------@ 1744-------B 1794-------A 1844----@ 1645f 1695--c 1745--b 1795--b 1845----a 1646g 1696k 1746----a 1796----a 1846-------B 1647--b 1697-d 1747--c 1797-----@ 1847g 1648----------E 1698---b 1748------A 1798-----@ 1848-----@ 1649--------D 1699-d 1749--b 1799---------D 1849------A PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: Sisso 12:56 Tue 20 Sep 2005 Page 5 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1550 1575 1600 1625 1650 1675 1700 1725 1750 1775 1599 1624 1649 1674 1699 1724 1749 1774 1799 1824 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 OLB0066A 1667 1873 .62 .58 .49 .69 .64 .46 2 OLB0085A 1626 1814 .21B .32A .52 .60 .64 .57 .50 3 OLB0084A 1667 1814 .34 .58 .50 .42 .57 .60 4 OLB0081A 1589 1814 .36 .43 .62 .62 .55 .37 .40 .54 .63 5 OLB0062A 1638 1814 .46 .62 .59 .52 .44 .56 .68 6 OLB0049A 1572 1814 .40 .26A .15B .30B .55 .65 .58 .50 .44 .57 7 OLB0048A 1627 1814 .66 .56 .48 .45 .48 .58 .64 8 OLB0047A 1637 1814 .53 .64 .68 .57 .62 .63 .72 9 OLB0046A 1640 1814 .47 .52 .56 .54 .40 .39 .69 10 OLB0045A 1660 1814 .56 .65 .35 .35 .39 .51 11 OLB0044A 1593 1814 .28B .40 .39 .42 .60 .32A .45 .67 .71 12 OLB0043A 1633 1814 .58 .63 .61 .36 .46 .36 .41 13 OLB0042A 1634 1814 .45 .51 .50 .53 .34 .39 .54 14 OLB0041A 1559 1814 .29A .46 .37 .42 .72 .74 .69 .66 .51 .40 15 OLB0040A 1616 1814 .65 .59 .63 .60 .54 .46 .46 .56 16 OLB0065A 1603 1812 .63 .44 .51 .57 .36 .33B .29A .35 17 OLB0063A 1620 1793 .46 .36 .35 .28B .33B .52 .46 18 OLB0083A 1579 1767 .31A .57 .59 .50 .54 .38 .31B 19 OLB0006B 1607 1819 .34 .20B .45 .54 .21B .26A .53 .55 20 OLB0005A 1609 1819 .32B .40 .43 .53 .60 .59 .43 .48 21 OLB0003B 1609 1818 .52 .45 .54 .55 .43 .40 .44 .30A 22 OLB0002A 1609 1813 .59 .40 .55 .52 .26B .29B .48 .53 23 OLB0005B 1619 1820 .43 .36 .56 .65 .51 .30B .30B .30A 24 OLB0004B 1621 1818 .47 .45 .43 .38 .41 .49 .51 .67 25 OLB0010B 1617 1811 .27B .47 .55 .45 .17B .28B .53 .59 26 OLB0003A 1610 1803 .53 .45 .42 .45 .51 .48 .45 .43 27 OLB0002B 1648 1819 .49 .47 .45 .43 .60 .62 .41 28 OLB0007A 1650 1819 .62 .66 .58 .51 .40 .38 29 OLB0009A 1646 1803 .65 .63 .43 .41 .28A .30A .40 30 OLB0011A 1664 1819 .45 .34B .38 .58 .56 .51 31 OLB0004A 1676 1818 .77 .70 .66 .59 .65 32 OLB0001B 1674 1816 .55 .55 .34 .45 .53 .71 33 OLB0011B 1679 1819 .56 .64 .71 .49 .41 34 OLB0001A 1683 1819 .65 .59 .61 .51 .61 35 OLB0009B 1653 1755 .67 .65 .56 .52 Av segment correlation .34 .34 .45 .46 .53 .55 .46 .47 .49 .53 PART 6: POTENTIAL PROBLEMS: Sisso 12:56 Tue 20 Sep 2005 Page 7 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- For each series with potential problems the following diagnostics may appear: [A] Correlations with master dating series of flagged 50-year segments of series filtered with 32-year spline, at every point from ten years earlier (-10) to ten years later (+10) than dated [B] Effect of those data values which most lower or raise correlation with master series [C] Year-to-year changes very different from the mean change in other series [D] Absent rings (zero values) [E] Values which are statistical outliers from mean for the year =================================================================================================================================== OLB0066A 1667 to 1873 207 years Series 1 [*] Later part of series cannot be checked from 1821 to 1873 -- not matched by another series [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .548) is: Lower 1720 -.013 1699 -.010 1819 -.010 1820 -.009 Higher 1696 .036 1806 .011 1741 .010 1672 .009 =================================================================================================================================== OLB0085A 1626 to 1814 189 years Series 2 [A] Segment High -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 +0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8 +9 +10 --------- ---- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 1626 1675 -5 -.05 .03 -.26 .12 -.09 .35*-.18 .15 .13 -.05 .21|-.05 -.07 .33 .08 -.02 .03 -.18 .18 -.23 -.05 1650 1699 0 .13 -.13 -.20 .04 -.01 .10 -.12 .24 .00 -.19 .32*-.34 -.27 .24 .00 .01 .09 .02 .19 .14 .16 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .451) is: Lower 1666 -.018 1630 -.014 1786 -.014 1627 -.010 Higher 1709 .012 1721 .011 1770 .009 1696 .008 1626 to 1675 segment: Lower 1666 -.060 1630 -.048 1635 -.028 1633 -.027 Higher 1672 .043 1653 .042 1673 .040 1646 .032 1650 to 1699 segment: Lower 1666 -.078 1686 -.023 1695 -.023 1651 -.017 Higher 1696 .075 1672 .035 1653 .034 1673 .032 [C] Year-to-year changes diverging by over 4.0 std deviations: 1786 1787 4.3 SD [E] Outliers 4 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1666 -5.1 SD; 1697 +3.2 SD; 1722 -4.9 SD; 1786 -5.6 SD =================================================================================================================================== OLB0084A 1667 to 1814 148 years Series 3 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .466) is: Lower 1669 -.023 1670 -.022 1673 -.021 1770 -.013 Higher 1806 .037 1696 .020 1681 .012 1790 .010 [E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1670 +4.2 SD; 1736 +3.1 SD =================================================================================================================================== OLB0081A 1589 to 1814 226 years Series 4 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .497) is: Lower 1599 -.013 1622 -.011 1645 -.010 1619 -.009 Higher 1669 .023 1806 .021 1681 .007 1634 .007 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1645 -4.6 SD =================================================================================================================================== OLB0062A 1638 to 1814 177 years Series 5 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .566) is: Lower 1647 -.018 1759 -.013 1680 -.013 1646 -.011 Higher 1696 .024 1669 .024 1790 .012 1806 .008 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1646 +3.0 SD =================================================================================================================================== OLB0049A 1572 to 1814 243 years Series 6 [A] Segment High -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 +0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8 +9 +10 --------- ---- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 1575 1624 0 -.06 .08 .01 -.21 .06 .15 .18 -.32 -.06 .06 .26*-.10 -.15 -.16 .06 .07 -.33 .19 .10 .12 .12 1600 1649 -8 .13 -.03 .50*-.12 .01 .03 .07 .01 -.05 .09 .15|-.28 -.12 -.16 -.20 .19 -.22 .09 -.18 .05 .16 1625 1674 -8 .07 -.02 .34* .04 .07 -.05 -.09 .23 .15 .07 .30|-.22 -.18 -.10 -.16 .16 -.12 .06 -.07 -.07 .17 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .434) is: Lower 1622 -.033 1623 -.014 1648 -.011 1756 -.011 Higher 1806 .028 1696 .020 1741 .015 1681 .009 1575 to 1624 segment: Lower 1622 -.127 1623 -.061 1579 -.038 1578 -.036 Higher 1582 .044 1615 .029 1616 .026 1576 .022 1600 to 1649 segment: Lower 1622 -.121 1623 -.048 1648 -.037 1635 -.015 Higher 1630 .075 1616 .032 1621 .029 1615 .029 1625 to 1674 segment: Lower 1648 -.051 1656 -.024 1635 -.023 1671 -.023 Higher 1630 .057 1669 .050 1646 .026 1672 .019 [C] Year-to-year changes diverging by over 4.0 std deviations: 1622 1623 -5.1 SD [E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1622 +5.1 SD; 1630 -4.6 SD =================================================================================================================================== OLB0048A 1627 to 1814 188 years Series 7 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .559) is: Lower 1751 -.013 1741 -.011 1779 -.008 1712 -.008 Higher 1806 .024 1669 .023 1757 .008 1648 .006 =================================================================================================================================== OLB0047A 1637 to 1814 178 years Series 8 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .640) is: Lower 1732 -.020 1702 -.015 1808 -.012 1639 -.008 Higher 1806 .048 1696 .015 1681 .008 1709 .007 =================================================================================================================================== OLB0046A 1640 to 1814 175 years Series 9 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .564) is: Lower 1685 -.018 1727 -.017 1768 -.013 1759 -.011 Higher 1806 .068 1669 .011 1709 .010 1741 .008 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1732 +3.8 SD =================================================================================================================================== OLB0045A 1660 to 1814 155 years Series 10 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .502) is: Lower 1726 -.036 1729 -.018 1672 -.015 1786 -.011 Higher 1696 .058 1806 .053 1681 .011 1757 .009 [E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1672 +3.0 SD; 1788 +3.0 SD =================================================================================================================================== OLB0044A 1593 to 1814 222 years Series 11 [A] Segment High -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 +0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8 +9 +10 --------- ---- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 1593 1642 -8 .09 .10 .35*-.08 -.09 -.11 .03 -.05 .01 -.08 .28|-.12 .01 -.13 -.03 .17 .00 -.16 .03 -.03 .15 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 1700 1749 0 -.12 .03 -.12 .18 -.21 -.03 .01 .04 .10 .21 .32* .18 -.10 -.09 -.07 .23 .16 -.01 -.26 -.01 .07 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .462) is: Lower 1653 -.024 1671 -.014 1609 -.012 1614 -.011 Higher 1669 .020 1806 .020 1696 .020 1622 .010 1593 to 1642 segment: Lower 1614 -.043 1609 -.042 1595 -.033 1615 -.028 Higher 1622 .084 1630 .051 1621 .023 1634 .021 1700 to 1749 segment: Lower 1744 -.060 1709 -.048 1745 -.034 1740 -.028 Higher 1721 .073 1706 .025 1702 .024 1727 .024 [E] Outliers 3 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1621 +3.5 SD; 1622 +3.1 SD; 1751 -4.8 SD =================================================================================================================================== OLB0043A 1633 to 1814 182 years Series 12 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .494) is: Lower 1791 -.013 1721 -.013 1728 -.012 1794 -.010 Higher 1696 .024 1806 .018 1681 .012 1757 .009 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1641 +3.5 SD =================================================================================================================================== OLB0042A 1634 to 1814 181 years Series 13 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .477) is: Lower 1780 -.023 1757 -.015 1766 -.013 1669 -.010 Higher 1806 .014 1790 .009 1721 .009 1681 .008 [E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1766 +4.1 SD; 1767 +3.1 SD =================================================================================================================================== OLB0041A 1559 to 1814 256 years Series 14 [*] Early part of series cannot be checked from 1559 to 1571 -- not matched by another series [A] Segment High -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 +0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8 +9 +10 --------- ---- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 1572 1621 0 .12 -.18 .04 -.12 .00 .08 .21 -.21 .06 -.09 .29*-.15 -.04 .02 .18 .08 -.32 .14 -.02 .10 -.26 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .501) is: Lower 1630 -.017 1596 -.010 1635 -.010 1632 -.009 Higher 1696 .024 1622 .024 1669 .019 1681 .007 1572 to 1621 segment: Lower 1596 -.040 1578 -.034 1591 -.026 1572 -.023 Higher 1615 .051 1581 .035 1576 .018 1595 .016 [E] Outliers 3 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1630 +3.1 SD; 1632 +3.1 SD; 1670 -4.6 SD =================================================================================================================================== OLB0040A 1616 to 1814 199 years Series 15 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .576) is: Lower 1735 -.011 1672 -.010 1751 -.010 1724 -.009 Higher 1622 .033 1696 .014 1806 .013 1669 .012 =================================================================================================================================== OLB0065A 1603 to 1812 210 years Series 16 [A] Segment High -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 +0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8 +9 +10 --------- ---- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 1725 1774 5 -.02 -.08 .03 -.14 -.26 .12 .22 .18 .00 .13 .33| .30 -.05 -.01 .18 .34* .09 -.12 -.10 .05 -.22 1750 1799 0 .00 -.02 -.04 -.06 -.01 .13 .04 .00 -.14 .10 .29* .02 .00 .13 .07 .28 .01 -.13 .26 .21 -.06 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .461) is: Lower 1744 -.018 1782 -.016 1674 -.012 1672 -.011 Higher 1622 .041 1696 .012 1669 .011 1757 .010 1725 to 1774 segment: Lower 1744 -.078 1758 -.044 1727 -.042 1736 -.030 Higher 1757 .065 1771 .043 1738 .039 1725 .030 1750 to 1799 segment: Lower 1782 -.067 1758 -.041 1790 -.036 1770 -.021 Higher 1757 .067 1771 .048 1793 .044 1788 .018 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1775 +3.0 SD =================================================================================================================================== OLB0063A 1620 to 1793 174 years Series 17 [A] Segment High -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 +0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8 +9 +10 --------- ---- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 1675 1724 -7 .07 -.03 .22 .35* .12 .13 -.08 -.04 -.05 -.28 .28|-.19 -.10 -.11 -.04 .17 .12 .01 -.02 -.16 .01 1700 1749 -7 .17 .00 .08 .44* .02 .03 .11 -.09 -.10 -.14 .33|-.06 -.16 -.32 -.06 .03 .29 -.04 -.06 .04 .16 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .415) is: Lower 1703 -.043 1669 -.024 1751 -.014 1631 -.013 Higher 1622 .037 1790 .019 1685 .013 1672 .013 1675 to 1724 segment: Lower 1703 -.100 1699 -.025 1691 -.022 1709 -.017 Higher 1685 .058 1686 .032 1681 .014 1700 .014 1700 to 1749 segment: Lower 1703 -.183 1709 -.029 1710 -.017 1708 -.010 Higher 1727 .027 1700 .016 1721 .014 1738 .013 [E] Outliers 3 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1632 -4.5 SD; 1669 +3.4 SD; 1703 -7.2 SD =================================================================================================================================== OLB0083A 1579 to 1767 189 years Series 18 [A] Segment High -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 +0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8 +9 +10 --------- ---- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 1579 1628 0 .01 .15 -.01 -.02 -.16 -.13 -.21 .04 .03 -.04 .31*-.09 .12 -.26 -.01 -.04 .02 -.01 .10 -.12 .01 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 1718 1767 4 .10 .04 -.15 -.17 .20 .03 -.10 .05 -.13 .23 .31|-.06 -.07 .17 .31* .19 -.08 -.24 -.20 .14 -.08 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .445) is: Lower 1599 -.043 1757 -.013 1721 -.013 1666 -.012 Higher 1669 .026 1696 .024 1622 .016 1645 .010 1579 to 1628 segment: Lower 1599 -.192 1623 -.026 1597 -.022 1602 -.018 Higher 1622 .110 1582 .042 1581 .041 1616 .030 1718 to 1767 segment: Lower 1721 -.056 1757 -.055 1735 -.037 1736 -.031 Higher 1740 .040 1727 .033 1751 .033 1738 .031 [E] Outliers 3 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1599 -4.6 SD; 1617 +3.1 SD; 1735 +3.3 SD =================================================================================================================================== OLB0006B 1607 to 1819 213 years Series 19 [A] Segment High -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 +0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8 +9 +10 --------- ---- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 1625 1674 5 -.02 -.14 .07 -.14 .08 -.02 .07 .20 .01 .05 .20|-.06 .08 .13 -.07 .20* .14 -.01 -.22 -.06 -.14 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 1700 1749 -1 .10 -.04 .16 .07 .20 .02 .03 -.24 -.40 .21* .21| .07 -.11 -.12 -.09 .01 .08 -.16 -.03 .10 -.13 1725 1774 0 .04 .15 .24 -.02 .25 .12 .13 .18 -.20 .17 .26* .23 -.28 -.10 -.16 -.08 -.14 -.14 -.19 .03 -.21 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .408) is: Lower 1727 -.016 1673 -.014 1815 -.011 1725 -.010 Higher 1696 .036 1669 .015 1741 .012 1790 .012 1625 to 1674 segment: Lower 1673 -.057 1648 -.032 1632 -.032 1663 -.030 Higher 1669 .104 1630 .031 1645 .031 1655 .022 1700 to 1749 segment: Lower 1727 -.084 1725 -.051 1721 -.036 1735 -.026 Higher 1741 .110 1722 .055 1740 .039 1709 .035 1725 to 1774 segment: Lower 1727 -.076 1725 -.046 1752 -.037 1771 -.034 Higher 1741 .081 1750 .041 1770 .036 1759 .033 [E] Outliers 3 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1641 -4.6 SD; 1711 +3.4 SD; 1712 +3.3 SD =================================================================================================================================== OLB0005A 1609 to 1819 211 years Series 20 [A] Segment High -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 +0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8 +9 +10 --------- ---- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 1609 1658 -2 .03 -.19 -.14 .00 -.17 .17 -.09 -.29 .49*-.45 .32| .02 -.09 .15 -.20 .00 .00 .02 .09 -.03 -.10 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .462) is: Lower 1624 -.015 1657 -.009 1684 -.009 1634 -.008 Higher 1622 .011 1696 .011 1757 .010 1709 .010 1609 to 1658 segment: Lower 1639 -.027 1630 -.023 1634 -.022 1657 -.022 Higher 1622 .051 1635 .037 1648 .031 1631 .024 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1786 +3.2 SD =================================================================================================================================== OLB0003B 1609 to 1818 210 years Series 21 [A] Segment High -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 +0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8 +9 +10 --------- ---- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 1769 1818 0 -.13 .13 -.20 -.03 .18 -.15 -.20 .16 -.19 -.01 .30*-.19 .21 .18 -.01 .01 -.01 .01 .01 -.21 .06 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .440) is: Lower 1804 -.014 1659 -.014 1809 -.012 1630 -.011 Higher 1696 .032 1622 .019 1741 .013 1790 .010 1769 to 1818 segment: Lower 1809 -.038 1804 -.035 1770 -.030 1795 -.021 Higher 1790 .048 1783 .020 1805 .020 1780 .011 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1659 -5.4 SD =================================================================================================================================== OLB0002A 1609 to 1813 205 years Series 22 [A] Segment High -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 +0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8 +9 +10 --------- ---- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 1700 1749 -7 .09 -.06 .05 .26* .02 -.04 -.08 -.19 -.25 .08 .26|-.17 -.18 -.15 .11 .06 .17 -.12 .00 .14 .24 1725 1774 4 .14 .04 -.02 .06 .03 -.03 -.16 -.08 -.16 .14 .29|-.02 -.07 .15 .30* .10 .05 -.06 -.03 -.03 .08 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .482) is: Lower 1729 -.019 1630 -.011 1645 -.009 1750 -.008 Higher 1622 .047 1741 .017 1696 .015 1806 .011 1700 to 1749 segment: Lower 1729 -.087 1745 -.032 1709 -.025 1735 -.018 Higher 1741 .194 1703 .016 1720 .016 1722 .013 1725 to 1774 segment: Lower 1729 -.070 1750 -.040 1771 -.034 1745 -.033 Higher 1741 .137 1757 .045 1759 .029 1758 .022 [E] Outliers 3 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1622 -7.0 SD; 1750 +3.0 SD; 1807 +3.5 SD =================================================================================================================================== OLB0005B 1619 to 1820 202 years Series 23 [A] Segment High -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 +0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8 +9 +10 --------- ---- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 1725 1774 6 -.09 -.07 -.29 -.34 -.38 -.14 -.05 -.14 -.23 -.01 .30| .27 .14 -.03 .24 .31 .40* .08 .13 .12 .23 1750 1799 5 -.15 -.19 -.02 -.25 -.23 .14 .01 -.10 -.19 -.13 .30| .15 -.07 -.02 .03 .39* .31 -.15 .22 .21 -.02 1771 1820 0 .01 -.11 .10 -.13 -.25 .23 .15 -.13 -.08 .13 .30*-.03 -.21 -.18 -.19 .29 -.04 .00 .30 .04 -.14 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .422) is: Lower 1638 -.022 1669 -.017 1803 -.014 1720 -.011 Higher 1622 .024 1681 .014 1820 .012 1790 .012 1725 to 1774 segment: Lower 1740 -.055 1751 -.052 1773 -.036 1728 -.026 Higher 1741 .055 1738 .046 1752 .040 1771 .022 1750 to 1799 segment: Lower 1751 -.048 1789 -.039 1773 -.033 1785 -.027 Higher 1790 .081 1793 .043 1783 .036 1752 .031 1771 to 1820 segment: Lower 1803 -.047 1813 -.035 1789 -.032 1773 -.022 Higher 1820 .060 1790 .055 1793 .034 1783 .028 [E] Outliers 5 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1669 +3.6 SD; 1773 +3.3 SD; 1803 +3.0 SD; 1804 +3.0 SD; 1813 +3.4 SD =================================================================================================================================== OLB0004B 1621 to 1818 198 years Series 24 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .532) is: Lower 1645 -.017 1782 -.013 1721 -.008 1669 -.008 Higher 1806 .055 1790 .010 1648 .008 1622 .008 [E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1645 +3.5 SD; 1663 +4.0 SD =================================================================================================================================== OLB0010B 1617 to 1811 195 years Series 25 [A] Segment High -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 +0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8 +9 +10 --------- ---- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 1617 1666 2 -.16 -.11 .09 -.15 .34 -.03 -.11 .05 .00 .19 .27| .01 .34*-.30 .34 -.15 -.23 .12 -.31 .12 -.15 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 1700 1749 10 -.13 .14 .14 -.09 .08 -.03 -.02 -.23 .02 .00 .17|-.14 -.16 -.15 .17 .12 -.19 -.03 -.13 .15 .32* 1725 1774 10 .03 .33 .02 -.33 -.10 -.18 -.14 -.31 -.14 .07 .28| .12 -.12 .03 .29 .15 -.08 -.03 -.09 .16 .37* [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .405) is: Lower 1730 -.048 1709 -.015 1668 -.011 1622 -.010 Higher 1669 .027 1806 .013 1790 .012 1672 .009 1617 to 1666 segment: Lower 1659 -.029 1648 -.025 1619 -.023 1623 -.021 Higher 1645 .045 1630 .032 1646 .029 1634 .028 1700 to 1749 segment: Lower 1730 -.141 1709 -.057 1700 -.019 1735 -.018 Higher 1741 .045 1740 .040 1706 .034 1720 .023 1725 to 1774 segment: Lower 1730 -.175 1751 -.037 1735 -.021 1770 -.015 Higher 1740 .027 1741 .025 1757 .024 1771 .022 [E] Outliers 3 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1709 +3.2 SD; 1730 -6.4 SD; 1775 +3.7 SD =================================================================================================================================== OLB0003A 1610 to 1803 194 years Series 26 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .450) is: Lower 1801 -.016 1669 -.012 1630 -.010 1683 -.010 Higher 1696 .026 1741 .014 1622 .013 1648 .010 =================================================================================================================================== OLB0002B 1648 to 1819 172 years Series 27 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .468) is: Lower 1814 -.046 1807 -.011 1665 -.010 1689 -.007 Higher 1806 .018 1669 .015 1721 .012 1757 .011 [E] Outliers 3 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1710 +3.5 SD; 1807 +3.3 SD; 1814 -4.8 SD =================================================================================================================================== OLB0007A 1650 to 1819 170 years Series 28 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .495) is: Lower 1819 -.028 1669 -.020 1790 -.011 1808 -.011 Higher 1696 .048 1709 .013 1770 .010 1740 .009 =================================================================================================================================== OLB0009A 1646 to 1803 158 years Series 29 [A] Segment High -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 +0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8 +9 +10 --------- ---- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 1725 1774 0 .05 .01 -.20 -.08 -.09 -.17 .07 -.11 .04 .23 .28* .17 .21 .00 .18 .27 .23 .06 -.06 -.29 .04 1750 1799 0 .04 -.17 -.27 -.15 -.06 -.08 .13 -.10 -.05 .28 .30* .14 .11 .22 .23 .26 .00 -.04 .00 -.04 .04 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .468) is: Lower 1723 -.019 1750 -.017 1760 -.016 1722 -.012 Higher 1669 .024 1709 .017 1672 .013 1771 .011 1725 to 1774 segment: Lower 1750 -.056 1760 -.044 1749 -.027 1751 -.025 Higher 1771 .056 1757 .038 1741 .029 1745 .028 1750 to 1799 segment: Lower 1750 -.053 1760 -.042 1786 -.027 1751 -.023 Higher 1771 .057 1793 .046 1790 .036 1757 .031 [E] Outliers 3 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1722 +3.1 SD; 1750 +4.0 SD; 1793 +3.6 SD =================================================================================================================================== OLB0011A 1664 to 1819 156 years Series 30 [A] Segment High -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 +0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8 +9 +10 --------- ---- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 1675 1724 3 -.15 -.04 .08 -.08 -.03 -.15 .14 -.04 -.33 -.24 .34| .06 .04 .49* .06 .06 .22 .06 -.18 -.16 -.08 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .466) is: Lower 1707 -.020 1722 -.015 1809 -.013 1718 -.011 Higher 1669 .024 1681 .012 1696 .012 1770 .010 1675 to 1724 segment: Lower 1707 -.055 1722 -.043 1718 -.030 1676 -.023 Higher 1696 .055 1681 .049 1721 .033 1706 .020 =================================================================================================================================== OLB0004A 1676 to 1818 143 years Series 31 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .677) is: Lower 1817 -.016 1799 -.013 1786 -.010 1809 -.010 Higher 1806 .049 1696 .012 1790 .011 1706 .005 =================================================================================================================================== OLB0001B 1674 to 1816 143 years Series 32 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .566) is: Lower 1734 -.022 1746 -.015 1729 -.012 1707 -.008 Higher 1806 .081 1696 .019 1741 .012 1770 .009 =================================================================================================================================== OLB0011B 1679 to 1819 141 years Series 33 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .526) is: Lower 1790 -.030 1815 -.018 1693 -.017 1793 -.014 Higher 1806 .018 1741 .017 1696 .015 1681 .015 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1777 +3.3 SD =================================================================================================================================== OLB0001A 1683 to 1819 137 years Series 34 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .615) is: Lower 1792 -.013 1759 -.012 1741 -.012 1819 -.010 Higher 1806 .074 1696 .020 1706 .009 1721 .008 =================================================================================================================================== OLB0009B 1653 to 1755 103 years Series 35 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .596) is: Lower 1751 -.017 1679 -.016 1722 -.015 1689 -.013 Higher 1696 .023 1709 .017 1686 .011 1685 .010 =================================================================================================================================== PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: Sisso 12:56 Tue 20 Sep 2005 Page 9 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 1 OLB0066A 1667 1873 207 6 0 .548 .53 1.16 .243 .838 .193 2.91 .519 -.019 1 2 OLB0085A 1626 1814 189 7 2 .451 .54 1.53 .309 .915 .188 2.60 .377 .041 1 3 OLB0084A 1667 1814 148 6 0 .466 .62 1.23 .281 .872 .180 2.83 .509 .037 1 4 OLB0081A 1589 1814 226 9 0 .497 .43 2.34 .338 .925 .223 2.71 .317 .003 1 5 OLB0062A 1638 1814 177 7 0 .566 .55 1.10 .247 .879 .188 2.64 .483 .021 1 6 OLB0049A 1572 1814 243 10 3 .434 .39 1.92 .296 .912 .216 2.63 .403 -.035 2 7 OLB0048A 1627 1814 188 7 0 .559 .50 2.28 .336 .943 .152 2.59 .378 .025 1 8 OLB0047A 1637 1814 178 7 0 .640 .57 1.52 .285 .901 .173 2.70 .387 -.025 1 9 OLB0046A 1640 1814 175 7 0 .564 .51 1.62 .310 .939 .139 2.62 .324 -.028 2 10 OLB0045A 1660 1814 155 6 0 .502 .64 1.26 .253 .849 .148 2.67 .410 -.023 1 11 OLB0044A 1593 1814 222 9 2 .462 .38 1.69 .262 .896 .193 2.90 .496 .002 2 12 OLB0043A 1633 1814 182 7 0 .494 .55 1.24 .239 .884 .167 2.75 .451 .004 1 13 OLB0042A 1634 1814 181 7 0 .477 .55 1.45 .294 .895 .173 2.62 .336 .004 1 14 OLB0041A 1559 1814 256 10 1 .501 .43 1.61 .281 .946 .174 2.56 .410 .046 1 15 OLB0040A 1616 1814 199 8 0 .576 .56 1.23 .210 .847 .159 2.59 .458 -.027 1 16 OLB0065A 1603 1812 210 8 2 .461 .55 1.70 .354 .938 .194 2.76 .444 -.024 1 17 OLB0063A 1620 1793 174 7 2 .415 .65 2.15 .307 .830 .173 2.52 .307 -.039 2 18 OLB0083A 1579 1767 189 7 2 .445 .58 2.66 .415 .924 .201 2.70 .520 -.019 1 19 OLB0006B 1607 1819 213 8 3 .408 .44 1.72 .278 .924 .207 2.79 .538 .003 1 20 OLB0005A 1609 1819 211 8 1 .462 .52 3.26 .401 .968 .132 2.80 .428 -.036 1 21 OLB0003B 1609 1818 210 8 1 .440 .50 2.13 .410 .956 .206 2.69 .397 -.029 1 22 OLB0002A 1609 1813 205 8 2 .482 .53 3.33 .516 .976 .209 2.46 .321 -.010 4 23 OLB0005B 1619 1820 202 8 3 .422 .50 1.27 .186 .908 .125 2.80 .426 .016 1 24 OLB0004B 1621 1818 198 8 0 .532 .47 1.20 .238 .910 .173 2.72 .379 -.022 1 25 OLB0010B 1617 1811 195 8 3 .405 .40 .78 .151 .776 .207 2.78 .354 .064 1 26 OLB0003A 1610 1803 194 8 0 .450 .56 2.34 .445 .962 .205 2.75 .455 -.033 1 27 OLB0002B 1648 1819 172 7 0 .468 .41 .98 .210 .894 .195 2.65 .396 -.056 1 28 OLB0007A 1650 1819 170 6 0 .495 .32 .60 .115 .819 .173 2.71 .450 .039 1 29 OLB0009A 1646 1803 158 7 2 .468 .51 1.04 .136 .668 .169 2.97 .536 -.020 1 30 OLB0011A 1664 1819 156 6 1 .466 .60 1.99 .311 .888 .176 2.69 .470 .016 1 31 OLB0004A 1676 1818 143 5 0 .677 .33 .67 .153 .890 .174 2.58 .362 .016 1 32 OLB0001B 1674 1816 143 6 0 .566 .78 2.01 .396 .915 .151 2.55 .351 .003 1 33 OLB0011B 1679 1819 141 5 0 .526 .58 1.54 .325 .898 .179 2.73 .440 .041 1 34 OLB0001A 1683 1819 137 5 0 .615 .77 2.25 .390 .897 .160 2.59 .356 .001 1 35 OLB0009B 1653 1755 103 4 0 .596 .46 .79 .103 .595 .154 2.57 .424 .008 1 --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- Total or mean: 6450 250 30 .495 .51 3.33 .291 .892 .180 2.97 .418 -.002 - = [ COFECHA SISS COF ] = -