COFECHA File_name Date Time_span Series Spline Seg Lag N_Seg Probs Prob% XCorr MnSens C/Var MnMsmt MnStDv MnACorr finl068.rwl 20Sep05 1602 1841 10 32 50 25 53 9 16.98 .464 .168 41.98 .780 .481 .926 Run NEVAL Title: Neval PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: Neval 13:03 Tue 20 Sep 2005 Page 5 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1625 1650 1675 1700 1725 1750 1775 1800 1674 1699 1724 1749 1774 1799 1824 1849 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 OKC0378A 1602 1841 .25B .59 .57 .50 .53 .56 .36 .24A 2 OKC0462A 1694 1796 .52 .68 .71 .69 3 OKC0461A 1627 1796 .16B .28B .41 .59 .60 .64 4 OKC0460A 1682 1796 .64 .72 .63 .72 5 OKC0459A 1705 1796 .58 .55 .50 6 OKC0458A 1648 1796 .23B .32B .38 .57 .64 .68 7 OKC0456A 1665 1796 .56 .57 .34 .36 .63 8 OKC0451A 1652 1795 .36 .34 .59 .62 .60 9 OKC0379B 1642 1839 .36 .55 .54 .23B .34 .50 .28A .23A 10 OKC0453A 1695 1796 .67 .61 .55 .38 Av segment correlation .25 .44 .51 .54 .55 .59 .32 .23 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: Neval 13:03 Tue 20 Sep 2005 Page 7 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 1 OKC0378A 1602 1841 240 8 2 .368 .68 2.87 .521 .969 .161 2.59 .337 .013 3 2 OKC0462A 1694 1796 103 4 0 .621 1.37 3.66 .811 .949 .154 2.75 .610 .072 1 3 OKC0461A 1627 1796 170 6 2 .413 .69 2.62 .541 .942 .202 2.52 .439 .020 3 4 OKC0460A 1682 1796 115 4 0 .667 .72 1.77 .375 .942 .140 2.86 .537 .045 1 5 OKC0459A 1705 1796 92 3 0 .508 1.08 3.16 .625 .970 .104 2.35 .348 -.050 3 6 OKC0458A 1648 1796 149 6 2 .487 .92 2.95 .574 .920 .172 2.67 .439 .028 1 7 OKC0456A 1665 1796 132 5 0 .481 .40 1.20 .213 .857 .186 2.69 .389 -.017 1 8 OKC0451A 1652 1795 144 5 0 .496 .72 2.10 .423 .929 .174 2.40 .355 -.023 1 9 OKC0379B 1642 1839 198 8 3 .331 .67 1.53 .244 .850 .171 2.59 .411 .001 1 10 OKC0453A 1695 1796 102 4 0 .482 .95 3.05 .692 .953 .188 2.52 .443 .003 1 --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- Total or mean: 1445 53 9 .464 .78 3.66 .481 .926 .168 2.86 .420 .010