[] Dendrochronology Program Library Run JUOK1 Program COF 11:53 Wed 03 Feb 2004 Page 1 [] [] P R O G R A M C O F E C H A Version 6.06P 25238 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ QUALITY CONTROL AND DATING CHECK OF TREE-RING MEASUREMENTS File of DATED series: juok1.tu_ CONTENTS: Part 1: Title page, options selected, summary, absent rings by series Part 2: Histogram of time spans Part 3: Master series with sample depth and absent rings by year Part 4: Bar plot of Master Dating Series Part 5: Correlation by segment of each series with Master Part 6: Potential problems: low correlation, divergent year-to-year changes, absent rings, outliers Part 7: Descriptive statistics RUN CONTROL OPTIONS SELECTED VALUE 1 Cubic smoothing spline 50% wavelength cutoff for filtering 32 years 2 Segments examined are 50 years lagged successively by 25 years 3 Autoregressive model applied A Residuals are used in master dating series and testing 4 Series transformed to logarithms Y Each series log-transformed for master dating series and testing 5 CORRELATION is Pearson (parametric, quantitative) Critical correlation, 99% confidence level .3281 6 Master dating series saved C 7 Ring measurements listed N 8 Parts printed 1234567 9 Absent rings are omitted from master series and segment correlations (Y) Time span of Master dating series is 1704 to 1993 290 years Continuous time span is 1704 to 1993 290 years Portion with two or more series is 1709 to 1993 285 years **************************************** *C* Number of dated series 45 *C* *O* Master series 1704 1993 290 yrs *O* *F* Total rings in all series 5528 *F* *E* Total dated rings checked 5523 *E* *C* Series intercorrelation .622 *C* *H* Average mean sensitivity .243 *H* *A* Segments, possible problems 5 *A* *** Mean length of series 122.8 *** **************************************** ABSENT RINGS listed by SERIES: (See Master Dating Series for absent rings listed by year) No ring measurements of zero value PART 2: TIME PLOT OF TREE-RING SERIES: 11:53 Wed 03 Feb 2004 Page 2 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1050 1100 1150 1200 1250 1300 1350 1400 1450 1500 1550 1600 1650 1700 1750 1800 1850 1900 1950 2000 2050 Ident Seq Time-span Yrs : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : -------- --- ---- ---- ---- . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===========>. . OMA0601A 1 1879 1993 115 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===========>. . OMA0601B 2 1877 1993 117 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <==========>. . OMA0603A 3 1880 1993 114 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===========>. . OMA0603B 4 1878 1993 116 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<============>. . OMA0604A 5 1865 1993 129 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===========>. . OMA0604B 6 1874 1993 120 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <==========>. . OMA0605A 7 1887 1993 107 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===========>. . OMA0605B 8 1878 1993 116 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=============>. . OMA0607A 9 1855 1993 139 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<============>. . OMA0607B 10 1863 1993 131 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=============>. . OMA0608A 11 1859 1993 135 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<============>. . OMA0608B 12 1862 1993 132 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===========>. . OMA0609A 13 1873 1993 121 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <==========>. . OMA0609B 14 1887 1993 107 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===========>. . OMA0610A 15 1879 1993 115 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===========>. . OMA0610B 16 1871 1993 123 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<============>. . OMA0611A 17 1864 1993 130 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <==========>. . OMA0611B 18 1880 1993 114 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <========>. . OMA0612B 19 1907 1993 87 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===========>. . OMA0613A 20 1879 1993 115 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=========>. . OMA0613B 21 1894 1993 100 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=========>. . OMA0614A 22 1891 1993 103 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=========>. . OMA0614B 23 1895 1993 99 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <================>. . OMA0615B 24 1825 1993 169 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===========>. . OMA0616A 25 1872 1993 122 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===========>. . OMA0616B 26 1871 1993 123 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=========>. . OMA0617A 27 1895 1993 99 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <========>. . OMA0617B 28 1903 1993 91 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===========>. . OMA0619A 29 1877 1993 117 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=========>. . OMA0619B 30 1891 1993 103 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===========>. . OMA0620A 31 1872 1993 122 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===========>. . OMA0620B 32 1872 1993 122 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===========>. . OMA0621A 33 1874 1993 120 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===========>. . OMA0621B 34 1871 1993 123 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <==========>. . OMA0622A 35 1881 1993 113 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <==========>. . OMA0622B 36 1880 1993 114 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=========>. . OMA0623A 37 1899 1993 95 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <==========>. . OMA0623B 38 1886 1993 108 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=========>. . OMA0624A 39 1897 1993 97 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=========>. . OMA0624B 40 1898 1993 96 . . . . . . . . . . . . . <============================>. . OMA0625A 41 1709 1993 285 . . . . . . . . . . . . . <============================>. . OMA0625B 42 1704 1993 290 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=========>. . OMA0626B 43 1896 1993 98 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <==========>. . OMA0628A 44 1883 1993 111 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<============>. . OMA0629A 45 1869 1993 125 : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : 1050 1100 1150 1200 1250 1300 1350 1400 1450 1500 1550 1600 1650 1700 1750 1800 1850 1900 1950 2000 2050 PART 3: Master Dating Series: 11:53 Wed 03 Feb 2004 Page 3 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ 1750 -1.730 2 1800 .856 2 1850 -.160 3 1900 -.304 43 1950 .885 45 1751 -.374 2 1801 -.634 2 1851 .657 3 1901 -1.361 43 1951 .194 45 1752 -.218 2 1802 .231 2 1852 -.260 3 1902 -1.161 43 1952 .594 45 1753 1.189 2 1803 .169 2 1853 -1.972 3 1903 .045 44 1953 .977 45 1704 -2.732 1 1754 1.381 2 1804 .639 2 1854 1.174 3 1904 -.540 44 1954 1.232 45 1705 .773 1 1755 -.425 2 1805 2.374 2 1855 -.464 4 1905 -.274 44 1955 .216 45 1706 -.113 1 1756 1.078 2 1806 -.304 2 1856 .910 4 1906 -.640 44 1956 -.703 45 1707 2.028 1 1757 -.556 2 1807 .505 2 1857 .586 4 1907 .285 45 1957 1.786 45 1708 .022 1 1758 .408 2 1808 .417 2 1858 -.561 4 1908 .453 45 1958 .857 45 1709 .834 2 1759 1.150 2 1809 .178 2 1859 -.499 5 1909 .400 45 1959 -1.070 45 1710 .681 2 1760 -.183 2 1810 -1.879 2 1860 .463 5 1910 -.776 45 1960 -1.302 45 1711 .350 2 1761 -.819 2 1811 -.901 2 1861 -.215 5 1911 -.418 45 1961 -1.290 45 1712 -1.356 2 1762 1.841 2 1812 1.194 2 1862 .918 6 1912 .481 45 1962 -.238 45 1713 -.956 2 1763 .561 2 1813 -.513 2 1863 .316 7 1913 -.143 45 1963 -.459 45 1714 1.784 2 1764 1.766 2 1814 1.519 2 1864 .804 8 1914 .161 45 1964 -.379 45 1715 .539 2 1765 1.083 2 1815 .904 2 1865 .094 9 1915 .969 45 1965 .232 45 1716 1.193 2 1766 -.022 2 1816 -.887 2 1866 .814 9 1916 -.019 45 1966 .447 45 1717 .164 2 1767 -.167 2 1817 .864 2 1867 -1.439 9 1917 -1.556 45 1967 1.915 45 1718 -.807 2 1768 -.326 2 1818 -.779 2 1868 -.875 9 1918 -1.012 45 1968 .744 45 1719 .593 2 1769 .106 2 1819 1.712 2 1869 .083 10 1919 -1.089 45 1969 .219 45 1720 -.294 2 1770 -.113 2 1820 .844 2 1870 .076 10 1920 .090 45 1970 .552 45 1721 -2.189 2 1771 -3.736 2 1821 .794 2 1871 -.583 13 1921 .688 45 1971 -.940 45 1722 -1.789 2 1772 -3.121 2 1822 -1.605 2 1872 -.516 16 1922 1.336 45 1972 -.120 45 1723 1.168 2 1773 -1.275 2 1823 .597 2 1873 .586 17 1923 .946 45 1973 -1.087 45 1724 -.670 2 1774 -1.665 2 1824 -1.379 2 1874 .748 19 1924 2.063 45 1974 -.154 45 1725 .006 2 1775 -.342 2 1825 .770 3 1875 -1.397 19 1925 1.300 45 1975 -.939 45 1726 1.036 2 1776 -.740 2 1826 -.550 3 1876 -.786 19 1926 -.176 45 1976 .225 45 1727 -.665 2 1777 -.368 2 1827 .008 3 1877 .042 21 1927 .626 45 1977 -.598 45 1728 -1.439 2 1778 -.130 2 1828 -.566 3 1878 -.541 23 1928 .278 45 1978 -.367 45 1729 .769 2 1779 -.916 2 1829 -2.156 3 1879 .601 26 1929 .255 45 1979 .541 45 1730 -1.394 2 1780 1.346 2 1830 .178 3 1880 .919 29 1930 -.839 45 1980 -.533 45 1731 1.680 2 1781 .310 2 1831 -.591 3 1881 -.458 30 1931 -1.553 45 1981 .214 45 1732 1.688 2 1782 -.728 2 1832 -.049 3 1882 .567 30 1932 -.001 45 1982 .758 45 1733 -.757 2 1783 -.015 2 1833 1.427 3 1883 .507 31 1933 -1.129 45 1983 .886 45 1734 -.785 2 1784 -.358 2 1834 1.258 3 1884 .419 31 1934 .954 45 1984 -.202 45 1735 .969 2 1785 .901 2 1835 .268 3 1885 -.562 31 1935 -.922 45 1985 -.344 45 1736 -.322 2 1786 1.954 2 1836 .221 3 1886 .493 32 1936 .098 45 1986 .606 45 1737 .004 2 1787 1.300 2 1837 .441 3 1887 -.718 34 1937 -.138 45 1987 .859 45 1738 .354 2 1788 1.926 2 1838 -.124 3 1888 .436 34 1938 1.006 45 1988 .522 45 1739 1.139 2 1789 1.035 2 1839 .291 3 1889 -1.221 34 1939 .443 45 1989 .227 45 1740 -2.570 2 1790 -.068 2 1840 1.539 3 1890 1.590 34 1940 -1.689 45 1990 1.018 45 1741 1.230 2 1791 .314 2 1841 .309 3 1891 -.108 36 1941 .253 45 1991 .111 45 1742 .347 2 1792 .554 2 1842 -1.599 3 1892 .807 36 1942 -1.196 45 1992 -2.782 45 1743 -.248 2 1793 .385 2 1843 -1.226 3 1893 .620 36 1943 -.158 45 1993 .284 45 1744 .777 2 1794 .555 2 1844 -.250 3 1894 .701 37 1944 -1.339 45 1745 -.561 2 1795 -.435 2 1845 -1.217 3 1895 .182 39 1945 -.727 45 1746 .922 2 1796 -.945 2 1846 -.033 3 1896 -.816 40 1946 .389 45 1747 1.010 2 1797 -.766 2 1847 .708 3 1897 -.237 41 1947 -.375 45 1748 -.919 2 1798 -4.164 2 1848 1.108 3 1898 .603 42 1948 -.460 45 1749 -1.070 2 1799 -1.578 2 1849 .020 3 1899 .181 43 1949 -.017 45 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ PART 4: Master Bar Plot: 11:53 Wed 03 Feb 2004 Page 4 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value 1750g 1800--------C 1850----a 1900---a 1950--------D 1751---a 1801--c 1851--------C 1901e 1951------A 1752----a 1802------A 1852----a 1902-e 1952-------B 1753---------E 1803-----A 1853h 1903-----@ 1953---------D 1704k 1754----------F 1804-------C 1854---------E 1904--b 1954---------E 1705--------C 1755---b 1805----------I 1855---b 1905---a 1955------A 1706----@ 1756---------D 1806---a 1856---------D 1906--c 1956--c 1707----------H 1757--b 1807-------B 1857-------B 1907------A 1957----------G 1708-----@ 1758------B 1808-------B 1858--b 1908-------B 1958--------C 1709--------C 1759---------E 1809-----A 1859---b 1909------B 1959-d 1710--------C 1760----a 1810h 1860-------B 1910--c 1960-e 1711------A 1761--c 1811-d 1861----a 1911---b 1961-e 1712e 1762----------G 1812---------E 1862---------D 1912-------B 1962----a 1713-d 1763-------B 1813---b 1863------A 1913----a 1963---b 1714----------G 1764----------G 1814----------F 1864--------C 1914-----A 1964---b 1715-------B 1765---------D 1815---------D 1865-----@ 1915---------D 1965------A 1716---------E 1766-----@ 1816-d 1866--------C 1916-----@ 1966-------B 1717-----A 1767----a 1817--------C 1867f 1917f 1967----------H 1718--c 1768---a 1818--c 1868-c 1918-d 1968--------C 1719-------B 1769-----@ 1819----------G 1869-----@ 1919-d 1969------A 1720---a 1770----@ 1820--------C 1870-----@ 1920-----@ 1970-------B 1721i 1771o 1821--------C 1871--b 1921--------C 1971-d 1722g 1772l 1822f 1872---b 1922---------E 1972----@ 1723---------E 1773-e 1823-------B 1873-------B 1923---------D 1973-d 1724--c 1774g 1824f 1874--------C 1924----------H 1974----a 1725-----@ 1775---a 1825--------C 1875f 1925---------E 1975-d 1726---------D 1776--c 1826--b 1876--c 1926----a 1976------A 1727--c 1777---a 1827-----@ 1877-----@ 1927-------C 1977--b 1728f 1778----a 1828--b 1878--b 1928------A 1978---a 1729--------C 1779-d 1829i 1879-------B 1929------A 1979-------B 1730f 1780----------E 1830-----A 1880---------D 1930--c 1980--b 1731----------G 1781------A 1831--b 1881---b 1931f 1981------A 1732----------G 1782--c 1832----@ 1882-------B 1932-----@ 1982--------C 1733--c 1783-----@ 1833----------F 1883-------B 1933-e 1983--------D 1734--c 1784---a 1834---------E 1884-------B 1934---------D 1984----a 1735---------D 1785---------D 1835------A 1885--b 1935-d 1985---a 1736---a 1786----------H 1836------A 1886-------B 1936-----@ 1986-------B 1737-----@ 1787---------E 1837-------B 1887--c 1937----a 1987--------C 1738------A 1788----------H 1838----@ 1888-------B 1938---------D 1988-------B 1739---------E 1789---------D 1839------A 1889-e 1939-------B 1989------A 1740j 1790----@ 1840----------F 1890----------F 1940g 1990---------D 1741---------E 1791------A 1841------A 1891----@ 1941------A 1991-----@ 1742------A 1792-------B 1842f 1892--------C 1942-e 1992k 1743----a 1793------B 1843-e 1893-------B 1943----a 1993------A 1744--------C 1794-------B 1844----a 1894--------C 1944e 1745--b 1795---b 1845-e 1895-----A 1945--c 1746---------D 1796-d 1846----@ 1896--c 1946------B 1747---------D 1797--c 1847--------C 1897----a 1947---b 1748-d 1798q 1848---------D 1898-------B 1948---b 1749-d 1799f 1849-----@ 1899-----A 1949-----@ PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: 11:53 Wed 03 Feb 2004 Page 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1700 1725 1750 1775 1800 1825 1850 1875 1900 1925 1950 1749 1774 1799 1824 1849 1874 1899 1924 1949 1974 1999 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 OMA0601A 1879 1993 .58 .76 .77 .77 2 OMA0601B 1877 1993 .54 .67 .69 .65 3 OMA0603A 1880 1993 .56 .60 .58 .72 4 OMA0603B 1878 1993 .57 .56 .59 .73 5 OMA0604A 1865 1993 .58 .66 .57 .60 .71 6 OMA0604B 1874 1993 .56 .59 .53 .63 .60 7 OMA0605A 1887 1993 .67 .60 .61 .59 8 OMA0605B 1878 1993 .60 .60 .59 .63 9 OMA0607A 1855 1993 .36 .54 .55 .51 .71 10 OMA0607B 1863 1993 .20B .35B .69 .63 .68 11 OMA0608A 1859 1993 .45 .49 .79 .87 .78 12 OMA0608B 1862 1993 .55 .62 .74 .77 .82 13 OMA0609A 1873 1993 .69 .70 .77 .81 .58 14 OMA0609B 1887 1993 .58 .73 .73 .54 15 OMA0610A 1879 1993 .64 .61 .56 .66 16 OMA0610B 1871 1993 .57 .60 .61 .69 .72 17 OMA0611A 1864 1993 .57 .61 .53 .53 .75 18 OMA0611B 1880 1993 .59 .49 .61 .57 19 OMA0612B 1907 1993 .26B .52 .74 20 OMA0613A 1879 1993 .60 .54 .64 .59 21 OMA0613B 1894 1993 .47 .51 .60 .47 22 OMA0614A 1891 1993 .63 .61 .65 .45 23 OMA0614B 1895 1993 .54 .55 .59 .53 24 OMA0615B 1825 1993 .19B .48 .54 .56 .61 .67 25 OMA0616A 1872 1993 .67 .72 .60 .57 .56 26 OMA0616B 1871 1993 .71 .78 .79 .64 .64 27 OMA0617A 1895 1993 .54 .53 .60 .61 28 OMA0617B 1903 1993 .63 .58 .54 29 OMA0619A 1877 1993 .58 .62 .57 .67 30 OMA0619B 1891 1993 .77 .70 .65 .59 31 OMA0620A 1872 1993 .62 .69 .68 .62 .50 32 OMA0620B 1872 1993 .61 .61 .56 .61 .55 33 OMA0621A 1874 1993 .65 .67 .67 .67 .53 34 OMA0621B 1871 1993 .68 .70 .71 .76 .72 35 OMA0622A 1881 1993 .73 .76 .79 .78 36 OMA0622B 1880 1993 .48 .69 .70 .76 37 OMA0623A 1899 1993 .52 .53 .68 .80 38 OMA0623B 1886 1993 .64 .68 .69 .71 39 OMA0624A 1897 1993 .64 .62 .68 .64 40 OMA0624B 1898 1993 .64 .62 .66 .79 41 OMA0625A 1709 1993 .71 .72 .62 .62 .62 .50 .52 .53 .66 .74 .74 42 OMA0625B 1704 1993 .71 .72 .62 .62 .51 .38 .31A .38 .70 .83 .80 43 OMA0626B 1896 1993 .69 .71 .75 .76 44 OMA0628A 1883 1993 .51 .68 .66 .60 45 OMA0629A 1869 1993 .55 .57 .62 .55 .43 Av segment correlation .71 .72 .62 .62 .56 .36 .54 .60 .63 .65 .65 PART 6: POTENTIAL PROBLEMS: 11:53 Wed 03 Feb 2004 Page 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ For each series with potential problems the following diagnostics may appear: [A] Correlations with master dating series of flagged 50-year segments of series filtered with 32-year spline, at every point from ten years earlier (-10) to ten years later (+10) than dated [B] Effect of those data values which most lower or raise correlation with master series Symbol following year indicates value in series is greater (>) or lesser (<) than master series value [C] Year-to-year changes very different from the mean change in other series [D] Absent rings (zero values) [E] Values which are statistical outliers from mean for the year =================================================================================================================================== OMA0601A 1879 to 1993 115 years Series 1 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .705) is: Lower 1889> -.020 1896> -.013 1887< -.012 1907< -.011 1989< -.011 1912< -.008 Higher 1992 .057 1959 .011 =================================================================================================================================== OMA0601B 1877 to 1993 117 years Series 2 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .618) is: Lower 1902< -.023 1985< -.020 1982< -.017 1881> -.012 1956> -.011 1877< -.010 Higher 1992 .053 1959 .011 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1902 -5.1 SD =================================================================================================================================== OMA0603A 1880 to 1993 114 years Series 3 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .637) is: Lower 1940> -.017 1902> -.016 1958< -.015 1953< -.014 1977> -.010 1910> -.010 Higher 1992 .079 1924 .011 [E] Outliers 4 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1902 +3.0 SD; 1943 +3.5 SD; 1976 +3.3 SD; 1977 +3.6 SD =================================================================================================================================== OMA0603B 1878 to 1993 116 years Series 4 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .652) is: Lower 1954< -.017 1889> -.013 1902> -.012 1898< -.012 1945< -.011 1980> -.009 Higher 1992 .071 1890 .010 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1905 +3.0 SD =================================================================================================================================== OMA0604A 1865 to 1993 129 years Series 5 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .659) is: Lower 1878> -.015 1895< -.012 1865< -.011 1989< -.010 1945> -.010 1947< -.009 Higher 1992 .063 1875 .012 [E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1878 +3.0 SD; 1945 +3.4 SD =================================================================================================================================== OMA0604B 1874 to 1993 120 years Series 6 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .594) is: Lower 1980< -.016 1987< -.015 1970< -.013 1971> -.013 1975> -.011 1934< -.011 Higher 1992 .019 1940 .016 [E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1904 +3.0 SD; 1986 +3.5 SD =================================================================================================================================== OMA0605A 1887 to 1993 107 years Series 7 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .650) is: Lower 1944> -.042 1896> -.010 1954< -.009 1983< -.008 1887> -.008 1926> -.005 Higher 1940 .021 1992 .016 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1944 +5.0 SD =================================================================================================================================== OMA0605B 1878 to 1993 116 years Series 8 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .627) is: Lower 1900< -.020 1973> -.015 1878< -.013 1944> -.012 1934< -.011 1896> -.011 Higher 1992 .058 1959 .013 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1973 +3.1 SD =================================================================================================================================== OMA0607A 1855 to 1993 139 years Series 9 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .566) is: Lower 1855> -.019 1939< -.015 1857< -.015 1969< -.015 1876> -.013 1878< -.012 Higher 1992 .071 1867 .013 [E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1878 -4.8 SD; 1969 -4.6 SD =================================================================================================================================== OMA0607B 1863 to 1993 131 years Series 10 [A] Segment High -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 +0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8 +9 +10 --------- ---- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 1863 1912 1 -.04 .16 -.08 .12 -.18 -.05 -.05 -.02 -.16 .09 .20| .28*-.15 .03 -.18 .06 .09 .03 -.07 .16 .01 1875 1924 1 -.06 .12 -.05 .11 -.11 -.09 -.03 -.06 -.17 .12 .35| .41*-.11 .02 -.20 -.04 -.06 -.09 -.18 .10 .00 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .554) is: Lower 1890< -.034 1889> -.028 1881> -.021 1969< -.016 1876> -.011 1963< -.010 Higher 1992 .070 1940 .022 1863 to 1912 segment: Lower 1890< -.088 1889> -.071 1881> -.055 1876> -.027 1878> -.025 1908< -.024 Higher 1875 .076 1867 .053 1875 to 1924 segment: Lower 1890< -.094 1889> -.072 1881> -.056 1876> -.028 1908< -.026 1878> -.025 Higher 1917 .065 1875 .061 [C] Year-to-year changes diverging by over 4.0 std deviations: 1889 1890 -4.3 SD [E] Outliers 3 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1881 +3.2 SD; 1889 +3.2 SD; 1969 -4.6 SD =================================================================================================================================== OMA0608A 1859 to 1993 135 years Series 11 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .640) is: Lower 1875> -.038 1859> -.023 1861< -.012 1896> -.012 1910> -.010 1981< -.008 Higher 1957 .011 1940 .009 [E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1859 +3.8 SD; 1875 +4.2 SD =================================================================================================================================== OMA0608B 1862 to 1993 132 years Series 12 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .703) is: Lower 1871< -.020 1892< -.012 1876> -.010 1885> -.009 1976< -.008 1943< -.007 Higher 1992 .038 1959 .009 =================================================================================================================================== OMA0609A 1873 to 1993 121 years Series 13 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .672) is: Lower 1881< -.026 1986< -.020 1992> -.014 1977> -.011 1915< -.011 1975> -.010 Higher 1940 .017 1875 .014 [E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1881 -5.2 SD; 1978 +3.3 SD =================================================================================================================================== OMA0609B 1887 to 1993 107 years Series 14 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .590) is: Lower 1889> -.040 1977> -.020 1890< -.017 1944> -.015 1990< -.014 1894< -.012 Higher 1940 .031 1957 .016 [E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1889 +3.9 SD; 1977 +3.8 SD =================================================================================================================================== OMA0610A 1879 to 1993 115 years Series 15 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .633) is: Lower 1936< -.025 1904< -.021 1896> -.017 1956> -.012 1987< -.011 1902> -.010 Higher 1992 .044 1924 .012 =================================================================================================================================== OMA0610B 1871 to 1993 123 years Series 16 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .654) is: Lower 1876< -.034 1983< -.019 1871> -.010 1901> -.010 1918> -.008 1891> -.007 Higher 1992 .054 1957 .012 =================================================================================================================================== OMA0611A 1864 to 1993 130 years Series 17 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .622) is: Lower 1875> -.021 1923< -.020 1938< -.014 1869< -.014 1892< -.009 1973> -.009 Higher 1992 .068 1889 .010 [E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1875 +3.7 SD; 1876 +3.3 SD =================================================================================================================================== OMA0611B 1880 to 1993 114 years Series 18 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .597) is: Lower 1988< -.022 1910> -.021 1983< -.014 1971> -.011 1944> -.010 1949< -.010 Higher 1992 .060 1889 .011 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1910 +3.1 SD =================================================================================================================================== OMA0612B 1907 to 1993 87 years Series 19 [A] Segment High -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 +0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8 +9 +10 --------- ---- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 1907 1956 3 -.20 .03 -.03 .05 .14 -.10 .12 -.18 .00 -.05 .26|-.10 -.02 .34* .10 -.10 -.25 -.01 -.14 -.06 .08 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .518) is: Lower 1907< -.098 1935> -.020 1946< -.018 1942> -.013 1919> -.011 1963> -.010 Higher 1992 .114 1957 .019 1907 to 1956 segment: Lower 1907< -.139 1935> -.032 1946< -.028 1942> -.020 1919> -.018 1925< -.013 Higher 1944 .062 1917 .048 [E] Outliers 3 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1907 -5.9 SD; 1919 +3.0 SD; 1935 +3.1 SD =================================================================================================================================== OMA0613A 1879 to 1993 115 years Series 20 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .568) is: Lower 1901> -.040 1992> -.027 1982< -.014 1880< -.013 1940> -.012 1931> -.009 Higher 1959 .017 1889 .017 [E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1901 +4.6 SD; 1902 +3.7 SD =================================================================================================================================== OMA0613B 1894 to 1993 100 years Series 21 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .462) is: Lower 1992> -.066 1940> -.046 1991< -.042 1901> -.028 1902> -.013 1973> -.008 Higher 1967 .021 1924 .020 [E] Outliers 3 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1901 +3.3 SD; 1902 +3.8 SD; 1940 +3.7 SD =================================================================================================================================== OMA0614A 1891 to 1993 103 years Series 22 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .534) is: Lower 1992> -.055 1982< -.016 1891> -.012 1975> -.012 1906> -.011 1944> -.011 Higher 1940 .037 1959 .023 [E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1906 +3.2 SD; 1992 +3.0 SD =================================================================================================================================== OMA0614B 1895 to 1993 99 years Series 23 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .543) is: Lower 1944> -.019 1937< -.019 1982< -.016 1953< -.013 1910> -.012 1915< -.009 Higher 1940 .031 1967 .022 =================================================================================================================================== OMA0615B 1825 to 1993 169 years Series 24 [A] Segment High -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 +0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8 +9 +10 --------- ---- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 1825 1874 8 -.09 .05 .10 .02 .25 -.18 -.11 -.15 .22 .08 .19|-.09 .00 -.16 -.09 .01 .02 -.20 .27* .00 .05 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .485) is: Lower 1842> -.023 1830< -.016 1921< -.010 1853> -.010 1959> -.008 1826> -.008 Higher 1992 .059 1875 .015 1825 to 1874 segment: Lower 1830< -.050 1842> -.040 1844< -.024 1872> -.021 1826> -.017 1846> -.017 Higher 1867 .093 1829 .031 [E] Outliers 4 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1842 +3.6 SD; 1858 +3.1 SD; 1872 +3.0 SD; 1960 +3.3 SD =================================================================================================================================== OMA0616A 1872 to 1993 122 years Series 25 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .608) is: Lower 1980< -.038 1940> -.023 1971> -.012 1989< -.009 1935> -.009 1910> -.008 Higher 1992 .020 1889 .009 =================================================================================================================================== OMA0616B 1871 to 1993 123 years Series 26 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .692) is: Lower 1984< -.017 1969< -.016 1988< -.014 1971> -.012 1975> -.011 1966< -.009 Higher 1992 .048 1924 .007 [E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1900 +3.1 SD; 1976 +3.6 SD =================================================================================================================================== OMA0617A 1895 to 1993 99 years Series 27 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .567) is: Lower 1940> -.026 1900> -.013 1935> -.010 1904< -.009 1902> -.009 1963> -.009 Higher 1917 .013 1901 .012 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1900 +3.0 SD =================================================================================================================================== OMA0617B 1903 to 1993 91 years Series 28 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .585) is: Lower 1992> -.025 1942> -.014 1940> -.012 1949> -.012 1975< -.010 1980> -.008 Higher 1917 .016 1967 .015 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1949 +3.8 SD =================================================================================================================================== OMA0619A 1877 to 1993 117 years Series 29 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .650) is: Lower 1877< -.026 1952< -.020 1944> -.019 1925< -.012 1940> -.009 1903< -.008 Higher 1992 .071 1924 .009 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1944 +3.2 SD =================================================================================================================================== OMA0619B 1891 to 1993 103 years Series 30 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .680) is: Lower 1944> -.030 1900> -.011 1940> -.011 1973> -.010 1948< -.009 1993< -.008 Higher 1957 .009 1967 .009 [E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1900 +3.1 SD; 1944 +3.4 SD =================================================================================================================================== OMA0620A 1872 to 1993 122 years Series 31 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .582) is: Lower 1987< -.023 1872< -.021 1975> -.014 1875> -.012 1979< -.011 1952< -.009 Higher 1890 .011 1931 .009 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1880 +3.5 SD =================================================================================================================================== OMA0620B 1872 to 1993 122 years Series 32 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .565) is: Lower 1878< -.019 1936< -.014 1992> -.013 1916> -.012 1902< -.012 1975> -.010 Higher 1924 .012 1959 .011 [E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1888 +3.2 SD; 1916 +3.5 SD =================================================================================================================================== OMA0621A 1874 to 1993 120 years Series 33 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .632) is: Lower 1968< -.013 1899< -.010 1949< -.010 1886< -.009 1990< -.007 1985> -.007 Higher 1940 .020 1875 .016 =================================================================================================================================== OMA0621B 1871 to 1993 123 years Series 34 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .708) is: Lower 1904> -.010 1875< -.008 1947> -.008 1975> -.008 1941< -.006 1912< -.005 Higher 1940 .018 1917 .010 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1875 -4.8 SD =================================================================================================================================== OMA0622A 1881 to 1993 113 years Series 35 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .754) is: Lower 1991< -.010 1889> -.010 1884< -.008 1903< -.008 1914< -.007 1974< -.006 Higher 1992 .017 1890 .008 =================================================================================================================================== OMA0622B 1880 to 1993 114 years Series 36 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .645) is: Lower 1880< -.061 1940> -.029 1960> -.011 1889> -.009 1887> -.008 1956> -.007 Higher 1959 .014 1992 .013 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1880 -4.8 SD =================================================================================================================================== OMA0623A 1899 to 1993 95 years Series 37 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .688) is: Lower 1941< -.018 1917> -.014 1978< -.013 1918> -.011 1929< -.011 1944> -.009 Higher 1992 .077 1940 .015 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1918 +3.2 SD =================================================================================================================================== OMA0623B 1886 to 1993 108 years Series 38 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .692) is: Lower 1891< -.026 1974< -.019 1986< -.011 1977> -.010 1988< -.008 1936< -.008 Higher 1992 .047 1940 .021 =================================================================================================================================== OMA0624A 1897 to 1993 97 years Series 39 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .619) is: Lower 1986< -.031 1931> -.019 1902> -.016 1919> -.013 1905< -.008 1926> -.008 Higher 1917 .018 1924 .011 [E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1902 +3.0 SD; 1981 +3.3 SD =================================================================================================================================== OMA0624B 1898 to 1993 96 years Series 40 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .720) is: Lower 1916< -.026 1972< -.011 1931> -.011 1937< -.007 1985> -.007 1936> -.007 Higher 1992 .064 1917 .012 =================================================================================================================================== OMA0625A 1709 to 1993 285 years Series 41 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .637) is: Lower 1774> -.006 1755< -.006 1846< -.006 1742> -.006 1867> -.005 1783< -.004 Higher 1992 .020 1740 .008 [E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1742 +3.1 SD; 1940 -4.7 SD =================================================================================================================================== OMA0625B 1704 to 1993 290 years Series 42 [*] Early part of series cannot be checked from 1704 to 1708 -- not matched by another series [A] Segment High -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 +0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8 +9 +10 --------- ---- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 1850 1899 0 .05 .01 .16 -.01 -.03 .15 .01 -.05 .02 -.10 .31*-.16 -.03 -.13 -.03 -.01 .12 -.14 .06 -.04 -.19 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .607) is: Lower 1835< -.013 1844> -.008 1755> -.007 1878> -.007 1867> -.007 1798> -.006 Higher 1992 .015 1771 .015 1850 to 1899 segment: Lower 1878> -.044 1867> -.043 1880< -.033 1888< -.029 1885> -.024 1881> -.021 Higher 1853 .061 1875 .035 [E] Outliers 7 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1755 +3.3 SD; 1798 +3.4 SD; 1835 -4.9 SD; 1844 +4.3 SD; 1867 +3.1 SD; 1878 +3.3 SD; 1902 +3.2 SD =================================================================================================================================== OMA0626B 1896 to 1993 98 years Series 43 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .725) is: Lower 1906> -.013 1974< -.013 1980> -.011 1942> -.009 1927< -.009 1975> -.009 Higher 1992 .061 1957 .011 =================================================================================================================================== OMA0628A 1883 to 1993 111 years Series 44 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .593) is: Lower 1883< -.032 1971> -.012 1928< -.011 1889> -.009 1978> -.009 1981< -.008 Higher 1940 .026 1967 .015 =================================================================================================================================== OMA0629A 1869 to 1993 125 years Series 45 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .569) is: Lower 1944> -.024 1961> -.016 1992> -.015 1879< -.014 1909< -.011 1960> -.010 Higher 1940 .024 1889 .014 [E] Outliers 4 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1940 -5.6 SD; 1944 +3.9 SD; 1961 +4.0 SD; 1962 +3.9 SD =================================================================================================================================== PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: 11:53 Wed 03 Feb 2004 Page 6 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 1 OMA0601A 1879 1993 115 4 0 .705 .96 2.98 .639 .916 .201 2.62 .436 -.010 2 2 OMA0601B 1877 1993 117 4 0 .618 .97 3.02 .736 .938 .191 2.56 .455 -.061 3 3 OMA0603A 1880 1993 114 4 0 .637 1.13 2.55 .496 .794 .223 2.77 .390 .023 1 4 OMA0603B 1878 1993 116 4 0 .652 1.12 2.47 .491 .761 .239 2.61 .408 -.053 1 5 OMA0604A 1865 1993 129 5 0 .659 .70 2.25 .448 .883 .212 2.63 .392 -.012 1 6 OMA0604B 1874 1993 120 5 0 .594 .78 2.44 .458 .878 .200 2.84 .481 -.028 1 7 OMA0605A 1887 1993 107 4 0 .650 .89 2.66 .425 .748 .221 2.82 .468 -.051 1 8 OMA0605B 1878 1993 116 4 0 .627 .79 2.22 .439 .827 .233 2.64 .494 .034 2 9 OMA0607A 1855 1993 139 5 0 .566 .66 2.19 .425 .688 .315 2.61 .410 .011 1 10 OMA0607B 1863 1993 131 5 2 .554 .67 3.00 .491 .788 .317 2.60 .448 -.033 1 11 OMA0608A 1859 1993 135 5 0 .640 .78 1.85 .291 .735 .208 2.68 .420 -.050 2 12 OMA0608B 1862 1993 132 5 0 .703 .75 1.46 .234 .707 .184 2.63 .488 -.016 1 13 OMA0609A 1873 1993 121 5 0 .672 1.01 4.44 .873 .890 .303 2.65 .431 -.083 1 14 OMA0609B 1887 1993 107 4 0 .590 .82 3.28 .539 .792 .293 2.86 .544 -.050 1 15 OMA0610A 1879 1993 115 4 0 .633 .71 3.15 .608 .917 .213 2.79 .531 .004 1 16 OMA0610B 1871 1993 123 5 0 .654 .65 2.34 .482 .936 .191 2.77 .466 -.019 1 17 OMA0611A 1864 1993 130 5 0 .622 1.00 2.50 .470 .725 .267 2.51 .401 -.001 5 18 OMA0611B 1880 1993 114 4 0 .597 1.18 2.52 .397 .673 .226 2.63 .521 -.017 1 19 OMA0612B 1907 1993 87 3 1 .518 1.28 3.43 .636 .714 .252 2.65 .454 -.116 1 20 OMA0613A 1879 1993 115 4 0 .568 .81 2.19 .436 .816 .298 2.73 .503 -.058 1 21 OMA0613B 1894 1993 100 4 0 .462 .79 2.40 .452 .844 .258 2.71 .425 -.078 2 22 OMA0614A 1891 1993 103 4 0 .534 1.05 3.00 .800 .923 .205 2.93 .568 -.039 2 23 OMA0614B 1895 1993 99 4 0 .543 1.10 3.27 .853 .922 .208 2.66 .338 -.106 1 24 OMA0615B 1825 1993 169 6 1 .485 .84 3.38 .667 .924 .187 2.74 .426 -.010 1 25 OMA0616A 1872 1993 122 5 0 .608 1.11 2.67 .503 .783 .240 2.51 .391 -.069 1 26 OMA0616B 1871 1993 123 5 0 .692 1.06 3.08 .564 .844 .244 2.75 .478 -.064 3 27 OMA0617A 1895 1993 99 4 0 .567 1.10 2.37 .467 .728 .243 2.59 .486 -.013 1 28 OMA0617B 1903 1993 91 3 0 .585 1.10 2.79 .495 .778 .238 2.88 .492 -.050 1 29 OMA0619A 1877 1993 117 4 0 .650 .90 2.13 .475 .818 .253 2.54 .411 .008 1 30 OMA0619B 1891 1993 103 4 0 .680 .81 2.14 .464 .853 .237 2.73 .588 .007 1 31 OMA0620A 1872 1993 122 5 0 .582 .68 3.41 .439 .799 .220 2.93 .553 -.023 1 32 OMA0620B 1872 1993 122 5 0 .565 .67 1.95 .403 .888 .200 2.70 .486 .033 1 33 OMA0621A 1874 1993 120 5 0 .632 .81 2.53 .569 .841 .276 2.80 .392 -.031 1 34 OMA0621B 1871 1993 123 5 0 .708 1.00 2.56 .632 .828 .272 2.54 .387 .011 1 35 OMA0622A 1881 1993 113 4 0 .754 .85 3.23 .524 .788 .275 2.69 .457 .032 2 36 OMA0622B 1880 1993 114 4 0 .645 .81 2.76 .549 .878 .287 2.62 .602 -.015 1 37 OMA0623A 1899 1993 95 4 0 .688 .96 1.86 .296 .477 .237 2.58 .418 .000 1 38 OMA0623B 1886 1993 108 4 0 .692 .95 2.52 .370 .483 .262 2.66 .511 -.085 1 39 OMA0624A 1897 1993 97 4 0 .619 1.26 2.39 .413 .508 .267 2.74 .467 -.051 1 40 OMA0624B 1898 1993 96 4 0 .720 1.15 2.56 .533 .749 .235 2.67 .444 -.036 1 41 OMA0625A 1709 1993 285 11 0 .637 .34 .72 .120 .618 .240 2.58 .345 -.024 1 42 OMA0625B 1704 1993 290 11 1 .607 .38 1.13 .215 .829 .261 2.66 .403 .026 1 43 OMA0626B 1896 1993 98 4 0 .725 .78 2.27 .412 .728 .303 2.67 .450 -.001 1 44 OMA0628A 1883 1993 111 4 0 .593 .79 2.87 .590 .922 .231 2.69 .410 -.029 1 45 OMA0629A 1869 1993 125 5 0 .569 1.09 2.80 .536 .782 .252 2.58 .354 -.061 1 --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- Total or mean: 5528 210 5 .622 .85 4.44 .476 .792 .243 2.93 .447 -.025 - = [ COFECHA JUOK1COF ] = -