[] Dendrochronology Program Library Run HUVI2 Program COF 13:11 Wed 07 Jan 2004 Page 1 [] [] P R O G R A M C O F E C H A Version 6.06P 25210 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ QUALITY CONTROL AND DATING CHECK OF TREE-RING MEASUREMENTS File of DATED series: huvil.tu_ CONTENTS: Part 1: Title page, options selected, summary, absent rings by series Part 2: Histogram of time spans Part 3: Master series with sample depth and absent rings by year Part 4: Bar plot of Master Dating Series Part 5: Correlation by segment of each series with Master Part 6: Potential problems: low correlation, divergent year-to-year changes, absent rings, outliers Part 7: Descriptive statistics RUN CONTROL OPTIONS SELECTED VALUE 1 Cubic smoothing spline 50% wavelength cutoff for filtering 32 years 2 Segments examined are 50 years lagged successively by 25 years 3 Autoregressive model applied A Residuals are used in master dating series and testing 4 Series transformed to logarithms Y Each series log-transformed for master dating series and testing 5 CORRELATION is Pearson (parametric, quantitative) Critical correlation, 99% confidence level .3281 6 Master dating series saved C 7 Ring measurements listed N 8 Parts printed 1234567 9 Absent rings are omitted from master series and segment correlations (Y) Time span of Master dating series is 1786 to 1993 208 years Continuous time span is 1786 to 1993 208 years Portion with two or more series is 1786 to 1993 208 years **************************************** *C* Number of dated series 36 *C* *O* Master series 1786 1993 208 yrs *O* *F* Total rings in all series 4840 *F* *E* Total dated rings checked 4840 *E* *C* Series intercorrelation .597 *C* *H* Average mean sensitivity .264 *H* *A* Segments, possible problems 9 *A* *** Mean length of series 134.4 *** **************************************** ABSENT RINGS listed by SERIES: (See Master Dating Series for absent rings listed by year) No ring measurements of zero value PART 2: TIME PLOT OF TREE-RING SERIES: 13:11 Wed 07 Jan 2004 Page 2 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1050 1100 1150 1200 1250 1300 1350 1400 1450 1500 1550 1600 1650 1700 1750 1800 1850 1900 1950 2000 2050 Ident Seq Time-span Yrs : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : -------- --- ---- ---- ---- . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <==============>. . OMA0021A 1 1843 1993 151 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <==============>. . OMA0021B 2 1844 1993 150 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===============>. . OMA0022A 3 1833 1993 161 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <==============>. . OMA0022B 4 1843 1993 151 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <==========>. . OMA0023A 5 1882 1993 112 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=============>. . OMA0023B 6 1856 1993 138 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=============>. . OMA0024A 7 1854 1993 140 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=============>. . OMA0024B 8 1854 1993 140 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=============>. . OMA0025A 9 1855 1993 139 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===========>. . OMA0025B 10 1875 1993 119 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=========>. . OMA0026A 11 1899 1993 95 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=========>. . OMA0026B 12 1899 1993 95 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<============>. . OMA0027A 13 1861 1993 133 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <==========>. . OMA0027B 14 1885 1993 109 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<============>. . OMA0028A 15 1869 1993 125 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===========>. . OMA0028B 16 1875 1993 119 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===========>. . OMA0029A 17 1872 1993 122 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<============>. . OMA0029B 18 1866 1993 128 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <==========>. . OMA0030A 19 1883 1993 111 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===========>. . OMA0030B 20 1879 1993 115 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<============>. . OMA0031A 21 1862 1993 132 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<============>. . OMA0031B 22 1864 1993 130 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<============>. . OMA0032A 23 1864 1993 130 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===========>. . OMA0032B 24 1874 1993 120 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <====================>. . OMA0033A 25 1786 1993 208 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <====================>. . OMA0033B 26 1786 1993 208 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <==============>. . OMA0034A 27 1842 1993 152 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <==============>. . OMA0034B 28 1840 1993 154 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=========>. . OMA0035A 29 1892 1993 102 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=========>. . OMA0035B 30 1893 1993 101 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=============>. . OMA0038A 31 1850 1993 144 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=============>. . OMA0038B 32 1850 1993 144 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<============>. . OMA0039A 33 1861 1993 133 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<============>. . OMA0039B 34 1861 1993 133 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <==============>. . OMA0040A 35 1847 1993 147 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <==============>. . OMA0040B 36 1845 1993 149 : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : 1050 1100 1150 1200 1250 1300 1350 1400 1450 1500 1550 1600 1650 1700 1750 1800 1850 1900 1950 2000 2050 PART 3: Master Dating Series: 13:11 Wed 07 Jan 2004 Page 3 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ 1800 .904 2 1850 -.080 12 1900 -1.574 36 1950 .774 36 1801 .612 2 1851 1.515 12 1901 -1.288 36 1951 .447 36 1802 2.311 2 1852 -.449 12 1902 -.552 36 1952 .759 36 1803 .015 2 1853 -1.236 12 1903 .284 36 1953 1.306 36 1804 .582 2 1854 -.147 14 1904 .245 36 1954 .594 36 1805 1.515 2 1855 -.703 15 1905 -.739 36 1955 -.356 36 1806 .260 2 1856 .277 16 1906 -1.411 36 1956 -1.041 36 1807 .484 2 1857 -.256 16 1907 -.296 36 1957 1.333 36 1808 -1.053 2 1858 -.210 16 1908 -.352 36 1958 1.015 36 1809 -1.750 2 1859 -.897 16 1909 -.267 36 1959 -1.249 36 1810 -2.978 2 1860 .376 16 1910 -.628 36 1960 .352 36 1811 -.389 2 1861 .034 19 1911 .344 36 1961 .133 36 1812 .421 2 1862 .864 20 1912 1.385 36 1962 .289 36 1813 .601 2 1863 -.093 20 1913 1.163 36 1963 -2.188 36 1814 .225 2 1864 .070 22 1914 .294 36 1964 -.945 36 1815 -2.479 2 1865 1.275 22 1915 .932 36 1965 -.779 36 1816 -1.118 2 1866 1.283 23 1916 .619 36 1966 -.487 36 1817 -.458 2 1867 -.342 23 1917 -.765 36 1967 1.243 36 1818 1.082 2 1868 -.504 23 1918 -.908 36 1968 1.038 36 1819 1.566 2 1869 -.265 24 1919 -1.479 36 1969 -1.066 36 1820 1.502 2 1870 .303 24 1920 .050 36 1970 -.628 36 1821 .812 2 1871 .077 24 1921 .759 36 1971 .354 36 1822 -.405 2 1872 -.211 25 1922 1.054 36 1972 .288 36 1823 1.930 2 1873 .817 25 1923 .950 36 1973 .325 36 1824 -.261 2 1874 -.132 26 1924 1.605 36 1974 1.346 36 1825 -.896 2 1875 -1.753 28 1925 .883 36 1975 .438 36 1826 -.809 2 1876 -1.111 28 1926 -.500 36 1976 .355 36 1827 -1.593 2 1877 -.008 28 1927 .553 36 1977 -.841 36 1828 -2.611 2 1878 -.221 28 1928 -.801 36 1978 -2.013 36 1829 -.713 2 1879 -.402 29 1929 -.733 36 1979 -.427 36 1830 .025 2 1880 -.048 29 1930 -.799 36 1980 -1.140 36 1831 -.720 2 1881 -.243 29 1931 -.192 36 1981 .340 36 1832 .720 2 1882 -.141 30 1932 .955 36 1982 1.148 36 1833 .973 3 1883 -.060 31 1933 -.603 36 1983 .632 36 1834 1.421 3 1884 -.018 31 1934 1.225 36 1984 -.681 36 1835 .175 3 1885 .329 32 1935 .237 36 1985 .132 36 1786 1.120 2 1836 .802 3 1886 1.069 32 1936 .378 36 1986 -.162 36 1787 1.196 2 1837 .832 3 1887 .247 32 1937 .661 36 1987 1.378 36 1788 .690 2 1838 .468 3 1888 .735 32 1938 .908 36 1988 1.684 36 1789 -1.180 2 1839 -2.058 3 1889 -.746 32 1939 -.772 36 1989 .750 36 1790 -.810 2 1840 -.074 4 1890 1.189 32 1940 -3.119 36 1990 .172 36 1791 -2.036 2 1841 .165 4 1891 1.285 32 1941 -1.020 36 1991 .380 36 1792 -2.628 2 1842 -.704 5 1892 1.534 33 1942 -2.345 36 1992 -2.028 36 1793 -.784 2 1843 -.267 7 1893 .506 34 1943 -.238 36 1993 -.557 36 1794 1.053 2 1844 1.144 8 1894 1.120 34 1944 -.125 36 1795 1.287 2 1845 -1.184 9 1895 .674 34 1945 .510 36 1796 -.155 2 1846 .463 9 1896 -.280 34 1946 1.178 36 1797 .591 2 1847 .498 10 1897 -.292 34 1947 -.071 36 1798 -1.014 2 1848 .149 10 1898 -1.568 34 1948 -.045 36 1799 1.775 2 1849 .045 10 1899 -1.013 36 1949 .600 36 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ PART 4: Master Bar Plot: 13:11 Wed 07 Jan 2004 Page 4 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value 1800--------D 1850----@ 1900f 1950--------C 1801-------B 1851----------F 1901-e 1951-------B 1802----------I 1852---b 1902---b 1952--------C 1803-----@ 1853-e 1903------A 1953---------E 1804-------B 1854----a 1904------A 1954-------B 1805----------F 1855--c 1905--c 1955---a 1806------A 1856------A 1906-f 1956-d 1807-------B 1857----a 1907---a 1957----------E 1808-d 1858----a 1908---a 1958---------D 1809g 1859-d 1909----a 1959-e 1810l 1860------B 1910--c 1960------A 1811---b 1861-----@ 1911------A 1961-----A 1812------B 1862--------C 1912----------F 1962------A 1813-------B 1863----@ 1913---------E 1963i 1814------A 1864-----@ 1914------A 1964-d 1815j 1865---------E 1915--------D 1965--c 1816-d 1866---------E 1916-------B 1966---b 1817---b 1867---a 1917--c 1967---------E 1818---------D 1868---b 1918-d 1968---------D 1819----------F 1869----a 1919-f 1969-d 1820----------F 1870------A 1920-----@ 1970--c 1821--------C 1871-----@ 1921--------C 1971------A 1822---b 1872----a 1922---------D 1972------A 1823----------H 1873--------C 1923--------D 1973------A 1824----a 1874----a 1924----------F 1974----------E 1825-d 1875g 1925--------D 1975------B 1826--c 1876-d 1926---b 1976------A 1827f 1877-----@ 1927-------B 1977--c 1828j 1878----a 1928--c 1978h 1829--c 1879---b 1929--c 1979---b 1830-----@ 1880----@ 1930--c 1980-e 1831--c 1881----a 1931----a 1981------A 1832--------C 1882----a 1932--------D 1982---------E 1833--------D 1883----@ 1933--b 1983-------C 1834----------F 1884-----@ 1934---------E 1984--c 1835-----A 1885------A 1935------A 1985-----A 1786---------D 1836--------C 1886---------D 1936------B 1986----a 1787---------E 1837--------C 1887------A 1937-------C 1987----------F 1788--------C 1838-------B 1888--------C 1938--------D 1988----------G 1789-e 1839h 1889--c 1939--c 1989--------C 1790--c 1840----@ 1890---------E 1940l 1990-----A 1791h 1841-----A 1891---------E 1941-d 1991------B 1792k 1842--c 1892----------F 1942i 1992h 1793--c 1843----a 1893-------B 1943----a 1993---b 1794---------D 1844---------E 1894---------D 1944----a 1795---------E 1845-e 1895-------C 1945-------B 1796----a 1846-------B 1896---a 1946---------E 1797-------B 1847-------B 1897---a 1947----@ 1798-d 1848-----A 1898f 1948----@ 1799----------G 1849-----@ 1899-d 1949-------B PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: 13:11 Wed 07 Jan 2004 Page 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1775 1800 1825 1850 1875 1900 1925 1950 1824 1849 1874 1899 1924 1949 1974 1999 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 OMA0021A 1843 1993 .27A .36 .48 .71 .61 .55 2 OMA0021B 1844 1993 .36 .41 .52 .66 .60 .56 3 OMA0022A 1833 1993 .37 .44 .66 .75 .57 .34 4 OMA0022B 1843 1993 .41 .40 .62 .77 .70 .55 5 OMA0023A 1882 1993 .49 .56 .54 .34 6 OMA0023B 1856 1993 .15B .37B .55 .61 .47 7 OMA0024A 1854 1993 .39 .50 .71 .70 .57 8 OMA0024B 1854 1993 .19B .39 .73 .73 .57 9 OMA0025A 1855 1993 .23A .48 .70 .65 .25A 10 OMA0025B 1875 1993 .34B .68 .56 .39 11 OMA0026A 1899 1993 .59 .57 .68 .67 12 OMA0026B 1899 1993 .62 .63 .70 .60 13 OMA0027A 1861 1993 .28A .32B .66 .78 .66 14 OMA0027B 1885 1993 .59 .74 .61 .44 15 OMA0028A 1869 1993 .60 .70 .72 .58 .53 16 OMA0028B 1875 1993 .52 .75 .78 .67 17 OMA0029A 1872 1993 .79 .80 .68 .67 .73 18 OMA0029B 1866 1993 .55 .67 .61 .67 .76 19 OMA0030A 1883 1993 .73 .67 .66 .70 20 OMA0030B 1879 1993 .63 .59 .73 .71 21 OMA0031A 1862 1993 .34 .70 .52 .53 .72 22 OMA0031B 1864 1993 .63 .69 .65 .63 .69 23 OMA0032A 1864 1993 .47 .49 .66 .70 .59 24 OMA0032B 1874 1993 .43 .49 .68 .69 .57 25 OMA0033A 1786 1993 .74 .65 .66 .77 .75 .59 .64 .72 26 OMA0033B 1786 1993 .75 .62 .56 .67 .74 .52 .60 .81 27 OMA0034A 1842 1993 .35 .35 .39 .50 .69 .77 28 OMA0034B 1840 1993 .73 .77 .73 .60 .68 .80 29 OMA0035A 1892 1993 .58 .63 .79 .80 30 OMA0035B 1893 1993 .67 .64 .76 .77 31 OMA0038A 1850 1993 .66 .71 .54 .53 .66 32 OMA0038B 1850 1993 .67 .62 .55 .61 .75 33 OMA0039A 1861 1993 .69 .71 .63 .68 .73 34 OMA0039B 1861 1993 .53 .62 .67 .73 .77 35 OMA0040A 1847 1993 .58 .55 .59 .60 .62 .59 36 OMA0040B 1845 1993 .51 .48 .61 .65 .59 .62 Av segment correlation .75 .64 .48 .49 .59 .64 .66 .62 PART 6: POTENTIAL PROBLEMS: 13:11 Wed 07 Jan 2004 Page 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ For each series with potential problems the following diagnostics may appear: [A] Correlations with master dating series of flagged 50-year segments of series filtered with 32-year spline, at every point from ten years earlier (-10) to ten years later (+10) than dated [B] Effect of those data values which most lower or raise correlation with master series Symbol following year indicates value in series is greater (>) or lesser (<) than master series value [C] Year-to-year changes very different from the mean change in other series [D] Absent rings (zero values) [E] Values which are statistical outliers from mean for the year =================================================================================================================================== OMA0021A 1843 to 1993 151 years Series 1 [A] Segment High -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 +0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8 +9 +10 --------- ---- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 1843 1892 0 .14 .06 -.05 -.06 -.05 .05 .10 .19 -.06 -.16 .27*-.09 -.07 -.05 .17 .12 -.18 .05 -.07 .10 -.12 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .511) is: Lower 1969> -.027 1848< -.023 1891< -.018 1959> -.017 1934< -.014 1845> -.012 Higher 1940 .068 1963 .030 1843 to 1892 segment: Lower 1891< -.047 1848< -.037 1845> -.035 1873< -.013 1886< -.012 1883> -.011 Higher 1865 .037 1889 .035 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1870 +3.1 SD =================================================================================================================================== OMA0021B 1844 to 1993 150 years Series 2 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .534) is: Lower 1959> -.019 1848< -.014 1962< -.013 1892< -.010 1918> -.010 1845> -.008 Higher 1940 .069 1978 .016 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1870 +3.2 SD =================================================================================================================================== OMA0022A 1833 to 1993 161 years Series 3 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .529) is: Lower 1963> -.018 1992> -.015 1955> -.013 1841< -.011 1857> -.010 1939> -.008 Higher 1940 .072 1942 .015 [E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1857 +3.1 SD; 1940 -6.3 SD =================================================================================================================================== OMA0022B 1843 to 1993 151 years Series 4 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .587) is: Lower 1959> -.014 1868> -.012 1992> -.011 1862< -.009 1898> -.008 1958< -.007 Higher 1940 .056 1963 .032 =================================================================================================================================== OMA0023A 1882 to 1993 112 years Series 5 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .453) is: Lower 1987< -.039 1962< -.027 1937< -.025 1925< -.016 1946< -.013 1992> -.009 Higher 1940 .050 1963 .021 [E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1908 +3.5 SD; 1987 -4.6 SD =================================================================================================================================== OMA0023B 1856 to 1993 138 years Series 6 [A] Segment High -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 +0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8 +9 +10 --------- ---- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 1856 1905 -1 -.17 -.17 .02 .10 -.20 .06 .03 .14 .15 .51* .15|-.03 -.11 .15 .25 .07 -.08 .26 -.09 -.12 -.38 1875 1924 -1 -.16 -.20 .03 -.25 -.29 .01 .16 .08 .17 .46* .37| .21 -.01 .11 .05 .14 -.18 .14 -.01 -.05 -.27 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .422) is: Lower 1860< -.023 1939> -.019 1870< -.017 1969> -.009 1982< -.008 1889> -.008 Higher 1940 .044 1963 .023 1856 to 1905 segment: Lower 1860< -.065 1870< -.045 1867> -.024 1889> -.023 1874> -.022 1903< -.021 Higher 1901 .049 1873 .029 1875 to 1924 segment: Lower 1903< -.027 1889> -.026 1875> -.020 1886< -.014 1906> -.013 1917> -.009 Higher 1924 .025 1901 .020 =================================================================================================================================== OMA0024A 1854 to 1993 140 years Series 7 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .563) is: Lower 1867< -.036 1978> -.013 1939> -.012 1889> -.012 1875> -.008 1970< -.008 Higher 1940 .058 1992 .022 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1867 -6.3 SD =================================================================================================================================== OMA0024B 1854 to 1993 140 years Series 8 [A] Segment High -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 +0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8 +9 +10 --------- ---- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 1854 1903 -2 -.08 .09 -.05 -.12 .05 .07 -.04 -.08 .46* .24 .19| .05 .14 .00 -.15 .02 .08 -.01 -.21 -.13 -.01 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .549) is: Lower 1982< -.034 1875> -.031 1960< -.022 1863> -.011 1869< -.011 1946< -.009 Higher 1940 .060 1963 .023 1854 to 1903 segment: Lower 1875> -.103 1863> -.034 1872> -.020 1903< -.019 1879> -.019 1855> -.017 Higher 1892 .047 1862 .029 [E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1863 +3.0 SD; 1875 +3.9 SD =================================================================================================================================== OMA0025A 1855 to 1993 139 years Series 9 [A] Segment High -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 +0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8 +9 +10 --------- ---- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 1855 1904 0 -.28 .18 .12 .02 .08 .19 .09 .05 .15 -.17 .23* .12 .08 -.18 -.33 -.09 .11 -.11 -.11 -.04 .02 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 1944 1993 0 -.13 -.22 .01 .15 .13 -.01 -.04 .10 -.03 .14 .25* - - - - - - - - - - [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .426) is: Lower 1976< -.045 1959> -.016 1978> -.016 1866< -.014 1861< -.013 1900> -.012 Higher 1940 .077 1942 .019 1855 to 1904 segment: Lower 1866< -.050 1900> -.039 1868> -.033 1855> -.028 1861< -.027 1875> -.023 Higher 1898 .068 1865 .046 1944 to 1993 segment: Lower 1976< -.091 1978> -.033 1959> -.032 1983< -.024 1947> -.018 1985< -.015 Higher 1992 .041 1982 .027 =================================================================================================================================== OMA0025B 1875 to 1993 119 years Series 10 [A] Segment High -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 +0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8 +9 +10 --------- ---- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 1875 1924 -8 .02 .18 .38* .10 .09 .14 .26 -.08 -.20 -.05 .34| .30 .14 .05 -.03 -.05 -.28 -.23 -.20 .00 -.05 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .502) is: Lower 1875> -.029 1959> -.020 1900> -.017 1963> -.013 1962< -.013 1939> -.012 Higher 1940 .099 1942 .020 1875 to 1924 segment: Lower 1875> -.091 1900> -.052 1896> -.023 1888< -.019 1904< -.017 1918> -.008 Higher 1890 .037 1917 .030 [E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1875 +3.4 SD; 1900 +3.0 SD =================================================================================================================================== OMA0026A 1899 to 1993 95 years Series 11 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .631) is: Lower 1915< -.028 1921< -.016 1905> -.015 1933> -.015 1961< -.013 1949< -.011 Higher 1940 .079 1963 .035 =================================================================================================================================== OMA0026B 1899 to 1993 95 years Series 12 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .598) is: Lower 1915< -.027 1905> -.019 1975< -.018 1902< -.011 1980> -.010 1974< -.010 Higher 1940 .054 1963 .042 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1905 +3.2 SD =================================================================================================================================== OMA0027A 1861 to 1993 133 years Series 13 [A] Segment High -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 +0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8 +9 +10 --------- ---- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 1861 1910 0 -.19 .02 -.11 -.05 .02 .24 .16 .04 -.09 .15 .28* .10 .20 .26 -.08 .13 -.12 .03 .00 -.07 -.17 1875 1924 1 -.14 -.03 -.03 .10 -.15 .13 -.01 .04 -.14 .09 .32| .42* .20 .20 .01 -.06 -.17 -.08 -.13 .17 -.09 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .568) is: Lower 1873< -.025 1924< -.016 1875> -.016 1922< -.016 1889> -.011 1916< -.010 Higher 1940 .069 1963 .018 1861 to 1910 segment: Lower 1873< -.080 1875> -.046 1889> -.035 1868> -.023 1887> -.020 1864< -.018 Higher 1865 .048 1898 .036 1875 to 1924 segment: Lower 1924< -.048 1875> -.048 1922< -.047 1889> -.037 1887> -.027 1916< -.026 Higher 1912 .041 1898 .035 =================================================================================================================================== OMA0027B 1885 to 1993 109 years Series 14 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .566) is: Lower 1969> -.025 1980< -.019 1960< -.015 1889> -.014 1968< -.013 1955> -.013 Higher 1940 .043 1963 .037 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1980 -5.8 SD =================================================================================================================================== OMA0028A 1869 to 1993 125 years Series 15 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .594) is: Lower 1964< -.030 1974< -.019 1977> -.013 1956> -.013 1980> -.011 1869> -.008 Higher 1963 .022 1959 .014 [C] Year-to-year changes diverging by over 4.0 std deviations: 1963 1964 -4.4 SD 1964 1965 4.3 SD [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1964 -7.2 SD =================================================================================================================================== OMA0028B 1875 to 1993 119 years Series 16 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .665) is: Lower 1876> -.019 1977> -.017 1881< -.015 1941< -.013 1981< -.012 1988< -.010 Higher 1940 .030 1992 .024 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1876 +4.1 SD =================================================================================================================================== OMA0029A 1872 to 1993 122 years Series 17 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .705) is: Lower 1940> -.041 1933< -.014 1986< -.009 1950< -.006 1989< -.006 1885< -.006 Higher 1992 .016 1969 .011 =================================================================================================================================== OMA0029B 1866 to 1993 128 years Series 18 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .651) is: Lower 1940> -.027 1877< -.019 1867> -.017 1955< -.012 1906> -.009 1873< -.006 Higher 1963 .026 1992 .020 =================================================================================================================================== OMA0030A 1883 to 1993 111 years Series 19 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .699) is: Lower 1970< -.014 1928> -.012 1949< -.009 1883< -.009 1948> -.008 1954< -.006 Higher 1898 .007 1957 .007 =================================================================================================================================== OMA0030B 1879 to 1993 115 years Series 20 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .669) is: Lower 1947< -.029 1975< -.023 1940> -.020 1992> -.015 1918> -.011 1881> -.007 Higher 1963 .030 1959 .016 =================================================================================================================================== OMA0031A 1862 to 1993 132 years Series 21 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .526) is: Lower 1871< -.073 1940> -.027 1935< -.024 1898> -.012 1947> -.010 1865< -.010 Higher 1969 .018 1992 .017 [C] Year-to-year changes diverging by over 4.0 std deviations: 1870 1871 -4.5 SD 1871 1872 4.8 SD [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1871 -7.8 SD =================================================================================================================================== OMA0031B 1864 to 1993 130 years Series 22 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .662) is: Lower 1940> -.024 1989< -.016 1947> -.011 1867> -.008 1868< -.008 1885< -.007 Higher 1992 .023 1875 .010 =================================================================================================================================== OMA0032A 1864 to 1993 130 years Series 23 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .583) is: Lower 1985< -.017 1925< -.017 1898> -.014 1939> -.013 1918> -.013 1955> -.012 Higher 1940 .076 1942 .017 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1918 +3.3 SD =================================================================================================================================== OMA0032B 1874 to 1993 120 years Series 24 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .584) is: Lower 1925< -.022 1874> -.013 1914< -.013 1898> -.012 1992> -.009 1956< -.009 Higher 1940 .046 1942 .016 =================================================================================================================================== OMA0033A 1786 to 1993 208 years Series 25 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .674) is: Lower 1939< -.019 1806< -.009 1846< -.008 1975< -.008 1927< -.006 1808> -.006 Higher 1992 .007 1969 .006 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1876 -5.1 SD =================================================================================================================================== OMA0033B 1786 to 1993 208 years Series 26 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .655) is: Lower 1940> -.020 1846< -.010 1806> -.010 1847< -.006 1927< -.006 1842> -.006 Higher 1992 .010 1963 .009 [C] Year-to-year changes diverging by over 4.0 std deviations: 1939 1940 4.2 SD =================================================================================================================================== OMA0034A 1842 to 1993 152 years Series 27 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .527) is: Lower 1874< -.072 1940> -.016 1875> -.015 1923< -.014 1922< -.012 1928> -.008 Higher 1959 .019 1969 .012 [C] Year-to-year changes diverging by over 4.0 std deviations: 1873 1874 -4.7 SD 1874 1875 6.5 SD [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1874 -9.2 SD =================================================================================================================================== OMA0034B 1840 to 1993 154 years Series 28 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .716) is: Lower 1940> -.024 1917> -.010 1840< -.005 1947< -.005 1959> -.005 1867> -.004 Higher 1992 .017 1963 .010 =================================================================================================================================== OMA0035A 1892 to 1993 102 years Series 29 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .715) is: Lower 1900> -.011 1913< -.011 1907< -.010 1912< -.010 1910> -.008 1923< -.008 Higher 1963 .022 1992 .018 =================================================================================================================================== OMA0035B 1893 to 1993 101 years Series 30 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .718) is: Lower 1906< -.020 1901> -.009 1983< -.009 1905> -.009 1970< -.007 1953< -.007 Higher 1992 .021 1942 .012 =================================================================================================================================== OMA0038A 1850 to 1993 144 years Series 31 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .635) is: Lower 1940> -.039 1963> -.034 1947< -.021 1876> -.008 1956> -.006 1917> -.006 Higher 1959 .016 1875 .011 [E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1947 -4.7 SD; 1963 +3.4 SD =================================================================================================================================== OMA0038B 1850 to 1993 144 years Series 32 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .656) is: Lower 1963> -.015 1940> -.014 1917> -.014 1881> -.010 1942> -.010 1970< -.009 Higher 1992 .023 1969 .012 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1875 -4.8 SD =================================================================================================================================== OMA0039A 1861 to 1993 133 years Series 33 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .673) is: Lower 1940> -.024 1975< -.013 1968< -.013 1986< -.008 1869> -.005 1933> -.005 Higher 1992 .022 1959 .014 =================================================================================================================================== OMA0039B 1861 to 1993 133 years Series 34 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .653) is: Lower 1940> -.030 1988< -.014 1870< -.008 1871> -.007 1877< -.007 1885< -.007 Higher 1992 .018 1959 .014 =================================================================================================================================== OMA0040A 1847 to 1993 147 years Series 35 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .561) is: Lower 1978> -.014 1974< -.013 1889< -.010 1904< -.008 1939> -.007 1887< -.007 Higher 1963 .033 1875 .015 =================================================================================================================================== OMA0040B 1845 to 1993 149 years Series 36 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .578) is: Lower 1871< -.029 1887< -.016 1974< -.013 1859> -.010 1959> -.009 1978> -.009 Higher 1940 .021 1992 .015 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1871 -4.5 SD =================================================================================================================================== PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: 13:11 Wed 07 Jan 2004 Page 6 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 1 OMA0021A 1843 1993 151 6 1 .511 .73 1.55 .274 .690 .225 2.60 .396 -.005 1 2 OMA0021B 1844 1993 150 6 0 .534 .72 2.86 .396 .842 .218 2.65 .371 .025 1 3 OMA0022A 1833 1993 161 6 0 .529 .65 1.41 .350 .864 .230 2.36 .270 -.064 1 4 OMA0022B 1843 1993 151 6 0 .587 .71 1.90 .424 .853 .234 2.51 .398 -.046 1 5 OMA0023A 1882 1993 112 4 0 .453 1.02 3.10 .615 .813 .257 2.70 .645 .026 3 6 OMA0023B 1856 1993 138 5 2 .422 .85 2.26 .464 .809 .252 2.88 .593 -.050 2 7 OMA0024A 1854 1993 140 5 0 .563 .97 2.22 .530 .894 .205 2.54 .370 -.052 1 8 OMA0024B 1854 1993 140 5 1 .549 .91 2.53 .535 .907 .186 2.59 .458 -.012 1 9 OMA0025A 1855 1993 139 5 2 .426 .71 1.97 .439 .871 .245 2.61 .406 -.080 2 10 OMA0025B 1875 1993 119 4 1 .502 .93 2.36 .557 .888 .216 2.53 .331 -.017 1 11 OMA0026A 1899 1993 95 4 0 .631 1.60 4.32 .836 .798 .206 2.47 .386 -.031 1 12 OMA0026B 1899 1993 95 4 0 .598 1.55 3.85 .908 .888 .217 2.68 .386 -.038 1 13 OMA0027A 1861 1993 133 5 2 .568 .76 2.58 .502 .865 .252 2.65 .391 -.033 1 14 OMA0027B 1885 1993 109 4 0 .566 .95 2.73 .551 .825 .215 2.79 .433 .056 2 15 OMA0028A 1869 1993 125 5 0 .594 1.03 2.72 .508 .835 .233 2.43 .352 -.023 1 16 OMA0028B 1875 1993 119 4 0 .665 1.06 2.57 .565 .874 .219 2.73 .556 .053 1 17 OMA0029A 1872 1993 122 5 0 .705 .79 1.82 .383 .681 .319 2.72 .501 -.050 1 18 OMA0029B 1866 1993 128 5 0 .651 .79 2.03 .323 .563 .283 2.77 .566 -.028 1 19 OMA0030A 1883 1993 111 4 0 .699 .80 3.59 .712 .887 .362 2.62 .434 -.041 1 20 OMA0030B 1879 1993 115 4 0 .669 1.00 3.33 .749 .890 .301 2.62 .511 -.039 1 21 OMA0031A 1862 1993 132 5 0 .526 .66 1.93 .386 .702 .346 2.70 .376 -.030 1 22 OMA0031B 1864 1993 130 5 0 .662 .68 2.03 .361 .744 .320 2.63 .449 -.076 1 23 OMA0032A 1864 1993 130 5 0 .583 1.20 2.44 .462 .786 .204 2.43 .319 -.039 1 24 OMA0032B 1874 1993 120 5 0 .584 1.13 2.56 .463 .800 .199 2.59 .463 -.031 2 25 OMA0033A 1786 1993 208 8 0 .674 .64 1.83 .332 .724 .291 2.61 .375 .029 2 26 OMA0033B 1786 1993 208 8 0 .655 .48 2.18 .330 .803 .292 2.65 .431 .012 1 27 OMA0034A 1842 1993 152 6 0 .527 .71 3.08 .580 .805 .341 2.44 .315 -.049 1 28 OMA0034B 1840 1993 154 6 0 .716 .65 2.75 .556 .784 .381 2.63 .542 .013 1 29 OMA0035A 1892 1993 102 4 0 .715 .99 3.06 .696 .869 .219 2.55 .478 -.001 1 30 OMA0035B 1893 1993 101 4 0 .718 1.13 2.96 .614 .814 .259 2.49 .470 -.050 2 31 OMA0038A 1850 1993 144 5 0 .635 .34 2.16 .270 .621 .390 2.72 .504 -.003 1 32 OMA0038B 1850 1993 144 5 0 .656 .42 2.16 .275 .550 .401 2.60 .436 .025 1 33 OMA0039A 1861 1993 133 5 0 .673 .90 2.05 .399 .749 .253 2.69 .516 -.002 1 34 OMA0039B 1861 1993 133 5 0 .653 .79 2.03 .357 .685 .280 2.61 .436 -.018 2 35 OMA0040A 1847 1993 147 6 0 .561 .75 2.90 .505 .921 .183 2.78 .413 -.013 1 36 OMA0040B 1845 1993 149 6 0 .578 .82 3.18 .607 .925 .193 2.78 .428 -.048 1 --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- Total or mean: 4840 184 9 .597 .82 4.32 .477 .798 .264 2.88 .433 -.019 - = [ COFECHA HUVI2COF ] = -