Muna, Sulawesi, Indonesia - indo005 Additional Site Information Rosanne D'Arrigo, Paul Krusic, and Jonathan Palmer Purpose of Collection: Climatology - precipitation analysis Reference: Cook, E.R., K.J. Anchukaitis, B.M. Buckley, R.D. D'Arrigo, G.C. Jacoby, and W.E. Wright. 2010. Asian Monsoon Failure and Megadrought During the Last Millennium. Science, Vol. 328, Issue 5977, pp.486-489, 23 April 2010. DOI: 10.1126/science.1185188 COFECHA output: Chronology file name : INDO005.CRN Measurement file name : INDO005.RWL Date checked : 25OCT11 Checked by : B. Bauer Beginning year : 1565 Ending year : 2005 Principal investigators: Rosanne D'Arrigo Paul Krusic Jonathan Palmer Site name : Muna, Sulawesi Site location : Indonesia Species information : TEGR TEAK Latitude : -0530 Longitude : 12300 Elevation : M Series intercorrelation: 0.423 Avg mean sensitivity : 0.396 Avg standard deviation : 1.237 Avg autocorrelation : 0.674 Number dated series : 66 Segment length tested : 50 Number problem segments: 139 Pct problem segments : 28.84 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: Muna 15:50 Tue 25 Oct 2011 Page 5 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1550 1575 1600 1625 1650 1675 1700 1725 1750 1775 1800 1825 1850 1875 1900 1925 1950 1975 1599 1624 1649 1674 1699 1724 1749 1774 1799 1824 1849 1874 1899 1924 1949 1974 1999 2024 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 TG16C 1753 1994 .15B .21B .40 .19B .27A .43B .40 .50 .50 2 TG03C 1690 1925 .46 .54 .55 .42 .28A .45 .44 .39 .43 .39 3 TG03B 1656 1908 .13B .48 .56 .53 .37 .33 .28A .20B .42 .33B 4 TG03A 1708 1858 .49 .53 .27A .08B .17B .16B 5 TG06C 1861 1994 .18B .29A .62 .50 .39 6 TG06B 1876 1994 .48 .55 .61 .52 7 TG12C 1673 1913 .42 .46 .40 .45 .45 .36 .48 .41 .39 .58 8 TG12B 1668 1908 .28A .35 .29A .33B .33A .43 .48 .43 .25A .36 9 TG12A 1679 1905 .35 .30A .43 .52 .60 .53 .33 .18B .12B 10 TG02C 1740 1990 .21A .25A .42 .55 .40 .18A .30A .47 .20B .05B 11 TG02B 1785 1994 .39 .30A .07B .02B .51 .66 .55 .55 12 TG02A 1770 1994 .35 .25B .38 .24A .34 .55 .72 .72 .58 13 TG11C 1668 1854 .28B .38 .52 .50 .47 .43 .21B .13B 14 TG11B 1705 1848 .45 .47 .33A .28A .28A 15 TG11A 1680 1848 .42 .26B .32A .45 .38 .26B 16 TG14C 1850 1995 .45 .57 .66 .64 .39 17 TG14B 1879 1995 .39 .62 .68 .36 18 TG14A 1874 1995 .48 .48 .59 .71 .56 19 TG17C 1693 1994 .51 .49 .60 .63 .56 .49 .31A .23B .37B .59 .59 .48 20 TG17B 1694 1994 .54 .50 .64 .72 .62 .55 .47 .35 .44 .61 .66 .64 21 TG17A 1704 1994 .59 .60 .54 .42 .54 .40 .15B .18B .51 .58 .38 22 TG01C 1711 1994 .32A .37B .45 .58 .50 .43 .51 .64 .69 .58 .57 23 TG01B 1800 1994 .41 .50 .52 .57 .69 .66 .49 24 TG01A 1700 1994 .52 .52 .28A .22B .41B .44 .52 .44 .44 .44 .20B 25 TG04C 1797 1994 .44 .42 .33 .42 .53 .64 .62 .37 26 TG04B 1798 1994 .39 .39 .35 .46 .56 .65 .62 .52 27 TG04A 1770 1994 .17B .11B .49 .37 .30B .46 .60 .51 .39 28 TG07C 1800 1994 .20B .29A .46 .36B .48 .64 .65 29 TG07B 1850 1994 .23B .45 .63 .61 .51 30 TG07A 1790 1994 .28A .33A .32A .21B .37 .64 .64 .61 31 mun01a 1887 2004 .37 .47 .41 .20B .19B 32 mun01c 1936 2005 .38 .52 .53 33 mun02a 1910 2005 .48 .46 .33 .25B 34 mun02b 1916 2005 .27A .18B .25B .23B 35 mun02c 1910 2005 .47 .52 .49 .52 36 mun04a 1800 2005 .44 .47 .51 .53 .58 .60 .49 .51 37 mun05c 1700 2005 .51 .45 .06B .19B .50 .34 .45 .59 .61 .63 .30B .20B 38 mun06a 1799 2005 .42 .44 .39 .35 .44 .53 .42 .33A .36 39 mun06c 1799 2004 .44 .43 .41 .37 .39 .60 .60 .52 .53 40 mun08a 1764 2004 .18B .27A .23A .27A .43 .68 .71 .62 .24B .22B 41 mun09a 1883 2005 .21A .63 .69 .54 .61 42 mun10a 1860 2005 .31A .49 .67 .53 .51 .53 43 mun10b 1860 2005 .38 .46 .61 .58 .58 .58 44 mun10c 1860 2005 .35 .41 .66 .60 .36 .28B 45 mun11b 1925 2005 .21B .48 .51 46 mun11c 1920 2005 .31A .36 .28A .35 47 AN01B3 1632 1899 .83 .78 .54 .54 .46 .29A .39 .35 .42 .40 48 AN01B2 1565 1895 .92 .85 .76 .73 .67 .44 .52 .44 .26B .30A .32A .42 .31A 49 AN01C 1592 1906 .54 .47 .54 .44 .19B .22B .23B .18B .10B .25A .32A .25B .39 50 AN01B 1565 1907 .93 .83 .77 .73 .66 .51 .53 .47 .25B .32A .35 .43 .42 .26A 51 AN01A 1587 1912 .44 .51 .47 .41 .37 .44 .37 .25B .09B .32A .28A .11B .22A 52 mx01a 1680 1748 .48 .54 53 mx03a 1749 1952 .37 .35 .31A .37 .20B .12B .35 .60 .56 54 mx10a 1683 1769 .41 .52 .63 55 mx10b 1685 1772 .50 .55 .58 56 mx13a 1700 1840 .51 .46 .47 .59 .47 57 mx13b 1700 1836 .53 .53 .30A .26B .37 58 mx16a 1707 1858 .38 .49 .46 .36B .59 .51 59 mx16b 1709 1857 .20B .23B .42 .61 .64 .57 60 mx20a 1666 1838 .62 .68 .67 .41 .30A .33A .29B 61 mx20b 1666 1838 .42 .36 .48 .41 .12B .21B .37 62 mx22a 1850 1973 .34B .54 .38 .29A 63 mx22b 1850 1972 .50 .66 .40B .21B 64 mx24b 1669 1822 .42 .47 .49 .41 .35 .46 65 AT12B 1667 1862 .32A .29A .29A .33 .34 .25B .32A .23A 66 AT02A 1775 1888 .17B .31A .30A .07B Av segment correlation .92 .66 .63 .66 .45 .44 .46 .45 .34 .35 .39 .35 .33 .43 .56 .53 .44 .40 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: Muna 15:50 Tue 25 Oct 2011 Page 11 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 1 TG16C 1753 1994 242 9 5 .368 1.51 13.72 1.652 .840 .288 2.79 .440 -.032 1 2 TG03C 1690 1925 236 10 1 .360 1.53 7.17 1.128 .751 .341 2.70 .363 -.038 2 3 TG03B 1656 1908 253 10 4 .333 1.78 11.11 1.582 .754 .408 2.61 .400 -.054 1 4 TG03A 1708 1858 151 6 4 .285 1.40 4.48 .894 .726 .308 2.78 .452 -.023 2 5 TG06C 1861 1994 134 5 2 .397 1.01 5.87 .864 .542 .416 2.87 .457 -.021 1 6 TG06B 1876 1994 119 4 0 .511 1.68 7.87 1.498 .642 .447 2.86 .553 -.024 1 7 TG12C 1673 1913 241 10 0 .445 1.24 7.27 .994 .700 .380 2.85 .464 -.042 1 8 TG12B 1668 1908 241 10 5 .365 1.07 6.88 .903 .660 .429 2.76 .408 -.089 1 9 TG12A 1679 1905 227 9 3 .372 1.05 4.93 .684 .584 .385 2.98 .446 -.049 1 10 TG02C 1740 1990 251 10 6 .256 1.28 8.80 1.206 .770 .329 2.95 .423 -.056 1 11 TG02B 1785 1994 210 8 3 .410 1.54 8.56 1.287 .732 .414 2.71 .405 -.072 1 12 TG02A 1770 1994 225 9 2 .469 1.87 14.57 2.026 .776 .413 2.92 .412 -.028 1 13 TG11C 1668 1854 187 8 3 .336 1.61 8.69 1.342 .625 .393 2.95 .488 .022 1 14 TG11B 1705 1848 144 5 3 .344 1.28 9.36 1.304 .798 .346 2.79 .390 -.027 1 15 TG11A 1680 1848 169 6 3 .328 1.71 9.82 1.557 .700 .385 2.95 .432 -.003 1 16 TG14C 1850 1995 146 5 0 .527 1.23 4.39 .667 .638 .296 2.92 .394 -.028 2 17 TG14B 1879 1995 117 4 0 .484 3.30 13.41 2.320 .694 .400 2.98 .527 .016 1 18 TG14A 1874 1995 122 5 0 .575 2.55 14.28 2.147 .704 .384 2.88 .515 -.146 1 19 TG17C 1693 1994 302 12 3 .495 1.48 7.83 1.126 .706 .336 2.95 .560 .047 1 20 TG17B 1694 1994 301 12 0 .564 1.47 7.58 1.100 .672 .355 2.84 .494 -.027 1 21 TG17A 1704 1994 291 11 2 .455 1.39 6.71 .916 .672 .320 2.97 .483 .009 2 22 TG01C 1711 1994 284 11 2 .510 1.12 6.27 .922 .691 .418 3.08 .515 .008 1 23 TG01B 1800 1994 195 7 0 .528 1.43 5.31 .718 .632 .327 2.91 .464 .004 1 24 TG01A 1700 1994 295 11 4 .401 1.29 8.18 .877 .484 .413 3.09 .454 .003 1 25 TG04C 1797 1994 198 8 0 .466 1.99 9.03 1.485 .670 .428 2.80 .375 -.050 1 26 TG04B 1798 1994 197 8 0 .489 1.96 9.60 1.623 .707 .425 2.90 .432 -.015 2 27 TG04A 1770 1994 225 9 3 .328 1.54 9.06 1.602 .847 .373 3.25 .316 .016 2 28 TG07C 1800 1994 195 7 3 .434 1.76 6.58 1.241 .741 .384 2.91 .433 -.064 1 29 TG07B 1850 1994 145 5 1 .510 1.61 7.75 1.211 .639 .393 2.79 .425 -.106 1 30 TG07A 1790 1994 205 8 4 .460 1.84 12.23 1.689 .781 .421 2.82 .462 -.087 1 31 mun01a 1887 2004 118 5 2 .349 1.88 16.98 3.313 .829 .539 2.86 .540 .025 1 32 mun01c 1936 2005 70 3 0 .413 1.12 17.03 2.270 .964 .439 2.74 .506 -.063 1 33 mun02a 1910 2005 96 4 1 .380 1.64 8.51 1.661 .888 .423 2.74 .432 .062 1 34 mun02b 1916 2005 90 4 4 .302 3.55 9.88 1.840 .486 .412 2.74 .473 -.108 1 35 mun02c 1910 2005 96 4 0 .475 4.04 12.20 2.865 .818 .398 2.62 .478 -.071 1 36 mun04a 1800 2005 206 8 0 .507 1.14 4.00 .808 .554 .522 3.05 .541 .038 1 37 mun05c 1700 2005 306 12 4 .404 1.62 6.47 .910 .620 .310 2.79 .494 .016 1 38 mun06a 1799 2005 207 9 1 .411 1.50 6.97 1.125 .715 .348 2.73 .420 -.003 1 39 mun06c 1799 2004 206 9 0 .477 1.63 7.52 1.253 .669 .412 2.96 .494 -.019 1 40 mun08a 1764 2004 241 10 6 .394 1.69 10.00 1.432 .599 .440 3.06 .466 -.051 1 41 mun09a 1883 2005 123 5 1 .484 1.78 6.72 1.554 .679 .437 2.79 .535 -.011 1 42 mun10a 1860 2005 146 6 1 .466 2.29 11.12 2.186 .706 .425 2.86 .456 .032 3 43 mun10b 1860 2005 146 6 0 .520 1.78 12.45 1.961 .732 .525 3.14 .744 .067 1 44 mun10c 1860 2005 146 6 1 .374 1.72 10.62 1.803 .775 .423 2.74 .386 .025 4 45 mun11b 1925 2005 81 3 1 .351 3.38 8.66 2.322 .781 .413 2.76 .529 -.036 1 46 mun11c 1920 2005 86 4 2 .356 2.25 10.92 2.202 .904 .350 2.85 .534 -.027 1 47 AN01B3 1632 1899 268 10 1 .552 1.16 3.48 .612 .615 .350 2.56 .344 -.021 1 48 AN01B2 1565 1895 331 13 4 .566 1.36 5.62 .923 .675 .376 2.61 .309 -.005 1 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: Muna 15:50 Tue 25 Oct 2011 Page 12 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 49 AN01C 1592 1906 315 13 8 .335 1.32 6.05 1.081 .811 .439 2.70 .393 -.025 1 50 AN01B 1565 1907 343 14 3 .547 1.39 5.62 .950 .681 .399 2.75 .426 -.002 1 51 AN01A 1587 1912 326 13 6 .319 1.31 4.60 .851 .691 .403 2.67 .433 -.021 1 52 mx01a 1680 1748 69 2 0 .427 1.83 7.72 1.408 .250 .530 3.27 .744 -.012 1 53 mx03a 1749 1952 204 9 3 .286 1.32 9.98 1.465 .655 .458 2.84 .378 -.030 2 54 mx10a 1683 1769 87 3 0 .515 2.06 5.40 1.315 .681 .391 2.79 .443 .037 1 55 mx10b 1685 1772 88 3 0 .574 1.75 7.45 1.355 .700 .445 2.90 .506 -.052 1 56 mx13a 1700 1840 141 5 0 .481 1.69 6.60 1.116 .660 .417 2.92 .476 -.016 1 57 mx13b 1700 1836 137 5 2 .431 1.84 6.89 1.125 .673 .355 2.76 .465 -.020 1 58 mx16a 1707 1858 152 6 1 .435 1.25 3.13 .601 .389 .420 2.88 .563 .041 1 59 mx16b 1709 1857 149 6 2 .429 1.24 4.29 .818 .575 .441 3.03 .613 .082 1 60 mx20a 1666 1838 173 7 3 .436 1.72 8.81 .956 .529 .351 2.89 .528 -.052 1 61 mx20b 1666 1838 173 7 2 .330 1.59 8.40 .915 .649 .300 2.83 .415 -.060 1 62 mx22a 1850 1973 124 4 2 .329 1.69 7.21 1.203 .511 .460 2.91 .515 .037 1 63 mx22b 1850 1972 123 4 2 .376 1.74 6.56 1.039 .383 .469 3.04 .553 .035 1 64 mx24b 1669 1822 154 6 0 .440 1.15 6.14 .875 .608 .452 2.97 .480 -.030 1 65 AT12B 1667 1862 196 8 6 .303 1.05 5.53 .799 .498 .469 2.91 .424 -.019 3 66 AT02A 1775 1888 114 4 4 .194 .50 2.88 .473 .478 .571 2.83 .378 -.008 1 --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- Total or mean: 12279 482 139 .423 1.56 17.03 1.237 .674 .396 3.27 .455 -.018