Mount Etna Group 1, Italy - ITAL046 Additional Site Information Ruedi Seiler, James Kirchner, Paul Krusic, Roberto Tognetti, Nicolas Houlie, Daniele Andronico, Sebastiano Cullotta, Markus Eglu, Rosanne D'Arrigo, Paolo Cherubini Funding Source: Swiss National Foundation grant 205321_143479 Keywords: volcanic influence COFECHA output: Chronology file name : ITAL046.CRN Measurement file name : ITAL046.RWL Date checked : 28DEC16 Checked by : B. Bauer Beginning year : 1785 Ending year : 2013 Principal investigators: Seiler Kirchner Krusic Tognetti Houlie Andronico Cullotta Eglu D'Arrigo Site name : Mount Etna Group 1 Site location : Italy Species information : PINI AUSTRIAN PINE Latitude : 3748 Longitude : 01502 Elevation : 1850M Series intercorrelation: 0.478 Avg mean sensitivity : 0.296 Avg standard deviation : 1.170 Avg autocorrelation : 0.686 Number dated series : 104 Segment length tested : 50 Number problem segments: 81 Pct problem segments : 20.45 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: Mount Etna Group 1 15:44 Wed 28 Dec 2016 Page 5 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1775 1800 1825 1850 1875 1900 1925 1950 1975 1824 1849 1874 1899 1924 1949 1974 1999 2024 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 PINI1 1906 2002 .62 .58 .70 .66 2 PINI2 1899 2001 .47 .48 .34B .33B .32B 3 PINI3 1903 2009 .68 .72 .66 .52 4 PINI4 1904 2009 .63 .69 .62 .51 5 PINI5 1957 2010 .71 .74 6 PINI6 1959 2010 .69 .70 7 PINI7 1897 2010 .45 .50 .45 .46 .48 8 PINI8 1908 2010 .55 .45 .48 .66 9 PINI9 1927 1991 .60 .53 10 PINI10 1914 2010 .58 .58 .57 .57 11 PINI11 1921 2010 .49 .51 .45 .38 12 PINI12 1924 2010 .50 .45 .57 .50 13 PINI13 1919 2010 .31A .29A .52 .50 14 PINI14 1903 2010 .64 .73 .59 .61 15 PINI15 1895 2010 .37 .31A .51 .60 .57 16 PINI16 1925 2009 .57 .45 .38 17 PINI17 1907 2009 .16B .29B .38 .42 18 PINI18 1923 2010 .54 .50 .65 .69 19 PINI19 1910 2002 .64 .49 .36 .33 20 PINI20 1908 2010 .69 .61 .49 .51 21 PINI21 1884 2010 .45 .58 .71 .70 .79 22 PINI22 1891 2010 .43 .51 .81 .80 .84 23 PINI23 1928 2010 .68 .68 .64 24 PINI24 1906 2002 .60 .61 .51 .51 25 PINI25 1904 2010 .52 .31A .39 .55 26 PINI26 1901 2010 .42 .35 .43 .44 27 PINI27 1925 2010 .28B .70 .76 28 PINI28 1923 2010 .17B .12B .47 .55 29 PINI29 1904 2010 .22B .47 .43 .57 30 PINI30 1901 2003 .46 .51 .43 .54 31 PINI31 1926 2010 .55 .64 .67 32 PINI32 1933 2010 .69 .72 .73 33 PINI33 1919 2010 .80 .73 .66 .66 34 PINI34 1925 2010 .72 .66 .65 35 PINI35 1961 2010 .55 36 PINI36 1809 2011 .17B .48 .25B-.04B-.09B-.10B .01B-.06B 37 PINI37 1785 2011 .43 .48 .38 .24B .08B .10B .03B .03B .06B 38 PINI38 1952 2010 .79 .75 39 PINI39 1958 2010 .63 .64 40 PINI40 1803 2012 .06B .33 .22B .04B .01B-.06B-.06B-.08B 41 PINI41 1790 2012 .50 .59 .38 .20B .07B-.12B-.38B-.34B-.41B 42 PINI42 1908 2010 .49 .61 .61 .73 43 PINI43 1912 2010 .45 .58 .58 .73 44 PINI44 1953 2008 .77 .76 45 PINI45 1952 2008 .74 .70 46 PINI46 1908 2007 .64 .67 .67 .68 47 PINI47 1931 2006 .62 .66 .69 48 PINI48 1930 2007 .62 .60 .54 49 PINI49 1906 2007 .63 .64 .66 .62 50 PINI50 1952 2007 .57 .62 51 PINI51 1954 2006 .60 .60 52 PINI52 1899 2007 .37 .38 .72 .75 .60 53 PINI53 1798 2007 .08B .15B .07B .04B .08B .36 .60 .59 .51 54 PINI54 1957 2007 .69 .76 55 PINI55 1932 2007 .72 .82 .69 56 PINI56 1929 2007 .69 .65 .61 57 PINI57 1932 2007 .50 .68 .59 58 PINI58 1976 2007 .18A 59 PINI59 1902 2007 .48 .65 .53 .53 60 PINI60 1958 2007 .51 61 PINI61 1965 2007 .57 62 PINI62 1964 2006 .50 63 PINI63 1932 2007 .61 .69 .64 64 PINI64 1904 2002 .51 .60 .61 .59 65 PINI65 1916 2007 .72 .78 .69 .62 66 PINI66 1906 2007 .44 .59 .65 .68 67 PINI67 1958 2007 .60 68 PINI68 1915 2007 .59 .59 .62 .57 69 PINI69 1894 2007 .49 .53 .68 .68 .61 70 PINI70 1907 2007 .41 .54 .55 .66 71 PINI71 1914 2007 .58 .71 .69 .80 72 PINI72 1966 2013 .72 73 PINI73 1972 2012 .53 74 PINI74 1917 2012 .23A .32A .53 .64 75 PINI75 1948 2012 .36 .35 .47 76 PINI76 1961 2013 .71 .72 77 PINI77 1898 2003 .27B .29A .52 .50 .34 78 PINI78 1941 2013 .40 .39 .53 79 PINI79 1892 2013 .12B .27B .48B .52 .66 80 PINI80 1901 2010 .40 .57 .61 .68 81 PINI81 1898 2011 .20B .15B .33B .56 .66 82 PINI82 1897 2013 .31B .38B .67 .62 .68 83 PINI83 1902 2013 .37B .66 .62 .67 84 PINI84 1910 2013 .64 .75 .74 .66 85 PINI85 1908 2013 .66 .73 .71 .51 86 PINI86 1907 2010 .47 .59 .50 .57 87 PINI87 1942 2010 .49 .52 .59 88 PINI88 1905 2013 .16B .38 .48 .54 89 PINI89 1935 2013 .69 .60 .72 90 PINI90 1929 2010 .25B .63 .62 91 PINI91 1934 2010 .44 .50 .55 92 PINI92 1911 2011 .20B .29A .48 .54 93 PINI93 1909 2011 .17B .20B .38 .46 94 PINI94 1816 2013 .25B .18B-.10B .27A .45 .40B .46 .44 95 PINI95 1811 2011 .16B .13B-.08B .26A .46 .50B .30B .14B 96 PINI96 1887 2013 .17B .35 .57 .47 .55 97 PINI97 1906 2012 -.03B .32A .58 .57 98 PINI98 1903 2011 .52 .44 .51 .58 99 PINI99 1915 2011 .23B .32A .53 .53 100 PINI100 1902 2011 .61 .65 .47 .60 101 PINI101 1897 2011 .63 .65 .73 .59 .62 102 PINI102 1928 2013 .51 .62 .68 103 PINI103 1896 2003 .64 .56 .40 .52 .48 104 PINI104 1900 2009 .45 .53 .56 .67 Av segment correlation .33 .26 .28 .11 .29 .43 .51 .55 .56 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: Mount Etna Group 1 15:44 Wed 28 Dec 2016 Page 10 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 1 PINI1 1906 2002 97 4 0 .627 2.57 7.32 1.515 .842 .216 2.75 .503 .063 5 2 PINI2 1899 2001 103 5 3 .397 2.87 6.68 1.665 .753 .311 2.75 .600 -.052 2 3 PINI3 1903 2009 107 4 0 .590 2.77 8.62 1.160 .587 .284 2.86 .461 .035 1 4 PINI4 1904 2009 106 4 0 .541 2.44 8.24 1.138 .479 .341 2.69 .456 -.040 1 5 PINI5 1957 2010 54 2 0 .717 4.86 10.32 2.447 .824 .236 2.62 .564 -.044 1 6 PINI6 1959 2010 52 2 0 .698 5.34 9.50 2.264 .740 .257 2.48 .433 .008 1 7 PINI7 1897 2010 114 5 0 .398 2.59 5.76 1.275 .853 .217 2.55 .525 -.013 1 8 PINI8 1908 2010 103 4 0 .594 2.76 11.03 2.033 .894 .235 2.81 .500 -.021 3 9 PINI9 1927 1991 65 2 0 .581 3.47 7.94 1.455 .729 .290 2.50 .414 .013 1 10 PINI10 1914 2010 97 4 0 .579 3.28 7.68 1.371 .692 .282 2.57 .388 -.003 2 11 PINI11 1921 2010 90 4 0 .410 3.33 6.71 1.559 .825 .250 2.66 .511 -.045 2 12 PINI12 1924 2010 87 4 0 .474 2.86 7.44 1.577 .814 .257 2.70 .487 -.036 1 13 PINI13 1919 2010 92 4 2 .378 3.03 6.41 1.213 .767 .209 2.51 .399 -.049 1 14 PINI14 1903 2010 108 4 0 .603 2.67 4.89 1.006 .667 .272 2.51 .363 -.022 2 15 PINI15 1895 2010 116 5 1 .435 2.38 4.32 .852 .604 .264 2.52 .404 -.024 2 16 PINI16 1925 2009 85 3 0 .463 2.09 4.93 .843 .504 .316 2.75 .513 -.032 1 17 PINI17 1907 2009 103 4 2 .272 2.99 6.79 1.199 .416 .346 2.58 .357 .003 2 18 PINI18 1923 2010 88 4 0 .580 2.75 7.57 1.360 .630 .310 2.63 .409 -.011 2 19 PINI19 1910 2002 93 4 0 .498 2.12 4.92 1.066 .464 .409 2.54 .420 -.007 1 20 PINI20 1908 2010 103 4 0 .567 2.20 6.17 1.405 .584 .377 2.76 .492 .041 1 21 PINI21 1884 2010 127 5 0 .649 2.08 4.53 .898 .433 .361 2.84 .497 .012 2 22 PINI22 1891 2010 120 5 0 .661 2.11 4.14 .743 .456 .280 2.48 .470 -.028 2 23 PINI23 1928 2010 83 3 0 .666 3.12 7.38 1.326 .568 .327 2.72 .535 .115 1 24 PINI24 1906 2002 97 4 0 .558 2.90 7.79 1.468 .479 .420 2.70 .452 .003 1 25 PINI25 1904 2010 107 4 1 .498 2.92 8.43 1.763 .758 .328 2.63 .403 .050 1 26 PINI26 1901 2010 110 4 0 .407 2.78 7.76 1.773 .738 .293 2.58 .385 .017 1 27 PINI27 1925 2010 86 3 1 .473 3.40 8.59 1.789 .717 .281 2.72 .542 .045 1 28 PINI28 1923 2010 88 4 2 .301 3.17 7.79 1.402 .667 .272 2.44 .368 -.053 1 29 PINI29 1904 2010 107 4 1 .423 2.50 5.47 1.148 .611 .326 2.74 .378 .018 1 30 PINI30 1901 2003 103 4 0 .504 2.25 6.42 1.379 .715 .330 2.74 .479 -.017 1 31 PINI31 1926 2010 85 3 0 .610 2.48 6.75 1.074 .614 .275 2.79 .501 .084 2 32 PINI32 1933 2010 78 3 0 .712 2.66 6.06 1.200 .811 .233 2.45 .414 -.034 2 33 PINI33 1919 2010 92 4 0 .720 2.49 6.51 1.142 .501 .350 2.67 .478 .038 1 34 PINI34 1925 2010 86 3 0 .669 1.97 5.66 1.162 .676 .357 2.97 .521 .105 6 35 PINI35 1961 2010 50 1 0 .554 4.43 7.24 1.194 .619 .179 2.63 .533 .010 1 36 PINI36 1809 2011 203 8 7 .051 .96 6.24 1.214 .922 .314 2.77 .413 -.039 2 37 PINI37 1785 2011 227 9 6 .247 1.15 8.15 1.351 .910 .371 2.92 .495 -.022 1 38 PINI38 1952 2010 59 2 0 .756 2.88 6.57 1.220 .741 .247 2.48 .426 .009 1 39 PINI39 1958 2010 53 2 0 .637 4.56 10.65 2.384 .805 .279 2.69 .540 .053 1 40 PINI40 1803 2012 210 8 7 .012 1.32 6.29 .990 .728 .364 2.76 .383 -.033 3 41 PINI41 1790 2012 223 9 6 .091 1.20 6.42 1.082 .817 .347 2.64 .371 -.026 2 42 PINI42 1908 2010 103 4 0 .570 2.99 5.97 1.266 .723 .236 2.73 .476 .058 3 43 PINI43 1912 2010 99 4 0 .567 2.77 7.95 1.341 .799 .226 2.55 .424 .033 1 44 PINI44 1953 2008 56 2 0 .753 3.70 7.95 1.605 .654 .313 2.82 .656 .021 1 45 PINI45 1952 2008 57 2 0 .687 3.48 8.64 1.865 .808 .285 2.79 .532 .030 1 46 PINI46 1908 2007 100 4 0 .663 2.16 5.92 1.164 .700 .346 2.67 .452 .091 1 47 PINI47 1931 2006 76 3 0 .665 4.00 8.00 1.474 .658 .247 2.58 .392 .035 5 48 PINI48 1930 2007 78 3 0 .562 3.22 6.52 1.273 .558 .275 2.65 .439 -.021 2 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: Mount Etna Group 1 15:44 Wed 28 Dec 2016 Page 11 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 49 PINI49 1906 2007 102 4 0 .608 2.58 6.79 .925 .560 .261 2.75 .444 -.013 2 50 PINI50 1952 2007 56 2 0 .614 5.08 8.49 1.774 .521 .267 2.73 .564 .081 1 51 PINI51 1954 2006 53 2 0 .590 3.98 9.85 2.107 .796 .300 2.64 .520 .009 1 52 PINI52 1899 2007 109 5 0 .457 1.85 4.18 .787 .522 .297 2.42 .293 -.007 3 53 PINI53 1798 2007 210 9 5 .237 1.40 8.05 1.337 .937 .282 2.71 .461 -.018 1 54 PINI54 1957 2007 51 2 0 .686 5.05 10.14 2.424 .827 .225 2.61 .496 -.092 2 55 PINI55 1932 2007 76 3 0 .653 3.13 6.83 1.341 .524 .338 2.73 .507 .017 2 56 PINI56 1929 2007 79 3 0 .627 2.78 6.63 1.530 .803 .257 2.60 .483 -.020 1 57 PINI57 1932 2007 76 3 0 .499 2.88 6.89 1.431 .598 .313 2.96 .499 -.086 2 58 PINI58 1976 2007 32 1 1 .182 6.79 16.46 2.994 .494 .261 3.09 .616 .078 1 59 PINI59 1902 2007 106 4 0 .512 2.17 6.05 .892 .311 .352 2.60 .440 .013 1 60 PINI60 1958 2007 50 1 0 .511 3.89 7.47 1.107 .386 .222 2.68 .564 .040 2 61 PINI61 1965 2007 43 1 0 .574 4.28 6.84 1.528 .643 .242 2.53 .451 .021 2 62 PINI62 1964 2006 43 1 0 .503 4.81 7.52 1.716 .749 .224 2.60 .621 -.070 1 63 PINI63 1932 2007 76 3 0 .607 3.04 8.79 2.186 .834 .284 2.59 .401 -.038 1 64 PINI64 1904 2002 99 4 0 .529 2.50 6.08 1.082 .668 .264 2.63 .427 .019 1 65 PINI65 1916 2007 92 4 0 .663 2.85 6.26 1.291 .571 .350 2.60 .483 -.013 2 66 PINI66 1906 2007 102 4 0 .567 1.92 5.59 1.093 .760 .359 2.68 .405 .011 2 67 PINI67 1958 2007 50 1 0 .600 2.73 6.41 1.152 .587 .282 2.76 .664 .082 1 68 PINI68 1915 2007 93 4 0 .578 1.81 5.80 1.025 .798 .293 2.82 .593 -.087 1 69 PINI69 1894 2007 114 5 0 .572 1.83 5.16 1.034 .631 .402 2.71 .418 -.021 2 70 PINI70 1907 2007 101 4 0 .539 1.67 6.32 1.094 .751 .363 2.78 .452 -.077 2 71 PINI71 1914 2007 94 4 0 .696 2.93 6.58 1.284 .755 .238 2.65 .443 .027 1 72 PINI72 1966 2013 48 1 0 .719 4.15 7.16 1.191 .265 .266 2.54 .526 -.045 2 73 PINI73 1972 2012 41 1 0 .526 3.57 6.60 1.267 .513 .243 2.52 .452 -.106 1 74 PINI74 1917 2012 96 4 2 .439 2.45 5.78 1.231 .713 .313 2.46 .352 .013 1 75 PINI75 1948 2012 65 3 0 .390 2.51 5.90 1.237 .735 .325 2.59 .458 .052 1 76 PINI76 1961 2013 53 2 0 .710 1.95 3.82 .769 .678 .284 2.44 .535 -.014 2 77 PINI77 1898 2003 106 5 2 .301 1.85 3.88 .771 .707 .237 2.61 .400 -.035 2 78 PINI78 1941 2013 73 3 0 .372 1.79 3.62 .782 .653 .285 2.79 .509 -.026 1 79 PINI79 1892 2013 122 5 3 .429 1.41 3.31 .639 .678 .309 2.64 .510 -.028 2 80 PINI80 1901 2010 110 4 0 .571 1.89 3.98 .799 .524 .325 2.49 .333 -.043 2 81 PINI81 1898 2011 114 5 3 .440 1.84 3.69 .608 .429 .283 2.56 .378 -.004 2 82 PINI82 1897 2013 117 5 2 .504 2.33 6.38 1.338 .612 .321 2.64 .383 -.061 2 83 PINI83 1902 2013 112 4 1 .518 2.18 10.18 1.476 .724 .275 2.49 .327 -.048 2 84 PINI84 1910 2013 104 4 0 .642 2.02 4.75 1.007 .769 .257 2.79 .456 .032 1 85 PINI85 1908 2013 106 4 0 .562 2.13 4.69 .967 .702 .305 2.56 .342 .062 1 86 PINI86 1907 2010 104 4 0 .531 1.90 4.57 .978 .729 .268 2.52 .394 .018 3 87 PINI87 1942 2010 69 3 0 .569 1.96 4.13 .866 .601 .320 2.56 .414 .032 1 88 PINI88 1905 2013 109 4 1 .358 1.09 2.78 .629 .675 .338 2.86 .634 -.047 2 89 PINI89 1935 2013 79 3 0 .676 2.47 4.93 1.118 .802 .223 2.86 .539 -.017 3 90 PINI90 1929 2010 82 3 1 .425 1.04 1.94 .438 .755 .265 2.63 .542 .027 1 91 PINI91 1934 2010 77 3 0 .481 2.10 4.53 .852 .489 .321 2.51 .457 .047 1 92 PINI92 1911 2011 101 4 2 .386 1.20 2.41 .481 .603 .332 2.60 .396 -.021 2 93 PINI93 1909 2011 103 4 2 .331 1.32 3.16 .556 .684 .304 2.61 .358 -.014 2 94 PINI94 1816 2013 198 8 5 .288 1.76 5.05 1.180 .870 .250 2.68 .391 .018 3 95 PINI95 1811 2011 201 8 7 .188 1.59 6.88 1.127 .835 .262 2.57 .364 -.010 2 96 PINI96 1887 2013 127 5 1 .435 1.36 4.97 .850 .683 .350 2.86 .512 .013 1 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: Mount Etna Group 1 15:44 Wed 28 Dec 2016 Page 12 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 97 PINI97 1906 2012 107 4 2 .347 1.21 3.86 .729 .652 .347 2.80 .423 -.079 1 98 PINI98 1903 2011 109 4 0 .524 1.43 4.11 .724 .682 .275 2.66 .397 -.013 1 99 PINI99 1915 2011 97 4 2 .399 1.51 4.33 .657 .571 .271 2.55 .356 -.029 2 100 PINI100 1902 2011 110 4 0 .580 1.72 3.62 .665 .755 .201 2.54 .424 -.008 1 101 PINI101 1897 2011 115 5 0 .625 1.85 4.40 .669 .715 .207 2.65 .407 .025 1 102 PINI102 1928 2013 86 3 0 .573 2.09 5.02 .863 .546 .296 2.71 .463 -.056 1 103 PINI103 1896 2003 108 5 0 .488 1.03 3.59 .668 .792 .253 2.60 .414 .057 1 104 PINI104 1900 2009 110 4 0 .536 1.05 2.93 .558 .711 .287 2.86 .431 .047 1 --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- Total or mean: 10092 396 81 .478 2.31 16.46 1.170 .686 .296 3.09 .447 -.003