Mount Etna Group 3, Italy - ITAL048 Additional Site Information Ruedi Seiler, James Kirchner, Paul Krusic, Roberto Tognetti, Nicolas Houlie, Daniele Andronico, Sebastiano Cullotta, Markus Eglu, Rosanne D'Arrigo, Paolo Cherubini Funding Source: Swiss National Foundation grant 205321_143479 Keywords: volcanic influence COFECHA output: Chronology file name : ITAL048.CRN Measurement file name : ITAL048.RWL Date checked : 28DEC16 Checked by : B. Bauer Beginning year : 1820 Ending year : 2014 Principal investigators: Seiler Kirchner Krusic Tognetti Houlie Andronico Cullotta Eglu D'Arrigo Site name : Mount Etna Group 3 Site location : Italy Species information : PINI AUSTRIAN PINE Latitude : 3747 Longitude : 01503 Elevation : 1600M Series intercorrelation: 0.486 Avg mean sensitivity : 0.254 Avg standard deviation : 1.452 Avg autocorrelation : 0.724 Number dated series : 76 Segment length tested : 50 Number problem segments: 35 Pct problem segments : 17.41 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: Mount Etna Group 3 15:48 Wed 28 Dec 2016 Page 5 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1875 1900 1925 1950 1975 1924 1949 1974 1999 2024 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 PINI1 1932 2013 .28B .36 .38 2 PINI2 1936 2013 .44 .53 .57 3 PINI3 1965 2013 .67 4 PINI4 1945 2013 .18B .21B .38 5 PINI5 1939 2013 .25A .33B .47 6 PINI6 1952 2013 .30A .55 7 PINI7 1949 2013 .27B .26B .58 8 PINI8 1939 2013 .35 .33 .59 9 PINI9 1945 2013 .15B .26A .56 10 PINI10 1969 2013 .59 11 PINI11 1966 2013 .47 12 PINI12 1965 2013 .36 13 PINI13 1964 2013 .13B 14 PINI14 1969 2013 .55 15 PINI15 1965 2013 .56 16 PINI16 1968 2013 .24A 17 PINI17 1967 2013 .23A 18 PINI18 1917 2010 .59 .61 .79 .72 19 PINI19 1907 2010 .48 .69 .84 .65 20 PINI20 1903 2010 .45 .66 .61 .50 21 PINI21 1889 2010 .29B .41 .78 .66 .55 22 PINI22 1893 2009 .52 .55 .83 .83 .61 23 PINI23 1912 2010 .32B .52 .55 .47 24 PINI24 1898 2010 .41 .45 .64 .63 .39 25 PINI25 1908 2009 .45 .63 .55 .59 26 PINI26 1922 2007 .44 .45 .47 .48 27 PINI27 1903 2010 .49 .57 .76 .75 28 PINI28 1892 2010 .24B .31B .29B .32A .31B 29 PINI29 1889 2010 .59 .52 .57 .76 .65 30 PINI30 1896 2010 .29B .37B .67 .67 .52 31 PINI31 1894 2010 .57 .66 .79 .75 .62 32 PINI32 1885 2010 .31B .53 .62 .66 .44 33 PINI33 1901 2010 .56 .70 .63 .61 34 PINI34 1893 2010 .62 .70 .77 .70 .69 35 PINI35 1918 2010 .39 .51 .58 .49 36 PINI36 1886 2010 .37 .52 .53 .60 .59 37 PINI37 1889 2010 .26A .48 .68 .70 .57 38 PINI38 1894 2010 .40 .41 .40 .67 .60 39 PINI39 1900 2010 .22B .54 .69 .56 40 PINI40 1820 2010 .58 .58 .47 .51 .60 41 PINI41 1957 2014 .55 .51 42 PINI42 1946 2014 .57 .57 .46 43 PINI43 1962 2013 .33A .32A 44 PINI44 1968 2014 .37 45 PINI45 1968 2014 .55 46 PINI46 1960 2014 .58 .57 47 PINI47 1967 2014 .50 48 PINI48 1959 2014 .23B .28B 49 PINI49 1961 2013 .40 .43 50 PINI50 1960 2014 .51 .52 51 PINI51 1957 2014 .55 .55 52 PINI52 1955 2014 .36 .33B 53 PINI53 1950 2014 .47 .41 54 PINI54 1953 2014 .53 .47 55 PINI55 1954 2014 .44 .41 56 PINI56 1953 2014 .42 .32A 57 PINI57 1955 1971 .55 58 PINI58 1953 2014 .48 .47 59 PINI59 1943 2014 .64 .64 .63 60 PINI60 1951 2014 .60 .61 61 PINI61 1951 1961 .64 62 PINI62 1954 1961 .79 63 PINI63 1963 2014 .58 .60 64 PINI64 1964 2014 .52 .53 65 PINI65 1956 2014 .50 .49 66 PINI66 1962 2014 .27A .33A 67 PINI67 1950 2014 .70 .68 68 PINI68 1950 2014 .70 .68 69 PINI69 1969 2014 .50 70 PINI70 1976 2014 .55 71 PINI71 1955 2014 .50 .60 72 PINI72 1956 2014 .40 .54 73 PINI73 1962 2014 .64 .66 74 PINI74 1960 2014 .73 .72 75 PINI75 1967 2014 .28B 76 PINI76 1970 2014 .44B Av segment correlation .42 .47 .53 .52 .53 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: Mount Etna Group 3 15:48 Wed 28 Dec 2016 Page 9 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 1 PINI1 1932 2013 82 3 1 .360 1.66 4.04 .719 .688 .271 2.74 .551 -.029 3 2 PINI2 1936 2013 78 3 0 .480 1.63 3.19 .619 .643 .270 2.69 .555 .020 2 3 PINI3 1965 2013 49 1 0 .665 2.40 6.38 1.234 .657 .306 2.83 .579 -.018 1 4 PINI4 1945 2013 69 3 2 .267 3.08 6.21 1.131 .551 .267 2.60 .459 .001 1 5 PINI5 1939 2013 75 3 2 .306 3.50 6.90 1.296 .704 .214 2.58 .466 -.072 1 6 PINI6 1952 2013 62 2 1 .354 3.88 6.56 1.194 .791 .159 2.57 .510 -.081 2 7 PINI7 1949 2013 65 3 2 .367 3.57 6.76 1.185 .764 .177 2.71 .596 .060 1 8 PINI8 1939 2013 75 3 0 .403 3.23 6.26 1.192 .630 .258 2.77 .596 -.035 1 9 PINI9 1945 2013 69 3 2 .336 2.72 6.22 1.136 .595 .296 2.76 .742 -.015 2 10 PINI10 1969 2013 45 1 0 .589 3.70 11.17 2.581 .912 .211 2.58 .519 .167 1 11 PINI11 1966 2013 48 1 0 .471 3.66 8.08 2.107 .878 .240 2.69 .587 .044 2 12 PINI12 1965 2013 49 1 0 .357 3.96 9.92 2.268 .794 .238 2.70 .495 -.016 1 13 PINI13 1964 2013 50 1 1 .134 4.64 9.55 2.370 .674 .259 2.44 .417 -.057 1 14 PINI14 1969 2013 45 1 0 .545 3.48 8.84 2.156 .933 .227 2.64 .646 -.090 1 15 PINI15 1965 2013 49 1 0 .564 3.54 10.00 2.544 .881 .280 2.57 .470 -.080 1 16 PINI16 1968 2013 46 1 1 .245 3.03 7.55 2.121 .930 .250 2.68 .668 -.113 1 17 PINI17 1967 2013 47 1 1 .233 3.51 10.87 2.669 .892 .280 2.70 .574 -.097 1 18 PINI18 1917 2010 94 4 0 .647 1.97 4.34 .683 .706 .210 2.45 .364 .010 1 19 PINI19 1907 2010 104 4 0 .572 1.86 4.20 .944 .772 .290 2.42 .365 .027 1 20 PINI20 1903 2010 108 4 0 .491 2.44 11.33 1.528 .863 .217 2.64 .440 .004 2 21 PINI21 1889 2010 122 5 1 .473 2.22 10.64 1.835 .883 .276 2.74 .412 -.065 2 22 PINI22 1893 2009 117 5 0 .595 2.07 10.10 1.400 .738 .277 2.78 .444 -.027 2 23 PINI23 1912 2010 99 4 1 .400 1.69 5.58 .816 .659 .282 2.62 .435 -.064 1 24 PINI24 1898 2010 113 5 0 .443 2.27 13.80 1.931 .847 .292 2.58 .377 .006 1 25 PINI25 1908 2009 102 4 0 .523 1.96 4.29 1.006 .674 .369 2.62 .412 .005 2 26 PINI26 1922 2007 86 4 0 .489 2.01 3.97 .969 .806 .228 2.48 .345 -.012 1 27 PINI27 1903 2010 108 4 0 .646 2.41 4.83 .936 .762 .218 2.71 .494 .021 1 28 PINI28 1892 2010 119 5 5 .308 2.15 7.13 1.187 .874 .222 2.86 .463 -.069 1 29 PINI29 1889 2010 122 5 0 .599 2.15 4.88 .799 .671 .222 2.82 .523 .027 1 30 PINI30 1896 2010 115 5 2 .436 2.06 9.17 1.389 .690 .300 2.45 .409 -.002 1 31 PINI31 1894 2010 117 5 0 .638 2.28 9.81 1.772 .810 .272 2.78 .407 -.002 2 32 PINI32 1885 2010 126 5 1 .426 1.73 6.09 1.314 .875 .212 2.67 .433 .045 1 33 PINI33 1901 2010 110 4 0 .584 2.25 5.81 .956 .728 .252 2.67 .360 -.020 2 34 PINI34 1893 2010 118 5 0 .675 2.20 6.49 1.343 .677 .296 2.93 .460 -.010 1 35 PINI35 1918 2010 93 4 0 .469 1.48 7.32 1.006 .614 .314 2.75 .549 .029 1 36 PINI36 1886 2010 125 5 0 .509 1.96 6.09 1.100 .772 .254 2.64 .442 -.002 1 37 PINI37 1889 2010 122 5 1 .465 1.78 4.57 .790 .724 .220 2.77 .410 .035 1 38 PINI38 1894 2010 117 5 0 .482 2.33 5.18 1.009 .710 .238 2.80 .453 .031 1 39 PINI39 1900 2010 111 4 1 .410 1.70 7.55 1.149 .804 .272 2.70 .435 -.001 1 40 PINI40 1820 2010 191 5 0 .542 1.55 6.65 .899 .757 .311 2.66 .392 -.038 3 41 PINI41 1957 2014 58 2 0 .558 4.52 8.52 1.642 .629 .256 2.64 .512 .013 1 42 PINI42 1946 2014 69 3 0 .565 4.47 8.05 1.595 .643 .235 2.61 .551 .075 2 43 PINI43 1962 2013 52 2 2 .327 4.96 11.52 1.935 .749 .191 2.80 .516 .006 3 44 PINI44 1968 2014 47 1 0 .375 4.09 9.06 1.466 .674 .192 2.64 .591 -.089 2 45 PINI45 1968 2014 47 1 0 .554 5.05 10.18 2.131 .765 .211 2.37 .456 -.009 3 46 PINI46 1960 2014 55 2 0 .548 5.31 10.06 1.954 .485 .267 2.58 .439 -.009 1 47 PINI47 1967 2014 48 1 0 .505 4.99 9.26 1.751 .755 .195 2.55 .571 .167 1 48 PINI48 1959 2014 56 2 2 .245 4.34 7.06 1.205 .371 .268 2.60 .501 .084 2 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: Mount Etna Group 3 15:48 Wed 28 Dec 2016 Page 10 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 49 PINI49 1961 2013 53 2 0 .386 4.77 11.37 2.952 .893 .201 2.60 .592 .011 1 50 PINI50 1960 2014 55 2 0 .505 5.22 11.67 2.523 .765 .220 2.40 .400 .055 2 51 PINI51 1957 2014 58 2 0 .574 4.63 15.13 2.748 .766 .209 2.63 .561 -.022 1 52 PINI52 1955 2014 60 2 1 .406 5.18 9.52 2.238 .822 .230 2.49 .372 -.005 1 53 PINI53 1950 2014 65 2 0 .471 4.52 10.24 1.691 .789 .196 2.56 .523 -.040 1 54 PINI54 1953 2014 62 2 0 .539 4.66 9.86 1.629 .477 .238 2.72 .473 .063 1 55 PINI55 1954 2014 61 2 0 .463 4.36 13.54 2.959 .873 .267 2.75 .414 .006 1 56 PINI56 1953 2014 62 2 1 .404 4.37 9.31 2.202 .791 .257 2.54 .462 .082 1 57 PINI57 1955 1971 17 1 0 .547 6.82 10.60 2.099 .305 .278 2.33 .558 .342 2 58 PINI58 1953 2014 62 2 0 .543 5.05 9.80 1.990 .776 .212 2.82 .530 .029 2 59 PINI59 1943 2014 72 3 0 .625 3.62 6.86 1.438 .664 .280 2.34 .398 .067 1 60 PINI60 1951 2014 64 2 0 .548 3.80 7.07 1.510 .813 .193 2.35 .352 .071 1 61 PINI61 1951 1961 11 1 0 .645 5.97 11.28 2.287 .220 .413 2.50 .690 -.004 1 62 PINI62 1954 1961 8 1 0 .792 5.12 8.79 2.653 .401 .529 2.45 .789 .027 2 63 PINI63 1963 2014 52 2 0 .589 5.50 9.75 2.005 .718 .257 2.61 .514 -.014 1 64 PINI64 1964 2014 51 2 0 .517 5.69 11.52 2.330 .762 .231 2.71 .566 .026 1 65 PINI65 1956 2014 59 2 0 .466 3.30 8.74 1.302 .508 .259 2.88 .500 .040 1 66 PINI66 1962 2014 53 2 2 .284 4.00 9.53 1.775 .714 .248 2.82 .602 .094 1 67 PINI67 1950 2014 65 2 0 .657 3.88 7.84 1.918 .819 .245 2.61 .485 .060 3 68 PINI68 1950 2014 65 2 0 .658 3.32 7.17 1.645 .689 .290 2.61 .488 .082 1 69 PINI69 1969 2014 46 1 0 .499 2.77 5.32 .853 .240 .268 2.73 .538 .091 2 70 PINI70 1976 2014 39 1 0 .551 4.71 8.34 1.316 .481 .235 2.65 .449 .048 2 71 PINI71 1955 2014 60 2 0 .506 2.51 4.69 .875 .562 .266 2.67 .600 .016 1 72 PINI72 1956 2014 59 2 0 .403 2.94 4.82 .881 .430 .256 2.60 .567 -.043 1 73 PINI73 1962 2014 53 2 0 .652 3.49 7.86 1.485 .613 .288 2.56 .512 .038 1 74 PINI74 1960 2014 55 2 0 .712 3.28 7.05 1.407 .700 .285 2.43 .517 -.039 1 75 PINI75 1967 2014 48 1 1 .284 5.08 11.96 2.074 .700 .242 2.64 .553 .000 1 76 PINI76 1970 2014 45 1 1 .441 4.64 7.79 1.567 .645 .267 2.46 .522 .015 1 --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- Total or mean: 5534 201 35 .486 3.02 15.13 1.452 .724 .254 2.93 .477 .005