Ulken, Kazakhstan - KAZ001 Additional Site Information Olga Solomina Purpose of Collection: Climatology - temperature analyses Reference: PAGES 2k Consortium. 2013. Continental-scale temperature variability during the past two millennia. Nature Geoscience, Vol. 6, pp. 339-346, May 2013. DOI: 10.1038/NGEO1797 COFECHA output: Chronology file name : KAZ001.CRN Measurement file name : KAZ001.RWL Date checked : 24JUL13 Checked by : B. Bauer Beginning year : 1570 Ending year : 2001 Principal investigators: Olga Solomina Site name : Ulken Site location : Kazakhstan Species information : PCSH SHRENK'S SPRUCE Latitude : 4321 Longitude : 07721 Elevation : M Series intercorrelation: 0.629 Avg mean sensitivity : 0.230 Avg standard deviation : 0.305 Avg autocorrelation : 0.727 Number dated series : 20 Segment length tested : 50 Number problem segments: 2 Pct problem segments : 1.38 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: Ulken 12:01 Wed 24 Jul 2013 Page 5 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1675 1700 1725 1750 1775 1800 1825 1850 1875 1900 1925 1950 1975 1724 1749 1774 1799 1824 1849 1874 1899 1924 1949 1974 1999 2024 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 ULK14 1570 2001 .38 .47 .78 .60 .61 .65 .57 .63 .63 .54 .55 .79 .78 2 ULK1A 1898 2001 .84 .83 .79 .78 .77 3 ULK1B 1900 2001 .85 .82 .64 .64 4 ULK2B 1833 2001 .70 .71 .89 .86 .69 .60 .53 5 ULK5A 1885 2001 .75 .77 .61 .46 .46 6 ULK6A 1901 2001 .57 .67 .57 .57 7 ULK6B 1886 2001 .64 .69 .57 .34 .37 8 ULK8 1893 2001 .80 .79 .77 .75 .75 9 ULK10A 1826 2001 .59 .54 .77 .77 .55 .44 .45 10 ULK10B 1838 2001 .38 .52 .77 .65 .50 .46 .43 11 ULK11 1834 2001 .55 .53 .70 .79 .76 .50 .50 12 ULK13 1857 2001 .61 .75 .73 .63 .63 .65 13 ULK15A 1792 2001 .63 .63 .65 .89 .84 .81 .78 .80 .80 14 ULK15B 1844 2001 .78 .78 .78 .63 .59 .59 .59 15 12A-NEW 1703 2001 .52 .61 .54 .47 .56 .60 .44 .62 .81 .78 .70 .69 16 ULK5B 1867 2001 .61 .77 .74 .57 .31B .32A 17 ULK9 1692 2001 .44 .44 .64 .65 .63 .60 .54 .67 .77 .76 .68 .67 .67 18 ULK4 1753 2001 .48 .50 .41 .35 .51 .69 .79 .74 .51 .51 19 2A-RED 1791 2001 .48 .51 .57 .81 .85 .79 .73 .73 .73 20 ULK3 1879 1982 .51 .52 .39 .48 Av segment correlation .41 .48 .68 .57 .55 .56 .57 .64 .74 .73 .66 .59 .59 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: Ulken 12:01 Wed 24 Jul 2013 Page 10 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 1 ULK14 1570 2001 432 13 0 .581 .49 1.54 .269 .817 .254 2.55 .378 -.027 1 2 ULK1A 1898 2001 104 5 0 .805 1.04 2.37 .315 .709 .185 2.52 .392 -.003 1 3 ULK1B 1900 2001 102 4 0 .732 .90 1.89 .297 .719 .217 2.55 .377 -.020 1 4 ULK2B 1833 2001 169 7 0 .723 1.04 1.98 .261 .536 .203 2.44 .345 .007 1 5 ULK5A 1885 2001 117 5 0 .606 .72 1.46 .259 .730 .229 2.49 .385 -.023 1 6 ULK6A 1901 2001 101 4 0 .562 .55 1.11 .208 .679 .270 2.49 .402 -.032 1 7 ULK6B 1886 2001 116 5 0 .552 .83 1.75 .381 .838 .235 2.74 .491 -.074 1 8 ULK8 1893 2001 109 5 0 .781 1.32 3.18 .473 .711 .226 2.69 .403 -.043 2 9 ULK10A 1826 2001 176 7 0 .628 .73 1.65 .292 .748 .245 2.57 .326 -.045 1 10 ULK10B 1838 2001 164 7 0 .528 .72 1.58 .237 .718 .208 2.61 .345 -.043 1 11 ULK11 1834 2001 168 7 0 .639 .89 1.78 .301 .781 .184 2.49 .311 -.023 1 12 ULK13 1857 2001 145 6 0 .672 1.43 2.67 .429 .665 .184 2.62 .443 .037 1 13 ULK15A 1792 2001 210 9 0 .748 .72 1.33 .222 .501 .241 2.49 .318 -.037 1 14 ULK15B 1844 2001 158 7 0 .654 .99 2.27 .309 .564 .210 2.57 .374 -.024 1 15 12A-NEW 1703 2001 299 12 0 .593 .64 1.99 .332 .784 .282 2.54 .351 .006 1 16 ULK5B 1867 2001 135 6 2 .565 .65 1.80 .340 .840 .242 2.45 .442 -.010 2 17 ULK9 1692 2001 310 13 0 .603 .65 1.66 .332 .841 .230 2.56 .302 -.013 2 18 ULK4 1753 2001 249 10 0 .522 .58 1.11 .168 .578 .222 2.60 .416 -.037 1 19 2A-RED 1791 2001 211 9 0 .720 .99 2.28 .393 .822 .205 2.43 .361 -.023 1 20 ULK3 1879 1982 104 4 0 .506 .89 2.23 .487 .817 .263 2.82 .460 -.013 1 --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- Total or mean: 3579 145 2 .629 .78 3.18 .305 .727 .230 2.82 .371 -.021