Altyn-Beshik, Kyrgyzstan - KYRG008 Additional Site Information Stephan Shiyatov Purpose of Collection: Climatology - temperature analyses Reference: PAGES 2k Consortium. 2013. Continental-scale temperature variability during the past two millennia. Nature Geoscience, Vol. 6, pp. 339-346, May 2013. DOI: 10.1038/NGEO1797 COFECHA output: Chronology file name : KYRG008.CRN Measurement file name : KYRG008.RWL Date checked : 23JUL13 Checked by : B. Bauer Beginning year : 1420 Ending year : 1987 Principal investigators: Stephan Shiyatov Site name : Altyn-Beshik Site location : Kyrgyzstan Species information : JUTU TURKESTAN JUNIPER Latitude : 4012 Longitude : 07235 Elevation : M Series intercorrelation: 0.461 Avg mean sensitivity : 0.278 Avg standard deviation : 0.203 Avg autocorrelation : 0.744 Number dated series : 27 Segment length tested : 50 Number problem segments: 76 Pct problem segments : 19.54 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: Altyn-Beskik 11:26 Tue 23 Jul 2013 Page 5 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1425 1450 1475 1500 1525 1550 1575 1600 1625 1650 1675 1700 1725 1750 1775 1800 1825 1850 1875 1900 1474 1499 1524 1549 1574 1599 1624 1649 1674 1699 1724 1749 1774 1799 1824 1849 1874 1899 1924 1949 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 AJT011 1723 1987 .33 .32A .60 .55 .32A .05B .13B .38 .38 2 AJT021 1431 1987 .41 .47 .64 .55 .47 .60 .76 .61 .65 .60 .54 .63 .55 .55 .49 .48 .47 .25A .28A .35 3 AJT022 1473 1970 .62 .59 .55 .51 .55 .63 .59 .54 .27B .18B .53 .59 .44 .34 .29A .35 .48 .21B .08B 4 AJT031 1660 1987 .51 .43 .38 .49 .61 .54 .45 .54 .49 .45 .53 5 AJT041 1653 1987 .39 .39 .53 .41 .44 .55 .62 .67 .44B .17B .08B 6 AJT051 1619 1987 .44 .33 .44 .55 .29A .20A .65 .67 .23A .04B .20B .56 .61 7 AJT061 1616 1987 .46 .44 .44 .45 .61 .57 .66 .68 .65 .56 .44 .59 .58 8 AJT071 1563 1987 .43 .43 .59 .35B .35 .57 .45 .20B .24B .52 .70 .67 .42 .41 .50 9 AJT081 1473 1987 .49 .53 .42 .34 .48 .51 .34 .45 .60 .59 .58 .64 .54 .52 .58 .48 .40 .61 .58 10 AJT091 1472 1987 .47 .48 .26B .32B .37 .49 .56 .56 .40 .37 .33B .33B .56 .53 .40 .42 .53 .40 .28B 11 AJT101 1590 1750 .28A .42 .68 .61 .48 .58 .58 12 AJT102 1788 1987 .38 .26A .27B .34 .41 .51 13 AJT111 1750 1987 .59 .67 .58 .48 .56 .61 .62 14 AJT121 1660 1987 .42 .56 .53 .39 .37 .55 .66 .53 .33A .72 .73 15 AJT131 1664 1987 .38 .33A .28B .30A .31A .36 .27A .12B .02B .58 .68 16 AJT141 1578 1987 .43 .43 .48 .45 .39 .52 .53 .25A .25B .56 .57 .42 .70 .65 17 AJT151 1742 1987 .69 .61 .70 .63 .38 .28A .60 .60 18 AJT161 1800 1987 .62 .67 .37 .45 .58 19 AJT171 1420 1987 .39 .35 .43 .39 .24B .31B .27A .29A .62 .56 .40 .58 .57 .64 .71 .61 .49 .29A .68 .78 20 AJT181 1590 1987 .44 .59 .39 .37 .44 .40 .41 .37 .21B .18B .23B .32A .47 .43 21 AJT201 1590 1987 .42 .33 .49 .44 .36B .57 .47 .45 .58 .67 .66 .57 .51 .26B 22 AJT211 1590 1987 .39 .19B .29B .27A .30A .40 .38 .41B .49 .53 .49 .56 .65 .64 23 AJT221 1563 1981 .39 .41 .27A .42 .45 .35 .49 .59 .55 .62 .74 .66 .44 .53 .39 24 AJT231 1724 1987 .59 .58 .46 .56 .50 .49 .70 .56 .39 25 AJT241 1633 1987 .32A .43 .56 .65 .65 .70 .60 .48 .52 .56 .66 .59 26 AJT251 1636 1987 .41 .49 .24B .02B .04B .15B .49 .65 .63 .45 .47 .54 27 AJT261 1675 1986 .33B .37 .35 .48 .56 .57 .54 .30A .65 .79 Av segment correlation .40 .48 .53 .44 .37 .45 .46 .44 .47 .44 .42 .46 .45 .48 .53 .51 .46 .40 .51 .51 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: Altyn-Beskik 11:26 Tue 23 Jul 2013 Page 6 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1925 1950 1974 1999 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 AJT011 1723 1987 .41 .40 2 AJT021 1431 1987 .43 .48 3 AJT022 1473 1970 .21B 4 AJT031 1660 1987 .52 .50 5 AJT041 1653 1987 .47 .63 6 AJT051 1619 1987 .41B .31B 7 AJT061 1616 1987 .59 .48 8 AJT071 1563 1987 .43 .47 9 AJT081 1473 1987 .51 .48 10 AJT091 1472 1987 .40 .52 12 AJT102 1788 1987 .51 .41 13 AJT111 1750 1987 .29A .29A 14 AJT121 1660 1987 .47 .53 15 AJT131 1664 1987 .47 .52 16 AJT141 1578 1987 .39 .28B 17 AJT151 1742 1987 .43 .42 18 AJT161 1800 1987 .56 .53 19 AJT171 1420 1987 .67 .62 20 AJT181 1590 1987 .39 .52 21 AJT201 1590 1987 .12B .25A 22 AJT211 1590 1987 .41 .33B 23 AJT221 1563 1981 .42 .39 24 AJT231 1724 1987 .28A .20A 25 AJT241 1633 1987 .42 .50 26 AJT251 1636 1987 .64 .60 27 AJT261 1675 1986 .51 .42 Av segment correlation .44 .44 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: Altyn-Beskik 11:26 Tue 23 Jul 2013 Page 8 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 1 AJT011 1723 1987 265 11 4 .356 .71 1.86 .388 .802 .306 2.64 .392 -.029 1 2 AJT021 1431 1987 557 22 2 .496 .60 1.85 .280 .836 .207 2.59 .316 -.009 1 3 AJT022 1473 1970 498 20 6 .431 .36 .95 .195 .856 .250 2.59 .341 -.027 1 4 AJT031 1660 1987 328 13 0 .483 .44 2.07 .281 .852 .292 2.55 .380 -.049 1 5 AJT041 1653 1987 335 13 3 .453 .36 1.06 .196 .819 .281 2.65 .300 -.055 2 6 AJT051 1619 1987 369 15 7 .393 .44 1.40 .252 .870 .228 2.45 .281 -.042 2 7 AJT061 1616 1987 372 15 0 .549 .56 1.27 .210 .630 .268 2.52 .351 .005 2 8 AJT071 1563 1987 425 17 3 .449 .49 1.44 .181 .679 .231 2.68 .398 .019 1 9 AJT081 1473 1987 515 21 0 .502 .43 1.17 .182 .790 .239 2.67 .312 -.032 1 10 AJT091 1472 1987 516 21 5 .421 .17 .47 .077 .426 .416 2.56 .281 .004 6 11 AJT101 1590 1750 161 7 1 .501 .44 1.11 .243 .916 .207 2.40 .329 -.004 1 12 AJT102 1788 1987 200 8 2 .382 .54 1.33 .272 .745 .281 2.60 .366 -.041 1 13 AJT111 1750 1987 238 9 2 .496 .31 .68 .123 .661 .264 2.39 .259 -.023 1 14 AJT121 1660 1987 328 13 1 .536 .39 1.01 .193 .765 .268 2.48 .270 -.044 2 15 AJT131 1664 1987 324 13 7 .381 .48 1.36 .227 .670 .304 2.73 .339 -.048 2 16 AJT141 1578 1987 410 16 3 .453 .21 .53 .112 .702 .348 2.64 .370 -.008 1 17 AJT151 1742 1987 246 10 1 .554 .53 1.21 .190 .719 .212 2.66 .348 .016 1 18 AJT161 1800 1987 188 7 0 .536 .42 1.31 .210 .549 .402 2.60 .348 -.008 1 19 AJT171 1420 1987 568 22 5 .483 .31 .84 .127 .720 .254 2.63 .305 .008 1 20 AJT181 1590 1987 398 16 4 .380 .52 1.24 .182 .621 .241 2.57 .380 -.020 1 21 AJT201 1590 1987 398 16 4 .450 .29 .93 .166 .787 .354 2.66 .430 -.015 1 22 AJT211 1590 1987 398 16 6 .430 .38 1.56 .188 .792 .245 2.62 .413 .002 2 23 AJT221 1563 1981 419 17 1 .475 .44 1.56 .223 .849 .226 2.52 .288 -.020 3 24 AJT231 1724 1987 264 11 2 .453 .53 1.41 .271 .806 .254 2.57 .273 -.020 3 25 AJT241 1633 1987 355 14 1 .541 .66 1.69 .313 .813 .255 2.55 .288 -.011 1 26 AJT251 1636 1987 352 14 4 .422 .30 1.05 .169 .745 .350 2.53 .306 -.035 1 27 AJT261 1675 1986 312 12 2 .484 .36 1.19 .224 .724 .374 2.67 .372 -.031 2 --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- Total or mean: 9739 389 76 .461 .42 2.07 .203 .744 .278 2.73 .334 -.018