Koeliu, Kyrgyzstan - KYRG012 Additional Site Information Olga Solomina Purpose of Collection: Climatology - temperature analyses Reference: PAGES 2k Consortium. 2013. Continental-scale temperature variability during the past two millennia. Nature Geoscience, Vol. 6, pp. 339-346, May 2013. DOI: 10.1038/NGEO1797 COFECHA output: Chronology file name : KYRG012.CRN Measurement file name : KYRG012.RWL Date checked : 01AUG13 Checked by : B. Bauer Beginning year : 1450 Ending year : 2005 Principal investigators: O. Solomina Site name : Koeliu Site location : Kyrgyzstan Species information : PCSH SHRENK'S SPRUCE Latitude : 4212 Longitude : 07903 Elevation : 2827M Series intercorrelation: 0.733 Avg mean sensitivity : 0.243 Avg standard deviation : 0.899 Avg autocorrelation : 0.842 Number dated series : 41 Segment length tested : 50 Number problem segments: 3 Pct problem segments : 0.67 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: Koeliu 12:47 Thu 01 Aug 2013 Page 5 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1450 1475 1500 1525 1550 1575 1600 1625 1650 1675 1700 1725 1750 1775 1800 1825 1850 1875 1900 1925 1499 1524 1549 1574 1599 1624 1649 1674 1699 1724 1749 1774 1799 1824 1849 1874 1899 1924 1949 1974 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 koee1a 1706 2004 .45 .64 .62 .71 .81 .85 .82 .84 .85 .87 2 koee1b 1619 1732 .69 .68 .73 .76 .72 3 koee1b 1762 2004 .69 .50 .43 .71 .67 .68 .79 .85 4 koee2a 1716 1963 .63 .75 .71 .77 .80 .83 .85 .74 .67 .50 5 koee2b 1761 1956 .79 .79 .83 .81 .78 .71 .72 .76 6 koee3a 1568 1977 .52 .61 .46 .67 .82 .50 .59 .78 .82 .84 .81 .82 .67 .49 .55 .76 7 koee3b 1558 1910 .69 .58 .45 .72 .81 .44 .61 .84 .82 .79 .85 .58 .39 .46 8 koee5a 1774 2005 .80 .82 .78 .72 .56 .67 .85 .87 9 koee5b 1702 2005 .81 .81 .72 .72 .85 .74 .60 .71 .84 .82 10 koe6a 1720 2001 .62 .61 .70 .82 .64 .60 .57 .47 .53 .69 11 koe6b 1680 2005 .82 .83 .80 .81 .84 .82 .86 .78 .64 .66 .75 12 koee7a 1467 2004 .78 .70 .45 .54 .68 .75 .74 .87 .80 .40 .49 .64 .72 .82 .71 .69 .82 .86 .79 .82 13 koee7b 1450 2004 .86 .86 .75 .80 .86 .73 .64 .79 .76 .59 .70 .84 .81 .82 .84 .76 .62 .65 .80 .84 14 koee7c 1471 2005 .72 .69 .80 .82 .78 .79 .76 .82 .80 .59 .67 .85 .87 .84 .84 .84 .84 .88 .87 .79 15 koee8a 1847 2004 .75 .75 .77 .81 .92 16 koee8b 1862 2004 .79 .81 .85 .90 17 koe10a 1659 2005 .51 .71 .81 .78 .73 .72 .78 .76 .81 .88 .87 .91 18 koee10b 1852 1956 .24B .36 .41 .45 19 koee11a 1787 2005 .75 .90 .89 .91 .87 .80 .84 20 koee11b 1770 2004 .79 .82 .81 .78 .87 .88 .87 .94 21 koee12b 1898 1961 .50 .52 .40 22 koe13a 1798 2004 .68 .67 .70 .63 .70 .71 .68 23 koee13b 1799 1940 .68 .68 .68 .64 .67 .59 24 koee13b 1748 2004 .12B .18B .52 .59 .40 .51 .76 .68 .46 25 koee14a 1812 1918 .77 .84 .81 .82 26 koee14b 1811 2004 .87 .89 .86 .88 .80 .79 27 koee16a 1704 2005 .86 .74 .54 .43 .57 .71 .72 .84 .84 .87 28 koee16b 1652 2004 .76 .80 .80 .77 .62 .61 .69 .76 .84 .88 .84 .89 29 koee17a 1842 2005 .79 .82 .91 .85 .76 30 koee17b 1817 2005 .63 .48 .65 .82 .81 .69 31 koee18a 1748 1928 .87 .86 .91 .88 .84 .85 .60 .59 32 koee18b 1811 1935 .65 .82 .87 .72 .57 33 koe19a 1733 2005 .71 .75 .79 .81 .82 .84 .69 .59 .76 34 koee19b 1667 2005 .78 .77 .89 .83 .67 .71 .84 .66 .67 .88 .79 .80 35 koee20a 1614 2005 .72 .72 .76 .75 .79 .76 .81 .88 .88 .90 .87 .88 .82 .89 36 koee20b 1620 2004 .82 .82 .88 .83 .84 .84 .84 .86 .89 .89 .90 .93 .92 .93 37 koe22a 1732 2005 .75 .83 .82 .79 .82 .87 .79 .71 .79 38 koe22b 1698 1932 .74 .78 .81 .89 .85 .84 .87 .89 .82 .62 39 koee23 1787 2004 .41 .56 .64 .67 .79 .73 .84 40 koee27a 1694 2005 .57 .68 .75 .66 .38 .51 .82 .81 .67 .61 .84 41 koe27b 1692 2005 .46 .61 .77 .74 .71 .75 .78 .81 .72 .67 .88 Av segment correlation .79 .75 .67 .72 .70 .69 .66 .76 .76 .65 .71 .74 .73 .73 .75 .76 .74 .74 .73 .78 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: Koeliu 12:47 Thu 01 Aug 2013 Page 6 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1950 1975 1999 2024 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 koee1a 1706 2004 .70 .70 3 koee1b 1762 2004 .81 .81 6 koee3a 1568 1977 .75 8 koee5a 1774 2005 .88 .87 9 koee5b 1702 2005 .87 .88 10 koe6a 1720 2001 .71 .71 11 koe6b 1680 2005 .75 .72 12 koee7a 1467 2004 .84 .84 13 koee7b 1450 2004 .79 .81 14 koee7c 1471 2005 .73 .73 15 koee8a 1847 2004 .92 .92 16 koee8b 1862 2004 .86 .87 17 koe10a 1659 2005 .89 .90 19 koee11a 1787 2005 .84 .84 20 koee11b 1770 2004 .92 .92 22 koe13a 1798 2004 .69 .72 24 koee13b 1748 2004 .56 .55 26 koee14b 1811 2004 .81 .81 27 koee16a 1704 2005 .85 .85 28 koee16b 1652 2004 .80 .78 29 koee17a 1842 2005 .69 .65 30 koee17b 1817 2005 .56 .55 33 koe19a 1733 2005 .79 .79 34 koee19b 1667 2005 .86 .83 35 koee20a 1614 2005 .90 .87 36 koee20b 1620 2004 .91 .90 37 koe22a 1732 2005 .80 .79 39 koee23 1787 2004 .79 .78 40 koee27a 1694 2005 .85 .85 41 koe27b 1692 2005 .83 .82 Av segment correlation .80 .79 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: Koeliu 12:47 Thu 01 Aug 2013 Page 10 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 1 koee1a 1706 2004 299 12 0 .699 .44 1.16 .172 .778 .233 2.42 .269 .008 1 2 koee1b 1619 1732 114 5 0 .689 .33 .65 .127 .772 .225 2.61 .442 .021 2 3 koee1b 1762 2004 243 10 0 .676 .25 .61 .105 .716 .278 2.42 .371 -.025 2 4 koee2a 1716 1963 248 10 0 .677 .37 1.93 .294 .919 .281 2.55 .401 -.020 3 5 koee2b 1761 1956 196 8 0 .753 .49 1.70 .302 .895 .249 2.66 .386 -.012 3 6 koee3a 1568 1977 410 17 0 .676 .05 .37 .069 .949 .248 2.57 .307 -.017 1 7 koee3b 1558 1910 353 14 0 .652 1.34 5.40 1.413 .926 .252 2.61 .352 -.045 1 8 koee5a 1774 2005 232 10 0 .779 .57 1.06 .171 .706 .204 2.57 .390 .034 1 9 koee5b 1702 2005 304 12 0 .775 .61 1.50 .207 .725 .211 2.58 .370 .005 1 10 koe6a 1720 2001 282 12 0 .623 .32 .86 .213 .892 .277 2.58 .331 -.007 1 11 koe6b 1680 2005 326 13 0 .748 .36 .90 .165 .830 .229 2.43 .336 -.010 1 12 koee7a 1467 2004 538 22 0 .711 .99 12.50 2.200 .971 .246 2.48 .281 .031 1 13 koee7b 1450 2004 555 22 0 .749 .35 1.01 .204 .886 .250 2.48 .287 -.014 3 14 koee7c 1471 2005 535 22 0 .766 .35 1.19 .166 .827 .243 2.52 .308 .005 5 15 koee8a 1847 2004 158 7 0 .836 1.04 1.95 .335 .590 .240 2.52 .374 -.033 2 16 koee8b 1862 2004 143 6 0 .844 1.43 2.98 .463 .562 .254 2.49 .348 .004 3 17 koe10a 1659 2005 347 14 0 .784 .90 2.79 .468 .838 .237 2.45 .256 -.022 1 18 koee10b 1852 1956 105 4 1 .353 .71 1.81 .413 .889 .228 2.71 .390 .022 1 19 koee11a 1787 2005 219 9 0 .829 .49 1.97 .376 .880 .298 2.48 .344 .005 1 20 koee11b 1770 2004 235 10 0 .858 .44 1.19 .228 .813 .254 2.47 .317 -.026 1 21 koee12b 1898 1961 64 3 0 .401 .98 1.68 .269 .696 .165 2.84 .599 .024 1 22 koe13a 1798 2004 207 9 0 .681 .76 2.29 .309 .853 .170 2.62 .412 -.001 1 23 koee13b 1799 1940 142 6 0 .657 .81 2.98 .405 .925 .158 2.64 .498 .072 1 24 koee13b 1748 2004 257 11 2 .478 .73 3.24 .551 .939 .185 2.59 .345 -.041 1 25 koee14a 1812 1918 107 4 0 .783 1.06 2.25 .386 .775 .207 2.55 .434 .053 1 26 koee14b 1811 2004 194 8 0 .822 .63 2.13 .447 .922 .221 2.62 .428 .036 1 27 koee16a 1704 2005 302 12 0 .752 4.36 23.70 6.289 .962 .249 2.37 .270 -.029 1 28 koee16b 1652 2004 353 14 0 .768 .73 1.76 .376 .852 .238 2.50 .292 .005 1 29 koee17a 1842 2005 164 7 0 .753 .82 1.58 .294 .753 .214 2.43 .406 .049 1 30 koee17b 1817 2005 189 8 0 .635 .95 2.38 .517 .860 .211 2.65 .415 .031 2 31 koee18a 1748 1928 181 8 0 .786 .66 2.25 .300 .630 .290 2.69 .516 -.007 1 32 koee18b 1811 1935 125 5 0 .682 .79 1.43 .299 .597 .273 2.63 .423 .028 1 33 koe19a 1733 2005 273 11 0 .753 2.93 13.30 3.138 .945 .255 2.58 .378 -.029 1 34 koee19b 1667 2005 339 14 0 .774 .35 .97 .207 .889 .245 2.53 .313 .024 1 35 koee20a 1614 2005 392 16 0 .811 .61 2.15 .362 .837 .254 2.52 .340 -.013 1 36 koee20b 1620 2004 385 16 0 .871 .63 1.60 .241 .706 .242 2.57 .337 .036 1 37 koe22a 1732 2005 274 11 0 .782 4.39 17.80 3.367 .879 .249 2.64 .318 -.019 1 38 koe22b 1698 1932 235 10 0 .774 5.41 13.40 2.198 .724 .250 2.52 .408 .003 1 39 koee23 1787 2004 218 9 0 .660 .59 1.87 .297 .863 .197 2.63 .336 -.040 1 40 koee27a 1694 2005 312 13 0 .693 2.11 11.30 2.488 .898 .268 2.44 .299 -.017 1 41 koe27b 1692 2005 314 13 0 .728 3.57 11.40 2.671 .862 .298 2.48 .347 -.049 1 --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- Total or mean: 10869 447 3 .733 1.10 23.70 .899 .842 .243 2.84 .344 -.003