Pine Lake and River, Michigan - mi021 Additional Site Information Michael Stambaugh, Richard Guyette, Joseph Marschall, Rose-Marie Muzika Purpose of Collection: Event - fire Cores Stored at: Missouri Tree-Ring Laboratory, Department of Forestry, 21 ABNR Building, University of Missouri at Columbia, Columbia, MO 65211 USA. Tel: (573) 884-9262 References: Guyette, R.P., M.C. Stambaugh, and J.M. Marschall. 2010. Developing and using fire scar histories in the southern and eastern United States. Final Report to the Joint Fire Science Program. 46 pp. Guyette, R.P., M.C. Stambaugh, D.C. Dey, and R. Muzika. 2012. Predicting ecosystem fire using the physical chemistry of climate. Ecosystems, Vol. 15, pp. 322-335. COFECHA output: Chronology file name : MI021.CRN Measurement file name : MI021.RWL Date checked : 05SEP13 Checked by : B. Bauer Beginning year : 1483 Ending year : 2006 Principal investigators: M. Stambaugh R. Guyette J. Marschall R.-M. Muzika Site name : Pine Lake and River Site location : Michigan Species information : PIRE RED PINE Latitude : 4652 Longitude : -08752 Elevation : 188M Series intercorrelation: 0.412 Avg mean sensitivity : 0.258 Avg standard deviation : 0.683 Avg autocorrelation : 0.792 Number dated series : 43 Segment length tested : 50 Number problem segments: 86 Pct problem segments : 23.56 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: Pine Lake and River 12:23 Thu 05 Sep 2013 Page 5 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1500 1525 1550 1575 1600 1625 1650 1675 1700 1725 1750 1775 1800 1825 1850 1875 1900 1925 1950 1975 1549 1574 1599 1624 1649 1674 1699 1724 1749 1774 1799 1824 1849 1874 1899 1924 1949 1974 1999 2024 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 PLK09A 1534 1768 .52 .47 .52 .58 .58 .56 .58 .60 .54 2 PLK28A 1679 1879 .36 .47 .66 .63 .59 .47 .42 .32B 3 PLK12A 1592 1852 .29B .39 .62 .60 .51 .53 .48 .30A .43 .58 .62 4 PLK33A 1640 1837 .55 .52 .41 .36 .47 .44 .53 .44 5 PLK31A 1695 1871 .35 .44 .46 .48 .53 .55 .48 6 PLK09B 1505 1834 .39 .54 .59 .51 .65 .65 .56 .51 .61 .72 .63 .52 .41 7 PLK39A 1672 1856 .38B .37B .53 .63 .57 .50 .40 .43 8 PLK36A 1714 1858 .41 .47 .50 .53 .40 .37 9 PLK18A 1702 2006 .19B .59 .53 .41 .50 .54 .38 .35B .37 .37 .52 .38 10 PLK22A 1711 1889 .37 .39 .55 .61 .52 .13B .02B 11 PLK25A 1663 1796 .42 .44 .50 .54 .48 12 PLK10A 1717 1884 .50 .48 .23A .21B .36 .16B .15B 13 PLK42A 1546 1797 .31A .32A .29A .46 .31A .47 .40 .45 .53 .43B 14 PLK11A 1594 1838 .32B .31B .39 .38 .32A .50 .37 .35 .60 .58 15 PLK13A 1611 1870 .55 .61 .51 .54 .49 .43 .35 .23B .28B .27A 16 PLK52A 1599 1829 .35 .36 .24B .27A .37 .51 .45 .31A .41 .32A 17 PLK41A 1674 1860 .36 .41 .39 .31A .12B .46 .59 .53 18 PLK32A 1662 1859 .22B .22B .64 .70 .52 .37 .34 .46 19 PLK40A 1618 1862 .49 .49 .61 .46 .24A .13B .06B .03B .10B .26B 20 PLK17A 1642 1859 .44 .49 .29B .21B .27A .38 .55 .31A .26B 21 PLK36B 1709 1858 .62 .57 .38 .53 .49 .53 22 PLK46A 1571 1763 .51 .49 .48 .53 .49 .36 .47 .59 23 PLK35A 1709 1875 .48 .39 .49 .63 .50 .50 .52 24 PLK50A 1649 1861 .36 .36 .40 .62 .60 .61 .61 .41 .30B 25 PLK51B 1709 1998 .52 .53 .64 .63 .62 .40 .34 .44 .41 .39 .48 26 PLK29B 1547 1777 .34 .32A .52 .28A .16B .18A .24A .24B .36 .38 27 PLK38A 1680 1830 .24B .38 .30B .35 .44 .42 28 PLK45A 1557 1702 .27A .48 .49 .35 .39 .40 29 PLK43A 1531 1835 .53 .39 .46 .51 .41 .28A .44 .45 .49 .45 .34 .42 30 PLK15A 1759 2006 .35 .49 .52 .39 .17A .20A .41 .10B .00B .10B 31 PLK23A 1721 1838 .62 .60 .42 .45 .36 32 PLK08A 1691 1873 .50 .55 .63 .65 .57 .49 .51 33 PLK07A 1530 1838 .58 .49 .54 .55 .46 .29A .23A .41 .46 .49 .48 .39 34 PLK29A 1483 1805 .30A .39 .32A .51 .54 .45 .46 .34 .24A .43 .40 .30A 35 PLK19A 1740 2004 .40 .39 .45 .42 .31A .18B .27A .25B .16B .33 .31A 36 PLK20A 1714 1953 .35 .53 .51 .43 .33A .36 .44 .54 .55 .47 37 PLK14A 1576 1696 .32A .45 .60 .50 38 PLK08B 1580 1688 .50 .57 .55 .58 39 PLK02A 1670 1859 .16B .10B .18B .43 .54 .60 .50 .25B 40 PLK05A 1622 1873 .19B .20B .50 .38 .33 .32A .26A .45 .56 .35 41 PLK16A 1620 1828 .43 .47 .63 .42 .19B .35 .52 .57 .48 42 PLK14B 1541 1663 .56 .56 .45 .49 .48 43 PLK40B 1681 1868 .13B .14B .27A .42 .46 .39 .20A Av segment correlation .34 .47 .42 .44 .46 .45 .43 .37 .42 .47 .44 .47 .44 .38 .28 .36 .40 .30 .33 .27 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: Pine Lake and River 12:23 Thu 05 Sep 2013 Page 10 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 1 PLK09A 1534 1768 235 9 0 .544 1.15 4.11 .854 .848 .291 2.74 .469 -.040 1 2 PLK28A 1679 1879 201 8 1 .491 1.42 4.83 .865 .841 .237 2.59 .473 -.023 1 3 PLK12A 1592 1852 261 11 2 .451 .56 2.23 .371 .858 .281 2.67 .446 .020 1 4 PLK33A 1640 1837 198 8 0 .436 1.34 4.96 .914 .808 .267 2.76 .472 -.012 1 5 PLK31A 1695 1871 177 7 0 .450 1.31 4.87 .768 .778 .267 2.72 .407 .005 1 6 PLK09B 1505 1834 330 13 0 .521 .83 3.54 .787 .908 .296 2.61 .295 -.025 2 7 PLK39A 1672 1856 185 8 2 .488 .93 2.83 .590 .815 .276 2.95 .453 -.009 1 8 PLK36A 1714 1858 145 6 0 .450 1.13 3.34 .504 .637 .277 2.85 .491 .019 2 9 PLK18A 1702 2006 305 12 2 .394 1.53 5.44 .880 .789 .263 2.73 .432 .005 1 10 PLK22A 1711 1889 179 7 2 .330 1.85 5.07 .785 .600 .276 2.78 .479 .026 2 11 PLK25A 1663 1796 134 5 0 .474 1.82 5.52 1.461 .881 .245 2.63 .487 .007 1 12 PLK10A 1717 1884 168 7 4 .271 1.01 2.42 .530 .818 .262 2.57 .328 -.017 2 13 PLK42A 1546 1797 252 10 5 .409 .70 2.16 .431 .756 .312 2.65 .379 -.005 1 14 PLK11A 1594 1838 245 10 3 .386 .73 1.73 .333 .711 .259 2.95 .439 -.008 1 15 PLK13A 1611 1870 260 10 3 .422 .67 2.10 .368 .807 .254 2.72 .393 .018 1 16 PLK52A 1599 1829 231 10 4 .348 .35 1.04 .164 .778 .229 2.73 .390 -.025 1 17 PLK41A 1674 1860 187 8 2 .393 1.25 5.13 1.191 .920 .247 2.61 .386 -.050 1 18 PLK32A 1662 1859 198 8 2 .454 1.06 3.13 .691 .869 .257 2.53 .414 -.048 1 19 PLK40A 1618 1862 245 10 6 .263 1.25 5.65 1.075 .871 .247 2.59 .350 -.022 1 20 PLK17A 1642 1859 218 9 5 .348 1.20 3.95 .794 .845 .290 2.73 .502 .005 1 21 PLK36B 1709 1858 150 6 0 .513 1.23 3.58 .591 .691 .293 2.83 .532 -.012 1 22 PLK46A 1571 1763 193 8 0 .504 1.30 3.03 .593 .758 .258 2.79 .412 .043 1 23 PLK35A 1709 1875 167 7 0 .503 1.67 4.79 .742 .727 .250 2.66 .529 -.011 2 24 PLK50A 1649 1861 213 9 1 .466 1.43 5.10 .981 .849 .243 2.66 .412 -.002 2 25 PLK51B 1709 1998 290 11 0 .472 .69 6.35 .723 .897 .254 2.63 .384 -.014 1 26 PLK29B 1547 1777 231 10 6 .303 1.37 4.63 .909 .877 .238 2.55 .418 -.003 1 27 PLK38A 1680 1830 151 6 2 .313 1.77 3.64 .522 .415 .252 2.79 .508 -.040 2 28 PLK45A 1557 1702 146 6 1 .369 1.27 3.07 .513 .732 .219 2.59 .423 .028 1 29 PLK43A 1531 1835 305 12 1 .456 .88 2.58 .478 .830 .233 2.54 .337 -.035 1 30 PLK15A 1759 2006 248 10 5 .229 1.62 3.06 .527 .624 .217 2.70 .422 -.009 1 31 PLK23A 1721 1838 118 5 0 .508 1.38 4.32 .625 .789 .184 2.54 .337 .003 1 32 PLK08A 1691 1873 183 7 0 .547 .74 1.64 .291 .676 .251 2.75 .498 .013 1 33 PLK07A 1530 1838 309 12 2 .451 1.04 2.67 .478 .654 .292 2.63 .387 -.011 2 34 PLK29A 1483 1805 323 12 4 .373 1.26 4.47 .822 .866 .274 2.62 .443 -.006 1 35 PLK19A 1740 2004 265 11 6 .313 1.00 3.87 .745 .895 .240 2.65 .389 -.045 1 36 PLK20A 1714 1953 240 10 1 .420 1.24 4.97 .804 .857 .230 2.80 .385 -.036 1 37 PLK14A 1576 1696 121 4 1 .473 1.94 4.79 .912 .763 .223 2.79 .402 .055 1 38 PLK08B 1580 1688 109 4 0 .531 .65 1.69 .333 .820 .234 2.65 .549 -.038 1 39 PLK02A 1670 1859 190 8 4 .345 1.54 3.64 .653 .648 .286 2.56 .399 .011 1 40 PLK05A 1622 1873 252 10 4 .332 .92 2.61 .428 .729 .269 2.55 .318 -.011 2 41 PLK16A 1620 1828 209 9 1 .428 1.25 4.79 .993 .879 .284 2.81 .384 -.007 2 42 PLK14B 1541 1663 123 5 0 .479 1.10 3.00 .418 .709 .213 2.47 .364 .032 1 43 PLK40B 1681 1868 188 7 4 .258 1.45 5.93 1.098 .877 .227 2.77 .370 .013 1 --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- Total or mean: 9078 365 86 .412 1.14 6.35 .683 .792 .258 2.95 .414 -.008